NHL Projected Shorthanded Points - Rest of Season
Shorthanded points count in some Yahoo and ESPN leagues and earn bonuses on DraftKings and FanDuel. This page ranks players by projected shorthanded goals plus shorthanded assists. Both are small, high-variance numbers driven mainly by penalty-kill ice time.
Season Outlook: Oct 4 through Apr 10, 2027
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 4:27 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 791 players
SHP = projected SHG + projected SHA. LineupExperts projects each player's goals, assists and ice time. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.
Shrunk hard toward league averages. Shorthanded scoring rates barely repeat year to year, so penalty-kill minutes matter far more than a player's past shorthanded points.
Team check. Each team's shorthanded goals and assists are scaled to the league's shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists.
Variance warning
leaders project for a few shorthanded points per season. In our backtest the league total was right within a few percent, but the top deciles missed our ±10% calibration bar in 2025-26.
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Pro Tip: Treat SHP as a tiebreaker between similar players, favouring the one with steady penalty-kill minutes.
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Forward-looking projections only
ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.
Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.
Shorthanded scoring is rare and streaky: even the leaders score only a few a season. These projections are driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time, with each team’s total held to the league’s shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists. How the model works
Sorted by Projected Short Handed Points
719 playersShow
Skaters100 of 719
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | SHP† ↓ | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | PPG† | PPA† | PPP† | SHG† | SHA† | GWG† | FOW† | FOL† | FO%† | TK† | GV† | +/-† | TOI | SFT† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | WAS | RW | 93.9% | 3.85 | 31.00 | 30.00 | 62.00 | 193.00 | 78.00 | 90.00 | 48.00 | 4.16 | 4.36 | 8.51 | 2.60 | 1.25 | 4.48 | 62.22 | 77.81 | - | 29.54 | 74.32 | 17.97 | 1571:00 | 2067.86 | 631.00 |
| Blake Lizotte | PIT | C | 0.1% | 3.45 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 81.00 | 76.00 | 48.00 | 35.00 | 0.24 | 0.47 | 0.71 | 2.07 | 1.38 | 1.21 | 334.69 | 330.99 | 50.3% | 17.27 | 53.80 | 6.28 | 1086:00 | 1509.65 | 241.00 |
| Aliaksei Protas | WAS | LW | 59.3% | 3.38 | 26.00 | 29.00 | 55.00 | 164.00 | 31.00 | 43.00 | 22.00 | 1.49 | 1.93 | 3.41 | 2.19 | 1.19 | 3.76 | 30.28 | 35.80 | - | 23.16 | 71.70 | 16.97 | 1417:00 | 1789.71 | 510.00 |
| Teddy Blueger | TOR | C | 4.8% | 3.16 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 27.00 | 91.00 | 113.00 | 45.00 | 38.00 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 1.92 | 1.24 | 1.15 | 436.78 | 459.97 | 48.7% | 18.67 | 58.59 | 4.53 | 1186:00 | 1609.28 | 225.00 |
| Lawson Crouse | UTA | RW | 35.8% | 3.01 | 19.00 | 22.00 | 41.00 | 142.00 | 209.00 | 51.00 | 43.00 | 2.09 | 2.91 | 5.00 | 1.98 | 1.03 | 3.05 | 31.12 | 39.38 | - | 20.04 | 58.27 | 6.16 | 1258:00 | 1777.00 | 412.00 |
| Brandon Hagel | TB | LW | 99.1% | 2.94 | 38.00 | 50.00 | 88.00 | 238.00 | 53.00 | 47.00 | 57.00 | 10.13 | 14.83 | 24.96 | 1.85 | 1.09 | 5.13 | 28.86 | 36.44 | - | 30.55 | 84.39 | 12.23 | 1689:00 | 1955.74 | 772.00 |
