Edgehalla

NHL Projected Power Play Points Next Week

Power-play points are a standard category in Yahoo, ESPN and many points leagues. This page ranks players by projected power-play goals plus power-play assists, both split from LineupExperts' goal and assist projections by each player's recent power-play usage and shrunk scoring rates (Oct 5-11 (Week 2)). (Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

Week 2: Oct 5 - Oct 11(Upcoming)
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 4:27 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 712 players

PPP = projected PPG + projected PPA. LineupExperts projects each player's goals, assists and ice time. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.

Built-in limits

projected PPP never exceeds projected points, and a player with no projected goals or assists projects for zero PPP.

What drives the ranking

- Power-play minutes per game (recent games weighted most) - Shrunk power-play goal and assist rates per 60 minutes - LineupExperts' goal and assist totals

💡
Pro Tip: In category leagues, PPP often tracks power-play time more than raw talent. A second-line forward who just earned top-unit minutes can be a cheap PPP add.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Power Play Points(Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

658 players
Show

Skaters100 of 658

PlayerTeamPosRost%PPP† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Sebastian AhoCARC98.8%1.761.902.904.8012.802.701.102.100.641.120.090.060.150.3931.6329.2651.9%1.324.260.5980:4292.5339.80
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC100.0%1.671.903.605.5014.002.301.701.400.541.120.000.000.000.3726.0825.5950.5%1.044.011.8067:0071.3444.00
Cale MakarCOLD99.8%1.661.003.004.008.701.605.100.800.371.290.010.040.050.200.000.00-1.223.842.0975:3079.1434.80
Andrei SvechnikovCARLW97.0%1.571.502.504.0013.008.001.102.800.541.030.010.000.010.310.470.56-1.153.590.4969:1882.1334.30
Nikita KucherovTBRW99.9%1.471.202.303.6011.101.001.101.200.441.030.010.010.010.260.050.06-1.023.710.2563:0666.3133.00
Erik KarlssonPITD95.1%1.450.603.003.609.401.203.501.300.211.240.010.060.070.080.000.00-1.485.070.8593:4897.0130.30
Nikolaj EhlersCARLW92.9%1.431.302.403.7012.801.301.300.700.460.960.000.000.010.270.610.76-1.063.380.4766:2477.6533.60
Shayne GostisbehereCARD95.7%1.410.702.203.009.602.003.901.400.331.080.000.000.000.140.000.00-1.173.840.5475:1884.0128.40
Macklin CelebriniSJC99.8%1.391.702.804.4010.001.402.401.700.450.940.030.020.050.2422.2523.2448.9%1.133.620.7562:1263.0434.80
Jason RobertsonDALLW99.6%1.381.502.103.608.802.101.001.000.530.840.000.000.000.270.120.14-0.893.02-0.2457:0660.0129.40
Mikko RantanenDALRW98.7%1.361.102.503.605.902.201.202.700.361.000.000.000.000.202.592.91-1.093.26-0.2763:3065.9425.80
Jackson BlakeCARRW68.5%1.351.302.003.3010.600.701.801.400.490.860.010.010.010.270.310.38-1.103.380.4363:1271.2029.20
Connor McDavidEDMC99.9%1.331.002.603.607.201.200.700.700.281.040.030.030.060.2111.5611.6649.8%0.732.52-0.7245:5446.5927.80
Quinn HughesMIND99.6%1.330.602.503.006.300.403.601.500.221.100.000.000.000.090.000.00-1.184.220.5180:1870.5125.60
Martin NecasCOLRW100.0%1.301.502.704.308.803.301.001.000.430.870.000.000.000.290.910.96-0.983.291.5960:1263.5332.50
Jack EichelLVC98.9%1.191.302.303.5010.301.301.600.700.340.860.050.030.080.2923.1925.1048.0%1.113.48-0.4063:2468.5231.80
Sidney CrosbyPITC99.9%1.191.403.004.5010.603.901.502.200.350.830.000.000.000.1946.7538.7754.7%1.303.940.7179:3091.3933.50
Evgeni MalkinPITC82.4%1.161.402.604.109.701.601.304.000.370.790.000.000.000.1910.5011.6647.4%1.263.860.6370:5479.8031.90
