NHL Projected Giveaways - Rest of Season
A few leagues subtract points for giveaways. Our projection multiplies each player's giveaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward his position's average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. The list opens with the players projected to commit the most giveaways: usually puck-carrying defensemen with big minutes.
Rate
giveaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two. Home-game counts are divided by that rink's scorer factor, because some arenas record far more giveaways than others.
Shrinkage
the rate is pulled toward the position average with the weight of about 415 minutes for forwards and 910 for defensemen, so a hot or cold week moves it only a little.
Projected giveaways = rate × projected ice time ÷ 60.
Recording change
from 2024-25 the NHL's scorers record roughly twice as many giveaways as before, so compare players within a season, not across eras.
Track record
in our 2025-26 backtest the projection beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with the top three deciles within 3% of actual totals.
Forward-looking projections only
ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.
Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.
Sorted by Projected Giveaways
719 playersSkaters100 of 719
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | GV† ↓ | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | PPG† | PPA† | PPP† | SHG† | SHA† | SHP† | GWG† | FOW† | FOL† | FO%† | TK† | +/-† | TOI | SFT† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Werenski | CLB | D | 99.6% | 118.35 | 19.00 | 59.00 | 79.00 | 282.00 | 26.00 | 123.00 | 23.00 | 5.38 | 19.55 | 24.94 | 0.25 | 0.79 | 1.04 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 36.42 | 2.55 | 2202:00 | 2184.48 | 802.00 |
| Quinn Hughes | MIN | D | 99.6% | 115.18 | 16.00 | 77.00 | 93.00 | 216.00 | 11.00 | 86.00 | 33.00 | 5.93 | 34.02 | 39.95 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 2.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 32.17 | -7.79 | 2194:00 | 1926.57 | 775.00 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | C | 100.0% | 109.52 | 44.00 | 82.00 | 126.00 | 367.00 | 57.00 | 43.00 | 35.00 | 12.59 | 25.63 | 38.23 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 9.02 | 712.46 | 698.99 | 50.5% | 28.38 | 25.59 | 1830:00 | 1948.60 | 1088.00 |
| Travis Sanheim | PHI | D | 67.3% | 108.91 | 8.00 | 27.00 | 35.00 | 110.00 | 57.00 | 154.00 | 28.00 | 0.80 | 2.85 | 3.65 | 0.27 | 1.02 | 1.29 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.36 | 7.51 | 1981:00 | 2452.96 | 416.00 |
| Miro Heiskanen | DAL | D | 99.4% | 107.14 | 8.00 | 49.00 | 57.00 | 163.00 | 25.00 | 136.00 | 30.00 | 2.90 | 20.58 | 23.48 | 0.17 | 0.95 | 1.11 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 32.76 | -2.84 | 2111:00 | 2083.77 | 570.00 |
| Evan Bouchard | EDM | D | 99.9% | 106.53 | 23.00 | 62.00 | 85.00 | 227.00 | 33.00 | 101.00 | 29.00 | 9.06 | 28.13 | 37.19 | 0.22 | 0.66 | 0.88 | 2.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.38 | -3.67 | 1985:00 | 2099.08 | 801.00 |
| John Carlson | TB | D | 99.0% | 105.94 | 12.00 | 51.00 | 64.00 | 175.00 | 36.00 | 121.00 | 26.00 | 4.71 | 21.52 | 26.24 | 0.17 | 0.82 | 0.99 | 1.62 | 0.38 | 0.47 | - | 32.36 | 13.99 | 1933:00 | 2054.49 | 609.00 |
