NHL Projected Giveaways This Week

A few leagues subtract points for giveaways. Our projection multiplies each player's giveaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward his position's average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. The list opens with the players projected to commit the most giveaways: usually puck-carrying defensemen with big minutes (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1)). (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

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Fantasy Week 1: Sep 28 - Oct 4(Mon-Sun)

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 4:37 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 685 players

Rate

giveaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two. Home-game counts are divided by that rink's scorer factor, because some arenas record far more giveaways than others.

Shrinkage

the rate is pulled toward the position average with the weight of about 415 minutes for forwards and 910 for defensemen, so a hot or cold week moves it only a little.

Projected giveaways = rate × projected ice time ÷ 60.

Recording change

from 2024-25 the NHL's scorers record roughly twice as many giveaways as before, so compare players within a season, not across eras.

Track record

in our 2025-26 backtest the projection beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with the top three deciles within 3% of actual totals.

💡

Pro Tip: Giveaways follow puck touches. The defensemen who lead in giveaways usually lead in assists and ice time too: the penalty rarely outweighs what they add.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Giveaways(Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

637 players

Show

Skaters100 of 637

Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	GV^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Filip Hronek	VAN	D	90.8%	5.00	0.50	2.60	3.10	5.90	5.60	6.70	2.10	0.12	0.75	0.87	0.01	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.00	0.01	-	1.39	-0.77	97:12	111.39	26.20
Vladislav Gavrikov	NYR	D	41.0%	4.86	0.20	0.90	1.10	4.30	2.30	6.00	1.80	0.02	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.21	-0.65	92:30	108.12	15.50
Adam Fox	NYR	D	99.0%	4.76	0.40	2.50	2.90	5.80	1.60	5.90	1.60	0.13	0.94	1.07	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.49	-0.59	93:06	107.83	27.70
Marcus Pettersson	NYR	D	6.6%	4.52	0.10	0.60	0.80	3.00	3.70	7.60	2.30	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.27	-0.62	86:24	101.63	13.10
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.3%	4.29	1.00	1.70	2.70	8.80	3.70	2.60	0.90	0.28	0.52	0.80	0.04	0.03	0.08	0.20	27.85	25.04	52.7%	1.41	-0.49	79:42	96.98	24.40
Zeev Buium	VAN	D	73.0%	4.16	0.30	1.40	1.60	4.70	1.50	4.20	2.40	0.08	0.39	0.47	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.02	-0.61	77:42	88.26	13.50
Sean Durzi	NYR	D	38.3%	4.08	0.40	1.10	1.40	4.50	2.20	6.50	2.70	0.08	0.23	0.31	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	-0.53	78:36	100.34	17.00
J.T. Miller	NYR	C	91.8%	4.06	0.90	1.80	2.70	6.90	7.30	2.50	2.60	0.22	0.50	0.72	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.18	31.63	22.90	58.0%	1.26	-0.47	76:48	100.10	22.70
