Edgehalla

NHL Projected Faceoff Winners This Week

Faceoffs won is a center-driven category in many Yahoo and ESPN leagues. These projections multiply how many draws a center has been taking per 60 minutes by his projected ice time, then by his faceoff percentage shrunk toward the league average. Volume matters as much as skill. For per-game numbers adjusted for the opposing centers, dot side and handedness, see Faceoffs This Week (Oct 12-18 (Week 3)). (Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 156 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Faceoffs Won(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

156 players
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PlayerTeamPosRost%FOW† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%47.931.401.703.1010.102.403.001.000.430.530.960.060.040.110.1639.3954.9%1.273.69-0.1281:5493.7229.70
Joel Eriksson EkMINC77.8%38.851.001.402.4011.505.602.501.400.260.420.680.040.030.070.2039.5149.6%1.243.48-0.4678:4282.0129.40
Sidney CrosbyPITC98.7%35.301.001.402.407.202.401.201.000.270.400.670.000.000.000.1029.0754.8%0.943.170.3259:5468.4318.70
William KarlssonVGKC19.3%32.041.001.002.008.301.002.900.500.130.140.280.050.030.080.2623.0758.1%1.093.04-0.0368:3682.1522.10
Dylan LarkinDETC95.1%31.591.401.602.909.701.801.401.600.400.500.910.060.030.090.1728.2752.8%0.943.240.0660:3672.0025.90
Tomas HertlVGKC86.7%31.421.501.503.009.705.802.101.200.620.571.190.010.000.010.4024.4156.3%0.953.03-0.0266:3074.4527.50
Anton LundellFLAC42.0%31.150.901.402.209.305.301.901.800.260.450.710.060.040.110.1929.1751.6%1.003.660.0270:4289.9922.40
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%30.351.803.104.9014.601.402.600.800.531.371.900.070.080.150.4833.7647.3%1.474.74-0.0385:0089.1445.10
Chandler StephensonSEAC24.0%29.130.401.501.902.700.701.601.200.080.410.500.020.030.050.0826.0052.8%1.242.650.2956:4272.5813.30
Ryan McLeodBUFC21.6%28.770.701.201.904.100.801.600.800.120.240.350.060.040.100.1329.0249.8%1.083.540.3065:2490.7713.60
John TavaresTORC95.0%28.631.101.302.407.002.701.201.300.320.410.720.000.000.000.2021.8256.8%0.872.82-0.1354:3063.3219.70
Elias LindholmBOSC41.0%28.570.601.101.704.402.002.101.000.120.260.380.030.020.050.0622.8455.6%0.762.560.5652:4265.8014.90
Bo HorvatNYIC92.4%28.481.401.202.6010.103.201.401.200.430.370.790.050.030.090.1622.5155.9%0.923.12-0.0461:0669.8525.90
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%28.391.902.104.0011.202.003.700.700.520.631.150.060.030.090.3521.2457.2%1.122.89-0.1563:2469.8837.40
Robert ThomasSTLC85.3%27.980.701.702.405.200.501.601.000.130.380.510.030.030.070.1125.4352.4%0.983.300.1758:4273.3319.50
Vincent TrocheckUTAC84.8%27.690.901.001.806.108.802.002.100.170.220.390.040.020.060.0921.0856.8%0.923.05-0.0359:5475.0816.60
Ryan O'ReillyNSHC81.0%27.360.901.602.505.200.702.601.000.260.520.780.060.050.120.1322.7954.6%1.082.64-0.1060:1871.3919.20
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.7%27.211.602.404.008.001.501.001.400.490.851.340.020.010.030.2721.8555.5%0.993.80-0.3764:4870.0033.40
Mikael BacklundCGYC12.0%27.080.400.601.106.701.201.200.700.020.030.050.040.030.070.0427.6849.5%0.882.86-1.8955:0072.6812.40
Dylan StromeWSHC81.0%26.850.701.702.504.900.602.101.200.170.490.660.000.000.010.0621.7655.2%0.772.640.5652:5461.3219.70
