Edgehalla

NHL Projected Plus/Minus - Rest of Season

Plus/minus counts even-strength and shorthanded goals for and against while a player is on the ice. Our projection is mostly a team stat: the team's projected goal differential away from the power play, shared out by each player's even-strength and penalty-kill minutes. It is one of the noisiest categories in hockey, so read it as a direction, not a number.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 798 players
💡

Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

Plus/minus is one of hockey's noisiest stats (year-to-year correlation about 0.3). This projection is the player's share of his team's projected even-strength and shorthanded goal differential, with no individual on-ice adjustment. How the model works

Sorted by Projected Plus Minus

726 players
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PlayerTeamPosRost%+/-† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†TOISFT†FPTS
Vladislav GavrikovNYRD57.5%21.147.0026.0033.00104.0055.00118.0025.000.522.032.550.190.821.010.770.000.00-20.9788.311715:002000.39404.00
Marcus PetterssonNYRD5.7%20.302.0017.0019.0064.0087.00129.0037.000.050.480.540.060.730.790.220.000.00-25.4582.601621:001899.16284.00
Adam FoxNYRD99.0%18.707.0063.0071.00114.0036.00117.0037.002.4624.9927.450.050.710.760.770.000.00-29.3890.901743:001981.58599.00
Devon ToewsCOLD72.7%17.928.0034.0043.00128.0039.0090.0030.001.728.6910.410.160.841.001.190.000.00-33.4293.361828:002173.11479.00
Sean DurziNYRD37.4%17.788.0025.0033.0085.0055.00106.0046.001.464.636.100.130.470.600.880.000.00-23.7779.261504:001889.85342.00
Braden SchneiderNYRD16.4%17.493.0013.0016.0092.00159.00120.0031.000.170.800.970.090.430.520.330.000.00-18.1773.801411:001750.68294.00
Cale MakarCOLD100.0%16.6024.0061.0085.00209.0033.00115.0020.009.2626.8536.110.270.841.123.580.000.00-29.7794.781872:001938.89798.00
Brent BurnsCOLD46.7%16.207.0023.0029.00142.0019.0079.0027.000.311.101.410.150.630.781.040.000.00-21.4082.531543:001953.66376.00
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%16.0122.0046.0068.00192.0095.0056.0017.006.3514.8921.241.140.841.982.43545.32478.0753.3%26.2382.771532:001843.84578.00
Brett KulakCOLD4.3%16.003.0018.0020.0088.0024.00106.0024.000.161.011.160.050.360.410.450.000.00-20.0877.041528:001809.22272.00
Jakob ChychrunWSHD99.0%15.5920.0030.0050.00205.0056.00110.0068.006.579.5116.080.180.360.542.530.000.00-26.8295.901763:001757.59601.00
Martin FehervaryWSHD25.1%15.413.0016.0020.0061.00124.00164.0034.000.050.300.350.110.720.830.380.000.00-18.8377.281532:001733.58336.00
J.T. MillerNYRC90.1%15.2219.0046.0066.00145.00144.0042.0048.004.8514.0218.870.680.791.472.10613.80439.9558.2%22.0577.361444:001874.78519.00
Matt RoyWSHD8.1%15.083.0016.0019.0084.00116.00134.0021.000.080.460.540.100.680.780.380.000.00-21.3876.921504:001643.87321.00
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%15.0043.0079.00121.00340.0049.0037.0042.0012.6825.0137.690.340.310.656.42693.11687.2350.2%26.19104.961732:001849.601029.00
Timothy LiljegrenWSHD4.8%14.964.0015.0019.0079.0069.00131.0031.000.210.871.080.090.450.540.510.000.00-20.2478.521506:001808.22249.00
Josh MansonCOLD36.0%14.725.0023.0028.00115.00170.0098.0069.000.140.720.860.120.690.810.750.000.00-19.7276.221394:001788.34384.00
Artturi LehkonenCOLLW75.9%14.3928.0024.0052.00156.0053.0044.0020.005.254.329.571.330.611.944.188.5310.90-23.0772.021513:001864.37534.00
Alexis LafreniereNYRRW89.8%14.0135.0033.0069.00171.0089.0031.0024.0010.369.0319.380.120.050.173.8618.4923.49-23.5965.241353:001636.62581.00
Gabriel PerreaultNYRRW62.7%13.9321.0028.0049.00121.0038.0037.0011.003.075.388.450.090.050.152.327.839.54-17.2756.491214:001562.40424.00