Travis Sanheim	PHI	D	67.3%	4.04	0.30	1.00	1.30	3.70	2.50	6.80	1.10	0.03	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	0.08	73:24	90.89	16.20
Braden Schneider	NYR	D	19.6%	4.01	0.20	0.60	0.70	4.30	7.30	7.30	1.40	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.04	-0.54	75:42	94.83	14.60
Evan Bouchard	EDM	D	99.9%	3.94	1.00	2.40	3.40	9.10	1.50	3.70	1.30	0.39	1.09	1.48	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.15	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	-0.36	73:30	77.72	32.50
Brock Boeser	VAN	RW	63.9%	3.91	1.60	1.70	3.30	7.90	2.80	1.80	0.60	0.40	0.53	0.93	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.11	2.61	3.36	-	1.11	-0.55	74:42	86.81	24.80
Jamie Oleksiak	VAN	D	7.1%	3.89	0.30	0.70	1.00	3.20	5.10	6.80	2.10	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.06	-0.62	72:00	85.79	14.70
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	98.3%	3.86	0.40	2.00	2.50	6.10	2.40	3.90	1.30	0.13	0.72	0.84	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.15	0.77	73:48	89.20	22.00
MacKenzie Weegar	UTA	D	92.5%	3.81	0.20	1.00	1.10	5.40	7.90	5.00	1.70	0.04	0.21	0.25	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.07	0.77	69:30	94.33	14.80
Seth Jones	FLA	D	79.8%	3.79	0.30	1.20	1.50	5.70	3.30	3.60	1.00	0.13	0.54	0.67	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.10	-0.37	73:54	82.51	15.90
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.9%	3.78	1.80	3.70	5.50	11.00	2.20	1.10	1.70	0.51	1.48	2.00	0.07	0.04	0.11	0.28	17.33	17.47	49.8%	1.10	-0.34	68:48	69.84	43.20
Elias Pettersson	VAN	C	87.4%	3.76	1.10	2.50	3.60	7.00	4.50	5.80	0.90	0.29	0.74	1.03	0.05	0.04	0.09	0.08	34.87	37.60	48.1%	1.32	-0.56	75:42	92.25	29.10
Shea Theodore	LV	D	91.5%	3.72	0.40	2.10	2.60	7.20	0.20	3.30	0.80	0.10	0.56	0.66	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.02	0.34	68:48	83.97	23.80
David Pastrnak	BOS	RW	99.8%	3.70	1.00	1.90	3.00	10.30	3.10	1.00	1.70	0.24	0.53	0.77	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.23	0.24	0.28	-	1.06	-0.52	61:06	64.17	26.40
Rasmus Andersson	LV	D	93.7%	3.67	0.40	1.10	1.50	6.80	1.30	5.10	1.90	0.08	0.24	0.32	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	0.99	0.35	70:06	97.28	16.80
Leon Draisaitl	EDM	C	99.9%	3.64	2.10	2.50	4.50	9.80	1.80	0.90	1.60	0.67	0.92	1.59	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.32	28.12	23.33	54.7%	1.05	-0.31	65:00	68.53	37.80
Brandon Montour	SEA	D	82.8%	3.60	0.50	1.10	1.60	7.50	4.00	4.40	2.60	0.12	0.28	0.41	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.06	0.26	68:30	71.74	18.10
Noah Hanifin	LV	D	52.7%	3.50	0.40	1.10	1.50	6.80	1.70	4.20	0.50	0.03	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.04	0.35	66:18	82.96	18.40
Tom Willander	VAN	D	24.9%	3.48	0.30	1.40	1.70	3.40	2.00	5.70	1.70	0.06	0.29	0.35	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.97	-0.56	68:48	90.76	13.60
Jack Eichel	LV	C	98.9%	3.48	1.60	2.90	4.50	12.20	1.40	1.70	0.50	0.41	1.08	1.49	0.06	0.04	0.11	0.20	23.19	25.10	48.0%	1.11	0.28	63:24	68.52	38.50
Aaron Ekblad	FLA	D	49.6%	3.48	0.20	1.00	1.20	4.10	4.00	3.70	2.10	0.06	0.33	0.39	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	-	0.94	-0.38	68:42	84.49	13.80
