NHL Projected Shorthanded Assists - Rest of Season
Shorthanded assists are even rarer than shorthanded goals. These projections estimate the share of each player's projected assists that come on the penalty kill, from his recent penalty-kill minutes and a rate that is shrunk almost all the way to the league average. The ranking mostly tells you who kills penalties.
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 798 players
💡
Forward-looking projections only
ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.
Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.
Shorthanded scoring is rare and streaky: even the leaders score only a few a season. These projections are driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time, with each team’s total held to the league’s shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists. How the model works
Sorted by Projected Short Handed Assists
726 playersShow
Skaters100 of 726
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | SHA† ↓ | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | PPG† | PPA† | PPP† | SHG† | SHP† | GWG† | FOW† | FOL† | FO%† | TK† | GV† | +/-† | TOI | SFT† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho | CAR | C | 99.7% | 1.58 | 36.00 | 53.00 | 89.00 | 213.00 | 51.00 | 30.00 | 55.00 | 12.50 | 20.00 | 32.50 | 1.65 | 3.22 | 4.83 | 610.19 | 559.29 | 52.2% | 22.85 | 82.64 | 6.99 | 1523:00 | 1746.82 | 752.00 |
| Jack Eichel | VGK | C | 99.9% | 1.48 | 34.00 | 64.00 | 98.00 | 259.00 | 28.00 | 48.00 | 17.00 | 10.04 | 28.50 | 38.54 | 1.48 | 2.96 | 5.27 | 573.45 | 637.88 | 47.3% | 27.86 | 89.53 | -2.15 | 1606:00 | 1684.17 | 865.00 |
| Blake Lizotte | PIT | C | 0.2% | 1.32 | 7.00 | 21.00 | 28.00 | 82.00 | 70.00 | 50.00 | 37.00 | 0.15 | 0.52 | 0.67 | 0.95 | 2.28 | 0.71 | 334.03 | 361.73 | 48.0% | 15.15 | 51.39 | 4.66 | 1015:00 | 1428.22 | 256.00 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | NSH | C | 81.0% | 1.32 | 22.00 | 40.00 | 61.00 | 139.00 | 20.00 | 65.00 | 25.00 | 6.28 | 13.09 | 19.36 | 1.58 | 2.90 | 3.52 | 710.59 | 591.90 | 54.6% | 28.05 | 68.66 | -9.15 | 1566:00 | 1854.03 | 488.00 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 99.7% | 1.30 | 41.00 | 98.00 | 139.00 | 256.00 | 54.00 | 30.00 | 37.00 | 11.22 | 40.21 | 51.44 | 1.73 | 3.03 | 5.42 | 451.92 | 462.36 | 49.4% | 29.15 | 96.76 | 6.48 | 1794:00 | 1863.55 | 1068.00 |
| Tim Stutzle | OTT | C | 99.7% | 1.27 | 35.00 | 53.00 | 88.00 | 176.00 | 131.00 | 48.00 | 31.00 | 11.03 | 20.23 | 31.27 | 2.37 | 3.65 | 5.66 | 340.83 | 306.91 | 52.6% | 26.40 | 83.21 | 4.96 | 1591:00 | 2010.03 | 713.00 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | LW | 99.3% | 1.26 | 40.00 | 47.00 | 87.00 | 237.00 | 53.00 | 53.00 | 53.00 | 11.62 | 15.74 | 27.36 | 2.14 | 3.40 | 5.25 | 24.62 | 30.51 | - | 30.35 | 77.37 | 8.49 | 1612:00 | 1842.96 | 770.00 |
| Sean Walker | CAR | D | 63.0% | 1.25 | 5.00 | 33.00 | 38.00 | 139.00 | 110.00 | 123.00 | 54.00 | 0.83 | 6.00 | 6.82 | 0.10 | 1.36 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.16 | 80.78 | 8.33 | 1520:00 | 1865.81 | 417.00 |
| Nolan Allan | SJS | D | 5.6% | 1.21 | 4.00 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 37.00 | 87.00 | 73.00 | 26.00 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 1.56 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 15.97 | 55.64 | -14.02 | 1072:00 | 1355.35 | 137.00 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | UTA | D | 98.3% | 1.21 | 13.00 | 55.00 | 68.00 | 157.00 | 53.00 | 120.00 | 46.00 | 5.06 | 24.67 | 29.74 | 0.26 | 1.47 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.86 | 99.31 | 6.56 | 1850:00 | 2254.64 | 631.00 |
