NHL Projected Faceoff Percentage - Rest of Season
Faceoff percentage counts in some category leagues and is the skill half of faceoffs won. This projection is each center's faceoff win rate from this season and the last two (recent seasons weighted most), pulled toward the league average for centers by an amount that shrinks as his sample of draws grows. It is shown for players projected to take at least three faceoffs a game, so a winger who takes the odd draw cannot top the list.
Season Outlook: Oct 4 through Apr 10, 2027
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 5:28 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 171 players
Shrinkage
the projected rate is (faceoffs won + about 96 × 50.5%) ÷ (faceoffs taken + 96), with last season's and the season before's draws counted at a discount. A center who won 60% of 50 draws projects near 54%; a veteran with thousands of draws keeps almost his own rate.
Is it a skill? Yes: faceoff percentage repeats well from one season to the next (correlation about 0.78), much more than most percentage stats.
Minimum volume
players projected for fewer than three faceoffs a game show no FO%, because a handful of draws says little.
What it does not use
the opposing center, dot side or handedness. Faceoffs This Season adjusts for those game by game.
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Pro Tip: FO% is a rate: it cannot win you faceoffs won on its own. A 52% center taking 20 draws a night outscores a 58% specialist taking 10 in the FOW category.
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Forward-looking projections only
ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.
Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.
Sorted by Projected Faceoff Percentage
171 playersShow
Skaters100 of 171
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | FO%† ↓ | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | PPG† | PPA† | PPP† | SHG† | SHA† | SHP† | GWG† | FOW† | FOL† | TK† | GV† | +/-† | TOI | SFT† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Miller | NYR | C | 91.8% | 58.0% | 23.00 | 45.00 | 68.00 | 169.00 | 162.00 | 47.00 | 50.00 | 5.56 | 12.54 | 18.10 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 1.46 | 4.17 | 640.84 | 463.95 | 25.49 | 82.21 | 0.95 | 1556:00 | 2028.05 | 536.00 |
| Aatu Raty | VAN | C | 10.4% | 57.6% | 10.00 | 11.00 | 21.00 | 80.00 | 189.00 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.40 | 0.57 | 0.32 | 0.89 | 1.41 | 496.91 | 366.43 | 14.00 | 42.04 | -9.76 | 890:00 | 1348.87 | 187.00 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | NYI | C | 12.4% | 57.5% | 11.00 | 22.00 | 32.00 | 101.00 | 131.00 | 56.00 | 9.00 | 0.35 | 0.82 | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.20 | 2.27 | 1.41 | 689.16 | 509.49 | 21.03 | 62.86 | -1.31 | 1338:00 | 1809.23 | 298.00 |
| Auston Matthews | TOR | C | 99.1% | 57.2% | 45.00 | 42.00 | 87.00 | 321.00 | 56.00 | 100.00 | 22.00 | 11.15 | 11.36 | 22.51 | 1.46 | 0.59 | 2.05 | 6.49 | 753.15 | 562.63 | 28.34 | 76.48 | 5.43 | 1678:00 | 1912.66 | 881.00 |
| Vincent Trocheck | UTA | C | 88.5% | 56.9% | 21.00 | 36.00 | 57.00 | 164.00 | 213.00 | 65.00 | 51.00 | 4.43 | 9.19 | 13.62 | 1.21 | 0.77 | 1.98 | 3.37 | 800.18 | 605.53 | 28.42 | 87.52 | 7.76 | 1714:00 | 2035.06 | 504.00 |
| William Karlsson | LV | C | 24.2% | 56.7% | 17.00 | 23.00 | 40.00 | 161.00 | 30.00 | 60.00 | 16.00 | 1.82 | 2.74 | 4.57 | 1.33 | 0.69 | 2.02 | 2.62 | 624.26 | 476.19 | 22.91 | 65.80 | -5.88 | 1393:00 | 1738.21 | 459.00 |
