Edgehalla

NHL Projected Shifts This Week

A handful of leagues count shifts. Our projection multiplies each player's shifts per 60 minutes by LineupExperts' projected ice time. Shift rate is one of the most stable usage stats (about 0.85 year to year), so the ranking mostly follows ice time and how short a player's shifts are. Shift data starts in 2025-26 and has gaps, noted below (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1)). (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

Fantasy Week 1: Sep 28 - Oct 4(Mon-Sun)
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 5:30 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 685 players

Rate

shifts per 60 minutes of ice time, recent games weighted most and shrunk very lightly (about 10 minutes of weight) toward the position average: the player's own rate settles fast.

Projected shifts = rate × projected ice time ÷ 60.

Data coverage

Shift counts start in 2025-26 and are incomplete: 65 regular-season games of 2025-26 and all of its playoff games have no shift data, so totals for those games are missing.

Track record

in our 2025-26 backtest the projection beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with the top three deciles within 2% of actual totals.

💡
Pro Tip: Defensemen take longer shifts than forwards, so at equal ice time a forward projects more shifts.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Shifts(Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

637 players
Show

Skaters100 of 637

PlayerTeamPosRost%SFT† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOIFPTS
Filip HronekVAND90.8%111.390.502.603.105.905.606.702.100.120.750.870.010.060.070.030.000.01-1.395.00-0.7797:1226.20
Vladislav GavrikovNYRD41.0%108.120.200.901.104.302.306.001.800.020.100.120.000.030.030.040.000.00-1.214.86-0.6592:3015.50
Adam FoxNYRD99.0%107.830.402.502.905.801.605.901.600.130.941.070.000.020.020.080.000.00-1.494.76-0.5993:0627.70
Marcus PetterssonNYRD6.6%101.630.100.600.803.003.707.602.300.000.020.020.000.020.020.020.000.00-1.274.52-0.6286:2413.10
Sean DurziNYRD38.3%100.340.401.101.404.502.206.502.700.080.230.310.010.020.020.080.000.00-1.094.08-0.5378:3617.00
J.T. MillerNYRC91.8%100.100.901.802.706.907.302.502.600.220.500.720.030.030.060.1831.6322.9058.0%1.264.06-0.4776:4822.70
Rasmus AnderssonLVD93.7%97.280.401.101.506.801.305.101.900.080.240.320.010.020.030.050.000.00-0.993.670.3570:0616.80
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.3%96.981.001.702.708.803.702.600.900.280.520.800.040.030.080.2027.8525.0452.7%1.414.29-0.4979:4224.40
Braden SchneiderNYRD19.6%94.830.200.600.704.307.307.301.400.010.050.060.010.020.020.040.000.00-1.044.01-0.5475:4214.60
MacKenzie WeegarUTAD92.5%94.330.201.001.105.407.905.001.700.040.210.250.000.020.020.030.000.00-1.073.810.7769:3014.80
Elias PetterssonVANC87.4%92.251.102.503.607.004.505.800.900.290.741.030.050.040.090.0834.8737.6048.1%1.323.76-0.5675:4229.10
Travis SanheimPHID67.3%90.890.301.001.303.702.506.801.100.030.110.140.010.030.040.050.000.00-1.094.040.0873:2416.20
Tom WillanderVAND24.9%90.760.301.401.703.402.005.701.700.060.290.350.000.020.020.020.000.00-0.973.48-0.5668:4813.60
Mikhail SergachevUTAD98.3%89.200.402.002.506.102.403.901.300.130.720.840.010.050.060.070.000.00-1.153.860.7773:4822.00
Kevin BahlCGYD4.8%88.770.100.400.502.405.103.202.900.000.010.020.000.010.020.020.000.00-1.063.37-1.1565:067.10
Zeev BuiumVAND73.0%88.260.301.401.604.701.504.202.400.080.390.470.000.000.000.020.000.00-1.024.16-0.6177:4213.50
Chris TanevTORD6.0%87.810.000.500.502.300.606.100.700.000.000.000.000.040.040.000.000.00-0.893.07-0.3659:4812.50
