NHL Projected Shorthanded Points This Week

Shorthanded points count in some Yahoo and ESPN leagues and earn bonuses on DraftKings and FanDuel. This page ranks players by projected shorthanded goals plus shorthanded assists. Both are small, high-variance numbers driven mainly by penalty-kill ice time (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1)). (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

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Fantasy Week 1: Sep 28 - Oct 4(Mon-Sun)

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 4:27 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 685 players

SHP = projected SHG + projected SHA. LineupExperts projects each player's goals, assists and ice time. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.

Shrunk hard toward league averages. Shorthanded scoring rates barely repeat year to year, so penalty-kill minutes matter far more than a player's past shorthanded points.

Team check. Each team's shorthanded goals and assists are scaled to the league's shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists.

Variance warning

leaders project for a few shorthanded points per season. In our backtest the league total was right within a few percent, but the top deciles missed our ±10% calibration bar in 2025-26.

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Pro Tip: Treat SHP as a tiebreaker between similar players, favouring the one with steady penalty-kill minutes.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

Shorthanded scoring is rare and streaky: even the leaders score only a few a season. These projections are driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time, with each team’s total held to the league’s shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists. How the model works

Sorted by Projected Short Handed Points(Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

637 players

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Skaters100 of 637

Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	SHP^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Lawson Crouse	UTA	RW	35.8%	0.12	0.70	0.90	1.60	5.30	9.20	1.50	1.30	0.08	0.12	0.20	0.07	0.04	0.11	1.14	1.44	-	0.73	2.13	0.52	46:00	64.98	15.40
Ben Meyers	SEA	C	0.0%	0.11	0.40	0.60	0.90	2.90	3.60	0.80	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.07	0.04	0.06	9.96	8.92	52.8%	0.56	1.68	0.15	34:30	49.75	6.80
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.9%	0.11	1.80	3.70	5.50	11.00	2.20	1.10	1.70	0.51	1.48	2.00	0.07	0.04	0.28	17.33	17.47	49.8%	1.10	3.78	-0.34	68:48	69.84	43.20
Jack Eichel	LV	C	98.9%	0.11	1.60	2.90	4.50	12.20	1.40	1.70	0.50	0.41	1.08	1.49	0.06	0.04	0.20	23.19	25.10	48.0%	1.11	3.48	0.28	63:24	68.52	38.50
