Edgehalla

NHL Projected Faceoff Winners - Rest of Season

Faceoffs won is a center-driven category in many Yahoo and ESPN leagues. These projections multiply how many draws a center has been taking per 60 minutes by his projected ice time, then by his faceoff percentage shrunk toward the league average. Volume matters as much as skill. For per-game numbers adjusted for the opposing centers, dot side and handedness, see Faceoffs This Season.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 176 players
💡

Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Faceoffs Won

176 players
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PlayerTeamPosRost%FOW† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%933.4430.0033.0063.00196.0046.0059.0018.009.2110.2419.451.290.842.143.87767.0254.9%24.7471.94-6.781595:001825.11591.00
Sidney CrosbyPITC98.7%902.2426.0041.0067.00193.0067.0034.0028.007.0311.8218.850.020.010.032.64742.9254.8%23.9481.005.861531:001749.11515.00
Dylan LarkinDETC95.1%789.2629.0033.0062.00225.0043.0034.0044.008.3110.4018.711.160.561.723.25706.3052.8%23.4081.03-9.121514:001798.88571.00
Chandler StephensonSEAC24.0%745.5113.0041.0054.0077.0018.0040.0032.002.7111.3514.060.590.871.461.99665.3152.8%31.7767.880.331451:001857.45369.00
Joel Eriksson EkMINC77.8%744.8819.0027.0045.00219.00113.0045.0027.004.988.0413.020.610.451.073.61757.5549.6%23.7266.77-4.051509:001572.50561.00
Bo HorvatNYIC92.4%741.5037.0032.0069.00247.0080.0039.0031.0011.299.7721.061.540.972.504.47586.0655.9%23.9681.290.251591:001818.78663.00
Elias LindholmBOSC41.0%731.8516.0029.0045.00125.0056.0058.0029.003.256.7710.010.710.551.262.24584.9955.6%19.5665.567.201350:001685.49410.00
Robert ThomasSTLC85.3%727.8320.0050.0071.00137.0014.0047.0028.003.7811.1714.950.880.951.832.80661.4152.4%25.5885.902.891527:001907.59559.00
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%725.8247.0052.00100.00299.0052.0089.0016.0012.8815.6328.511.350.642.005.95543.0457.2%28.6773.812.701621:001786.79940.00
Ryan O'ReillyNSHC81.0%710.5922.0040.0061.00139.0020.0065.0025.006.2813.0919.361.581.322.903.52591.9054.6%28.0568.66-9.151566:001854.03488.00
Vincent TrocheckUTAC84.8%709.1521.0027.0048.00147.00207.0057.0055.003.916.069.971.070.561.642.81539.8956.8%23.6078.105.671534:001922.82425.00
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.7%706.7544.0066.00110.00235.0042.0024.0033.0013.5623.3536.910.520.320.845.82567.5955.5%25.6398.806.001683:001818.12908.00
John TavaresTORC95.0%705.5826.0034.0061.00184.0068.0030.0030.007.5010.6518.150.020.010.033.29537.7056.8%21.3769.482.201343:001560.44501.00
Mikael BacklundCGYC12.0%703.2013.0018.0031.00187.0035.0032.0018.000.630.991.621.040.891.931.64718.7849.5%22.8174.37-28.441428:001887.00354.00
Dylan StromeWSHC81.0%695.8418.0043.0061.00132.0014.0050.0033.004.3412.5216.850.080.090.172.27563.9355.2%19.9368.4611.671371:001589.12497.00
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%693.1143.0079.00121.00340.0049.0037.0042.0012.6825.0137.690.340.310.656.42687.2350.2%26.19104.9615.001732:001849.601029.00
Nick SuzukiMTLC99.9%692.9330.0057.0087.00177.0069.0059.0023.008.0919.1927.280.640.511.155.02673.8850.7%26.5084.755.311629:001737.69723.00
Sean MonahanCBJC17.0%692.8114.0025.0039.00130.0040.0038.0014.002.254.496.740.710.541.251.92661.2151.2%25.0567.223.121406:001819.98368.00
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYIC10.7%672.9211.0020.0032.0093.00134.0059.007.000.551.161.710.921.031.951.33500.3757.4%20.6658.810.231264:001772.37285.00
Brock NelsonCOLC86.6%665.3326.0029.0054.00172.0035.0057.0025.005.577.1212.691.480.892.363.88660.2450.2%22.7768.2813.811477:001834.13526.00
Elias PetterssonVANC93.4%649.1916.0045.0062.00144.00125.0086.0012.004.1013.9318.030.700.881.582.26722.8147.3%26.1969.61-8.511446:001737.58523.00