| Erik Haula | LAK | C | 11.8% | 1.18 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 32.00 | 146.00 | 101.00 | 47.00 | 46.00 | 1.67 | 3.19 | 4.87 | 0.85 | 2.03 | 1.59 | 471.22 | 493.67 | 48.8% | 19.87 | 63.34 | 7.55 | 1250:00 | 1775.10 | 321.00 |
| Miro Heiskanen | DAL | D | 98.1% | 1.18 | 8.00 | 48.00 | 56.00 | 148.00 | 27.00 | 125.00 | 33.00 | 2.44 | 17.52 | 19.96 | 0.21 | 1.39 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.83 | 102.08 | 3.46 | 1996:00 | 1983.27 | 554.00 |
| Kevin Stenlund | UTA | C | 0.1% | 1.14 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 65.00 | 49.00 | 65.00 | 32.00 | 0.42 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.72 | 1.86 | 0.80 | 551.53 | 474.34 | 53.8% | 17.04 | 55.78 | 4.35 | 1079:00 | 1561.72 | 213.00 |
| Simon Holmstrom | NYI | RW | 14.8% | 1.09 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 38.00 | 105.00 | 20.00 | 48.00 | 12.00 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 5.79 | 1.15 | 2.24 | 2.05 | 5.54 | 6.86 | - | 21.63 | 62.00 | 0.23 | 1294:00 | 1705.15 | 342.00 |
| Teddy Blueger | TOR | C | 3.2% | 1.08 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 77.00 | 97.00 | 38.00 | 33.00 | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 1.09 | 2.17 | 0.76 | 389.57 | 403.55 | 49.1% | 17.79 | 53.00 | 2.10 | 1069:00 | 1448.34 | 184.00 |
| Anthony Cirelli | TBL | C | 46.0% | 1.07 | 20.00 | 27.00 | 47.00 | 139.00 | 52.00 | 62.00 | 40.00 | 3.29 | 4.76 | 8.04 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 2.63 | 615.46 | 645.95 | 48.8% | 22.74 | 69.10 | 8.26 | 1409:00 | 1830.91 | 474.00 |
| Shane Pinto | OTT | C | 43.7% | 1.07 | 20.00 | 33.00 | 54.00 | 154.00 | 110.00 | 51.00 | 43.00 | 4.88 | 9.45 | 14.33 | 1.26 | 2.33 | 3.24 | 459.98 | 444.71 | 50.8% | 24.77 | 66.98 | 4.77 | 1444:00 | 1984.23 | 486.00 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | STL | RW | 31.5% | 1.06 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 47.00 | 130.00 | 33.00 | 35.00 | 20.00 | 3.32 | 6.99 | 10.31 | 1.04 | 2.10 | 2.52 | 88.27 | 124.61 | - | 22.73 | 70.54 | 2.74 | 1439:00 | 1818.94 | 416.00 |
| Filip Hronek | VAN | D | 93.2% | 1.06 | 5.00 | 43.00 | 49.00 | 116.00 | 117.00 | 126.00 | 27.00 | 1.37 | 14.62 | 15.99 | 0.10 | 1.16 | 0.71 | 0.08 | 0.10 | - | 27.55 | 96.95 | -11.51 | 1852:00 | 2116.58 | 450.00 |
| Chris Tanev | TOR | D | 5.1% | 1.05 | 1.00 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 43.00 | 19.00 | 147.00 | 19.00 | 0.01 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 1.15 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 22.31 | 72.94 | 2.80 | 1410:00 | 2040.83 | 286.00 |
| Aliaksei Protas | WSH | LW | 52.3% | 1.05 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 49.00 | 151.00 | 29.00 | 42.00 | 19.00 | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.48 | 1.62 | 2.68 | 2.78 | 29.52 | 33.62 | - | 21.59 | 67.72 | 13.31 | 1337:00 | 1660.35 | 452.00 |
| Charlie McAvoy | BOS | D | 95.5% | 1.04 | 10.00 | 43.00 | 53.00 | 124.00 | 95.00 | 138.00 | 64.00 | 3.19 | 15.70 | 18.89 | 0.24 | 1.28 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.77 | 92.62 | 9.57 | 1797:00 | 2011.81 | 520.00 |
| Charlie Coyle | CBJ | C | 47.2% | 1.04 | 14.00 | 36.00 | 51.00 | 131.00 | 98.00 | 52.00 | 19.00 | 2.90 | 8.65 | 11.55 | 0.92 | 1.96 | 1.92 | 548.53 | 512.53 | 51.7% | 25.92 | 68.34 | 2.98 | 1389:00 | 1783.39 | 420.00 |