Brock NelsonCOLC86.6%13.8126.0029.0054.00172.0035.0057.0025.005.577.1212.691.480.892.363.88665.33660.2450.2%22.7768.281477:001834.13526.00
Alex TuchWSHRW93.8%13.7129.0026.0055.00186.0071.0085.0041.004.734.499.222.121.023.143.6660.0172.32-31.5671.451499:001913.92580.00
Vincent DesharnaisWSHD4.2%13.691.008.009.0045.00154.00120.0067.000.020.140.150.050.460.500.130.000.00-17.1473.191360:001614.35208.00
Cole HutsonWSHD87.4%13.5910.0033.0042.00144.0078.0059.0045.002.509.0911.590.010.060.071.260.000.00-20.5078.001497:001789.86404.00
Will CuylleNYRLW64.5%13.5923.0022.0045.00165.00300.0044.0045.003.594.327.921.370.601.972.5450.5855.22-15.5756.001187:001629.50453.00
Aliaksei ProtasWSHLW52.3%13.3122.0027.0049.00151.0029.0042.0019.000.610.871.481.621.052.682.7829.5233.62-21.5967.721337:001660.35452.00
Martin NecasCOLRW99.9%13.3035.0055.0090.00214.0075.0022.0022.0011.1918.4129.600.270.210.485.2221.7122.44-25.8585.141575:001645.09745.00
Pavel DorofeyevNYRRW90.9%13.2726.0023.0049.00225.0033.0032.0018.007.907.4915.390.080.030.112.871.712.05-19.9361.391294:001471.10501.00
Tom WilsonWSHRW94.2%13.1626.0031.0057.00156.00206.0069.0095.005.587.0412.621.671.042.713.2814.3217.46-22.3776.961494:001796.15545.00
Sam MalinskiCOLD44.2%13.137.0020.0027.00141.0042.0089.0021.000.581.782.350.080.290.361.040.000.00-20.5464.671269:001566.61395.00
Nazem KadriCOLC69.5%12.9620.0035.0055.00215.0048.0035.0033.005.3811.6517.030.150.120.272.98458.36518.5846.9%23.6777.001485:001726.72502.00
Noah LabaNYRC9.7%12.897.0017.0024.0080.00125.0044.0036.000.371.001.370.470.541.010.77355.31346.0350.7%15.7851.291052:001524.05243.00
Boone JennerWSHC23.1%12.7217.0019.0036.00166.00149.0076.0039.000.720.931.651.150.731.872.15330.22275.0154.6%19.7463.671289:001653.32423.00
Eeli TolvanenNYRLW40.5%12.7220.0015.0035.00122.00163.0076.0023.003.102.645.740.890.311.202.212.693.28-16.1850.271111:001563.73398.00
Alberts SmitsNYRD33.0%12.562.008.0011.0048.0057.0064.0031.000.060.280.350.010.050.070.220.000.00-14.8453.281006:001258.71165.00
Jaden SchwartzCOLLW30.3%12.4518.0022.0040.00127.0045.0042.0022.002.904.006.900.220.130.342.6932.7234.91-23.0563.821301:001668.13375.00
Gabriel LandeskogCOLLW46.7%11.8919.0029.0048.00166.00113.0046.0052.004.227.2311.450.130.090.222.84168.70143.5154.0%19.4461.941309:001568.44483.00
Dylan StromeWSHC81.0%11.6718.0043.0061.00132.0014.0050.0033.004.3412.5216.850.080.090.172.27695.84563.9355.2%19.9368.461371:001589.12497.00
Tye KartyeNYRLW8.1%11.4713.0020.0032.0088.00216.0041.0047.000.150.260.411.200.892.081.448.1710.20-13.7940.38914:001312.47278.00
Drew DoughtyLAKD19.5%11.466.0023.0029.0096.0063.0098.0055.000.913.644.560.080.460.540.790.000.00-24.8194.421844:002148.26317.00
Nicolas RoyCOLC12.1%11.4213.0018.0032.00100.0075.0041.0031.000.701.051.750.710.551.251.94388.23352.1752.4%19.1458.391106:001486.96280.00
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLD0.1%11.381.008.009.0040.00165.0093.0030.000.050.390.440.010.130.140.150.000.00-16.8859.091085:001590.96155.00
Jordan KyrouWSHRW69.0%11.2523.0030.0053.00189.0020.0029.0013.004.396.8611.250.090.060.152.909.5812.13-21.6865.531267:001606.12476.00
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSHC46.9%11.2416.0034.0049.00117.0065.0044.0064.003.828.5112.330.060.040.102.02517.11545.4848.7%19.4160.761316:001636.78433.00
Justin HollWSHD0.1%11.201.008.009.0044.0085.0089.0030.000.020.170.190.020.230.250.130.080.10-16.1757.981115:001356.58161.00
Justin SourdifWSHC15.4%11.0515.0018.0033.00100.00102.0035.0037.000.801.021.820.330.200.531.89305.41337.5047.5%17.4555.251128:001487.44320.00
Oliver BjorkstrandNYRRW17.0%11.0214.0018.0033.00114.0064.0037.0011.003.023.746.770.000.000.001.556.858.45-16.4045.241003:001253.15313.00
