NHL Projected Goal Scorers This Week

Which players are most likely to light the lamp this week? Our goal-scoring projections identify the NHL players with the best chances to find the back of the net in this week's games. Perfect for fantasy hockey managers chasing the goals category or DFS players looking for ceiling plays (Oct 12-18 (Week 3)). (Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:27 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 691 players

Sorted by Projected Goals(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

636 players

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Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	G ↓	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Kirill Kaprizov	MIN	LW	98.3%	2.80	2.50	5.30	13.40	2.00	1.80	1.10	0.79	0.70	1.49	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.57	0.27	0.33	-	1.23	4.58	-0.52	88:48	84.17	47.20
Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	97.3%	2.40	1.60	4.00	11.40	4.40	2.10	0.80	0.97	0.65	1.62	0.08	0.02	0.11	0.51	7.92	9.49	45.5%	1.21	3.87	0.02	84:00	94.23	36.40
Tage Thompson	BUF	C	99.5%	2.30	1.70	4.00	14.50	3.40	2.20	1.70	0.69	0.58	1.27	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.42	19.96	23.60	45.8%	1.31	3.84	0.32	77:24	94.17	39.20
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	1.90	2.10	4.00	11.20	2.00	3.70	0.70	0.52	0.63	1.15	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.35	28.39	21.24	57.2%	1.12	2.89	-0.15	63:24	69.88	37.40
Jack Eichel	VGK	C	99.9%	1.80	3.10	4.90	14.60	1.40	2.60	0.80	0.53	1.37	1.90	0.07	0.08	0.15	0.48	30.35	33.76	47.3%	1.47	4.74	-0.03	85:00	89.14	45.10
Brady Tkachuk	FLA	LW	98.9%	1.80	1.70	3.40	14.40	12.80	1.00	4.70	0.68	0.71	1.39	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.38	10.66	9.80	52.1%	1.07	3.35	0.02	70:30	93.71	33.00
Tim Stutzle	OTT	C	99.7%	1.80	2.80	4.60	9.10	6.50	2.40	1.50	0.57	1.06	1.63	0.11	0.07	0.18	0.45	17.78	16.01	52.6%	1.38	4.34	0.07	83:00	104.86	37.20
Matthew Boldy	MIN	RW	100.0%	1.70	1.90	3.60	13.60	3.40	3.60	1.90	0.46	0.59	1.06	0.09	0.04	0.13	0.35	3.03	3.70	-	1.60	4.13	-0.48	84:00	82.93	38.10
Alex DeBrincat	DET	LW	98.7%	1.70	1.70	3.40	10.90	1.60	1.60	0.90	0.54	0.51	1.05	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.21	0.86	1.05	-	1.01	2.81	0.05	55:30	63.47	30.80
Cole Caufield	MTL	LW	99.9%	1.70	1.30	3.00	9.50	2.10	0.90	0.70	0.50	0.44	0.94	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.24	0.32	0.39	-	0.85	2.50	0.45	55:30	62.86	27.00
Jack Hughes	NJD	C	99.4%	1.60	3.10	4.70	15.50	0.40	2.10	0.70	0.39	1.08	1.47	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.19	13.03	19.94	39.5%	1.51	5.26	-0.12	84:36	86.18	42.70
Matthew Tkachuk	FLA	RW	98.5%	1.60	3.50	5.00	10.90	5.80	0.70	3.80	0.61	1.73	2.35	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.34	0.37	0.44	-	1.23	3.84	0.02	74:42	83.78	37.80
Kyle Connor	WPG	LW	98.9%	1.60	1.70	3.30	10.30	1.00	1.00	0.50	0.40	0.45	0.85	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.38	0.05	0.06	-	0.98	2.95	0.12	63:06	67.18	29.20
