NHL Projected Goalie Losses - Rest of Season
Some points leagues subtract points for goalie losses. These are LineupExperts' projected regulation losses, shown as published: for the rest of the season, the chance a goalie starts and loses in regulation; over longer intervals, expected losses. The list opens with the goalies projected to take the most losses, useful for leagues that subtract for losses. Overtime and shootout losses are a separate column (OTL).
Season Outlook: Oct 4 through Apr 10, 2027
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 4:37 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 72 players
What counts
a regulation loss charged to the goalie of record. Overtime and shootout losses are counted separately as OTL.
Where the numbers come from
LineupExperts' goalie projections, shown as published.
Reading the list
most projected losses first. Busy starters on weak teams top it; a goalie with many starts can carry many losses and still be worth starting for wins and saves, so read losses next to starts and wins.
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Pro Tip: In leagues that subtract for losses, the goalies near the top are the riskiest starts. Compare their projected wins before benching them.
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Forward-looking projections only
ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.
Sorted by Projected Goaltending Losses
72 playersShow
Goalies72 of 72
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | L ↓ | GS | W | OTL | SV | GA | SA | SV% | GAA† | MIN† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | NSH | G | 84.4% | 28.00 | 60.00 | 27.00 | 5.00 | 1595.0 | 176.0 | 1779.0 | 89.6% | 2.95 | 3584:22 | 573.00 |
| John Gibson | DET | G | 71.5% | 26.00 | 57.00 | 25.00 | 5.00 | 1467.0 | 150.0 | 1617.0 | 90.7% | 2.65 | 3393:03 | 565.00 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | G | 66.0% | 26.00 | 53.00 | 21.00 | 6.00 | 1396.0 | 159.0 | 1545.0 | 90.4% | 3.01 | 3164:48 | 477.00 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJ | G | 77.4% | 26.00 | 60.00 | 27.00 | 7.00 | 1615.0 | 195.0 | 1819.0 | 88.8% | 3.27 | 3577:12 | 524.00 |
| Carter Hart | LV | G | 86.6% | 25.00 | 60.00 | 30.00 | 5.00 | 1510.0 | 167.0 | 1682.0 | 89.7% | 2.79 | 3589:39 | 561.00 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | G | 96.9% | 25.00 | 60.00 | 29.00 | 6.00 | 1615.0 | 158.0 | 1750.0 | 92.3% | 2.64 | 3593:37 | 667.00 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | G | 78.7% | 25.00 | 53.00 | 23.00 | 5.00 | 1394.0 | 157.0 | 1552.0 | 89.8% | 2.96 | 3177:58 | 486.00 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | G | 53.8% | 24.00 | 52.00 | 24.00 | 4.00 | 1337.0 | 136.0 | 1473.0 | 90.8% | 2.62 | 3111:56 | 528.00 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | BUF | G | 76.8% | 24.00 | 60.00 | 31.00 | 5.00 | 1512.0 | 174.0 | 1686.0 | 89.7% | 2.90 | 3593:58 | 556.00 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | G | 45.1% | 24.00 | 60.00 | 30.00 | 6.00 | 1520.0 | 185.0 | 1718.0 | 88.5% | 3.09 | 3594:22 | 520.00 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | G | 98.3% | 24.00 | 60.00 | 32.00 | 5.00 | 1524.0 | 151.0 | 1664.0 | 91.6% | 2.52 | 3590:21 | 648.00 |