Nick SuzukiMTLC99.9%26.761.302.503.806.703.002.300.900.350.841.190.030.020.050.1926.0250.7%1.023.270.5262:5467.1029.70
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%26.691.502.804.2012.201.701.501.700.440.891.330.010.010.020.2626.4750.2%1.014.040.5166:4271.2336.80
Michael McCarronMINC10.7%26.430.300.600.905.109.304.303.600.000.010.010.040.040.080.0624.3752.0%0.922.61-0.3956:1271.9012.40
Sean MonahanCBJC17.0%26.360.500.801.304.701.501.500.600.080.140.220.030.020.040.1025.1651.2%0.952.560.1353:3069.2513.10
Cody GlassNJDC4.1%26.130.500.601.005.702.902.001.400.020.030.060.030.020.050.0621.7354.6%0.772.51-0.0953:4277.3211.40
Joshua NorrisBUFC33.6%26.101.001.202.205.902.902.402.200.240.310.550.030.010.040.1824.3051.8%0.963.020.2966:1291.0919.60
Sam BennettFLAC81.3%26.090.901.602.509.507.401.503.700.270.510.780.020.010.030.1928.3048.0%1.143.730.0272:3086.4421.80
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYIC10.7%25.930.400.801.203.805.302.100.300.020.050.070.030.040.070.0519.2857.4%0.802.27-0.0348:4268.2911.10
Elias PetterssonVANC93.4%25.680.501.501.905.104.403.400.500.130.460.590.020.030.050.0828.5947.3%1.042.75-0.4157:1268.7317.60
Brock NelsonCOLC86.6%25.590.900.901.806.301.302.301.000.190.220.410.050.030.080.1625.3950.2%0.882.630.4756:4870.5318.70
Nic DowdVGKC3.2%24.640.300.600.903.106.502.502.200.010.020.020.020.020.050.0826.1348.5%0.942.56-0.0255:3677.519.00
J.T. MillerNYRC90.1%24.440.802.002.805.305.601.701.800.200.600.810.030.030.060.0617.5258.2%0.883.081.2257:3074.6521.20
Sean CouturierPHIC8.3%24.140.300.701.004.704.001.201.100.020.050.060.030.030.060.0420.2654.4%0.852.53-0.5051:2468.269.60
Sebastian AhoCARC99.7%24.121.302.303.608.702.201.202.000.450.871.320.060.070.120.2522.1152.2%0.903.27-0.0260:1269.0529.80
Shane PintoOTTC43.7%24.021.101.702.907.804.902.702.100.270.480.750.070.060.120.2723.2250.8%1.293.500.0775:24103.6125.60
Anthony CirelliTBLC46.0%23.670.801.001.805.702.202.201.600.130.180.310.060.040.100.0824.8548.8%0.872.660.3454:1270.4318.20
Adam LowryWPGC8.4%23.410.400.600.903.405.702.001.200.010.010.020.030.020.050.1021.1752.5%0.772.120.1045:5465.1310.00
Ryan HartmanMINC32.1%23.280.700.901.608.003.603.302.900.110.150.260.000.000.000.1426.4746.8%0.963.17-0.3962:0668.8016.20
Dylan CozensOTTC85.2%23.270.901.702.609.309.901.701.900.290.640.940.010.010.020.2221.0852.5%1.053.290.0670:1892.1323.70
Alexander WennbergSJSC20.0%23.150.401.101.403.600.902.900.500.090.270.360.020.030.050.0625.3947.7%1.052.56-0.6858:2466.6311.60
Phillip DanaultMTLC4.9%22.560.300.701.003.702.701.700.900.010.030.040.030.040.060.0419.4853.7%0.712.330.4949:5464.6910.60
Roope HintzDALC83.0%22.411.101.402.506.703.101.200.900.300.410.710.020.010.020.1717.5956.0%0.742.550.0751:2463.3422.40
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%22.291.402.303.7011.101.702.001.400.330.711.040.020.020.030.2123.0049.2%1.163.84-0.7262:0663.1931.30
Christian DvorakPHIC13.4%21.910.700.801.504.902.301.900.900.100.130.230.050.030.070.0919.0253.5%0.832.31-0.4750:3666.2113.30
Mark ScheifeleWPGC98.7%21.661.102.003.106.401.501.601.500.250.530.770.010.010.010.2623.8547.6%1.023.510.1262:3064.0024.00
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%21.640.902.002.807.103.902.300.600.260.640.900.050.040.080.0718.9753.3%1.043.281.2860:4873.1823.20