Clayton KellerUTALW99.9%1.151.102.603.707.100.301.401.100.270.880.000.000.000.200.540.66-0.923.041.2257:1868.2927.70
Wyatt JohnstonDALC99.9%1.111.401.803.207.102.101.601.000.480.620.020.010.030.2515.4015.8449.3%0.932.69-0.2659:3665.2625.60
Tim StutzleOTTC99.5%1.091.302.203.5011.005.801.901.400.360.730.080.050.130.2715.0814.1151.7%1.374.070.4080:42101.6031.90
Kirill KaprizovMINLW98.2%1.071.801.603.408.402.001.301.400.560.510.000.000.000.280.100.12-1.023.540.4167:0063.5430.10
Bryan RustPITRW85.3%1.061.602.003.6010.902.303.101.400.430.630.090.050.140.220.400.50-1.183.980.7079:3694.3531.40
Dylan GuentherUTARW99.2%1.021.801.503.309.102.201.400.800.550.470.010.000.020.321.001.20-0.832.611.0851:5464.6629.90
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.9%1.011.201.702.906.501.000.500.700.380.630.010.010.020.2518.7315.5454.7%0.702.43-0.6743:1845.6524.00
Leo CarlssonANAC94.2%1.011.701.903.708.300.601.701.100.440.570.050.020.070.2416.7920.3145.3%0.922.640.4553:0662.8329.30
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%1.010.601.702.206.000.802.100.600.240.770.010.020.030.120.000.00-0.732.63-0.7849:0051.8220.90
Miro HeiskanenDALD99.4%0.990.302.102.405.201.004.001.100.110.880.010.040.040.050.000.00-1.203.92-0.3677:1276.2020.70
Jake GuentzelTBLW100.0%0.981.001.402.409.401.001.401.100.380.610.030.020.050.228.078.3349.2%0.992.920.2460:5465.5125.10
Will SmithSJRW94.9%0.981.301.903.106.800.600.700.600.390.590.010.000.020.191.531.76-0.772.740.6051:2456.5423.40
Rickard RakellPITLW82.7%0.981.501.803.3010.805.302.401.000.410.570.040.020.070.214.716.53-1.273.620.6776:4288.6829.70
Mitch MarnerLVRW98.8%0.930.902.103.006.101.201.400.800.230.700.040.040.080.204.486.0042.7%1.153.40-0.4062:4268.4524.20
Matthew BoldyMINRW99.5%0.931.301.402.808.002.302.501.800.410.510.050.020.070.202.172.63-1.073.130.3862:1261.8125.90
Adam FoxNYRD99.0%0.920.402.102.506.101.404.301.400.130.790.000.010.020.090.000.00-1.123.57-0.2169:5480.9623.50
Jake SandersonOTTD98.6%0.910.601.902.5010.201.706.500.500.200.710.020.050.070.120.000.00-1.555.110.5199:06119.8829.60
Mikhail SergachevUTAD98.3%0.910.502.102.605.301.805.201.300.160.750.010.050.070.090.000.00-1.153.861.6573:4889.2023.30
David PastrnakBOSRW99.8%0.901.202.203.4012.202.201.001.700.290.620.000.000.000.300.240.28-1.063.70-0.2161:0664.1730.40
Drake BathersonOTTRW97.1%0.891.101.802.9010.105.501.101.300.320.570.000.000.000.220.590.66-1.153.420.3571:1293.6926.10
Roope HintzDALC84.1%0.881.101.602.705.703.401.001.000.340.540.020.010.020.2021.1417.3554.9%0.752.49-0.2251:1263.6822.20
Robert ThomasSTLC92.8%0.881.002.403.406.100.501.400.900.230.650.060.050.110.1327.1824.5352.6%1.013.210.4258:4872.3026.00
Cutter GauthierANALW98.2%0.851.901.403.2011.102.601.201.200.480.370.020.010.030.272.893.28-0.782.500.4147:1857.4229.40
Nick SuzukiMONC100.0%0.840.901.902.806.403.102.400.900.230.620.020.010.030.2326.1825.3550.8%1.053.060.1862:0066.6924.60
Rasmus DahlinBUFD99.8%0.840.601.602.206.602.703.502.500.220.620.000.010.010.170.000.00-1.093.85-0.5872:5482.9922.50
Brayden PointTBC95.2%0.831.001.202.208.500.501.300.500.370.460.010.000.010.2215.4217.3047.1%0.872.660.2357:3664.1723.00
Jackson LaCombeANAD97.6%0.830.402.202.605.802.705.801.200.120.710.010.030.040.060.000.00-1.293.650.6470:4280.1223.40
Roman JosiNSHD98.0%0.830.601.602.107.601.104.201.000.210.620.010.020.020.110.000.00-1.063.87-0.8275:0079.8920.90
Matthew TkachukFLARW99.7%0.830.701.302.005.302.100.501.700.280.550.000.000.000.240.240.29-0.561.92-0.2136:3640.8716.10
Matthew SchaeferNYID99.7%0.820.701.502.208.701.703.701.400.260.560.000.010.010.110.000.00-1.123.790.7074:0680.3024.00
Mark StoneLVRW93.4%0.820.901.702.706.002.001.700.600.260.570.030.020.050.200.300.37-0.992.92-0.3758:0665.0823.50
