NHL Goalie Projections This Week
This Week's projected goaltender stats for confirmed and expected starters. Wins, losses, saves, goals against and save percentage come from LineupExperts' projection; minutes and goals-against average are Edgehalla estimates built on it (Oct 12-18 (Week 3)). (Oct 12-18 (Week 3))
Actual results: Wins leaders, 2025-26 →
Player Projections(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))
55 playersGoalies55 of 55
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | GS | W ↓ | L | OTL | SV | GA | SA | SV% | GAA† | MIN† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | VGK | G | 27.3% | 3.00 | 2.02 | 0.84 | 0.25 | 69.8 | 7.7 | 77.5 | 90.1% | 2.57 | 179:23 | 29.30 |
| Carter Hart | VGK | G | 89.0% | 3.00 | 1.92 | 0.88 | 0.20 | 69.9 | 7.6 | 77.6 | 90.2% | 2.55 | 179:32 | 28.76 |
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | G | 88.9% | 3.00 | 1.87 | 0.89 | 0.24 | 68.8 | 7.2 | 75.9 | 90.6% | 2.40 | 179:01 | 29.92 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | G | 96.4% | 3.00 | 1.78 | 1.10 | 0.32 | 75.3 | 8.0 | 83.3 | 90.4% | 2.66 | 180:04 | 30.33 |
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | G | 91.8% | 3.00 | 1.75 | 0.84 | 0.31 | 64.4 | 7.8 | 72.2 | 89.2% | 2.61 | 178:36 | 25.46 |
| Akira Schmid | FLA | G | 24.4% | 3.00 | 1.71 | 0.97 | 0.32 | 68.6 | 8.1 | 76.7 | 89.4% | 2.66 | 182:33 | 26.02 |
| Jake Allen | NJD | G | 53.8% | 3.00 | 1.61 | 1.04 | 0.24 | 69.2 | 8.0 | 77.2 | 89.7% | 2.66 | 180:05 | 26.07 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | BUF | G | 66.1% | 3.00 | 1.49 | 1.06 | 0.35 | 70.3 | 8.5 | 78.8 | 89.3% | 2.81 | 180:59 | 24.73 |
| Calvin Pickard | MIN | G | 4.1% | 3.00 | 1.43 | 1.53 | 0.14 | 72.3 | 8.8 | 81.1 | 89.2% | 2.93 | 180:21 | 24.29 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | G | 10.6% | 3.00 | 1.39 | 1.21 | 0.30 | 67.7 | 8.8 | 76.5 | 88.5% | 2.91 | 181:03 | 21.87 |
| Colten Ellis | BUF | G | 16.3% | 3.00 | 1.34 | 1.06 | 0.30 | 70.9 | 8.4 | 79.3 | 89.4% | 2.81 | 179:13 | 25.50 |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | G | 91.0% | 2.00 | 1.34 | 0.54 | 0.12 | 46.2 | 5.2 | 51.5 | 89.8% | 2.62 | 119:51 | 19.25 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TBL | G | 99.2% | 2.00 | 1.27 | 0.62 | 0.12 | 43.1 | 5.0 | 48.1 | 89.7% | 2.49 | 119:37 | 17.97 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | G | 53.7% | 2.00 | 1.25 | 0.61 | 0.14 | 45.4 | 4.9 | 50.3 | 90.3% | 2.43 | 120:01 | 19.33 |
| Jacob Fowler | MTL | G | 52.3% | 2.00 | 1.15 | 0.80 | 0.14 | 47.5 | 5.2 | 52.6 | 90.2% | 2.58 | 120:06 | 19.22 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | G | 83.2% | 2.00 | 1.12 | 0.89 | 0.19 | 49.4 | 5.8 | 55.2 | 89.5% | 2.91 | 119:30 | 17.69 |
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | G | 99.1% | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.71 | 0.19 | 45.5 | 4.7 | 50.2 | 90.6% | 2.37 | 119:46 | 19.73 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | G | 97.9% | 2.00 | 1.09 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 45.7 | 5.8 | 51.5 | 88.8% | 2.87 | 120:34 | 16.13 |
| John Gibson | DET | G | 63.9% | 2.00 | 1.08 | 0.89 | 0.23 | 47.4 | 5.4 | 52.8 | 89.7% | 2.74 | 118:30 | 17.74 |