| Tom Wilson | WSH | RW | 94.2% | 1.04 | 26.00 | 31.00 | 57.00 | 156.00 | 206.00 | 69.00 | 95.00 | 5.58 | 7.04 | 12.62 | 1.67 | 2.71 | 3.28 | 14.32 | 17.46 | - | 22.37 | 76.96 | 13.16 | 1494:00 | 1796.15 | 545.00 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | NYI | C | 10.7% | 1.03 | 11.00 | 20.00 | 32.00 | 93.00 | 134.00 | 59.00 | 7.00 | 0.55 | 1.16 | 1.71 | 0.92 | 1.95 | 1.33 | 672.92 | 500.37 | 57.4% | 20.66 | 58.81 | 0.23 | 1264:00 | 1772.37 | 285.00 |
| Alex Tuch | WSH | RW | 93.8% | 1.02 | 29.00 | 26.00 | 55.00 | 186.00 | 71.00 | 85.00 | 41.00 | 4.73 | 4.49 | 9.22 | 2.12 | 3.14 | 3.66 | 60.01 | 72.32 | - | 31.56 | 71.45 | 13.71 | 1499:00 | 1913.92 | 580.00 |
| Jake McCabe | TOR | D | 27.4% | 1.02 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 18.00 | 72.00 | 116.00 | 158.00 | 56.00 | 0.20 | 1.12 | 1.31 | 0.18 | 1.20 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 22.60 | 89.04 | 3.20 | 1641:00 | 2173.28 | 319.00 |
| Mike Matheson | MTL | D | 78.8% | 0.99 | 5.00 | 21.00 | 26.00 | 116.00 | 54.00 | 149.00 | 46.00 | 0.22 | 1.01 | 1.23 | 0.19 | 1.18 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.18 | 96.51 | 7.27 | 1869:00 | 2034.43 | 356.00 |
| Bo Horvat | NYI | C | 92.4% | 0.97 | 37.00 | 32.00 | 69.00 | 247.00 | 80.00 | 39.00 | 31.00 | 11.29 | 9.77 | 21.06 | 1.54 | 2.50 | 4.47 | 741.50 | 586.06 | 55.9% | 23.96 | 81.29 | 0.25 | 1591:00 | 1818.78 | 663.00 |
| Zach Werenski | CBJ | D | 99.6% | 0.97 | 17.00 | 57.00 | 74.00 | 265.00 | 23.00 | 128.00 | 20.00 | 4.66 | 17.97 | 22.63 | 0.26 | 1.22 | 2.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 32.56 | 116.12 | 4.66 | 2130:00 | 2160.08 | 773.00 |
| Esa Lindell | DAL | D | 31.8% | 0.96 | 4.00 | 20.00 | 24.00 | 80.00 | 36.00 | 161.00 | 18.00 | 0.30 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 0.18 | 1.14 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.31 | 94.43 | 3.41 | 1771:00 | 1895.37 | 387.00 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | CHI | LW | 11.0% | 0.96 | 13.00 | 24.00 | 37.00 | 86.00 | 17.00 | 32.00 | 7.00 | 1.66 | 3.65 | 5.32 | 1.11 | 2.07 | 1.52 | 50.84 | 58.17 | - | 19.35 | 63.45 | -15.59 | 1256:00 | 1603.45 | 278.00 |
| Mikael Granlund | ANA | C | 63.7% | 0.96 | 17.00 | 41.00 | 58.00 | 146.00 | 39.00 | 57.00 | 19.00 | 5.04 | 14.36 | 19.40 | 1.01 | 1.97 | 2.02 | 470.32 | 493.98 | 48.8% | 23.61 | 75.22 | -5.74 | 1504:00 | 1818.70 | 492.00 |
| Robert Thomas | STL | C | 85.3% | 0.95 | 20.00 | 50.00 | 71.00 | 137.00 | 14.00 | 47.00 | 28.00 | 3.78 | 11.17 | 14.95 | 0.88 | 1.83 | 2.80 | 727.83 | 661.41 | 52.4% | 25.58 | 85.90 | 2.89 | 1527:00 | 1907.59 | 559.00 |
| Philip Broberg | STL | D | 59.7% | 0.94 | 6.00 | 32.00 | 38.00 | 108.00 | 39.00 | 97.00 | 20.00 | 0.56 | 3.41 | 3.97 | 0.16 | 1.10 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.75 | 91.73 | 3.54 | 1699:00 | 1982.20 | 414.00 |
| Ryan Winterton | SEA | RW | 5.7% | 0.93 | 7.00 | 23.00 | 30.00 | 100.00 | 79.00 | 48.00 | 17.00 | 0.16 | 0.62 | 0.78 | 0.62 | 1.55 | 1.07 | 6.69 | 6.67 | - | 15.02 | 46.27 | 0.25 | 946:00 | 1319.72 | 276.00 |
| Travis Sanheim | PHI | D | 65.3% | 0.92 | 7.00 | 23.00 | 31.00 | 106.00 | 57.00 | 143.00 | 36.00 | 0.60 | 2.09 | 2.69 | 0.25 | 1.17 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.48 | 102.08 | -15.59 | 1880:00 | 2260.71 | 337.00 |
