NHL Projected Shorthanded Goals - Rest of Season
Shorthanded goals are rare: about 3% of all goals. These projections estimate each player's share of his projected goals that come while killing a penalty. The ranking is driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time times a mostly league-level scoring rate, so treat it as a guide to who is on the ice shorthanded, not a prediction of who will score.
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 798 players
💡
Forward-looking projections only
ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.
Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.
Shorthanded scoring is rare and streaky: even the leaders score only a few a season. These projections are driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time, with each team’s total held to the league’s shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists. How the model works
Sorted by Projected Short Handed Goals
726 playersShow
Skaters100 of 726
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | SHG† ↓ | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | PPG† | PPA† | PPP† | SHA† | SHP† | GWG† | FOW† | FOL† | FO%† | TK† | GV† | +/-† | TOI | SFT† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Stutzle | OTT | C | 99.7% | 2.37 | 35.00 | 53.00 | 88.00 | 176.00 | 131.00 | 48.00 | 31.00 | 11.03 | 20.23 | 31.27 | 1.27 | 3.65 | 5.66 | 340.83 | 306.91 | 52.6% | 26.40 | 83.21 | 4.96 | 1591:00 | 2010.03 | 713.00 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | LW | 99.3% | 2.14 | 40.00 | 47.00 | 87.00 | 237.00 | 53.00 | 53.00 | 53.00 | 11.62 | 15.74 | 27.36 | 1.26 | 3.40 | 5.25 | 24.62 | 30.51 | - | 30.35 | 77.37 | 8.49 | 1612:00 | 1842.96 | 770.00 |
| Alex Tuch | WSH | RW | 93.8% | 2.12 | 29.00 | 26.00 | 55.00 | 186.00 | 71.00 | 85.00 | 41.00 | 4.73 | 4.49 | 9.22 | 1.02 | 3.14 | 3.66 | 60.01 | 72.32 | - | 31.56 | 71.45 | 13.71 | 1499:00 | 1913.92 | 580.00 |
| Pius Suter | STL | C | 4.1% | 1.77 | 18.00 | 17.00 | 35.00 | 110.00 | 57.00 | 30.00 | 16.00 | 1.13 | 1.27 | 2.39 | 0.65 | 2.42 | 2.52 | 357.03 | 387.03 | 48.0% | 18.49 | 59.62 | 2.61 | 1260:00 | 1698.53 | 336.00 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | SEA | C | 7.0% | 1.76 | 17.00 | 13.00 | 30.00 | 90.00 | 39.00 | 63.00 | 7.00 | 0.56 | 0.49 | 1.05 | 0.63 | 2.40 | 2.60 | 397.44 | 450.43 | 46.9% | 19.85 | 54.53 | 0.31 | 1201:00 | 1619.80 | 312.00 |
| Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 99.7% | 1.73 | 41.00 | 98.00 | 139.00 | 256.00 | 54.00 | 30.00 | 37.00 | 11.22 | 40.21 | 51.44 | 1.30 | 3.03 | 5.42 | 451.92 | 462.36 | 49.4% | 29.15 | 96.76 | 6.48 | 1794:00 | 1863.55 | 1068.00 |
| Bryan Rust | PIT | RW | 82.9% | 1.71 | 28.00 | 30.00 | 58.00 | 184.00 | 43.00 | 63.00 | 23.00 | 5.56 | 7.00 | 12.56 | 0.85 | 2.57 | 2.84 | 6.49 | 8.08 | - | 21.71 | 71.11 | 5.99 | 1467:00 | 1742.48 | 525.00 |
| Tom Wilson | WSH | RW | 94.2% | 1.67 | 26.00 | 31.00 | 57.00 | 156.00 | 206.00 | 69.00 | 95.00 | 5.58 | 7.04 | 12.62 | 1.04 | 2.71 | 3.28 | 14.32 | 17.46 | - | 22.37 | 76.96 | 13.16 | 1494:00 | 1796.15 | 545.00 |
| Sebastian Aho | CAR | C | 99.7% | 1.65 | 36.00 | 53.00 | 89.00 | 213.00 | 51.00 | 30.00 | 55.00 | 12.50 | 20.00 | 32.50 | 1.58 | 3.22 | 4.83 | 610.19 | 559.29 | 52.2% | 22.85 | 82.64 | 6.99 | 1523:00 | 1746.82 | 752.00 |