| John Tavares | TOR | C | 96.1% | 56.4% | 28.00 | 38.00 | 66.00 | 199.00 | 75.00 | 34.00 | 33.00 | 7.64 | 10.63 | 18.28 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 4.04 | 768.89 | 595.28 | 24.74 | 74.56 | 4.70 | 1476:00 | 1723.33 | 542.00 |
| Mark Kastelic | BOS | C | 13.4% | 56.3% | 9.00 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 88.00 | 214.00 | 59.00 | 122.00 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 1.17 | 0.57 | 1.75 | 1.28 | 285.89 | 221.73 | 17.50 | 44.42 | 1.97 | 955:00 | 1340.36 | 244.00 |
| Dylan Strome | WAS | C | 82.7% | 56.3% | 21.00 | 44.00 | 65.00 | 136.00 | 17.00 | 52.00 | 33.00 | 5.23 | 13.39 | 18.62 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 3.04 | 749.28 | 582.05 | 22.41 | 72.60 | 15.04 | 1449:00 | 1695.96 | 523.00 |
| Jack Drury | NSH | C | 5.6% | 56.2% | 9.00 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 100.00 | 52.00 | 63.00 | 34.00 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.64 | 1.11 | 0.66 | 1.77 | 1.34 | 506.12 | 395.12 | 18.09 | 50.86 | -13.94 | 1103:00 | 1511.60 | 298.00 |
| Tomas Hertl | LV | C | 83.6% | 56.1% | 27.00 | 26.00 | 53.00 | 209.00 | 111.00 | 52.00 | 27.00 | 9.22 | 8.86 | 18.08 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 4.16 | 657.68 | 514.44 | 20.98 | 63.01 | -4.88 | 1374:00 | 1560.73 | 532.00 |
| Bo Horvat | NYI | C | 90.2% | 55.3% | 36.00 | 33.00 | 70.00 | 262.00 | 71.00 | 45.00 | 36.00 | 11.05 | 10.96 | 22.01 | 1.80 | 1.05 | 2.85 | 4.61 | 785.98 | 634.95 | 25.89 | 85.76 | -1.35 | 1684:00 | 1893.10 | 672.00 |
| Nico Hischier | NJ | C | 97.3% | 55.2% | 28.00 | 36.00 | 64.00 | 210.00 | 51.00 | 62.00 | 21.00 | 7.79 | 10.90 | 18.69 | 1.48 | 0.90 | 2.38 | 3.55 | 1005.11 | 815.36 | 26.80 | 78.10 | -5.58 | 1688:00 | 1962.20 | 612.00 |
| Scott Laughton | LA | C | 5.6% | 55.1% | 12.00 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 122.00 | 156.00 | 54.00 | 41.00 | 0.44 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.90 | 2.14 | 1.55 | 477.03 | 389.16 | 18.85 | 61.03 | 10.23 | 1188:00 | 1716.52 | 266.00 |
| Morgan Frost | CGY | C | 22.8% | 55.0% | 17.00 | 23.00 | 40.00 | 160.00 | 61.00 | 52.00 | 23.00 | 4.06 | 5.89 | 9.95 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 2.37 | 577.23 | 472.52 | 21.68 | 61.74 | -14.11 | 1277:00 | 1673.49 | 360.00 |
| Roope Hintz | DAL | C | 84.1% | 54.9% | 26.00 | 38.00 | 65.00 | 180.00 | 85.00 | 34.00 | 26.00 | 8.02 | 12.96 | 20.98 | 0.46 | 0.25 | 0.71 | 3.92 | 578.59 | 474.72 | 20.55 | 68.27 | -1.77 | 1401:00 | 1742.47 | 579.00 |
| Elias Lindholm | BOS | C | 43.3% | 54.8% | 19.00 | 29.00 | 48.00 | 141.00 | 59.00 | 65.00 | 27.00 | 3.63 | 6.41 | 10.05 | 0.66 | 0.36 | 1.02 | 2.71 | 754.24 | 622.01 | 22.49 | 70.80 | 2.67 | 1461:00 | 1794.82 | 448.00 |
| Justin Hryckowian | DAL | C | 18.6% | 54.7% | 14.00 | 16.00 | 30.00 | 97.00 | 130.00 | 46.00 | 37.00 | 1.97 | 2.52 | 4.49 | 0.69 | 0.33 | 1.02 | 2.11 | 194.90 | 161.32 | 18.55 | 50.25 | -1.58 | 1092:00 | 1430.10 | 285.00 |
| Kevin Stenlund | UTA | C | 0.1% | 54.7% | 8.00 | 13.00 | 21.00 | 74.00 | 49.00 | 61.00 | 36.00 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 1.04 | 0.78 | 1.81 | 1.29 | 598.94 | 496.25 | 18.48 | 56.60 | 5.88 | 1151:00 | 1677.95 | 217.00 |
| Sidney Crosby | PIT | C | 99.9% | 54.7% | 27.00 | 53.00 | 80.00 | 203.00 | 75.00 | 34.00 | 39.00 | 6.84 | 14.69 | 21.53 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 3.27 | 958.48 | 794.99 | 26.61 | 80.79 | 8.04 | 1630:00 | 1873.87 | 622.00 |
