Edgehalla

NHL Projected Goals Against Average - Rest of Season

Goals-against average is a standard goalie category in Yahoo and ESPN leagues. This page ranks goalies by projected GAA, lowest first: LineupExperts' projected goals against divided by our projected minutes, per 60. Only goalies with at least one projected start are ranked (five for the rest of the season).

Season Outlook: Oct 4 through Apr 10, 2027
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 4:27 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 72 players

GAA = 60 × projected goals against ÷ projected minutes.

Goals against come from LineupExperts' projection for the goalie's projected starts.

Minutes are an Edgehalla estimate: projected starts × minutes per start (about 60, shrunk toward the league average for each goalie, so overtime and early hooks are included). When LineupExperts projects a goalie for far fewer shots per game than his team allows, his appearances are treated as partial games and his minutes scale down with them.

Ranking rule

goalies need at least one projected start (the rest of the season, this week, next week) or five (rest of season) to be ranked, so a one-period relief appearance cannot top the list.

💡
Pro Tip: GAA rewards goalies on strong defensive teams as much as good goaltending. Pair it with save percentage to separate the two.
💡

Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Goals Against Average

72 players
Show

Goalies72 of 72

PlayerTeamPosRost%GAA† ↑GSWLOTLSVGASASV%MIN†FPTS
Scott WedgewoodCOLG95.5%2.3133.0020.0011.002.00844.076.0924.091.4%1977:29390.00
Joel HoferSTLG79.8%2.4544.0022.0018.004.001137.0108.01261.090.2%2641:44494.00
Andrei VasilevskiyTBG99.0%2.4660.0034.0021.005.001565.0147.01698.092.2%3589:46689.00
Karel VejmelkaUTAG98.3%2.5260.0032.0024.005.001524.0151.01664.091.6%3590:21648.00
Anthony StolarzTORG30.0%2.5333.0019.0011.003.00875.083.0948.092.2%1971:47383.00
Connor HellebuyckWPGG93.9%2.5355.0029.0021.006.001412.0139.01543.091.6%3296:38587.00
Logan ThompsonWASG99.5%2.5357.0035.0017.004.001503.0144.01648.091.2%3414:50656.00
Casey DeSmithDALG17.4%2.5433.0017.0014.002.00843.084.0925.091.2%1983:42345.00
Igor ShesterkinNYRG93.3%2.5755.0028.0023.005.001449.0141.01596.090.8%3292:21597.00
Brandon BussiCARG96.0%2.5942.0024.0015.004.001051.0109.01167.090.1%2522:19432.00
Jake OettingerDALG99.0%2.6153.0028.0021.005.001344.0138.01484.090.6%3172:10541.00
Mackenzie BlackwoodCOLG89.9%2.6260.0036.0019.005.001541.0157.01696.090.8%3598:02647.00
Akira SchmidFLAG27.8%2.6233.0016.0013.004.00863.087.0956.090.3%1993:36340.00
Joey DaccordSEAG53.8%2.6252.0024.0024.004.001337.0136.01473.090.8%3111:56528.00
Pyotr KochetkovCARG45.4%2.6433.0019.0013.002.00831.087.0926.089.7%1979:04341.00
Ilya SorokinNYIG96.9%2.6460.0029.0025.006.001615.0158.01750.092.3%3593:37667.00
John GibsonDETG71.5%2.6557.0025.0026.005.001467.0150.01617.090.7%3393:03565.00
Jacob MarkstromFLAG89.1%2.6649.0025.0020.004.001220.0130.01345.090.7%2937:30489.00
Jesper WallstedtMING94.1%2.6760.0033.0022.005.001593.0160.01753.090.9%3598:56654.00
Alex LyonBUFG33.4%2.6733.0017.0014.003.00868.088.0955.090.8%1976:00343.00
Dylan GarandNYRG13.0%2.6733.0012.007.002.00523.055.0578.090.5%1234:12221.00
Linus UllmarkOTTG81.1%2.6852.0029.0019.004.001328.0139.01474.090.1%3111:38540.00
Trent MinerCOLG7.2%2.6850.0017.0011.004.00777.088.0864.089.9%1969:01292.00
Jet GreavesCLBG85.6%2.6960.0031.0024.005.001570.0162.01729.090.8%3607:33625.00
Anton ForsbergLAG25.5%2.7133.0016.0013.004.00830.090.0920.090.2%1989:15314.00
Jeremy SwaymanBOSG96.9%2.7253.0026.0022.005.001408.0144.01559.090.3%3177:58561.00
Sergei BobrovskyTORG88.1%2.7253.0027.0022.004.001388.0144.01520.091.3%3172:23543.00
Jake AllenNJG54.0%2.7345.0023.0017.005.001162.0123.01280.090.8%2702:08453.00
Dennis HildebyTBG17.7%2.7420.0010.009.002.00522.055.0574.090.9%1205:23196.00
Sergei MurashovPITG65.0%2.7433.0011.007.002.00513.058.0571.089.9%1270:46193.00
Adin HillLVG23.6%2.7433.0018.0012.004.00831.090.0928.089.6%1971:08323.00
Justus AnnunenNSHG10.5%2.7424.0012.0011.002.00628.066.0699.089.8%1444:34240.00
Calvin PickardMING4.0%2.748.004.004.000.00201.022.0225.089.3%480:5871.00