Chandler Stephenson	SEA	C	16.9%	0.10	0.70	1.50	2.20	3.30	0.90	2.30	0.80	0.17	0.40	0.57	0.05	0.05	0.10	28.36	26.47	51.7%	1.02	2.70	0.21	57:42	72.63	15.60
Mitch Marner	LV	RW	98.8%	0.10	1.10	2.70	3.80	7.20	1.30	1.60	0.60	0.29	0.90	1.18	0.05	0.05	0.14	4.48	6.00	42.7%	1.15	3.40	0.28	62:42	68.45	29.20
Tye Kartye	NYR	LW	7.2%	0.10	0.40	0.50	0.90	3.70	11.10	2.80	2.60	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.04	0.08	0.43	0.53	-	0.71	2.01	-0.32	44:06	62.81	9.40
Blake Lizotte	PIT	C	0.1%	0.10	0.30	0.50	0.80	2.40	1.50	1.20	0.70	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.04	0.04	8.17	8.08	50.3%	0.42	1.31	0.35	26:30	36.84	6.80
Teddy Blueger	TOR	C	4.8%	0.09	0.20	0.70	0.90	3.90	3.40	1.70	1.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.04	16.17	17.03	48.7%	0.69	2.17	-0.26	43:54	59.57	8.30
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	98.8%	0.09	1.20	1.70	2.90	9.60	2.40	1.00	2.30	0.41	0.65	1.06	0.05	0.04	0.18	23.71	21.94	51.9%	0.99	3.20	-0.20	60:30	69.37	26.20
Elias Pettersson	VAN	C	87.4%	0.09	1.10	2.50	3.60	7.00	4.50	5.80	0.90	0.29	0.74	1.03	0.05	0.04	0.08	34.87	37.60	48.1%	1.32	3.76	-0.56	75:42	92.25	29.10
Brock Nelson	COL	C	87.7%	0.09	0.80	0.90	1.70	4.90	0.70	1.50	0.60	0.22	0.29	0.51	0.06	0.03	0.12	16.86	16.81	50.1%	0.60	1.76	0.88	38:06	46.66	15.70
Parker Kelly	COL	LW	10.7%	0.08	0.40	0.60	0.90	2.70	3.80	1.70	0.60	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.06	3.31	4.20	44.1%	0.40	1.26	0.68	25:24	36.59	9.30
Nick Schmaltz	UTA	RW	93.8%	0.08	1.20	1.50	2.70	7.40	0.90	1.40	0.50	0.30	0.41	0.71	0.06	0.03	0.20	14.14	15.60	47.5%	1.09	2.92	0.58	57:42	70.52	23.50
Connor Dewar	PIT	LW	4.2%	0.08	0.30	0.40	0.70	3.00	3.00	1.30	0.60	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.04	1.58	1.66	-	0.39	1.19	0.35	26:06	35.14	7.40
Alex Tuch	WAS	RW	93.9%	0.08	0.70	0.60	1.30	3.80	2.00	2.60	1.40	0.09	0.09	0.18	0.06	0.03	0.12	1.52	1.90	-	0.72	1.81	0.49	38:18	50.41	13.60
Alex Formenton	EDM	LW	9.6%	0.08	0.50	0.50	1.00	6.30	5.10	1.10	2.40	0.04	0.05	0.09	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.16	0.19	-	0.70	2.15	-0.25	44:24	66.19	12.10
Justin Danforth	BUF	C	0.0%	0.08	0.30	0.40	0.70	2.90	3.90	1.20	0.50	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.04	9.72	10.66	47.7%	0.45	1.39	0.78	28:30	38.36	6.80
Frederick Gaudreau	SEA	C	0.2%	0.08	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.40	1.50	2.70	0.40	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.06	14.95	17.17	46.6%	0.80	2.14	0.20	47:00	62.83	10.50
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.3%	0.08	1.00	1.70	2.70	8.80	3.70	2.60	0.90	0.28	0.52	0.80	0.04	0.03	0.20	27.85	25.04	52.7%	1.41	4.29	-0.49	79:42	96.98	24.40