| Jet Greaves | CLB | G | 85.6% | 24.00 | 60.00 | 31.00 | 5.00 | 1570.0 | 162.0 | 1729.0 | 90.8% | 2.69 | 3607:33 | 625.00 |
| Igor Shesterkin | NYR | G | 93.3% | 23.00 | 55.00 | 28.00 | 5.00 | 1449.0 | 141.0 | 1596.0 | 90.8% | 2.57 | 3292:21 | 597.00 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | G | 80.7% | 23.00 | 57.00 | 28.00 | 5.00 | 1531.0 | 172.0 | 1699.0 | 90.2% | 3.02 | 3416:37 | 550.00 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | G | 88.1% | 22.00 | 53.00 | 27.00 | 4.00 | 1388.0 | 144.0 | 1520.0 | 91.3% | 2.72 | 3172:23 | 543.00 |
| Darcy Kuemper | LA | G | 58.0% | 22.00 | 50.00 | 25.00 | 4.00 | 1280.0 | 143.0 | 1431.0 | 89.5% | 2.87 | 2988:11 | 478.00 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | G | 96.9% | 22.00 | 53.00 | 26.00 | 5.00 | 1408.0 | 144.0 | 1559.0 | 90.3% | 2.72 | 3177:58 | 561.00 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | G | 94.1% | 22.00 | 60.00 | 33.00 | 5.00 | 1593.0 | 160.0 | 1753.0 | 90.9% | 2.67 | 3598:56 | 654.00 |
| Jakub Dobes | MON | G | 96.1% | 22.00 | 60.00 | 31.00 | 7.00 | 1556.0 | 173.0 | 1739.0 | 89.5% | 2.89 | 3597:43 | 574.00 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TB | G | 99.0% | 21.00 | 60.00 | 34.00 | 5.00 | 1565.0 | 147.0 | 1698.0 | 92.2% | 2.46 | 3589:46 | 689.00 |
| Connor Hellebuyck | WPG | G | 93.9% | 21.00 | 55.00 | 29.00 | 6.00 | 1412.0 | 139.0 | 1543.0 | 91.6% | 2.53 | 3296:38 | 587.00 |
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | G | 99.0% | 21.00 | 53.00 | 28.00 | 5.00 | 1344.0 | 138.0 | 1484.0 | 90.6% | 2.61 | 3172:10 | 541.00 |
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | G | 89.1% | 20.00 | 49.00 | 25.00 | 4.00 | 1220.0 | 130.0 | 1345.0 | 90.7% | 2.66 | 2937:30 | 489.00 |
| Daniel Vladar | PHI | G | 76.0% | 20.00 | 47.00 | 24.00 | 4.00 | 1219.0 | 134.0 | 1353.0 | 90.1% | 2.86 | 2813:31 | 457.00 |
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | G | 81.1% | 19.00 | 52.00 | 29.00 | 4.00 | 1328.0 | 139.0 | 1474.0 | 90.1% | 2.68 | 3111:38 | 540.00 |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | G | 89.9% | 19.00 | 60.00 | 36.00 | 5.00 | 1541.0 | 157.0 | 1696.0 | 90.8% | 2.62 | 3598:02 | 647.00 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | G | 79.8% | 18.00 | 44.00 | 22.00 | 4.00 | 1137.0 | 108.0 | 1261.0 | 90.2% | 2.45 | 2641:44 | 494.00 |
| Jake Allen | NJ | G | 54.0% | 17.00 | 45.00 | 23.00 | 5.00 | 1162.0 | 123.0 | 1280.0 | 90.8% | 2.73 | 2702:08 | 453.00 |
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | G | 9.4% | 17.00 | 42.00 | 19.00 | 6.00 | 1040.0 | 132.0 | 1169.0 | 88.9% | 3.14 | 2520:47 | 335.00 |
| Logan Thompson | WAS | G | 99.5% | 17.00 | 57.00 | 35.00 | 4.00 | 1503.0 | 144.0 | 1648.0 | 91.2% | 2.53 | 3414:50 | 656.00 |
| Devin Cooley | CGY | G | 13.7% | 17.00 | 33.00 | 13.00 | 3.00 | 845.0 | 92.0 | 942.0 | 89.7% | 2.78 | 1988:04 | 306.00 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | G | 31.7% | 16.00 | 35.00 | 15.00 | 4.00 | 896.0 | 114.0 | 1013.0 | 88.4% | 3.28 | 2088:29 | 272.00 |