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | C | 99.9% | 54.7% | 46.00 | 64.00 | 110.00 | 243.00 | 41.00 | 24.00 | 37.00 | 14.68 | 23.66 | 38.34 | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.72 | 5.73 | 759.19 | 629.84 | 28.45 | 98.34 | -3.16 | 1755:00 | 1850.18 | 908.00 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | NSH | C | 84.3% | 54.6% | 21.00 | 42.00 | 63.00 | 150.00 | 21.00 | 65.00 | 21.00 | 5.42 | 12.79 | 18.21 | 1.76 | 1.07 | 2.84 | 3.14 | 743.17 | 616.88 | 30.35 | 74.03 | -17.47 | 1630:00 | 1935.89 | 513.00 |
| Colton Sissons | TOR | C | 3.3% | 54.4% | 9.00 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 89.00 | 112.00 | 59.00 | 27.00 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.68 | 1.51 | 0.63 | 2.15 | 1.30 | 421.58 | 352.85 | 18.29 | 52.79 | 4.15 | 1106:00 | 1565.38 | 199.00 |
| Tim Washe | ANA | C | 4.0% | 54.4% | 5.00 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 71.00 | 181.00 | 50.00 | 31.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.87 | 0.47 | 1.34 | 0.66 | 457.18 | 383.37 | 16.05 | 44.86 | -4.72 | 972:00 | 1434.58 | 142.00 |
| Jordan Staal | CAR | C | 20.0% | 54.4% | 14.00 | 18.00 | 32.00 | 117.00 | 166.00 | 50.00 | 26.00 | 2.04 | 2.80 | 4.84 | 0.99 | 0.64 | 1.64 | 2.01 | 873.57 | 732.68 | 19.87 | 59.35 | 0.47 | 1310:00 | 1861.25 | 332.00 |
| Steven Stamkos | NSH | C | 93.6% | 54.3% | 31.00 | 29.00 | 59.00 | 204.00 | 85.00 | 33.00 | 45.00 | 9.64 | 9.31 | 18.95 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 4.63 | 336.65 | 283.12 | 23.51 | 70.87 | -15.22 | 1481:00 | 1721.50 | 503.00 |
| Jake Evans | MON | C | 5.7% | 54.2% | 10.00 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 85.00 | 108.00 | 61.00 | 23.00 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1.37 | 0.96 | 2.32 | 1.38 | 578.25 | 488.31 | 20.97 | 60.97 | 3.15 | 1275:00 | 1623.72 | 271.00 |
| Sean Couturier | PHI | C | 9.2% | 54.1% | 11.00 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 117.00 | 80.00 | 39.00 | 31.00 | 0.69 | 1.50 | 2.19 | 0.99 | 0.80 | 1.79 | 1.42 | 645.43 | 548.30 | 23.39 | 66.48 | 5.19 | 1374:00 | 1818.98 | 290.00 |
| Christian Dvorak | PHI | C | 15.9% | 54.0% | 16.00 | 28.00 | 44.00 | 136.00 | 45.00 | 59.00 | 23.00 | 2.44 | 4.62 | 7.06 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 1.77 | 2.06 | 592.81 | 504.11 | 21.92 | 65.61 | 4.88 | 1369:00 | 1771.03 | 399.00 |
| Nico Sturm | MIN | C | 0.1% | 53.9% | 7.00 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 57.00 | 81.00 | 32.00 | 19.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.85 | 0.53 | 1.38 | 1.21 | 266.78 | 228.43 | 11.83 | 34.68 | -3.10 | 727:00 | 986.87 | 136.00 |
| Alex Turcotte | LA | C | 8.8% | 53.8% | 8.00 | 19.00 | 27.00 | 86.00 | 71.00 | 41.00 | 27.00 | 0.92 | 2.34 | 3.25 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 1.03 | 286.60 | 246.48 | 15.95 | 44.03 | 7.61 | 931:00 | 1253.24 | 243.00 |
| Aleksander Barkov | FLA | C | 97.0% | 53.5% | 19.00 | 51.00 | 69.00 | 157.00 | 80.00 | 51.00 | 18.00 | 5.81 | 16.83 | 22.64 | 0.56 | 0.34 | 0.90 | 2.42 | 594.94 | 517.01 | 22.96 | 67.53 | 3.65 | 1437:00 | 1772.37 | 562.00 |
| Casey Cizikas | NYI | C | 0.1% | 53.4% | 8.00 | 10.00 | 18.00 | 81.00 | 153.00 | 53.00 | 27.00 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 0.83 | 1.02 | 355.67 | 310.99 | 15.68 | 49.57 | -1.02 | 1019:00 | 1440.13 | 206.00 |
| Phillip Danault | MON | C | 4.9% | 53.3% | 8.00 | 18.00 | 26.00 | 93.00 | 67.00 | 51.00 | 26.00 | 0.41 | 1.05 | 1.46 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 1.43 | 1.10 | 612.11 | 535.31 | 20.67 | 65.69 | 3.27 | 1361:00 | 1717.53 | 279.00 |
| Boone Jenner | WAS | C | 21.1% | 53.3% | 14.00 | 22.00 | 36.00 | 168.00 | 156.00 | 78.00 | 41.00 | 1.13 | 2.02 | 3.16 | 0.85 | 0.69 | 1.54 | 2.02 | 285.07 | 249.34 | 22.13 | 70.94 | 16.04 | 1359:00 | 1729.40 | 417.00 |
