NHL Projected Shorthanded Assists This Week

Shorthanded assists are even rarer than shorthanded goals. These projections estimate the share of each player's projected assists that come on the penalty kill, from his recent penalty-kill minutes and a rate that is shrunk almost all the way to the league average. The ranking mostly tells you who kills penalties (Oct 12-18 (Week 3)). (Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:27 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 691 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

Shorthanded scoring is rare and streaky: even the leaders score only a few a season. These projections are driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time, with each team’s total held to the league’s shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists. How the model works

Sorted by Projected Short Handed Assists(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

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Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	SHA^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Jack Eichel	VGK	C	99.9%	0.08	1.80	3.10	4.90	14.60	1.40	2.60	0.80	0.53	1.37	1.90	0.07	0.15	0.48	30.35	33.76	47.3%	1.47	4.74	-0.03	85:00	89.14	45.10
Tim Stutzle	OTT	C	99.7%	0.07	1.80	2.80	4.60	9.10	6.50	2.40	1.50	0.57	1.06	1.63	0.11	0.18	0.45	17.78	16.01	52.6%	1.38	4.34	0.07	83:00	104.86	37.20
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	99.7%	0.07	1.30	2.30	3.60	8.70	2.20	1.20	2.00	0.45	0.87	1.32	0.06	0.12	0.25	24.12	22.11	52.2%	0.90	3.27	-0.02	60:12	69.05	29.80
Shane Pinto	OTT	C	43.7%	0.06	1.10	1.70	2.90	7.80	4.90	2.70	2.10	0.27	0.48	0.75	0.07	0.12	0.27	24.02	23.22	50.8%	1.29	3.50	0.07	75:24	103.61	25.60
Sean Walker	CAR	D	63.0%	0.05	0.20	1.50	1.70	5.50	4.30	4.70	1.90	0.03	0.27	0.30	0.00	0.06	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	3.20	-0.02	60:18	74.02	17.10
Ryan O'Reilly	NSH	C	81.0%	0.05	0.90	1.60	2.50	5.20	0.70	2.60	1.00	0.26	0.52	0.78	0.06	0.12	0.13	27.36	22.79	54.6%	1.08	2.64	-0.10	60:18	71.39	19.20
Brandon Hagel	TBL	LW	99.3%	0.05	1.50	1.80	3.30	9.80	2.20	1.90	2.10	0.44	0.60	1.04	0.08	0.13	0.15	0.95	1.17	-	1.17	2.98	0.35	62:00	70.88	30.00
Blake Lizotte	PIT	C	0.2%	0.05	0.30	0.80	1.10	3.00	2.70	1.70	1.40	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.09	0.03	13.00	14.08	48.0%	0.59	2.00	0.25	39:30	55.58	9.50
Mitch Marner	VGK	RW	98.9%	0.05	1.20	2.90	4.10	9.20	1.50	2.60	0.90	0.37	1.10	1.48	0.04	0.09	0.32	5.03	6.74	-	1.67	4.91	-0.03	82:42	89.23	32.60
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.7%	0.05	1.50	3.60	5.10	8.80	1.90	1.30	1.50	0.41	1.48	1.89	0.06	0.10	0.25	17.41	17.81	49.4%	1.12	3.73	-0.40	69:06	71.78	39.50
Anton Lundell	FLA	C	42.0%	0.04	0.90	1.40	2.20	9.30	5.30	1.90	1.80	0.26	0.45	0.71	0.06	0.11	0.19	31.15	29.17	51.6%	1.00	3.66	0.02	70:42	89.99	22.40
Teddy Blueger	TOR	C	3.2%	0.04	0.20	0.50	0.70	2.80	3.70	1.50	1.50	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.08	0.04	15.20	15.74	49.1%	0.69	2.07	-0.12	41:42	56.50	6.90
Jared Spurgeon	MIN	D	52.4%	0.04	0.30	1.20	1.50	4.80	3.30	6.80	0.80	0.06	0.25	0.30	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	4.09	-0.54	82:12	100.83	19.90
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	98.3%	0.04	0.50	2.10	2.60	6.20	2.10	4.50	1.80	0.19	0.94	1.14	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.17	3.88	-0.03	72:12	87.99	24.40
Jake McCabe	TOR	D	27.4%	0.04	0.10	0.60	0.70	2.60	4.50	6.30	2.40	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	3.50	-0.18	64:36	85.55	12.40