| Leevi Merilainen | VAN | G | 12.8% | 16.00 | 33.00 | 13.00 | 2.00 | 640.0 | 102.0 | 742.0 | 86.3% | 4.13 | 1480:51 | 145.00 |
| Charlie Lindgren | WAS | G | 11.4% | 15.00 | 33.00 | 16.00 | 2.00 | 849.0 | 97.0 | 942.0 | 90.2% | 2.94 | 1981:31 | 305.00 |
| Jordan Binnington | STL | G | 31.2% | 15.00 | 33.00 | 14.00 | 3.00 | 845.0 | 101.0 | 941.0 | 89.8% | 3.07 | 1976:57 | 280.00 |
| Michael Dipietro | BOS | G | 15.4% | 15.00 | 33.00 | 16.00 | 3.00 | 850.0 | 99.0 | 939.0 | 90.5% | 3.00 | 1979:03 | 291.00 |
| Brandon Bussi | CAR | G | 96.0% | 15.00 | 42.00 | 24.00 | 4.00 | 1051.0 | 109.0 | 1167.0 | 90.1% | 2.59 | 2522:19 | 432.00 |
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | G | 13.6% | 14.00 | 33.00 | 16.00 | 3.00 | 920.0 | 101.0 | 1029.0 | 89.4% | 3.05 | 1984:22 | 334.00 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | SJ | G | 17.6% | 14.00 | 29.00 | 12.00 | 3.00 | 773.0 | 88.0 | 873.0 | 88.6% | 3.01 | 1751:21 | 263.00 |
| Alex Lyon | BUF | G | 33.4% | 14.00 | 33.00 | 17.00 | 3.00 | 868.0 | 88.0 | 955.0 | 90.8% | 2.67 | 1976:00 | 343.00 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | G | 17.4% | 14.00 | 33.00 | 17.00 | 2.00 | 843.0 | 84.0 | 925.0 | 91.2% | 2.54 | 1983:42 | 345.00 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | G | 40.8% | 14.00 | 33.00 | 17.00 | 1.00 | 864.0 | 99.0 | 966.0 | 89.5% | 3.00 | 1978:39 | 307.00 |
| Nico Daws | NJ | G | 16.9% | 14.00 | 33.00 | 16.00 | 3.00 | 897.0 | 102.0 | 992.0 | 90.5% | 3.09 | 1979:06 | 317.00 |
| Anton Forsberg | LA | G | 25.5% | 13.00 | 33.00 | 16.00 | 4.00 | 830.0 | 90.0 | 920.0 | 90.2% | 2.71 | 1989:15 | 314.00 |
| Joseph Woll | PHI | G | 33.1% | 13.00 | 33.00 | 16.00 | 4.00 | 891.0 | 96.0 | 987.0 | 90.3% | 2.91 | 1976:53 | 332.00 |
| Akira Schmid | FLA | G | 27.8% | 13.00 | 33.00 | 16.00 | 4.00 | 863.0 | 87.0 | 956.0 | 90.3% | 2.62 | 1993:36 | 340.00 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | G | 45.4% | 13.00 | 33.00 | 19.00 | 2.00 | 831.0 | 87.0 | 926.0 | 89.7% | 2.64 | 1979:04 | 341.00 |
| Adin Hill | LV | G | 23.6% | 12.00 | 33.00 | 18.00 | 4.00 | 831.0 | 90.0 | 928.0 | 89.6% | 2.74 | 1971:08 | 323.00 |
| Sam Montembeault | MON | G | 14.8% | 12.00 | 29.00 | 15.00 | 2.00 | 742.0 | 86.0 | 852.0 | 87.1% | 2.96 | 1740:21 | 259.00 |
| Filip Gustavsson | MIN | G | 64.3% | 12.00 | 30.00 | 15.00 | 2.00 | 790.0 | 83.0 | 855.0 | 92.4% | 2.77 | 1799:54 | 309.00 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | G | 10.6% | 12.00 | 27.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 710.0 | 85.0 | 788.0 | 90.1% | 3.15 | 1620:53 | 234.00 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | G | 9.7% | 12.00 | 29.00 | 15.00 | 3.00 | 730.0 | 86.0 | 821.0 | 88.9% | 2.96 | 1744:37 | 256.00 |
| Arvid Soderblom | CHI | G | 5.6% | 12.00 | 24.00 | 10.00 | 2.00 | 639.0 | 78.0 | 724.0 | 88.2% | 3.25 | 1441:03 | 198.00 |
| Scott Wedgewood | COL | G | 95.5% | 11.00 | 33.00 | 20.00 | 2.00 | 844.0 | 76.0 | 924.0 | 91.4% | 2.31 | 1977:29 | 390.00 |
