Edgehalla

NHL Projected Takeaways This Week

Takeaways count in some fantasy leagues. Our projection multiplies each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward the league average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. Players with big minutes and a steady takeaway habit lead (Oct 12-18 (Week 3)). (Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 691 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Takeaways(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

636 players
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PlayerTeamPosRost%TK† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Mitch MarnerVGKRW98.9%1.671.202.904.109.201.502.600.900.371.101.480.040.050.090.325.036.74-4.91-0.0382:4289.2332.60
Quinn HughesMIND99.9%1.630.804.104.909.900.603.601.200.271.711.970.000.000.010.160.000.00-5.68-0.65108:3094.9938.40
Matthew BoldyMINRW100.0%1.601.701.903.6013.603.403.601.900.460.591.060.090.040.130.353.033.70-4.13-0.4884:0082.9338.10
Thomas ChabotOTTD87.9%1.570.401.602.008.802.708.601.600.140.590.740.010.030.040.100.000.00-5.040.0997:54114.6329.30
Luke HughesNJDD83.0%1.550.401.802.208.801.002.901.700.130.650.780.000.020.030.050.000.01-4.75-0.1389:1896.6321.20
Jack HughesNJDC99.4%1.511.603.104.7015.500.402.100.700.391.081.470.030.030.060.1913.0319.9439.5%5.26-0.1284:3686.1842.70
Noah HanifinVGKD47.5%1.490.401.101.407.101.607.100.500.030.100.130.010.030.030.110.000.00-4.76-0.0487:36108.9220.60
Seth JonesFLAD75.6%1.490.502.603.109.404.504.001.300.221.301.520.010.040.050.110.000.00-5.110.0399:12109.1027.90
Gustav ForslingFLAD37.3%1.490.501.001.407.303.104.202.200.060.130.200.020.030.050.110.000.00-4.460.0390:42108.9619.00
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%1.471.803.104.9014.601.402.600.800.531.371.900.070.080.150.4830.3533.7647.3%4.74-0.0385:0089.1445.10
Rasmus DahlinBUFD99.5%1.461.002.603.6010.203.905.402.900.350.951.290.010.010.020.180.000.00-5.260.4296:36107.9534.70
Matthew SchaeferNYID99.9%1.380.601.802.409.801.603.401.200.220.700.910.000.010.010.070.000.00-3.93-0.0574:2480.2725.40
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%1.381.802.804.609.106.502.401.500.571.061.630.110.070.180.4517.7816.0152.6%4.340.0783:00104.8637.20
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%1.312.301.704.0014.503.402.201.700.690.581.270.030.010.040.4219.9623.6045.8%3.840.3277:2494.1739.20
Shane PintoOTTC43.7%1.291.101.702.907.804.902.702.100.270.480.750.070.060.120.2724.0223.2250.8%3.500.0775:24103.6125.60
Brett PesceNJDD0.3%1.290.100.600.705.001.206.601.000.000.030.030.000.020.020.010.000.00-4.23-0.1484:4899.1913.60
Devon ToewsCOLD72.7%1.290.301.201.504.701.403.601.200.060.310.370.010.030.040.050.000.00-3.600.6170:2483.6917.90
Mark StoneVGKRW94.7%1.271.302.603.908.902.703.101.000.411.111.520.060.040.100.340.380.48-3.78-0.0377:3085.5534.80
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%1.271.401.703.1010.102.403.001.000.430.530.960.060.040.110.1647.9339.3954.9%3.69-0.1281:5493.7229.70
Owen PowerBUFD70.5%1.260.501.802.305.401.004.200.900.130.490.620.010.040.050.090.000.00-4.590.4292:00107.1620.40
Jonas BrodinMIND5.0%1.260.200.801.004.901.507.901.700.010.060.070.010.030.040.040.000.00-4.41-0.5986:3098.5318.00
Aaron EkbladFLAD43.3%1.260.201.501.706.205.404.303.300.070.530.600.000.040.050.040.020.02-4.640.0391:00111.9917.90
Carter YakemchukOTTD45.3%1.250.501.101.605.801.304.301.700.170.400.580.000.000.000.120.000.00-4.110.0776:48102.8116.70
Chandler StephensonSEAC24.0%1.240.401.501.902.700.701.601.200.080.410.500.020.030.050.0829.1326.0052.8%2.650.2956:4272.5813.30
Zach WerenskiCBJD99.6%1.240.601.902.509.700.905.000.800.160.600.760.010.030.040.120.000.00-4.420.1981:0082.1427.80
Joel Eriksson EkMINC77.8%1.241.001.402.4011.505.602.501.400.260.420.680.040.030.070.2038.8539.5149.6%3.48-0.4678:4282.0129.40
Kirill KaprizovMINLW98.3%1.232.802.505.3013.402.001.801.100.790.701.490.010.000.010.570.270.33-4.58-0.5288:4884.1747.20
Matthew TkachukFLARW98.5%1.231.603.505.0010.905.800.703.800.611.732.350.020.010.030.340.370.44-3.840.0274:4283.7837.80
Michael AmadioOTTRW6.0%1.230.600.901.604.903.802.500.900.020.040.060.030.040.070.150.730.88-2.950.0662:0089.2415.00
