NHL Projected Plus/Minus This Week

Plus/minus counts even-strength and shorthanded goals for and against while a player is on the ice. Our projection is mostly a team stat: the team's projected goal differential away from the power play, shared out by each player's even-strength and penalty-kill minutes. It is one of the noisiest categories in hockey, so read it as a direction, not a number (Oct 12-18 (Week 3)). (Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:27 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 691 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

Plus/minus is one of hockey's noisiest stats (year-to-year correlation about 0.3). This projection is the player's share of his team's projected even-strength and shorthanded goal differential, with no individual on-ice adjustment. How the model works

Sorted by Projected Plus Minus(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

636 players

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Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	+/-^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Vladislav Gavrikov	NYR	D	57.5%	1.68	0.30	1.20	1.50	4.00	2.20	4.70	0.90	0.02	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	3.49	67:42	78.97	16.60
Marcus Pettersson	NYR	D	5.7%	1.61	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.30	3.70	5.10	1.40	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	1.00	3.25	63:48	74.75	11.30
Adam Fox	NYR	D	99.0%	1.50	0.30	2.60	2.90	4.20	1.50	5.00	1.40	0.10	1.03	1.13	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.17	3.61	69:18	78.79	24.10
Sean Durzi	NYR	D	37.4%	1.42	0.30	1.10	1.30	3.00	2.30	4.30	1.70	0.05	0.20	0.26	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.94	3.13	59:24	74.64	13.40
Braden Schneider	NYR	D	16.4%	1.39	0.10	0.60	0.70	3.20	6.20	4.90	1.20	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.72	2.92	55:48	69.23	11.50
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.2%	1.28	0.90	2.00	2.80	7.10	3.90	2.30	0.60	0.26	0.64	0.90	0.05	0.04	0.08	0.07	21.64	18.97	53.3%	1.04	3.28	60:48	73.18	23.20
J.T. Miller	NYR	C	90.1%	1.22	0.80	2.00	2.80	5.30	5.60	1.70	1.80	0.20	0.60	0.81	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.06	24.44	17.52	58.2%	0.88	3.08	57:30	74.65	21.20
Gabriel Perreault	NYR	RW	62.7%	1.12	0.90	1.10	2.00	4.60	1.50	1.40	0.40	0.13	0.21	0.34	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.07	0.31	0.38	-	0.69	2.26	48:30	62.42	16.90
Alexis Lafreniere	NYR	RW	89.8%	1.12	1.60	1.40	3.10	6.50	3.50	1.30	0.90	0.47	0.38	0.85	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.13	0.73	0.93	-	0.94	2.59	53:42	64.96	24.70
Will Cuylle	NYR	LW	64.5%	1.09	1.00	0.90	1.90	6.10	12.10	1.80	1.70	0.16	0.18	0.33	0.06	0.02	0.08	0.08	2.01	2.20	-	0.62	2.23	47:12	64.80	18.40
Pavel Dorofeyev	NYR	RW	90.9%	1.06	1.00	0.90	1.90	8.10	1.40	1.20	0.70	0.30	0.29	0.59	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.07	0.08	-	0.79	2.44	51:24	58.43	19.00
Noah Laba	NYR	C	9.7%	1.04	0.30	0.70	0.90	3.00	5.10	1.80	1.30	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	14.15	13.78	50.7%	0.63	2.04	41:54	60.70	9.60
Eeli Tolvanen	NYR	LW	40.5%	1.02	0.70	0.60	1.40	4.50	6.30	3.20	0.90	0.11	0.11	0.21	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.06	0.11	0.13	-	0.64	1.99	44:00	61.93	15.50
Alberts Smits	NYR	D	33.0%	1.01	0.10	0.30	0.40	1.80	2.10	2.60	1.10	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.59	2.12	40:00	50.05	6.60
Tye Kartye	NYR	LW	8.1%	0.92	0.60	0.80	1.40	3.40	8.40	1.70	1.70	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.05	0.32	0.40	-	0.55	1.60	36:18	52.13	11.60
