NHL Projected Goalie Starts - Rest of Season
Starts are the volume behind every goalie stat: wins, saves and shutouts all need a start. - Rest of Season this is each goalie's projected chance to start; for a week or the rest of the season it is his expected number of starts. The numbers come from LineupExperts' goalie projections (a goalie's projected games are his starts). Confirm This Season's starters on our starting goalies page before lineups lock.
Season Outlook: Oct 4 through Apr 10, 2027
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 5:28 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 72 players
Rest of Season
a start probability. 0.90 means the goalie is very likely in net; 0.50 means the start is a coin flip between him and his partner.
This week, next week and rest of season
expected starts, the team's games times each goalie's share of the crease.
Where the numbers come from
LineupExperts' goalie projections, shown as published; for goalies their projected games played are starts.
Why it matters
in weekly leagues with goalie start minimums, expected starts are the first thing to check when streaming.
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Pro Tip: A starter on a four-game week projects about twice the starts of a tandem goalie on a three-game week. Check the weekly view before streaming.
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Forward-looking projections only
ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.
Sorted by Projected Games Started
72 playersShow
Goalies72 of 72
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | GS ↓ | W | L | OTL | SV | GA | SA | SV% | GAA† | MIN† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | NSH | G | 84.4% | 60.00 | 27.00 | 28.00 | 5.00 | 1595.0 | 176.0 | 1779.0 | 89.6% | 2.95 | 3584:22 | 573.00 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TB | G | 99.0% | 60.00 | 34.00 | 21.00 | 5.00 | 1565.0 | 147.0 | 1698.0 | 92.2% | 2.46 | 3589:46 | 689.00 |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | G | 89.9% | 60.00 | 36.00 | 19.00 | 5.00 | 1541.0 | 157.0 | 1696.0 | 90.8% | 2.62 | 3598:02 | 647.00 |
| Carter Hart | LV | G | 86.6% | 60.00 | 30.00 | 25.00 | 5.00 | 1510.0 | 167.0 | 1682.0 | 89.7% | 2.79 | 3589:39 | 561.00 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | G | 96.9% | 60.00 | 29.00 | 25.00 | 6.00 | 1615.0 | 158.0 | 1750.0 | 92.3% | 2.64 | 3593:37 | 667.00 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | BUF | G | 76.8% | 60.00 | 31.00 | 24.00 | 5.00 | 1512.0 | 174.0 | 1686.0 | 89.7% | 2.90 | 3593:58 | 556.00 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | G | 45.1% | 60.00 | 30.00 | 24.00 | 6.00 | 1520.0 | 185.0 | 1718.0 | 88.5% | 3.09 | 3594:22 | 520.00 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | G | 98.3% | 60.00 | 32.00 | 24.00 | 5.00 | 1524.0 | 151.0 | 1664.0 | 91.6% | 2.52 | 3590:21 | 648.00 |
| Jet Greaves | CLB | G | 85.6% | 60.00 | 31.00 | 24.00 | 5.00 | 1570.0 | 162.0 | 1729.0 | 90.8% | 2.69 | 3607:33 | 625.00 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJ | G | 77.4% | 60.00 | 27.00 | 26.00 | 7.00 | 1615.0 | 195.0 | 1819.0 | 88.8% | 3.27 | 3577:12 | 524.00 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | G | 94.1% | 60.00 | 33.00 | 22.00 | 5.00 | 1593.0 | 160.0 | 1753.0 | 90.9% | 2.67 | 3598:56 | 654.00 |