Logan O'ConnorCOLRW0.2%11.029.0010.0019.0087.0069.0044.0030.000.000.000.000.940.691.621.3421.4925.93-16.7749.821034:001405.49210.00
Mikey AndersonLAKD7.4%10.903.0016.0019.0073.00113.00139.0027.000.070.410.480.070.750.820.400.000.00-20.8682.791668:001949.81297.00
Anthony BeauvillierWSHRW4.1%10.7014.0010.0024.00135.0091.0040.0016.000.480.380.860.400.160.561.7729.8233.66-16.5448.341080:001409.02302.00
Alex OvechkinWSHLW92.2%10.6926.0026.0052.00207.00120.0014.0016.007.888.5416.410.110.050.163.281.641.93-18.0762.591338:001536.14503.00
Parker KellyCOLLW17.7%10.4111.0018.0029.0090.00169.0061.0028.000.230.420.650.980.831.811.64119.19148.6044.5%16.3451.65988:001420.34298.00
Scott MorrowNYRD12.8%10.203.0016.0019.0067.0022.0058.0016.000.703.994.680.000.000.000.330.000.00-12.7846.30892:001121.74193.00
Fedor SvechkovCOLC8.8%10.117.0014.0021.0079.0060.0041.0026.000.300.660.960.140.140.281.04252.68320.6644.1%15.3049.19974:001232.77204.00
Victor HedmanTBLD84.7%10.119.0031.0039.00144.0047.00113.0031.001.315.096.400.170.740.911.180.000.00-23.2487.071638:002004.97456.00
J.J. MoserTBLD18.8%10.074.0018.0022.00102.0061.0091.0050.000.060.320.380.090.560.650.530.000.00-21.8078.971556:001829.44331.00
Cody CeciLAKD0.2%9.961.0011.0012.0062.0038.00104.0014.000.030.300.330.030.630.660.130.000.00-19.3378.571525:001865.31208.00
Ilya ProtasWSHLW40.4%9.8512.0021.0033.00114.0045.0035.0024.002.484.567.040.090.060.161.52325.21400.1344.8%18.0256.571123:001380.86288.00
Ryan McDonaghTBLD6.5%9.803.0021.0024.0062.0028.00120.0019.000.090.660.740.090.800.890.390.000.00-24.0580.921519:001914.46335.00
Joel EdmundsonLAKD3.2%9.753.0011.0014.0095.0082.00102.0025.000.050.200.250.070.410.490.400.000.00-19.6377.791489:001930.33271.00
John CarlsonTBLD97.9%9.6414.0046.0060.00176.0040.00113.0026.005.7519.0124.760.090.400.501.840.310.38-28.2797.261808:001891.83589.00
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLLW11.2%9.6211.009.0020.0099.00201.0040.0067.000.390.370.760.730.511.241.645.806.91-14.5344.70922:001265.42227.00
Charlie McAvoyBOSD95.5%9.5710.0043.0053.00124.0095.00138.0064.003.1915.7018.890.241.041.281.400.000.00-26.7792.621797:002011.81520.00
Brian DumoulinLAKD0.2%9.523.0011.0014.0056.0042.0080.0019.000.100.410.520.050.270.320.400.000.00-21.1783.551463:001804.75185.00
Nikita ZadorovBOSD41.8%9.523.0020.0023.00103.00215.00104.00130.000.130.931.060.100.700.800.420.000.00-23.2185.801583:001937.04333.00
Jaccob SlavinCARD21.5%9.503.0019.0021.00113.0021.00135.006.000.130.891.020.080.730.800.400.000.00-28.0679.181654:001919.46377.00
Ryan LeonardWSHRW67.2%9.3624.0031.0054.00168.00139.0027.0056.005.717.7813.490.030.020.053.034.385.09-16.9156.171088:001362.40485.00
Hampus LindholmBOSD19.3%9.367.0025.0033.00103.0021.0099.0039.001.254.976.220.180.670.850.980.000.00-26.9887.201639:001994.45378.00
Erik CernakTBLD5.7%9.202.0011.0013.0072.00157.00114.0063.000.050.300.360.060.430.490.260.000.00-18.8170.901425:001908.25283.00
K'Andre MillerCARD60.3%9.128.0025.0033.00123.00105.0091.0043.001.665.296.940.130.760.891.070.280.35-29.1387.701696:001996.18351.00
Cole BeaudoinNYRC14.4%8.959.0012.0021.0073.0055.0025.0022.000.220.330.550.160.100.270.99325.18325.3850.0%11.9137.96719:00999.02200.00
Artemi PanarinLAKLW97.4%8.7634.0048.0082.00234.0019.0012.0023.009.2515.4324.680.120.090.224.500.670.78-23.9384.471617:001735.75629.00
Quinton ByfieldLAKC82.1%8.7325.0033.0058.00188.0062.0038.0039.005.827.9113.740.740.611.353.31514.17570.7947.4%32.7276.181549:001811.02505.00
Jalen ChatfieldCARD4.2%8.713.0014.0018.00103.0045.0069.0037.000.150.760.910.070.460.530.400.000.00-24.0779.391519:001874.06284.00
Adrian KempeLAKRW96.0%8.5530.0036.0067.00236.00119.0032.0047.007.5910.4818.070.340.260.603.9754.2369.02-24.8577.721549:001764.29618.00