Vincent Trocheck	UTA	C	88.5%	0.08	0.80	1.40	2.20	6.20	9.40	1.90	1.50	0.17	0.36	0.53	0.05	0.03	0.13	29.27	22.15	56.9%	1.04	3.20	0.65	62:42	74.44	18.90
Ryan McLeod	BUF	C	26.1%	0.08	0.40	0.90	1.30	2.50	0.50	0.60	0.30	0.06	0.17	0.24	0.04	0.03	0.05	14.60	15.34	48.8%	0.59	1.76	0.83	33:18	45.81	9.20
William Karlsson	LV	C	24.2%	0.07	0.80	1.00	1.70	6.90	1.20	2.00	0.50	0.09	0.12	0.21	0.05	0.03	0.10	22.86	17.43	56.7%	0.84	2.41	0.26	51:00	63.64	19.40
Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	99.5%	0.07	1.40	1.20	2.60	7.40	3.40	1.90	0.70	0.51	0.48	0.98	0.06	0.02	0.27	4.73	6.02	44.0%	0.94	2.90	-0.30	63:18	72.52	23.90
Aliaksei Protas	WAS	LW	59.3%	0.07	0.60	0.60	1.10	3.20	0.80	1.20	0.60	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.10	0.74	0.87	-	0.57	1.75	0.46	34:36	43.70	10.70
Nic Dowd	LV	C	3.2%	0.07	0.40	0.60	1.00	2.90	5.70	2.00	1.90	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.05	19.47	20.01	49.3%	0.71	2.06	0.23	43:30	60.44	9.10
Anton Lundell	FLA	C	45.5%	0.07	0.60	1.00	1.60	6.00	4.00	1.70	1.30	0.18	0.35	0.53	0.04	0.03	0.11	23.60	21.59	52.2%	0.79	2.60	-0.26	52:30	66.68	16.80
Filip Hronek	VAN	D	90.8%	0.07	0.50	2.60	3.10	5.90	5.60	6.70	2.10	0.12	0.75	0.87	0.01	0.06	0.03	0.00	0.01	-	1.39	5.00	-0.77	97:12	111.39	26.20
Colton Sissons	TOR	C	3.3%	0.07	0.30	0.20	0.50	3.80	3.30	2.20	0.80	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.06	15.63	13.08	54.4%	0.68	1.96	-0.24	41:00	58.03	7.40
Mark Stone	LV	RW	93.4%	0.07	1.20	2.20	3.30	7.10	2.00	1.90	0.50	0.34	0.73	1.07	0.04	0.03	0.15	0.30	0.37	-	0.99	2.92	0.26	58:06	65.08	28.40
Kevin Stenlund	UTA	C	0.1%	0.07	0.30	0.50	0.80	2.80	2.10	1.80	1.00	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.05	21.91	18.15	54.7%	0.68	2.07	0.49	42:06	61.37	7.80
Liam Ohgren	VAN	LW	16.9%	0.07	0.80	1.20	1.90	5.60	3.90	3.20	0.30	0.06	0.11	0.17	0.04	0.03	0.06	0.44	0.52	-	0.82	2.68	-0.43	51:36	67.48	15.60
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	0.07	1.50	1.50	2.90	13.80	1.70	3.80	0.70	0.37	0.41	0.78	0.05	0.02	0.30	27.92	20.86	57.2%	1.05	2.83	-0.32	62:12	70.90	33.30
Jordan Greenway	CHI	LW	0.3%	0.07	0.30	0.40	0.60	2.60	4.20	1.80	1.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.03	0.05	1.07	1.43	-	0.62	1.91	-0.64	40:00	56.90	6.30
Noah Cates	PHI	C	18.4%	0.07	0.60	0.80	1.40	4.10	4.10	2.20	0.90	0.10	0.16	0.26	0.05	0.02	0.10	17.22	20.62	45.5%	0.82	2.16	0.05	47:48	66.89	13.80
Samuel Honzek	CGY	LW	15.2%	0.07	0.30	0.30	0.60	3.70	5.70	0.90	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.70	0.81	-	0.59	1.84	-0.67	37:36	54.83	7.10
Joel Farabee	CGY	LW	11.5%	0.07	0.60	0.50	1.10	5.30	2.20	1.60	1.80	0.07	0.07	0.14	0.05	0.02	0.12	0.89	1.07	-	0.80	2.32	-0.79	47:48	62.81	10.60
Artturi Lehkonen	COL	LW	57.0%	0.07	0.90	0.80	1.70	4.70	1.20	1.20	0.50	0.18	0.16	0.34	0.05	0.02	0.13	0.23	0.29	-	0.58	1.80	0.95	39:00	47.46	16.00