| Jakub Dobes | MON | G | 96.1% | 60.00 | 31.00 | 22.00 | 7.00 | 1556.0 | 173.0 | 1739.0 | 89.5% | 2.89 | 3597:43 | 574.00 |
| John Gibson | DET | G | 71.5% | 57.00 | 25.00 | 26.00 | 5.00 | 1467.0 | 150.0 | 1617.0 | 90.7% | 2.65 | 3393:03 | 565.00 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | G | 80.7% | 57.00 | 28.00 | 23.00 | 5.00 | 1531.0 | 172.0 | 1699.0 | 90.2% | 3.02 | 3416:37 | 550.00 |
| Logan Thompson | WAS | G | 99.5% | 57.00 | 35.00 | 17.00 | 4.00 | 1503.0 | 144.0 | 1648.0 | 91.2% | 2.53 | 3414:50 | 656.00 |
| Connor Hellebuyck | WPG | G | 93.9% | 55.00 | 29.00 | 21.00 | 6.00 | 1412.0 | 139.0 | 1543.0 | 91.6% | 2.53 | 3296:38 | 587.00 |
| Igor Shesterkin | NYR | G | 93.3% | 55.00 | 28.00 | 23.00 | 5.00 | 1449.0 | 141.0 | 1596.0 | 90.8% | 2.57 | 3292:21 | 597.00 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | G | 88.1% | 53.00 | 27.00 | 22.00 | 4.00 | 1388.0 | 144.0 | 1520.0 | 91.3% | 2.72 | 3172:23 | 543.00 |
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | G | 99.0% | 53.00 | 28.00 | 21.00 | 5.00 | 1344.0 | 138.0 | 1484.0 | 90.6% | 2.61 | 3172:10 | 541.00 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | G | 96.9% | 53.00 | 26.00 | 22.00 | 5.00 | 1408.0 | 144.0 | 1559.0 | 90.3% | 2.72 | 3177:58 | 561.00 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | G | 66.0% | 53.00 | 21.00 | 26.00 | 6.00 | 1396.0 | 159.0 | 1545.0 | 90.4% | 3.01 | 3164:48 | 477.00 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | G | 78.7% | 53.00 | 23.00 | 25.00 | 5.00 | 1394.0 | 157.0 | 1552.0 | 89.8% | 2.96 | 3177:58 | 486.00 |
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | G | 81.1% | 52.00 | 29.00 | 19.00 | 4.00 | 1328.0 | 139.0 | 1474.0 | 90.1% | 2.68 | 3111:38 | 540.00 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | G | 53.8% | 52.00 | 24.00 | 24.00 | 4.00 | 1337.0 | 136.0 | 1473.0 | 90.8% | 2.62 | 3111:56 | 528.00 |
| Darcy Kuemper | LA | G | 58.0% | 50.00 | 25.00 | 22.00 | 4.00 | 1280.0 | 143.0 | 1431.0 | 89.5% | 2.87 | 2988:11 | 478.00 |
| Trent Miner | COL | G | 7.2% | 50.00 | 17.00 | 11.00 | 4.00 | 777.0 | 88.0 | 864.0 | 89.9% | 2.68 | 1969:01 | 292.00 |
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | G | 89.1% | 49.00 | 25.00 | 20.00 | 4.00 | 1220.0 | 130.0 | 1345.0 | 90.7% | 2.66 | 2937:30 | 489.00 |
| Daniel Vladar | PHI | G | 76.0% | 47.00 | 24.00 | 20.00 | 4.00 | 1219.0 | 134.0 | 1353.0 | 90.1% | 2.86 | 2813:31 | 457.00 |
| Jake Allen | NJ | G | 54.0% | 45.00 | 23.00 | 17.00 | 5.00 | 1162.0 | 123.0 | 1280.0 | 90.8% | 2.73 | 2702:08 | 453.00 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | G | 79.8% | 44.00 | 22.00 | 18.00 | 4.00 | 1137.0 | 108.0 | 1261.0 | 90.2% | 2.45 | 2641:44 | 494.00 |
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | G | 9.4% | 42.00 | 19.00 | 17.00 | 6.00 | 1040.0 | 132.0 | 1169.0 | 88.9% | 3.14 | 2520:47 | 335.00 |
| Brandon Bussi | CAR | G | 96.0% | 42.00 | 24.00 | 15.00 | 4.00 | 1051.0 | 109.0 | 1167.0 | 90.1% | 2.59 | 2522:19 | 432.00 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | G | 31.7% | 35.00 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 4.00 | 896.0 | 114.0 | 1013.0 | 88.4% | 3.28 | 2088:29 | 272.00 |
| Anton Forsberg | LA | G | 25.5% | 33.00 | 16.00 | 13.00 | 4.00 | 830.0 | 90.0 | 920.0 | 90.2% | 2.71 | 1989:15 | 314.00 |
| Charlie Lindgren | WAS | G | 11.4% | 33.00 | 16.00 | 15.00 | 2.00 | 849.0 | 97.0 | 942.0 | 90.2% | 2.94 | 1981:31 | 305.00 |
