NHL Projected Giveaways Next Week

A few leagues subtract points for giveaways. Our projection multiplies each player's giveaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward his position's average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. The list opens with the players projected to commit the most giveaways: usually puck-carrying defensemen with big minutes (Oct 5-11 (Week 2)). (Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

Today This Week Next Week Rest of Season

Week 2: Oct 5 - Oct 11(Upcoming)

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 5:31 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 712 players

Rate

giveaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two. Home-game counts are divided by that rink's scorer factor, because some arenas record far more giveaways than others.

Shrinkage

the rate is pulled toward the position average with the weight of about 415 minutes for forwards and 910 for defensemen, so a hot or cold week moves it only a little.

Projected giveaways = rate × projected ice time ÷ 60.

Recording change

from 2024-25 the NHL's scorers record roughly twice as many giveaways as before, so compare players within a season, not across eras.

Track record

in our 2025-26 backtest the projection beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with the top three deciles within 3% of actual totals.

💡

Pro Tip: Giveaways follow puck touches. The defensemen who lead in giveaways usually lead in assists and ice time too: the penalty rarely outweighs what they add.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Giveaways(Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

658 players

Show

Skaters100 of 658

Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	GV^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Travis Sanheim	PHI	D	67.3%	5.38	0.30	1.10	1.40	5.10	2.70	8.00	1.40	0.03	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.45	0.20	97:48	121.10	19.10
Jake Sanderson	OTT	D	98.6%	5.11	0.60	1.90	2.50	10.20	1.70	6.50	0.50	0.20	0.71	0.91	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.00	-	1.55	0.51	99:06	119.88	29.60
Erik Karlsson	PIT	D	95.1%	5.07	0.60	3.00	3.60	9.40	1.20	3.50	1.30	0.21	1.24	1.45	0.01	0.06	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.48	0.85	93:48	97.01	30.30
Kris Letang	PIT	D	46.7%	4.83	0.20	1.70	1.90	6.50	5.50	4.40	2.50	0.04	0.34	0.38	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.40	0.89	90:00	95.86	18.80
Thomas Chabot	OTT	D	82.8%	4.76	0.40	1.40	1.70	8.70	2.60	6.20	1.20	0.11	0.39	0.50	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.42	0.49	92:36	112.17	23.60
K'Andre Miller	CAR	D	64.0%	4.58	0.50	1.70	2.20	7.50	5.50	4.70	2.00	0.11	0.40	0.52	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.10	0.02	0.02	-	1.55	0.76	89:24	107.36	21.70
Cameron York	PHI	D	20.5%	4.55	0.20	1.00	1.20	4.40	1.90	7.90	1.60	0.05	0.24	0.29	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.19	0.17	87:30	112.85	17.70
Jaccob Slavin	CAR	D	16.1%	4.49	0.20	1.10	1.30	7.30	1.10	5.70	0.40	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.51	0.81	88:24	105.14	20.00