| Adam Lowry | WPG | C | 5.7% | 53.2% | 9.00 | 17.00 | 26.00 | 92.00 | 156.00 | 54.00 | 39.00 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.62 | 0.53 | 1.15 | 1.64 | 623.39 | 548.43 | 20.75 | 56.09 | 1.88 | 1226:00 | 1743.11 | 267.00 |
| Sam Carrick | BUF | C | 0.1% | 53.0% | 7.00 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 77.00 | 113.00 | 34.00 | 71.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.68 | 0.36 | 1.04 | 1.12 | 343.24 | 304.45 | 14.46 | 43.37 | 3.19 | 895:00 | 1335.14 | 172.00 |
| Andrew Copp | DET | C | 9.2% | 53.0% | 11.00 | 28.00 | 38.00 | 112.00 | 36.00 | 58.00 | 22.00 | 1.72 | 5.16 | 6.88 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 1.62 | 1.45 | 519.21 | 460.93 | 20.61 | 64.62 | -8.89 | 1283:00 | 1699.41 | 350.00 |
| Radek Faksa | DAL | C | 0.1% | 53.0% | 4.00 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 61.00 | 109.00 | 57.00 | 23.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.73 | 0.90 | 1.63 | 0.60 | 383.66 | 340.78 | 16.71 | 46.71 | -1.61 | 1021:00 | 1442.20 | 183.00 |
| Pavel Zacha | BOS | C | 77.8% | 52.9% | 19.00 | 31.00 | 50.00 | 136.00 | 64.00 | 29.00 | 19.00 | 4.18 | 7.35 | 11.53 | 0.69 | 0.40 | 1.09 | 2.71 | 531.81 | 472.91 | 22.35 | 70.67 | 2.61 | 1457:00 | 1739.52 | 417.00 |
| Dylan Larkin | DET | C | 96.3% | 52.9% | 32.00 | 36.00 | 68.00 | 245.00 | 49.00 | 34.00 | 46.00 | 8.68 | 10.33 | 19.01 | 1.40 | 0.63 | 2.03 | 4.21 | 854.42 | 761.29 | 25.59 | 79.08 | -10.47 | 1633:00 | 1937.73 | 624.00 |
| Brayden Schenn | NYI | C | 28.0% | 52.8% | 20.00 | 29.00 | 49.00 | 137.00 | 187.00 | 45.00 | 53.00 | 4.97 | 7.65 | 12.61 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 2.56 | 490.08 | 438.38 | 21.56 | 64.28 | -1.17 | 1402:00 | 1737.57 | 406.00 |
| Barrett Hayton | UTA | C | 11.2% | 52.8% | 12.00 | 19.00 | 31.00 | 145.00 | 40.00 | 38.00 | 55.00 | 2.14 | 3.56 | 5.70 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.27 | 1.93 | 513.41 | 459.50 | 19.73 | 60.55 | 5.93 | 1275:00 | 1744.22 | 327.00 |
| Ben Meyers | SEA | C | 0.0% | 52.8% | 8.00 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 77.00 | 91.00 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 1.73 | 1.01 | 2.74 | 1.19 | 258.77 | 231.78 | 14.60 | 43.65 | -3.83 | 896:00 | 1292.10 | 148.00 |
| Cody Glass | NJ | C | 4.9% | 52.7% | 11.00 | 12.00 | 23.00 | 123.00 | 55.00 | 46.00 | 31.00 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 1.11 | 0.43 | 0.21 | 0.64 | 1.40 | 492.88 | 441.62 | 16.63 | 52.43 | -4.27 | 1102:00 | 1568.05 | 261.00 |
| Mika Zibanejad | NYR | C | 98.3% | 52.7% | 24.00 | 43.00 | 67.00 | 214.00 | 81.00 | 49.00 | 17.00 | 6.75 | 13.06 | 19.81 | 1.09 | 0.89 | 1.99 | 4.35 | 564.31 | 507.44 | 28.60 | 86.89 | 0.98 | 1615:00 | 1965.08 | 575.00 |
| Robert Thomas | STL | C | 92.8% | 52.6% | 23.00 | 54.00 | 77.00 | 145.00 | 12.00 | 48.00 | 29.00 | 5.23 | 14.60 | 19.84 | 1.28 | 1.12 | 2.40 | 2.83 | 742.78 | 670.50 | 27.63 | 87.80 | 1.76 | 1607:00 | 1975.82 | 614.00 |
| Michael McCarron | MIN | C | 7.3% | 52.5% | 8.00 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 117.00 | 200.00 | 69.00 | 92.00 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.35 | 0.70 | 0.51 | 1.21 | 1.38 | 544.20 | 493.10 | 19.19 | 52.32 | -4.87 | 1149:00 | 1535.75 | 237.00 |
| Arttu Hyry | DAL | C | 4.0% | 52.3% | 7.00 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 98.00 | 128.00 | 30.00 | 13.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1.22 | 0.47 | 1.69 | 1.05 | 389.33 | 355.60 | 15.27 | 48.26 | -1.50 | 954:00 | 1372.81 | 173.00 |