Nico Hischier	NJD	C	95.3%	0.04	1.40	1.70	3.10	10.10	2.40	3.00	1.00	0.43	0.53	0.96	0.06	0.11	0.16	47.93	39.39	54.9%	1.27	3.69	-0.12	81:54	93.72	29.70
Lars Eller	FLA	C	4.1%	0.04	0.30	1.10	1.40	3.70	2.80	1.70	1.10	0.04	0.19	0.24	0.03	0.07	0.06	20.28	19.20	51.4%	0.81	2.66	0.02	51:42	73.89	12.60
Charlie McAvoy	BOS	D	95.5%	0.04	0.40	1.70	2.10	4.70	3.70	5.00	2.30	0.13	0.62	0.75	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	3.75	0.77	72:48	81.50	20.10
Andrew Copp	DET	C	8.3%	0.04	0.40	1.10	1.50	4.70	1.60	2.20	0.80	0.07	0.24	0.31	0.03	0.08	0.05	20.98	18.41	53.3%	0.73	2.56	0.05	48:54	64.93	13.50
Miro Heiskanen	DAL	D	98.1%	0.04	0.30	1.90	2.20	5.70	1.10	4.30	1.20	0.09	0.69	0.78	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.15	3.93	0.11	76:48	76.31	20.90
Aaron Ekblad	FLA	D	43.3%	0.04	0.20	1.50	1.70	6.20	5.40	4.30	3.30	0.07	0.53	0.60	0.00	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	-	1.26	4.64	0.03	91:00	111.99	17.90
Anthony Cirelli	TBL	C	46.0%	0.04	0.80	1.00	1.80	5.70	2.20	2.20	1.60	0.13	0.18	0.31	0.06	0.10	0.08	23.67	24.85	48.8%	0.87	2.66	0.34	54:12	70.43	18.20
Seth Jones	FLA	D	75.6%	0.04	0.50	2.60	3.10	9.40	4.50	4.00	1.30	0.22	1.30	1.52	0.01	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.00	-	1.49	5.11	0.03	99:12	109.10	27.90
Owen Power	BUF	D	70.5%	0.04	0.50	1.80	2.30	5.40	1.00	4.20	0.90	0.13	0.49	0.62	0.01	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.26	4.59	0.42	92:00	107.16	20.40
Alex Tuch	WSH	RW	93.8%	0.04	1.10	1.10	2.20	6.80	2.80	3.60	1.50	0.18	0.19	0.37	0.08	0.12	0.10	2.31	2.79	-	1.22	2.75	0.66	57:48	73.80	22.70
Aliaksei Protas	WSH	LW	52.3%	0.04	0.90	1.10	2.00	5.50	1.10	1.80	0.70	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.06	0.10	0.08	1.13	1.29	-	0.83	2.60	0.64	51:24	63.83	17.70
Zachary Benson	BUF	LW	53.2%	0.04	0.60	1.90	2.50	7.60	3.50	1.80	2.40	0.17	0.63	0.80	0.03	0.07	0.11	0.85	1.06	-	1.03	3.18	0.28	66:48	83.76	21.90
Mark Stone	VGK	RW	94.7%	0.04	1.30	2.60	3.90	8.90	2.70	3.10	1.00	0.41	1.11	1.52	0.06	0.10	0.34	0.38	0.48	-	1.27	3.78	-0.03	77:30	85.55	34.80
Ty Dellandrea	SJS	C	0.1%	0.04	0.20	0.40	0.60	3.10	6.80	1.90	1.70	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.08	0.03	14.02	13.73	50.5%	0.61	1.81	-0.51	38:06	49.54	5.10
Mattias Samuelsson	BUF	D	75.9%	0.04	0.30	1.30	1.60	4.70	5.80	6.10	1.60	0.01	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.22	4.52	0.44	86:54	103.17	18.30
Matthew Boldy	MIN	RW	100.0%	0.04	1.70	1.90	3.60	13.60	3.40	3.60	1.90	0.46	0.59	1.06	0.09	0.13	0.35	3.03	3.70	-	1.60	4.13	-0.48	84:00	82.93	38.10
Jake Evans	MTL	C	4.9%	0.04	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.00	4.10	2.30	0.90	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.09	0.06	21.25	18.19	53.9%	0.79	2.15	0.46	46:06	59.46	9.40
Teuvo Teravainen	CHI	LW	11.0%	0.04	0.50	1.00	1.50	3.60	0.70	1.30	0.30	0.06	0.15	0.22	0.04	0.08	0.05	2.06	2.36	-	0.79	2.58	-0.70	51:00	65.11	11.00
Ryan McLeod	BUF	C	21.6%	0.04	0.70	1.20	1.90	4.10	0.80	1.60	0.80	0.12	0.24	0.35	0.06	0.10	0.13	28.77	29.02	49.8%	1.08	3.54	0.30	65:24	90.77	13.60
Kevin Stenlund	UTA	C	0.1%	0.04	0.20	0.50	0.70	2.60	2.10	2.50	1.20	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.06	0.02	21.57	18.55	53.8%	0.67	2.18	-0.02	42:12	61.08	8.10
Pavel Buchnevich	STL	RW	31.5%	0.04	0.60	1.00	1.60	5.00	1.10	1.20	0.70	0.11	0.24	0.35	0.04	0.08	0.09	3.40	4.80	-	0.88	2.72	0.16	55:24	70.03	14.60
