NHL Projected Faceoffs Lost This Week

Some points leagues take points away for faceoffs lost. This projection is projected faceoffs taken minus projected faceoffs won. The list opens with the centers projected to lose the most draws, which means the highest-volume centers: they lose the most even when they win most of their draws (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1)). (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

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Fantasy Week 1: Sep 28 - Oct 4(Mon-Sun)

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 5:30 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 152 players

Volume

faceoffs taken per 60 minutes from the player's own recent history, times LineupExperts' projected ice time.

Win rate

faceoff percentage shrunk toward 50.5% with the weight of about 96 faceoffs.

Faceoffs lost = faceoffs taken − projected faceoffs won.

Track record

over the rest of a season the projection is well calibrated (top three deciles within 8% of actual totals), but in one one-week window of our backtest it did slightly worse than a naive per-game rate, so treat single-week numbers as rough.

💡

Pro Tip: In leagues that score FOW and FOL, net faceoffs (won minus lost) is what matters: a high-volume center above 50% still nets positive.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Faceoffs Lost(Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))

152 players

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Skaters100 of 152

Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	FOL^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Elias Pettersson	VAN	C	87.4%	37.60	1.10	2.50	3.60	7.00	4.50	5.80	0.90	0.29	0.74	1.03	0.05	0.04	0.09	0.08	34.87	48.1%	1.32	3.76	-0.56	75:42	92.25	29.10
Mikael Backlund	CGY	C	13.7%	27.34	0.40	0.50	1.00	6.50	1.50	0.90	0.90	0.03	0.05	0.08	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.08	27.15	49.8%	0.94	2.80	-0.93	54:54	73.17	12.10
Jordan Staal	CAR	C	20.0%	27.13	0.50	0.60	1.10	5.20	7.10	2.00	1.20	0.07	0.09	0.17	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.07	32.34	54.4%	0.74	2.20	-0.18	48:30	68.91	13.00
Chandler Stephenson	SEA	C	16.9%	26.47	0.70	1.50	2.20	3.30	0.90	2.30	0.80	0.17	0.40	0.57	0.05	0.05	0.10	0.10	28.36	51.7%	1.02	2.70	0.21	57:42	72.63	15.60
Jack Eichel	LV	C	98.9%	25.10	1.60	2.90	4.50	12.20	1.40	1.70	0.50	0.41	1.08	1.49	0.06	0.04	0.11	0.20	23.19	48.0%	1.11	3.48	0.28	63:24	68.52	38.50
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.3%	25.04	1.00	1.70	2.70	8.80	3.70	2.60	0.90	0.28	0.52	0.80	0.04	0.03	0.08	0.20	27.85	52.7%	1.41	4.29	-0.49	79:42	96.98	24.40
Leon Draisaitl	EDM	C	99.9%	23.33	2.10	2.50	4.50	9.80	1.80	0.90	1.60	0.67	0.92	1.59	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.32	28.12	54.7%	1.05	3.64	-0.31	65:00	68.53	37.80
Marco Rossi	VAN	C	59.7%	23.16	1.30	2.00	3.40	6.00	3.00	2.70	1.70	0.27	0.51	0.78	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.09	22.25	49.0%	1.12	3.33	-0.53	70:24	81.98	24.40
Elias Lindholm	BOS	C	43.3%	23.03	0.60	0.90	1.40	4.90	2.40	2.20	0.80	0.11	0.20	0.31	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.14	27.93	54.8%	0.83	2.62	-0.48	54:06	66.46	14.40
J.T. Miller	NYR	C	91.8%	22.90	0.90	1.80	2.70	6.90	7.30	2.50	2.60	0.22	0.50	0.72	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.18	31.63	58.0%	1.26	4.06	-0.47	76:48	100.10	22.70