Drew O'Connor	VAN	LW	5.9%	0.07	0.80	0.90	1.70	5.70	3.50	2.70	1.90	0.04	0.04	0.08	0.04	0.02	0.06	2.60	2.89	-	0.97	2.83	-0.50	58:48	77.67	14.50
Joe Veleno	NYR	C	4.1%	0.07	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.80	8.80	2.50	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.04	12.22	11.81	50.8%	0.81	2.23	-0.35	48:12	63.93	5.70
Bo Horvat	NYI	C	90.2%	0.06	0.90	0.80	1.70	6.50	1.90	1.30	0.70	0.28	0.27	0.54	0.04	0.02	0.15	19.18	15.50	55.3%	0.63	2.09	0.51	41:06	46.20	16.80
Christian Dvorak	PHI	C	15.9%	0.06	0.60	1.10	1.70	4.60	2.00	2.60	0.90	0.09	0.18	0.27	0.04	0.03	0.10	21.95	18.67	54.0%	0.81	2.43	0.05	50:42	65.59	14.90
Connor Brown	NJ	RW	6.6%	0.06	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.80	0.50	0.90	0.30	0.07	0.11	0.17	0.04	0.02	0.07	0.33	0.41	-	0.50	1.48	-0.14	30:42	36.01	9.60
Eetu Luostarinen	FLA	LW	11.6%	0.06	0.50	0.70	1.30	3.80	5.40	2.10	1.00	0.06	0.09	0.16	0.04	0.02	0.09	3.75	4.19	-	0.75	2.18	-0.27	47:12	63.53	12.90
Brett Howden	LV	LW	16.2%	0.06	0.80	0.80	1.60	5.20	5.30	1.20	1.60	0.04	0.05	0.09	0.04	0.02	0.10	11.56	11.23	50.7%	0.71	2.19	0.24	45:00	60.27	15.00
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	98.3%	0.06	0.40	2.00	2.50	6.10	2.40	3.90	1.30	0.13	0.72	0.84	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.15	3.86	0.77	73:48	89.20	22.00
Sean Couturier	PHI	C	9.2%	0.06	0.40	0.80	1.20	4.00	3.50	1.70	1.20	0.03	0.06	0.08	0.03	0.03	0.07	23.91	20.31	54.1%	0.87	2.46	0.05	50:54	67.38	10.80
Tom Wilson	WAS	RW	94.3%	0.06	0.60	0.60	1.20	3.20	5.50	2.10	3.20	0.14	0.15	0.29	0.04	0.02	0.10	0.43	0.52	-	0.58	1.96	0.45	38:00	45.89	12.00
Frank Nazar	CHI	C	54.0%	0.06	0.70	1.10	1.80	5.20	1.40	1.80	1.00	0.17	0.29	0.46	0.04	0.02	0.12	16.66	18.25	47.7%	0.90	2.68	-0.70	51:54	62.48	14.10
Jordan Staal	CAR	C	20.0%	0.06	0.50	0.60	1.10	5.20	7.10	2.00	1.20	0.07	0.09	0.17	0.04	0.02	0.07	32.34	27.13	54.4%	0.74	2.20	-0.18	48:30	68.91	13.00
Mikael Backlund	CGY	C	13.7%	0.06	0.40	0.50	1.00	6.50	1.50	0.90	0.90	0.03	0.05	0.08	0.04	0.02	0.08	27.15	27.34	49.8%	0.94	2.80	-0.93	54:54	73.17	12.10
Will Cuylle	NYR	LW	63.6%	0.06	0.80	0.80	1.60	6.60	13.60	3.10	3.00	0.13	0.15	0.27	0.04	0.02	0.16	1.83	2.09	-	0.86	3.08	-0.41	62:00	84.97	18.50
Charlie Coyle	CLB	C	49.4%	0.06	0.40	0.90	1.30	2.50	2.20	1.50	0.40	0.09	0.23	0.32	0.03	0.03	0.06	13.53	13.36	50.3%	0.63	1.61	0.02	34:54	44.13	10.60
Nico Hischier	NJ	C	97.3%	0.06	0.70	0.80	1.50	6.20	1.00	1.40	0.40	0.19	0.24	0.44	0.04	0.02	0.12	24.53	19.90	55.2%	0.65	1.91	-0.17	41:12	47.89	15.40
Collin Graf	SJ	LW	27.9%	0.06	0.40	0.50	0.90	2.70	2.40	1.30	0.50	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.39	0.49	-	0.57	1.52	0.07	32:42	39.70	8.40
Brandon Hagel	TB	LW	99.1%	0.06	0.70	1.00	1.70	5.90	1.50	1.10	1.50	0.19	0.30	0.48	0.04	0.02	0.12	0.70	0.89	-	0.75	2.06	0.39	41:12	47.71	17.00