| Connor Dewar | PIT | LW | 3.4% | 0.90 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 22.00 | 104.00 | 134.00 | 49.00 | 24.00 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 1.48 | 2.38 | 1.01 | 54.47 | 58.67 | - | 15.65 | 46.32 | 4.65 | 1009:00 | 1375.54 | 267.00 |
| Mikael Backlund | CGY | C | 12.0% | 0.89 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 31.00 | 187.00 | 35.00 | 32.00 | 18.00 | 0.63 | 0.99 | 1.62 | 1.04 | 1.93 | 1.64 | 703.20 | 718.78 | 49.5% | 22.81 | 74.37 | -28.44 | 1428:00 | 1887.00 | 354.00 |
| Tye Kartye | NYR | LW | 8.1% | 0.89 | 13.00 | 20.00 | 32.00 | 88.00 | 216.00 | 41.00 | 47.00 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 1.20 | 2.08 | 1.44 | 8.17 | 10.20 | - | 13.79 | 40.38 | 11.47 | 914:00 | 1312.47 | 278.00 |
| Brock Nelson | COL | C | 86.6% | 0.89 | 26.00 | 29.00 | 54.00 | 172.00 | 35.00 | 57.00 | 25.00 | 5.57 | 7.12 | 12.69 | 1.48 | 2.36 | 3.88 | 665.33 | 660.24 | 50.2% | 22.77 | 68.28 | 13.81 | 1477:00 | 1834.13 | 526.00 |
| Anton Lundell | FLA | C | 42.0% | 0.89 | 15.00 | 26.00 | 41.00 | 174.00 | 101.00 | 41.00 | 35.00 | 4.30 | 8.43 | 12.73 | 1.03 | 1.92 | 2.01 | 600.62 | 562.39 | 51.6% | 19.25 | 70.48 | 1.95 | 1363:00 | 1734.93 | 415.00 |
| Jake Evans | MTL | C | 4.9% | 0.89 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 23.00 | 81.00 | 96.00 | 60.00 | 23.00 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 1.15 | 2.04 | 1.51 | 551.89 | 472.36 | 53.9% | 20.51 | 55.92 | 4.69 | 1197:00 | 1543.87 | 235.00 |
| Elias Pettersson | VAN | C | 93.4% | 0.88 | 16.00 | 45.00 | 62.00 | 144.00 | 125.00 | 86.00 | 12.00 | 4.10 | 13.93 | 18.03 | 0.70 | 1.58 | 2.26 | 649.19 | 722.81 | 47.3% | 26.19 | 69.61 | -8.51 | 1446:00 | 1737.58 | 523.00 |
| Owen Power | BUF | D | 70.5% | 0.87 | 9.00 | 37.00 | 46.00 | 104.00 | 22.00 | 81.00 | 19.00 | 2.44 | 10.08 | 12.51 | 0.19 | 1.06 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.18 | 87.87 | 3.87 | 1760:00 | 2050.10 | 400.00 |
| Sean Couturier | PHI | C | 8.3% | 0.87 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 27.00 | 109.00 | 91.00 | 31.00 | 26.00 | 0.46 | 1.27 | 1.73 | 0.83 | 1.70 | 0.97 | 607.74 | 510.11 | 54.4% | 21.32 | 63.67 | -10.68 | 1294:00 | 1718.44 | 239.00 |
| Chandler Stephenson | SEA | C | 24.0% | 0.87 | 13.00 | 41.00 | 54.00 | 77.00 | 18.00 | 40.00 | 32.00 | 2.71 | 11.35 | 14.06 | 0.59 | 1.46 | 1.99 | 745.51 | 665.31 | 52.8% | 31.77 | 67.88 | 0.33 | 1451:00 | 1857.45 | 369.00 |
| Mitch Marner | VGK | RW | 98.9% | 0.85 | 23.00 | 55.00 | 78.00 | 168.00 | 31.00 | 47.00 | 19.00 | 7.14 | 20.90 | 28.05 | 0.82 | 1.67 | 3.56 | 95.74 | 128.45 | - | 31.90 | 93.46 | -2.12 | 1575:00 | 1699.42 | 623.00 |
| Connor Brown | NJD | RW | 5.8% | 0.85 | 14.00 | 24.00 | 38.00 | 118.00 | 24.00 | 36.00 | 16.00 | 2.28 | 4.38 | 6.67 | 0.99 | 1.84 | 1.80 | 12.10 | 15.12 | - | 18.46 | 54.69 | -5.24 | 1135:00 | 1331.38 | 346.00 |
| Bryan Rust | PIT | RW | 82.9% | 0.85 | 28.00 | 30.00 | 58.00 | 184.00 | 43.00 | 63.00 | 23.00 | 5.56 | 7.00 | 12.56 | 1.71 | 2.57 | 2.84 | 6.49 | 8.08 | - | 21.71 | 71.11 | 5.99 | 1467:00 | 1742.48 | 525.00 |
| Andrew Copp | DET | C | 8.3% | 0.85 | 9.00 | 25.00 | 34.00 | 112.00 | 41.00 | 56.00 | 22.00 | 1.59 | 5.50 | 7.09 | 0.69 | 1.54 | 1.01 | 545.21 | 478.51 | 53.3% | 19.00 | 66.44 | -8.27 | 1271:00 | 1687.69 | 312.00 |
| Lars Eller | FLA | C | 4.1% | 0.85 | 6.00 | 20.00 | 25.00 | 71.00 | 52.00 | 37.00 | 21.00 | 0.88 | 3.55 | 4.42 | 0.54 | 1.38 | 0.80 | 387.95 | 367.19 | 51.4% | 15.45 | 50.93 | 1.59 | 989:00 | 1413.41 | 238.00 |