Oliver Bjorkstrand	NYR	RW	17.0%	0.86	0.60	0.70	1.30	4.10	2.50	1.60	0.40	0.13	0.15	0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.27	0.33	-	0.64	1.76	39:06	48.85	12.50
Charlie McAvoy	BOS	D	95.5%	0.77	0.40	1.70	2.10	4.70	3.70	5.00	2.30	0.13	0.62	0.75	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	3.75	72:48	81.50	20.10
Jakob Chychrun	WSH	D	99.0%	0.75	0.80	1.20	2.00	7.60	2.20	4.70	2.40	0.26	0.38	0.64	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.04	3.70	68:06	67.89	23.60
Martin Fehervary	WSH	D	25.1%	0.74	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.20	4.90	6.90	1.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.73	2.98	59:06	66.88	13.60
Cole Beaudoin	NYR	C	14.4%	0.74	0.40	0.50	0.90	2.80	2.30	1.00	0.90	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.03	13.34	13.35	50.0%	0.49	1.56	29:30	40.99	8.20
Nikita Zadorov	BOS	D	41.8%	0.73	0.10	0.70	0.80	3.90	7.90	3.70	4.50	0.00	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.90	3.34	61:42	75.50	11.90
Hampus Lindholm	BOS	D	19.3%	0.72	0.20	1.00	1.20	3.80	0.80	3.40	1.40	0.04	0.20	0.23	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.05	3.41	64:00	77.88	13.50
Timothy Liljegren	WSH	D	4.8%	0.72	0.20	0.60	0.80	2.90	2.70	5.60	1.10	0.01	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.78	3.02	58:00	69.64	10.40
Jaroslav Chmelar	NYR	RW	0.1%	0.68	0.30	0.20	0.60	2.20	5.70	1.60	1.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.14	0.17	-	0.45	1.22	27:06	38.27	6.10
Alex Tuch	WSH	RW	93.8%	0.66	1.10	1.10	2.20	6.80	2.80	3.60	1.50	0.18	0.19	0.37	0.08	0.04	0.12	0.10	2.31	2.79	-	1.22	2.75	57:48	73.80	22.70
Vincent Desharnais	WSH	D	4.2%	0.66	0.00	0.30	0.40	1.70	6.00	5.00	2.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.66	2.81	52:18	62.08	8.50
Cole Hutson	WSH	D	87.4%	0.66	0.40	1.30	1.70	5.30	3.00	2.50	1.60	0.10	0.36	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.79	3.01	57:42	68.99	15.90
William Borgen	BOS	D	5.7%	0.65	0.20	0.50	0.70	2.20	5.60	3.70	1.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.81	2.67	54:06	71.39	11.10
Noah Dobson	MTL	D	93.8%	0.65	0.40	1.30	1.60	6.10	3.20	6.00	1.50	0.07	0.24	0.31	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	3.67	68:12	81.67	18.40
Aliaksei Protas	WSH	LW	52.3%	0.64	0.90	1.10	2.00	5.50	1.10	1.80	0.70	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.06	0.04	0.10	0.08	1.13	1.29	-	0.83	2.60	51:24	63.83	17.70
Tom Wilson	WSH	RW	94.2%	0.64	1.10	1.20	2.30	5.80	8.00	2.90	3.40	0.24	0.27	0.51	0.07	0.04	0.11	0.10	0.55	0.67	-	0.86	2.97	57:36	69.25	21.70
Frederic Brunet	BOS	D	6.5%	0.63	0.10	0.20	0.30	2.90	3.00	2.50	0.50	0.02	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.78	3.03	57:36	67.52	6.80
Kaiden Guhle	MTL	D	17.9%	0.62	0.20	0.70	0.90	3.50	6.80	5.40	2.60	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	3.13	61:24	71.25	13.10
Lane Hutson	MTL	D	99.0%	0.62	0.40	2.50	2.80	4.90	1.20	4.60	1.30	0.14	0.94	1.08	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.21	3.74	72:06	73.39	23.20
David Pastrnak	BOS	RW	99.8%	0.61	1.30	2.40	3.70	10.40	3.50	0.80	1.50	0.35	0.72	1.07	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.13	0.24	0.29	-	0.98	3.96	60:24	62.25	30.00
Boone Jenner	WSH	C	23.1%	0.61	0.70	0.80	1.50	6.10	5.90	3.20	1.40	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.06	12.71	10.58	54.6%	0.76	2.45	49:36	63.62	16.90
Matthew Rempe	NYR	RW	4.2%	0.61	0.20	0.30	0.60	2.00	9.70	1.00	2.60	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.59	0.59	-	0.38	1.15	24:30	33.43	5.70