Nolan Allan	SJ	D	4.8%	0.06	0.10	0.30	0.50	1.00	2.90	2.50	0.90	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.46	1.59	0.07	30:36	38.84	4.60
Mark Kastelic	BOS	C	13.4%	0.06	0.30	0.40	0.60	3.00	8.70	2.00	3.90	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.07	10.60	8.22	56.3%	0.65	1.65	-0.36	35:24	49.68	8.00
Nicolas Roy	COL	C	4.9%	0.06	0.50	0.60	1.00	2.90	1.70	1.10	0.80	0.06	0.07	0.13	0.04	0.02	0.07	9.94	9.66	50.7%	0.50	1.47	0.74	28:54	38.98	8.90
Teuvo Teravainen	CHI	LW	12.8%	0.06	0.40	0.80	1.20	2.80	0.50	1.30	0.30	0.09	0.20	0.29	0.03	0.02	0.07	2.31	2.64	-	0.83	2.56	-0.72	51:48	63.44	9.00
J.T. Miller	NYR	C	91.8%	0.06	0.90	1.80	2.70	6.90	7.30	2.50	2.60	0.22	0.50	0.72	0.03	0.03	0.18	31.63	22.90	58.0%	1.26	4.06	-0.47	76:48	100.10	22.70
Kasperi Kapanen	EDM	RW	9.2%	0.06	0.50	0.70	1.20	4.50	5.30	1.00	1.00	0.08	0.13	0.21	0.04	0.02	0.08	0.60	0.73	-	0.62	2.01	-0.22	40:30	51.37	10.50
Fraser Minten	BOS	C	47.3%	0.05	0.50	0.60	1.10	4.40	5.70	1.50	0.50	0.05	0.06	0.11	0.04	0.02	0.11	14.39	14.74	49.4%	0.78	2.14	-0.43	45:24	58.01	12.50
Simon Holmstrom	NYI	RW	15.6%	0.05	0.50	0.60	1.10	2.80	0.50	1.50	0.30	0.08	0.11	0.19	0.03	0.02	0.08	0.16	0.20	-	0.57	1.60	0.47	33:36	43.05	9.90
Tyson Foerster	PHI	LW	41.7%	0.05	1.00	0.80	1.70	5.90	3.50	2.60	1.60	0.20	0.17	0.37	0.04	0.02	0.17	0.08	0.09	-	0.82	2.33	0.05	51:18	67.35	16.80
Valeri Nichushkin	CLB	RW	60.0%	0.05	0.70	0.80	1.50	3.70	1.50	0.90	0.50	0.11	0.15	0.26	0.04	0.02	0.11	0.07	0.08	-	0.59	1.76	0.02	36:48	47.45	12.70
Filip Hallander	PIT	C	9.1%	0.05	0.20	0.40	0.60	3.80	0.40	0.80	0.80	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.61	0.61	-	0.49	1.50	0.40	30:42	42.05	7.20
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	NYI	C	12.4%	0.05	0.30	0.50	0.80	2.50	3.50	1.60	0.20	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.05	16.79	12.41	57.5%	0.51	1.53	0.50	32:36	44.08	7.70
Robert Thomas	STL	C	92.8%	0.05	0.50	1.00	1.50	3.30	0.30	1.10	0.80	0.11	0.27	0.38	0.03	0.02	0.10	18.12	16.36	52.6%	0.67	2.14	-0.32	39:12	48.20	13.20
Jordan Martinook	CAR	LW	4.3%	0.05	0.40	0.50	0.90	4.90	4.20	2.00	1.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.06	1.30	1.52	-	0.70	2.19	-0.19	45:42	63.64	11.50
Alexander Kerfoot	NSH	LW	3.2%	0.05	0.20	0.30	0.60	1.90	1.30	1.50	0.60	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.04	6.60	6.31	51.1%	0.50	1.45	-0.10	29:18	43.02	5.70
Anthony Cirelli	TB	C	51.1%	0.05	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.70	1.60	1.60	1.00	0.07	0.11	0.17	0.03	0.02	0.07	15.51	16.23	48.9%	0.60	1.76	0.37	36:18	46.78	11.30
Mark Jankowski	CAR	C	0.2%	0.05	0.40	0.30	0.80	3.30	1.90	1.80	1.00	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.06	14.92	14.98	49.9%	0.55	1.74	-0.14	35:18	50.57	9.10