| Shane Pinto | OTT | C | 37.1% | 2.93 | 24.00 | 26.00 | 51.00 | 173.00 | 93.00 | 58.00 | 36.00 | 4.04 | 4.60 | 8.64 | 1.94 | 0.99 | 3.42 | 443.91 | 423.48 | 51.2% | 24.11 | 67.69 | -0.79 | 1446:00 | 2018.46 | 492.00 |
| Bo Horvat | NYI | C | 90.2% | 2.85 | 36.00 | 33.00 | 70.00 | 262.00 | 71.00 | 45.00 | 36.00 | 11.05 | 10.96 | 22.01 | 1.80 | 1.05 | 4.61 | 785.98 | 634.95 | 55.3% | 25.89 | 85.76 | -1.35 | 1684:00 | 1893.10 | 672.00 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | NSH | C | 84.3% | 2.84 | 21.00 | 42.00 | 63.00 | 150.00 | 21.00 | 65.00 | 21.00 | 5.42 | 12.79 | 18.21 | 1.76 | 1.07 | 3.14 | 743.17 | 616.88 | 54.6% | 30.35 | 74.03 | -17.47 | 1630:00 | 1935.89 | 513.00 |
| Tom Wilson | WAS | RW | 94.3% | 2.81 | 26.00 | 32.00 | 57.00 | 163.00 | 212.00 | 72.00 | 109.00 | 6.05 | 8.00 | 14.05 | 1.77 | 1.05 | 3.76 | 17.52 | 21.36 | - | 23.94 | 80.53 | 16.63 | 1560:00 | 1883.71 | 562.00 |
| Tim Stutzle | OTT | C | 99.5% | 2.78 | 30.00 | 51.00 | 81.00 | 204.00 | 126.00 | 45.00 | 37.00 | 8.20 | 16.93 | 25.13 | 1.68 | 1.10 | 4.28 | 312.97 | 292.90 | 51.7% | 28.47 | 84.56 | -0.84 | 1675:00 | 2108.78 | 678.00 |
| Ben Meyers | SEA | C | 0.0% | 2.74 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 77.00 | 91.00 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 1.73 | 1.01 | 1.19 | 258.77 | 231.78 | 52.8% | 14.60 | 43.65 | -3.83 | 896:00 | 1292.10 | 148.00 |
| Justin Danforth | BUF | C | 0.0% | 2.72 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 88.00 | 115.00 | 50.00 | 21.00 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 1.75 | 0.97 | 1.44 | 330.71 | 362.70 | 47.7% | 15.45 | 47.21 | 3.43 | 970:00 | 1305.54 | 211.00 |
| Brock Nelson | COL | C | 87.7% | 2.57 | 28.00 | 31.00 | 59.00 | 179.00 | 34.00 | 56.00 | 25.00 | 7.77 | 9.87 | 17.64 | 1.66 | 0.91 | 5.74 | 691.04 | 689.25 | 50.1% | 24.46 | 72.17 | 22.27 | 1562:00 | 1912.93 | 558.00 |
| Anthony Cirelli | TB | C | 51.1% | 2.54 | 21.00 | 29.00 | 50.00 | 148.00 | 56.00 | 65.00 | 38.00 | 3.43 | 5.14 | 8.57 | 1.51 | 1.02 | 2.84 | 635.04 | 664.47 | 48.9% | 24.46 | 71.87 | 11.70 | 1486:00 | 1914.83 | 501.00 |
| Connor Brown | NJ | RW | 6.6% | 2.45 | 15.00 | 26.00 | 41.00 | 125.00 | 26.00 | 37.00 | 16.00 | 2.45 | 4.75 | 7.19 | 1.42 | 1.02 | 1.90 | 12.76 | 15.94 | - | 19.47 | 57.68 | -4.30 | 1197:00 | 1404.11 | 365.00 |
| Ryan McLeod | BUF | C | 26.1% | 2.44 | 12.00 | 32.00 | 45.00 | 92.00 | 18.00 | 32.00 | 16.00 | 1.91 | 6.15 | 8.05 | 1.28 | 1.16 | 1.92 | 598.40 | 628.85 | 48.8% | 24.09 | 72.34 | 4.39 | 1365:00 | 1877.89 | 332.00 |
| Connor Dewar | PIT | LW | 4.2% | 2.42 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 23.00 | 103.00 | 152.00 | 56.00 | 29.00 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 1.50 | 0.91 | 1.21 | 64.92 | 68.14 | - | 15.93 | 48.74 | 6.24 | 1071:00 | 1442.00 | 263.00 |
| Sebastian Aho | CAR | C | 98.8% | 2.40 | 33.00 | 48.00 | 81.00 | 216.00 | 56.00 | 24.00 | 51.00 | 11.18 | 18.47 | 29.65 | 1.37 | 1.03 | 4.73 | 640.46 | 592.46 | 51.9% | 26.65 | 86.33 | 0.50 | 1634:00 | 1873.63 | 681.00 |
| Robert Thomas | STL | C | 92.8% | 2.40 | 23.00 | 54.00 | 77.00 | 145.00 | 12.00 | 48.00 | 29.00 | 5.23 | 14.60 | 19.84 | 1.28 | 1.12 | 2.83 | 742.78 | 670.50 | 52.6% | 27.63 | 87.80 | 1.76 | 1607:00 | 1975.82 | 614.00 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | NSH | LW | 3.2% | 2.40 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 82.00 | 60.00 | 66.00 | 26.00 | 1.10 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 1.62 | 0.78 | 1.64 | 270.82 | 259.05 | 51.1% | 20.33 | 59.47 | -14.44 | 1202:00 | 1764.69 | 268.00 |