Tom Wilson	WSH	RW	94.2%	0.04	1.10	1.20	2.30	5.80	8.00	2.90	3.40	0.24	0.27	0.51	0.07	0.11	0.10	0.55	0.67	-	0.86	2.97	0.64	57:36	69.25	21.70
Michael McCarron	MIN	C	10.7%	0.04	0.30	0.60	0.90	5.10	9.30	4.30	3.60	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.08	0.06	26.43	24.37	52.0%	0.92	2.61	-0.39	56:12	71.90	12.40
Dougie Hamilton	NJD	D	83.1%	0.04	0.50	1.40	1.80	11.40	4.60	4.60	2.10	0.13	0.39	0.52	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.14	4.68	-0.13	84:12	98.99	23.90
Travis Sanheim	PHI	D	65.3%	0.04	0.20	0.90	1.10	4.30	2.40	5.70	1.50	0.02	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	4.05	-0.73	74:36	89.71	12.90
Vladislav Gavrikov	NYR	D	57.5%	0.04	0.30	1.20	1.50	4.00	2.20	4.70	0.90	0.02	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	3.49	1.68	67:42	78.97	16.60
Simon Holmstrom	NYI	RW	14.8%	0.04	0.70	0.80	1.50	4.30	0.80	1.70	0.40	0.10	0.13	0.23	0.04	0.08	0.08	0.21	0.26	-	0.83	2.38	-0.03	49:42	65.49	13.30
Justin Danforth	BUF	C	0.0%	0.04	0.50	0.60	1.20	4.90	6.20	2.90	1.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.10	0.09	19.85	21.24	48.3%	0.91	2.68	0.29	56:12	88.02	12.20
Michael Amadio	OTT	RW	6.0%	0.04	0.60	0.90	1.60	4.90	3.80	2.50	0.90	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.03	0.07	0.15	0.73	0.88	-	1.23	2.95	0.06	62:00	89.24	15.00
Phillip Danault	MTL	C	4.9%	0.04	0.30	0.70	1.00	3.70	2.70	1.70	0.90	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.06	0.04	22.56	19.48	53.7%	0.71	2.33	0.49	49:54	64.69	10.60
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	NYI	C	10.7%	0.04	0.40	0.80	1.20	3.80	5.30	2.10	0.30	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.03	0.07	0.05	25.93	19.28	57.4%	0.80	2.27	-0.03	48:42	68.29	11.10
Connor Dewar	PIT	LW	3.4%	0.04	0.40	0.50	0.90	4.00	4.80	1.60	0.90	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.09	0.04	2.12	2.29	-	0.61	1.80	0.25	39:18	53.58	10.10
Olli Maatta	MIN	D	0.2%	0.04	0.10	0.90	1.10	3.00	1.10	5.90	0.70	0.01	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	4.14	-0.52	76:18	88.97	13.40
Charlie Coyle	CBJ	C	47.2%	0.04	0.50	1.20	1.70	4.80	3.80	2.00	0.70	0.10	0.29	0.39	0.03	0.07	0.10	20.85	19.48	51.7%	0.99	2.60	0.12	52:48	67.79	14.90
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.2%	0.04	0.90	2.00	2.80	7.10	3.90	2.30	0.60	0.26	0.64	0.90	0.05	0.08	0.07	21.64	18.97	53.3%	1.04	3.28	1.28	60:48	73.18	23.20
Noah Dobson	MTL	D	93.8%	0.03	0.40	1.30	1.60	6.10	3.20	6.00	1.50	0.07	0.24	0.31	0.01	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	3.67	0.65	68:12	81.67	18.40
Gustav Forsling	FLA	D	37.3%	0.03	0.50	1.00	1.40	7.30	3.10	4.20	2.20	0.06	0.13	0.20	0.02	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.00	-	1.49	4.46	0.03	90:42	108.96	19.00
Esa Lindell	DAL	D	31.8%	0.03	0.20	0.80	0.90	3.10	1.40	5.60	0.70	0.02	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.97	3.64	0.11	68:12	72.99	14.40
Moritz Seider	DET	D	98.9%	0.03	0.30	1.90	2.20	6.70	6.00	6.80	1.50	0.10	0.79	0.89	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	3.87	0.08	76:12	85.70	24.30
Robert Thomas	STL	C	85.3%	0.03	0.70	1.70	2.40	5.20	0.50	1.60	1.00	0.13	0.38	0.51	0.03	0.07	0.11	27.98	25.43	52.4%	0.98	3.30	0.17	58:42	73.33	19.50
Philip Broberg	STL	D	59.7%	0.03	0.20	1.10	1.30	4.10	1.30	3.30	0.70	0.02	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	3.53	0.21	65:24	76.30	14.50
Mark Kastelic	BOS	C	16.1%	0.03	0.30	0.80	1.00	3.00	7.60	2.20	3.30	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.03	10.17	7.78	56.7%	0.67	1.65	0.42	35:18	49.39	10.20