Anthony CirelliTBLC46.0%615.4620.0027.0047.00139.0052.0062.0040.003.294.768.041.421.072.492.63645.9548.8%22.7469.108.261409:001830.91474.00
J.T. MillerNYRC90.1%613.8019.0046.0066.00145.00144.0042.0048.004.8514.0218.870.680.791.472.10439.9558.2%22.0577.3615.221444:001874.78519.00
Jordan StaalCARC17.3%610.839.0011.0020.0078.00118.0034.0017.001.281.662.930.550.390.941.21504.6954.8%13.0541.054.82902:001293.37214.00
Sebastian AhoCARC99.7%610.1936.0053.0089.00213.0051.0030.0055.0012.5020.0032.501.651.583.224.83559.2952.2%22.8582.646.991523:001746.82752.00
William KarlssonVGKC19.3%608.6518.0019.0036.00149.0021.0053.0011.002.392.755.141.070.491.562.79438.1358.1%20.6657.77-2.021303:001560.45406.00
Adam LowryWPGC8.4%607.969.0017.0027.0088.00147.0053.0033.000.190.400.590.680.631.312.23549.7352.5%19.9455.18-0.251192:001691.28268.00
Sean CouturierPHIC8.3%607.748.0019.0027.00109.0091.0031.0026.000.461.271.730.830.871.700.97510.1154.4%21.3263.67-10.681294:001718.44239.00
Alexander WennbergSJSC20.0%601.3510.0028.0038.0091.0027.0082.0014.002.316.769.070.560.661.211.13659.4447.7%27.3766.40-17.051517:001730.77310.00
Anton LundellFLAC42.0%600.6215.0026.0041.00174.00101.0041.0035.004.308.4312.731.030.891.922.01562.3951.6%19.2570.481.951363:001734.93415.00
Tomas HertlVGKC86.7%595.7128.0027.0055.00183.00116.0041.0024.0011.6310.2921.920.140.060.214.34462.9656.3%17.9457.40-1.581261:001411.73523.00
Phillip DanaultMTLC4.9%585.877.0017.0024.0097.0063.0044.0022.000.280.761.030.660.841.501.17506.0253.7%18.5360.495.001296:001680.24264.00
Roope HintzDALC83.0%581.5826.0037.0063.00174.0078.0033.0023.007.1210.9018.030.380.220.593.80456.4856.0%19.3366.122.181334:001644.01579.00
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%573.4534.0064.0098.00259.0028.0048.0017.0010.0428.5038.541.481.482.965.27637.8847.3%27.8689.53-2.151606:001684.17865.00
Adam FantilliCBJC90.8%563.8629.0034.0063.00220.00137.0059.0032.006.117.8513.960.510.260.773.98522.0451.9%27.0272.813.071454:001626.44587.00
Mark ScheifeleWPGC98.7%563.1030.0053.0083.00164.0038.0043.0042.006.6913.9820.670.210.170.377.44620.0847.6%26.6591.13-0.301625:001664.07630.00
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%557.1838.0059.0097.00265.0045.0054.0038.008.8418.2327.060.510.390.904.28574.8349.2%29.0995.85-17.491552:001579.29796.00
Christian DvorakPHIC13.4%553.6917.0022.0039.00117.0056.0052.0020.002.523.526.041.150.691.842.05480.7753.5%20.8658.44-9.941279:001673.57338.00
Jake EvansMTLC4.9%551.899.0014.0023.0081.0096.0060.0023.000.100.180.281.150.892.041.51472.3653.9%20.5155.924.691197:001543.87235.00
Kevin StenlundUTAC0.1%551.536.0014.0019.0065.0049.0065.0032.000.421.101.520.721.141.860.80474.3453.8%17.0455.784.351079:001561.72213.00
Ryan McLeodBUFC21.6%551.1612.0024.0036.0080.0016.0029.0017.001.994.736.721.090.791.892.12556.0949.8%20.6967.762.761253:001739.15258.00
Charlie CoyleCBJC47.2%548.5314.0036.0051.00131.0098.0052.0019.002.908.6511.550.921.041.961.92512.5351.7%25.9268.342.981389:001783.39420.00
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%545.3222.0046.0068.00192.0095.0056.0017.006.3514.8921.241.140.841.982.43478.0753.3%26.2382.7716.011532:001843.84578.00
Andrew CoppDETC8.3%545.219.0025.0034.00112.0041.0056.0022.001.595.507.090.690.851.541.01478.5153.3%19.0066.44-8.271271:001687.69312.00
Morgan FrostCGYC19.4%538.3318.0020.0038.00151.0060.0050.0020.004.384.949.320.120.070.192.27461.8053.8%20.4057.00-21.291222:001582.35356.00
Jason DickinsonEDMC3.2%521.887.0013.0020.0077.00113.0064.0033.000.050.100.150.380.350.730.93534.0449.4%18.5257.085.011151:001630.35205.00
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSHC46.9%517.1116.0034.0049.00117.0065.0044.0064.003.828.5112.330.060.040.102.02545.4848.7%19.4160.7611.241316:001636.78433.00