Kevin StenlundUTAC0.1%21.570.200.500.702.602.102.501.200.010.040.050.020.040.060.0218.5553.8%0.672.18-0.0242:1261.088.10
Adam FantilliCBJC90.8%21.451.001.202.108.005.302.301.200.210.280.490.020.010.030.1919.8551.9%1.032.770.1355:1861.8620.80
Jake EvansMTLC4.9%21.250.400.601.003.004.102.300.900.000.010.010.050.040.090.0618.1953.9%0.792.150.4646:0659.469.40
Andrew CoppDETC8.3%20.980.401.101.504.701.602.200.800.070.240.310.030.040.080.0518.4153.3%0.732.560.0548:5464.9313.50
Jason DickinsonEDMC3.2%20.860.300.500.702.704.102.701.400.000.000.010.010.010.030.0521.3449.4%0.742.28-0.3246:0065.167.80
Charlie CoyleCBJC47.2%20.850.501.201.704.803.802.000.700.100.290.390.030.040.070.1019.4851.7%0.992.600.1252:4867.7914.90
Morgan FrostCGYC19.4%20.750.600.701.305.302.102.000.800.150.170.320.000.000.010.0617.8053.8%0.792.20-1.4247:0660.9912.20
Lars EllerFLAC4.1%20.280.301.101.403.702.801.701.100.040.190.240.030.040.070.0619.2051.4%0.812.660.0251:4273.8912.60
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%19.962.301.704.0014.503.402.201.700.690.581.270.030.010.040.4223.6045.8%1.313.840.3277:2494.1739.20
Justin DanforthBUFC0.0%19.850.500.601.204.906.202.901.200.000.010.010.060.040.100.0921.2448.3%0.912.680.2956:1288.0212.20
Matthew BeniersSEAC49.3%19.560.601.001.604.601.602.100.500.130.230.360.020.010.030.1320.9648.3%0.992.850.2855:3666.7814.90
Aatu RatyVANC9.6%19.520.300.300.702.807.100.701.100.010.010.020.010.000.010.0514.4457.5%0.521.63-0.2934:3053.346.10
Pavel ZachaBOSC69.1%19.370.801.001.804.402.201.000.900.180.250.430.030.020.050.0817.9052.0%0.932.570.5754:2463.0815.40
Evan RodriguesNJDC7.5%18.980.501.001.508.904.901.302.000.090.210.300.030.030.060.0620.8247.7%1.143.05-0.1063:3080.4515.90
Jack DruryNSHC4.8%18.720.300.601.003.801.902.501.300.010.020.030.040.030.070.0415.5154.7%0.731.85-0.0841:3055.7511.10
Barrett HaytonUTAC10.5%18.550.301.301.605.501.201.401.800.050.240.290.010.020.030.0316.6552.7%0.692.24-0.0245:1864.5615.20
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%17.781.802.804.609.106.502.401.500.571.061.630.110.070.180.4516.0152.6%1.384.340.0783:00104.8637.20
Nazem KadriCOLC69.5%17.660.701.201.907.801.701.401.300.190.400.590.010.000.010.1219.9846.9%0.912.970.4457:1266.5117.50
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%17.411.503.605.108.801.901.301.500.411.481.890.060.050.100.2517.8149.4%1.123.73-0.4069:0671.7839.50
Mason McTavishSTLC52.2%17.110.800.901.706.603.001.101.400.180.200.380.000.000.010.1217.5649.4%0.702.290.1447:3660.5116.40
Jiri KulichBUFC24.9%17.081.101.002.107.502.902.400.900.160.150.310.000.000.000.2019.7246.4%0.882.790.2859:3684.4419.60
Brayden SchennNYIC37.0%16.910.701.101.905.506.801.601.900.190.320.510.000.000.010.0814.8453.3%0.742.28-0.0351:1862.7115.70
Frank NazarCHIC49.4%16.840.801.101.906.601.701.901.200.170.270.440.050.030.080.0818.5447.6%0.902.85-0.6852:2463.3015.70
Noah CatesPHIC12.5%16.490.400.601.004.503.601.600.900.040.070.110.030.020.050.0518.9746.5%0.772.00-0.4345:1864.1111.00
Danila YurovMINC33.1%16.460.900.801.705.003.702.601.700.100.100.190.030.010.040.1820.9944.0%0.872.62-0.3452:2463.9916.00
Sam CarrickBUFC0.1%16.450.300.400.703.605.201.703.100.010.010.020.020.010.030.0614.4553.2%0.702.080.2243:4265.218.40
Mark JankowskiCARC9.0%16.111.000.401.503.802.001.600.500.130.060.190.060.010.080.2016.6749.1%0.541.91-0.0137:3052.4013.30