Tye Kartye	NYR	LW	8.1%	0.03	0.60	0.80	1.40	3.40	8.40	1.70	1.70	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.09	0.05	0.32	0.40	-	0.55	1.60	0.92	36:18	52.13	11.60
Blake Coleman	MIN	RW	41.3%	0.03	0.90	1.00	1.90	8.90	8.20	2.90	3.30	0.13	0.15	0.28	0.07	0.10	0.18	1.11	1.39	-	1.14	3.74	-0.44	68:36	89.10	21.00
Jesper Bratt	NJD	RW	95.1%	0.03	1.00	2.70	3.70	8.90	4.10	1.40	0.60	0.27	0.93	1.20	0.03	0.06	0.12	0.18	0.22	-	1.21	4.19	-0.11	75:30	89.03	28.80
Nick Paul	TOR	C	8.1%	0.03	0.60	0.70	1.30	3.80	4.60	2.00	1.50	0.09	0.12	0.20	0.06	0.09	0.11	15.49	16.06	49.1%	0.71	2.09	-0.12	46:24	59.42	10.80
Thomas Chabot	OTT	D	87.9%	0.03	0.40	1.60	2.00	8.80	2.70	8.60	1.60	0.14	0.59	0.74	0.01	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.00	-	1.57	5.04	0.09	97:54	114.63	29.30
J.T. Miller	NYR	C	90.1%	0.03	0.80	2.00	2.80	5.30	5.60	1.70	1.80	0.20	0.60	0.81	0.03	0.06	0.06	24.44	17.52	58.2%	0.88	3.08	1.22	57:30	74.65	21.20
Zach Werenski	CBJ	D	99.6%	0.03	0.60	1.90	2.50	9.70	0.90	5.00	0.80	0.16	0.60	0.76	0.01	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.00	-	1.24	4.42	0.19	81:00	82.14	27.80
Sean Couturier	PHI	C	8.3%	0.03	0.30	0.70	1.00	4.70	4.00	1.20	1.10	0.02	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.06	0.04	24.14	20.26	54.4%	0.85	2.53	-0.50	51:24	68.26	9.60
Mikael Backlund	CGY	C	12.0%	0.03	0.40	0.60	1.10	6.70	1.20	1.20	0.70	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.04	0.07	0.04	27.08	27.68	49.5%	0.88	2.86	-1.89	55:00	72.68	12.40
Bryan Rust	PIT	RW	82.9%	0.03	1.10	1.20	2.20	7.10	1.60	2.30	0.90	0.22	0.28	0.50	0.06	0.09	0.10	0.26	0.33	-	0.88	2.88	0.34	59:30	70.67	19.90
Ryan McDonagh	TBL	D	6.5%	0.03	0.10	0.80	0.90	2.50	1.20	4.30	0.80	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	3.11	0.40	58:24	73.60	12.70
Brayden McNabb	VGK	D	39.0%	0.03	0.10	0.80	1.00	4.80	6.60	7.80	1.30	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.07	4.11	-0.03	80:06	103.44	20.10
Cale Makar	COL	D	100.0%	0.03	0.90	2.20	3.10	7.90	1.30	4.80	0.80	0.35	0.97	1.31	0.01	0.04	0.16	0.00	0.00	-	1.19	3.80	0.58	75:00	77.68	30.30
Ryan Winterton	SEA	RW	5.7%	0.03	0.30	0.80	1.10	3.60	3.00	1.80	0.70	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.06	0.26	0.26	-	0.59	1.80	0.22	36:54	51.48	10.10
Bo Horvat	NYI	C	92.4%	0.03	1.40	1.20	2.60	10.10	3.20	1.40	1.20	0.43	0.37	0.79	0.05	0.09	0.16	28.48	22.51	55.9%	0.92	3.12	-0.04	61:06	69.85	25.90
Dawson Mercer	NJD	RW	21.7%	0.03	0.70	1.00	1.70	7.80	1.50	2.20	1.10	0.06	0.09	0.15	0.05	0.08	0.08	5.23	6.59	-	1.19	3.32	-0.12	70:42	85.52	17.10
Ben Meyers	SEA	C	5.8%	0.03	0.30	0.70	1.00	2.70	3.50	1.00	0.90	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.08	0.06	8.46	8.15	50.9%	0.54	1.63	0.20	34:48	52.10	7.30
Devon Toews	COL	D	72.7%	0.03	0.30	1.20	1.50	4.70	1.40	3.60	1.20	0.06	0.31	0.37	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.29	3.60	0.61	70:24	83.69	17.90
Chandler Stephenson	SEA	C	24.0%	0.03	0.40	1.50	1.90	2.70	0.70	1.60	1.20	0.08	0.41	0.50	0.02	0.05	0.08	29.13	26.00	52.8%	1.24	2.65	0.29	56:42	72.58	13.30
Brady Skjei	NSH	D	16.6%	0.03	0.20	0.90	1.10	4.20	2.70	3.10	1.40	0.03	0.15	0.18	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.99	3.47	-0.12	65:54	79.88	10.70
Dylan Larkin	DET	C	95.1%	0.03	1.40	1.60	2.90	9.70	1.80	1.40	1.60	0.40	0.50	0.91	0.06	0.09	0.17	31.59	28.27	52.8%	0.94	3.24	0.06	60:36	72.00	25.90
Alexander Kerfoot	NSH	LW	3.2%	0.03	0.50	0.80	1.20	2.90	2.20	2.40	0.90	0.06	0.12	0.18	0.05	0.08	0.07	8.07	7.80	50.8%	0.78	2.21	-0.08	44:36	63.35	10.40