Quinton ByfieldLAKC82.1%514.1725.0033.0058.00188.0062.0038.0039.005.827.9113.740.740.611.353.31570.7947.4%32.7276.188.731549:001811.02505.00
Michael McCarronMINC10.7%508.906.0014.0019.00107.00192.0077.0072.000.050.150.200.610.751.361.14469.1052.0%17.7050.28-3.471082:001384.29250.00
Cody GlassNJDC4.1%507.5410.0011.0020.00113.0054.0040.0027.000.500.621.110.620.370.991.29422.0554.6%14.9748.67-5.181043:001501.83230.00
Joshua NorrisBUFC33.6%503.5518.0024.0043.00116.0062.0046.0046.004.256.2610.510.480.250.733.19468.8351.8%18.5458.252.651277:001757.21377.00
Sam BennettFLAC81.3%501.9516.0029.0045.00173.00145.0032.0072.004.839.2314.060.300.260.572.14544.5148.0%21.8771.711.951395:001663.28400.00
Matthew BeniersSEAC49.3%500.2918.0030.0048.00127.0044.0056.0013.004.026.9110.930.470.350.822.76535.9548.3%25.4272.870.321422:001707.93421.00
Pavel ZachaBOSC69.1%494.6220.0025.0046.00124.0057.0033.0026.004.456.3310.780.760.401.162.81457.1152.0%23.8765.627.311389:001610.68408.00
Tim WasheANAC8.5%491.246.009.0014.0069.00195.0061.0030.000.551.011.551.160.791.950.71428.6953.4%15.3445.23-4.35994:001434.93168.00
Aleksander BarkovFLAC90.2%486.0515.0041.0057.00129.0065.0041.0015.004.5813.5318.110.510.340.852.01422.3953.5%18.7655.171.651174:001447.99459.00
Jack DruryNSHC4.8%484.448.0016.0024.0097.0049.0062.0033.000.220.500.721.040.771.811.28401.2854.7%18.9547.82-7.521074:001442.76279.00
Scott LaughtonLAKC4.8%482.8711.0014.0025.00119.00153.0054.0036.000.340.490.830.900.651.551.45380.2955.9%19.1358.867.401144:001657.28251.00
Barrett HaytonUTAC10.5%475.738.0030.0038.00137.0030.0038.0048.001.295.486.780.220.520.741.07427.1952.7%17.7657.454.391162:001656.09375.00
Aatu RatyVANC9.6%475.3610.0010.0020.0076.00178.0017.0025.000.240.270.510.330.160.491.42351.7057.5%12.7739.74-5.75840:001298.66173.00
J.T. CompherDETC3.2%471.839.0013.0022.0089.0024.0053.0027.000.490.801.290.640.431.071.01500.6148.5%18.7855.79-8.641221:001623.67222.00
Erik HaulaLAKC11.8%471.2212.0020.0032.00146.00101.0047.0046.001.673.194.870.851.182.031.59493.6748.8%19.8763.347.551250:001775.10321.00
Mikael GranlundANAC63.7%470.3217.0041.0058.00146.0039.0057.0019.005.0414.3619.401.010.961.972.02493.9848.8%23.6175.22-5.741504:001818.70492.00
Nic DowdVGKC3.2%465.316.0013.0019.0057.00127.0047.0046.000.140.350.500.520.501.020.93493.4548.5%17.7548.31-1.751050:001463.86180.00
Shane PintoOTTC43.7%459.9820.0033.0054.00154.00110.0051.0043.004.889.4514.331.261.072.333.24444.7150.8%24.7766.984.771444:001984.23486.00
Nazem KadriCOLC69.5%458.3620.0035.0055.00215.0048.0035.0033.005.3811.6517.030.150.120.272.98518.5846.9%23.6777.0012.961485:001726.72502.00
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%451.9241.0098.00139.00256.0054.0030.0037.0011.2240.2151.441.731.303.035.42462.3649.4%29.1596.766.481794:001863.551068.00
Ryan HartmanMINC32.1%445.7313.0018.0031.00151.0071.0065.0058.002.023.055.070.030.020.052.47506.8346.8%18.3060.69-3.471189:001317.28317.00
Dylan CozensOTTC85.2%445.5517.0031.0047.00182.00203.0032.0040.005.5311.8117.340.180.150.332.75403.5452.5%20.0462.954.121346:001764.06447.00
Mason McTavishSTLC52.2%443.9224.0028.0052.00175.0090.0032.0041.005.426.2711.690.090.050.143.36455.5349.4%18.1359.292.291235:001569.95469.00
Brayden SchennNYIC37.0%438.4019.0029.0048.00133.00174.0045.0050.005.168.3713.540.110.090.202.29384.8253.3%19.2559.040.211330:001625.80397.00
Leo CarlssonANAC94.9%427.5136.0049.0084.00204.0016.0041.0024.0010.7320.2330.960.710.331.034.29516.7545.3%22.5768.51-5.251405:001635.32705.00
Noah CatesPHIC12.5%417.5811.0016.0027.00107.0083.0042.0022.001.111.852.960.780.471.261.33480.3846.5%19.4450.59-9.201147:001623.21277.00
Frank NazarCHIC49.4%415.2621.0028.0048.00158.0041.0046.0030.004.396.9711.361.230.721.952.46457.2147.6%22.3170.15-15.031292:001560.69396.00