| Devon Toews | COL | D | 72.7% | 0.84 | 8.00 | 34.00 | 43.00 | 128.00 | 39.00 | 90.00 | 30.00 | 1.72 | 8.69 | 10.41 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 33.42 | 93.36 | 17.92 | 1828:00 | 2173.11 | 479.00 |
| Phillip Danault | MTL | C | 4.9% | 0.84 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 24.00 | 97.00 | 63.00 | 44.00 | 22.00 | 0.28 | 0.76 | 1.03 | 0.66 | 1.50 | 1.17 | 585.87 | 506.02 | 53.7% | 18.53 | 60.49 | 5.00 | 1296:00 | 1680.24 | 264.00 |
| Nico Hischier | NJD | C | 95.3% | 0.84 | 30.00 | 33.00 | 63.00 | 196.00 | 46.00 | 59.00 | 18.00 | 9.21 | 10.24 | 19.45 | 1.29 | 2.14 | 3.87 | 933.44 | 767.02 | 54.9% | 24.74 | 71.94 | -6.78 | 1595:00 | 1825.11 | 591.00 |
| Cale Makar | COL | D | 100.0% | 0.84 | 24.00 | 61.00 | 85.00 | 209.00 | 33.00 | 115.00 | 20.00 | 9.26 | 26.85 | 36.11 | 0.27 | 1.12 | 3.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.77 | 94.78 | 16.60 | 1872:00 | 1938.89 | 798.00 |
| Mika Zibanejad | NYR | C | 98.2% | 0.84 | 22.00 | 46.00 | 68.00 | 192.00 | 95.00 | 56.00 | 17.00 | 6.35 | 14.89 | 21.24 | 1.14 | 1.98 | 2.43 | 545.32 | 478.07 | 53.3% | 26.23 | 82.77 | 16.01 | 1532:00 | 1843.84 | 578.00 |
| Parker Kelly | COL | LW | 17.7% | 0.83 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 90.00 | 169.00 | 61.00 | 28.00 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 0.98 | 1.81 | 1.64 | 119.19 | 148.60 | 44.5% | 16.34 | 51.65 | 10.41 | 988:00 | 1420.34 | 298.00 |
| Jackson LaCombe | ANA | D | 97.5% | 0.83 | 10.00 | 47.00 | 57.00 | 141.00 | 70.00 | 131.00 | 26.00 | 3.66 | 18.75 | 22.41 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 1.19 | 0.08 | 0.10 | - | 34.90 | 98.40 | -7.42 | 1869:00 | 2121.34 | 538.00 |
| Ty Dellandrea | SJS | C | 0.1% | 0.83 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 66.00 | 159.00 | 47.00 | 41.00 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.91 | 1.74 | 0.45 | 308.66 | 302.44 | 50.5% | 13.52 | 39.81 | -10.95 | 839:00 | 1090.92 | 112.00 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | NYR | D | 57.5% | 0.82 | 7.00 | 26.00 | 33.00 | 104.00 | 55.00 | 118.00 | 25.00 | 0.52 | 2.03 | 2.55 | 0.19 | 1.01 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 20.97 | 88.31 | 21.14 | 1715:00 | 2000.39 | 404.00 |
| Noah Warren | ANA | D | 11.3% | 0.81 | 3.00 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 63.00 | 66.00 | 81.00 | 28.00 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 1.02 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 13.72 | 52.86 | -4.82 | 1043:00 | 1518.07 | 233.00 |
| Ryan McDonagh | TBL | D | 6.5% | 0.80 | 3.00 | 21.00 | 24.00 | 62.00 | 28.00 | 120.00 | 19.00 | 0.09 | 0.66 | 0.74 | 0.09 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.05 | 80.92 | 9.80 | 1519:00 | 1914.46 | 335.00 |
| Sam Steel | DAL | C | 5.8% | 0.80 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 29.00 | 97.00 | 67.00 | 32.00 | 21.00 | 0.28 | 0.73 | 1.02 | 0.83 | 1.63 | 1.32 | 145.61 | 140.13 | 51.0% | 17.64 | 56.31 | 2.27 | 1174:00 | 1475.21 | 257.00 |
| Mattias Samuelsson | BUF | D | 75.9% | 0.80 | 7.00 | 25.00 | 32.00 | 92.00 | 116.00 | 118.00 | 34.00 | 0.34 | 1.32 | 1.66 | 0.21 | 1.01 | 1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.35 | 86.51 | 4.03 | 1665:00 | 1976.68 | 364.00 |
| Ryan McLeod | BUF | C | 21.6% | 0.79 | 12.00 | 24.00 | 36.00 | 80.00 | 16.00 | 29.00 | 17.00 | 1.99 | 4.73 | 6.72 | 1.09 | 1.89 | 2.12 | 551.16 | 556.09 | 49.8% | 20.69 | 67.76 | 2.76 | 1253:00 | 1739.15 | 258.00 |