Victor Hedman	TBL	D	84.7%	0.03	0.30	1.20	1.50	5.90	2.00	3.90	1.30	0.04	0.20	0.24	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	3.34	0.41	62:54	76.99	17.30
Evan Rodrigues	NJD	C	7.5%	0.03	0.50	1.00	1.50	8.90	4.90	1.30	2.00	0.09	0.21	0.30	0.03	0.06	0.06	18.98	20.82	47.7%	1.14	3.05	-0.10	63:30	80.45	15.90
Filip Hronek	VAN	D	93.2%	0.03	0.20	1.30	1.50	4.10	4.60	4.60	1.10	0.05	0.44	0.50	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	3.83	-0.55	73:06	83.54	15.10
Martin Fehervary	WSH	D	25.1%	0.03	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.20	4.90	6.90	1.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.73	2.98	0.74	59:06	66.88	13.60
Beck Malenstyn	BUF	LW	4.1%	0.03	0.20	0.70	0.80	2.60	12.80	3.60	1.60	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.04	0.60	0.71	-	0.67	2.03	0.22	42:54	65.04	8.60
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	0.03	1.90	2.10	4.00	11.20	2.00	3.70	0.70	0.52	0.63	1.15	0.06	0.09	0.35	28.39	21.24	57.2%	1.12	2.89	-0.15	63:24	69.88	37.40
Jaccob Slavin	CAR	D	21.5%	0.03	0.10	0.80	0.90	4.60	0.80	5.20	0.20	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.11	3.12	-0.03	65:12	75.66	15.00
K'Andre Miller	CAR	D	60.3%	0.03	0.40	1.00	1.30	5.40	4.30	3.30	1.50	0.08	0.21	0.29	0.01	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.01	-	1.15	3.46	-0.02	66:54	78.74	14.30
Jack Drury	NSH	C	4.8%	0.03	0.30	0.60	1.00	3.80	1.90	2.50	1.30	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.04	18.72	15.51	54.7%	0.73	1.85	-0.08	41:30	55.75	11.10
Boone Jenner	WSH	C	23.1%	0.03	0.70	0.80	1.50	6.10	5.90	3.20	1.40	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.04	0.07	0.06	12.71	10.58	54.6%	0.76	2.45	0.61	49:36	63.62	16.90
Jacob Trouba	SJS	D	70.1%	0.03	0.20	0.70	1.00	5.60	5.30	5.80	1.80	0.02	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.84	3.41	-0.86	65:24	79.12	14.70
Parker Kelly	COL	LW	17.7%	0.03	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.30	6.10	2.50	1.10	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	0.07	0.07	4.60	5.73	44.5%	0.63	1.99	0.35	38:06	54.77	10.80
Jonas Brodin	MIN	D	5.0%	0.03	0.20	0.80	1.00	4.90	1.50	7.90	1.70	0.01	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.26	4.41	-0.59	86:30	98.53	18.00
Marcus Pettersson	NYR	D	5.7%	0.03	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.30	3.70	5.10	1.40	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	1.00	3.25	1.61	63:48	74.75	11.30
Brock Nelson	COL	C	86.6%	0.03	0.90	0.90	1.80	6.30	1.30	2.30	1.00	0.19	0.22	0.41	0.05	0.08	0.16	25.59	25.39	50.2%	0.88	2.63	0.47	56:48	70.53	18.70
Alexandre Carrier	MTL	D	13.3%	0.03	0.20	0.60	0.80	2.60	2.20	6.00	1.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	2.87	0.60	59:42	73.79	12.00
Sam Steel	DAL	C	5.8%	0.03	0.40	0.80	1.20	3.70	2.60	1.20	0.80	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.06	0.06	5.63	5.42	51.0%	0.68	2.18	0.07	45:24	57.05	9.90
Alex Newhook	MTL	LW	24.6%	0.03	0.70	0.80	1.50	4.10	3.70	1.40	1.00	0.10	0.13	0.23	0.05	0.08	0.10	11.50	11.36	50.3%	0.68	2.18	0.43	46:12	59.17	12.40
Connor Brown	NJD	RW	5.8%	0.03	0.50	0.80	1.20	3.80	0.80	1.20	0.50	0.08	0.15	0.23	0.04	0.07	0.06	0.33	0.41	-	0.50	1.48	-0.05	30:42	36.01	11.20
Jack Hughes	NJD	C	99.4%	0.03	1.60	3.10	4.70	15.50	0.40	2.10	0.70	0.39	1.08	1.47	0.03	0.06	0.19	13.03	19.94	39.5%	1.51	5.26	-0.12	84:36	86.18	42.70
Radek Faksa	DAL	C	0.1%	0.03	0.10	0.50	0.60	2.20	4.00	1.90	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.02	13.06	12.29	51.5%	0.61	1.64	0.06	37:00	52.26	6.70