Anton FrondellCHIC68.3%409.5521.0037.0058.00171.0058.0048.0016.005.009.5014.500.800.501.302.46489.2445.6%21.0558.78-14.221254:001514.09487.00
Logan CooleyUTAC94.1%405.3418.0046.0064.00124.0080.0042.0033.005.7219.2024.920.590.551.142.41460.5546.8%23.7972.584.591389:001707.76514.00
Mark JankowskiCARC9.0%403.7823.0010.0033.0084.0049.0041.0015.003.011.494.501.470.361.833.08417.7649.1%13.6447.995.05940:001313.61307.00
Marco RossiVANC65.8%398.4121.0026.0047.00129.0082.0040.0029.004.626.9011.520.380.220.602.97405.1449.6%23.4864.20-7.931334:001551.42374.00
Frederick GaudreauSEAC7.0%397.4417.0013.0030.0090.0039.0063.007.000.560.491.051.760.632.402.60450.4346.9%19.8554.530.311201:001619.80312.00
Nick PaulTORC8.1%396.7114.0019.0033.00102.00118.0049.0034.002.083.145.221.270.792.061.77411.0849.1%18.1453.592.151188:001521.31282.00
Brayden PointTBLC94.1%396.2731.0037.0068.00188.0014.0036.0015.0010.6812.8223.500.140.080.224.07442.6847.2%23.1764.547.401495:001628.49602.00
Kai UchaczVGKC0.0%392.174.004.008.0057.00125.0029.0034.000.170.190.360.090.040.140.62389.4850.2%17.5853.60-1.801093:001442.26112.00
Teddy BluegerTORC3.2%389.576.0014.0019.0077.0097.0038.0033.000.170.460.631.091.082.170.76403.5549.1%17.7953.002.101069:001448.34184.00
Wyatt JohnstonDALC99.8%389.2230.0043.0073.00203.0050.0050.0025.008.9813.3822.360.490.280.774.39401.0649.3%23.4768.162.481523:001642.55636.00
Colton SissonsTORC3.3%389.018.005.0013.0086.00138.0051.0019.000.460.340.801.100.321.431.01319.0754.9%17.5350.612.071073:001505.82191.00
Nicolas RoyCOLC12.1%388.2313.0018.0032.00100.0075.0041.0031.000.701.051.750.710.551.251.94352.1752.4%19.1458.3911.421106:001486.96280.00
Lars EllerFLAC4.1%387.956.0020.0025.0071.0052.0037.0021.000.883.554.420.540.851.380.80367.1951.4%15.4550.931.59989:001413.41238.00
Arttu HyryDALC4.0%383.476.005.0012.0092.00126.0033.0011.000.030.040.071.450.541.990.88305.1955.7%13.9643.491.83929:001242.87164.00
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%383.1742.0034.0076.00283.0072.0042.0036.0012.5811.6524.230.590.190.787.43453.0945.8%25.1873.672.941486:001807.89752.00
Evan RodriguesNJDC7.5%369.7211.0019.0029.00171.0093.0026.0039.002.063.966.020.650.581.231.42405.6647.7%22.1459.38-5.581237:001567.10313.00
Ryan GreeneCHIC9.7%369.539.0019.0028.0089.0042.0043.0010.000.661.582.240.650.631.281.05471.2044.0%19.5158.83-16.121257:001664.70255.00
Fraser MintenBOSC45.7%368.4424.0023.0047.00143.00118.0038.0018.003.013.186.191.420.642.063.37397.7548.1%20.8553.626.631176:001487.18462.00
Justin DanforthBUFC0.0%367.069.0012.0021.0092.00121.0054.0024.000.080.120.201.190.691.881.59392.6848.3%16.8949.462.541039:001627.26223.00
Dalibor DvorskySTLC28.1%365.4114.0012.0026.00112.0076.0035.0027.002.912.545.450.010.000.011.96433.8845.7%15.6354.062.041095:001456.55271.00
Owen MichaelsEDMC8.1%358.2412.0012.0024.0081.0061.0026.0021.000.800.901.710.650.421.071.59374.7448.9%13.5741.423.40808:001391.54227.00
Pius SuterSTLC4.1%357.0318.0017.0035.00110.0057.0030.0016.001.131.272.391.770.652.422.52387.0348.0%18.4959.622.611260:001698.53336.00
Noah LabaNYRC9.7%355.317.0017.0024.0080.00125.0044.0036.000.371.001.370.470.541.010.77346.0350.7%15.7851.2912.891052:001524.05243.00
Ryan StromeCGYC4.0%343.0711.0020.0031.00114.0034.0027.0050.001.532.994.520.130.120.251.39415.7745.2%19.2862.79-22.181187:001578.07255.00
Vitali PinchukNSHC18.4%342.7513.0018.0031.00127.0038.0023.0021.002.283.395.670.000.000.002.08362.2448.6%18.2656.40-7.281154:001579.91289.00
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%340.8335.0053.0088.00176.00131.0048.0031.0011.0320.2331.272.371.273.655.66306.9152.6%26.4083.214.961591:002010.03713.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Volume