| Tim Washe | ANA | C | 8.5% | 0.79 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 69.00 | 195.00 | 61.00 | 30.00 | 0.55 | 1.01 | 1.55 | 1.16 | 1.95 | 0.71 | 491.24 | 428.69 | 53.4% | 15.34 | 45.23 | -4.35 | 994:00 | 1434.93 | 168.00 |
| J.T. Miller | NYR | C | 90.1% | 0.79 | 19.00 | 46.00 | 66.00 | 145.00 | 144.00 | 42.00 | 48.00 | 4.85 | 14.02 | 18.87 | 0.68 | 1.47 | 2.10 | 613.80 | 439.95 | 58.2% | 22.05 | 77.36 | 15.22 | 1444:00 | 1874.78 | 519.00 |
| Zachary Benson | BUF | LW | 53.2% | 0.79 | 12.00 | 36.00 | 48.00 | 145.00 | 72.00 | 34.00 | 51.00 | 3.46 | 11.90 | 15.36 | 0.66 | 1.46 | 2.12 | 16.23 | 20.28 | - | 19.83 | 60.90 | 2.54 | 1281:00 | 1606.24 | 422.00 |
| Nick Paul | TOR | C | 8.1% | 0.79 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 33.00 | 102.00 | 118.00 | 49.00 | 34.00 | 2.08 | 3.14 | 5.22 | 1.27 | 2.06 | 1.77 | 396.71 | 411.08 | 49.1% | 18.14 | 53.59 | 2.15 | 1188:00 | 1521.31 | 282.00 |
| Ben Meyers | SEA | C | 5.8% | 0.79 | 8.00 | 18.00 | 26.00 | 71.00 | 91.00 | 24.00 | 21.00 | 0.18 | 0.50 | 0.68 | 1.19 | 1.97 | 1.22 | 208.32 | 200.62 | 50.9% | 13.26 | 40.06 | 0.22 | 857:00 | 1282.99 | 193.00 |
| Mark Kastelic | BOS | C | 16.1% | 0.78 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 27.00 | 82.00 | 204.00 | 65.00 | 94.00 | 0.15 | 0.41 | 0.55 | 0.76 | 1.55 | 1.12 | 260.25 | 198.91 | 56.7% | 17.19 | 42.21 | 5.45 | 903:00 | 1263.45 | 285.00 |
| Aaron Ekblad | FLA | D | 43.3% | 0.78 | 4.00 | 26.00 | 30.00 | 111.00 | 97.00 | 88.00 | 62.00 | 1.31 | 9.21 | 10.53 | 0.10 | 0.88 | 0.53 | 0.32 | 0.39 | - | 23.24 | 85.77 | 2.57 | 1681:00 | 2068.66 | 326.00 |
| Evan Bouchard | EDM | D | 99.9% | 0.78 | 25.00 | 64.00 | 89.00 | 216.00 | 34.00 | 94.00 | 26.00 | 9.51 | 29.40 | 38.90 | 0.26 | 1.05 | 3.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.19 | 104.81 | 7.01 | 1913:00 | 2066.32 | 835.00 |
| Lawson Crouse | UTA | RW | 32.8% | 0.78 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 34.00 | 134.00 | 195.00 | 47.00 | 43.00 | 1.39 | 1.68 | 3.07 | 1.59 | 2.37 | 2.27 | 25.52 | 32.75 | - | 18.39 | 54.39 | 4.71 | 1177:00 | 1680.60 | 372.00 |
| Noah Dobson | MTL | D | 93.8% | 0.77 | 9.00 | 30.00 | 38.00 | 162.00 | 71.00 | 157.00 | 39.00 | 1.56 | 5.49 | 7.04 | 0.18 | 0.96 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.15 | 95.25 | 6.56 | 1771:00 | 2120.84 | 462.00 |
| Jacob Trouba | SJS | D | 70.1% | 0.77 | 6.00 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 141.00 | 147.00 | 164.00 | 49.00 | 0.54 | 1.91 | 2.45 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 21.84 | 88.69 | -21.68 | 1699:00 | 2055.32 | 392.00 |
| Jack Drury | NSH | C | 4.8% | 0.77 | 8.00 | 16.00 | 24.00 | 97.00 | 49.00 | 62.00 | 33.00 | 0.22 | 0.50 | 0.72 | 1.04 | 1.81 | 1.28 | 484.44 | 401.28 | 54.7% | 18.95 | 47.82 | -7.52 | 1074:00 | 1442.76 | 279.00 |
| Brayden McNabb | VGK | D | 39.0% | 0.77 | 3.00 | 20.00 | 23.00 | 86.00 | 127.00 | 152.00 | 27.00 | 0.06 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.10 | 0.87 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 20.25 | 77.90 | -2.55 | 1518:00 | 1960.31 | 399.00 |
| K'Andre Miller | CAR | D | 60.3% | 0.76 | 8.00 | 25.00 | 33.00 | 123.00 | 105.00 | 91.00 | 43.00 | 1.66 | 5.29 | 6.94 | 0.13 | 0.89 | 1.07 | 0.28 | 0.35 | - | 29.13 | 87.70 | 9.12 | 1696:00 | 1996.18 | 351.00 |
