Edgehalla

NHL Projected Shifts Next Week

A handful of leagues count shifts. Our projection multiplies each player's shifts per 60 minutes by LineupExperts' projected ice time. Shift rate is one of the most stable usage stats (about 0.85 year to year), so the ranking mostly follows ice time and how short a player's shifts are. Shift data starts in 2025-26 and has gaps, noted below (Oct 5-11 (Week 2)). (Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

Week 2: Oct 5 - Oct 11(Upcoming)
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 4:38 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 712 players

Rate

shifts per 60 minutes of ice time, recent games weighted most and shrunk very lightly (about 10 minutes of weight) toward the position average: the player's own rate settles fast.

Projected shifts = rate × projected ice time ÷ 60.

Data coverage

Shift counts start in 2025-26 and are incomplete: 65 regular-season games of 2025-26 and all of its playoff games have no shift data, so totals for those games are missing.

Track record

in our 2025-26 backtest the projection beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with the top three deciles within 2% of actual totals.

💡
Pro Tip: Defensemen take longer shifts than forwards, so at equal ice time a forward projects more shifts.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Shifts(Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

658 players
Show

Skaters100 of 658

PlayerTeamPosRost%SFT† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOIFPTS
Travis SanheimPHID67.3%121.100.301.101.405.102.708.001.400.030.120.150.010.040.050.070.000.00-1.455.380.2097:4819.10
Jake SandersonOTTD98.6%119.880.601.902.5010.201.706.500.500.200.710.910.020.050.070.120.000.00-1.555.110.5199:0629.60
Cameron YorkPHID20.5%112.850.201.001.204.401.907.901.600.050.240.290.010.030.030.050.000.00-1.194.550.1787:3017.70
Thomas ChabotOTTD82.8%112.170.401.401.708.702.606.201.200.110.390.500.010.030.030.080.000.00-1.424.760.4992:3623.60
Rasmus RistolainenPHID8.3%109.610.200.801.005.004.806.001.300.030.110.130.000.020.020.050.000.00-1.244.260.1784:1816.30
K'Andre MillerCARD64.0%107.360.501.702.207.505.504.702.000.110.400.520.010.040.050.100.020.02-1.554.580.7689:2421.70
Jaccob SlavinCARD16.1%105.140.201.101.307.301.105.700.400.000.020.020.010.040.050.040.000.00-1.514.490.8188:2420.00
Carter YakemchukOTTD41.9%104.070.301.001.406.301.603.701.700.070.240.300.000.000.000.060.000.00-1.124.040.4277:1216.40
Jamie DrysdalePHID55.2%103.190.301.001.304.801.005.801.500.070.260.340.000.000.000.070.000.00-1.114.200.1683:4214.80
Claude GirouxOTTRW30.0%103.060.601.301.807.102.701.200.800.120.310.430.030.030.060.1224.9217.4258.9%1.143.260.3669:2417.80
Shane PintoOTTC37.1%102.181.101.202.309.804.502.601.400.190.210.400.090.050.150.2222.4721.4451.2%1.223.430.3973:1224.00
Tim StutzleOTTC99.5%101.601.302.203.5011.005.801.901.400.360.731.090.080.050.130.2715.0814.1151.7%1.374.070.4080:4231.90
Jalen ChatfieldCARD4.1%100.490.300.701.006.302.603.501.300.000.010.010.010.020.030.060.000.00-1.324.100.7379:3015.50
Sean WalkerCARD60.5%98.440.501.301.8010.006.305.602.400.070.200.280.010.040.060.100.000.00-1.254.090.6978:1222.70
Travis KonecnyPHIRW91.6%97.821.001.702.708.105.202.003.100.200.400.600.020.020.040.231.501.88-1.174.120.1578:1823.00
Simon BenoitPHID4.9%97.490.000.200.202.909.906.002.800.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.903.610.1467:428.60
Rasmus AnderssonLVD93.7%97.280.300.901.205.701.304.602.300.060.190.260.010.020.020.070.000.00-0.993.67-0.5070:0614.50