Anton FrondellCHIC68.3%16.000.801.502.306.802.302.000.600.190.380.570.030.020.050.0819.1245.6%0.822.30-0.6249:0059.1619.30
Logan CooleyUTAC94.1%15.930.701.702.405.003.401.601.200.220.700.930.020.020.040.0718.1046.8%0.942.85-0.0254:3667.1319.90
Marco RossiVANC65.8%15.800.600.801.404.503.201.501.200.130.210.340.010.010.020.1016.0749.6%0.932.55-0.3852:5461.5211.80
Frederick GaudreauSEAC7.0%15.620.600.501.103.101.502.400.300.020.020.040.060.020.080.1317.7046.9%0.782.140.2847:1263.6611.40
Nick PaulTORC8.1%15.490.600.701.303.804.602.001.500.090.120.200.060.030.090.1116.0649.1%0.712.09-0.1246:2459.4210.80
Colton SissonsTORC3.3%15.300.300.200.503.205.401.900.800.020.010.030.040.010.060.0612.5554.9%0.691.99-0.1242:1259.226.90
Brayden PointTBLC94.1%15.241.201.402.507.800.601.300.600.410.490.900.010.000.010.1217.0347.2%0.892.480.3057:3062.6323.20
Teddy BluegerTORC3.2%15.200.200.500.702.803.701.501.500.010.020.020.040.040.080.0415.7449.1%0.692.07-0.1241:4256.506.90
Nicolas RoyCOLC12.1%14.950.500.601.103.602.701.601.200.030.030.060.030.020.050.0913.5652.4%0.742.250.3942:3657.2710.00
Arttu HyryDALC4.0%14.780.200.200.503.504.901.200.400.000.000.000.050.020.070.0311.7655.7%0.541.680.0635:4847.906.20
Ryan GreeneCHIC9.7%14.410.400.701.003.601.801.800.400.030.060.090.030.020.050.0418.3744.0%0.762.29-0.7049:0064.899.80
Fraser MintenBOSC45.7%14.381.000.901.805.304.401.400.600.130.120.250.060.030.090.1015.5248.1%0.812.090.5145:5458.0517.40
Noah LabaNYRC9.7%14.150.300.700.903.005.101.801.300.020.040.060.020.020.040.0213.7850.7%0.632.041.0441:5460.709.60
Dalibor DvorskySTLC28.1%14.080.400.400.804.202.501.200.900.080.080.170.000.000.000.0616.7245.7%0.602.080.1242:1256.139.30
Ty DellandreaSJSC0.1%14.020.200.400.603.106.801.901.700.000.010.010.040.040.080.0313.7350.5%0.611.81-0.5138:0649.545.10
Owen MichaelsEDMC8.1%13.880.500.400.902.802.201.100.900.030.030.060.020.020.040.0814.5248.9%0.531.60-0.2131:1853.918.30
Pius SuterSTLC4.1%13.740.600.501.104.101.801.000.500.040.040.070.070.020.090.0914.9048.0%0.712.300.1648:3065.3811.50
Vitali PinchukNSHC18.4%13.720.500.801.305.101.500.900.900.090.150.240.000.000.000.0714.5048.6%0.732.26-0.0846:1263.2511.80
Cole BeaudoinNYRC14.4%13.340.400.500.902.802.301.000.900.010.010.020.010.000.010.0313.3550.0%0.491.560.7429:3040.998.20
Logan StankovenCARC80.3%13.191.000.901.906.801.601.300.600.190.180.360.040.020.060.2016.0445.1%0.772.22-0.0248:0057.6019.10
Ryan StromeCGYC4.0%13.180.300.701.004.001.201.001.900.040.100.150.000.000.010.0315.9745.2%0.742.41-1.4745:3660.628.50
Radek FaksaDALC0.1%13.060.100.500.602.204.001.900.700.000.000.000.010.030.040.0212.2951.5%0.611.640.0637:0052.266.70
Quinton ByfieldLAKC82.1%13.050.600.801.405.101.800.901.000.140.190.330.020.010.030.1614.4847.4%0.831.93-0.1339:1845.9512.90
Casey CizikasNYIC3.2%13.040.300.300.603.105.401.801.000.010.010.010.020.010.030.0311.3953.4%0.611.75-0.0337:3053.407.40
Jack HughesNJDC99.4%13.031.603.104.7015.500.402.100.700.391.081.470.030.030.060.1919.9439.5%1.515.26-0.1284:3686.1842.70
Connor BedardCHIC97.2%13.021.102.003.109.801.601.302.000.290.620.900.000.000.000.1115.0446.4%1.053.27-0.7661:4265.8324.50
Blake LizottePITC0.2%13.000.300.801.103.002.701.701.400.010.020.030.040.050.090.0314.0848.0%0.592.000.2539:3055.589.50