Vincent Trocheck	UTA	C	88.5%	22.15	0.80	1.40	2.20	6.20	9.40	1.90	1.50	0.17	0.36	0.53	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.13	29.27	56.9%	1.04	3.20	0.65	62:42	74.44	18.90
John Tavares	TOR	C	96.1%	22.06	0.90	1.40	2.30	8.50	2.20	1.30	1.00	0.25	0.39	0.64	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.18	28.49	56.4%	0.92	2.76	-0.27	54:42	63.87	20.30
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	98.8%	21.94	1.20	1.70	2.90	9.60	2.40	1.00	2.30	0.41	0.65	1.06	0.05	0.04	0.09	0.18	23.71	51.9%	0.99	3.20	-0.20	60:30	69.37	26.20
Anton Lundell	FLA	C	45.5%	21.59	0.60	1.00	1.60	6.00	4.00	1.70	1.30	0.18	0.35	0.53	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.11	23.60	52.2%	0.79	2.60	-0.26	52:30	66.68	16.80
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	20.86	1.50	1.50	2.90	13.80	1.70	3.80	0.70	0.37	0.41	0.78	0.05	0.02	0.07	0.30	27.92	57.2%	1.05	2.83	-0.32	62:12	70.90	33.30
Matthew Beniers	SEA	C	49.6%	20.77	1.00	1.60	2.60	5.20	1.50	2.90	0.80	0.23	0.38	0.61	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.15	19.31	48.2%	0.92	2.81	0.21	56:36	66.96	20.80
Sam Bennett	FLA	C	83.8%	20.65	0.80	1.10	1.80	7.10	5.70	1.50	2.80	0.24	0.35	0.59	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.15	19.04	48.0%	0.86	2.69	-0.27	53:30	64.44	16.80
Noah Cates	PHI	C	18.4%	20.62	0.60	0.80	1.40	4.10	4.10	2.20	0.90	0.10	0.16	0.26	0.05	0.02	0.07	0.10	17.22	45.5%	0.82	2.16	0.05	47:48	66.89	13.80
Joel Eriksson Ek	MIN	C	81.6%	20.60	0.40	0.60	1.00	6.20	3.10	1.00	0.70	0.13	0.20	0.33	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.06	19.68	48.9%	0.61	1.78	0.09	39:18	41.62	13.70
Sean Couturier	PHI	C	9.2%	20.31	0.40	0.80	1.20	4.00	3.50	1.70	1.20	0.03	0.06	0.08	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.07	23.91	54.1%	0.87	2.46	0.05	50:54	67.38	10.80
Nic Dowd	LV	C	3.2%	20.01	0.40	0.60	1.00	2.90	5.70	2.00	1.90	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.07	0.05	19.47	49.3%	0.71	2.06	0.23	43:30	60.44	9.10
Nico Hischier	NJ	C	97.3%	19.90	0.70	0.80	1.50	6.20	1.00	1.40	0.40	0.19	0.24	0.44	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.12	24.53	55.2%	0.65	1.91	-0.17	41:12	47.89	15.40
Sidney Crosby	PIT	C	99.9%	19.41	0.80	1.60	2.40	6.00	1.50	0.80	0.80	0.20	0.44	0.65	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11	23.40	54.7%	0.65	1.97	0.45	39:48	45.75	18.10
Aatu Raty	VAN	C	10.4%	19.02	0.60	0.70	1.30	3.80	9.10	1.20	1.50	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.04	0.04	25.79	57.6%	0.73	2.18	-0.40	46:12	70.02	10.60
Tomas Hertl	LV	C	83.6%	18.83	1.20	1.10	2.30	8.90	4.50	1.80	0.90	0.41	0.37	0.78	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.15	24.08	56.1%	0.77	2.31	0.21	50:18	57.14	22.60
Christian Dvorak	PHI	C	15.9%	18.67	0.60	1.10	1.70	4.60	2.00	2.60	0.90	0.09	0.18	0.27	0.04	0.03	0.06	0.10	21.95	54.0%	0.81	2.43	0.05	50:42	65.59	14.90
Frank Nazar	CHI	C	54.0%	18.25	0.70	1.10	1.80	5.20	1.40	1.80	1.00	0.17	0.29	0.46	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.12	16.66	47.7%	0.90	2.68	-0.70	51:54	62.48	14.10
Kevin Stenlund	UTA	C	0.1%	18.15	0.30	0.50	0.80	2.80	2.10	1.80	1.00	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.05	21.91	54.7%	0.68	2.07	0.49	42:06	61.37	7.80
Noah Laba	NYR	C	11.2%	17.88	0.40	0.70	1.10	3.60	5.60	2.60	2.10	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.08	17.66	49.7%	0.81	2.50	-0.38	53:42	77.15	11.40