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	98.8%	4.26	1.90	2.90	4.80	12.80	2.70	1.10	2.10	0.64	1.12	1.76	0.09	0.06	0.15	0.39	31.63	29.26	51.9%	1.32	0.59	80:42	92.53	39.80
Rasmus Ristolainen	PHI	D	8.3%	4.26	0.20	0.80	1.00	5.00	4.80	6.00	1.30	0.03	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.24	0.17	84:18	109.61	16.30
Quinn Hughes	MIN	D	99.6%	4.22	0.60	2.50	3.00	6.30	0.40	3.60	1.50	0.22	1.10	1.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.18	0.51	80:18	70.51	25.60
Jamie Drysdale	PHI	D	55.2%	4.20	0.30	1.00	1.30	4.80	1.00	5.80	1.50	0.07	0.26	0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.11	0.16	83:42	103.19	14.80
Travis Konecny	PHI	RW	91.6%	4.12	1.00	1.70	2.70	8.10	5.20	2.00	3.10	0.20	0.40	0.60	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.23	1.50	1.88	-	1.17	0.15	78:18	97.82	23.00
Jalen Chatfield	CAR	D	4.1%	4.10	0.30	0.70	1.00	6.30	2.60	3.50	1.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.32	0.73	79:30	100.49	15.50
Sean Walker	CAR	D	60.5%	4.09	0.50	1.30	1.80	10.00	6.30	5.60	2.40	0.07	0.20	0.28	0.01	0.04	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.00	-	1.25	0.69	78:12	98.44	22.70
Tim Stutzle	OTT	C	99.5%	4.07	1.30	2.20	3.50	11.00	5.80	1.90	1.40	0.36	0.73	1.09	0.08	0.05	0.13	0.27	15.08	14.11	51.7%	1.37	0.40	80:42	101.60	31.90
Samuel Girard	PIT	D	9.0%	4.07	0.30	1.50	1.80	4.40	2.40	4.20	1.10	0.02	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.15	0.82	79:18	93.20	17.10
Carter Yakemchuk	OTT	D	41.9%	4.04	0.30	1.00	1.40	6.30	1.60	3.70	1.70	0.07	0.24	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	0.42	77:12	104.07	16.40
Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	100.0%	4.01	1.90	3.60	5.50	14.00	2.30	1.70	1.40	0.54	1.12	1.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.37	26.08	25.59	50.5%	1.04	1.80	67:00	71.34	44.00
Bryan Rust	PIT	RW	85.3%	3.98	1.60	2.00	3.60	10.90	2.30	3.10	1.40	0.43	0.63	1.06	0.09	0.05	0.14	0.22	0.40	0.50	-	1.18	0.70	79:36	94.35	31.40
Sidney Crosby	PIT	C	99.9%	3.94	1.40	3.00	4.50	10.60	3.90	1.50	2.20	0.35	0.83	1.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.19	46.75	38.77	54.7%	1.30	0.71	79:30	91.39	33.50
Miro Heiskanen	DAL	D	99.4%	3.92	0.30	2.10	2.40	5.20	1.00	4.00	1.10	0.11	0.88	0.99	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.20	-0.36	77:12	76.20	20.70
Moritz Seider	DET	D	99.7%	3.88	0.30	1.50	1.80	6.60	4.90	5.50	1.90	0.09	0.53	0.61	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.13	-1.17	76:12	85.83	21.50
John Carlson	TB	D	99.0%	3.87	0.40	1.50	1.90	7.70	1.10	4.10	0.80	0.16	0.63	0.79	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.02	-	1.18	0.31	70:42	75.14	21.40
Roman Josi	NSH	D	98.0%	3.87	0.60	1.60	2.10	7.60	1.10	4.20	1.00	0.21	0.62	0.83	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.00	-	1.06	-0.82	75:00	79.89	20.90
Evgeni Malkin	PIT	C	82.4%	3.86	1.40	2.60	4.10	9.70	1.60	1.30	4.00	0.37	0.79	1.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.19	10.50	11.66	47.4%	1.26	0.63	70:54	79.80	31.90
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	98.3%	3.86	0.50	2.10	2.60	5.30	1.80	5.20	1.30	0.16	0.75	0.91	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.15	1.65	73:48	89.20	23.30