Shea TheodoreVGKD92.4%1.230.401.702.108.700.204.700.900.100.450.540.010.030.030.110.000.00-5.00-0.0490:24111.0525.60
Timo MeierNJDLW77.4%1.221.201.202.3013.507.102.702.000.220.220.440.010.010.020.142.242.70-3.72-0.1172:3082.7826.50
Mattias SamuelssonBUFD75.9%1.220.301.301.604.705.806.101.600.010.070.080.010.040.050.060.000.00-4.520.4486:54103.1718.30
Thomas HarleyDALD83.2%1.220.401.001.405.401.705.101.000.070.180.240.010.010.020.060.000.00-3.700.1171:0674.9518.00
Alex TuchWSHRW93.8%1.221.101.102.206.802.803.601.500.180.190.370.080.040.120.102.312.79-2.750.6657:4873.8022.70
Brandon MontourSEAD85.0%1.210.301.301.606.403.103.802.800.070.350.420.000.020.020.060.000.00-3.600.3870:0671.2816.60
Sam ReinhartFLARW97.3%1.212.401.604.0011.404.402.100.800.970.651.620.080.020.110.517.929.4945.5%3.870.0284:0094.2336.40
Lane HutsonMTLD99.0%1.210.402.502.804.901.204.601.300.140.941.080.000.010.010.060.000.00-3.740.6272:0673.3923.20
Jesper BrattNJDRW95.1%1.211.002.703.708.904.101.400.600.270.931.200.030.030.060.120.180.22-4.19-0.1175:3089.0328.80
Drake BathersonOTTRW96.7%1.201.401.903.309.006.401.202.000.480.681.160.010.000.010.350.620.72-3.430.0671:1294.3027.30
Cale MakarCOLD100.0%1.190.902.203.107.901.304.800.800.350.971.310.010.030.040.160.000.00-3.800.5875:0077.6830.30
Dawson MercerNJDRW21.7%1.190.701.001.707.801.502.201.100.060.090.150.050.030.080.085.236.59-3.32-0.1270:4285.5217.10
Carter VerhaegheFLALW68.1%1.181.401.202.608.802.801.001.600.410.340.750.010.000.010.302.322.71-3.510.0273:0086.0424.40
Adam FoxNYRD99.0%1.170.302.602.904.201.505.001.400.101.031.130.000.030.030.020.000.00-3.611.5069:1878.7924.10
Johnathan KovacevicNJDD0.1%1.170.100.700.803.605.604.503.500.000.000.000.000.020.020.010.000.00-3.94-0.1376:3089.9012.00
Brandon HagelTBLLW99.3%1.171.501.803.309.802.201.902.100.440.601.040.080.050.130.150.951.17-2.980.3562:0070.8830.00
Mikhail SergachevUTAD98.3%1.170.502.102.606.202.104.501.800.190.941.140.010.040.050.050.000.00-3.88-0.0372:1287.9924.40
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%1.161.402.303.7011.101.702.001.400.330.711.040.020.020.030.2122.2923.0049.2%3.84-0.7262:0663.1931.30
Niko MikkolaFLAD4.9%1.160.200.500.604.206.904.102.900.000.010.020.010.020.020.040.000.00-4.280.0379:12104.2011.20
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%1.160.902.303.107.301.203.801.100.341.061.400.010.030.040.150.000.00-4.03-0.4373:3679.5030.40
Rasmus AnderssonVGKD85.4%1.160.501.502.008.301.506.702.800.110.330.440.000.020.020.130.000.00-4.65-0.0488:36121.8021.40
Josh DoanBUFRW53.7%1.161.101.102.208.004.702.201.300.280.290.570.020.010.030.200.730.91-3.210.2661:0079.9222.50
Filip ForsbergNSHLW99.1%1.161.101.602.708.904.301.501.300.330.540.860.000.000.010.150.460.60-3.39-0.0957:3066.8923.40
K'Andre MillerCARD60.3%1.150.401.001.305.404.303.301.500.080.210.290.010.030.040.080.010.01-3.46-0.0266:5478.7414.30
Miro HeiskanenDALD98.1%1.150.301.902.205.701.104.301.200.090.690.780.010.040.050.050.000.00-3.930.1176:4876.3120.90
Dougie HamiltonNJDD83.1%1.140.501.401.8011.404.604.602.100.130.390.520.010.040.050.060.000.00-4.68-0.1384:1298.9923.90
Blake ColemanMINRW41.3%1.140.901.001.908.908.202.903.300.130.150.280.070.030.100.181.111.39-3.74-0.4468:3689.1021.00
Sam BennettFLAC81.3%1.140.901.602.509.507.401.503.700.270.510.780.020.010.030.1926.0928.3048.0%3.730.0272:3086.4421.80
Jonas SiegenthalerNJDD3.2%1.140.000.600.603.104.406.102.000.000.030.030.000.020.020.000.000.00-3.98-0.1378:3093.6710.50
Evan RodriguesNJDC7.5%1.140.501.001.508.904.901.302.000.090.210.300.030.030.060.0618.9820.8247.7%3.05-0.1063:3080.4515.90
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%1.121.503.605.108.801.901.301.500.411.481.890.060.050.100.2517.4117.8149.4%3.73-0.4069:0671.7839.50
Noah DobsonMTLD93.8%1.120.401.301.606.103.206.001.500.070.240.310.010.030.040.060.000.00-3.670.6568:1281.6718.40
Nick SchmaltzUTARW97.1%1.121.301.502.808.001.301.600.700.470.490.970.050.030.070.1313.6415.4147.0%2.83-0.0357:2470.6724.30
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%1.121.902.104.0011.202.003.700.700.520.631.150.060.030.090.3528.3921.2457.2%2.89-0.1563:2469.8837.40
William NylanderTORRW99.0%1.111.502.303.808.700.600.900.700.420.711.130.010.010.020.281.902.43-2.88-0.1459:5467.1928.90