| Roman Josi | NSH | D | 98.0% | 105.88 | 18.00 | 46.00 | 63.00 | 207.00 | 38.00 | 126.00 | 34.00 | 6.23 | 17.94 | 24.17 | 0.25 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 2.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 28.97 | -22.44 | 2051:00 | 2184.67 | 605.00 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | UTA | D | 98.3% | 105.57 | 11.00 | 51.00 | 62.00 | 162.00 | 54.00 | 132.00 | 43.00 | 3.49 | 18.27 | 21.76 | 0.26 | 1.32 | 1.58 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 31.31 | 9.25 | 2016:00 | 2436.73 | 595.00 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | BUF | D | 99.8% | 105.17 | 20.00 | 54.00 | 74.00 | 212.00 | 89.00 | 91.00 | 67.00 | 7.24 | 20.97 | 28.21 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 3.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.87 | 6.00 | 1993:00 | 2268.82 | 692.00 |
| Cale Makar | COL | D | 99.8% | 105.00 | 24.00 | 67.00 | 91.00 | 227.00 | 40.00 | 129.00 | 19.00 | 8.82 | 28.76 | 37.58 | 0.30 | 0.92 | 1.22 | 4.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 33.45 | 29.70 | 2064:00 | 2163.45 | 869.00 |
| Mike Matheson | MON | D | 84.6% | 104.51 | 5.00 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 126.00 | 61.00 | 158.00 | 44.00 | 0.19 | 1.05 | 1.25 | 0.22 | 1.26 | 1.48 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.02 | 4.96 | 2025:00 | 2188.19 | 401.00 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | UTA | D | 92.5% | 104.08 | 5.00 | 24.00 | 29.00 | 144.00 | 180.00 | 171.00 | 58.00 | 0.98 | 5.13 | 6.11 | 0.08 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.11 | 0.13 | - | 29.18 | 9.21 | 1900:00 | 2578.77 | 424.00 |
| Josh Morrissey | WPG | D | 98.9% | 104.07 | 12.00 | 46.00 | 58.00 | 173.00 | 42.00 | 118.00 | 32.00 | 3.70 | 15.68 | 19.38 | 0.07 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.56 | 2.70 | 2019:00 | 2276.55 | 587.00 |
| Erik Karlsson | PIT | D | 95.1% | 103.85 | 12.00 | 53.00 | 65.00 | 181.00 | 24.00 | 80.00 | 23.00 | 4.23 | 21.89 | 26.13 | 0.21 | 0.97 | 1.17 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.37 | 9.62 | 1922:00 | 1987.76 | 567.00 |
| Matthew Schaefer | NYI | D | 99.7% | 103.67 | 18.00 | 44.00 | 62.00 | 240.00 | 39.00 | 103.00 | 38.00 | 6.69 | 16.54 | 23.24 | 0.10 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 2.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.68 | -1.71 | 2025:00 | 2194.38 | 672.00 |
| Moritz Seider | DET | D | 99.7% | 103.53 | 8.00 | 42.00 | 50.00 | 169.00 | 148.00 | 175.00 | 46.00 | 2.38 | 14.70 | 17.08 | 0.14 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.06 | -13.72 | 2033:00 | 2289.87 | 596.00 |
| Seth Jones | FLA | D | 79.8% | 103.47 | 9.00 | 33.00 | 42.00 | 160.00 | 85.00 | 98.00 | 31.00 | 3.87 | 14.78 | 18.65 | 0.13 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.10 | 5.23 | 2020:00 | 2255.36 | 444.00 |
| Jack Hughes | NJ | C | 99.8% | 102.41 | 38.00 | 57.00 | 95.00 | 315.00 | 9.00 | 39.00 | 16.00 | 9.44 | 17.36 | 26.81 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 0.82 | 4.82 | 260.22 | 393.00 | 39.8% | 30.85 | -5.80 | 1741:00 | 1801.20 | 857.00 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 99.9% | 102.04 | 41.00 | 96.00 | 137.00 | 273.00 | 50.00 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 11.68 | 38.52 | 50.20 | 1.34 | 0.92 | 2.26 | 5.11 | 467.70 | 471.64 | 49.8% | 29.61 | -3.39 | 1857:00 | 1884.99 | 1050.00 |