| Scott Wedgewood | COL | G | 95.5% | 33.00 | 20.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 844.0 | 76.0 | 924.0 | 91.4% | 2.31 | 1977:29 | 390.00 |
| Jordan Binnington | STL | G | 31.2% | 33.00 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 3.00 | 845.0 | 101.0 | 941.0 | 89.8% | 3.07 | 1976:57 | 280.00 |
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | G | 13.6% | 33.00 | 16.00 | 14.00 | 3.00 | 920.0 | 101.0 | 1029.0 | 89.4% | 3.05 | 1984:22 | 334.00 |
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | G | 30.0% | 33.00 | 19.00 | 11.00 | 3.00 | 875.0 | 83.0 | 948.0 | 92.2% | 2.53 | 1971:47 | 383.00 |
| Adin Hill | LV | G | 23.6% | 33.00 | 18.00 | 12.00 | 4.00 | 831.0 | 90.0 | 928.0 | 89.6% | 2.74 | 1971:08 | 323.00 |
| Alex Lyon | BUF | G | 33.4% | 33.00 | 17.00 | 14.00 | 3.00 | 868.0 | 88.0 | 955.0 | 90.8% | 2.67 | 1976:00 | 343.00 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | G | 17.4% | 33.00 | 17.00 | 14.00 | 2.00 | 843.0 | 84.0 | 925.0 | 91.2% | 2.54 | 1983:42 | 345.00 |
| Michael Dipietro | BOS | G | 15.4% | 33.00 | 16.00 | 15.00 | 3.00 | 850.0 | 99.0 | 939.0 | 90.5% | 3.00 | 1979:03 | 291.00 |
| Joseph Woll | PHI | G | 33.1% | 33.00 | 16.00 | 13.00 | 4.00 | 891.0 | 96.0 | 987.0 | 90.3% | 2.91 | 1976:53 | 332.00 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | G | 40.8% | 33.00 | 17.00 | 14.00 | 1.00 | 864.0 | 99.0 | 966.0 | 89.5% | 3.00 | 1978:39 | 307.00 |
| Leevi Merilainen | VAN | G | 12.8% | 33.00 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 2.00 | 640.0 | 102.0 | 742.0 | 86.3% | 4.13 | 1480:51 | 145.00 |
| Nico Daws | NJ | G | 16.9% | 33.00 | 16.00 | 14.00 | 3.00 | 897.0 | 102.0 | 992.0 | 90.5% | 3.09 | 1979:06 | 317.00 |
| Akira Schmid | FLA | G | 27.8% | 33.00 | 16.00 | 13.00 | 4.00 | 863.0 | 87.0 | 956.0 | 90.3% | 2.62 | 1993:36 | 340.00 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | G | 13.0% | 33.00 | 12.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 523.0 | 55.0 | 578.0 | 90.5% | 2.67 | 1234:12 | 221.00 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | G | 45.4% | 33.00 | 19.00 | 13.00 | 2.00 | 831.0 | 87.0 | 926.0 | 89.7% | 2.64 | 1979:04 | 341.00 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | G | 32.2% | 33.00 | 20.00 | 10.00 | 3.00 | 899.0 | 105.0 | 1016.0 | 88.5% | 3.18 | 1979:06 | 331.00 |
| Devin Cooley | CGY | G | 13.7% | 33.00 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 3.00 | 845.0 | 92.0 | 942.0 | 89.7% | 2.78 | 1988:04 | 306.00 |
| Clay Stevenson | WPG | G | 6.4% | 33.00 | 11.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 513.0 | 58.0 | 571.0 | 89.9% | 2.83 | 1228:22 | 193.00 |
| Sergei Murashov | PIT | G | 65.0% | 33.00 | 11.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 513.0 | 58.0 | 571.0 | 89.9% | 2.74 | 1270:46 | 193.00 |
| Filip Gustavsson | MIN | G | 64.3% | 30.00 | 15.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 790.0 | 83.0 | 855.0 | 92.4% | 2.77 | 1799:54 | 309.00 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | SJ | G | 17.6% | 29.00 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 3.00 | 773.0 | 88.0 | 873.0 | 88.6% | 3.01 | 1751:21 | 263.00 |
