Edgehalla

NHL Projected Goal Scorers - Rest of Season

Which players are most likely to light the lamp this season? Our goal-scoring projections identify the NHL players with the best chances to find the back of the net in the remaining games this season. Perfect for fantasy hockey managers chasing the goals category or DFS players looking for ceiling plays.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 798 players
💡

Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

Sorted by Projected Goals

726 players
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Skaters100 of 726

PlayerTeamPosRost%G ↓APTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Kirill KaprizovMINLW98.3%56.0046.00102.00257.0042.0032.0022.0015.9412.9328.860.110.050.1610.635.116.32-23.6387.65-4.591701:001612.23907.00
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%47.0052.00100.00299.0052.0089.0016.0012.8815.6328.511.350.642.005.95725.82543.0457.2%28.6773.812.701621:001786.79940.00
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.7%44.0066.00110.00235.0042.0024.0033.0013.5623.3536.910.520.320.845.82706.75567.5955.5%25.6398.806.001683:001818.12908.00
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%43.0079.00121.00340.0049.0037.0042.0012.6825.0137.690.340.310.656.42693.11687.2350.2%26.19104.9615.001732:001849.601029.00
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%42.0034.0076.00283.0072.0042.0036.0012.5811.6524.230.590.190.787.43383.17453.0945.8%25.1873.672.941486:001807.89752.00
Kyle ConnorWPGLW98.9%42.0046.0088.00267.0025.0028.0014.0010.5112.3022.811.450.712.1610.411.201.43-25.3676.68-0.301638:001743.83776.00
Sam ReinhartFLARW97.3%42.0028.0069.00208.0088.0045.0016.0016.9011.3428.241.420.441.865.62152.73182.9545.5%23.3574.572.151619:001816.26648.00
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%41.0098.00139.00256.0054.0030.0037.0011.2240.2151.441.731.303.035.42451.92462.3649.4%29.1596.766.481794:001863.551068.00
William NylanderTORRW99.0%41.0056.0097.00237.0015.0026.0015.0011.6817.3028.980.330.190.525.1948.3261.82-28.2473.332.511524:001709.36754.00
Cole CaufieldMTLLW99.9%40.0030.0069.00252.0051.0022.0018.0011.8410.2022.040.160.050.216.708.4010.17-21.9964.854.571437:001627.47664.00
Brandon HagelTBLLW99.3%40.0047.0087.00237.0053.0053.0053.0011.6215.7427.362.141.263.405.2524.6230.51-30.3577.378.491612:001842.96770.00
Dylan GuentherUTARW99.3%39.0035.0074.00256.0054.0024.0020.0015.0414.9229.960.310.120.435.2121.4525.84-20.6567.634.251327:001635.04717.00
Cutter GauthierANALW97.4%38.0029.0067.00279.0067.0029.0033.0012.039.2221.250.330.100.434.5272.3881.66-18.7062.41-4.481190:001419.38656.00
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%38.0059.0097.00265.0045.0054.0038.008.8418.2327.060.510.390.904.28557.18574.8349.2%29.0995.85-17.491552:001579.29796.00
Alex DeBrincatDETLW98.7%37.0037.0074.00260.0042.0040.0026.0011.7911.2123.000.220.100.324.1522.3127.26-26.2572.88-8.451440:001646.78702.00
Bo HorvatNYIC92.4%37.0032.0069.00247.0080.0039.0031.0011.299.7721.061.540.972.504.47741.50586.0655.9%23.9681.290.251591:001818.78663.00
Jason RobertsonDALLW99.1%36.0049.0085.00262.0054.0029.0024.0010.2816.5826.860.010.010.025.262.623.12-24.7979.742.391487:001565.84745.00
Sebastian AhoCARC99.7%36.0053.0089.00213.0051.0030.0055.0012.5020.0032.501.651.583.224.83610.19559.2952.2%22.8582.646.991523:001746.82752.00
Leo CarlssonANAC94.9%36.0049.0084.00204.0016.0041.0024.0010.7320.2330.960.710.331.034.29427.51516.7545.3%22.5768.51-5.251405:001635.32705.00
Nick SchmaltzUTARW97.1%36.0037.0073.00202.0028.0042.0019.0013.1512.2525.401.450.692.144.81348.65393.8547.0%28.6872.254.891467:001806.10630.00
Nikita KucherovTBLRW99.7%35.0080.00115.00229.0029.0030.0037.0011.9035.1347.030.140.130.274.602.082.43-25.77101.308.121639:001677.93891.00