Logan Cooley	UTA	C	93.9%	17.84	1.00	1.80	2.80	5.80	3.40	1.20	1.10	0.23	0.47	0.70	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.16	15.67	46.8%	0.95	2.78	0.55	53:12	66.65	21.80
Pavel Zacha	BOS	C	77.8%	17.53	0.60	0.90	1.50	4.70	2.60	1.00	0.60	0.13	0.21	0.35	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.14	19.71	52.9%	0.83	2.62	-0.47	54:00	64.47	13.30
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.9%	17.47	1.80	3.70	5.50	11.00	2.20	1.10	1.70	0.51	1.48	2.00	0.07	0.04	0.11	0.28	17.33	49.8%	1.10	3.78	-0.34	68:48	69.84	43.20
William Karlsson	LV	C	24.2%	17.43	0.80	1.00	1.70	6.90	1.20	2.00	0.50	0.09	0.12	0.21	0.05	0.03	0.07	0.10	22.86	56.7%	0.84	2.41	0.26	51:00	63.64	19.40
Ryan Strome	CGY	C	4.0%	17.39	0.40	0.60	1.00	4.00	1.50	0.80	2.40	0.05	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.08	14.49	45.5%	0.71	2.32	-0.76	45:54	60.19	8.80
Morgan Frost	CGY	C	22.8%	17.28	0.60	0.70	1.20	5.70	2.60	1.50	1.00	0.14	0.18	0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.12	21.11	55.0%	0.79	2.26	-0.71	46:42	61.20	11.50
Frederick Gaudreau	SEA	C	0.2%	17.17	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.40	1.50	2.70	0.40	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.06	14.95	46.6%	0.80	2.14	0.20	47:00	62.83	10.50
Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	100.0%	17.04	1.30	2.40	3.70	10.00	1.20	1.10	0.80	0.37	0.75	1.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.19	17.36	50.5%	0.69	2.67	1.01	44:36	47.49	30.60
Teddy Blueger	TOR	C	4.8%	17.03	0.20	0.70	0.90	3.90	3.40	1.70	1.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.09	0.04	16.17	48.7%	0.69	2.17	-0.26	43:54	59.57	8.30
Ryan Greene	CHI	C	10.4%	17.02	0.50	0.70	1.10	3.20	1.50	1.50	0.40	0.05	0.08	0.13	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.08	13.33	43.9%	0.78	2.41	-0.75	49:54	65.70	9.30
Nick Suzuki	MON	C	100.0%	16.89	0.60	1.20	1.80	3.80	2.00	1.20	0.50	0.15	0.39	0.54	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.11	17.44	50.8%	0.70	2.04	-0.03	41:18	44.42	15.60
Alexander Wennberg	SJ	C	24.9%	16.86	0.30	0.80	1.10	2.20	0.90	2.50	0.50	0.08	0.24	0.32	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04	15.38	47.7%	0.67	1.71	0.07	38:54	44.70	9.30
Brock Nelson	COL	C	87.7%	16.81	0.80	0.90	1.70	4.90	0.70	1.50	0.60	0.22	0.29	0.51	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.12	16.86	50.1%	0.60	1.76	0.88	38:06	46.66	15.70
Barrett Hayton	UTA	C	11.2%	16.79	0.40	0.80	1.20	5.40	1.80	1.10	1.60	0.07	0.15	0.22	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.07	18.76	52.8%	0.72	2.21	0.50	46:36	63.75	12.20
Sean Monahan	CLB	C	18.7%	16.63	0.40	0.70	1.10	2.50	0.90	1.10	0.30	0.07	0.14	0.21	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.06	17.76	51.6%	0.59	1.72	0.02	35:42	45.61	9.60
Robert Thomas	STL	C	92.8%	16.36	0.50	1.00	1.50	3.30	0.30	1.10	0.80	0.11	0.27	0.38	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.10	18.12	52.6%	0.67	2.14	-0.32	39:12	48.20	13.20
Anthony Cirelli	TB	C	51.1%	16.23	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.70	1.60	1.60	1.00	0.07	0.11	0.17	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.07	15.51	48.9%	0.60	1.76	0.37	36:18	46.78	11.30
Nick Paul	TOR	C	8.1%	16.17	0.50	0.50	1.00	5.00	3.40	1.30	1.10	0.09	0.10	0.19	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.10	16.55	50.6%	0.71	2.15	-0.25	46:06	58.76	10.60
