Edgehalla

NHL Projected Takeaways - Rest of Season

Takeaways count in some fantasy leagues. Our projection multiplies each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward the league average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. Players with big minutes and a steady takeaway habit lead.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 798 players
💡

Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Takeaways

726 players
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Skaters100 of 726

PlayerTeamPosRost%TK† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Matthew SchaeferNYID99.9%35.9316.0045.0061.00239.0041.0097.0033.005.7617.4223.180.060.230.291.930.000.00-102.130.311935:002087.73652.00
Jackson LaCombeANAD97.5%34.9010.0047.0057.00141.0070.00131.0026.003.6618.7522.410.170.831.001.190.080.10-98.40-7.421869:002121.34538.00
Devon ToewsCOLD72.7%33.428.0034.0043.00128.0039.0090.0030.001.728.6910.410.160.841.001.190.000.00-93.3617.921828:002173.11479.00
Quinton ByfieldLAKC82.1%32.7225.0033.0058.00188.0062.0038.0039.005.827.9113.740.740.611.353.31514.17570.7947.4%76.188.731549:001811.02505.00
Zach WerenskiCBJD99.6%32.5617.0057.0074.00265.0023.00128.0020.004.6617.9722.630.260.971.222.330.000.00-116.124.662130:002160.08773.00
Mitch MarnerVGKRW98.9%31.9023.0055.0078.00168.0031.0047.0019.007.1420.9028.050.820.851.673.5695.74128.45-93.46-2.121575:001699.42623.00
Chandler StephensonSEAC24.0%31.7713.0041.0054.0077.0018.0040.0032.002.7111.3514.060.590.871.461.99745.51665.3152.8%67.880.331451:001857.45369.00
Thomas HarleyDALD83.2%31.6210.0026.0036.00141.0044.00145.0027.001.634.636.260.160.420.581.460.000.00-96.003.421845:001944.90478.00
Alex TuchWSHRW93.8%31.5629.0026.0055.00186.0071.0085.0041.004.734.499.222.121.023.143.6660.0172.32-71.4513.711499:001913.92580.00
Lane HutsonMTLD99.0%31.419.0057.0065.00128.0028.00119.0033.003.2121.4624.680.030.200.231.510.000.00-96.956.251870:001903.52568.00
Quinn HughesMIND99.9%31.2816.0077.0093.00198.0011.0069.0024.005.3532.1637.510.010.080.093.040.000.00-108.59-5.742076:001817.46744.00
Brandon MontourSEAD85.0%31.008.0034.0042.00178.0089.0098.0073.001.979.1611.140.100.470.571.220.000.00-92.030.431791:001821.08444.00
Matthew BoldyMINRW100.0%30.6932.0035.0068.00264.0068.0066.0038.008.7811.0119.791.280.631.906.0757.8970.88-79.02-4.271607:001586.58723.00
Brandon HagelTBLLW99.3%30.3540.0047.0087.00237.0053.0053.0053.0011.6215.7427.362.141.263.405.2524.6230.51-77.378.491612:001842.96770.00
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%30.1925.0064.0089.00216.0034.0094.0026.009.5129.4038.900.260.781.053.310.000.00-104.817.011913:002066.32835.00
Luke HughesNJDD83.0%30.1410.0036.0045.00173.0019.0057.0032.003.2013.0216.220.110.480.591.290.090.12-92.53-7.701739:001881.74425.00
Thomas ChabotOTTD87.9%30.069.0030.0039.00164.0053.00168.0033.003.1711.2114.380.150.620.771.460.000.00-96.516.241873:002193.01566.00
Filip ForsbergNSHLW99.1%30.0529.0039.0067.00231.00112.0038.0034.008.6113.1121.720.110.050.164.6411.8815.45-87.78-8.531491:001734.41597.00
Mikhail SergachevUTAD98.3%29.8613.0055.0068.00157.0053.00120.0046.005.0624.6729.740.261.211.471.740.000.00-99.316.561850:002254.64631.00
Miro HeiskanenDALD98.1%29.838.0048.0056.00148.0027.00125.0033.002.4417.5219.960.211.181.391.170.000.00-102.083.461996:001983.27554.00
Cale MakarCOLD100.0%29.7724.0061.0085.00209.0033.00115.0020.009.2626.8536.110.270.841.123.580.000.00-94.7816.601872:001938.89798.00
Brock FaberMIND88.3%29.6310.0028.0038.00153.0034.00134.0032.001.223.925.130.160.630.791.900.000.00-99.35-5.981936:002070.49483.00
Jack HughesNJDC99.4%29.4834.0060.0094.00302.007.0041.0014.008.1920.9429.120.660.551.214.38254.36389.4339.5%102.66-7.101652:001682.77848.00