| Anton Lundell | FLA | C | 45.5% | 52.2% | 17.00 | 29.00 | 46.00 | 170.00 | 105.00 | 46.00 | 40.00 | 5.17 | 10.17 | 15.33 | 1.23 | 0.96 | 2.19 | 2.16 | 645.46 | 590.52 | 21.67 | 71.08 | 3.68 | 1436:00 | 1823.95 | 467.00 |
| Dylan Cozens | OTT | C | 90.3% | 52.0% | 25.00 | 37.00 | 61.00 | 214.00 | 212.00 | 29.00 | 50.00 | 7.35 | 11.87 | 19.22 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 3.57 | 473.12 | 436.75 | 22.15 | 66.44 | -0.70 | 1419:00 | 1909.12 | 537.00 |
| Lars Eller | FLA | C | 0.2% | 52.0% | 8.00 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 81.00 | 56.00 | 39.00 | 20.00 | 0.45 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 0.85 | 0.52 | 1.37 | 1.02 | 406.20 | 375.47 | 15.87 | 50.69 | 3.11 | 1010:00 | 1508.84 | 213.00 |
| Sebastian Aho | CAR | C | 98.8% | 51.9% | 33.00 | 48.00 | 81.00 | 216.00 | 56.00 | 24.00 | 51.00 | 11.18 | 18.47 | 29.65 | 1.37 | 1.03 | 2.40 | 4.73 | 640.46 | 592.46 | 26.65 | 86.33 | 0.50 | 1634:00 | 1873.63 | 681.00 |
| Sean Kuraly | BOS | C | 0.2% | 51.7% | 6.00 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 99.00 | 113.00 | 46.00 | 39.00 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.90 | 0.63 | 1.53 | 0.86 | 318.77 | 297.34 | 16.12 | 48.74 | 2.09 | 1014:00 | 1294.40 | 212.00 |
| Chandler Stephenson | SEA | C | 16.9% | 51.7% | 16.00 | 33.00 | 49.00 | 93.00 | 25.00 | 52.00 | 19.00 | 3.77 | 8.84 | 12.61 | 1.15 | 1.04 | 2.19 | 2.37 | 775.60 | 724.04 | 27.76 | 73.71 | -5.78 | 1578:00 | 1986.20 | 365.00 |
| Matt Duchene | DAL | C | 61.8% | 51.7% | 19.00 | 30.00 | 49.00 | 125.00 | 30.00 | 27.00 | 11.00 | 4.09 | 7.14 | 11.23 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.86 | 364.10 | 339.89 | 19.66 | 64.75 | -1.72 | 1259:00 | 1469.83 | 395.00 |
| Tim Stutzle | OTT | C | 99.5% | 51.7% | 30.00 | 51.00 | 81.00 | 204.00 | 126.00 | 45.00 | 37.00 | 8.20 | 16.93 | 25.13 | 1.68 | 1.10 | 2.78 | 4.28 | 312.97 | 292.90 | 28.47 | 84.56 | -0.84 | 1675:00 | 2108.78 | 678.00 |
| Sean Monahan | CLB | C | 18.7% | 51.6% | 16.00 | 26.00 | 42.00 | 130.00 | 43.00 | 41.00 | 12.00 | 2.80 | 5.14 | 7.94 | 0.98 | 0.61 | 1.59 | 2.10 | 728.18 | 681.97 | 24.04 | 70.38 | 1.71 | 1464:00 | 1870.55 | 398.00 |
| Ridly Greig | OTT | C | 14.8% | 51.4% | 13.00 | 20.00 | 33.00 | 134.00 | 114.00 | 52.00 | 73.00 | 1.30 | 2.27 | 3.56 | 1.02 | 0.69 | 1.71 | 1.85 | 267.39 | 253.08 | 22.40 | 64.72 | -0.80 | 1396:00 | 2048.00 | 339.00 |
| Jack McBain | UTA | C | 17.4% | 51.3% | 12.00 | 15.00 | 26.00 | 103.00 | 300.00 | 53.00 | 87.00 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 1.41 | 0.80 | 0.45 | 1.24 | 1.93 | 320.36 | 303.54 | 18.64 | 54.44 | 5.70 | 1121:00 | 1639.14 | 295.00 |
| Ty Dellandrea | SJ | C | 3.2% | 51.2% | 4.00 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 72.00 | 170.00 | 48.00 | 46.00 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 1.81 | 0.47 | 336.82 | 320.86 | 13.86 | 42.35 | -3.77 | 887:00 | 1166.85 | 127.00 |
| Shane Pinto | OTT | C | 37.1% | 51.2% | 24.00 | 26.00 | 51.00 | 173.00 | 93.00 | 58.00 | 36.00 | 4.04 | 4.60 | 8.64 | 1.94 | 0.99 | 2.93 | 3.42 | 443.91 | 423.48 | 24.11 | 67.69 | -0.79 | 1446:00 | 2018.46 | 492.00 |
| Joshua Norris | BUF | C | 38.9% | 51.1% | 21.00 | 32.00 | 53.00 | 132.00 | 62.00 | 50.00 | 47.00 | 5.61 | 9.37 | 14.98 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.46 | 3.35 | 575.35 | 551.32 | 22.03 | 64.43 | 4.15 | 1413:00 | 1872.92 | 466.00 |
| Sam Steel | DAL | C | 5.8% | 51.1% | 9.00 | 21.00 | 30.00 | 103.00 | 75.00 | 31.00 | 24.00 | 0.40 | 1.06 | 1.46 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.24 | 1.36 | 151.90 | 145.65 | 19.49 | 57.18 | -1.87 | 1214:00 | 1565.94 | 249.00 |