faceoffs taken per 60 minutes from the player's own recent history (it is a stable role stat), times LineupExperts' projected ice time.

Win rate

faceoff percentage shrunk toward 50.5% for centers with the weight of about 96 faceoffs, so a center who has won 60% of 50 draws projects closer to 54%, while a veteran with thousands of draws keeps nearly his own rate.

Projected FOW = faceoffs taken × FO%. Faceoffs lost is the remainder.

What it does not use

the opposing center or game script.

💡
Pro Tip: A 52% center taking 20 draws a night wins more faceoffs than a 58% specialist taking 10. Sort by FOW, not FO%, for the category.

Volume first

Top-line centers take the most draws. Projected ice time drives volume.

Time on Ice

Center deployment

A forward moving between center and wing changes his volume. Check current lines.

Line Combinations

Forwards projections

Every forward's full projected line, including faceoffs.

Forwards Projections

Faceoffs won by matchup

Every center this season against his likely opposing centers, with expected draws, win rate and a range of outcomes.

Faceoffs This Season

NHL faceoff leaders

Opponent-adjusted faceoff ratings with 90% intervals, strong- and weak-side splits and power-play specialists.

Faceoff Leaders

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Faceoffs taken per 60 minutes (the player's recent rate) times LineupExperts' projected ice time gives volume; volume times his shrunk faceoff percentage gives projected faceoffs won.
Faceoff percentage is shrunk toward 50.5% in proportion to how few draws back it up. Small samples are pulled in a lot, large ones barely.
Not in this table: it uses the player's own volume and win rate only. Our Faceoffs This Season page projects each center against This Season's likely opposing centers, adjusted for home ice, dot side and handedness.
Faceoff volume is one of the most stable stats in hockey. In our backtest projected faceoffs won beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with top deciles within about 4% of actual totals.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see rest of season player projections