Andrei SvechnikovCARLW97.7%35.0040.0075.00216.00161.0020.0062.0013.7016.3930.100.040.020.064.698.3110.19-22.0872.105.821316:001538.03668.00
Martin NecasCOLRW99.9%35.0055.0090.00214.0075.0022.0022.0011.1918.4129.600.270.210.485.2221.7122.44-25.8585.1413.301575:001645.09745.00
Zach HymanEDMRW94.4%35.0025.0060.00201.0069.0026.0034.0010.577.6018.160.020.010.034.631.351.60-20.6361.645.011424:001511.30581.00
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%35.0053.0088.00176.00131.0048.0031.0011.0320.2331.272.371.273.655.66340.83306.9152.6%26.4083.214.961591:002010.03713.00
Alexis LafreniereNYRRW89.8%35.0033.0069.00171.0089.0031.0024.0010.369.0319.380.120.050.173.8618.4923.49-23.5965.2414.011353:001636.62581.00
Jack HughesNJDC99.4%34.0060.0094.00302.007.0041.0014.008.1920.9429.120.660.551.214.38254.36389.4339.5%29.48102.66-7.101652:001682.77848.00
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%34.0064.0098.00259.0028.0048.0017.0010.0428.5038.541.481.482.965.27573.45637.8847.3%27.8689.53-2.151606:001684.17865.00
Artemi PanarinLAKLW97.4%34.0048.0082.00234.0019.0012.0023.009.2515.4324.680.120.090.224.500.670.78-23.9384.478.761617:001735.75629.00
David PastrnakBOSRW99.8%32.0063.0095.00284.0089.0024.0044.008.5618.8927.450.150.120.284.496.207.33-25.07101.507.941548:001595.31789.00
Matthew BoldyMINRW100.0%32.0035.0068.00264.0068.0066.0038.008.7811.0119.791.280.631.906.0757.8970.88-30.6979.02-4.271607:001586.58723.00
Jake GuentzelTBLLW99.5%32.0044.0076.00205.0038.0039.0033.0011.7318.2930.020.800.501.304.20198.27211.5448.4%23.8876.037.791581:001729.10666.00
Brayden PointTBLC94.1%31.0037.0068.00188.0014.0036.0015.0010.6812.8223.500.140.080.224.07396.27442.6847.2%23.1764.547.401495:001628.49602.00
Brady TkachukFLALW98.9%30.0029.0059.00265.00239.0022.0090.0011.2812.1423.420.350.150.504.01205.21188.5952.1%20.5764.431.811357:001803.67588.00
Adrian KempeLAKRW96.0%30.0036.0067.00236.00119.0032.0047.007.5910.4818.070.340.260.603.9754.2369.02-24.8577.728.551549:001764.29618.00
Wyatt JohnstonDALC99.8%30.0043.0073.00203.0050.0050.0025.008.9813.3822.360.490.280.774.39389.22401.0649.3%23.4768.162.481523:001642.55636.00
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%30.0033.0063.00196.0046.0059.0018.009.2110.2419.451.290.842.143.87933.44767.0254.9%24.7471.94-6.781595:001825.11591.00
Steven StamkosNSHC94.5%30.0030.0060.00188.0080.0034.0039.0010.4311.3721.800.090.030.124.80304.08257.3554.2%23.0067.16-7.971421:001635.27511.00
Nick SuzukiMTLC99.9%30.0057.0087.00177.0069.0059.0023.008.0919.1927.280.640.511.155.02692.93673.8850.7%26.5084.755.311629:001737.69723.00
Mark ScheifeleWPGC98.7%30.0053.0083.00164.0038.0043.0042.006.6913.9820.670.210.170.377.44563.10620.0847.6%26.6591.13-0.301625:001664.07630.00
Connor BedardCHIC97.2%29.0050.0079.00235.0038.0031.0050.007.5515.4823.020.040.030.063.40320.98370.7446.4%25.9780.69-16.951521:001622.79618.00
Filip ForsbergNSHLW99.1%29.0039.0067.00231.00112.0038.0034.008.6113.1121.720.110.050.164.6411.8815.45-30.0587.78-8.531491:001734.41597.00
Dylan LarkinDETC95.1%29.0033.0062.00225.0043.0034.0044.008.3110.4018.711.160.561.723.25789.26706.3052.8%23.4081.03-9.121514:001798.88571.00
Adam FantilliCBJC90.8%29.0034.0063.00220.00137.0059.0032.006.117.8513.960.510.260.773.98563.86522.0451.9%27.0272.813.071454:001626.44587.00
Matthew TkachukFLARW98.5%29.0059.0087.00202.00106.0016.0074.0011.1429.2440.380.320.260.573.887.058.50-23.7273.981.841438:001612.74675.00
Alex TuchWSHRW93.8%29.0026.0055.00186.0071.0085.0041.004.734.499.222.121.023.143.6660.0172.32-31.5671.4513.711499:001913.92580.00
Bobby McMannSEALW47.8%28.0018.0045.00215.00156.0036.0032.004.602.797.380.340.100.444.2912.4912.61-18.2154.640.291192:001506.99497.00