Adam FoxNYRD99.0%29.387.0063.0071.00114.0036.00117.0037.002.4624.9927.450.050.710.760.770.000.00-90.9018.701743:001981.58599.00
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%29.1541.0098.00139.00256.0054.0030.0037.0011.2240.2151.441.731.303.035.42451.92462.3649.4%96.766.481794:001863.551068.00
Noah DobsonMTLD93.8%29.159.0030.0038.00162.0071.00157.0039.001.565.497.040.180.770.961.510.000.00-95.256.561771:002120.84462.00
K'Andre MillerCARD60.3%29.138.0025.0033.00123.00105.0091.0043.001.665.296.940.130.760.891.070.280.35-87.709.121696:001996.18351.00
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%29.0938.0059.0097.00265.0045.0054.0038.008.8418.2327.060.510.390.904.28557.18574.8349.2%95.85-17.491552:001579.29796.00
Seth JonesFLAD75.6%28.719.0043.0052.00169.0081.0084.0026.003.9121.5325.440.140.740.891.200.000.00-98.582.721914:002105.05495.00
Nick SchmaltzUTARW97.1%28.6836.0037.0073.00202.0028.0042.0019.0013.1512.2525.401.450.692.144.81348.65393.8547.0%72.254.891467:001806.10630.00
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%28.6747.0052.00100.00299.0052.0089.0016.0012.8815.6328.511.350.642.005.95725.82543.0457.2%73.812.701621:001786.79940.00
Jake SandersonOTTD96.8%28.2912.0039.0050.00166.0034.00134.0012.003.3312.1615.490.170.680.851.940.000.00-93.096.301809:002191.65556.00
John CarlsonTBLD97.9%28.2714.0046.0060.00176.0040.00113.0026.005.7519.0124.760.090.400.501.840.310.38-97.269.641808:001891.83589.00
William NylanderTORRW99.0%28.2441.0056.0097.00237.0015.0026.0015.0011.6817.3028.980.330.190.525.1948.3261.82-73.332.511524:001709.36754.00
Moritz SeiderDETD98.9%28.177.0040.0047.00162.00148.00174.0042.002.3916.6018.990.110.640.750.780.000.00-100.42-12.381978:002224.71576.00
Noah HanifinVGKD47.5%28.148.0020.0028.00132.0032.00130.0011.000.631.782.410.160.440.591.240.000.00-89.88-2.721655:002057.89394.00
Jaccob SlavinCARD21.5%28.063.0019.0021.00113.0021.00135.006.000.130.891.020.080.730.800.400.000.00-79.189.501654:001919.46377.00
Ryan O'ReillyNSHC81.0%28.0522.0040.0061.00139.0020.0065.0025.006.2813.0919.361.581.322.903.52710.59591.9054.6%68.66-9.151566:001854.03488.00
Mathew BarzalNYIRW81.4%28.0119.0053.0072.00180.0033.0049.0035.004.7215.7520.460.010.020.032.29202.06259.3343.8%79.300.251566:001628.88607.00
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%27.8634.0064.0098.00259.0028.0048.0017.0010.0428.5038.541.481.482.965.27573.45637.8847.3%89.53-2.151606:001684.17865.00
Filip HronekVAND93.2%27.555.0043.0049.00116.00117.00126.0027.001.3714.6215.990.101.061.160.710.080.10-96.95-11.511852:002116.58450.00
Gustav ForslingFLAD37.3%27.529.0017.0025.00132.0057.0086.0041.001.122.273.400.280.630.911.200.000.00-82.522.831678:002015.90354.00
Travis SanheimPHID65.3%27.487.0023.0031.00106.0057.00143.0036.000.602.092.690.250.921.170.850.000.00-102.08-15.591880:002260.71337.00
Mario FerraroWPGD13.4%27.465.0012.0017.0086.00123.00140.0033.000.160.420.580.170.460.621.240.000.00-86.48-0.351645:001805.26274.00
Alexander WennbergSJSC20.0%27.3710.0028.0038.0091.0027.0082.0014.002.316.769.070.560.661.211.13601.35659.4447.7%66.40-17.051517:001730.77310.00
Mikko RantanenDALRW98.8%27.3627.0057.0084.00178.0054.0038.0071.006.9318.8725.800.060.050.113.9570.1777.28-83.922.681639:001694.74661.00
Dylan SambergWPGD5.8%27.193.0019.0022.00105.0077.00135.0029.000.151.011.160.090.620.710.740.000.00-85.16-0.361688:002063.23353.00
Mike MathesonMTLD78.8%27.185.0021.0026.00116.0054.00149.0046.000.221.011.230.190.991.180.840.000.00-96.517.271869:002034.43356.00
Sean WalkerCARD63.0%27.165.0033.0038.00139.00110.00123.0054.000.836.006.820.101.251.360.670.000.00-80.788.331520:001865.81417.00