Rasmus Dahlin	BUF	D	99.8%	3.85	0.60	1.60	2.20	6.60	2.70	3.50	2.50	0.22	0.62	0.84	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.17	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	-0.58	72:54	82.99	22.50
Cale Makar	COL	D	99.8%	3.84	1.00	3.00	4.00	8.70	1.60	5.10	0.80	0.37	1.29	1.66	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.20	0.00	0.00	-	1.22	2.09	75:30	79.14	34.80
Shayne Gostisbehere	CAR	D	95.7%	3.84	0.70	2.20	3.00	9.60	2.00	3.90	1.40	0.33	1.08	1.41	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.14	0.00	0.00	-	1.17	0.54	75:18	84.01	28.40
Mike Matheson	MON	D	84.6%	3.82	0.20	0.70	0.90	4.40	2.60	6.20	1.70	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.10	0.25	74:06	80.07	14.10
MacKenzie Weegar	UTA	D	92.5%	3.81	0.20	1.00	1.20	4.70	6.00	6.80	1.70	0.04	0.21	0.25	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.07	1.64	69:30	94.33	16.40
Matthew Schaefer	NYI	D	99.7%	3.79	0.70	1.50	2.20	8.70	1.70	3.70	1.40	0.26	0.56	0.82	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.11	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	0.70	74:06	80.30	24.00
Josh Morrissey	WPG	D	98.9%	3.76	0.40	1.50	1.90	6.30	1.50	3.90	1.00	0.12	0.51	0.63	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.96	-0.41	73:00	82.31	20.50
Filip Hronek	VAN	D	90.8%	3.75	0.20	1.40	1.60	4.20	5.30	5.00	1.20	0.05	0.40	0.45	0.00	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.05	-0.42	72:54	83.54	16.20
Thomas Harley	DAL	D	88.2%	3.73	0.50	1.20	1.60	4.70	1.80	4.40	1.00	0.11	0.29	0.40	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.17	-0.35	70:48	77.14	17.40
Shea Theodore	LV	D	91.5%	3.72	0.40	1.70	2.00	6.10	0.20	2.90	1.00	0.10	0.45	0.55	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.02	-0.48	68:48	83.97	19.60
Nikita Kucherov	TB	RW	99.9%	3.71	1.20	2.30	3.60	11.10	1.00	1.10	1.20	0.44	1.03	1.47	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.26	0.05	0.06	-	1.02	0.25	63:06	66.31	33.00
David Pastrnak	BOS	RW	99.8%	3.70	1.20	2.20	3.40	12.20	2.20	1.00	1.70	0.29	0.62	0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.30	0.24	0.28	-	1.06	-0.21	61:06	64.17	30.40
Trevor Zegras	PHI	LW	85.7%	3.69	0.90	1.60	2.50	7.50	2.10	1.50	2.80	0.21	0.40	0.61	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.20	7.87	11.21	41.3%	1.14	0.13	72:18	84.97	21.30
Lane Hutson	MON	D	99.5%	3.69	0.20	1.90	2.10	4.40	1.40	5.20	1.30	0.06	0.67	0.73	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.16	0.21	71:06	73.77	19.90
William Eklund	OTT	LW	79.4%	3.68	0.90	1.70	2.60	10.00	3.10	2.10	1.20	0.21	0.46	0.67	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.18	0.76	0.94	-	1.17	0.38	76:06	83.57	23.70
Rasmus Andersson	LV	D	93.7%	3.67	0.30	0.90	1.20	5.70	1.30	4.60	2.30	0.06	0.19	0.26	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	0.99	-0.50	70:06	97.28	14.50
Jackson LaCombe	ANA	D	97.6%	3.65	0.40	2.20	2.60	5.80	2.70	5.80	1.20	0.12	0.71	0.83	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.29	0.64	70:42	80.12	23.40
Noah Dobson	MON	D	97.5%	3.65	0.30	1.00	1.30	5.90	2.80	6.90	1.40	0.05	0.20	0.25	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	0.22	68:36	81.75	18.00
Vladislav Gavrikov	NYR	D	41.0%	3.65	0.20	0.70	0.90	4.60	2.10	4.40	1.60	0.02	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.91	-0.23	69:24	81.12	13.30