| Anton Forsberg | LAK | G | 20.9% | 2.00 | 1.08 | 0.74 | 0.18 | 45.3 | 5.7 | 51.1 | 88.8% | 2.83 | 121:32 | 15.96 |
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | G | 36.4% | 2.00 | 1.07 | 0.87 | 0.15 | 51.7 | 5.6 | 57.3 | 90.2% | 2.83 | 119:34 | 19.86 |
| Logan Thompson | WSH | G | 99.8% | 2.00 | 1.06 | 0.69 | 0.15 | 54.5 | 5.6 | 60.1 | 90.7% | 2.81 | 119:45 | 21.84 |
| Darcy Kuemper | LAK | G | 51.2% | 2.00 | 1.04 | 0.88 | 0.18 | 45.8 | 5.8 | 51.6 | 88.8% | 2.93 | 118:40 | 15.78 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | G | 97.3% | 2.00 | 1.03 | 0.86 | 0.20 | 46.8 | 5.3 | 52.1 | 89.8% | 2.66 | 119:48 | 18.17 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | G | 54.0% | 2.00 | 1.03 | 0.81 | 0.16 | 53.1 | 6.0 | 59.1 | 89.8% | 3.02 | 119:54 | 18.99 |
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | G | 62.1% | 2.00 | 0.99 | 0.80 | 0.21 | 50.1 | 5.6 | 55.6 | 90.0% | 2.79 | 119:43 | 18.16 |
| Jet Greaves | CBJ | G | 79.8% | 2.00 | 0.99 | 0.81 | 0.20 | 46.4 | 4.9 | 51.3 | 90.4% | 2.46 | 120:32 | 18.41 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | G | 96.6% | 2.00 | 0.96 | 0.78 | 0.16 | 50.7 | 5.3 | 56.0 | 90.5% | 2.66 | 119:55 | 20.10 |
| Juuse Saros | NSH | G | 85.3% | 2.00 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 51.5 | 6.2 | 57.7 | 89.3% | 3.09 | 119:36 | 17.44 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | G | 83.0% | 2.00 | 0.95 | 0.80 | 0.25 | 45.0 | 4.6 | 49.7 | 90.6% | 2.32 | 120:02 | 19.02 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | G | 73.3% | 2.00 | 0.92 | 1.06 | 0.21 | 50.4 | 6.1 | 56.4 | 89.3% | 3.03 | 119:52 | 16.70 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | G | 84.8% | 2.00 | 0.86 | 0.99 | 0.26 | 52.5 | 6.0 | 58.5 | 89.7% | 3.02 | 119:48 | 18.00 |
| Matt Murray | NSH | G | 0.1% | 2.00 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 39.5 | 4.6 | 44.1 | 89.6% | 3.65 | 75:38 | 14.53 |
| Clay Stevenson | WPG | G | 11.4% | 2.00 | 0.85 | 0.35 | 0.20 | 38.7 | 4.4 | 43.2 | 89.7% | 3.45 | 77:25 | 14.03 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | G | 67.3% | 2.00 | 0.84 | 0.89 | 0.17 | 49.7 | 5.2 | 54.9 | 90.4% | 2.64 | 119:16 | 18.92 |
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | G | 15.2% | 2.00 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.21 | 50.1 | 5.4 | 55.5 | 90.2% | 2.70 | 120:48 | 18.14 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | G | 53.2% | 2.00 | 0.84 | 0.40 | 0.16 | 42.9 | 4.2 | 47.1 | 91.1% | 2.98 | 84:06 | 18.21 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | G | 74.8% | 2.00 | 0.81 | 0.97 | 0.21 | 48.9 | 6.4 | 55.3 | 88.5% | 3.20 | 119:13 | 14.17 |
| Cam Talbot | CBJ | G | 6.6% | 2.00 | 0.79 | 1.14 | 0.17 | 48.5 | 5.6 | 54.2 | 89.6% | 2.80 | 120:33 | 15.93 |
| Daniel Vladar | PHI | G | 61.4% | 2.00 | 0.75 | 0.99 | 0.26 | 51.4 | 6.0 | 57.4 | 89.5% | 3.02 | 119:47 | 16.86 |
| Scott Wedgewood | COL | G | 88.9% | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.33 | 0.09 | 23.3 | 2.4 | 25.7 | 90.6% | 2.43 | 59:55 | 10.65 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | G | 54.5% | 2.00 | 0.63 | 1.16 | 0.21 | 51.8 | 6.9 | 58.7 | 88.3% | 3.46 | 119:23 | 14.22 |
| Connor Hellebuyck | WPG | G | 91.3% | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.8 | 3.0 | 33.7 | 91.1% | 3.00 | 59:56 | 12.80 |