Devon Toews	COL	D	72.7%	0.61	0.30	1.20	1.50	4.70	1.40	3.60	1.20	0.06	0.31	0.37	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.29	3.60	70:24	83.69	17.90
Mason Lohrei	BOS	D	26.1%	0.60	0.40	0.70	1.20	3.00	0.90	3.20	0.60	0.08	0.15	0.24	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.82	2.91	54:30	66.33	11.90
Alexandre Carrier	MTL	D	13.3%	0.60	0.20	0.60	0.80	2.60	2.20	6.00	1.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	2.87	59:42	73.79	12.00
Connor Clifton	BOS	D	6.5%	0.60	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.30	8.60	3.70	2.20	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.79	2.58	50:30	59.16	7.70
Cale Makar	COL	D	100.0%	0.58	0.90	2.20	3.10	7.90	1.30	4.80	0.80	0.35	0.97	1.31	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.16	0.00	0.00	-	1.19	3.80	75:00	77.68	30.30
Pavel Zacha	BOS	C	69.1%	0.57	0.80	1.00	1.80	4.40	2.20	1.00	0.90	0.18	0.25	0.43	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.08	19.37	17.90	52.0%	0.93	2.57	54:24	63.08	15.40
Adam Engstrom	MTL	D	6.4%	0.57	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.70	1.50	2.20	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.79	2.97	56:36	76.04	7.00
Dylan Strome	WSH	C	81.0%	0.56	0.70	1.70	2.50	4.90	0.60	2.10	1.20	0.17	0.49	0.66	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.06	26.85	21.76	55.2%	0.77	2.64	52:54	61.32	19.70
Justin Holl	WSH	D	0.1%	0.56	0.00	0.30	0.40	1.70	3.40	3.90	1.10	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.65	2.32	44:36	54.26	6.80
Elias Lindholm	BOS	C	41.0%	0.56	0.60	1.10	1.70	4.40	2.00	2.10	1.00	0.12	0.26	0.38	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.06	28.57	22.84	55.6%	0.76	2.56	52:42	65.80	14.90
Brent Burns	COL	D	46.7%	0.55	0.20	0.80	1.00	5.20	0.70	3.20	1.10	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	3.18	59:30	75.34	14.00
Jordan Kyrou	WSH	RW	69.0%	0.54	1.00	1.20	2.20	6.90	0.80	1.20	0.50	0.19	0.27	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.09	0.37	0.47	-	0.84	2.52	48:48	61.86	18.90
Brett Kulak	COL	D	4.3%	0.54	0.10	0.60	0.70	3.20	0.90	4.30	0.90	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.77	2.96	58:48	69.62	10.30
John-Jason Peterka	BOS	RW	74.0%	0.53	0.80	1.20	2.10	5.50	1.00	0.70	0.80	0.15	0.23	0.38	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.30	0.37	-	0.81	2.64	50:18	61.41	16.80
Justin Sourdif	WSH	C	15.4%	0.53	0.60	0.70	1.30	3.70	4.10	1.50	1.30	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	11.75	12.99	47.5%	0.67	2.13	43:24	57.23	12.70
Morgan Geekie	BOS	LW	94.0%	0.53	1.10	1.40	2.50	5.30	4.40	1.20	0.80	0.28	0.40	0.68	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.11	3.73	4.20	-	0.80	2.59	52:00	56.36	19.80
Nick Suzuki	MTL	C	99.9%	0.52	1.30	2.50	3.80	6.70	3.00	2.30	0.90	0.35	0.84	1.19	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.19	26.76	26.02	50.7%	1.02	3.27	62:54	67.10	29.70
Alex Ovechkin	WSH	LW	92.2%	0.52	1.10	1.00	2.10	7.70	4.70	0.60	0.60	0.33	0.33	0.66	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.10	0.06	0.07	-	0.70	2.41	51:36	59.24	19.70
Anthony Beauvillier	WSH	RW	4.1%	0.51	0.60	0.40	1.00	4.90	3.50	1.70	0.60	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.05	1.15	1.29	-	0.64	1.86	41:30	54.14	11.90
Casey Mittelstadt	BOS	LW	12.3%	0.51	0.70	0.80	1.50	3.40	0.70	1.00	0.60	0.10	0.12	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.07	6.43	6.95	48.1%	0.77	2.53	46:42	56.81	11.90
James Hagens	BOS	C	50.8%	0.51	0.60	0.90	1.60	5.00	1.50	1.50	0.80	0.05	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.93	0.91	-	0.76	2.38	45:00	54.05	14.20