| Nico Hischier | NJ | C | 97.3% | 2.38 | 28.00 | 36.00 | 64.00 | 210.00 | 51.00 | 62.00 | 21.00 | 7.79 | 10.90 | 18.69 | 1.48 | 0.90 | 3.55 | 1005.11 | 815.36 | 55.2% | 26.80 | 78.10 | -5.58 | 1688:00 | 1962.20 | 612.00 |
| Jack Eichel | LV | C | 98.9% | 2.38 | 36.00 | 66.00 | 101.00 | 285.00 | 34.00 | 51.00 | 16.00 | 9.33 | 24.52 | 33.85 | 1.42 | 0.96 | 5.54 | 634.32 | 686.43 | 48.0% | 30.35 | 95.28 | -6.45 | 1734:00 | 1874.15 | 895.00 |
| Bryan Rust | PIT | RW | 85.3% | 2.37 | 30.00 | 34.00 | 64.00 | 203.00 | 45.00 | 68.00 | 24.00 | 8.06 | 10.65 | 18.72 | 1.57 | 0.81 | 3.63 | 7.99 | 9.93 | - | 23.70 | 79.59 | 7.77 | 1593:00 | 1888.10 | 579.00 |
| Josh Anderson | MON | RW | 10.4% | 2.37 | 15.00 | 11.00 | 26.00 | 107.00 | 150.00 | 41.00 | 96.00 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 1.75 | 0.61 | 2.07 | 19.49 | 20.64 | - | 17.43 | 55.74 | 2.88 | 1166:00 | 1532.82 | 277.00 |
| Simon Holmstrom | NYI | RW | 15.6% | 2.35 | 20.00 | 24.00 | 44.00 | 110.00 | 21.00 | 51.00 | 13.00 | 3.29 | 4.46 | 7.75 | 1.45 | 0.90 | 2.56 | 6.72 | 8.32 | - | 23.31 | 65.50 | -1.24 | 1379:00 | 1766.86 | 393.00 |
| Parker Kelly | COL | LW | 10.7% | 2.35 | 13.00 | 19.00 | 32.00 | 98.00 | 175.00 | 64.00 | 29.00 | 0.59 | 1.01 | 1.60 | 1.37 | 0.98 | 2.67 | 135.73 | 172.02 | 44.1% | 16.41 | 51.69 | 17.24 | 1040:00 | 1498.21 | 339.00 |
| Collin Graf | SJ | LW | 27.9% | 2.33 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 34.00 | 113.00 | 82.00 | 46.00 | 18.00 | 0.87 | 1.20 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 0.69 | 1.87 | 15.80 | 20.20 | - | 23.30 | 62.32 | -5.57 | 1339:00 | 1625.67 | 321.00 |
| Jake Evans | MON | C | 5.7% | 2.32 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 85.00 | 108.00 | 61.00 | 23.00 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1.37 | 0.96 | 1.38 | 578.25 | 488.31 | 54.2% | 20.97 | 60.97 | 3.15 | 1275:00 | 1623.72 | 271.00 |
| Nolan Allan | SJ | D | 4.8% | 2.32 | 4.00 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 43.00 | 101.00 | 86.00 | 31.00 | 0.18 | 0.59 | 0.77 | 0.57 | 1.76 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 18.98 | 65.03 | -5.33 | 1255:00 | 1592.93 | 161.00 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | NYI | C | 12.4% | 2.27 | 11.00 | 22.00 | 32.00 | 101.00 | 131.00 | 56.00 | 9.00 | 0.35 | 0.82 | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.20 | 1.41 | 689.16 | 509.49 | 57.5% | 21.03 | 62.86 | -1.31 | 1338:00 | 1809.23 | 298.00 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 99.9% | 2.26 | 41.00 | 96.00 | 137.00 | 273.00 | 50.00 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 11.68 | 38.52 | 50.20 | 1.34 | 0.92 | 5.11 | 467.70 | 471.64 | 49.8% | 29.61 | 102.04 | -3.39 | 1857:00 | 1884.99 | 1050.00 |
| Mitch Marner | LV | RW | 98.8% | 2.25 | 25.00 | 61.00 | 86.00 | 169.00 | 31.00 | 46.00 | 19.00 | 6.52 | 20.21 | 26.73 | 1.15 | 1.10 | 3.85 | 122.41 | 164.23 | 42.7% | 31.50 | 93.03 | -6.42 | 1715:00 | 1872.34 | 680.00 |
| Charlie Coyle | CLB | C | 49.4% | 2.25 | 16.00 | 36.00 | 52.00 | 127.00 | 105.00 | 56.00 | 16.00 | 3.48 | 9.15 | 12.63 | 1.18 | 1.06 | 2.10 | 554.51 | 547.59 | 50.3% | 25.98 | 65.88 | 1.62 | 1430:00 | 1808.27 | 436.00 |
| Matthew Boldy | MIN | RW | 99.5% | 2.22 | 37.00 | 45.00 | 82.00 | 272.00 | 61.00 | 60.00 | 41.00 | 11.80 | 16.56 | 28.36 | 1.44 | 0.78 | 6.39 | 59.35 | 71.88 | - | 29.15 | 85.39 | -5.78 | 1699:00 | 1688.30 | 784.00 |
| Sam Reinhart | FLA | RW | 99.5% | 2.22 | 41.00 | 34.00 | 75.00 | 208.00 | 90.00 | 53.00 | 22.00 | 14.88 | 13.48 | 28.36 | 1.66 | 0.56 | 5.21 | 129.34 | 164.75 | 44.0% | 25.60 | 79.37 | 4.21 | 1731:00 | 1983.11 | 669.00 |