| Thomas Harley | DAL | D | 88.2% | 101.88 | 11.00 | 28.00 | 39.00 | 149.00 | 45.00 | 150.00 | 27.00 | 2.45 | 6.77 | 9.21 | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 31.85 | -2.80 | 1934:00 | 2107.15 | 493.00 |
| Shea Theodore | LV | D | 91.5% | 101.57 | 10.00 | 49.00 | 58.00 | 168.00 | 5.00 | 96.00 | 26.00 | 2.41 | 13.10 | 15.50 | 0.16 | 0.78 | 0.95 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.90 | -7.69 | 1881:00 | 2295.71 | 567.00 |
| Nikita Kucherov | TB | RW | 99.9% | 101.33 | 40.00 | 80.00 | 120.00 | 254.00 | 33.00 | 33.00 | 42.00 | 14.66 | 35.70 | 50.36 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.47 | 5.40 | 1.30 | 1.55 | - | 27.98 | 11.23 | 1724:00 | 1811.77 | 949.00 |
| Filip Hronek | VAN | D | 90.8% | 101.14 | 8.00 | 45.00 | 52.00 | 131.00 | 123.00 | 113.00 | 38.00 | 1.94 | 12.94 | 14.88 | 0.19 | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1.13 | 0.10 | 0.12 | - | 28.23 | -19.89 | 1968:00 | 2255.20 | 471.00 |
| Jake Sanderson | OTT | D | 98.6% | 100.97 | 13.00 | 42.00 | 55.00 | 180.00 | 36.00 | 145.00 | 13.00 | 4.38 | 15.72 | 20.10 | 0.31 | 1.08 | 1.39 | 1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.72 | -1.03 | 1958:00 | 2368.52 | 601.00 |
| Lane Hutson | MON | D | 99.5% | 100.77 | 8.00 | 61.00 | 69.00 | 128.00 | 32.00 | 131.00 | 33.00 | 2.47 | 21.44 | 23.91 | 0.03 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 31.65 | 4.17 | 1942:00 | 2014.83 | 599.00 |
| Rasmus Andersson | LV | D | 93.7% | 100.39 | 9.00 | 26.00 | 34.00 | 159.00 | 32.00 | 149.00 | 57.00 | 1.87 | 5.58 | 7.45 | 0.17 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.05 | -7.99 | 1917:00 | 2660.41 | 419.00 |
| Drew Doughty | LA | D | 22.3% | 100.37 | 7.00 | 25.00 | 32.00 | 104.00 | 64.00 | 100.00 | 52.00 | 1.51 | 5.61 | 7.11 | 0.08 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.21 | 15.66 | 1941:00 | 2200.04 | 345.00 |
| Ivan Provorov | CLB | D | 36.1% | 100.17 | 5.00 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 123.00 | 28.00 | 125.00 | 28.00 | 0.67 | 3.19 | 3.87 | 0.14 | 0.63 | 0.77 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.53 | 2.37 | 1903:00 | 1999.14 | 384.00 |
| David Pastrnak | BOS | RW | 99.8% | 100.01 | 35.00 | 64.00 | 100.00 | 297.00 | 76.00 | 28.00 | 52.00 | 8.35 | 17.99 | 26.34 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 4.99 | 6.50 | 7.54 | - | 28.62 | 2.90 | 1650:00 | 1733.00 | 823.00 |
| Noah Dobson | MON | D | 97.5% | 99.75 | 10.00 | 34.00 | 44.00 | 170.00 | 64.00 | 176.00 | 38.00 | 1.83 | 6.64 | 8.47 | 0.22 | 0.85 | 1.07 | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.53 | 4.34 | 1875:00 | 2234.55 | 517.00 |
| Brock Faber | MIN | D | 94.5% | 99.35 | 10.00 | 28.00 | 38.00 | 153.00 | 34.00 | 134.00 | 32.00 | 1.22 | 3.92 | 5.13 | 0.16 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.63 | -7.93 | 1936:00 | 2070.49 | 483.00 |
| Kris Letang | PIT | D | 46.7% | 98.99 | 4.00 | 30.00 | 34.00 | 124.00 | 107.00 | 101.00 | 44.00 | 0.72 | 6.02 | 6.73 | 0.04 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 28.67 | 10.09 | 1844:00 | 1964.14 | 362.00 |
| Macklin Celebrini | SJ | C | 99.8% | 98.95 | 40.00 | 69.00 | 108.00 | 292.00 | 48.00 | 61.00 | 41.00 | 10.57 | 23.09 | 33.66 | 0.62 | 0.47 | 1.09 | 4.67 | 608.06 | 635.27 | 48.9% | 30.85 | -6.05 | 1700:00 | 1722.86 | 884.00 |
| Thomas Chabot | OTT | D | 82.8% | 98.85 | 9.00 | 32.00 | 41.00 | 162.00 | 56.00 | 146.00 | 31.00 | 2.37 | 8.92 | 11.29 | 0.13 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.43 | -1.04 | 1921:00 | 2326.89 | 511.00 |