| Joe Veleno | NYR | C | 4.1% | 50.8% | 6.00 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 68.00 | 195.00 | 47.00 | 24.00 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1.14 | 0.80 | 1.94 | 1.09 | 247.41 | 239.20 | 16.31 | 45.17 | 0.70 | 976:00 | 1294.47 | 135.00 |
| Max Domi | TOR | C | 5.8% | 50.8% | 8.00 | 18.00 | 26.00 | 84.00 | 27.00 | 24.00 | 66.00 | 1.19 | 3.03 | 4.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.15 | 172.27 | 166.78 | 14.60 | 46.09 | 2.98 | 856:00 | 1097.75 | 215.00 |
| Nick Suzuki | MON | C | 100.0% | 50.8% | 31.00 | 61.00 | 92.00 | 183.00 | 72.00 | 60.00 | 23.00 | 7.87 | 19.77 | 27.64 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 1.08 | 4.28 | 715.36 | 692.70 | 28.65 | 83.68 | 3.53 | 1694:00 | 1822.15 | 767.00 |
| Nicolas Roy | COL | C | 4.9% | 50.7% | 16.00 | 19.00 | 35.00 | 105.00 | 79.00 | 43.00 | 36.00 | 1.76 | 2.28 | 4.04 | 0.96 | 0.59 | 1.55 | 3.28 | 407.61 | 395.98 | 20.51 | 60.32 | 18.86 | 1185:00 | 1598.14 | 313.00 |
| Nick Paul | TOR | C | 8.1% | 50.6% | 15.00 | 15.00 | 31.00 | 116.00 | 114.00 | 36.00 | 35.00 | 2.74 | 3.03 | 5.77 | 0.81 | 0.49 | 1.30 | 2.16 | 446.55 | 436.35 | 19.21 | 58.07 | 4.23 | 1244:00 | 1585.66 | 284.00 |
| Marco Kasper | DET | C | 28.1% | 50.5% | 13.00 | 16.00 | 29.00 | 141.00 | 182.00 | 51.00 | 33.00 | 1.20 | 1.61 | 2.82 | 0.46 | 0.25 | 0.71 | 1.71 | 263.29 | 257.92 | 17.70 | 55.66 | -8.34 | 1153:00 | 1540.75 | 308.00 |
| Dillon Dube | STL | C | 0.1% | 50.5% | 11.00 | 6.00 | 17.00 | 105.00 | 94.00 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 1.52 | 0.91 | 2.42 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.38 | 1.35 | 344.45 | 337.63 | 19.69 | 59.68 | 1.42 | 1218:00 | 1534.68 | 199.00 |
| Benoit-Olivier Groulx | TOR | C | 4.8% | 50.5% | 6.00 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 81.00 | 192.00 | 47.00 | 20.00 | 0.80 | 1.03 | 1.84 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 0.87 | 332.29 | 325.71 | 19.00 | 57.58 | 4.14 | 1175:00 | 1480.50 | 176.00 |
| Zach Dean | STL | C | 0.0% | 50.5% | 10.00 | 14.00 | 24.00 | 81.00 | 56.00 | 26.00 | 21.00 | 0.90 | 1.37 | 2.27 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 1.23 | 218.32 | 214.00 | 12.48 | 37.83 | 0.93 | 772:00 | 972.72 | 223.00 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | C | 100.0% | 50.5% | 44.00 | 82.00 | 126.00 | 367.00 | 57.00 | 43.00 | 35.00 | 12.59 | 25.63 | 38.23 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 9.02 | 712.46 | 698.99 | 28.38 | 109.52 | 25.59 | 1830:00 | 1948.60 | 1088.00 |
| Dominic James | TB | C | 5.6% | 50.4% | 12.00 | 24.00 | 36.00 | 117.00 | 117.00 | 25.00 | 18.00 | 1.11 | 2.40 | 3.50 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 1.62 | 255.68 | 251.26 | 16.31 | 49.71 | 7.94 | 965:00 | 1201.18 | 304.00 |
| Charlie Coyle | CLB | C | 49.4% | 50.3% | 16.00 | 36.00 | 52.00 | 127.00 | 105.00 | 56.00 | 16.00 | 3.48 | 9.15 | 12.63 | 1.18 | 1.06 | 2.25 | 2.10 | 554.51 | 547.59 | 25.98 | 65.88 | 1.62 | 1430:00 | 1808.27 | 436.00 |
| Blake Lizotte | PIT | C | 0.1% | 50.3% | 10.00 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 81.00 | 76.00 | 48.00 | 35.00 | 0.24 | 0.47 | 0.71 | 2.07 | 1.38 | 3.45 | 1.21 | 334.69 | 330.99 | 17.27 | 53.80 | 6.28 | 1086:00 | 1509.65 | 241.00 |
| Kai Uchacz | LV | C | 0.0% | 50.2% | 4.00 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 61.00 | 134.00 | 31.00 | 37.00 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.62 | 420.52 | 417.63 | 18.85 | 57.47 | -5.15 | 1172:00 | 1546.50 | 120.00 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | CAR | C | 3.2% | 50.2% | 8.00 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 82.00 | 87.00 | 27.00 | 28.00 | 0.28 | 0.46 | 0.75 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 1.15 | 300.27 | 298.25 | 15.55 | 50.65 | 0.38 | 1000:00 | 1290.03 | 212.00 |