| Oliver Kapanen | MON | C | 28.6% | 2.21 | 20.00 | 17.00 | 37.00 | 133.00 | 31.00 | 62.00 | 22.00 | 2.44 | 2.27 | 4.71 | 1.56 | 0.64 | 2.76 | 283.70 | 319.07 | 47.1% | 16.88 | 50.12 | 2.51 | 1090:00 | 1393.36 | 372.00 |
| Anton Lundell | FLA | C | 45.5% | 2.19 | 17.00 | 29.00 | 46.00 | 170.00 | 105.00 | 46.00 | 40.00 | 5.17 | 10.17 | 15.33 | 1.23 | 0.96 | 2.16 | 645.46 | 590.52 | 52.2% | 21.67 | 71.08 | 3.68 | 1436:00 | 1823.95 | 467.00 |
| Chandler Stephenson | SEA | C | 16.9% | 2.19 | 16.00 | 33.00 | 49.00 | 93.00 | 25.00 | 52.00 | 19.00 | 3.77 | 8.84 | 12.61 | 1.15 | 1.04 | 2.37 | 775.60 | 724.04 | 51.7% | 27.76 | 73.71 | -5.78 | 1578:00 | 1986.20 | 365.00 |
| Nick Schmaltz | UTA | RW | 93.8% | 2.17 | 32.00 | 38.00 | 70.00 | 198.00 | 21.00 | 48.00 | 18.00 | 8.08 | 10.29 | 18.36 | 1.48 | 0.69 | 5.14 | 386.19 | 426.20 | 47.5% | 29.82 | 79.65 | 6.97 | 1576:00 | 1926.15 | 617.00 |
| Joel Armia | LA | RW | 3.3% | 2.15 | 16.00 | 12.00 | 29.00 | 112.00 | 91.00 | 50.00 | 27.00 | 1.64 | 1.38 | 3.02 | 1.39 | 0.75 | 2.06 | 36.05 | 46.29 | - | 20.52 | 57.47 | 9.50 | 1152:00 | 1523.54 | 303.00 |
| Colton Sissons | TOR | C | 3.3% | 2.15 | 9.00 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 89.00 | 112.00 | 59.00 | 27.00 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.68 | 1.51 | 0.63 | 1.30 | 421.58 | 352.85 | 54.4% | 18.29 | 52.79 | 4.15 | 1106:00 | 1565.38 | 199.00 |
| Scott Laughton | LA | C | 5.6% | 2.14 | 12.00 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 122.00 | 156.00 | 54.00 | 41.00 | 0.44 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.90 | 1.55 | 477.03 | 389.16 | 55.1% | 18.85 | 61.03 | 10.23 | 1188:00 | 1716.52 | 266.00 |
| Tye Kartye | NYR | LW | 7.2% | 2.12 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 24.00 | 90.00 | 246.00 | 52.00 | 51.00 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 1.26 | 0.86 | 1.81 | 8.74 | 10.72 | - | 14.33 | 40.74 | 0.64 | 893:00 | 1271.91 | 223.00 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | TB | RW | 8.3% | 2.11 | 16.00 | 18.00 | 34.00 | 129.00 | 40.00 | 27.00 | 14.00 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 1.34 | 0.77 | 2.16 | 4.52 | 5.55 | - | 21.16 | 64.34 | 11.43 | 1316:00 | 1640.34 | 306.00 |
| Pius Suter | STL | C | 4.1% | 2.09 | 17.00 | 18.00 | 34.00 | 113.00 | 56.00 | 32.00 | 18.00 | 1.61 | 1.97 | 3.57 | 1.45 | 0.64 | 2.09 | 359.78 | 406.14 | 47.0% | 20.90 | 62.87 | 1.63 | 1349:00 | 1805.93 | 332.00 |
| Ryan Poehling | ANA | C | 6.7% | 2.08 | 11.00 | 24.00 | 35.00 | 109.00 | 46.00 | 97.00 | 14.00 | 0.35 | 0.88 | 1.23 | 1.05 | 1.03 | 1.45 | 494.31 | 525.06 | 48.5% | 18.39 | 56.21 | -5.58 | 1167:00 | 1615.75 | 360.00 |
| Cole Koepke | WPG | LW | 0.0% | 2.06 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 92.00 | 199.00 | 25.00 | 16.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 1.30 | 0.76 | 1.45 | 1.41 | 1.69 | - | 13.74 | 40.32 | 1.28 | 836:00 | 1180.90 | 186.00 |
| Mikael Backlund | CGY | C | 13.7% | 2.05 | 13.00 | 19.00 | 32.00 | 182.00 | 34.00 | 32.00 | 21.00 | 1.07 | 1.77 | 2.83 | 1.14 | 0.92 | 1.81 | 742.66 | 748.10 | 49.8% | 25.69 | 76.61 | -18.65 | 1502:00 | 2001.92 | 360.00 |
| Auston Matthews | TOR | C | 99.1% | 2.05 | 45.00 | 42.00 | 87.00 | 321.00 | 56.00 | 100.00 | 22.00 | 11.15 | 11.36 | 22.51 | 1.46 | 0.59 | 6.49 | 753.15 | 562.63 | 57.2% | 28.34 | 76.48 | 5.43 | 1678:00 | 1912.66 | 881.00 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | STL | RW | 36.3% | 2.05 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 44.00 | 138.00 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 23.00 | 3.90 | 6.07 | 9.97 | 1.34 | 0.71 | 2.34 | 104.66 | 142.59 | 42.3% | 24.36 | 73.25 | 1.69 | 1513:00 | 1916.76 | 402.00 |