Leon Draisaitl	EDM	C	99.7%	1.60	2.40	4.00	8.00	1.50	1.00	1.40	0.49	0.85	1.34	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.27	27.21	21.85	55.5%	0.99	3.80	-0.37	64:48	70.00	33.40
Alexis Lafreniere	NYR	RW	89.8%	1.60	1.40	3.10	6.50	3.50	1.30	0.90	0.47	0.38	0.85	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.13	0.73	0.93	-	0.94	2.59	1.12	53:42	64.96	24.70
Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	99.9%	1.50	2.80	4.20	12.20	1.70	1.50	1.70	0.44	0.89	1.33	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.26	26.69	26.47	50.2%	1.01	4.04	0.51	66:42	71.23	36.80
Brandon Hagel	TBL	LW	99.3%	1.50	1.80	3.30	9.80	2.20	1.90	2.10	0.44	0.60	1.04	0.08	0.05	0.13	0.15	0.95	1.17	-	1.17	2.98	0.35	62:00	70.88	30.00
Tomas Hertl	VGK	C	86.7%	1.50	1.50	3.00	9.70	5.80	2.10	1.20	0.62	0.57	1.19	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.40	31.42	24.41	56.3%	0.95	3.03	-0.02	66:30	74.45	27.50
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.7%	1.50	3.60	5.10	8.80	1.90	1.30	1.50	0.41	1.48	1.89	0.06	0.05	0.10	0.25	17.41	17.81	49.4%	1.12	3.73	-0.40	69:06	71.78	39.50
Andrei Svechnikov	CAR	LW	97.7%	1.50	1.50	3.00	8.80	6.30	0.70	2.20	0.59	0.62	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.29	0.33	0.40	-	0.87	2.84	-0.02	51:54	60.66	26.80
William Nylander	TOR	RW	99.0%	1.50	2.30	3.80	8.70	0.60	0.90	0.70	0.42	0.71	1.13	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.28	1.90	2.43	-	1.11	2.88	-0.14	59:54	67.19	28.90
Macklin Celebrini	SJS	C	100.0%	1.40	2.30	3.70	11.10	1.70	2.00	1.40	0.33	0.71	1.04	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.21	22.29	23.00	49.2%	1.16	3.84	-0.72	62:06	63.19	31.30
Nico Hischier	NJD	C	95.3%	1.40	1.70	3.10	10.10	2.40	3.00	1.00	0.43	0.53	0.96	0.06	0.04	0.11	0.16	47.93	39.39	54.9%	1.27	3.69	-0.12	81:54	93.72	29.70
Dylan Guenther	UTA	RW	99.3%	1.40	1.30	2.70	10.10	2.30	0.90	0.80	0.54	0.55	1.09	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.14	0.84	1.01	-	0.81	2.65	-0.02	51:54	63.95	27.10
Bo Horvat	NYI	C	92.4%	1.40	1.20	2.60	10.10	3.20	1.40	1.20	0.43	0.37	0.79	0.05	0.03	0.09	0.16	28.48	22.51	55.9%	0.92	3.12	-0.04	61:06	69.85	25.90
Jason Robertson	DAL	LW	99.1%	1.40	1.90	3.30	10.00	2.20	1.00	0.90	0.40	0.64	1.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.22	0.10	0.12	-	0.95	3.07	0.08	57:12	60.23	28.80
Dylan Larkin	DET	C	95.1%	1.40	1.60	2.90	9.70	1.80	1.40	1.60	0.40	0.50	0.91	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.17	31.59	28.27	52.8%	0.94	3.24	0.06	60:36	72.00	25.90
Drake Batherson	OTT	RW	96.7%	1.40	1.90	3.30	9.00	6.40	1.20	2.00	0.48	0.68	1.16	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.35	0.62	0.72	-	1.20	3.43	0.06	71:12	94.30	27.30
Carter Verhaeghe	FLA	LW	68.1%	1.40	1.20	2.60	8.80	2.80	1.00	1.60	0.41	0.34	0.75	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.30	2.32	2.71	-	1.18	3.51	0.02	73:00	86.04	24.40
David Pastrnak	BOS	RW	99.8%	1.30	2.40	3.70	10.40	3.50	0.80	1.50	0.35	0.72	1.07	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.13	0.24	0.29	-	0.98	3.96	0.61	60:24	62.25	30.00