Mark Scheifele	WPG	C	99.4%	15.73	0.70	1.10	1.70	4.00	1.00	1.20	1.00	0.17	0.30	0.47	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	14.54	48.0%	0.74	2.37	-0.34	41:54	42.75	14.40
Logan Stankoven	CAR	C	67.1%	15.52	0.70	0.90	1.60	7.80	2.20	1.00	0.80	0.16	0.23	0.39	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.10	12.94	45.5%	0.78	2.16	-0.17	47:06	56.40	17.20
Macklin Celebrini	SJ	C	99.8%	15.51	1.10	1.80	2.90	7.00	1.40	1.70	1.20	0.29	0.60	0.89	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.15	14.84	48.9%	0.75	2.42	0.08	41:30	42.06	23.20
Bo Horvat	NYI	C	90.2%	15.50	0.90	0.80	1.70	6.50	1.90	1.30	0.70	0.28	0.27	0.54	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.15	19.18	55.3%	0.63	2.09	0.51	41:06	46.20	16.80
Ryan McLeod	BUF	C	26.1%	15.34	0.40	0.90	1.30	2.50	0.50	0.60	0.30	0.06	0.17	0.24	0.04	0.03	0.08	0.05	14.60	48.8%	0.59	1.76	0.83	33:18	45.81	9.20
Ryan O'Reilly	NSH	C	84.3%	15.06	0.40	0.80	1.20	3.50	0.50	1.50	0.50	0.10	0.24	0.35	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.09	18.15	54.6%	0.74	1.81	-0.12	39:48	47.27	11.00
Mark Jankowski	CAR	C	0.2%	14.98	0.40	0.30	0.80	3.30	1.90	1.80	1.00	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.06	14.92	49.9%	0.55	1.74	-0.14	35:18	50.57	9.10
Fraser Minten	BOS	C	47.3%	14.74	0.50	0.60	1.10	4.40	5.70	1.50	0.50	0.05	0.06	0.11	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.11	14.39	49.4%	0.78	2.14	-0.43	45:24	58.01	12.50
Anton Frondell	CHI	C	71.6%	14.42	0.90	1.10	2.00	5.90	1.60	1.80	0.60	0.27	0.35	0.62	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.15	10.61	42.4%	0.77	2.22	-0.60	47:06	54.02	17.80
Quinton Byfield	LA	C	86.1%	14.32	0.60	0.80	1.50	5.00	1.70	0.90	1.10	0.13	0.20	0.33	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.11	12.49	46.6%	0.79	1.89	0.12	38:54	46.37	13.30
Nazem Kadri	COL	C	70.5%	14.28	0.70	1.10	1.80	6.10	1.10	0.90	0.80	0.17	0.34	0.51	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.10	12.92	47.5%	0.59	1.86	0.88	37:54	44.91	15.70
Dylan Strome	WAS	C	82.7%	14.18	0.50	0.90	1.30	2.70	0.40	1.50	1.00	0.12	0.27	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	18.25	56.3%	0.55	1.77	0.41	35:18	41.32	11.00
Pierre-Luc Dubois	WAS	C	42.3%	13.96	0.30	0.70	1.10	2.40	1.80	1.30	2.00	0.06	0.15	0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	13.54	49.2%	0.53	1.66	0.41	34:00	43.36	9.40
Ryan Hartman	MIN	C	39.7%	13.86	0.30	0.50	0.80	5.00	1.70	1.70	1.40	0.05	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	11.74	45.9%	0.52	1.64	0.08	32:00	35.17	10.20
Lars Eller	FLA	C	0.2%	13.75	0.30	0.40	0.70	2.90	2.10	1.40	0.70	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.06	14.88	52.0%	0.58	1.86	-0.22	37:00	55.27	7.60
Adam Lowry	WPG	C	5.7%	13.69	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.10	3.90	1.30	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	15.56	53.2%	0.52	1.40	-0.29	30:36	43.51	5.90
Leo Carlsson	ANA	C	94.2%	13.54	0.80	0.90	1.70	4.90	0.50	1.10	0.60	0.21	0.27	0.48	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.14	11.19	45.3%	0.61	1.76	-0.05	35:24	41.89	14.80
Joshua Norris	BUF	C	38.9%	13.46	0.60	0.90	1.60	3.60	1.70	1.00	0.90	0.16	0.26	0.42	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.08	14.05	51.1%	0.54	1.57	0.79	34:30	45.73	12.90
Shane Wright	SEA	C	26.5%	13.46	0.70	0.80	1.50	3.80	2.00	2.90	0.60	0.15	0.19	0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.10	10.61	44.1%	0.71	2.15	0.15	42:06	56.14	14.60