Jordan Spence	OTT	D	20.8%	3.63	0.30	1.10	1.50	6.70	3.40	3.50	0.80	0.06	0.22	0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.98	0.39	70:06	91.81	17.80
Macklin Celebrini	SJ	C	99.8%	3.62	1.70	2.80	4.40	10.00	1.40	2.40	1.70	0.45	0.94	1.39	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.24	22.25	23.24	48.9%	1.13	0.75	62:12	63.04	34.80
Rickard Rakell	PIT	LW	82.7%	3.62	1.50	1.80	3.30	10.80	5.30	2.40	1.00	0.41	0.57	0.98	0.04	0.02	0.07	0.21	4.71	6.53	-	1.27	0.67	76:42	88.68	29.70
Simon Benoit	PHI	D	4.9%	3.61	0.00	0.20	0.20	2.90	9.90	6.00	2.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.90	0.14	67:42	97.49	8.60
Esa Lindell	DAL	D	37.2%	3.61	0.20	0.90	1.10	2.80	1.70	5.00	0.70	0.02	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.00	-0.36	68:36	72.10	14.60
Brandon Montour	SEA	D	82.8%	3.60	0.30	0.80	1.20	7.10	4.10	3.30	2.10	0.07	0.21	0.28	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.06	-0.75	68:30	71.74	14.20
Devon Toews	COL	D	61.5%	3.60	0.20	1.60	1.80	4.90	1.60	3.80	1.20	0.04	0.34	0.38	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	2.16	71:00	84.43	18.30
Porter Martone	PHI	RW	90.2%	3.60	1.10	1.30	2.40	9.70	5.70	1.20	2.30	0.21	0.27	0.49	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.25	0.47	0.56	-	1.09	0.12	66:54	83.25	26.40
Andrei Svechnikov	CAR	LW	97.0%	3.59	1.50	2.50	4.00	13.00	8.00	1.10	2.80	0.54	1.03	1.57	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.31	0.47	0.56	-	1.15	0.49	69:18	82.13	34.30
Adam Fox	NYR	D	99.0%	3.57	0.40	2.10	2.50	6.10	1.40	4.30	1.40	0.13	0.79	0.92	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	-0.21	69:54	80.96	23.50
Mark Scheifele	WPG	C	99.4%	3.56	1.10	1.80	2.90	6.60	1.50	1.70	1.60	0.27	0.49	0.76	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	21.79	23.58	48.0%	1.11	-0.34	62:48	64.07	23.70
Colton Parayko	STL	D	37.4%	3.55	0.20	0.80	1.00	5.30	4.50	5.10	0.60	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.06	0.56	68:30	84.68	14.70
Kirill Kaprizov	MIN	LW	98.2%	3.54	1.80	1.60	3.40	8.40	2.00	1.30	1.40	0.56	0.51	1.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.28	0.10	0.12	-	1.02	0.41	67:00	63.54	30.10
Nick Seeler	PHI	D	8.1%	3.53	0.10	0.40	0.50	4.00	5.60	8.80	2.60	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.93	0.15	69:36	95.91	15.00
Brady Skjei	NSH	D	18.4%	3.53	0.20	0.70	0.90	4.40	1.90	2.90	1.10	0.02	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.02	-0.81	66:18	79.40	10.30
Noah Hanifin	LV	D	52.7%	3.50	0.40	0.90	1.20	5.70	1.60	3.80	0.70	0.03	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.04	-0.50	66:18	82.96	15.50
Jakob Chychrun	WAS	D	99.1%	3.49	0.70	1.00	1.70	7.00	2.70	3.40	2.50	0.23	0.33	0.56	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.18	0.00	0.00	-	1.07	-0.10	67:00	66.55	21.10
Philip Broberg	STL	D	66.2%	3.49	0.30	1.50	1.80	4.80	1.80	3.00	0.60	0.04	0.22	0.26	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	0.51	65:06	76.37	17.20
Jack Eichel	LV	C	98.9%	3.48	1.30	2.30	3.50	10.30	1.30	1.60	0.70	0.34	0.86	1.19	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.29	23.19	25.10	48.0%	1.11	-0.40	63:24	68.52	31.80