Nikita Kucherov	TBL	RW	99.7%	1.30	3.00	4.30	9.40	1.30	1.10	1.50	0.44	1.32	1.76	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.13	0.08	0.09	-	0.99	3.90	0.33	63:06	64.60	34.30
Mark Stone	VGK	RW	94.7%	1.30	2.60	3.90	8.90	2.70	3.10	1.00	0.41	1.11	1.52	0.06	0.04	0.10	0.34	0.38	0.48	-	1.27	3.78	-0.03	77:30	85.55	34.80
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	99.7%	1.30	2.30	3.60	8.70	2.20	1.20	2.00	0.45	0.87	1.32	0.06	0.07	0.12	0.25	24.12	22.11	52.2%	0.90	3.27	-0.02	60:12	69.05	29.80
Nick Schmaltz	UTA	RW	97.1%	1.30	1.50	2.80	8.00	1.30	1.60	0.70	0.47	0.49	0.97	0.05	0.03	0.07	0.13	13.64	15.41	47.0%	1.12	2.83	-0.03	57:24	70.67	24.30
Nick Suzuki	MTL	C	99.9%	1.30	2.50	3.80	6.70	3.00	2.30	0.90	0.35	0.84	1.19	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.19	26.76	26.02	50.7%	1.02	3.27	0.52	62:54	67.10	29.70
Timo Meier	NJD	LW	77.4%	1.20	1.20	2.30	13.50	7.10	2.70	2.00	0.22	0.22	0.44	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.14	2.24	2.70	-	1.22	3.72	-0.11	72:30	82.78	26.50
Mitch Marner	VGK	RW	98.9%	1.20	2.90	4.10	9.20	1.50	2.60	0.90	0.37	1.10	1.48	0.04	0.05	0.09	0.32	5.03	6.74	-	1.67	4.91	-0.03	82:42	89.23	32.60
Viktor Arvidsson	DET	RW	40.7%	1.20	1.40	2.60	8.90	1.10	1.60	1.00	0.39	0.42	0.80	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.15	0.62	0.73	-	0.66	2.19	0.04	45:24	54.83	24.10
Jake Guentzel	TBL	LW	99.5%	1.20	1.70	2.90	8.40	1.70	1.40	1.30	0.44	0.71	1.15	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.12	7.61	8.12	48.4%	0.92	2.92	0.32	60:42	66.39	25.80
Brayden Point	TBL	C	94.1%	1.20	1.40	2.50	7.80	0.60	1.30	0.60	0.41	0.49	0.90	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.12	15.24	17.03	47.2%	0.89	2.48	0.30	57:30	62.63	23.20
Martin Necas	COL	RW	99.9%	1.20	1.90	3.10	7.70	2.70	0.90	0.90	0.38	0.63	1.02	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.21	0.84	0.86	-	1.00	3.28	0.45	60:42	63.40	26.90
Steven Stamkos	NSH	C	94.5%	1.20	1.20	2.40	7.20	3.10	1.40	1.50	0.42	0.45	0.87	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.17	11.71	9.91	54.2%	0.89	2.59	-0.09	54:42	62.95	19.90
Connor Bedard	CHI	C	97.2%	1.10	2.00	3.10	9.80	1.60	1.30	2.00	0.29	0.62	0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11	13.02	15.04	46.4%	1.05	3.27	-0.76	61:42	65.83	24.50
Filip Forsberg	NSH	LW	99.1%	1.10	1.60	2.70	8.90	4.30	1.50	1.30	0.33	0.54	0.86	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.15	0.46	0.60	-	1.16	3.39	-0.09	57:30	66.89	23.40
Cutter Gauthier	ANA	LW	97.4%	1.10	0.80	1.90	8.20	2.00	0.80	0.90	0.35	0.25	0.60	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.16	1.93	2.18	-	0.50	1.67	-0.08	31:48	37.93	18.80
Josh Doan	BUF	RW	53.7%	1.10	1.10	2.20	8.00	4.70	2.20	1.30	0.28	0.29	0.57	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.20	0.73	0.91	-	1.16	3.21	0.26	61:00	79.92	22.50
Shane Pinto	OTT	C	43.7%	1.10	1.70	2.90	7.80	4.90	2.70	2.10	0.27	0.48	0.75	0.07	0.06	0.12	0.27	24.02	23.22	50.8%	1.29	3.50	0.07	75:24	103.61	25.60
Alex Ovechkin	WSH	LW	92.2%	1.10	1.00	2.10	7.70	4.70	0.60	0.60	0.33	0.33	0.66	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.10	0.06	0.07	-	0.70	2.41	0.52	51:36	59.24	19.70