Bryan RustPITRW82.9%28.0030.0058.00184.0043.0063.0023.005.567.0012.561.710.852.572.846.498.08-21.7171.115.991467:001742.48525.00
Tomas HertlVGKC86.7%28.0027.0055.00183.00116.0041.0024.0011.6310.2921.920.140.060.214.34595.71462.9656.3%17.9457.40-1.581261:001411.73523.00
Artturi LehkonenCOLLW75.9%28.0024.0052.00156.0053.0044.0020.005.254.329.571.330.611.944.188.5310.90-23.0772.0214.391513:001864.37534.00
Viktor ArvidssonDETRW40.7%27.0030.0057.00212.0028.0041.0029.008.728.9617.680.150.080.233.0316.0119.01-17.1956.73-6.921175:001419.02553.00
Jimmy SnuggerudSTLRW77.6%27.0032.0060.00203.0077.0043.0020.005.506.7312.230.010.010.023.787.359.15-21.3069.472.441306:001663.55567.00
Beckett SenneckeANARW95.4%27.0036.0063.00200.0090.0029.0061.007.2110.5317.750.080.040.123.213.163.76-23.9279.80-5.381392:001625.46524.00
Mikko RantanenDALRW98.8%27.0057.0084.00178.0054.0038.0071.006.9318.8725.800.060.050.113.9570.1777.28-27.3683.922.681639:001694.74661.00
Drake BathersonOTTRW96.7%27.0034.0061.00171.00130.0024.0041.009.3412.1621.500.120.070.194.3711.9513.77-23.0165.644.141364:001806.46513.00
Vasily PodkolzinEDMLW86.3%27.0021.0048.00147.00235.0047.0047.007.796.0413.830.460.170.633.5722.7330.67-17.4150.744.131136:001450.06499.00
Morgan GeekieBOSLW94.0%27.0035.0062.00143.00122.0032.0022.006.8610.0216.880.130.070.203.7995.67107.71-20.4266.466.871332:001443.62514.00
Pavel DorofeyevNYRRW90.9%26.0023.0049.00225.0033.0032.0018.007.907.4915.390.080.030.112.871.712.05-19.9361.3913.271294:001471.10501.00
Alex OvechkinWSHLW92.2%26.0026.0052.00207.00120.0014.0016.007.888.5416.410.110.050.163.281.641.93-18.0762.5910.691338:001536.14503.00
Dylan HollowaySTLLW89.6%26.0043.0069.00206.00175.0051.0023.005.419.4114.830.190.140.333.6436.0443.00-19.8960.402.401290:001603.13607.00
Sidney CrosbyPITC98.7%26.0041.0067.00193.0067.0034.0028.007.0311.8218.850.020.010.032.64902.24742.9254.8%23.9481.005.861531:001749.11515.00
John TavaresTORC95.0%26.0034.0061.00184.0068.0030.0030.007.5010.6518.150.020.010.033.29705.58537.7056.8%21.3769.482.201343:001560.44501.00
Valeri NichushkinCBJRW52.7%26.0030.0056.00183.0080.0034.0019.003.725.078.791.050.511.553.574.905.74-23.1676.323.211439:001866.34509.00
Will SmithSJSRW94.5%26.0041.0067.00182.0020.0020.0017.006.7311.3518.080.210.100.302.9356.0263.97-19.8769.44-14.851346:001472.38517.00
Evgeni MalkinPITC85.2%26.0036.0061.00177.0026.0026.0053.007.6311.3719.000.010.000.012.64168.14183.2547.9%23.4775.085.241380:001520.95525.00
Roope HintzDALC83.0%26.0037.0063.00174.0078.0033.0023.007.1210.9018.030.380.220.593.80581.58456.4856.0%19.3366.122.181334:001644.01579.00
Cole PerfettiWPGLW79.8%26.0032.0058.00174.0068.0039.0021.007.089.9116.990.060.030.106.4418.2620.31-22.5358.18-0.221236:001435.55524.00
Brock NelsonCOLC86.6%26.0029.0054.00172.0035.0057.0025.005.577.1212.691.480.892.363.88665.33660.2450.2%22.7768.2813.811477:001834.13526.00
Jordan EberleSEARW45.2%26.0029.0054.00162.0058.0044.0037.005.788.1713.950.250.110.363.9811.9614.84-23.9265.300.311338:001684.38505.00
Tom WilsonWSHRW94.2%26.0031.0057.00156.00206.0069.0095.005.587.0412.621.671.042.713.2814.3217.46-22.3776.9613.161494:001796.15545.00
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%25.0064.0089.00216.0034.0094.0026.009.5129.4038.900.260.781.053.310.000.00-30.19104.817.011913:002066.32835.00
Kirill MarchenkoTORRW98.0%25.0041.0066.00206.0066.0035.0042.006.9013.6920.590.050.030.083.175.997.18-25.8973.972.381451:001583.63601.00
Jared McCannSEALW77.5%25.0039.0064.00197.0047.0028.0013.006.2110.4316.640.530.360.893.8338.5645.71-20.0463.860.291275:001672.83571.00
Quinton ByfieldLAKC82.1%25.0033.0058.00188.0062.0038.0039.005.827.9113.740.740.611.353.31514.17570.7947.4%32.7276.188.731549:001811.02505.00
Kyle PalmieriNYIRW14.1%25.0024.0050.00172.0052.0038.0028.007.107.2814.380.440.210.653.0211.7711.69-21.2464.690.221430:001692.58447.00