| Dylan Larkin | DET | C | 96.3% | 2.03 | 32.00 | 36.00 | 68.00 | 245.00 | 49.00 | 34.00 | 46.00 | 8.68 | 10.33 | 19.01 | 1.40 | 0.63 | 4.21 | 854.42 | 761.29 | 52.9% | 25.59 | 79.08 | -10.47 | 1633:00 | 1937.73 | 624.00 |
| William Karlsson | LV | C | 24.2% | 2.02 | 17.00 | 23.00 | 40.00 | 161.00 | 30.00 | 60.00 | 16.00 | 1.82 | 2.74 | 4.57 | 1.33 | 0.69 | 2.62 | 624.26 | 476.19 | 56.7% | 22.91 | 65.80 | -5.88 | 1393:00 | 1738.21 | 459.00 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | CLB | RW | 60.0% | 1.99 | 27.00 | 31.00 | 58.00 | 191.00 | 74.00 | 35.00 | 21.00 | 4.26 | 5.82 | 10.08 | 1.38 | 0.61 | 3.55 | 2.92 | 3.44 | - | 24.35 | 72.14 | 1.78 | 1510:00 | 1946.86 | 535.00 |
| Mika Zibanejad | NYR | C | 98.3% | 1.99 | 24.00 | 43.00 | 67.00 | 214.00 | 81.00 | 49.00 | 17.00 | 6.75 | 13.06 | 19.81 | 1.09 | 0.89 | 4.35 | 564.31 | 507.44 | 52.7% | 28.60 | 86.89 | 0.98 | 1615:00 | 1965.08 | 575.00 |
| Joel Farabee | CGY | LW | 11.5% | 1.99 | 16.00 | 18.00 | 34.00 | 147.00 | 53.00 | 54.00 | 40.00 | 1.86 | 2.38 | 4.24 | 1.35 | 0.64 | 2.23 | 24.42 | 29.20 | - | 21.94 | 63.53 | -15.85 | 1307:00 | 1717.41 | 329.00 |
| Quinton Byfield | LA | C | 86.1% | 1.99 | 29.00 | 37.00 | 66.00 | 197.00 | 68.00 | 42.00 | 44.00 | 6.48 | 9.17 | 15.65 | 1.15 | 0.84 | 3.74 | 512.75 | 587.76 | 46.6% | 32.30 | 77.41 | 12.08 | 1597:00 | 1903.82 | 565.00 |
| Vincent Trocheck | UTA | C | 88.5% | 1.98 | 21.00 | 36.00 | 57.00 | 164.00 | 213.00 | 65.00 | 51.00 | 4.43 | 9.19 | 13.62 | 1.21 | 0.77 | 3.37 | 800.18 | 605.53 | 56.9% | 28.42 | 87.52 | 7.76 | 1714:00 | 2035.06 | 504.00 |
| Noah Cates | PHI | C | 18.4% | 1.98 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 38.00 | 120.00 | 93.00 | 49.00 | 23.00 | 2.73 | 4.28 | 7.01 | 1.28 | 0.70 | 2.06 | 464.62 | 556.53 | 45.5% | 22.06 | 58.25 | 4.54 | 1290:00 | 1805.07 | 377.00 |
| Fraser Minten | BOS | C | 47.3% | 1.97 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 38.00 | 126.00 | 140.00 | 44.00 | 16.00 | 1.57 | 2.17 | 3.74 | 1.32 | 0.64 | 2.42 | 388.18 | 397.75 | 49.4% | 21.15 | 57.71 | 2.40 | 1225:00 | 1565.36 | 381.00 |
| Jason Dickinson | EDM | C | 3.2% | 1.97 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 80.00 | 117.00 | 64.00 | 35.00 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 1.17 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 532.39 | 540.93 | 49.6% | 18.55 | 55.85 | -2.60 | 1178:00 | 1608.61 | 207.00 |
| Jordan Greenway | CHI | LW | 0.3% | 1.97 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 89.00 | 142.00 | 52.00 | 62.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 1.17 | 0.79 | 0.84 | 29.03 | 38.75 | - | 16.74 | 51.56 | -12.80 | 1081:00 | 1537.73 | 194.00 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | FLA | LW | 11.6% | 1.96 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 36.00 | 106.00 | 141.00 | 58.00 | 30.00 | 2.04 | 2.65 | 4.69 | 1.20 | 0.76 | 2.03 | 102.65 | 114.48 | - | 20.45 | 59.62 | 3.82 | 1291:00 | 1737.67 | 359.00 |
| Morgan Barron | WPG | C | 4.8% | 1.96 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 23.00 | 105.00 | 149.00 | 49.00 | 28.00 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 1.26 | 0.69 | 2.00 | 254.89 | 277.03 | 47.9% | 15.53 | 43.88 | 1.43 | 936:00 | 1335.83 | 266.00 |