Jiri Kulich	BUF	C	24.9%	1.10	1.00	2.10	7.50	2.90	2.40	0.90	0.16	0.15	0.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.20	17.08	19.72	46.4%	0.88	2.79	0.28	59:36	84.44	19.60
Bryan Rust	PIT	RW	82.9%	1.10	1.20	2.20	7.10	1.60	2.30	0.90	0.22	0.28	0.50	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.10	0.26	0.33	-	0.88	2.88	0.34	59:30	70.67	19.90
John Tavares	TOR	C	95.0%	1.10	1.30	2.40	7.00	2.70	1.20	1.30	0.32	0.41	0.72	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.20	28.63	21.82	56.8%	0.87	2.82	-0.13	54:30	63.32	19.70
Mikko Rantanen	DAL	RW	98.8%	1.10	2.20	3.30	6.80	2.10	1.30	2.70	0.28	0.73	1.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.17	2.70	2.98	-	1.05	3.23	0.09	63:06	65.25	25.60
Alex Tuch	WSH	RW	93.8%	1.10	1.10	2.20	6.80	2.80	3.60	1.50	0.18	0.19	0.37	0.08	0.04	0.12	0.10	2.31	2.79	-	1.22	2.75	0.66	57:48	73.80	22.70
Roope Hintz	DAL	C	83.0%	1.10	1.40	2.50	6.70	3.10	1.20	0.90	0.30	0.41	0.71	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.17	22.41	17.59	56.0%	0.74	2.55	0.07	51:24	63.34	22.40
Mark Scheifele	WPG	C	98.7%	1.10	2.00	3.10	6.40	1.50	1.60	1.50	0.25	0.53	0.77	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.26	21.66	23.85	47.6%	1.02	3.51	0.12	62:30	64.00	24.00
Tom Wilson	WSH	RW	94.2%	1.10	1.20	2.30	5.80	8.00	2.90	3.40	0.24	0.27	0.51	0.07	0.04	0.11	0.10	0.55	0.67	-	0.86	2.97	0.64	57:36	69.25	21.70
Morgan Geekie	BOS	LW	94.0%	1.10	1.40	2.50	5.30	4.40	1.20	0.80	0.28	0.40	0.68	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.11	3.73	4.20	-	0.80	2.59	0.53	52:00	56.36	19.80
Joel Eriksson Ek	MIN	C	77.8%	1.00	1.40	2.40	11.50	5.60	2.50	1.40	0.26	0.42	0.68	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.20	38.85	39.51	49.6%	1.24	3.48	-0.46	78:42	82.01	29.40
Rasmus Dahlin	BUF	D	99.5%	1.00	2.60	3.60	10.20	3.90	5.40	2.90	0.35	0.95	1.29	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.18	0.00	0.00	-	1.46	5.26	0.42	96:36	107.95	34.70
Jesper Bratt	NJD	RW	95.1%	1.00	2.70	3.70	8.90	4.10	1.40	0.60	0.27	0.93	1.20	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.12	0.18	0.22	-	1.21	4.19	-0.11	75:30	89.03	28.80
William Karlsson	VGK	C	19.3%	1.00	1.00	2.00	8.30	1.00	2.90	0.50	0.13	0.14	0.28	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.26	32.04	23.07	58.1%	1.09	3.04	-0.03	68:36	82.15	22.10
Pavel Dorofeyev	NYR	RW	90.9%	1.00	0.90	1.90	8.10	1.40	1.20	0.70	0.30	0.29	0.59	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.07	0.08	-	0.79	2.44	1.06	51:24	58.43	19.00
Adam Fantilli	CBJ	C	90.8%	1.00	1.20	2.10	8.00	5.30	2.30	1.20	0.21	0.28	0.49	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.19	21.45	19.85	51.9%	1.03	2.77	0.13	55:18	61.86	20.80
Bobby McMann	SEA	LW	47.8%	1.00	0.60	1.60	7.90	5.90	1.30	1.20	0.16	0.09	0.26	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.21	0.49	0.49	-	0.71	2.13	0.25	46:30	58.79	18.10
Lucas Raymond	DET	RW	94.3%	1.00	2.10	3.10	7.80	1.60	1.00	0.90	0.28	0.79	1.07	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.12	0.05	0.06	-	1.01	2.82	0.06	57:06	66.94	23.90