| Esa Lindell | DAL | D | 37.2% | 98.61 | 5.00 | 23.00 | 27.00 | 89.00 | 42.00 | 170.00 | 20.00 | 0.51 | 2.45 | 2.96 | 0.19 | 0.94 | 1.13 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.42 | -2.87 | 1874:00 | 1969.73 | 419.00 |
| Brandon Montour | SEA | D | 82.8% | 98.49 | 12.00 | 26.00 | 37.00 | 212.00 | 107.00 | 99.00 | 59.00 | 2.92 | 6.71 | 9.63 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 28.93 | -7.27 | 1872:00 | 1960.46 | 438.00 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | NYR | D | 41.0% | 98.46 | 5.00 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 104.00 | 51.00 | 111.00 | 35.00 | 0.52 | 2.39 | 2.91 | 0.12 | 0.67 | 0.80 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.57 | 1.30 | 1873:00 | 2189.28 | 343.00 |
| Devon Toews | COL | D | 61.5% | 98.38 | 5.00 | 36.00 | 41.00 | 129.00 | 41.00 | 97.00 | 31.00 | 0.93 | 7.74 | 8.67 | 0.10 | 0.81 | 0.90 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.47 | 30.77 | 1939:00 | 2305.71 | 464.00 |
| Leon Draisaitl | EDM | C | 99.9% | 98.34 | 46.00 | 64.00 | 110.00 | 243.00 | 41.00 | 24.00 | 37.00 | 14.68 | 23.66 | 38.34 | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.72 | 5.73 | 759.19 | 629.84 | 54.7% | 28.45 | -3.16 | 1755:00 | 1850.18 | 908.00 |
| Jackson LaCombe | ANA | D | 97.6% | 97.37 | 10.00 | 48.00 | 58.00 | 158.00 | 73.00 | 134.00 | 26.00 | 2.99 | 15.55 | 18.54 | 0.14 | 0.69 | 0.82 | 1.31 | 0.10 | 0.12 | - | 34.42 | -8.07 | 1885:00 | 2136.12 | 554.00 |
| Colton Parayko | STL | D | 37.4% | 96.91 | 5.00 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 126.00 | 103.00 | 176.00 | 19.00 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 0.61 | 0.14 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.00 | 2.37 | 1871:00 | 2312.83 | 399.00 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | LW | 98.2% | 96.83 | 51.00 | 51.00 | 101.00 | 287.00 | 52.00 | 32.00 | 31.00 | 15.91 | 16.21 | 32.11 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 8.81 | 2.71 | 3.31 | - | 27.84 | -6.30 | 1831:00 | 1736.44 | 915.00 |
| Luke Hughes | NJ | D | 84.4% | 96.83 | 11.00 | 39.00 | 50.00 | 182.00 | 22.00 | 64.00 | 33.00 | 3.24 | 12.76 | 16.01 | 0.13 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 1.40 | 0.12 | 0.14 | - | 30.18 | -6.35 | 1814:00 | 1982.01 | 473.00 |
| Adam Fox | NYR | D | 99.0% | 96.44 | 10.00 | 63.00 | 73.00 | 140.00 | 35.00 | 109.00 | 32.00 | 3.21 | 23.68 | 26.90 | 0.06 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.23 | 1.18 | 1886:00 | 2184.46 | 624.00 |
| Brady Skjei | NSH | D | 18.4% | 96.38 | 5.00 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 119.00 | 64.00 | 89.00 | 38.00 | 0.61 | 2.90 | 3.51 | 0.22 | 0.79 | 1.01 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.98 | -22.25 | 1812:00 | 2170.10 | 301.00 |
| Mark Scheifele | WPG | C | 99.4% | 95.98 | 33.00 | 53.00 | 87.00 | 175.00 | 41.00 | 49.00 | 50.00 | 7.98 | 14.52 | 22.49 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.42 | 6.00 | 588.19 | 636.45 | 48.0% | 29.84 | 2.20 | 1695:00 | 1729.31 | 670.00 |
| Noah Hanifin | LV | D | 52.7% | 95.71 | 10.00 | 25.00 | 35.00 | 159.00 | 41.00 | 123.00 | 16.00 | 0.83 | 2.38 | 3.21 | 0.20 | 0.51 | 0.71 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 28.31 | -7.94 | 1813:00 | 2268.46 | 451.00 |