Neal Pionk	WPG	D	32.3%	3.48	0.20	0.80	0.90	5.10	6.00	3.90	1.80	0.04	0.15	0.19	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.96	-0.41	67:36	83.20	14.20
Trevor van Riemsdyk	PIT	D	0.8%	3.47	0.10	0.80	0.90	3.10	0.90	5.40	1.30	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.99	0.71	68:12	81.50	13.10
Alexander Romanov	NYI	D	15.4%	3.47	0.10	0.50	0.70	4.20	7.50	6.40	0.90	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.99	0.73	64:54	79.05	13.50
Alex Vlasic	CHI	D	9.0%	3.46	0.10	0.40	0.50	3.30	1.40	5.70	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	-0.41	66:18	78.48	9.40
Bowen Byram	CHI	D	96.2%	3.45	0.40	1.20	1.60	4.80	2.00	4.80	1.50	0.09	0.30	0.39	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	0.95	-0.38	67:54	79.45	17.20
Jacob Trouba	SJ	D	76.1%	3.43	0.20	0.80	1.10	5.00	4.60	6.70	2.10	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.91	0.92	65:30	80.44	16.00
Hampus Lindholm	BOS	D	16.7%	3.43	0.30	0.80	1.00	4.60	0.70	4.00	1.80	0.05	0.14	0.18	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.00	-0.24	64:54	78.60	13.40
Shane Pinto	OTT	C	37.1%	3.43	1.10	1.20	2.30	9.80	4.50	2.60	1.40	0.19	0.21	0.40	0.09	0.05	0.15	0.22	22.47	21.44	51.2%	1.22	0.39	73:12	102.18	24.00
Victor Hedman	TB	D	92.7%	3.42	0.30	0.90	1.20	7.10	1.60	4.30	1.00	0.08	0.25	0.33	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	0.31	65:18	77.99	18.10
Simon Edvinsson	DET	D	42.3%	3.42	0.30	0.70	1.00	3.70	3.30	4.80	2.90	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.97	-1.12	65:12	78.23	13.60
Drake Batherson	OTT	RW	97.1%	3.42	1.10	1.80	2.90	10.10	5.50	1.10	1.30	0.32	0.57	0.89	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.22	0.59	0.66	-	1.15	0.35	71:12	93.69	26.10
Matvei Michkov	PHI	RW	85.6%	3.41	0.90	1.40	2.30	8.10	1.50	1.30	3.00	0.19	0.32	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.20	0.53	0.63	-	1.04	0.11	62:12	80.96	19.60
Mitch Marner	LV	RW	98.8%	3.40	0.90	2.10	3.00	6.10	1.20	1.40	0.80	0.23	0.70	0.93	0.04	0.04	0.08	0.20	4.48	6.00	42.7%	1.15	-0.40	62:42	68.45	24.20
Tyler Kleven	OTT	D	8.0%	3.40	0.20	0.50	0.70	5.40	6.10	4.80	1.90	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	0.38	63:36	89.36	12.30
Vince Dunn	SEA	D	89.4%	3.39	0.40	1.10	1.50	5.70	1.40	2.90	2.20	0.13	0.41	0.54	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11	0.00	0.00	-	0.97	-0.69	65:30	72.68	15.50
Justin Faulk	DET	D	55.0%	3.39	0.30	0.70	1.00	5.70	2.50	3.90	1.40	0.07	0.17	0.23	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.97	-1.06	66:54	81.91	13.50
Marcus Pettersson	NYR	D	6.6%	3.39	0.10	0.50	0.70	3.20	3.30	5.50	2.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.95	-0.22	64:48	76.22	10.80
Nikolaj Ehlers	CAR	LW	92.9%	3.38	1.30	2.40	3.70	12.80	1.30	1.30	0.70	0.46	0.96	1.43	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.27	0.61	0.76	-	1.06	0.47	66:24	77.65	33.60
Jackson Blake	CAR	RW	68.5%	3.38	1.30	2.00	3.30	10.60	0.70	1.80	1.40	0.49	0.86	1.35	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.27	0.31	0.38	-	1.10	0.43	63:12	71.20	29.20
Jake McCabe	TOR	D	34.0%	3.37	0.10	0.60	0.80	2.90	4.20	5.60	2.00	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	-0.53	65:12	87.64	12.30
Dylan DeMelo	WPG	D	5.7%	3.37	0.10	0.60	0.60	2.70	4.00	3.50	1.10	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.96	-0.42	64:42	81.61	9.90