| Brock Nelson | COL | C | 87.7% | 50.1% | 28.00 | 31.00 | 59.00 | 179.00 | 34.00 | 56.00 | 25.00 | 7.77 | 9.87 | 17.64 | 1.66 | 0.91 | 2.57 | 5.74 | 691.04 | 689.25 | 24.46 | 72.17 | 22.27 | 1562:00 | 1912.93 | 558.00 |
| Jansen Harkins | TB | C | 0.0% | 49.9% | 3.00 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 53.00 | 174.00 | 35.00 | 31.00 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 149.56 | 149.88 | 11.91 | 37.74 | 6.38 | 745:00 | 1034.97 | 97.00 |
| Isac Lundestrom | CLB | C | 0.0% | 49.9% | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 33.00 | 25.00 | 26.00 | 3.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 132.29 | 132.72 | 8.82 | 27.39 | 0.74 | 572:00 | 786.56 | 75.00 |
| Josh Samanski | EDM | C | 3.2% | 49.9% | 7.00 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 39.00 | 87.00 | 43.00 | 22.00 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.10 | 0.33 | 0.87 | 174.88 | 175.51 | 12.73 | 38.46 | -1.71 | 781:00 | 1175.39 | 156.00 |
| Mikael Granlund | ANA | C | 52.1% | 49.9% | 16.00 | 36.00 | 52.00 | 146.00 | 46.00 | 55.00 | 22.00 | 3.83 | 9.13 | 12.96 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 1.47 | 2.10 | 465.49 | 467.30 | 24.45 | 75.74 | -6.29 | 1513:00 | 1789.89 | 444.00 |
| Mark Jankowski | CAR | C | 0.2% | 49.9% | 12.00 | 10.00 | 22.00 | 75.00 | 45.00 | 46.00 | 22.00 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 1.96 | 0.86 | 0.54 | 1.39 | 1.72 | 402.51 | 404.08 | 14.80 | 47.00 | 0.35 | 952:00 | 1363.82 | 233.00 |
| Mikael Backlund | CGY | C | 13.7% | 49.8% | 13.00 | 19.00 | 32.00 | 182.00 | 34.00 | 32.00 | 21.00 | 1.07 | 1.77 | 2.83 | 1.14 | 0.92 | 2.05 | 1.81 | 742.66 | 748.10 | 25.69 | 76.61 | -18.65 | 1502:00 | 2001.92 | 360.00 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 99.9% | 49.8% | 41.00 | 96.00 | 137.00 | 273.00 | 50.00 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 11.68 | 38.52 | 50.20 | 1.34 | 0.92 | 2.26 | 5.11 | 467.70 | 471.64 | 29.61 | 102.04 | -3.39 | 1857:00 | 1884.99 | 1050.00 |
| Nick Bjugstad | NJ | C | 0.1% | 49.7% | 3.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 40.00 | 48.00 | 15.00 | 13.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 98.19 | 99.34 | 5.98 | 17.70 | -1.48 | 373:00 | 523.87 | 76.00 |
| Noah Laba | NYR | C | 11.2% | 49.7% | 9.00 | 18.00 | 27.00 | 88.00 | 124.00 | 48.00 | 42.00 | 0.54 | 1.21 | 1.75 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.90 | 1.63 | 357.77 | 362.33 | 16.45 | 50.65 | 0.76 | 1088:00 | 1563.03 | 264.00 |
| Jason Dickinson | EDM | C | 3.2% | 49.6% | 8.00 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 80.00 | 117.00 | 64.00 | 35.00 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 1.17 | 0.80 | 1.97 | 1.00 | 532.39 | 540.93 | 18.55 | 55.85 | -2.60 | 1178:00 | 1608.61 | 207.00 |
| Adam Fantilli | CLB | C | 92.0% | 49.6% | 32.00 | 37.00 | 69.00 | 227.00 | 143.00 | 57.00 | 31.00 | 6.94 | 8.85 | 15.79 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 0.23 | 4.21 | 538.55 | 547.29 | 25.00 | 76.41 | 1.68 | 1497:00 | 1659.33 | 624.00 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | SJ | C | 3.2% | 49.6% | 3.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 59.00 | 185.00 | 46.00 | 61.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.57 | 0.36 | 0.94 | 0.35 | 283.71 | 288.58 | 12.71 | 38.51 | -3.45 | 805:00 | 1180.53 | 116.00 |