Erik KarlssonPITD95.1%97.010.603.003.609.401.203.501.300.211.241.450.010.060.070.080.000.00-1.485.070.8593:4830.30
Nick SeelerPHID8.1%95.910.100.400.504.005.608.802.600.000.000.000.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.933.530.1569:3615.00
Kris LetangPITD46.7%95.860.201.701.906.505.504.402.500.040.340.380.000.020.020.030.000.00-1.404.830.8990:0018.80
Bryan RustPITRW85.3%94.351.602.003.6010.902.303.101.400.430.631.060.090.050.140.220.400.50-1.183.980.7079:3631.40
MacKenzie WeegarUTAD92.5%94.330.201.001.204.706.006.801.700.040.210.250.000.020.020.040.000.00-1.073.811.6469:3016.40
Drake BathersonOTTRW97.1%93.691.101.802.9010.105.501.101.300.320.570.890.000.000.000.220.590.66-1.153.420.3571:1226.10
Samuel GirardPITD9.0%93.200.301.501.804.402.404.201.100.020.100.110.010.030.040.040.000.00-1.154.070.8279:1817.10
Sebastian AhoCARC98.8%92.531.902.904.8012.802.701.102.100.641.121.760.090.060.150.3931.6329.2651.9%1.324.260.5980:4239.80
Dylan CozensOTTC90.3%92.031.001.602.6011.509.701.201.900.290.510.810.000.000.000.2022.8121.0552.0%1.073.200.3368:2425.90
Jordan StaalCARC20.0%91.930.801.001.906.907.902.301.100.120.160.270.060.040.100.1643.1436.1954.4%0.982.930.5564:4218.80
Jordan SpenceOTTD20.8%91.810.301.101.506.703.403.500.800.060.220.280.000.000.000.060.000.00-0.983.630.3970:0617.80
Sidney CrosbyPITC99.9%91.391.403.004.5010.603.901.502.200.350.831.190.000.000.000.1946.7538.7754.7%1.303.940.7179:3033.50
Tyson FoersterPHILW41.7%89.931.000.801.808.003.803.102.200.200.170.370.040.020.070.230.110.13-1.093.110.1368:3019.80
Sean CouturierPHIC9.2%89.760.400.801.205.403.802.001.600.030.060.080.030.030.060.0931.8527.0654.1%1.153.280.1467:4812.60
Tyler KlevenOTTD8.0%89.360.200.500.705.406.104.801.900.000.010.020.010.020.020.040.000.00-1.033.400.3863:3612.30
Mikhail SergachevUTAD98.3%89.200.502.102.605.301.805.201.300.160.750.910.010.050.070.090.000.00-1.153.861.6573:4823.30
Noah CatesPHIC18.4%89.130.600.901.505.504.402.601.200.100.180.280.040.030.070.1422.9427.4845.5%1.092.880.1263:4216.50
Rickard RakellPITLW82.7%88.681.501.803.3010.805.302.401.000.410.570.980.040.020.070.214.716.53-1.273.620.6776:4229.70
Chris TanevTORD6.0%87.810.000.400.401.900.705.400.700.000.000.000.000.030.030.000.000.00-0.893.07-0.4959:4810.80
Jake McCabeTORD34.0%87.640.100.600.802.904.205.602.000.000.020.030.000.020.030.020.000.00-0.923.37-0.5365:1212.30
Christian DvorakPHIC15.9%87.450.601.101.806.202.203.101.200.090.180.270.030.030.060.1429.2724.8954.0%1.083.240.1367:3617.40
Michael AmadioOTTRW3.3%86.840.600.801.305.404.602.200.700.010.010.010.030.020.050.120.840.99-1.082.920.3660:4214.50
Owen TippettPHIRW78.0%86.131.100.801.9010.207.802.801.200.220.170.400.020.000.020.250.580.72-1.103.340.1265:5421.60
Moritz SeiderDETD99.7%85.830.301.501.806.604.905.501.900.090.530.610.010.020.030.060.000.00-1.133.88-1.1776:1221.50
Nikolas MatinpaloOTTD0.0%85.600.100.300.403.503.003.301.400.000.000.000.010.020.030.020.000.00-0.843.010.3558:008.20
Morgan RiellyTORD75.7%85.550.200.901.105.001.303.800.800.050.270.320.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.933.34-0.4764:1212.90
Mike ReillyCARD0.1%85.340.100.700.806.101.503.101.500.000.020.020.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.873.130.5661:0012.80
Trevor ZegrasPHILW85.7%84.970.901.602.507.502.101.502.800.210.400.610.000.000.000.207.8711.2141.3%1.143.690.1372:1821.30
Jordan MartinookCARLW4.3%84.950.600.901.506.604.602.301.200.000.000.010.050.030.090.121.732.02-0.932.930.5661:0016.40