| Adam Pelech | NYI | D | 3.3% | 0.76 | 2.00 | 18.00 | 20.00 | 110.00 | 68.00 | 115.00 | 44.00 | 0.12 | 1.18 | 1.30 | 0.06 | 0.83 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.21 | 84.80 | 0.31 | 1637:00 | 2181.09 | 304.00 |
| Ryan Pulock | NYI | D | 8.2% | 0.75 | 3.00 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 81.00 | 60.00 | 143.00 | 17.00 | 0.10 | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.10 | 0.85 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.68 | 84.33 | 0.31 | 1616:00 | 2175.25 | 308.00 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | ANA | D | 27.5% | 0.75 | 6.00 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 91.00 | 56.00 | 125.00 | 24.00 | 0.75 | 2.51 | 3.25 | 0.17 | 0.92 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 19.67 | 73.20 | -6.36 | 1429:00 | 1918.68 | 320.00 |
| Michael McCarron | MIN | C | 10.7% | 0.75 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 107.00 | 192.00 | 77.00 | 72.00 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.61 | 1.36 | 1.14 | 508.90 | 469.10 | 52.0% | 17.70 | 50.28 | -3.47 | 1082:00 | 1384.29 | 250.00 |
| Mikey Anderson | LAK | D | 7.4% | 0.75 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 73.00 | 113.00 | 139.00 | 27.00 | 0.07 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.07 | 0.82 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 20.86 | 82.79 | 10.90 | 1668:00 | 1949.81 | 297.00 |
| Kaedan Korczak | PIT | D | 16.9% | 0.75 | 1.00 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 67.00 | 88.00 | 103.00 | 16.00 | 0.03 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.03 | 0.78 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 16.06 | 65.62 | 5.62 | 1223:00 | 1531.32 | 273.00 |
| Radek Faksa | DAL | C | 0.1% | 0.75 | 3.00 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 58.00 | 100.00 | 54.00 | 20.00 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.40 | 1.15 | 0.44 | 339.50 | 319.58 | 51.5% | 15.83 | 42.60 | 1.89 | 962:00 | 1358.83 | 179.00 |
| Alex Formenton | EDM | LW | 8.9% | 0.74 | 13.00 | 11.00 | 24.00 | 145.00 | 114.00 | 36.00 | 48.00 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 1.09 | 1.17 | 1.91 | 1.72 | 7.02 | 8.43 | - | 17.19 | 52.29 | 4.93 | 1157:00 | 1779.07 | 296.00 |
| Victor Hedman | TBL | D | 84.7% | 0.74 | 9.00 | 31.00 | 39.00 | 144.00 | 47.00 | 113.00 | 31.00 | 1.31 | 5.09 | 6.40 | 0.17 | 0.91 | 1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.24 | 87.07 | 10.11 | 1638:00 | 2004.97 | 456.00 |
| Seth Jones | FLA | D | 75.6% | 0.74 | 9.00 | 43.00 | 52.00 | 169.00 | 81.00 | 84.00 | 26.00 | 3.91 | 21.53 | 25.44 | 0.14 | 0.89 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 28.71 | 98.58 | 2.72 | 1914:00 | 2105.05 | 495.00 |
| Brady Skjei | NSH | D | 16.6% | 0.74 | 5.00 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 109.00 | 69.00 | 79.00 | 37.00 | 0.78 | 3.68 | 4.46 | 0.19 | 0.93 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.81 | 90.09 | -11.51 | 1713:00 | 2076.30 | 272.00 |
| Mark Stone | VGK | RW | 94.7% | 0.73 | 25.00 | 49.00 | 74.00 | 158.00 | 57.00 | 57.00 | 20.00 | 7.92 | 20.91 | 28.82 | 1.20 | 1.93 | 3.87 | 7.25 | 9.02 | - | 24.11 | 71.75 | -1.96 | 1470:00 | 1622.74 | 660.00 |
| Marcus Pettersson | NYR | D | 5.7% | 0.73 | 2.00 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 64.00 | 87.00 | 129.00 | 37.00 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 0.79 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.45 | 82.60 | 20.30 | 1621:00 | 1899.16 | 284.00 |