| Brandon Bussi | CAR | G | 93.8% | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.31 | 0.09 | 22.5 | 2.6 | 25.1 | 89.6% | 2.61 | 60:03 | 8.72 |
| Leevi Merilainen | VAN | G | 20.4% | 2.00 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 0.17 | 45.5 | 5.8 | 51.3 | 88.7% | 3.88 | 89:50 | 12.37 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | G | 11.5% | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.36 | 0.09 | 24.0 | 2.8 | 26.8 | 89.5% | 2.80 | 60:23 | 8.86 |
| Sergei Murashov | PIT | G | 61.8% | 2.00 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.22 | 42.5 | 5.0 | 47.5 | 89.5% | 3.59 | 83:19 | 13.52 |
| Jakub Dobes | MTL | G | 93.0% | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 24.5 | 2.9 | 27.4 | 89.4% | 2.91 | 59:55 | 8.85 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | G | 22.4% | 2.00 | 0.49 | 0.84 | 0.17 | 41.5 | 5.9 | 47.5 | 87.5% | 4.83 | 73:46 | 9.60 |
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | G | 26.1% | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 25.5 | 3.0 | 28.6 | 89.4% | 3.03 | 60:01 | 8.66 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | SJS | G | 16.7% | 1.00 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.11 | 25.0 | 2.9 | 27.9 | 89.5% | 2.90 | 60:24 | 8.37 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | G | 15.6% | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.11 | 25.2 | 2.7 | 28.0 | 90.2% | 2.74 | 60:06 | 9.17 |
| Jordan Binnington | STL | G | 26.8% | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.10 | 22.7 | 2.7 | 25.4 | 89.4% | 2.69 | 59:55 | 7.76 |
| Joseph Woll | PHI | G | 39.4% | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.16 | 26.3 | 2.9 | 29.2 | 90.1% | 2.89 | 59:55 | 9.08 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | G | 57.0% | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.50 | 0.11 | 25.1 | 3.2 | 28.3 | 88.8% | 3.18 | 59:56 | 7.88 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Goalie shots against, saves, goals against, SV%, GAA, wins and OTL are an Edgehalla blend: LineupExperts' goalie line averaged 50/50 with Edgehalla's own goalie model.
Why goalies are crucial
A single goalie start can swing your entire fantasy week. Wins, saves, save percentage, and shutouts are high-impact stats that require careful matchup analysis.
Key factors in goalie projections
- Team strength: Goalies on better teams win more games - Opponent offense: Facing weak offenses = better SV% and shutout odds - Workload: More shots against = more save opportunities - Home/away: Most goalies perform better at home
Goalie streaming strategy
Target backup goalies facing weak opponents when your starter has an off-night.
Confirmed Starting Goalies
Need to know who's confirmed to start this week? Our dedicated starting goalies page shows confirmation status, certainty levels, and opponent matchup ratings.
Starting Goalies This WeekBest Goalie Matchups This Week
Win probability isn't everything—look at opponent shot volume and quality. Goalies facing high-quantity, low-quality shots can rack up saves while maintaining good SV%.
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Shutout ProjectionsRelated Projections
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