Darnell Nurse	SJ	D	68.8%	3.36	0.30	0.80	1.10	5.70	4.40	6.20	3.70	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	0.92	64:18	78.30	16.20
Morgan Rielly	TOR	D	75.7%	3.34	0.20	0.90	1.10	5.00	1.30	3.80	0.80	0.05	0.27	0.32	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.93	-0.47	64:12	85.55	12.90
Owen Tippett	PHI	RW	78.0%	3.34	1.10	0.80	1.90	10.20	7.80	2.80	1.20	0.22	0.17	0.40	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.25	0.58	0.72	-	1.10	0.12	65:54	86.13	21.60
Owen Power	BUF	D	53.4%	3.34	0.20	1.00	1.20	3.80	0.90	3.90	0.70	0.03	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.90	-0.58	65:00	77.82	13.00
Dmitry Orlov	SJ	D	34.9%	3.32	0.20	1.20	1.40	3.40	3.30	2.90	1.40	0.05	0.35	0.41	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.86	0.80	61:42	68.86	12.40
Mattias Samuelsson	BUF	D	79.0%	3.30	0.20	0.70	0.90	3.10	4.20	5.70	1.50	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.85	-0.60	64:06	75.86	14.40
Kaedan Korczak	PIT	D	7.5%	3.30	0.00	1.20	1.20	3.80	5.60	4.30	1.30	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	0.65	61:48	79.16	13.90
Mario Ferraro	WPG	D	14.6%	3.30	0.10	0.50	0.60	3.40	4.80	5.00	1.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	1.00	-0.41	63:42	68.41	9.50
Martin Necas	COL	RW	100.0%	3.29	1.50	2.70	4.30	8.80	3.30	1.00	1.00	0.43	0.87	1.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.29	0.91	0.96	-	0.98	1.59	60:12	63.53	32.50
Sean Couturier	PHI	C	9.2%	3.28	0.40	0.80	1.20	5.40	3.80	2.00	1.60	0.03	0.06	0.08	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.09	31.85	27.06	54.1%	1.15	0.14	67:48	89.76	12.60
Dylan Samberg	WPG	D	4.0%	3.27	0.10	0.60	0.70	4.10	2.50	4.50	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.98	-0.42	64:30	78.96	13.10
Mikko Rantanen	DAL	RW	98.7%	3.26	1.10	2.50	3.60	5.90	2.20	1.20	2.70	0.36	1.00	1.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.20	2.59	2.91	-	1.09	-0.27	63:30	65.94	25.80
Parker Wotherspoon	LV	D	20.2%	3.26	0.00	0.60	0.60	2.40	5.70	3.20	1.80	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.87	-0.44	57:42	65.51	7.40
Claude Giroux	OTT	RW	30.0%	3.26	0.60	1.30	1.80	7.10	2.70	1.20	0.80	0.12	0.31	0.43	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.12	24.92	17.42	58.9%	1.14	0.36	69:24	103.06	17.80

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Takeaways

The positive side of puck battles, projected the same way.

Takeaway Projections

Puck-moving defensemen

The players with the most giveaways are often the ones driving offence from the back.

Defensemen Projections

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's rink-adjusted giveaway rate per 60 minutes (recent seasons weighted, shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time.

From 2024-25 the NHL records roughly twice as many giveaways a season as it did before. The projection uses recent rates, so it already reflects the new recording.

Those are the players who cost the most in leagues that subtract for giveaways. Players with few projected minutes give the puck away least simply because they barely play, so a fewest-first list is not useful. Click the column to flip it.