Colton ParaykoSTLD37.4%84.680.200.801.005.304.505.100.600.010.020.030.010.020.030.030.000.00-1.063.550.5668:3014.70
Devon ToewsCOLD61.5%84.430.201.601.804.901.603.801.200.040.340.380.000.040.040.040.000.00-1.083.602.1671:0018.30
Filip HallanderPITC9.1%84.240.300.801.106.801.101.402.200.010.030.040.040.050.090.041.231.22-0.983.010.6461:3013.20
Ryan PulockNYID10.4%84.050.100.700.803.302.805.400.600.000.010.010.000.030.030.020.000.00-0.943.210.7062:4212.20
Shayne GostisbehereCARD95.7%84.010.702.203.009.602.003.901.400.331.081.410.000.000.000.140.000.00-1.173.840.5475:1828.40
Shea TheodoreLVD91.5%83.970.401.702.006.100.202.901.000.100.450.550.010.030.030.090.000.00-1.023.72-0.4868:4819.60
William EklundOTTLW79.4%83.570.901.702.6010.003.102.101.200.210.460.670.010.010.020.180.760.94-1.173.680.3876:0623.70
Filip HronekVAND90.8%83.540.201.401.604.205.305.001.200.050.400.450.000.030.040.030.000.00-1.053.75-0.4272:5416.20
Fabian ZetterlundOTTRW13.4%83.520.700.801.508.207.002.000.700.090.110.200.000.000.000.140.450.52-0.962.690.3258:0617.60
John MarinoUTAD17.7%83.450.101.201.302.000.903.100.600.010.070.080.000.030.030.020.000.00-0.883.251.5461:4211.90
Porter MartonePHIRW90.2%83.251.101.302.409.705.701.202.300.210.270.490.000.000.010.250.470.56-1.093.600.1266:5426.40
Neal PionkWPGD32.3%83.200.200.800.905.106.003.901.800.040.150.190.000.020.020.000.000.00-0.963.48-0.4167:3614.20
Rasmus DahlinBUFD99.8%82.990.601.602.206.602.703.502.500.220.620.840.000.010.010.170.000.00-1.093.85-0.5872:5422.50
Noah HanifinLVD52.7%82.960.400.901.205.701.603.800.700.030.090.120.010.020.030.090.000.00-1.043.50-0.5066:1815.50
Adam PelechNYID3.2%82.850.100.600.704.103.304.401.500.000.020.030.000.020.020.020.000.00-0.963.190.7063:0011.70
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTORD43.2%82.350.200.700.904.202.902.401.800.030.130.160.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.803.20-0.4659:4210.70
Josh MorrisseyWPGD98.9%82.310.401.501.906.301.503.901.000.120.510.630.000.010.010.000.000.00-0.963.76-0.4173:0020.50
Andrei SvechnikovCARLW97.0%82.131.502.504.0013.008.001.102.800.541.031.570.010.000.010.310.470.56-1.153.590.4969:1834.30
Justin FaulkDETD55.0%81.910.300.701.005.702.503.901.400.070.170.230.000.010.010.060.000.00-0.973.39-1.0666:5413.50
Noah DobsonMOND97.5%81.750.301.001.305.902.806.901.400.050.200.250.010.030.030.080.000.00-1.123.650.2268:3618.00
Dylan DeMeloWPGD5.7%81.610.100.600.602.704.003.501.100.000.010.010.000.020.020.000.000.00-0.963.37-0.4264:429.90
Trevor van RiemsdykPITD0.8%81.500.100.800.903.100.905.401.300.000.040.040.000.030.040.010.000.00-0.993.470.7168:1213.10
Vladislav GavrikovNYRD41.0%81.120.200.700.904.602.104.401.600.020.080.100.000.020.030.040.000.00-0.913.65-0.2369:2413.30
Adam FoxNYRD99.0%80.960.402.102.506.101.404.301.400.130.790.920.000.010.020.090.000.00-1.123.57-0.2169:5423.50
Matvei MichkovPHIRW85.6%80.960.901.402.308.101.501.303.000.190.320.500.000.000.000.200.530.63-1.043.410.1162:1219.60
Jacob TroubaSJD76.1%80.440.200.801.105.004.606.702.100.020.070.090.010.030.040.030.000.00-0.913.430.9265:3016.00
Matthew SchaeferNYID99.7%80.300.701.502.208.701.703.701.400.260.560.820.000.010.010.110.000.00-1.123.790.7074:0624.00
Jackson LaCombeANAD97.6%80.120.402.202.605.802.705.801.200.120.710.830.010.030.040.060.000.00-1.293.650.6470:4223.40
Mike MathesonMOND84.6%80.070.200.700.904.402.606.201.700.010.030.040.010.040.040.050.000.00-1.103.820.2574:0614.10
Roman JosiNSHD98.0%79.890.601.602.107.601.104.201.000.210.620.830.010.020.020.110.000.00-1.063.87-0.8275:0020.90
Evgeni MalkinPITC82.4%79.801.402.604.109.701.601.304.000.370.791.160.000.000.000.1910.5011.6647.4%1.263.860.6370:5431.90