Jaccob SlavinCARD21.5%1.110.100.800.904.600.805.200.200.000.040.040.000.030.030.020.000.00-3.12-0.0365:1275.6615.00
Claude GirouxOTTRW30.8%1.100.701.602.306.003.201.200.900.180.520.700.020.020.030.1725.0817.0559.5%3.360.0670:00102.7819.20
Travis SanheimPHID65.3%1.090.200.901.104.302.405.701.500.020.080.100.010.040.040.030.000.00-4.05-0.7374:3689.7112.90
William KarlssonVGKC19.3%1.091.001.002.008.301.002.900.500.130.140.280.050.030.080.2632.0423.0758.1%3.04-0.0368:3682.1522.10
Filip HronekVAND93.2%1.090.201.301.504.104.604.601.100.050.440.500.000.030.030.030.000.00-3.83-0.5573:0683.5415.10
John CarlsonTBLD97.9%1.090.501.702.307.201.704.001.000.210.700.910.000.020.020.050.010.01-3.740.3969:3072.7222.50
Moritz SeiderDETD98.9%1.090.301.902.206.706.006.801.500.100.790.890.010.030.040.040.000.00-3.870.0876:1285.7024.30
Charlie McAvoyBOSD95.5%1.080.401.702.104.703.705.002.300.130.620.750.010.040.050.040.000.00-3.750.7772:4881.5020.10
Olli MaattaMIND0.2%1.080.100.901.103.001.105.900.700.010.060.060.000.040.040.020.000.00-4.14-0.5276:1888.9713.40
Ryan O'ReillyNSHC81.0%1.080.901.602.505.200.702.601.000.260.520.780.060.050.120.1327.3622.7954.6%2.64-0.1060:1871.3919.20
Ryan McLeodBUFC21.6%1.080.701.201.904.100.801.600.800.120.240.350.060.040.100.1328.7729.0249.8%3.540.3065:2490.7713.60
Andre BurakovskyNew team · 3 GP with OTTOTTRW6.5%1.080.501.201.705.100.901.600.800.150.380.520.000.000.010.120.210.25-2.990.0561:2474.3813.20
Sean WalkerCARD63.0%1.080.201.501.705.504.304.701.900.030.270.300.000.050.060.040.000.00-3.20-0.0260:1874.0217.10
Jared SpurgeonMIND52.4%1.080.301.201.504.803.306.800.800.060.250.300.010.040.050.060.000.00-4.09-0.5482:12100.8319.90
Brayden McNabbVGKD39.0%1.070.100.801.004.806.607.801.300.000.020.020.000.030.040.030.000.00-4.11-0.0380:06103.4420.10
Brady TkachukFLALW98.9%1.071.801.703.4014.4012.801.004.700.680.711.390.020.010.030.3810.669.8052.1%3.350.0270:3093.7133.00
Arseny GritsyukNJDRW19.3%1.060.801.101.908.903.801.401.400.100.170.270.010.010.010.090.290.35-3.08-0.1060:3673.4319.10
Mario FerraroWPGD13.4%1.060.200.400.603.304.805.301.200.010.010.020.010.020.020.050.000.00-3.330.1463:2469.5810.10
Tyler KlevenOTTD11.5%1.050.300.601.004.606.507.502.500.010.030.040.010.020.030.070.000.00-3.700.0769:1296.2415.80
Connor BedardCHIC97.2%1.051.102.003.109.801.601.302.000.290.620.900.000.000.000.1113.0215.0446.4%3.27-0.7661:4265.8324.50
Alexander WennbergSJSC20.0%1.050.401.101.403.600.902.900.500.090.270.360.020.030.050.0623.1525.3947.7%2.56-0.6858:2466.6311.60
Hampus LindholmBOSD19.3%1.050.201.001.203.800.803.401.400.040.200.230.010.030.030.020.000.00-3.410.7264:0077.8813.50
Mikko RantanenDALRW98.8%1.051.102.203.306.802.101.302.700.280.731.010.000.000.000.172.702.98-3.230.0963:0665.2525.60
Dylan SambergWPGD5.8%1.050.100.700.804.103.005.101.100.000.040.040.000.020.030.020.000.00-3.280.1465:0079.4513.60
Dylan CozensOTTC85.2%1.050.901.702.609.309.901.701.900.290.640.940.010.010.020.2223.2721.0852.5%3.290.0670:1892.1323.70
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%1.040.902.002.807.103.902.300.600.260.640.900.050.040.080.0721.6418.9753.3%3.281.2860:4873.1823.20
Elias PetterssonVANC93.4%1.040.501.501.905.104.403.400.500.130.460.590.020.030.050.0825.6828.5947.3%2.75-0.4157:1268.7317.60
Jakob ChychrunWSHD99.0%1.040.801.202.007.602.204.702.400.260.380.640.010.010.020.070.000.00-3.700.7568:0667.8923.60
Zachary BensonBUFLW53.2%1.030.601.902.507.603.501.802.400.170.630.800.030.040.070.110.851.06-3.180.2866:4883.7621.90
Kaiden GuhleMTLD17.9%1.030.200.700.903.506.805.402.600.000.010.010.010.020.030.030.000.00-3.130.6261:2471.2513.10
Philip BrobergSTLD59.7%1.030.201.101.304.101.303.300.700.020.120.140.010.030.040.030.000.00-3.530.2165:2476.3014.50
Kris LetangPITD56.6%1.030.100.800.904.403.603.301.700.020.190.210.000.010.010.010.000.00-3.720.3965:4871.1011.20
Colton ParaykoSTLD36.3%1.030.200.600.804.303.205.800.700.010.020.030.010.020.030.030.000.00-3.520.2368:1885.3513.50
Ivan BarbashevVGKLW65.5%1.030.801.602.406.406.701.801.100.080.180.260.010.010.010.210.991.35-3.66-0.0366:4879.6521.30
Adam FantilliCBJC90.8%1.031.001.202.108.005.302.301.200.210.280.490.020.010.030.1921.4519.8551.9%2.770.1355:1861.8620.80
Kevin BahlCGYD4.0%1.030.200.400.502.404.004.002.200.010.010.020.010.020.020.020.000.00-3.36-2.2965:1285.928.20