Rasmus DahlinBUFD99.5%27.0818.0048.0066.00194.0076.0098.0059.006.2217.5223.740.100.260.353.190.000.00-97.293.781786:001995.84641.00
Adam FantilliCBJC90.8%27.0229.0034.0063.00220.00137.0059.0032.006.117.8513.960.510.260.773.98563.86522.0451.9%72.813.071454:001626.44587.00
Hampus LindholmBOSD19.3%26.987.0025.0033.00103.0021.0099.0039.001.254.976.220.180.670.850.980.000.00-87.209.361639:001994.45378.00
Jakob ChychrunWSHD99.0%26.8220.0030.0050.00205.0056.00110.0068.006.579.5116.080.180.360.542.530.000.00-95.9015.591763:001757.59601.00
Charlie McAvoyBOSD95.5%26.7710.0043.0053.00124.0095.00138.0064.003.1915.7018.890.241.041.281.400.000.00-92.629.571797:002011.81520.00
Philip BrobergSTLD59.7%26.756.0032.0038.00108.0039.0097.0020.000.563.413.970.160.941.100.840.000.00-91.733.541699:001982.20414.00
Colton ParaykoSTLD36.3%26.665.0019.0023.00116.0094.00168.0020.000.160.660.820.130.720.840.700.000.00-91.353.771772:002214.47388.00
Kevin BahlCGYD4.0%26.664.0012.0016.0067.00112.00103.0058.000.110.370.480.110.420.520.500.000.00-87.14-34.361693:002231.08228.00
Mark ScheifeleWPGC98.7%26.6530.0053.0083.00164.0038.0043.0042.006.6913.9820.670.210.170.377.44563.10620.0847.6%91.13-0.301625:001664.07630.00
Roman JosiNSHD98.3%26.5615.0047.0062.00192.0036.00125.0033.005.2820.7826.060.220.520.742.400.000.00-103.01-11.801954:002083.09602.00
Nick SuzukiMTLC99.9%26.5030.0057.0087.00177.0069.0059.0023.008.0919.1927.280.640.511.155.02692.93673.8850.7%84.755.311629:001737.69723.00
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%26.4035.0053.0088.00176.00131.0048.0031.0011.0320.2331.272.371.273.655.66340.83306.9152.6%83.214.961591:002010.03713.00
Kris LetangPITD56.6%26.333.0026.0029.00123.0098.0092.0044.000.636.256.870.020.230.250.300.000.00-95.327.181684:001819.75330.00
Alex DeBrincatDETLW98.7%26.2537.0037.0074.00260.0042.0040.0026.0011.7911.2123.000.220.100.324.1522.3127.26-72.88-8.451440:001646.78702.00
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%26.2322.0046.0068.00192.0095.0056.0017.006.3514.8921.241.140.841.982.43545.32478.0753.3%82.7716.011532:001843.84578.00
Elias PetterssonVANC93.4%26.1916.0045.0062.00144.00125.0086.0012.004.1013.9318.030.700.881.582.26649.19722.8147.3%69.61-8.511446:001737.58523.00
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%26.1943.0079.00121.00340.0049.0037.0042.0012.6825.0137.690.340.310.656.42693.11687.2350.2%104.9615.001732:001849.601029.00
Lucas RaymondDETRW94.3%26.1721.0046.0067.00187.0040.0026.0024.005.9317.3423.270.260.220.482.351.231.46-73.25-8.791483:001738.45540.00
Ivan ProvorovCBJD31.9%26.145.0021.0026.00117.0027.00119.0027.000.673.053.720.120.580.700.690.000.00-95.114.221807:001898.29365.00
Connor BedardCHIC97.2%25.9729.0050.0079.00235.0038.0031.0050.007.5515.4823.020.040.030.063.40320.98370.7446.4%80.69-16.951521:001622.79618.00
Charlie CoyleCBJC47.2%25.9214.0036.0051.00131.0098.0052.0019.002.908.6511.550.921.041.961.92548.53512.5351.7%68.342.981389:001783.39420.00
Erik KarlssonPITD95.0%25.908.0055.0063.00158.0020.0063.0016.002.8823.2826.170.100.700.800.810.000.00-99.587.091808:001863.90508.00
Kirill MarchenkoTORRW98.0%25.8925.0041.0066.00206.0066.0035.0042.006.9013.6920.590.050.030.083.175.997.18-73.972.381451:001583.63601.00
Martin NecasCOLRW99.9%25.8535.0055.0090.00214.0075.0022.0022.0011.1918.4129.600.270.210.485.2221.7122.44-85.1413.301575:001645.09745.00
Kaiden GuhleMTLD17.9%25.836.0016.0021.0089.00151.00136.0063.000.050.150.210.160.530.691.000.000.00-78.326.041535:001781.33320.00
Brady SkjeiNSHD16.6%25.815.0022.0027.00109.0069.0079.0037.000.783.684.460.190.740.930.800.000.00-90.09-11.511713:002076.30272.00