Cam FowlerSTLD13.6%79.720.201.001.203.900.402.600.500.050.280.330.000.020.020.030.000.00-0.873.180.4864:2412.30
Warren FoegeleOTTLW4.0%79.570.700.501.208.103.901.201.100.050.040.090.040.020.060.140.981.16-0.963.090.3459:0615.70
Bowen ByramCHID96.2%79.450.401.201.604.802.004.801.500.090.300.390.000.020.020.050.000.00-0.953.45-0.3867:5417.20
Brandon CarloSTLD0.3%79.410.100.400.503.604.404.001.200.000.000.000.000.020.020.010.000.00-0.762.980.4757:009.70
Brady SkjeiNSHD18.4%79.400.200.700.904.401.902.901.100.020.090.120.010.020.030.040.000.00-1.023.53-0.8166:1810.30
Kaedan KorczakPITD7.5%79.160.001.201.203.805.604.301.300.000.030.030.000.020.020.000.000.00-0.833.300.6561:4813.90
Cale MakarCOLD99.8%79.141.003.004.008.701.605.100.800.371.291.660.010.040.050.200.000.00-1.223.842.0975:3034.80
Alexander RomanovNYID15.4%79.050.100.500.704.207.506.400.900.000.010.010.000.020.030.020.000.00-0.993.470.7364:5413.50
Dylan SambergWPGD4.0%78.960.100.600.704.102.504.501.000.000.010.010.000.020.020.000.000.00-0.983.27-0.4264:3013.10
Ben ChiarotDETD13.3%78.890.100.300.403.805.104.702.500.000.000.010.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.913.22-1.0963:129.10
Hampus LindholmBOSD16.7%78.600.300.801.004.600.704.001.800.050.140.180.010.020.030.070.000.00-1.003.43-0.2464:5413.40
Alex VlasicCHID9.0%78.480.100.400.503.301.405.700.700.000.000.000.000.010.020.010.000.00-1.033.46-0.4166:189.40
Brayden McNabbLVD23.8%78.360.100.600.703.505.305.701.200.000.010.010.000.020.020.020.000.00-0.893.16-0.4761:0613.70
Darnell NurseSJD68.8%78.300.300.801.105.704.406.203.700.010.030.040.010.020.020.040.000.00-0.923.360.9264:1816.20
Simon EdvinssonDETD42.3%78.230.300.701.003.703.304.802.900.010.030.040.010.010.020.060.000.00-0.973.42-1.1265:1213.60
Nick JensenANAD0.1%78.020.100.700.802.101.904.000.800.000.010.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.792.930.5856:369.80
Victor HedmanTBD92.7%77.990.300.901.207.101.604.301.000.080.250.330.000.010.020.060.000.00-0.923.420.3165:1818.10
Owen PowerBUFD53.4%77.820.201.001.203.800.903.900.700.030.140.170.000.020.020.060.000.00-0.903.34-0.5865:0013.00
Nikolaj EhlersCARLW92.9%77.651.302.403.7012.801.301.300.700.460.961.430.000.000.010.270.610.76-1.063.380.4766:2433.60
Declan CarlilePITD3.3%77.500.200.400.703.404.803.304.100.010.010.020.000.020.030.030.000.00-0.833.030.6359:3610.50
Thomas HarleyDALD88.2%77.140.501.201.604.701.804.401.000.110.290.400.010.010.020.090.000.00-1.173.73-0.3570:4817.40
Brent BurnsCOLD49.9%76.660.301.001.305.700.803.301.200.020.090.110.010.030.040.060.000.00-0.843.181.9059:4215.60
Philip BrobergSTLD66.2%76.370.301.501.804.801.803.000.600.040.220.260.010.050.060.040.000.00-0.923.490.5165:0617.20

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Ice time

Shifts follow ice time. Projected minutes are the main driver.

Time on Ice Projections

Line deployment

Moving up the lineup adds ice time and shifts immediately.

Line Combinations

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's shifts per 60 minutes (recent games weighted most, lightly shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time.
Shift counts start in 2025-26 and are incomplete: 65 regular-season games of 2025-26 and all of its playoff games have no shift data, so totals for those games are missing.
Forwards change more often and take shorter shifts, so they get more shifts per minute played.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

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