Mattias Ekholm	EDM	D	77.1%	3.48	0.20	1.10	1.30	5.30	2.80	4.10	1.30	0.01	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	-0.37	64:00	76.91	17.20
Alex Vlasic	CHI	D	9.0%	3.46	0.10	0.50	0.50	2.50	1.20	4.50	0.60	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	-1.06	66:18	78.48	7.70
Bowen Byram	CHI	D	96.2%	3.45	0.40	1.40	1.90	3.60	1.70	3.80	1.30	0.09	0.35	0.44	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	0.95	-0.99	67:54	79.45	16.70
K'Andre Miller	CAR	D	64.0%	3.43	0.30	1.00	1.30	5.60	5.00	4.10	2.10	0.07	0.24	0.31	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	-	1.17	-0.26	67:06	80.58	15.30
Hampus Lindholm	BOS	D	16.7%	3.43	0.20	0.70	0.90	3.90	0.90	3.90	1.70	0.03	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.00	-0.62	64:54	78.60	12.00
Cameron York	PHI	D	20.5%	3.41	0.20	1.00	1.20	3.20	1.80	6.80	1.20	0.05	0.24	0.29	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.90	0.07	65:36	84.61	15.00
Mitch Marner	LV	RW	98.8%	3.40	1.10	2.70	3.80	7.20	1.30	1.60	0.60	0.29	0.90	1.18	0.05	0.05	0.10	0.14	4.48	6.00	42.7%	1.15	0.28	62:42	68.45	29.20
Vince Dunn	SEA	D	89.4%	3.39	0.60	1.50	2.20	6.00	1.40	3.90	2.60	0.19	0.56	0.75	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	0.97	0.24	65:30	72.68	19.80
Alexis Lafreniere	NYR	RW	81.8%	3.39	0.90	1.40	2.20	7.30	4.10	1.90	1.40	0.22	0.36	0.58	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.90	1.15	-	1.19	-0.42	69:18	84.86	19.90
Jake McCabe	TOR	D	34.0%	3.37	0.10	0.80	0.90	3.30	3.60	6.30	2.10	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	-0.39	65:12	87.64	14.20
Jaccob Slavin	CAR	D	16.1%	3.37	0.10	0.60	0.80	5.40	1.00	4.90	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	1.13	-0.27	66:18	78.85	14.90
Kevin Bahl	CGY	D	4.8%	3.37	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.40	5.10	3.20	2.90	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.06	-1.15	65:06	88.77	7.10
Gustav Forsling	FLA	D	41.5%	3.35	0.30	0.80	1.10	5.40	2.50	3.60	1.30	0.04	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	1.01	-0.41	68:48	82.20	15.20
Morgan Rielly	TOR	D	75.7%	3.34	0.20	1.10	1.40	5.80	1.20	4.30	0.80	0.05	0.32	0.38	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.93	-0.35	64:12	85.55	15.00
Marco Rossi	VAN	C	59.7%	3.33	1.30	2.00	3.40	6.00	3.00	2.70	1.70	0.27	0.51	0.78	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.09	22.25	23.16	49.0%	1.12	-0.53	70:24	81.98	24.40
Parker Wotherspoon	LV	D	20.2%	3.26	0.00	0.70	0.80	2.90	5.90	3.60	1.50	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.87	0.31	57:42	65.51	8.70
Jake Walman	EDM	D	32.6%	3.26	0.40	0.70	1.20	5.80	1.60	5.20	1.40	0.07	0.13	0.21	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	-0.34	61:06	78.02	15.50
John Marino	UTA	D	17.7%	3.25	0.10	1.10	1.20	2.20	1.20	2.30	0.60	0.01	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.88	0.72	61:42	83.45	11.90
Nikita Zadorov	BOS	D	39.0%	3.25	0.10	0.50	0.70	3.60	8.50	3.50	4.30	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.93	-0.62	61:54	75.28	11.20
Artyom Levshunov	CHI	D	45.1%	3.24	0.10	0.70	0.80	3.10	3.10	3.10	1.40	0.02	0.18	0.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.95	-0.87	59:36	67.17	7.90