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What is a takeaway? A takeaway occurs when a player gains possession of the puck directly from an opponent through stick work, positioning, or anticipation—without a hit or blocked shot.

Takeaway factors

- Two-way skill: Elite defensive players read plays better - Active stick: Players with quick hands force more turnovers - PK role: Penalty killers pressure puck carriers - Ice time: More minutes = more takeaway opportunities

How we project it

takeaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two, with each rink's takeaway count corrected for its scorers' tendencies, shrunk toward the position average, times projected ice time. Scorer generosity varies a lot between rinks, which is why the adjustment matters.

Variance

takeaways are a moderately repeatable stat (about 0.4 year to year).

💡
Pro Tip: Ice time drives volume. A takeaway-prone forward who is moving up the lineup gains in this projection immediately.

Two-Way Forwards This Week

Selke-caliber forwards combine offensive production with defensive excellence, including takeaways. Target responsible two-way centers.

Forwards Projections

Active Stick D-Men

Puck-moving defensemen with quick hands accumulate takeaways. Check D-men projections for defensive playmakers.

Defensemen Projections

Takeaways + Plus/Minus

Elite defensive players often post positive plus/minus alongside high takeaway totals. Stack these categories.

Plus/Minus Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes (rink-adjusted, recent seasons weighted, shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time. We do not adjust for the opponent.
Selke-caliber two-way forwards and active-stick defensemen lead in takeaways. Players like Mark Stone, Mika Zibanejad, and puck-moving D-men excel in this category.
In leagues that count takeaways, they're valuable but often overlooked. Two-way players who rack up takeaways often contribute across multiple categories.
Puck-moving defensemen with active sticks can accumulate significant takeaways. However, two-way forwards typically lead due to their forechecking role.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see this week player projections