| Sam Montembeault | MON | G | 14.8% | 29.00 | 15.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 742.0 | 86.0 | 852.0 | 87.1% | 2.96 | 1740:21 | 259.00 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | G | 9.7% | 29.00 | 15.00 | 12.00 | 3.00 | 730.0 | 86.0 | 821.0 | 88.9% | 2.96 | 1744:37 | 256.00 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | G | 10.6% | 27.00 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 710.0 | 85.0 | 788.0 | 90.1% | 3.15 | 1620:53 | 234.00 |
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | G | 42.3% | 25.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 624.0 | 73.0 | 703.0 | 88.8% | 2.93 | 1496:25 | 213.00 |
| Thatcher Demko | VAN | G | 24.5% | 24.00 | 11.00 | 10.00 | 3.00 | 609.0 | 67.0 | 677.0 | 90.0% | 2.80 | 1434:57 | 227.00 |
| Justus Annunen | NSH | G | 10.5% | 24.00 | 12.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 628.0 | 66.0 | 699.0 | 89.8% | 2.74 | 1444:34 | 240.00 |
| Arvid Soderblom | CHI | G | 5.6% | 24.00 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 639.0 | 78.0 | 724.0 | 88.2% | 3.25 | 1441:03 | 198.00 |
| Joonas Korpisalo | NYR | G | 7.6% | 23.00 | 11.00 | 10.00 | 2.00 | 592.0 | 68.0 | 657.0 | 90.1% | 2.95 | 1381:02 | 206.00 |
| Ville Husso | ANA | G | 6.4% | 23.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | 611.0 | 71.0 | 689.0 | 88.7% | 3.09 | 1379:13 | 207.00 |
| Dennis Hildeby | TB | G | 17.7% | 20.00 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 522.0 | 55.0 | 574.0 | 90.9% | 2.74 | 1205:23 | 196.00 |
| Cam Talbot | CLB | G | 5.8% | 19.00 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 482.0 | 56.0 | 537.0 | 89.7% | 2.93 | 1148:01 | 164.00 |
| Semyon Varlamov | NYI | G | 4.9% | 16.00 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 1.00 | 420.0 | 46.0 | 472.0 | 88.9% | 2.88 | 959:22 | 151.00 |
| Frederik Andersen | EDM | G | 37.8% | 15.00 | 7.00 | 6.00 | 2.00 | 386.0 | 42.0 | 434.0 | 89.1% | 2.80 | 899:29 | 145.00 |
| Colten Ellis | BUF | G | 12.9% | 9.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | 227.0 | 26.0 | 253.0 | 89.7% | 2.88 | 540:49 | 80.00 |
| Calvin Pickard | MIN | G | 4.0% | 8.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 201.0 | 22.0 | 225.0 | 89.3% | 2.74 | 480:58 | 71.00 |
| Elvis Merzlikins | TOR | G | 8.9% | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 88.4% | - | 59:52 | 9.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Confirmed starters
Check who is confirmed in net this season before your lineup locks.
Starting GoaliesStarts become wins
Goalies with the most projected starts on strong teams lead the win projections.
Goalie Win ProjectionsRelated Projections
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Frequently Asked Questions
- Rest of Season, it is the chance the goalie starts this season: 0.55 is a little better than a coin flip. Over a week or the season the number is expected starts.
LineupExperts' goalie projections, a licensed provider: a goalie's projected games played are his projected starts. We show them as published.
Our starting goalies page tracks confirmed and likely starters for every game and updates through the day.
Workhorse starters take 60 or more of a team's 82 to 84 games; most teams now split closer to 55/45 or 60/40.
Projections by Category
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Goalie Projections
Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA
Fantasy Points
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NHL Team Projections
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