Darren RaddyshTORD99.4%0.810.401.401.807.402.102.801.200.180.630.000.010.010.070.000.00-0.823.19-0.4060:3663.3119.20
Dylan CozensOTTC90.3%0.811.001.602.6011.509.701.201.900.290.510.000.000.000.2022.8121.0552.0%1.073.200.3368:2492.0325.90
John CarlsonTBD99.0%0.790.401.501.907.701.104.100.800.160.630.010.020.030.090.010.02-1.183.870.3170:4275.1421.40
Dylan HollowaySTLLW95.1%0.791.301.803.109.408.101.700.800.320.470.010.010.020.171.601.88-0.782.370.3549:4259.8227.70
Brock NelsonCOLC87.7%0.781.201.402.606.801.402.201.000.330.450.070.040.110.2425.2625.2050.1%0.892.641.5657:0669.9322.60
Nazem KadriCOLC70.5%0.771.001.702.708.602.101.401.500.240.520.000.000.000.2019.4021.4347.5%0.892.801.5656:5467.4222.40
Bo HorvatNYIC90.2%0.761.301.102.509.503.101.601.300.400.370.060.030.100.2128.7523.2355.3%0.953.140.5661:3669.2524.40
Nick SchmaltzUTARW93.8%0.761.301.602.906.500.701.900.500.330.430.060.030.090.2314.1415.6047.5%1.092.921.2457:4270.5224.00
Mark ScheifeleWPGC99.4%0.761.101.802.906.601.501.701.600.270.490.010.010.010.0021.7923.5848.0%1.113.56-0.3462:4864.0723.70
Kyle ConnorWPGLW99.2%0.761.201.702.909.700.900.900.500.290.460.030.020.050.000.050.06-0.962.90-0.3563:1266.9125.90
Logan CooleyUTAC93.9%0.751.101.902.905.102.601.601.100.250.490.030.020.040.2015.6717.8446.8%0.952.781.1653:1266.6522.20
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.9%0.741.301.102.408.702.701.501.400.370.370.010.000.010.3714.3616.8046.1%0.932.73-0.4457:1869.2123.20
Brandon HagelTBLW99.1%0.741.101.502.6010.401.501.601.700.290.440.050.030.090.241.061.33-1.123.090.2761:4871.5627.20
Lane HutsonMOND99.5%0.730.201.902.104.401.405.201.300.060.670.000.010.010.050.000.00-1.163.690.2171:0673.7719.90
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.3%0.710.901.502.309.303.301.900.800.250.460.040.030.070.2020.9018.7952.7%1.063.22-0.1759:4872.7621.70
Lucas RaymondDETRW95.6%0.710.801.702.507.201.400.900.800.200.510.010.010.010.170.050.06-0.942.84-0.8256:2466.7720.80
Filip ForsbergNSHLW99.1%0.701.001.302.308.803.601.201.000.290.410.000.000.000.180.460.58-1.063.05-0.5956:4265.6721.20
Alex DeBrincatDETLW99.7%0.691.201.302.5010.101.201.200.900.330.360.000.000.000.250.901.11-1.032.72-0.7954:3663.3524.30
Jimmy SnuggerudSTLRW79.6%0.691.201.602.809.103.701.400.700.290.400.000.000.000.160.290.35-0.832.540.3550:1262.1125.80
William NylanderTORRW99.1%0.681.101.402.609.000.601.000.600.280.410.010.000.010.201.822.27-0.992.93-0.4158:3067.2023.00
Sam ReinhartFLARW99.5%0.681.000.801.804.801.901.200.400.360.320.040.010.050.343.154.0244.0%0.621.93-0.2642:1248.3516.20
William EklundOTTLW79.4%0.670.901.702.6010.003.102.101.200.210.460.010.010.020.180.760.94-1.173.680.3876:0683.5723.70
Pavel DorofeyevNYRRW92.5%0.661.200.902.1010.801.201.401.100.370.290.000.000.000.260.080.09-0.802.38-0.1450:5458.0423.40
Cole CaufieldMONLW99.9%0.661.301.002.208.902.400.900.700.350.300.000.000.000.340.340.40-0.862.500.1654:4262.6122.70
Logan StankovenCARC67.1%0.661.201.502.7010.402.401.200.700.280.380.030.010.040.2517.2320.6645.5%1.042.870.4962:4275.0825.50
Kyle PalmieriNYIRW18.5%0.650.901.001.906.902.701.401.100.290.360.030.020.040.140.580.57-0.882.610.4955:4865.5417.50
Tomas HertlLVC83.6%0.651.000.901.907.604.401.601.100.340.310.000.000.010.2224.0818.8356.1%0.772.31-0.3150:1857.1419.20
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%0.651.301.202.6011.801.903.300.600.320.320.040.010.050.2327.9220.8657.2%1.052.83-0.4362:1270.9028.80
Dylan LarkinDETC96.3%0.641.001.302.309.501.601.101.900.270.370.040.020.070.2131.6528.2052.9%0.952.93-0.8860:3071.7922.50
Jack HughesNJC99.8%0.641.001.302.307.100.201.100.500.250.400.010.010.020.166.359.5939.8%0.752.50-0.2842:3043.9720.90