| Samuel Honzek | CGY | LW | 15.2% | 1.96 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 19.00 | 103.00 | 134.00 | 31.00 | 18.00 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 1.24 | 0.72 | 1.26 | 19.04 | 22.22 | - | 16.02 | 50.35 | -13.34 | 1028:00 | 1499.20 | 215.00 |
| Joe Veleno | NYR | C | 4.1% | 1.94 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 68.00 | 195.00 | 47.00 | 24.00 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1.14 | 0.80 | 1.09 | 247.41 | 239.20 | 50.8% | 16.31 | 45.17 | 0.70 | 976:00 | 1294.47 | 135.00 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | COL | LW | 57.0% | 1.92 | 30.00 | 28.00 | 58.00 | 174.00 | 54.00 | 46.00 | 23.00 | 6.14 | 5.58 | 11.71 | 1.32 | 0.60 | 6.15 | 9.37 | 11.76 | - | 23.65 | 73.76 | 23.99 | 1597:00 | 1943.40 | 583.00 |
| Connor McMichael | STL | C | 34.3% | 1.91 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 46.00 | 159.00 | 45.00 | 41.00 | 34.00 | 3.12 | 5.56 | 8.68 | 1.13 | 0.78 | 2.22 | 222.33 | 280.69 | 44.2% | 23.15 | 64.82 | 1.57 | 1373:00 | 1897.57 | 443.00 |
| Trevor Moore | LA | LW | 9.1% | 1.90 | 20.00 | 18.00 | 38.00 | 191.00 | 75.00 | 43.00 | 14.00 | 1.18 | 1.23 | 2.41 | 1.36 | 0.55 | 2.58 | 9.18 | 11.62 | - | 23.40 | 65.99 | 11.82 | 1393:00 | 1824.21 | 420.00 |
| Frank Nazar | CHI | C | 54.0% | 1.90 | 20.00 | 31.00 | 51.00 | 175.00 | 46.00 | 51.00 | 33.00 | 4.78 | 8.29 | 13.07 | 1.18 | 0.73 | 2.40 | 449.96 | 492.96 | 47.7% | 24.23 | 72.43 | -14.09 | 1402:00 | 1687.89 | 426.00 |
| Blake Coleman | MIN | RW | 38.2% | 1.88 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 41.00 | 193.00 | 161.00 | 53.00 | 52.00 | 2.60 | 2.89 | 5.49 | 1.24 | 0.63 | 3.46 | 22.71 | 27.50 | - | 25.35 | 72.37 | -5.63 | 1422:00 | 1917.12 | 448.00 |
| Alex Formenton | EDM | LW | 9.6% | 1.84 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 24.00 | 157.00 | 114.00 | 31.00 | 54.00 | 0.98 | 1.11 | 2.09 | 1.15 | 0.69 | 1.49 | 4.34 | 5.11 | - | 18.80 | 57.95 | -2.53 | 1198:00 | 1785.87 | 298.00 |
| Zachary L'Heureux | COL | LW | 11.2% | 1.82 | 12.00 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 100.00 | 206.00 | 43.00 | 71.00 | 0.75 | 0.64 | 1.39 | 1.12 | 0.70 | 2.46 | 7.09 | 8.44 | - | 15.70 | 47.47 | 15.94 | 972:00 | 1301.01 | 237.00 |
| Kevin Stenlund | UTA | C | 0.1% | 1.81 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 21.00 | 74.00 | 49.00 | 61.00 | 36.00 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 1.04 | 0.78 | 1.29 | 598.94 | 496.25 | 54.7% | 18.48 | 56.60 | 5.88 | 1151:00 | 1677.95 | 217.00 |
| Ty Dellandrea | SJ | C | 3.2% | 1.81 | 4.00 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 72.00 | 170.00 | 48.00 | 46.00 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.47 | 336.82 | 320.86 | 51.2% | 13.86 | 42.35 | -3.77 | 887:00 | 1166.85 | 127.00 |
| Erik Haula | LA | C | 11.8% | 1.80 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 34.00 | 143.00 | 108.00 | 47.00 | 52.00 | 2.64 | 4.32 | 6.96 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 1.80 | 461.46 | 486.79 | 48.7% | 19.59 | 61.08 | 10.11 | 1295:00 | 1777.69 | 321.00 |
| Sean Couturier | PHI | C | 9.2% | 1.79 | 11.00 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 117.00 | 80.00 | 39.00 | 31.00 | 0.69 | 1.50 | 2.19 | 0.99 | 0.80 | 1.42 | 645.43 | 548.30 | 54.1% | 23.39 | 66.48 | 5.19 | 1374:00 | 1818.98 | 290.00 |
| Filip Hallander | PIT | C | 9.1% | 1.78 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 20.00 | 130.00 | 21.00 | 32.00 | 39.00 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 25.15 | 24.96 | - | 20.03 | 61.75 | 7.26 | 1260:00 | 1725.91 | 255.00 |