Niko Mikkola	FLA	D	4.9%	3.21	0.10	0.40	0.60	3.50	5.40	3.60	2.10	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.90	-0.37	60:30	79.34	10.00
Vincent Trocheck	UTA	C	88.5%	3.20	0.80	1.40	2.20	6.20	9.40	1.90	1.50	0.17	0.36	0.53	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.13	29.27	22.15	56.9%	1.04	0.65	62:42	74.44	18.90
Rasmus Ristolainen	PHI	D	8.3%	3.20	0.20	0.80	1.00	3.70	4.40	5.10	0.90	0.03	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.93	0.07	63:18	82.30	13.50
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	TOR	D	43.2%	3.20	0.20	0.90	1.10	4.90	2.50	2.70	1.90	0.03	0.17	0.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.80	-0.34	59:42	82.35	12.50
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	98.8%	3.20	1.20	1.70	2.90	9.60	2.40	1.00	2.30	0.41	0.65	1.06	0.05	0.04	0.09	0.18	23.71	21.94	51.9%	0.99	-0.20	60:30	69.37	26.20
Darren Raddysh	TOR	D	99.4%	3.19	0.40	1.70	2.10	8.60	1.80	3.20	1.20	0.18	0.77	0.95	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	0.82	-0.29	60:36	63.31	22.60
Pavel Dorofeyev	NYR	RW	92.5%	3.17	1.30	1.10	2.40	10.20	1.30	2.00	1.30	0.41	0.35	0.76	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.27	0.10	0.12	-	1.06	-0.40	67:54	77.43	25.80
Brayden McNabb	LV	D	23.8%	3.16	0.20	0.70	0.90	4.20	5.50	6.30	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	0.33	61:06	78.36	16.40
Adam Larsson	SEA	D	22.6%	3.15	0.20	0.70	0.90	3.60	4.30	6.80	1.60	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.85	0.27	63:48	71.69	14.90
Luke Schenn	VAN	D	7.3%	3.15	0.00	0.50	0.60	2.90	10.70	5.50	3.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.82	-0.52	59:36	82.48	9.30
Jamie Drysdale	PHI	D	55.2%	3.14	0.30	1.00	1.20	3.50	0.90	4.90	1.10	0.07	0.27	0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	0.06	62:42	77.30	12.80
Yan Kuznetsov	CGY	D	7.2%	3.12	0.20	0.40	0.50	3.50	4.90	4.20	1.30	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.81	-1.08	60:30	85.10	8.60
Travis Konecny	PHI	RW	91.6%	3.09	0.90	1.70	2.60	5.90	4.80	1.70	2.30	0.18	0.40	0.58	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.15	1.13	1.41	-	0.88	0.06	58:42	73.34	19.70
Will Cuylle	NYR	LW	63.6%	3.08	0.80	0.80	1.60	6.60	13.60	3.10	3.00	0.13	0.15	0.27	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.16	1.83	2.09	-	0.86	-0.41	62:00	84.97	18.50
Jalen Chatfield	CAR	D	4.1%	3.07	0.20	0.40	0.60	4.70	2.40	3.00	1.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.99	-0.25	59:36	75.34	11.40
Chris Tanev	TOR	D	6.0%	3.07	0.00	0.50	0.50	2.30	0.60	6.10	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	-0.36	59:48	87.81	12.50
Ian Cole	CHI	D	4.9%	3.06	0.10	0.50	0.50	1.70	2.00	5.30	1.60	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.77	-0.91	56:54	75.18	9.40
Sean Walker	CAR	D	60.5%	3.06	0.30	0.80	1.10	7.50	5.70	4.90	2.60	0.04	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.94	-0.23	58:36	73.77	16.40
Sam Rinzel	CHI	D	32.1%	3.06	0.20	0.60	0.70	3.70	2.20	3.20	1.50	0.04	0.13	0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.79	-0.83	56:54	67.00	9.40
Wyatt Kaiser	CHI	D	6.5%	3.05	0.10	0.40	0.60	2.30	1.70	3.70	0.90	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.95	-0.91	57:18	70.07	7.30