Filip GustavssonMING64.3%2.7730.0015.0012.002.00790.083.0855.092.4%1799:54309.00
Devin CooleyCGYG13.7%2.7833.0013.0017.003.00845.092.0942.089.7%1988:04306.00
Carter HartLVG86.6%2.7960.0030.0025.005.001510.0167.01682.089.7%3589:39561.00
Thatcher DemkoVANG24.5%2.8024.0011.0010.003.00609.067.0677.090.0%1434:57227.00
Frederik AndersenEDMG37.8%2.8015.007.006.002.00386.042.0434.089.1%899:29145.00
Clay StevensonWPGG6.4%2.8333.0011.007.002.00513.058.0571.089.9%1228:22193.00
Daniel VladarPHIG76.0%2.8647.0024.0020.004.001219.0134.01353.090.1%2813:31457.00
Darcy KuemperLAG58.0%2.8750.0025.0022.004.001280.0143.01431.089.5%2988:11478.00
Semyon VarlamovNYIG4.9%2.8816.008.008.001.00420.046.0472.088.9%959:22151.00
Colten EllisBUFG12.9%2.889.004.005.001.00227.026.0253.089.7%540:4980.00
Jakub DobesMONG96.1%2.8960.0031.0022.007.001556.0173.01739.089.5%3597:43574.00
Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenBUFG76.8%2.9060.0031.0024.005.001512.0174.01686.089.7%3593:58556.00
Joseph WollPHIG33.1%2.9133.0016.0013.004.00891.096.0987.090.3%1976:53332.00
Cam TalbotCLBG5.8%2.9319.009.0010.001.00482.056.0537.089.7%1148:01164.00
Stuart SkinnerWPGG42.3%2.9325.0011.0011.002.00624.073.0703.088.8%1496:25213.00
Charlie LindgrenWASG11.4%2.9433.0016.0015.002.00849.097.0942.090.2%1981:31305.00
Juuse SarosNSHG84.4%2.9560.0027.0028.005.001595.0176.01779.089.6%3584:22573.00
Joonas KorpisaloNYRG7.6%2.9523.0011.0010.002.00592.068.0657.090.1%1381:02206.00
Samuel ErssonOTTG9.7%2.9629.0015.0012.003.00730.086.0821.088.9%1744:37256.00
Spencer KnightCHIG78.7%2.9653.0023.0025.005.001394.0157.01552.089.8%3177:58486.00
Sam MontembeaultMONG14.8%2.9629.0015.0012.002.00742.086.0852.087.1%1740:21259.00
Michael DipietroBOSG15.4%3.0033.0016.0015.003.00850.099.0939.090.5%1979:03291.00
Devon LeviEDMG40.8%3.0033.0017.0014.001.00864.099.0966.089.5%1978:39307.00
Dustin WolfCGYG66.0%3.0153.0021.0026.006.001396.0159.01545.090.4%3164:48477.00
Alex NedeljkovicSJG17.6%3.0129.0012.0014.003.00773.088.0873.088.6%1751:21263.00
Lukas DostalANAG80.7%3.0257.0028.0023.005.001531.0172.01699.090.2%3416:37550.00
Philipp GrubauerSEAG13.6%3.0533.0016.0014.003.00920.0101.01029.089.4%1984:22334.00
Jordan BinningtonSTLG31.2%3.0733.0014.0015.003.00845.0101.0941.089.8%1976:57280.00
Arturs SilovsPITG45.1%3.0960.0030.0024.006.001520.0185.01718.088.5%3594:22520.00
Ville HussoANAG6.4%3.0923.0011.0011.002.00611.071.0689.088.7%1379:13207.00
Nico DawsNJG16.9%3.0933.0016.0014.003.00897.0102.0992.090.5%1979:06317.00
Tristan JarryEDMG9.4%3.1442.0019.0017.006.001040.0132.01169.088.9%2520:47335.00
Daniil TarasovDETG10.6%3.1527.0012.0012.002.00710.085.0788.090.1%1620:53234.00
Sebastian CossaUTAG32.2%3.1833.0020.0010.003.00899.0105.01016.088.5%1979:06331.00
Arvid SoderblomCHIG5.6%3.2524.0010.0012.002.00639.078.0724.088.2%1441:03198.00
Yaroslav AskarovSJG77.4%3.2760.0027.0026.007.001615.0195.01819.088.8%3577:12524.00
Kevin LankinenVANG31.7%3.2835.0015.0016.004.00896.0114.01013.088.4%2088:29272.00
Leevi MerilainenVANG12.8%4.1333.0013.0016.002.00640.0102.0742.086.3%1480:51145.00
Elvis MerzlikinsTORG8.9%-1.001.000.000.0027.03.030.088.4%59:529.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Goals against totals

Projected goals against before dividing by minutes.

Goals Against

Save percentage

The other rate stat for goalies, less tied to team defence.

Save Percentage

Confirm starters

A GAA projection only matters if the goalie starts.

Starting Goalies

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Projected goals against (from LineupExperts) times 60, divided by projected minutes. Minutes are projected starts times about 60 minutes per start, scaled down for goalies projected to make partial appearances.
A goalie needs at least one projected start (five for rest of season) to be ranked. Below that, a single short appearance would make GAA meaningless.
For the GAA category, yes. But a goalie with few starts helps a category league less in wins and saves, so weigh volume too.
Goals against is a total, which rises with starts. GAA is a rate per 60 minutes, which compares goalies with different workloads.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see rest of season player projections

Related Fantasy Hockey Tools