Jake McCabeTORD34.0%87.640.100.800.903.303.606.302.100.000.030.030.000.040.040.020.000.00-0.923.37-0.3965:1214.20
Brock BoeserVANRW63.9%86.811.601.703.307.902.801.800.600.400.530.930.030.010.040.112.613.36-1.113.91-0.5574:4224.80
Jake DebruskVANRW48.8%85.841.201.202.409.103.202.201.000.340.330.670.020.010.030.080.740.90-1.023.03-0.4967:1822.10
Jamie OleksiakVAND7.1%85.790.300.701.003.205.106.802.100.010.020.030.010.020.030.020.000.00-1.063.89-0.6272:0014.70
Morgan RiellyTORD75.7%85.550.201.101.405.801.204.300.800.050.320.380.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.933.34-0.3564:1215.00
Yan KuznetsovCGYD7.2%85.100.200.400.503.504.904.201.300.000.000.010.000.010.020.040.000.00-0.813.12-1.0860:308.60
Will CuylleNYRLW63.6%84.970.800.801.606.6013.603.103.000.130.150.270.040.020.060.161.832.09-0.863.08-0.4162:0018.50
Alexis LafreniereNYRRW81.8%84.860.901.402.207.304.101.901.400.220.360.580.000.000.000.180.901.15-1.193.39-0.4269:1819.90
Cameron YorkPHID20.5%84.610.201.001.203.201.806.801.200.050.240.290.010.030.030.030.000.00-0.903.410.0765:3615.00
Aaron EkbladFLAD49.6%84.490.201.001.204.104.003.702.100.060.330.390.000.020.030.040.010.02-0.943.48-0.3868:4213.80
Shea TheodoreLVD91.5%83.970.402.102.607.200.203.300.800.100.560.660.010.030.040.050.000.00-1.023.720.3468:4823.80
John MarinoUTAD17.7%83.450.101.101.202.201.202.300.600.010.070.070.000.020.030.020.000.00-0.883.250.7261:4211.90
Noah HanifinLVD52.7%82.960.401.101.506.801.704.200.500.030.100.140.010.020.030.050.000.00-1.043.500.3566:1818.40
Eeli TolvanenNYRLW35.5%82.710.800.701.405.608.604.101.300.150.150.300.030.010.040.160.160.20-0.922.84-0.3960:1816.90
Seth JonesFLAD79.8%82.510.301.201.505.703.303.601.000.130.540.670.000.020.020.060.000.00-1.103.79-0.3773:5415.90
Luke SchennVAND7.3%82.480.000.500.602.9010.705.503.000.000.000.000.000.020.020.000.000.00-0.823.15-0.5259:369.30
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTORD43.2%82.350.200.901.104.902.502.701.900.030.170.200.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.803.20-0.3459:4212.50
Rasmus RistolainenPHID8.3%82.300.200.801.003.704.405.100.900.030.110.130.000.020.020.030.000.00-0.933.200.0763:1813.50
Gustav ForslingFLAD41.5%82.200.300.801.105.402.503.601.300.040.110.150.010.030.040.060.000.00-1.013.35-0.4168:4815.20
Marco RossiVANC59.7%81.981.302.003.406.003.002.701.700.270.510.780.020.010.030.0922.2523.1649.0%1.123.33-0.5370:2424.40
Gabriel PerreaultNYRRW52.9%81.350.801.101.905.301.902.000.800.110.180.290.000.000.000.160.340.40-0.963.00-0.4263:0617.30
K'Andre MillerCARD64.0%80.580.301.001.305.605.004.102.100.070.240.310.010.020.030.040.010.02-1.173.43-0.2667:0615.30
Bowen ByramCHID96.2%79.450.401.401.903.601.703.801.300.090.350.440.000.020.020.070.000.00-0.953.45-0.9967:5416.70
Elias PetterssonVAND14.1%79.430.300.500.702.606.705.602.600.010.020.030.010.020.020.020.000.00-0.803.05-0.5057:4810.10
Niko MikkolaFLAD4.9%79.340.100.400.603.505.403.602.100.000.010.020.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.903.21-0.3760:3010.00
Jaccob SlavinCARD16.1%78.850.100.600.805.401.004.900.400.000.010.010.000.020.020.010.000.00-1.133.37-0.2766:1814.90
Hampus LindholmBOSD16.7%78.600.200.700.903.900.903.901.700.030.120.150.010.020.030.050.000.00-1.003.43-0.6264:5412.00
Alex VlasicCHID9.0%78.480.100.500.502.501.204.500.600.000.000.000.000.020.020.020.000.00-1.033.46-1.0666:187.70
Brayden McNabbLVD23.8%78.360.200.700.904.205.506.301.000.000.010.010.010.030.030.020.000.00-0.893.160.3361:0616.40
Jake WalmanEDMD32.6%78.020.400.701.205.801.605.201.400.070.130.210.000.010.010.060.000.00-0.923.26-0.3461:0615.50