Fraser Minten	BOS	C	45.7%	0.51	1.00	0.90	1.80	5.30	4.40	1.40	0.60	0.13	0.12	0.25	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.10	14.38	15.52	48.1%	0.81	2.09	45:54	58.05	17.40
Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	99.9%	0.51	1.50	2.80	4.20	12.20	1.70	1.50	1.70	0.44	0.89	1.33	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.26	26.69	26.47	50.2%	1.01	4.04	66:42	71.23	36.80
Josh Manson	COL	D	36.0%	0.50	0.20	0.80	1.00	4.20	6.30	3.90	2.70	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.76	2.94	53:48	69.02	14.60
Phillip Danault	MTL	C	4.9%	0.49	0.30	0.70	1.00	3.70	2.70	1.70	0.90	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.04	22.56	19.48	53.7%	0.71	2.33	49:54	64.69	10.60
Artturi Lehkonen	COL	LW	75.9%	0.49	0.90	0.80	1.80	5.60	1.90	1.70	0.80	0.17	0.14	0.31	0.04	0.02	0.07	0.16	0.33	0.42	-	0.89	2.77	58:12	71.72	19.40
Ilya Protas	WSH	LW	40.4%	0.47	0.50	0.80	1.30	4.20	1.80	1.50	0.90	0.10	0.17	0.28	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	12.51	15.39	44.8%	0.69	2.18	43:12	53.12	11.40
Marat Khusnutdinov	BOS	LW	10.5%	0.47	0.50	0.60	1.10	2.90	1.90	1.30	0.40	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.05	3.30	3.58	-	0.64	1.99	40:24	52.49	10.60
Brock Nelson	COL	C	86.6%	0.47	0.90	0.90	1.80	6.30	1.30	2.30	1.00	0.19	0.22	0.41	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.16	25.59	25.39	50.2%	0.88	2.63	56:48	70.53	18.70
Jake Evans	MTL	C	4.9%	0.46	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.00	4.10	2.30	0.90	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.09	0.06	21.25	18.19	53.9%	0.79	2.15	46:06	59.46	9.40
Sam Malinski	COL	D	44.2%	0.46	0.30	0.70	1.00	5.30	1.60	3.70	0.90	0.02	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	0.82	2.59	50:48	62.71	15.50
Cole Caufield	MTL	LW	99.9%	0.45	1.70	1.30	3.00	9.50	2.10	0.90	0.70	0.50	0.44	0.94	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.24	0.32	0.39	-	0.85	2.50	55:30	62.86	27.00
Ryan Leonard	WSH	RW	67.2%	0.45	0.90	1.30	2.20	6.20	5.40	1.10	2.00	0.21	0.33	0.54	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.17	0.20	-	0.65	2.16	41:54	52.47	19.10
Juraj Slafkovsky	MTL	RW	97.5%	0.45	1.00	1.60	2.60	6.80	4.80	2.50	1.90	0.30	0.52	0.82	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.14	0.88	1.20	-	0.88	2.87	55:12	60.51	22.50
Martin Necas	COL	RW	99.9%	0.45	1.20	1.90	3.10	7.70	2.70	0.90	0.90	0.38	0.63	1.02	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.21	0.84	0.86	-	1.00	3.28	60:42	63.40	26.90
Matthew Poitras	BOS	C	12.0%	0.45	0.40	0.50	0.90	3.70	1.30	0.80	0.80	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	6.63	6.87	49.1%	0.60	1.90	38:48	50.54	8.40
Nazem Kadri	COL	C	69.5%	0.44	0.70	1.20	1.90	7.80	1.70	1.40	1.30	0.19	0.40	0.59	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.12	17.66	19.98	46.9%	0.91	2.97	57:12	66.51	17.50
Mattias Samuelsson	BUF	D	75.9%	0.44	0.30	1.30	1.60	4.70	5.80	6.10	1.60	0.01	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.22	4.52	86:54	103.17	18.30
Alex Newhook	MTL	LW	24.6%	0.43	0.70	0.80	1.50	4.10	3.70	1.40	1.00	0.10	0.13	0.23	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.10	11.50	11.36	50.3%	0.68	2.18	46:12	59.17	12.40
Josh Anderson	MTL	RW	11.1%	0.43	0.60	0.40	1.00	3.80	6.10	1.40	3.70	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.66	0.69	-	0.64	1.99	42:42	56.96	10.30
Rasmus Dahlin	BUF	D	99.5%	0.42	1.00	2.60	3.60	10.20	3.90	5.40	2.90	0.35	0.95	1.29	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.18	0.00	0.00	-	1.46	5.26	96:36	107.95	34.70