Jared McCannSEALW71.6%0.640.801.302.106.602.001.200.600.230.410.010.000.010.221.762.09-0.812.57-0.5050:4265.3418.30
Josh MorrisseyWPGD98.9%0.630.401.501.906.301.503.901.000.120.510.000.010.010.000.000.00-0.963.76-0.4173:0082.3120.50
Steven StamkosNSHC93.6%0.631.001.001.907.502.501.101.300.310.320.000.000.000.1812.3210.3654.3%0.862.59-0.5654:1263.0017.10
Taylor HallCARLW27.9%0.621.001.602.608.702.701.401.700.230.390.010.000.010.211.381.63-0.983.060.4760:0674.9622.20
Moritz SeiderDETD99.7%0.610.301.501.806.604.905.501.900.090.530.010.020.030.060.000.00-1.133.88-1.1776:1285.8321.50
Andrei KuzmenkoPITLW10.5%0.610.801.202.005.601.201.001.100.240.370.000.000.000.110.030.04-0.983.140.5361:4266.4416.30
J.T. MillerNYRC91.8%0.610.801.502.407.406.601.902.200.190.420.030.020.050.1723.7217.1758.0%0.943.04-0.1757:3675.0720.00
Gabriel VilardiWPGRW80.0%0.610.901.202.105.800.901.500.800.250.360.000.000.000.002.242.27-0.822.66-0.3055:3659.4818.60
Ryan O'ReillyNSHC84.3%0.610.701.402.105.500.602.100.600.180.430.060.040.090.1327.1722.5654.6%1.112.71-0.6459:3670.7817.60
Trevor ZegrasPHILW85.7%0.610.901.602.507.502.101.502.800.210.400.000.000.000.207.8711.2141.3%1.143.690.1372:1884.9721.30
Mikael GranlundANAC52.1%0.600.701.702.405.501.702.401.000.170.430.040.030.070.1017.6917.7649.9%0.932.880.5157:3068.0219.10
Ivan DemidovMONRW91.3%0.600.701.302.005.201.501.001.300.200.400.000.000.000.180.020.02-0.762.340.1347:0054.8716.40
Travis KonecnyPHIRW91.6%0.601.001.702.708.105.202.003.100.200.400.020.020.040.231.501.88-1.174.120.1578:1897.8223.00
Gabriel LandeskogCOLLW50.2%0.591.001.402.306.704.601.802.300.240.350.000.000.000.207.236.2353.7%0.802.381.3950:3661.4621.10
Joel Eriksson EkMINC81.6%0.590.801.001.806.804.801.901.700.250.340.030.020.040.1229.4930.8748.9%0.922.670.3658:5462.3819.30
Yegor ChinakhovPITRW48.0%0.591.301.502.8010.003.201.700.800.270.320.010.000.010.180.220.26-0.862.720.5357:1271.5324.90
Alex OvechkinWASLW96.2%0.590.800.901.707.405.500.500.800.260.320.000.000.000.200.070.09-0.742.51-0.0752:1260.3617.30
Kirill MarchenkoTORRW98.4%0.580.901.102.008.302.201.300.900.240.340.000.000.000.160.270.32-1.042.97-0.3856:2461.8621.40
Vincent TrocheckUTAC88.5%0.570.901.502.405.407.102.601.500.190.380.050.030.080.1629.2722.1556.9%1.043.201.3862:4274.4419.70
Artemi PanarinLALW97.0%0.570.701.101.805.100.300.400.400.200.370.000.000.000.240.020.02-0.642.150.1040:4244.5313.80
Jakob ChychrunWASD99.1%0.560.701.001.707.002.703.402.500.230.330.000.000.010.180.000.00-1.073.49-0.1067:0066.5521.10

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Power-play goals

The goal side of PPP, for leagues that count power-play goals separately.

Power Play Goals

Power-play assists

The assist side, where power-play quarterbacks shine.

Power Play Assists

Confirm units

Recent power-play minutes drive the projection; check Next Week's units.

Line Combinations

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

We add the projected power-play goals and power-play assists. Each comes from splitting LineupExperts' projected goals or assists by strength, in proportion to the player's recent power-play minutes times his shrunk scoring rate on the power play.
No. The split only divides a player's projected goals and assists among even strength, the power play and the penalty kill.
Only through LineupExperts' goal and assist projection. Our split itself does not adjust for the opponent's penalty kill or penalty rate.
Backtested on 2024-25 and 2025-26 with the real goal and assist totals, projected PPP beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, and the top deciles matched actual PPP within about 5%.

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