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%77.721.002.403.409.101.503.701.300.391.091.480.010.030.040.150.000.00-1.093.94-0.3673:3032.50
Drew O'ConnorVANLW5.9%77.670.800.901.705.703.502.701.900.040.040.080.040.020.070.062.602.89-0.972.83-0.5058:4814.50
Pavel DorofeyevNYRRW92.5%77.431.301.102.4010.201.302.001.300.410.350.760.000.000.000.270.100.12-1.063.17-0.4067:5425.80
Jamie DrysdalePHID55.2%77.300.301.001.203.500.904.901.100.070.270.340.000.000.000.050.000.00-0.833.140.0662:4212.80
Noah LabaNYRC11.2%77.150.400.701.103.605.602.602.100.020.050.070.020.020.040.0817.6617.8849.7%0.812.50-0.3853:4211.40
Mattias EkholmEDMD77.1%76.910.201.101.305.302.804.101.300.010.090.100.000.030.030.030.000.00-0.923.48-0.3764:0017.20
Nate SchmidtUTAD4.9%75.930.100.800.902.803.302.600.700.010.090.100.000.020.030.020.000.00-0.772.770.6354:1810.90
Jalen ChatfieldCARD4.1%75.340.200.400.604.702.403.001.400.000.000.010.010.010.020.030.000.00-0.993.07-0.2559:3611.40
Nikita ZadorovBOSD39.0%75.280.100.500.703.608.503.504.300.000.000.010.000.020.020.020.000.00-0.933.25-0.6261:5411.20
Ian ColeCHID4.9%75.180.100.500.501.702.005.301.600.000.000.000.000.020.020.020.000.00-0.773.06-0.9156:549.40
Vincent TrocheckUTAC88.5%74.440.801.402.206.209.401.901.500.170.360.530.050.030.080.1329.2722.1556.9%1.043.200.6562:4218.90
Joel HanleyCGYD0.0%74.040.000.200.201.702.303.001.800.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.682.57-0.8849:125.90
Sean WalkerCARD60.5%73.770.300.801.107.505.704.902.600.040.120.170.010.030.030.040.000.00-0.943.06-0.2358:3616.40
Travis KonecnyPHIRW91.6%73.340.901.702.605.904.801.702.300.180.400.580.020.020.040.151.131.41-0.883.090.0658:4219.70
Mikael BacklundCGYC13.7%73.170.400.501.006.501.500.900.900.030.050.080.040.020.060.0827.1527.3449.8%0.942.80-0.9354:5412.10
Simon BenoitPHID4.9%73.150.000.200.202.109.105.102.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.682.710.0650:487.30
Vince DunnSEAD89.4%72.680.601.502.206.001.403.902.600.190.560.750.000.000.000.090.000.00-0.973.390.2465:3019.80
Brady TkachukFLALW99.6%72.661.001.102.1010.709.001.103.600.340.420.760.010.000.010.197.666.9552.4%0.822.48-0.2553:2422.90
Connor MurphyEDMD6.0%72.650.100.500.603.204.805.702.800.010.030.040.000.020.020.020.000.00-0.782.96-0.3357:1811.30
Chandler StephensonSEAC16.9%72.630.701.502.203.300.902.300.800.170.400.570.050.050.100.1028.3626.4751.7%1.022.700.2157:4215.60
Sam ReinhartFLARW99.5%72.521.401.202.607.403.401.900.700.510.480.980.060.020.070.274.736.0244.0%0.942.90-0.3063:1823.90
Nick SeelerPHID8.1%71.930.100.300.502.905.107.501.900.000.000.000.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.702.650.0652:1212.50
Brandon MontourSEAD82.8%71.740.501.101.607.504.004.402.600.120.280.410.000.010.010.070.000.00-1.063.600.2668:3018.10
Adam LarssonSEAD22.6%71.690.200.700.903.604.306.801.600.000.020.020.010.030.040.030.000.00-0.853.150.2763:4814.90
Andrew PeekeUTAD6.5%71.340.100.600.703.405.204.400.700.000.030.030.000.020.020.020.000.00-0.772.920.6656:129.80
Ryan LindgrenSEAD0.1%71.100.100.500.602.202.205.302.200.000.010.020.000.030.030.010.010.02-0.782.970.2456:3610.50
Jeremy LauzonLVD23.7%71.100.100.400.504.0011.303.703.200.000.010.010.000.010.020.010.000.00-0.702.650.2852:069.10
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%70.901.501.502.9013.801.703.800.700.370.410.780.050.020.070.3027.9220.8657.2%1.052.83-0.3262:1233.30
William BorgenBOSD4.1%70.870.100.400.502.505.103.601.300.000.000.000.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.812.70-0.5352:488.10
Zach WhitecloudCGYD7.3%70.720.100.400.502.905.504.901.400.000.000.010.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.762.92-1.0156:489.30