| Christian Dvorak | PHI | C | 15.9% | 1.77 | 16.00 | 28.00 | 44.00 | 136.00 | 45.00 | 59.00 | 23.00 | 2.44 | 4.62 | 7.06 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 2.06 | 592.81 | 504.11 | 54.0% | 21.92 | 65.61 | 4.88 | 1369:00 | 1771.03 | 399.00 |
| Jack Drury | NSH | C | 5.6% | 1.77 | 9.00 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 100.00 | 52.00 | 63.00 | 34.00 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.64 | 1.11 | 0.66 | 1.34 | 506.12 | 395.12 | 56.2% | 18.09 | 50.86 | -13.94 | 1103:00 | 1511.60 | 298.00 |
| Dawson Mercer | NJ | RW | 25.1% | 1.75 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 37.00 | 159.00 | 34.00 | 49.00 | 24.00 | 2.17 | 2.48 | 4.65 | 1.24 | 0.51 | 2.28 | 121.83 | 151.97 | 44.5% | 23.92 | 73.87 | -5.46 | 1477:00 | 1777.67 | 378.00 |
| Mark Kastelic | BOS | C | 13.4% | 1.75 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 88.00 | 214.00 | 59.00 | 122.00 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 1.17 | 0.57 | 1.28 | 285.89 | 221.73 | 56.3% | 17.50 | 44.42 | 1.97 | 955:00 | 1340.36 | 244.00 |
| Jake Guentzel | TB | LW | 100.0% | 1.74 | 33.00 | 49.00 | 82.00 | 215.00 | 36.00 | 43.00 | 37.00 | 12.43 | 21.21 | 33.64 | 1.10 | 0.64 | 4.46 | 220.38 | 227.68 | 49.2% | 26.98 | 79.68 | 10.83 | 1664:00 | 1789.97 | 714.00 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | SEA | C | 0.2% | 1.74 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 23.00 | 94.00 | 39.00 | 61.00 | 10.00 | 0.24 | 0.43 | 0.66 | 1.06 | 0.68 | 1.33 | 408.82 | 469.32 | 46.6% | 21.74 | 58.45 | -5.44 | 1285:00 | 1717.73 | 255.00 |
| Michael Rasmussen | DET | LW | 0.1% | 1.72 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 88.00 | 101.00 | 70.00 | 23.00 | 0.33 | 0.61 | 0.93 | 1.07 | 0.65 | 0.92 | 149.52 | 160.12 | 48.3% | 15.78 | 47.27 | -7.59 | 1021:00 | 1449.12 | 212.00 |
| Ridly Greig | OTT | C | 14.8% | 1.71 | 13.00 | 20.00 | 33.00 | 134.00 | 114.00 | 52.00 | 73.00 | 1.30 | 2.27 | 3.56 | 1.02 | 0.69 | 1.85 | 267.39 | 253.08 | 51.4% | 22.40 | 64.72 | -0.80 | 1396:00 | 2048.00 | 339.00 |
| Arttu Hyry | DAL | C | 4.0% | 1.69 | 7.00 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 98.00 | 128.00 | 30.00 | 13.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1.22 | 0.47 | 1.05 | 389.33 | 355.60 | 52.3% | 15.27 | 48.26 | -1.50 | 954:00 | 1372.81 | 173.00 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | SJ | RW | 59.3% | 1.69 | 20.00 | 16.00 | 36.00 | 158.00 | 383.00 | 31.00 | 53.00 | 3.44 | 3.02 | 6.47 | 1.33 | 0.36 | 2.33 | 21.24 | 26.19 | - | 21.67 | 66.09 | -4.98 | 1289:00 | 1615.42 | 350.00 |
| Nic Dowd | LV | C | 3.2% | 1.68 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 22.00 | 68.00 | 140.00 | 59.00 | 58.00 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1.04 | 0.64 | 1.39 | 531.68 | 546.57 | 49.3% | 19.33 | 56.14 | -5.34 | 1188:00 | 1650.57 | 221.00 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | CHI | LW | 12.8% | 1.67 | 10.00 | 23.00 | 33.00 | 91.00 | 17.00 | 36.00 | 8.00 | 2.17 | 5.86 | 8.04 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 1.20 | 59.31 | 67.87 | - | 21.38 | 65.71 | -13.72 | 1331:00 | 1630.11 | 255.00 |
| Colin Blackwell | DAL | RW | 0.1% | 1.66 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 15.00 | 75.00 | 113.00 | 34.00 | 32.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 157.42 | 175.30 | 47.3% | 15.28 | 43.46 | -1.45 | 916:00 | 1265.20 | 166.00 |
| Jordan Staal | CAR | C | 20.0% | 1.64 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 32.00 | 117.00 | 166.00 | 50.00 | 26.00 | 2.04 | 2.80 | 4.84 | 0.99 | 0.64 | 2.01 | 873.57 | 732.68 | 54.4% | 19.87 | 59.35 | 0.47 | 1310:00 | 1861.25 | 332.00 |