Elias Pettersson	VAN	D	14.1%	3.05	0.30	0.50	0.70	2.60	6.70	5.60	2.60	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.80	-0.50	57:48	79.43	10.10
Clayton Keller	UTA	LW	99.9%	3.04	1.00	2.50	3.50	8.10	0.40	1.00	1.10	0.24	0.85	1.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.16	0.54	0.66	-	0.92	0.57	57:18	68.29	27.50
Jake Debrusk	VAN	RW	48.8%	3.03	1.20	1.20	2.40	9.10	3.20	2.20	1.00	0.34	0.33	0.67	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.08	0.74	0.90	-	1.02	-0.49	67:18	85.84	22.10
Gabriel Perreault	NYR	RW	52.9%	3.00	0.80	1.10	1.90	5.30	1.90	2.00	0.80	0.11	0.18	0.29	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.16	0.34	0.40	-	0.96	-0.42	63:06	81.35	17.30
Ryan Lindgren	SEA	D	0.1%	2.97	0.10	0.50	0.60	2.20	2.20	5.30	2.20	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.02	-	0.78	0.24	56:36	71.10	10.50
Simon Nemec	CGY	D	62.0%	2.97	0.40	0.80	1.20	5.00	1.20	3.40	1.50	0.06	0.14	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	-0.94	55:48	62.09	12.10
Kirill Marchenko	TOR	RW	98.4%	2.97	1.00	1.30	2.30	9.70	1.90	1.50	1.00	0.27	0.41	0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.20	0.27	0.32	-	1.04	-0.28	56:24	61.86	24.90
Connor Murphy	EDM	D	6.0%	2.96	0.10	0.50	0.60	3.20	4.80	5.70	2.80	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.78	-0.33	57:18	72.65	11.30
Mason Lohrei	BOS	D	21.8%	2.94	0.20	0.60	0.80	2.90	1.20	3.20	0.70	0.04	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	0.79	-0.51	54:42	67.79	8.40
William Nylander	TOR	RW	99.1%	2.93	1.20	1.70	3.00	10.50	0.50	1.10	0.60	0.30	0.49	0.80	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.24	1.82	2.27	-	0.99	-0.30	58:30	67.20	26.70
Mark Stone	LV	RW	93.4%	2.92	1.20	2.20	3.30	7.10	2.00	1.90	0.50	0.34	0.73	1.07	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.15	0.30	0.37	-	0.99	0.26	58:06	65.08	28.40
Zach Whitecloud	CGY	D	7.3%	2.92	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.90	5.50	4.90	1.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.76	-1.01	56:48	70.72	9.30
Andrew Peeke	UTA	D	6.5%	2.92	0.10	0.60	0.70	3.40	5.20	4.40	0.70	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.77	0.66	56:12	71.34	9.80
Nick Schmaltz	UTA	RW	93.8%	2.92	1.20	1.50	2.70	7.40	0.90	1.40	0.50	0.30	0.41	0.71	0.06	0.03	0.08	0.20	14.14	15.60	47.5%	1.09	0.58	57:42	70.52	23.50
Jacob Middleton	CGY	D	5.7%	2.90	0.10	0.40	0.50	3.00	4.80	4.40	3.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.77	-1.04	58:24	69.26	9.50
Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	99.5%	2.90	1.40	1.20	2.60	7.40	3.40	1.90	0.70	0.51	0.48	0.98	0.06	0.02	0.07	0.27	4.73	6.02	44.0%	0.94	-0.30	63:18	72.52	23.90
Zach Werenski	CLB	D	99.6%	2.89	0.50	1.50	2.00	5.50	0.50	3.30	0.60	0.14	0.50	0.64	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	0.03	53:42	53.27	19.20
Matthew Tkachuk	FLA	RW	99.7%	2.89	1.00	1.80	2.90	8.20	3.70	0.80	2.80	0.40	0.76	1.16	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.19	0.36	0.43	-	0.84	-0.24	54:54	61.31	23.80
Shayne Gostisbehere	CAR	D	95.7%	2.88	0.40	1.30	1.70	7.20	1.80	3.30	1.50	0.19	0.64	0.83	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.88	-0.18	56:30	63.03	19.40