| Dougie Hamilton | NJ | D | 84.3% | 95.63 | 12.00 | 29.00 | 41.00 | 238.00 | 91.00 | 93.00 | 46.00 | 3.24 | 8.40 | 11.64 | 0.18 | 0.49 | 0.67 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.97 | -6.14 | 1723:00 | 2040.96 | 509.00 |
| Jakob Chychrun | WAS | D | 99.1% | 95.42 | 23.00 | 35.00 | 58.00 | 208.00 | 61.00 | 115.00 | 63.00 | 7.66 | 11.49 | 19.15 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 29.16 | 19.73 | 1832:00 | 1819.67 | 660.00 |
| Philip Broberg | STL | D | 66.2% | 95.29 | 7.00 | 33.00 | 40.00 | 114.00 | 41.00 | 104.00 | 19.00 | 0.98 | 4.87 | 5.85 | 0.23 | 1.05 | 1.27 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.14 | 2.17 | 1779:00 | 2087.11 | 431.00 |
| Jack Eichel | LV | C | 98.9% | 95.28 | 36.00 | 66.00 | 101.00 | 285.00 | 34.00 | 51.00 | 16.00 | 9.33 | 24.52 | 33.85 | 1.42 | 0.96 | 2.38 | 5.54 | 634.32 | 686.43 | 48.0% | 30.35 | -6.45 | 1734:00 | 1874.15 | 895.00 |
| Aaron Ekblad | FLA | D | 49.6% | 95.14 | 5.00 | 29.00 | 33.00 | 116.00 | 105.00 | 101.00 | 65.00 | 1.52 | 9.62 | 11.13 | 0.12 | 0.79 | 0.91 | 0.64 | 0.39 | 0.48 | - | 25.79 | 5.28 | 1878:00 | 2309.67 | 381.00 |
| Alexander Romanov | NYI | D | 15.4% | 94.79 | 4.00 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 115.00 | 170.00 | 177.00 | 25.00 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.66 | 0.81 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.98 | -1.77 | 1775:00 | 2161.92 | 379.00 |
| Mattias Ekholm | EDM | D | 77.1% | 93.87 | 5.00 | 28.00 | 32.00 | 131.00 | 64.00 | 111.00 | 30.00 | 0.35 | 2.18 | 2.54 | 0.09 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.79 | -3.75 | 1728:00 | 2076.48 | 432.00 |
| Jacob Trouba | SJ | D | 76.1% | 93.85 | 5.00 | 21.00 | 26.00 | 146.00 | 156.00 | 172.00 | 52.00 | 0.42 | 1.87 | 2.29 | 0.20 | 0.77 | 0.97 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.77 | -7.48 | 1790:00 | 2198.27 | 418.00 |
| Alex Vlasic | CHI | D | 9.0% | 93.47 | 2.00 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 85.00 | 39.00 | 128.00 | 19.00 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.91 | -21.18 | 1791:00 | 2120.06 | 234.00 |
| Victor Hedman | TB | D | 92.7% | 93.46 | 10.00 | 31.00 | 41.00 | 162.00 | 55.00 | 129.00 | 36.00 | 2.56 | 8.64 | 11.20 | 0.10 | 0.41 | 0.51 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.20 | 14.02 | 1784:00 | 2130.69 | 504.00 |
| Mitch Marner | LV | RW | 98.8% | 93.03 | 25.00 | 61.00 | 86.00 | 169.00 | 31.00 | 46.00 | 19.00 | 6.52 | 20.21 | 26.73 | 1.15 | 1.10 | 2.25 | 3.85 | 122.41 | 164.23 | 42.7% | 31.50 | -6.42 | 1715:00 | 1872.34 | 680.00 |
| Vince Dunn | SEA | D | 89.4% | 92.81 | 15.00 | 35.00 | 50.00 | 168.00 | 37.00 | 88.00 | 60.00 | 4.74 | 13.11 | 17.85 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 2.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.43 | -6.64 | 1791:00 | 1987.22 | 476.00 |
| Neal Pionk | WPG | D | 32.3% | 92.76 | 6.00 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 134.00 | 164.00 | 114.00 | 54.00 | 1.09 | 4.17 | 5.26 | 0.15 | 0.57 | 0.72 | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.49 | 2.59 | 1802:00 | 2217.77 | 390.00 |
| Hampus Lindholm | BOS | D | 16.7% | 92.72 | 7.00 | 24.00 | 31.00 | 112.00 | 23.00 | 114.00 | 54.00 | 1.12 | 4.05 | 5.16 | 0.22 | 0.68 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.05 | 3.42 | 1753:00 | 2123.01 | 367.00 |