Carter VerhaegheFLALW68.1%25.0022.0047.00161.0052.0022.0030.007.306.2813.570.120.050.173.3444.4551.96-22.5867.182.001399:001648.82444.00
Mark StoneVGKRW94.7%25.0049.0074.00158.0057.0057.0020.007.9220.9128.821.200.731.933.877.259.02-24.1171.75-1.961470:001622.74660.00
Matthew KniesCBJLW94.8%25.0036.0062.00155.00147.0034.0034.005.778.7414.510.610.370.993.435.096.23-24.3069.713.071459:001724.74485.00
Roman KantserovCHIRW48.4%25.0018.0042.00144.0056.0020.0036.006.804.9511.750.150.090.242.93194.86237.0645.1%22.0361.49-13.651237:001375.83366.00
Tyler BertuzziCHILW52.0%25.0022.0047.00138.0055.0019.0029.006.555.9512.500.110.040.152.9334.4240.84-21.2371.51-14.901337:001460.84375.00
Timo MeierNJDLW77.4%24.0023.0047.00262.00134.0053.0039.004.334.298.620.200.100.293.0943.7452.68-23.7972.57-6.411413:001613.31529.00
Cale MakarCOLD100.0%24.0061.0085.00209.0033.00115.0020.009.2626.8536.110.270.841.123.580.000.00-29.7794.7816.601872:001938.89798.00
Kevin FialaLAKLW64.0%24.0033.0056.00203.0051.0024.0045.006.5810.2716.850.030.020.043.1715.4419.27-23.6875.617.761437:001521.88508.00
Mason McTavishSTLC52.2%24.0028.0052.00175.0090.0032.0041.005.426.2711.690.090.050.143.36443.92455.5349.4%18.1359.292.291235:001569.95469.00
Seth JarvisCARRW92.7%24.0023.0047.00169.0061.0027.0016.006.096.9913.071.030.491.523.2232.8942.30-19.8050.585.191064:001224.39456.00
Ryan LeonardWSHRW67.2%24.0031.0054.00168.00139.0027.0056.005.717.7813.490.030.020.053.034.385.09-16.9156.179.361088:001362.40485.00
Logan StankovenCARC80.3%24.0021.0045.00167.0043.0030.0018.004.474.098.561.050.391.443.22335.20407.6445.1%19.6656.396.321220:001464.01473.00
John-Jason PeterkaBOSRW74.0%24.0030.0054.00157.0025.0020.0023.004.495.8110.310.000.000.013.377.769.59-20.7568.086.941296:001582.32462.00
Gabriel VilardiWPGRW73.9%24.0033.0057.00147.0020.0041.0023.006.4310.6517.080.010.010.025.9568.5971.22-21.8264.82-0.261427:001512.94482.00
Fraser MintenBOSC45.7%24.0023.0047.00143.00118.0038.0018.003.013.186.191.420.642.063.37368.44397.7548.1%20.8553.626.631176:001487.18462.00
Jordan KyrouWSHRW69.0%23.0030.0053.00189.0020.0029.0013.004.396.8611.250.090.060.152.909.5812.13-21.6865.5311.251267:001606.12476.00
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW97.5%23.0038.0061.00181.00112.0065.0048.006.9012.3419.240.120.090.203.8522.7531.14-22.8574.374.561431:001568.62553.00
Mitch MarnerVGKRW98.9%23.0055.0078.00168.0031.0047.0019.007.1420.9028.050.820.851.673.5695.74128.45-31.9093.46-2.121575:001699.42623.00
Porter MartonePHIRW81.4%23.0023.0046.00165.00110.0019.0034.004.915.029.930.060.030.102.7818.4421.69-20.5168.49-8.961211:001527.77459.00
Will CuylleNYRLW64.5%23.0022.0045.00165.00300.0044.0045.003.594.327.921.370.601.972.5450.5855.22-15.5756.0013.591187:001629.50453.00
Brock BoeserVANRW60.5%23.0026.0050.00151.0055.0024.0024.005.938.2914.230.510.250.763.2546.5058.37-21.2772.74-8.161403:001630.18394.00
Nicholas RobertsonPITLW26.9%23.0013.0036.00139.0056.0037.0021.001.450.892.330.580.120.702.338.9310.26-17.1549.644.19937:001259.05384.00
Mark JankowskiCARC9.0%23.0010.0033.0084.0049.0041.0015.003.011.494.501.470.361.833.08403.78417.7649.1%13.6447.995.05940:001313.61307.00
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%22.0046.0068.00192.0095.0056.0017.006.3514.8921.241.140.841.982.43545.32478.0753.3%26.2382.7716.011532:001843.84578.00
Jake DebruskVANRW47.6%22.0018.0040.00188.0066.0036.0015.005.834.7710.600.410.170.583.1113.0115.60-21.2054.09-7.161225:001552.89403.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What drives goal scoring? Goals are the most valuable fantasy stat but also the most volatile. Our projections analyze multiple factors to identify This Season's best scoring opportunities.