Kirill Marchenko	TOR	RW	98.0%	1.00	1.60	2.60	7.40	2.30	1.40	1.80	0.28	0.53	0.81	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.19	0.23	0.28	-	1.01	2.89	-0.14	56:42	61.88	23.10
Sidney Crosby	PIT	C	98.7%	1.00	1.40	2.40	7.20	2.40	1.20	1.00	0.27	0.40	0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.10	35.30	29.07	54.8%	0.94	3.17	0.32	59:54	68.43	18.70
Kyle Palmieri	NYI	RW	14.1%	1.00	0.90	1.90	7.00	2.00	1.30	1.10	0.28	0.27	0.56	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.12	0.45	0.45	-	0.82	2.49	-0.03	55:00	65.10	17.50
Jordan Kyrou	WSH	RW	69.0%	1.00	1.20	2.20	6.90	0.80	1.20	0.50	0.19	0.27	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.09	0.37	0.47	-	0.84	2.52	0.54	48:48	61.86	18.90
Anthony Mantha	NJD	RW	38.0%	1.00	1.10	2.10	6.90	3.00	1.50	2.00	0.19	0.22	0.41	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.12	0.81	1.04	-	0.93	3.20	-0.09	58:24	70.60	19.60
Juraj Slafkovsky	MTL	RW	97.5%	1.00	1.60	2.60	6.80	4.80	2.50	1.90	0.30	0.52	0.82	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.14	0.88	1.20	-	0.88	2.87	0.45	55:12	60.51	22.50
Logan Stankoven	CAR	C	80.3%	1.00	0.90	1.90	6.80	1.60	1.30	0.60	0.19	0.18	0.36	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.20	13.19	16.04	45.1%	0.77	2.22	-0.02	48:00	57.60	19.10
Cole Perfetti	WPG	LW	79.8%	1.00	1.20	2.20	6.70	2.60	1.40	0.80	0.27	0.37	0.64	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.24	0.70	0.78	-	0.87	2.25	0.09	47:42	55.40	19.80
Brett Howden	VGK	LW	14.6%	1.00	1.00	2.10	6.30	5.50	1.90	2.10	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.26	13.42	12.96	50.9%	0.88	2.97	-0.03	60:30	79.02	19.50
Will Cuylle	NYR	LW	64.5%	1.00	0.90	1.90	6.10	12.10	1.80	1.70	0.16	0.18	0.33	0.06	0.02	0.08	0.08	2.01	2.20	-	0.62	2.23	1.09	47:12	64.80	18.40
Roman Kantserov	CHI	RW	48.4%	1.00	0.70	1.70	6.00	2.20	0.90	1.40	0.27	0.19	0.46	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.10	7.66	9.31	45.1%	0.87	2.42	-0.60	48:36	54.05	14.50
Joshua Norris	BUF	C	33.6%	1.00	1.20	2.20	5.90	2.90	2.40	2.20	0.24	0.31	0.55	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.18	26.10	24.30	51.8%	0.96	3.02	0.29	66:12	91.09	19.60
Tyler Bertuzzi	CHI	LW	52.0%	1.00	0.90	1.80	5.60	2.30	0.80	1.10	0.26	0.24	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.10	1.34	1.59	-	0.83	2.79	-0.65	52:12	57.04	14.70
Fraser Minten	BOS	C	45.7%	1.00	0.90	1.80	5.30	4.40	1.40	0.60	0.13	0.12	0.25	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.10	14.38	15.52	48.1%	0.81	2.09	0.51	45:54	58.05	17.40
Vasily Podkolzin	EDM	LW	86.3%	1.00	0.80	1.70	4.90	8.20	1.90	2.00	0.29	0.23	0.52	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.17	0.88	1.18	-	0.67	1.96	-0.25	43:48	55.91	18.10
Mark Jankowski	CAR	C	9.0%	1.00	0.40	1.50	3.80	2.00	1.60	0.50	0.13	0.06	0.19	0.06	0.01	0.08	0.20	16.11	16.67	49.1%	0.54	1.91	-0.01	37:30	52.40	13.30
Sam Bennett	FLA	C	81.3%	0.90	1.60	2.50	9.50	7.40	1.50	3.70	0.27	0.51	0.78	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.19	26.09	28.30	48.0%	1.14	3.73	0.02	72:30	86.44	21.80
Luke Evangelista	NJD	RW	70.4%	0.90	1.90	2.80	9.30	1.30	1.40	1.60	0.28	0.66	0.93	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11	0.04	0.05	-	1.01	3.07	-0.08	62:12	69.84	24.20