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Volume

faceoffs taken per 60 minutes from the player's own recent history (it is a stable role stat), times LineupExperts' projected ice time.

Win rate

faceoff percentage shrunk toward 50.5% for centers with the weight of about 96 faceoffs, so a center who has won 60% of 50 draws projects closer to 54%, while a veteran with thousands of draws keeps nearly his own rate.

Projected FOW = faceoffs taken × FO%. Faceoffs lost is the remainder.

What it does not use

the opposing center or game script.

💡
Pro Tip: A 52% center taking 20 draws a night wins more faceoffs than a 58% specialist taking 10. Sort by FOW, not FO%, for the category.

Volume first

Top-line centers take the most draws. Projected ice time drives volume.

Time on Ice

Center deployment

A forward moving between center and wing changes his volume. Check current lines.

Line Combinations

Forwards projections

Every forward's full projected line, including faceoffs.

Forwards Projections

Faceoffs won by matchup

Every center this week against his likely opposing centers, with expected draws, win rate and a range of outcomes.

Faceoffs This Week

NHL faceoff leaders

Opponent-adjusted faceoff ratings with 90% intervals, strong- and weak-side splits and power-play specialists.

Faceoff Leaders

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Faceoffs taken per 60 minutes (the player's recent rate) times LineupExperts' projected ice time gives volume; volume times his shrunk faceoff percentage gives projected faceoffs won.
Faceoff percentage is shrunk toward 50.5% in proportion to how few draws back it up. Small samples are pulled in a lot, large ones barely.
Not in this table: it uses the player's own volume and win rate only. Our Faceoffs This Week page projects each center against This Week's likely opposing centers, adjusted for home ice, dot side and handedness.
Faceoff volume is one of the most stable stats in hockey. In our backtest projected faceoffs won beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with top deciles within about 4% of actual totals.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see this week player projections