Ryker Evans	SEA	D	13.7%	2.88	0.20	0.70	0.90	2.60	3.00	4.20	1.80	0.02	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.82	0.23	56:24	63.81	10.50
Eeli Tolvanen	NYR	LW	35.5%	2.84	0.80	0.70	1.40	5.60	8.60	4.10	1.30	0.15	0.15	0.30	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.16	0.16	0.20	-	0.92	-0.39	60:18	82.71	16.90
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	2.83	1.50	1.50	2.90	13.80	1.70	3.80	0.70	0.37	0.41	0.78	0.05	0.02	0.07	0.30	27.92	20.86	57.2%	1.05	-0.32	62:12	70.90	33.30
Drew O'Connor	VAN	LW	5.9%	2.83	0.80	0.90	1.70	5.70	3.50	2.70	1.90	0.04	0.04	0.08	0.04	0.02	0.07	0.06	2.60	2.89	-	0.97	-0.50	58:48	77.67	14.50
Zayne Parekh	CGY	D	68.5%	2.82	0.30	0.80	1.10	4.70	1.60	2.10	1.20	0.09	0.25	0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	0.74	-0.81	51:36	64.42	10.50
Matthew Beniers	SEA	C	49.6%	2.81	1.00	1.60	2.60	5.20	1.50	2.90	0.80	0.23	0.38	0.61	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.15	19.31	20.77	48.2%	0.92	0.21	56:36	66.96	20.80
Quinn Hughes	MIN	D	99.6%	2.81	0.30	1.50	1.80	5.80	0.30	1.90	0.70	0.11	0.66	0.77	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	0.78	0.13	53:30	46.98	17.40
Mikael Backlund	CGY	C	13.7%	2.80	0.40	0.50	1.00	6.50	1.50	0.90	0.90	0.03	0.05	0.08	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.08	27.15	27.34	49.8%	0.94	-0.93	54:54	73.17	12.10
Radko Gudas	FLA	D	24.5%	2.80	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.90	9.10	4.80	3.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.72	-0.33	53:54	70.70	9.90
Shakir Mukhamadullin	EDM	D	14.5%	2.79	0.20	0.40	0.70	3.10	2.50	4.10	1.10	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.69	-0.30	51:30	63.57	8.10
Logan Cooley	UTA	C	93.9%	2.78	1.00	1.80	2.80	5.80	3.40	1.20	1.10	0.23	0.47	0.70	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.16	15.67	17.84	46.8%	0.95	0.55	53:12	66.65	21.80
Nate Schmidt	UTA	D	4.9%	2.77	0.10	0.80	0.90	2.80	3.30	2.60	0.70	0.01	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.77	0.63	54:18	75.93	10.90
Trevor Zegras	PHI	LW	85.7%	2.77	0.80	1.50	2.40	5.50	1.90	1.30	2.10	0.18	0.38	0.56	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.13	5.90	8.40	41.3%	0.85	0.05	54:12	63.70	18.20
John Tavares	TOR	C	96.1%	2.76	0.90	1.40	2.30	8.50	2.20	1.30	1.00	0.25	0.39	0.64	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.18	28.49	22.06	56.4%	0.92	-0.27	54:42	63.87	20.30

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Takeaways

The positive side of puck battles, projected the same way.

Takeaway Projections

Puck-moving defensemen

The players with the most giveaways are often the ones driving offence from the back.

Defensemen Projections

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's rink-adjusted giveaway rate per 60 minutes (recent seasons weighted, shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time.

From 2024-25 the NHL records roughly twice as many giveaways a season as it did before. The projection uses recent rates, so it already reflects the new recording.

Those are the players who cost the most in leagues that subtract for giveaways. Players with few projected minutes give the puck away least simply because they barely play, so a fewest-first list is not useful. Click the column to flip it.