Mark Kastelic	BOS	C	16.1%	0.42	0.30	0.80	1.00	3.00	7.60	2.20	3.30	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	10.17	7.78	56.7%	0.67	1.65	35:18	49.39	10.20
Jaden Schwartz	COL	LW	30.3%	0.42	0.70	0.70	1.40	4.60	1.60	1.70	0.90	0.11	0.13	0.24	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.12	1.26	1.34	-	0.89	2.46	50:06	64.24	13.50
Owen Power	BUF	D	70.5%	0.42	0.50	1.80	2.30	5.40	1.00	4.20	0.90	0.13	0.49	0.62	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.26	4.59	92:00	107.16	20.40
Tanner Jeannot	BOS	LW	7.3%	0.42	0.30	0.30	0.60	2.30	8.90	1.70	2.50	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.62	0.75	-	0.52	1.71	35:18	46.28	7.50
J.J. Moser	TBL	D	18.8%	0.41	0.20	0.70	0.80	4.20	2.60	3.20	2.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.84	3.05	60:00	70.54	12.70
Victor Hedman	TBL	D	84.7%	0.41	0.30	1.20	1.50	5.90	2.00	3.90	1.30	0.04	0.20	0.24	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	3.34	62:54	76.99	17.30
Chris Kreider	MTL	LW	61.6%	0.41	0.90	1.10	2.00	5.00	3.60	1.00	1.10	0.27	0.35	0.62	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.13	0.86	1.06	-	0.77	2.30	50:36	63.29	16.00
Gabriel Landeskog	COL	LW	46.7%	0.40	0.70	1.00	1.70	6.00	4.20	1.90	2.00	0.16	0.25	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.12	6.48	5.51	54.0%	0.75	2.38	50:18	60.27	17.60
Ryan McDonagh	TBL	D	6.5%	0.40	0.10	0.80	0.90	2.50	1.20	4.30	0.80	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	3.11	58:24	73.60	12.70
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COL	COL	D	0.1%	0.40	0.00	0.30	0.30	1.50	6.30	3.90	1.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.68	2.36	43:24	63.64	6.10
Ethen Frank	WSH	RW	0.1%	0.39	0.60	0.50	1.10	3.60	2.50	2.20	0.70	0.11	0.10	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.13	0.15	-	0.54	1.64	35:12	48.01	12.30
John Carlson	TBL	D	97.9%	0.39	0.50	1.70	2.30	7.20	1.70	4.00	1.00	0.21	0.70	0.91	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.01	-	1.09	3.74	69:30	72.72	22.50
Kris Letang	PIT	D	56.6%	0.39	0.10	0.80	0.90	4.40	3.60	3.30	1.70	0.02	0.19	0.21	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	3.72	65:48	71.10	11.20
Erik Karlsson	PIT	D	95.0%	0.39	0.30	1.90	2.20	5.90	0.80	2.10	0.60	0.11	0.80	0.91	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.02	3.91	71:00	73.20	18.10
Nicolas Roy	COL	C	12.1%	0.39	0.50	0.60	1.10	3.60	2.70	1.60	1.20	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.09	14.95	13.56	52.4%	0.74	2.25	42:36	57.27	10.00
Adam Larsson	SEA	D	27.6%	0.38	0.10	0.50	0.70	3.50	4.40	6.60	1.00	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	3.12	64:42	72.28	14.20
Arber Xhekaj	MTL	D	8.6%	0.38	0.00	0.20	0.20	2.10	7.90	2.20	4.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.50	1.95	37:30	46.89	4.20
Kirby Dach	MTL	C	10.5%	0.38	0.50	0.60	1.10	3.50	5.10	2.00	2.40	0.07	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.07	4.20	4.72	-	0.64	2.03	40:42	52.12	9.10
Erik Cernak	TBL	D	5.7%	0.38	0.10	0.40	0.50	3.00	6.70	4.10	2.50	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.73	2.74	55:00	73.65	10.80
Samuel Girard	PIT	D	23.5%	0.38	0.10	1.10	1.20	2.90	1.50	2.90	0.80	0.00	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.87	3.05	58:54	67.57	11.20
Brandon Montour	SEA	D	85.0%	0.38	0.30	1.30	1.60	6.40	3.10	3.80	2.80	0.07	0.35	0.42	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.21	3.60	70:06	71.28	16.60
Alexandre Texier	MTL	LW	4.9%	0.36	0.50	0.90	1.40	4.30	3.70	1.00	1.40	0.07	0.15	0.23	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.07	0.28	0.35	-	0.64	1.76	39:42	50.00	12.20