Trevor MooreLAKLW8.8%8.5218.0018.0036.00184.0067.0045.0012.001.021.172.181.380.672.042.387.739.78-21.3564.431339:001792.15396.00
Brandon HagelTBLLW99.3%8.4940.0047.0087.00237.0053.0053.0053.0011.6215.7427.362.141.263.405.2524.6230.51-30.3577.371612:001842.96770.00
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBLD21.5%8.499.0020.0028.0097.00107.0082.00104.001.754.095.840.020.070.101.180.000.00-20.5276.041413:001731.76287.00
William BorgenBOSD5.7%8.415.0014.0019.0060.00148.00103.0037.000.060.190.250.160.490.650.700.000.00-20.7568.271384:001826.38305.00
Sean WalkerCARD63.0%8.335.0033.0038.00139.00110.00123.0054.000.836.006.820.101.251.360.670.000.00-27.1680.781520:001865.81417.00
Anthony CirelliTBLC46.0%8.2620.0027.0047.00139.0052.0062.0040.003.294.768.041.421.072.492.63615.46645.9548.8%22.7469.101409:001830.91474.00
Jaroslav ChmelarNYRRW0.1%8.148.006.0014.0059.00139.0037.0025.000.250.210.460.000.000.000.883.394.09-10.9029.55657:00927.75149.00
Nikita KucherovTBLRW99.7%8.1235.0080.00115.00229.0029.0030.0037.0011.9035.1347.030.140.130.274.602.082.43-25.77101.301639:001677.93891.00
Alex LaferriereLAKRW66.0%8.1221.0024.0045.00193.00225.0049.0025.003.604.337.930.770.481.252.78142.56181.1944.0%20.4666.731382:001712.98472.00
Brandt ClarkeLAKD94.7%8.0810.0042.0052.00183.0025.00156.0070.003.2715.9019.170.020.120.141.320.000.00-22.8879.151432:001625.35582.00
Ilya MikheyevTBLRW7.5%8.0615.0017.0033.00117.0039.0024.0012.000.180.240.421.080.701.781.973.754.61-19.8661.331247:001579.82294.00
Erik GustafssonNew team · 3 GP with LAKLAKD3.2%7.943.0021.0024.0089.0045.0059.0026.000.443.313.750.000.010.010.400.000.00-18.7566.391278:001538.01210.00
David PastrnakBOSRW99.8%7.9432.0063.0095.00284.0089.0024.0044.008.5618.8927.450.150.120.284.496.207.33-25.07101.501548:001595.31789.00
Ethen FrankWSHRW0.1%7.8814.0011.0026.0095.0061.0051.0019.002.522.144.650.010.010.011.773.153.80-13.5341.09880:001200.33297.00
Mason LohreiBOSD26.1%7.8510.0021.0031.0080.0024.0087.0017.002.104.626.720.040.100.141.400.000.00-21.1074.991403:001707.61316.00
Frederic BrunetBOSD6.5%7.812.005.007.0077.0076.0069.0015.000.501.451.950.040.100.140.280.010.01-19.3274.901422:001666.89181.00
Jake GuentzelTBLLW99.5%7.7932.0044.0076.00205.0038.0039.0033.0011.7318.2930.020.800.501.304.20198.27211.5448.4%23.8876.031581:001729.10666.00
Mats ZuccarelloNew team · 3 GP with LAKLAKRW40.8%7.7717.0040.0058.00137.0022.0032.0024.004.7513.3618.110.010.010.012.2527.8133.17-21.8576.231452:001479.28460.00
Kevin FialaLAKLW64.0%7.7624.0033.0056.00203.0051.0024.0045.006.5810.2716.850.030.020.043.1715.4419.27-23.6875.611437:001521.88508.00
Max CrozierTBLD5.6%7.732.0017.0019.0090.0085.0069.0058.000.060.550.610.060.320.380.260.000.00-15.8562.421199:001471.81240.00
Emil Martinsen LillebergTBLD4.8%7.582.0013.0015.0058.00134.0069.0079.000.010.060.070.040.330.370.260.000.00-16.6960.631167:001523.41194.00
Erik HaulaLAKC11.8%7.5512.0020.0032.00146.00101.0047.0046.001.673.194.870.851.182.031.59471.22493.6748.8%19.8763.341250:001775.10321.00
Connor CliftonBOSD6.5%7.452.0010.0012.0062.00222.00102.0060.000.120.630.750.060.360.420.280.000.00-19.5063.651245:001458.41205.00
Scott LaughtonLAKC4.8%7.4011.0014.0025.00119.00153.0054.0036.000.340.490.830.900.651.551.45482.87380.2955.9%19.1358.861144:001657.28251.00
Brayden PointTBLC94.1%7.4031.0037.0068.00188.0014.0036.0015.0010.6812.8223.500.140.080.224.07396.27442.6847.2%23.1764.541495:001628.49602.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What is plus/minus? A player gets +1 when he is on the ice for an even-strength or shorthanded goal for, and -1 for one against. Power-play goals do not count.