| K'Andre Miller | CAR | D | 64.0% | 92.63 | 8.00 | 29.00 | 37.00 | 126.00 | 115.00 | 104.00 | 48.00 | 1.82 | 6.88 | 8.70 | 0.16 | 0.71 | 0.87 | 1.15 | 0.36 | 0.44 | - | 31.46 | 0.65 | 1810:00 | 2173.72 | 393.00 |
| Charlie McAvoy | BOS | D | 96.5% | 92.41 | 9.00 | 42.00 | 52.00 | 123.00 | 94.00 | 136.00 | 64.00 | 2.87 | 15.40 | 18.27 | 0.28 | 1.11 | 1.39 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.89 | 3.20 | 1772:00 | 1987.69 | 513.00 |
| Simon Edvinsson | DET | D | 42.3% | 92.34 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 28.00 | 96.00 | 102.00 | 155.00 | 71.00 | 0.26 | 0.68 | 0.95 | 0.14 | 0.38 | 0.52 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.13 | -13.33 | 1761:00 | 2112.87 | 393.00 |
| Cameron York | PHI | D | 20.5% | 92.24 | 6.00 | 25.00 | 32.00 | 95.00 | 41.00 | 153.00 | 31.00 | 1.36 | 6.09 | 7.45 | 0.18 | 0.76 | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.18 | 6.38 | 1772:00 | 2285.42 | 382.00 |
| Kevin Bahl | CGY | D | 4.8% | 92.18 | 3.00 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 67.00 | 121.00 | 109.00 | 67.00 | 0.09 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 0.09 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 28.99 | -22.99 | 1781:00 | 2428.69 | 231.00 |
| Darnell Nurse | SJ | D | 68.8% | 91.69 | 6.00 | 19.00 | 26.00 | 166.00 | 150.00 | 158.00 | 89.00 | 0.23 | 0.79 | 1.02 | 0.12 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.03 | -7.44 | 1756:00 | 2138.45 | 427.00 |
| Gustav Forsling | FLA | D | 41.5% | 91.68 | 9.00 | 21.00 | 30.00 | 153.00 | 66.00 | 99.00 | 39.00 | 1.16 | 2.92 | 4.08 | 0.30 | 0.78 | 1.07 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.69 | 5.74 | 1880:00 | 2246.11 | 421.00 |
| Justin Faulk | DET | D | 55.0% | 91.62 | 8.00 | 21.00 | 29.00 | 148.00 | 77.00 | 126.00 | 36.00 | 1.78 | 5.04 | 6.81 | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.44 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.27 | -12.65 | 1806:00 | 2211.22 | 389.00 |
| Marcus Pettersson | NYR | D | 6.6% | 91.57 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 73.00 | 81.00 | 141.00 | 45.00 | 0.08 | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.09 | 0.57 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.65 | 1.25 | 1750:00 | 2058.49 | 279.00 |
| Owen Power | BUF | D | 53.4% | 91.18 | 8.00 | 33.00 | 40.00 | 122.00 | 29.00 | 103.00 | 18.00 | 1.11 | 4.78 | 5.89 | 0.17 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.66 | 6.02 | 1777:00 | 2127.55 | 399.00 |
| Jake McCabe | TOR | D | 34.0% | 91.08 | 4.00 | 22.00 | 25.00 | 78.00 | 123.00 | 167.00 | 66.00 | 0.14 | 0.83 | 0.97 | 0.16 | 0.99 | 1.15 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.79 | 6.69 | 1760:00 | 2365.61 | 371.00 |
| Jaccob Slavin | CAR | D | 16.1% | 90.97 | 4.00 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 123.00 | 24.00 | 125.00 | 8.00 | 0.05 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.63 | 0.74 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 30.55 | 0.70 | 1789:00 | 2127.78 | 376.00 |
| Bowen Byram | CHI | D | 96.2% | 90.92 | 12.00 | 41.00 | 53.00 | 120.00 | 57.00 | 106.00 | 44.00 | 2.81 | 10.22 | 13.03 | 0.16 | 0.59 | 0.75 | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.08 | -19.25 | 1789:00 | 2093.24 | 479.00 |
| Dylan DeMelo | WPG | D | 5.7% | 90.81 | 2.00 | 16.00 | 18.00 | 73.00 | 111.00 | 103.00 | 33.00 | 0.03 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.05 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.79 | 2.67 | 1746:00 | 2202.32 | 275.00 |