Nikita KucherovTBLRW99.7%25.7735.0080.00115.00229.0029.0030.0037.0011.9035.1347.030.140.130.274.602.082.43-101.308.121639:001677.93891.00
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.7%25.6344.0066.00110.00235.0042.0024.0033.0013.5623.3536.910.520.320.845.82706.75567.5955.5%98.806.001683:001818.12908.00
Justin FaulkDETD49.6%25.599.0021.0030.00139.0073.00107.0037.001.925.036.940.110.300.411.010.000.00-83.03-11.471709:002141.77370.00
MacKenzie WeegarUTAD90.8%25.5810.0017.0027.00138.00191.00189.0084.001.242.313.550.210.440.651.340.080.10-95.146.961733:002390.81456.00
Robert ThomasSTLC85.3%25.5820.0050.0071.00137.0014.0047.0028.003.7811.1714.950.880.951.832.80727.83661.4152.4%85.902.891527:001907.59559.00
Neal PionkWPGD30.1%25.465.0023.0028.00128.00156.00116.0046.001.155.426.580.120.640.751.240.000.00-93.43-0.351767:002151.38377.00
Marcus PetterssonNYRD5.7%25.452.0017.0019.0064.0087.00129.0037.000.050.480.540.060.730.790.220.000.00-82.6020.301621:001899.16284.00
Matthew BeniersSEAC49.3%25.4218.0030.0048.00127.0044.0056.0013.004.026.9110.930.470.350.822.76500.29535.9548.3%72.870.321422:001707.93421.00
Kyle ConnorWPGLW98.9%25.3642.0046.0088.00267.0025.0028.0014.0010.5112.3022.811.450.712.1610.411.201.43-76.68-0.301638:001743.83776.00
Mason MarchmentSJSLW41.0%25.3119.0025.0044.00144.00106.0032.0055.003.504.868.360.050.020.072.1419.3825.45-68.58-14.701269:001494.29390.00
Esa LindellDALD31.8%25.314.0020.0024.0080.0036.00161.0018.000.301.601.900.180.961.140.580.000.00-94.433.411771:001895.37387.00
Alex VlasicCHID8.2%25.232.0014.0016.0073.0034.00112.0014.000.020.140.150.070.640.710.230.000.00-90.12-22.191660:001978.94216.00
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%25.1842.0034.0076.00283.0072.0042.0036.0012.5811.6524.230.590.190.787.43383.17453.0945.8%73.672.941486:001807.89752.00
Brett PesceNJDD0.3%25.172.0012.0014.0097.0023.00131.0020.000.080.520.610.050.410.470.260.000.00-82.33-8.331650:001929.95267.00
David PastrnakBOSRW99.8%25.0732.0063.0095.00284.0089.0024.0044.008.5618.8927.450.150.120.284.496.207.33-101.507.941548:001595.31789.00
Ben ChiarotDETD10.8%25.063.009.0013.0093.00147.00144.0063.000.150.470.620.080.270.360.340.000.00-81.11-11.631617:002022.12268.00
Sean MonahanCBJC17.0%25.0514.0025.0039.00130.0040.0038.0014.002.254.496.740.710.541.251.92692.81661.2151.2%67.223.121406:001819.98368.00
Artyom LevshunovCHID41.0%24.942.0021.0023.00103.00101.0082.0043.000.333.794.110.040.450.480.230.000.00-85.23-19.341535:001717.51234.00
Adrian KempeLAKRW96.0%24.8530.0036.0067.00236.00119.0032.0047.007.5910.4818.070.340.260.603.9754.2369.02-77.728.551549:001764.29618.00
Drew DoughtyLAKD19.5%24.816.0023.0029.0096.0063.0098.0055.000.913.644.560.080.460.540.790.000.00-94.4211.461844:002148.26317.00
Jason RobertsonDALLW99.1%24.7936.0049.0085.00262.0054.0029.0024.0010.2816.5826.860.010.010.025.262.623.12-79.742.391487:001565.84745.00
Shane PintoOTTC43.7%24.7720.0033.0054.00154.00110.0051.0043.004.889.4514.331.261.072.333.24459.98444.7150.8%66.984.771444:001984.23486.00
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%24.7430.0033.0063.00196.0046.0059.0018.009.2110.2419.451.290.842.143.87933.44767.0254.9%71.94-6.781595:001825.11591.00
Simon EdvinssonDETD39.5%24.518.0018.0026.0090.0096.00145.0067.000.260.650.910.140.380.520.900.000.00-86.62-11.941652:001982.09369.00
Matthew KniesCBJLW94.8%24.3025.0036.0062.00155.00147.0034.0034.005.778.7414.510.610.370.993.435.096.23-69.713.071459:001724.74485.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What is a takeaway? A takeaway occurs when a player gains possession of the puck directly from an opponent through stick work, positioning, or anticipation—without a hit or blocked shot.