How we project it

- Team differential: projected goals for (its skaters' goals) and LineupExperts' goals against (its goalies' goals against), minus the share scored or allowed on the power play. Goals against are scaled league-wide so the league's +/- sums to about zero (goalie goals against leave out empty-netters). - Player share: his projected even-strength plus penalty-kill minutes divided by the team's non-power-play minutes. - +/- = games × share × team non-power-play goal differential per game.

No individual on-ice term. We tested adding each player's own on-ice goal differential and it never improved the projection, so it is not used.

Variance warning

a player's +/- correlates only about 0.3 from one season to the next.

💡
Pro Tip: Big-minute defensemen on strong teams project highest because they are on the ice for the most even-strength goals. Expect large swings around any projection.

Team-driven stat

Projected +/- follows the team's projected goal differential. Check the remaining games for context.

Games Rest of Season

Two-Way Forwards

Selke-caliber forwards combine offensive production with responsible defense, making them +/- leaders. Target two-way centers on good teams.

Forwards Projections

Avoid Minus Matchups

Identify players in tough spots—stars facing elite opponents or playing for struggling teams may post negative +/- despite good individual stats.

All Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

We take the team's projected goal differential away from the power play (from the projected goals for and against) and give each player a share in proportion to his projected even-strength and penalty-kill minutes. There is no player-specific on-ice adjustment.
It is high-variance and mostly team-driven: year to year it correlates only about 0.3 for a player. In category leagues, rostering players from strong teams is the main lever.
In our projections, heavy-minute players, especially defensemen, on teams projected to outscore opponents at even strength lead the list.
In category leagues chasing +/-, yes. Even elite players on losing teams can accumulate negative +/- despite strong individual performances.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see rest of season player projections