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | G | 30.0% | 11.00 | 33.00 | 19.00 | 3.00 | 875.0 | 83.0 | 948.0 | 92.2% | 2.53 | 1971:47 | 383.00 |
| Ville Husso | ANA | G | 6.4% | 11.00 | 23.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 611.0 | 71.0 | 689.0 | 88.7% | 3.09 | 1379:13 | 207.00 |
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | G | 42.3% | 11.00 | 25.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 624.0 | 73.0 | 703.0 | 88.8% | 2.93 | 1496:25 | 213.00 |
| Justus Annunen | NSH | G | 10.5% | 11.00 | 24.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 628.0 | 66.0 | 699.0 | 89.8% | 2.74 | 1444:34 | 240.00 |
| Trent Miner | COL | G | 7.2% | 11.00 | 50.00 | 17.00 | 4.00 | 777.0 | 88.0 | 864.0 | 89.9% | 2.68 | 1969:01 | 292.00 |
| Joonas Korpisalo | NYR | G | 7.6% | 10.00 | 23.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 592.0 | 68.0 | 657.0 | 90.1% | 2.95 | 1381:02 | 206.00 |
| Cam Talbot | CLB | G | 5.8% | 10.00 | 19.00 | 9.00 | 1.00 | 482.0 | 56.0 | 537.0 | 89.7% | 2.93 | 1148:01 | 164.00 |
| Thatcher Demko | VAN | G | 24.5% | 10.00 | 24.00 | 11.00 | 3.00 | 609.0 | 67.0 | 677.0 | 90.0% | 2.80 | 1434:57 | 227.00 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | G | 32.2% | 10.00 | 33.00 | 20.00 | 3.00 | 899.0 | 105.0 | 1016.0 | 88.5% | 3.18 | 1979:06 | 331.00 |
| Dennis Hildeby | TB | G | 17.7% | 9.00 | 20.00 | 10.00 | 2.00 | 522.0 | 55.0 | 574.0 | 90.9% | 2.74 | 1205:23 | 196.00 |
| Semyon Varlamov | NYI | G | 4.9% | 8.00 | 16.00 | 8.00 | 1.00 | 420.0 | 46.0 | 472.0 | 88.9% | 2.88 | 959:22 | 151.00 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | G | 13.0% | 7.00 | 33.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 523.0 | 55.0 | 578.0 | 90.5% | 2.67 | 1234:12 | 221.00 |
| Clay Stevenson | WPG | G | 6.4% | 7.00 | 33.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 513.0 | 58.0 | 571.0 | 89.9% | 2.83 | 1228:22 | 193.00 |
| Sergei Murashov | PIT | G | 65.0% | 7.00 | 33.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 513.0 | 58.0 | 571.0 | 89.9% | 2.74 | 1270:46 | 193.00 |
| Frederik Andersen | EDM | G | 37.8% | 6.00 | 15.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 386.0 | 42.0 | 434.0 | 89.1% | 2.80 | 899:29 | 145.00 |
| Colten Ellis | BUF | G | 12.9% | 5.00 | 9.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 227.0 | 26.0 | 253.0 | 89.7% | 2.88 | 540:49 | 80.00 |
| Calvin Pickard | MIN | G | 4.0% | 4.00 | 8.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 201.0 | 22.0 | 225.0 | 89.3% | 2.74 | 480:58 | 71.00 |
| Elvis Merzlikins | TOR | G | 8.9% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 88.4% | - | 59:52 | 9.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
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Frequently Asked Questions
No. L is regulation losses; overtime and shootout losses are the separate OTL column.
Losses need starts. A backup with few projected starts projects few losses, wins and saves alike.
LineupExperts' goalie projections, a licensed provider. We show them as published.
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