Ryan O'Reilly	NSH	C	84.3%	0.05	0.40	0.80	1.20	3.50	0.50	1.50	0.50	0.10	0.24	0.35	0.03	0.02	0.09	18.15	15.06	54.6%	0.74	1.81	-0.12	39:48	47.27	11.00
Ryan Winterton	SEA	RW	4.0%	0.05	0.20	0.80	1.00	3.80	3.70	2.00	0.90	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.26	0.26	-	0.60	1.74	0.15	35:42	49.39	9.30
Lars Eller	FLA	C	0.2%	0.05	0.30	0.40	0.70	2.90	2.10	1.40	0.70	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.06	14.88	13.75	52.0%	0.58	1.86	-0.22	37:00	55.27	7.60
Michael Rasmussen	DET	LW	0.1%	0.05	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.40	3.10	1.80	0.60	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.04	3.84	4.11	48.3%	0.40	1.21	0.05	26:12	37.19	5.50
Joel Armia	LA	RW	3.3%	0.05	0.40	0.30	0.60	2.90	2.30	1.10	0.70	0.04	0.03	0.08	0.03	0.02	0.07	0.88	1.13	-	0.50	1.40	0.09	28:06	37.16	7.10
Scott Laughton	LA	C	5.6%	0.05	0.30	0.30	0.60	3.10	4.00	1.10	1.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.05	11.64	9.50	55.1%	0.46	1.49	0.10	29:00	41.90	6.00
Ryan Greene	CHI	C	10.4%	0.05	0.50	0.70	1.10	3.20	1.50	1.50	0.40	0.05	0.08	0.13	0.03	0.02	0.08	13.33	17.02	43.9%	0.78	2.41	-0.75	49:54	65.70	9.30
Noel Acciari	PHI	RW	3.3%	0.05	0.30	0.30	0.70	3.10	4.90	3.80	0.90	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	14.03	12.46	53.0%	0.64	1.89	0.05	41:30	55.53	9.30
Ty Dellandrea	SJ	C	3.2%	0.05	0.10	0.30	0.50	2.00	5.70	1.60	1.60	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.01	9.61	9.15	51.2%	0.40	1.21	0.06	25:18	33.28	4.30
Nick Paul	TOR	C	8.1%	0.05	0.50	0.50	1.00	5.00	3.40	1.30	1.10	0.09	0.10	0.19	0.03	0.02	0.10	16.55	16.17	50.6%	0.71	2.15	-0.25	46:06	58.76	10.60
Mason Appleton	DET	RW	0.1%	0.05	0.20	0.30	0.40	2.20	3.00	0.80	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.04	0.40	0.42	-	0.41	1.29	0.06	28:36	38.78	4.90
Cole Koepke	WPG	LW	0.0%	0.05	0.20	0.20	0.30	2.20	5.20	0.60	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.04	-	0.36	1.05	-0.21	21:42	30.65	4.20
Paul Cotter	VAN	LW	19.2%	0.05	0.80	0.50	1.40	3.70	9.60	1.50	1.80	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.06	4.28	4.51	-	0.76	2.32	-0.41	48:12	64.75	10.80
Sean Kuraly	BOS	C	0.2%	0.05	0.20	0.30	0.50	3.40	4.60	1.60	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.05	11.82	11.03	51.7%	0.60	1.81	-0.38	37:36	48.00	6.90
Jack McBain	UTA	C	17.4%	0.04	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.90	13.20	1.60	2.60	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.07	11.72	11.10	51.3%	0.68	1.99	0.48	41:00	59.95	10.90
Pavel Buchnevich	STL	RW	36.3%	0.04	0.40	0.50	0.90	3.20	0.70	0.80	0.60	0.08	0.12	0.20	0.03	0.02	0.08	2.55	3.48	42.3%	0.59	1.79	-0.31	36:54	46.75	8.80
Eric Robinson	CAR	LW	3.2%	0.04	0.40	0.30	0.70	4.20	5.00	0.70	0.50	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.06	0.32	0.41	-	0.54	1.74	-0.15	35:18	47.93	8.80