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Start from total assists. Each player's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model this week (LineupExperts for longer ranges); assists and ice time from LineupExperts. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.

Nearly pooled rates. Individual shorthanded assist rates barely repeat from season to season, so the model leans on the league average for the position, scaled by penalty-kill minutes.

Team check. Each team's projected shorthanded assists are scaled to the league's shorthanded share of that team's projected assists.

Variance warning

totals are small and noisy. In our backtest the top predicted deciles were off by more than 10% in both test seasons, so treat this page as a deployment guide.

💡

Pro Tip: Shorthanded assists are bonus production. Do not pick a player for them alone.

Shorthanded points

Goals and assists while shorthanded together.

Shorthanded Points

Shorthanded goals

The goal side of shorthanded scoring.

Shorthanded Goals

Penalty-kill deployment

Check who is killing penalties now.

Line Combinations

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

LineupExperts' projected assists are split by strength using recent penalty-kill minutes times a shorthanded assist rate shrunk heavily toward the league average, then each team's total is scaled to the league shorthanded share of its projected assists.

Players with the most penalty-kill time, forwards and defensemen alike. The model has little player-specific signal beyond ice time.

Rarely. They are too infrequent and too noisy to chase; they reward owning regular penalty killers.

It beats a naive per-game rate comfortably, but its calibration at the top failed our ±10% bar in both backtest seasons. It is one of our least certain categories.

Projections by Category

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All players at each position

NHL Forward

LW, C, RW players

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Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Special Teams

Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

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Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Projected Shorthanded Assists This Week

Sorted by Projected Short Handed Assists(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Skaters100 of 636

Variance warning

Shorthanded points

Shorthanded goals

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NHL Forward

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