Key factors

- Line placement: Top-6 forwards get more offensive zone time - Power play role: PP1 triggers score most goals - Opponent goalie: Backup goalies allow more goals on average - Shot volume: More shots = more goal opportunities - Shooting percentage: Hot shooters often stay hot short-term

League averages

The average NHL goal scorer has a 10-12% shooting percentage. Elite finishers exceed 15%.

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Pro Tip: Target players facing backup goalies with sub-.900 save percentages this season—goal projections spike in these matchups.

Who Should I Start for Goals This Season?

Torn between two players for goal-scoring upside? Our start/sit tool opens ranked by projected goals this season, with shots, matchups and role trends alongside.

Who Should I Start (ranked by goals)

Best Goal Streamers This Season

If you're chasing the goals category, look for players with high projections who are available in most leagues. Filter by rostered percentage to find hidden gems.

All Projections

DFS Goal Stacks

Building a GPP lineup? Stack goal scorers with their linemates for correlated upside. When one scores, the others often get assists.

DraftKings Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Anytime goal % is the chance a player scores at least one goal this season. It comes from his projected goals (xG) for the game: P(1+ goals) = 1 − e^(−xG), the standard Poisson estimate. A player projected for 0.50 goals has about a 39% chance to score; 0.70 projected goals is about 50%.
This Season's projected goals come from Edgehalla's goal model: each skater's goals per 60 minutes (this season counted double, plus last season, pulled toward his position's average) times his average ice time over his last 5 games. Out of sample it beat LineupExperts' goal projection and matched the sportsbooks' anytime prices. Weekly and longer ranges use LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider. Our model then splits the goals into power-play, shorthanded and game-winning goals.
Elite goal scorers like Auston Matthews, Leon Draisaitl, Alex Ovechkin, and David Pastrnak consistently lead projections. However, matchup-dependent streamers often offer better value on any given night.
Our NHL goal projections update hourly throughout the day, with final adjustments made when starting lineups and goaltenders are confirmed approximately 30 minutes before puck drop.
Goals are high-variance but high-reward. In category leagues, streaming goal scorers against weak goaltending can swing close matchups. In points leagues, consistent goal scorers provide elite value.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see rest of season player projections