| Oliver Moore | CHI | C | 21.7% | 49.5% | 9.00 | 23.00 | 32.00 | 99.00 | 40.00 | 20.00 | 35.00 | 1.17 | 3.25 | 4.42 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 0.23 | 1.08 | 152.48 | 155.47 | 17.03 | 51.23 | -11.35 | 1041:00 | 1417.45 | 224.00 |
| Matthew Poitras | BOS | C | 12.8% | 49.5% | 10.00 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 97.00 | 28.00 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.94 | 1.23 | 2.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.43 | 170.29 | 174.04 | 15.68 | 47.38 | 1.88 | 966:00 | 1253.69 | 197.00 |
| Konsta Helenius | BUF | C | 39.8% | 49.4% | 14.00 | 21.00 | 35.00 | 136.00 | 65.00 | 29.00 | 16.00 | 0.64 | 1.05 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.23 | 126.71 | 129.77 | 20.24 | 61.69 | 4.43 | 1278:00 | 1665.30 | 321.00 |
| Fraser Minten | BOS | C | 47.3% | 49.4% | 17.00 | 21.00 | 38.00 | 126.00 | 140.00 | 44.00 | 16.00 | 1.57 | 2.17 | 3.74 | 1.32 | 0.64 | 1.97 | 2.42 | 388.18 | 397.75 | 21.15 | 57.71 | 2.40 | 1225:00 | 1565.36 | 381.00 |
| Nic Dowd | LV | C | 3.2% | 49.3% | 9.00 | 14.00 | 22.00 | 68.00 | 140.00 | 59.00 | 58.00 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1.04 | 0.64 | 1.68 | 1.39 | 531.68 | 546.57 | 19.33 | 56.14 | -5.34 | 1188:00 | 1650.57 | 221.00 |
| Wyatt Johnston | DAL | C | 99.9% | 49.3% | 35.00 | 43.00 | 78.00 | 223.00 | 53.00 | 55.00 | 29.00 | 12.10 | 14.88 | 26.97 | 0.63 | 0.31 | 0.94 | 5.27 | 421.24 | 433.18 | 25.36 | 73.65 | -2.05 | 1630:00 | 1784.75 | 677.00 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | WAS | C | 42.3% | 49.2% | 16.00 | 37.00 | 52.00 | 123.00 | 70.00 | 46.00 | 70.00 | 3.29 | 8.06 | 11.35 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 2.31 | 555.32 | 572.39 | 21.56 | 68.19 | 15.03 | 1394:00 | 1777.84 | 448.00 |
| Filip Chytil | VAN | C | 6.4% | 49.2% | 19.00 | 17.00 | 35.00 | 161.00 | 25.00 | 22.00 | 26.00 | 2.50 | 2.44 | 4.94 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 2.67 | 366.94 | 378.65 | 18.15 | 54.85 | -11.29 | 1110:00 | 1373.18 | 319.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Faceoffs by matchup
Every center this season against his likely opposing centers, with expected draws, win rate and a range of outcomes.
Faceoffs This SeasonFaceoff leaders
Opponent-adjusted faceoff ratings with 90% intervals and strong- and weak-side splits.
Faceoff LeadersRelated Projections
Frequently Asked Questions
Faceoffs won over faceoffs taken, this season and the last two (recent seasons weighted most), shrunk toward the 50.5% center average with the weight of about 96 faceoffs.
Early in a season a center's record is a small sample. The projection pulls it toward his past seasons and the league average until enough draws back it up.
FO% is only shown for players projected to take at least three faceoffs a game. Below that, the rate is mostly noise and would crowd the top of the list.
Yes, but not in this table. Our Faceoffs This Season page projects each center against This Season's likely opposing centers, adjusted for home ice, dot side and handedness.
Projections by Category
Find projected leaders for specific stats
By Position
All players at each positionScoring Projections
Goals, assists, and points leaders
Peripheral Stats
SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts
Special Teams
Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points
Faceoff & Physical
Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-
Goalie Projections
Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA
Fantasy Points
Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel
NHL Team Projections
Click a team to see rest of season player projections