Dylan Cozens	OTT	C	85.2%	0.90	1.70	2.60	9.30	9.90	1.70	1.90	0.29	0.64	0.94	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.22	23.27	21.08	52.5%	1.05	3.29	0.06	70:18	92.13	23.70
Anton Lundell	FLA	C	42.0%	0.90	1.40	2.20	9.30	5.30	1.90	1.80	0.26	0.45	0.71	0.06	0.04	0.11	0.19	31.15	29.17	51.6%	1.00	3.66	0.02	70:42	89.99	22.40
Jack Quinn	BUF	RW	50.8%	0.90	1.50	2.40	8.90	3.20	1.10	1.10	0.27	0.54	0.81	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.17	0.27	0.32	-	0.91	3.45	0.27	66:12	81.68	21.40
Blake Coleman	MIN	RW	41.3%	0.90	1.00	1.90	8.90	8.20	2.90	3.30	0.13	0.15	0.28	0.07	0.03	0.10	0.18	1.11	1.39	-	1.14	3.74	-0.44	68:36	89.10	21.00
Clayton Keller	UTA	LW	99.9%	0.90	2.30	3.20	7.90	0.80	1.10	1.40	0.29	1.04	1.33	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.09	0.45	0.56	-	0.88	3.15	-0.02	56:30	67.04	25.30
Cale Makar	COL	D	100.0%	0.90	2.20	3.10	7.90	1.30	4.80	0.80	0.35	0.97	1.31	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.16	0.00	0.00	-	1.19	3.80	0.58	75:00	77.68	30.30
Dylan Holloway	STL	LW	89.6%	0.90	1.50	2.30	7.80	6.00	1.70	0.80	0.19	0.33	0.52	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.14	1.39	1.65	-	0.76	2.32	0.14	49:36	61.64	21.20
Jimmy Snuggerud	STL	RW	77.6%	0.90	1.10	1.90	7.60	2.70	1.50	0.70	0.18	0.23	0.41	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.14	0.28	0.35	-	0.82	2.67	0.15	50:12	63.94	19.60
Evan Bouchard	EDM	D	99.9%	0.90	2.30	3.10	7.30	1.20	3.80	1.10	0.34	1.06	1.40	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.15	0.00	0.00	-	1.16	4.03	-0.43	73:36	79.50	30.40
Will Smith	SJS	RW	94.5%	0.90	1.50	2.40	7.30	0.70	0.70	0.60	0.23	0.42	0.65	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.13	2.16	2.46	-	0.76	2.67	-0.59	51:48	56.66	19.20
Jared McCann	SEA	LW	77.5%	0.90	1.30	2.20	7.20	1.80	1.10	0.50	0.22	0.35	0.57	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.19	1.50	1.78	-	0.78	2.49	0.25	49:42	65.21	20.50
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.2%	0.90	2.00	2.80	7.10	3.90	2.30	0.60	0.26	0.64	0.90	0.05	0.04	0.08	0.07	21.64	18.97	53.3%	1.04	3.28	1.28	60:48	73.18	23.20
Porter Martone	PHI	RW	81.4%	0.90	0.90	1.80	6.90	4.70	0.80	1.50	0.19	0.20	0.39	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.12	0.73	0.86	-	0.81	2.72	-0.42	48:06	60.68	18.40
Evgeni Malkin	PIT	C	85.2%	0.90	1.20	2.10	6.70	1.00	0.90	2.00	0.26	0.38	0.64	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	6.58	7.17	47.9%	0.92	2.94	0.29	54:00	59.52	18.40
Valeri Nichushkin	CBJ	RW	52.7%	0.90	1.00	1.90	6.70	3.10	1.30	0.70	0.13	0.17	0.30	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.17	0.19	0.22	-	0.88	2.90	0.13	54:42	70.94	18.10
Brock Nelson	COL	C	86.6%	0.90	0.90	1.80	6.30	1.30	2.30	1.00	0.19	0.22	0.41	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.16	25.59	25.39	50.2%	0.88	2.63	0.47	56:48	70.53	18.70
Ryan Leonard	WSH	RW	67.2%	0.90	1.30	2.20	6.20	5.40	1.10	2.00	0.21	0.33	0.54	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.17	0.20	-	0.65	2.16	0.45	41:54	52.47	19.10