| Dmitry Orlov | SJ | D | 34.9% | 90.59 | 5.00 | 30.00 | 35.00 | 99.00 | 112.00 | 74.00 | 35.00 | 1.28 | 8.85 | 10.13 | 0.05 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.50 | -6.50 | 1686:00 | 1881.61 | 315.00 |
| Mattias Samuelsson | BUF | D | 79.0% | 90.33 | 8.00 | 24.00 | 32.00 | 99.00 | 137.00 | 149.00 | 39.00 | 0.05 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.81 | 1.07 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.17 | 6.24 | 1753:00 | 2074.63 | 422.00 |
| Morgan Rielly | TOR | D | 75.7% | 90.24 | 8.00 | 31.00 | 39.00 | 135.00 | 39.00 | 115.00 | 25.00 | 2.12 | 9.15 | 11.27 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.10 | 5.94 | 1732:00 | 2307.87 | 397.00 |
| Martin Necas | COL | RW | 100.0% | 90.00 | 36.00 | 62.00 | 98.00 | 229.00 | 80.00 | 26.00 | 25.00 | 10.40 | 19.87 | 30.27 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 7.38 | 24.85 | 26.15 | - | 26.68 | 22.69 | 1647:00 | 1738.00 | 807.00 |
| Mikko Rantanen | DAL | RW | 98.7% | 89.22 | 27.00 | 60.00 | 87.00 | 187.00 | 55.00 | 39.00 | 74.00 | 8.88 | 24.06 | 32.94 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.07 | 70.85 | 79.69 | - | 29.91 | -2.13 | 1736:00 | 1802.64 | 668.00 |
| Parker Wotherspoon | LV | D | 20.2% | 89.22 | 1.00 | 16.00 | 17.00 | 67.00 | 145.00 | 106.00 | 45.00 | 0.02 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.92 | -7.07 | 1578:00 | 1791.46 | 223.00 |
| Mario Ferraro | WPG | D | 14.6% | 89.07 | 4.00 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 91.00 | 131.00 | 149.00 | 40.00 | 0.08 | 0.32 | 0.40 | 0.14 | 0.52 | 0.66 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.05 | 2.63 | 1719:00 | 1846.16 | 283.00 |
| John Marino | UTA | D | 17.7% | 88.92 | 3.00 | 28.00 | 31.00 | 60.00 | 28.00 | 77.00 | 22.00 | 0.17 | 1.73 | 1.90 | 0.06 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.96 | 8.66 | 1687:00 | 2281.80 | 319.00 |
| Jonas Brodin | MIN | D | 5.0% | 88.89 | 5.00 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 100.00 | 21.00 | 164.00 | 22.00 | 0.09 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.11 | 0.49 | 0.60 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.63 | -7.50 | 1766:00 | 2054.51 | 387.00 |
| Artemi Panarin | LA | LW | 97.0% | 88.12 | 35.00 | 54.00 | 90.00 | 240.00 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 9.93 | 18.19 | 28.12 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 4.51 | 0.78 | 0.92 | - | 26.34 | 11.88 | 1670:00 | 1826.99 | 682.00 |
| Brett Pesce | NJ | D | 0.3% | 88.11 | 2.00 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 106.00 | 26.00 | 135.00 | 23.00 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.80 | 0.92 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 27.22 | -6.84 | 1725:00 | 2051.50 | 286.00 |
| Jake Walman | EDM | D | 32.6% | 88.01 | 9.00 | 19.00 | 28.00 | 144.00 | 35.00 | 142.00 | 30.00 | 1.62 | 3.63 | 5.25 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.75 | -3.42 | 1649:00 | 2105.59 | 397.00 |
| Niko Mikkola | FLA | D | 4.9% | 87.86 | 4.00 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 100.00 | 141.00 | 99.00 | 65.00 | 0.12 | 0.39 | 0.51 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.73 | 5.23 | 1655:00 | 2170.41 | 276.00 |
| Robert Thomas | STL | C | 92.8% | 87.80 | 23.00 | 54.00 | 77.00 | 145.00 | 12.00 | 48.00 | 29.00 | 5.23 | 14.60 | 19.84 | 1.28 | 1.12 | 2.40 | 2.83 | 742.78 | 670.50 | 52.6% | 27.63 | 1.76 | 1607:00 | 1975.82 | 614.00 |