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What is plus/minus? A player gets +1 when he is on the ice for an even-strength or shorthanded goal for, and -1 for one against. Power-play goals do not count.

How we project it

- Team differential: projected goals for (its skaters' goals) and LineupExperts' goals against (its goalies' goals against), minus the share scored or allowed on the power play. Goals against are scaled league-wide so the league's +/- sums to about zero (goalie goals against leave out empty-netters). - Player share: his projected even-strength plus penalty-kill minutes divided by the team's non-power-play minutes. - +/- = games × share × team non-power-play goal differential per game.

No individual on-ice term. We tested adding each player's own on-ice goal differential and it never improved the projection, so it is not used.

Variance warning

a player's +/- correlates only about 0.3 from one season to the next.

💡

Pro Tip: Big-minute defensemen on strong teams project highest because they are on the ice for the most even-strength goals. Expect large swings around any projection.

Team-driven stat

Projected +/- follows the team's projected goal differential. Check this week's games for context.

Games This Week

Two-Way Forwards

Selke-caliber forwards combine offensive production with responsible defense, making them +/- leaders. Target two-way centers on good teams.

Forwards Projections

Avoid Minus Matchups

Identify players in tough spots—stars facing elite opponents or playing for struggling teams may post negative +/- despite good individual stats.

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Frequently Asked Questions

We take the team's projected goal differential away from the power play (from the projected goals for and against) and give each player a share in proportion to his projected even-strength and penalty-kill minutes. There is no player-specific on-ice adjustment.

It is high-variance and mostly team-driven: year to year it correlates only about 0.3 for a player. In category leagues, rostering players from strong teams is the main lever.

In our projections, heavy-minute players, especially defensemen, on teams projected to outscore opponents at even strength lead the list.

In category leagues chasing +/-, yes. Even elite players on losing teams can accumulate negative +/- despite strong individual performances.

Projections by Category

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By Position

All players at each position

NHL Forward

LW, C, RW players

NHL Defensemen

D players

NHL Goalie

G players

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Special Teams

Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Projected Plus/Minus This Week

Sorted by Projected Plus Minus(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Skaters100 of 636

How we project it

Variance warning

Team-driven stat

Two-Way Forwards

Avoid Minus Matchups

Related Projections

Build Your Stack

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By Position

Frequently Asked Questions

Projections by Category

By Position

NHL Forward

NHL Defensemen

NHL Goalie

Scoring Projections

Peripheral Stats

Special Teams

Faceoff & Physical

Goalie Projections

Fantasy Points

NHL Team Projections