Radko GudasFLAD24.5%70.700.100.400.502.909.104.803.000.000.010.010.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.722.80-0.3353:549.90
Nick SchmaltzUTARW93.8%70.521.201.502.707.400.901.400.500.300.410.710.060.030.080.2014.1415.6047.5%1.092.920.5857:4223.50
Linus KarlssonVANRW10.6%70.410.901.402.206.003.901.502.100.170.280.440.010.010.010.061.451.60-0.772.39-0.3849:0615.60
Wyatt KaiserCHID6.5%70.070.100.400.602.301.703.700.900.000.010.010.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.953.05-0.9157:187.30
Aatu RatyVANC10.4%70.020.600.701.303.809.101.201.500.010.010.030.030.020.040.0425.7919.0257.6%0.732.18-0.4046:1210.60
Alberts SmitsNYRD34.7%69.980.100.500.602.402.704.001.600.000.000.000.000.000.000.020.000.00-0.712.67-0.3751:009.40
Connor McDavidEDMC99.9%69.841.803.705.5011.002.201.101.700.511.482.000.070.040.110.2817.3317.4749.8%1.103.78-0.3468:4843.20
Oliver BjorkstrandNYRRW19.6%69.540.500.901.405.303.602.000.800.130.230.360.000.000.000.100.380.45-0.922.57-0.3557:0014.30
Dmitry KulikovFLAD3.2%69.430.100.500.602.404.203.201.700.000.010.010.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.802.75-0.3352:368.70
Sebastian AhoCARC98.8%69.371.201.702.909.602.401.002.300.410.651.060.050.040.090.1823.7121.9451.9%0.993.20-0.2060:3026.20
Jacob MiddletonCGYD5.7%69.260.100.400.503.004.804.403.400.000.000.000.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.772.90-1.0458:249.50
Jordan StaalCARC20.0%68.910.500.601.105.207.102.001.200.070.090.170.040.020.060.0732.3427.1354.4%0.742.20-0.1848:3013.00
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.9%68.532.102.504.509.801.800.901.600.670.921.590.030.010.040.3228.1223.3354.7%1.053.64-0.3165:0037.80
Jack EichelLVC98.9%68.521.602.904.5012.201.401.700.500.411.081.490.060.040.110.2023.1925.1048.0%1.113.480.2863:2438.50
Mitch MarnerLVRW98.8%68.451.102.703.807.201.301.600.600.290.901.180.050.050.100.144.486.0042.7%1.153.400.2862:4229.20
Clayton KellerUTALW99.9%68.291.002.503.508.100.401.001.100.240.851.090.000.000.000.160.540.66-0.923.040.5757:1827.50
Brendan GallagherVANRW3.3%68.140.600.701.405.804.301.702.700.070.090.160.010.000.010.040.280.32-0.792.47-0.4251:4813.30
Mason LohreiBOSD21.8%67.790.200.600.802.901.203.200.700.040.130.170.000.000.000.050.000.00-0.792.94-0.5154:428.40
Liam OhgrenVANLW16.9%67.480.801.201.905.603.903.200.300.060.110.170.040.030.070.060.440.52-0.822.68-0.4351:3615.60
Sean CouturierPHIC9.2%67.380.400.801.204.003.501.701.200.030.060.080.030.030.060.0723.9120.3154.1%0.872.460.0550:5410.80
Tyson FoersterPHILW41.7%67.351.000.801.705.903.502.601.600.200.170.370.040.020.050.170.080.09-0.822.330.0551:1816.80
William NylanderTORRW99.1%67.201.201.703.0010.500.501.100.600.300.490.800.010.010.020.241.822.27-0.992.93-0.3058:3026.70
Artyom LevshunovCHID45.1%67.170.100.700.803.103.103.101.400.020.180.200.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.953.24-0.8759:367.90

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Ice time

Shifts follow ice time. Projected minutes are the main driver.

Time on Ice Projections

Line deployment

Moving up the lineup adds ice time and shifts immediately.

Line Combinations

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's shifts per 60 minutes (recent games weighted most, lightly shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time.
Shift counts start in 2025-26 and are incomplete: 65 regular-season games of 2025-26 and all of its playoff games have no shift data, so totals for those games are missing.
Forwards change more often and take shorter shifts, so they get more shifts per minute played.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

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