Charlie Coyle	CLB	C	49.4%	13.36	0.40	0.90	1.30	2.50	2.20	1.50	0.40	0.09	0.23	0.32	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.06	13.53	50.3%	0.63	1.61	0.02	34:54	44.13	10.60
Adam Fantilli	CLB	C	92.0%	13.34	0.80	0.90	1.80	4.40	3.00	1.50	0.80	0.17	0.22	0.39	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.13	13.13	49.6%	0.61	1.86	0.02	36:30	40.46	14.80
J.T. Compher	DET	C	4.0%	13.16	0.20	0.40	0.60	2.40	0.70	1.50	0.70	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	12.58	48.9%	0.48	1.49	0.06	32:18	42.96	6.10
Colton Sissons	TOR	C	3.3%	13.08	0.30	0.20	0.50	3.80	3.30	2.20	0.80	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.07	0.06	15.63	54.4%	0.68	1.96	-0.24	41:00	58.03	7.40
Phillip Danault	MON	C	4.9%	13.06	0.20	0.30	0.50	1.90	1.80	1.00	0.50	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	14.93	53.3%	0.50	1.60	-0.03	33:12	41.90	5.70
Ryan Poehling	ANA	C	6.7%	12.96	0.20	0.50	0.70	2.30	1.20	2.70	0.30	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04	12.20	48.5%	0.45	1.39	-0.05	28:48	39.87	8.10
Benoit-Olivier Groulx	TOR	C	4.8%	12.70	0.20	0.20	0.40	3.60	6.00	1.80	0.70	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.04	12.95	50.5%	0.74	2.24	-0.25	45:48	57.71	7.10
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	NYI	C	12.4%	12.41	0.30	0.50	0.80	2.50	3.50	1.60	0.20	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.05	16.79	57.5%	0.51	1.53	0.50	32:36	44.08	7.70
Michael McCarron	MIN	C	7.3%	12.02	0.20	0.20	0.40	3.10	4.80	1.50	1.80	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.03	13.26	52.5%	0.47	1.28	0.08	28:00	37.42	5.40
Jake Evans	MON	C	5.7%	11.91	0.20	0.30	0.50	1.80	2.90	1.20	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.04	0.04	14.10	54.2%	0.51	1.49	-0.03	31:06	39.61	5.40
Erik Haula	LA	C	11.8%	11.88	0.30	0.40	0.70	3.60	2.70	1.00	1.30	0.06	0.09	0.14	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.05	11.26	48.7%	0.48	1.49	0.10	31:36	43.38	7.40
Mikael Granlund	ANA	C	52.1%	11.83	0.30	0.70	1.10	3.20	1.30	1.60	0.60	0.07	0.18	0.25	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.05	11.78	49.9%	0.62	1.92	-0.06	38:18	45.31	9.70
Joe Veleno	NYR	C	4.1%	11.81	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.80	8.80	2.50	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.04	12.22	50.8%	0.81	2.23	-0.35	48:12	63.93	5.70
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	CAR	C	3.2%	11.63	0.30	0.40	0.80	3.80	3.90	1.10	1.30	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	11.71	50.2%	0.61	1.98	-0.16	39:00	50.31	8.80
Roope Hintz	DAL	C	84.1%	11.59	0.50	0.80	1.30	4.90	1.90	0.80	0.50	0.15	0.28	0.43	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.11	14.12	54.9%	0.50	1.67	-0.15	34:12	42.54	13.10
Owen Michaels	EDM	C	3.2%	11.56	0.60	0.50	1.10	3.40	2.60	1.00	0.90	0.07	0.06	0.13	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.09	10.07	46.5%	0.48	1.50	-0.17	30:00	51.81	9.90
Brayden Point	TB	C	95.2%	11.53	0.70	0.80	1.50	4.80	0.50	1.00	0.50	0.26	0.31	0.57	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.12	10.28	47.1%	0.58	1.77	0.33	38:24	42.78	14.30
Andrew Copp	DET	C	9.2%	11.39	0.20	0.70	1.00	2.90	1.10	1.40	0.60	0.03	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04	12.83	53.0%	0.51	1.60	0.06	31:42	41.99	8.80
Mason McTavish	STL	C	51.2%	11.27	0.50	0.50	1.00	3.90	1.80	0.80	1.30	0.12	0.13	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.10	10.79	48.9%	0.49	1.57	-0.26	31:36	39.64	9.40