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What drives goal scoring? Goals are the most valuable fantasy stat but also the most volatile. Our projections analyze multiple factors to identify This Week's best scoring opportunities.

Key factors

- Line placement: Top-6 forwards get more offensive zone time - Power play role: PP1 triggers score most goals - Opponent goalie: Backup goalies allow more goals on average - Shot volume: More shots = more goal opportunities - Shooting percentage: Hot shooters often stay hot short-term

League averages

The average NHL goal scorer has a 10-12% shooting percentage. Elite finishers exceed 15%.

💡

Pro Tip: Target players facing backup goalies with sub-.900 save percentages this season—goal projections spike in these matchups.

Who Should I Start for Goals This Week?

Torn between two players for goal-scoring upside? Our start/sit tool opens ranked by projected goals this week, with shots, matchups and role trends alongside.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Anytime goal % is the chance a player scores at least one goal this week. It comes from his projected goals (xG) for the game: P(1+ goals) = 1 − e^(−xG), the standard Poisson estimate. A player projected for 0.50 goals has about a 39% chance to score; 0.70 projected goals is about 50%.

This Week's projected goals come from Edgehalla's goal model: each skater's goals per 60 minutes (this season counted double, plus last season, pulled toward his position's average) times his average ice time over his last 5 games. Out of sample it beat LineupExperts' goal projection and matched the sportsbooks' anytime prices. Weekly and longer ranges use LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider. Our model then splits the goals into power-play, shorthanded and game-winning goals.

Elite goal scorers like Auston Matthews, Leon Draisaitl, Alex Ovechkin, and David Pastrnak consistently lead projections. However, matchup-dependent streamers often offer better value on any given night.

Our NHL goal projections update hourly throughout the day, with final adjustments made when starting lineups and goaltenders are confirmed approximately 30 minutes before puck drop.

Goals are high-variance but high-reward. In category leagues, streaming goal scorers against weak goaltending can swing close matchups. In points leagues, consistent goal scorers provide elite value.

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Sorted by Projected Goals(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

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