Josh Anderson	MON	RW	10.4%	0.04	0.30	0.20	0.50	2.20	4.10	0.80	2.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.06	0.47	0.50	-	0.42	1.36	-0.02	28:24	37.33	5.60
Travis Sanheim	PHI	D	67.3%	0.04	0.30	1.00	1.30	3.70	2.50	6.80	1.10	0.03	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	4.04	0.08	73:24	90.89	16.20
Connor McMichael	STL	C	34.3%	0.04	0.40	0.60	0.90	3.70	0.90	0.90	0.90	0.07	0.11	0.18	0.03	0.02	0.08	5.42	6.85	44.2%	0.56	1.58	-0.29	33:30	46.30	9.60
Jake Evans	MON	C	5.7%	0.04	0.20	0.30	0.50	1.80	2.90	1.20	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.04	14.10	11.91	54.2%	0.51	1.49	-0.03	31:06	39.61	5.40
Aatu Raty	VAN	C	10.4%	0.04	0.60	0.70	1.30	3.80	9.10	1.20	1.50	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.04	25.79	19.02	57.6%	0.73	2.18	-0.40	46:12	70.02	10.60
Ilya Mikheyev	TB	RW	8.3%	0.04	0.30	0.40	0.70	3.20	1.20	0.70	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.11	0.14	-	0.52	1.57	0.36	32:06	40.01	6.70
Marat Khusnutdinov	BOS	LW	11.3%	0.04	0.40	0.50	0.80	2.70	2.00	1.50	0.50	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.09	3.41	3.67	-	0.68	1.92	-0.39	40:18	52.10	8.30
Sean Monahan	CLB	C	18.7%	0.04	0.40	0.70	1.10	2.50	0.90	1.10	0.30	0.07	0.14	0.21	0.02	0.02	0.06	17.76	16.63	51.6%	0.59	1.72	0.02	35:42	45.61	9.60
Morgan Barron	WPG	C	4.8%	0.04	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.40	3.70	1.10	0.60	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.00	6.29	6.84	47.9%	0.38	1.08	-0.22	23:06	32.97	5.80
Trevor Moore	LA	LW	9.1%	0.04	0.50	0.40	0.80	4.90	1.90	0.90	0.30	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.01	0.09	0.22	0.28	-	0.57	1.61	0.11	34:00	44.52	10.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Shorthanded goals

The goal side of shorthanded scoring.

Shorthanded Goals

Shorthanded assists

The assist side, even rarer and noisier.

Shorthanded Assists

Power-play points

The other special-teams category, and a much more predictable one.

Power Play Points

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Frequently Asked Questions

We add projected shorthanded goals and shorthanded assists, each split from LineupExperts' goal and assist projection by recent penalty-kill minutes and heavily shrunk rates, then scaled per team to the league shorthanded share.

If he does not kill penalties, almost none of his projected points come shorthanded. Penalty-kill time is the main driver.

Use them as a deployment guide. Shorthanded points are rare enough that actual results swing widely around any projection.

Yes. Both pay a shorthanded-point bonus (+2 per shorthanded goal or assist), and our DK and FD projections use these expected shorthanded points.