Danila Yurov	MIN	C	32.3%	11.21	0.30	0.40	0.70	2.60	1.80	1.10	0.60	0.03	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.05	8.05	41.8%	0.42	1.28	0.07	26:12	31.70	6.80
Tage Thompson	BUF	C	99.9%	11.20	1.30	1.10	2.40	7.70	2.50	0.80	0.70	0.37	0.37	0.74	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.18	9.58	46.1%	0.62	1.82	0.86	38:12	46.14	20.90
Jack McBain	UTA	C	17.4%	11.10	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.90	13.20	1.60	2.60	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.04	0.07	11.72	51.3%	0.68	1.99	0.48	41:00	59.95	10.90
Jiri Kulich	BUF	C	25.7%	11.03	0.70	0.60	1.30	4.40	1.60	1.00	0.40	0.10	0.09	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	9.53	46.3%	0.47	1.44	0.75	29:48	43.09	11.20
Sean Kuraly	BOS	C	0.2%	11.03	0.20	0.30	0.50	3.40	4.60	1.60	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.05	11.82	51.7%	0.60	1.81	-0.38	37:36	48.00	6.90
Dalibor Dvorsky	STL	C	28.1%	10.84	0.30	0.30	0.60	2.70	1.70	0.90	0.90	0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	9.15	45.8%	0.42	1.34	-0.23	28:12	37.00	6.60
Cody Glass	NJ	C	4.9%	10.78	0.30	0.30	0.50	3.60	1.10	1.00	0.60	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	12.03	52.7%	0.41	1.28	-0.13	26:54	38.28	6.60
Brayden Schenn	NYI	C	28.0%	10.69	0.50	0.70	1.20	3.40	4.90	1.30	1.10	0.12	0.18	0.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	11.95	52.8%	0.53	1.57	0.45	34:12	42.39	10.30
Justin Danforth	BUF	C	0.0%	10.66	0.30	0.40	0.70	2.90	3.90	1.20	0.50	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.08	0.04	9.72	47.7%	0.45	1.39	0.78	28:30	38.36	6.80
Wyatt Johnston	DAL	C	99.9%	10.58	0.70	0.90	1.60	6.10	1.20	1.40	0.60	0.24	0.31	0.55	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.16	10.29	49.3%	0.62	1.80	-0.17	39:48	43.58	15.50
Max Sasson	VAN	C	4.9%	10.26	0.70	0.50	1.30	3.80	1.80	2.60	1.20	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.05	8.65	45.7%	0.76	2.31	-0.39	45:48	66.55	11.00
Pius Suter	STL	C	4.1%	9.91	0.30	0.30	0.70	2.60	1.10	0.70	0.50	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.06	8.77	47.0%	0.51	1.53	-0.30	32:54	44.04	7.20
Tim Washe	ANA	C	4.0%	9.70	0.10	0.10	0.20	1.60	5.00	1.40	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	11.57	54.4%	0.41	1.14	-0.04	24:36	36.31	3.20
Nicolas Roy	COL	C	4.9%	9.66	0.50	0.60	1.00	2.90	1.70	1.10	0.80	0.06	0.07	0.13	0.04	0.02	0.06	0.07	9.94	50.7%	0.50	1.47	0.74	28:54	38.98	8.90
Jack Drury	NSH	C	5.6%	9.64	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.30	1.10	1.50	0.80	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	12.34	56.2%	0.44	1.24	-0.10	26:54	36.87	6.50

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Faceoffs won

The other half of the draw: volume times win rate.

Faceoffs Won Projections

Faceoff percentage

The shrunk win rate behind both projections.

Faceoff Percentage

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

Faceoffs lost scale with how many draws a player takes. A top-line center taking 20 a night loses more than a fourth-liner taking 6, even at a better percentage.

Over the rest of a season they are well calibrated. Over a single week they are noisier: in one weekly window of our backtest a naive per-game rate did slightly better.

Those centers cost the most in leagues that penalise lost faceoffs, and they are mostly the busiest centers. A fewest-first list would be topped by players who barely take draws. Click the column to flip it.