| Nikita Zadorov | BOS | D | 39.0% | 87.72 | 4.00 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 103.00 | 211.00 | 104.00 | 136.00 | 0.03 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.58 | 0.72 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.04 | 3.45 | 1671:00 | 2032.27 | 330.00 |
| Ryan Pulock | NYI | D | 10.4% | 87.68 | 3.00 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 91.00 | 63.00 | 151.00 | 16.00 | 0.05 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.09 | 0.74 | 0.83 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.59 | -1.71 | 1713:00 | 2296.27 | 342.00 |
| Vincent Trocheck | UTA | C | 88.5% | 87.52 | 21.00 | 36.00 | 57.00 | 164.00 | 213.00 | 65.00 | 51.00 | 4.43 | 9.19 | 13.62 | 1.21 | 0.77 | 1.98 | 3.37 | 800.18 | 605.53 | 56.9% | 28.42 | 7.76 | 1714:00 | 2035.06 | 504.00 |
| Anthony DeAngelo | NYI | D | 23.5% | 87.49 | 7.00 | 27.00 | 34.00 | 152.00 | 33.00 | 77.00 | 41.00 | 1.42 | 5.95 | 7.38 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.22 | -1.52 | 1649:00 | 2008.62 | 359.00 |
| Artyom Levshunov | CHI | D | 45.1% | 87.46 | 3.00 | 20.00 | 23.00 | 105.00 | 104.00 | 88.00 | 46.00 | 0.70 | 5.14 | 5.83 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 25.70 | -17.30 | 1608:00 | 1812.23 | 240.00 |
| Adam Pelech | NYI | D | 3.2% | 87.11 | 2.00 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 112.00 | 76.00 | 121.00 | 43.00 | 0.07 | 0.66 | 0.73 | 0.06 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 26.31 | -1.71 | 1723:00 | 2265.84 | 330.00 |
| Brent Burns | COL | D | 49.9% | 87.00 | 8.00 | 22.00 | 30.00 | 150.00 | 20.00 | 83.00 | 31.00 | 0.66 | 1.95 | 2.61 | 0.22 | 0.73 | 0.95 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 22.88 | 27.00 | 1632:00 | 2095.73 | 396.00 |
| Cam Fowler | STL | D | 13.6% | 86.98 | 4.00 | 23.00 | 27.00 | 93.00 | 9.00 | 88.00 | 18.00 | 1.02 | 6.37 | 7.39 | 0.06 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 23.76 | 2.02 | 1760:00 | 2178.56 | 312.00 |
| Ben Chiarot | DET | D | 13.3% | 86.95 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 99.00 | 158.00 | 152.00 | 63.00 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 24.49 | -13.01 | 1707:00 | 2130.66 | 277.00 |
| Mika Zibanejad | NYR | C | 98.3% | 86.89 | 24.00 | 43.00 | 67.00 | 214.00 | 81.00 | 49.00 | 17.00 | 6.75 | 13.06 | 19.81 | 1.09 | 0.89 | 1.99 | 4.35 | 564.31 | 507.44 | 52.7% | 28.60 | 0.98 | 1615:00 | 1965.08 | 575.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Puck-moving defensemen
The players with the most giveaways are often the ones driving offence from the back.
Defensemen ProjectionsRelated Projections
Build Your Stack
Complete Your Lineup
By Position
Frequently Asked Questions
Projections by Category
Find projected leaders for specific stats
By Position
All players at each positionScoring Projections
Goals, assists, and points leaders
Peripheral Stats
SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts
Special Teams
Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points
Faceoff & Physical
Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-
Goalie Projections
Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA
Fantasy Points
Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel
NHL Team Projections
Click a team to see rest of season player projections