Takeaway factors

- Two-way skill: Elite defensive players read plays better - Active stick: Players with quick hands force more turnovers - PK role: Penalty killers pressure puck carriers - Ice time: More minutes = more takeaway opportunities

How we project it

takeaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two, with each rink's takeaway count corrected for its scorers' tendencies, shrunk toward the position average, times projected ice time. Scorer generosity varies a lot between rinks, which is why the adjustment matters.

Variance

takeaways are a moderately repeatable stat (about 0.4 year to year).

💡
Pro Tip: Ice time drives volume. A takeaway-prone forward who is moving up the lineup gains in this projection immediately.

Two-Way Forwards This Season

Selke-caliber forwards combine offensive production with defensive excellence, including takeaways. Target responsible two-way centers.

Forwards Projections

Active Stick D-Men

Puck-moving defensemen with quick hands accumulate takeaways. Check D-men projections for defensive playmakers.

Defensemen Projections

Takeaways + Plus/Minus

Elite defensive players often post positive plus/minus alongside high takeaway totals. Stack these categories.

Plus/Minus Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes (rink-adjusted, recent seasons weighted, shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time. We do not adjust for the opponent.
Selke-caliber two-way forwards and active-stick defensemen lead in takeaways. Players like Mark Stone, Mika Zibanejad, and puck-moving D-men excel in this category.
In leagues that count takeaways, they're valuable but often overlooked. Two-way players who rack up takeaways often contribute across multiple categories.
Puck-moving defensemen with active sticks can accumulate significant takeaways. However, two-way forwards typically lead due to their forechecking role.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see rest of season player projections