| Samuel Honzek | CGY | LW | 13.6% | 0.73 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 83.00 | 110.00 | 25.00 | 15.00 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 1.04 | 1.76 | 1.01 | 13.21 | 15.08 | - | 12.53 | 41.72 | -16.98 | 839:00 | 1171.77 | 171.00 |
| Jaccob Slavin | CAR | D | 21.5% | 0.73 | 3.00 | 19.00 | 21.00 | 113.00 | 21.00 | 135.00 | 6.00 | 0.13 | 0.89 | 1.02 | 0.08 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 28.06 | 79.18 | 9.50 | 1654:00 | 1919.46 | 377.00 |
| Boone Jenner | WSH | C | 23.1% | 0.73 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 36.00 | 166.00 | 149.00 | 76.00 | 39.00 | 0.72 | 0.93 | 1.65 | 1.15 | 1.87 | 2.15 | 330.22 | 275.01 | 54.6% | 19.74 | 63.67 | 12.72 | 1289:00 | 1653.32 | 423.00 |
| Frank Nazar | CHI | C | 49.4% | 0.72 | 21.00 | 28.00 | 48.00 | 158.00 | 41.00 | 46.00 | 30.00 | 4.39 | 6.97 | 11.36 | 1.23 | 1.95 | 2.46 | 415.26 | 457.21 | 47.6% | 22.31 | 70.15 | -15.03 | 1292:00 | 1560.69 | 396.00 |
| Martin Fehervary | WSH | D | 25.1% | 0.72 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 61.00 | 124.00 | 164.00 | 34.00 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.83 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 18.83 | 77.28 | 15.41 | 1532:00 | 1733.58 | 336.00 |
| Michael Amadio | OTT | RW | 6.0% | 0.72 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 33.00 | 94.00 | 80.00 | 49.00 | 18.00 | 0.56 | 0.74 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.52 | 2.43 | 14.08 | 16.92 | - | 23.75 | 56.96 | 4.56 | 1195:00 | 1719.99 | 305.00 |
| Colton Parayko | STL | D | 36.3% | 0.72 | 5.00 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 116.00 | 94.00 | 168.00 | 20.00 | 0.16 | 0.66 | 0.82 | 0.13 | 0.84 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.66 | 91.35 | 3.77 | 1772:00 | 2214.47 | 388.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Start from total assists. Each player's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model this season (LineupExperts for longer ranges); assists and ice time from LineupExperts. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.
Nearly pooled rates. Individual shorthanded assist rates barely repeat from season to season, so the model leans on the league average for the position, scaled by penalty-kill minutes.
Team check. Each team's projected shorthanded assists are scaled to the league's shorthanded share of that team's projected assists.
Variance warning
totals are small and noisy. In our backtest the top predicted deciles were off by more than 10% in both test seasons, so treat this page as a deployment guide.
💡
Pro Tip: Shorthanded assists are bonus production. Do not pick a player for them alone.
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Frequently Asked Questions
LineupExperts' projected assists are split by strength using recent penalty-kill minutes times a shorthanded assist rate shrunk heavily toward the league average, then each team's total is scaled to the league shorthanded share of its projected assists.
Players with the most penalty-kill time, forwards and defensemen alike. The model has little player-specific signal beyond ice time.
Rarely. They are too infrequent and too noisy to chase; they reward owning regular penalty killers.
It beats a naive per-game rate comfortably, but its calibration at the top failed our ±10% bar in both backtest seasons. It is one of our least certain categories.
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