| Radek Faksa | DAL | C | 0.1% | 1.63 | 4.00 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 61.00 | 109.00 | 57.00 | 23.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.73 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 383.66 | 340.78 | 53.0% | 16.71 | 46.71 | -1.61 | 1021:00 | 1442.20 | 183.00 |
| Andrew Copp | DET | C | 9.2% | 1.62 | 11.00 | 28.00 | 38.00 | 112.00 | 36.00 | 58.00 | 22.00 | 1.72 | 5.16 | 6.88 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 1.45 | 519.21 | 460.93 | 53.0% | 20.61 | 64.62 | -8.89 | 1283:00 | 1699.41 | 350.00 |
| Oskar Back | DAL | LW | 0.1% | 1.62 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 52.00 | 32.00 | 47.00 | 8.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.60 | 52.14 | 53.26 | - | 15.76 | 46.98 | -1.55 | 982:00 | 1341.95 | 158.00 |
| Alex Killorn | ANA | RW | 5.1% | 1.60 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 31.00 | 146.00 | 68.00 | 29.00 | 39.00 | 1.89 | 2.08 | 3.97 | 1.11 | 0.50 | 2.10 | 41.62 | 56.66 | - | 21.92 | 66.91 | -6.35 | 1402:00 | 1841.48 | 322.00 |
| Kyle Connor | WPG | LW | 99.2% | 1.60 | 36.00 | 49.00 | 85.00 | 259.00 | 24.00 | 26.00 | 16.00 | 8.84 | 13.37 | 22.21 | 1.03 | 0.56 | 6.55 | 1.43 | 1.71 | - | 25.90 | 78.10 | 2.23 | 1705:00 | 1805.05 | 727.00 |
| Sean Monahan | CLB | C | 18.7% | 1.59 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 42.00 | 130.00 | 43.00 | 41.00 | 12.00 | 2.80 | 5.14 | 7.94 | 0.98 | 0.61 | 2.10 | 728.18 | 681.97 | 51.6% | 24.04 | 70.38 | 1.71 | 1464:00 | 1870.55 | 398.00 |
| Will Cuylle | NYR | LW | 63.6% | 1.59 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 41.00 | 161.00 | 300.00 | 58.00 | 59.00 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 7.21 | 1.09 | 0.51 | 3.80 | 37.13 | 42.40 | - | 17.47 | 62.40 | 0.82 | 1255:00 | 1719.95 | 430.00 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | UTA | D | 98.3% | 1.58 | 11.00 | 51.00 | 62.00 | 162.00 | 54.00 | 132.00 | 43.00 | 3.49 | 18.27 | 21.76 | 0.26 | 1.32 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 31.31 | 105.57 | 9.25 | 2016:00 | 2436.73 | 595.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Power-play points
The other special-teams category, and a much more predictable one.
Power Play PointsRelated Projections
Frequently Asked Questions
We add projected shorthanded goals and shorthanded assists, each split from LineupExperts' goal and assist projection by recent penalty-kill minutes and heavily shrunk rates, then scaled per team to the league shorthanded share.
If he does not kill penalties, almost none of his projected points come shorthanded. Penalty-kill time is the main driver.
Use them as a deployment guide. Shorthanded points are rare enough that actual results swing widely around any projection.
Yes. Both pay a shorthanded-point bonus (+2 per shorthanded goal or assist), and our DK and FD projections use these expected shorthanded points.
Projections by Category
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By Position
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Goals, assists, and points leaders
Peripheral Stats
SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts
Special Teams
Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points
Faceoff & Physical
Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-
Goalie Projections
Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA
Fantasy Points
Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel
NHL Team Projections
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