| Aliaksei Protas | WSH | LW | 52.3% | 1.62 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 49.00 | 151.00 | 29.00 | 42.00 | 19.00 | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.48 | 1.05 | 2.68 | 2.78 | 29.52 | 33.62 | - | 21.59 | 67.72 | 13.31 | 1337:00 | 1660.35 | 452.00 |
| Lawson Crouse | UTA | RW | 32.8% | 1.59 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 34.00 | 134.00 | 195.00 | 47.00 | 43.00 | 1.39 | 1.68 | 3.07 | 0.78 | 2.37 | 2.27 | 25.52 | 32.75 | - | 18.39 | 54.39 | 4.71 | 1177:00 | 1680.60 | 372.00 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | NSH | C | 81.0% | 1.58 | 22.00 | 40.00 | 61.00 | 139.00 | 20.00 | 65.00 | 25.00 | 6.28 | 13.09 | 19.36 | 1.32 | 2.90 | 3.52 | 710.59 | 591.90 | 54.6% | 28.05 | 68.66 | -9.15 | 1566:00 | 1854.03 | 488.00 |
| Bo Horvat | NYI | C | 92.4% | 1.54 | 37.00 | 32.00 | 69.00 | 247.00 | 80.00 | 39.00 | 31.00 | 11.29 | 9.77 | 21.06 | 0.97 | 2.50 | 4.47 | 741.50 | 586.06 | 55.9% | 23.96 | 81.29 | 0.25 | 1591:00 | 1818.78 | 663.00 |
| Collin Graf | SJS | LW | 24.5% | 1.50 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 32.00 | 109.00 | 85.00 | 45.00 | 16.00 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 0.99 | 0.64 | 2.14 | 1.69 | 23.24 | 31.63 | - | 20.66 | 55.79 | -16.21 | 1254:00 | 1532.77 | 297.00 |
| Connor Dewar | PIT | LW | 3.4% | 1.48 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 22.00 | 104.00 | 134.00 | 49.00 | 24.00 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.90 | 2.38 | 1.01 | 54.47 | 58.67 | - | 15.65 | 46.32 | 4.65 | 1009:00 | 1375.54 | 267.00 |
| Jack Eichel | VGK | C | 99.9% | 1.48 | 34.00 | 64.00 | 98.00 | 259.00 | 28.00 | 48.00 | 17.00 | 10.04 | 28.50 | 38.54 | 1.48 | 2.96 | 5.27 | 573.45 | 637.88 | 47.3% | 27.86 | 89.53 | -2.15 | 1606:00 | 1684.17 | 865.00 |
| Brock Nelson | COL | C | 86.6% | 1.48 | 26.00 | 29.00 | 54.00 | 172.00 | 35.00 | 57.00 | 25.00 | 5.57 | 7.12 | 12.69 | 0.89 | 2.36 | 3.88 | 665.33 | 660.24 | 50.2% | 22.77 | 68.28 | 13.81 | 1477:00 | 1834.13 | 526.00 |
| Mark Jankowski | CAR | C | 9.0% | 1.47 | 23.00 | 10.00 | 33.00 | 84.00 | 49.00 | 41.00 | 15.00 | 3.01 | 1.49 | 4.50 | 0.36 | 1.83 | 3.08 | 403.78 | 417.76 | 49.1% | 13.64 | 47.99 | 5.05 | 940:00 | 1313.61 | 307.00 |
| Joel Armia | LAK | RW | 3.3% | 1.47 | 14.00 | 11.00 | 25.00 | 104.00 | 87.00 | 45.00 | 24.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 0.52 | 1.98 | 1.85 | 36.52 | 47.82 | - | 19.77 | 54.54 | 6.95 | 1108:00 | 1516.44 | 267.00 |
| Arttu Hyry | DAL | C | 4.0% | 1.45 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 92.00 | 126.00 | 33.00 | 11.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 1.99 | 0.88 | 383.47 | 305.19 | 55.7% | 13.96 | 43.49 | 1.83 | 929:00 | 1242.87 | 164.00 |
| Kyle Connor | WPG | LW | 98.9% | 1.45 | 42.00 | 46.00 | 88.00 | 267.00 | 25.00 | 28.00 | 14.00 | 10.51 | 12.30 | 22.81 | 0.71 | 2.16 | 10.41 | 1.20 | 1.43 | - | 25.36 | 76.68 | -0.30 | 1638:00 | 1743.83 | 776.00 |
| Nick Schmaltz | UTA | RW | 97.1% | 1.45 | 36.00 | 37.00 | 73.00 | 202.00 | 28.00 | 42.00 | 19.00 | 13.15 | 12.25 | 25.40 | 0.69 | 2.14 | 4.81 | 348.65 | 393.85 | 47.0% | 28.68 | 72.25 | 4.89 | 1467:00 | 1806.10 | 630.00 |
| Fraser Minten | BOS | C | 45.7% | 1.42 | 24.00 | 23.00 | 47.00 | 143.00 | 118.00 | 38.00 | 18.00 | 3.01 | 3.18 | 6.19 | 0.64 | 2.06 | 3.37 | 368.44 | 397.75 | 48.1% | 20.85 | 53.62 | 6.63 | 1176:00 | 1487.18 | 462.00 |
| Anthony Cirelli | TBL | C | 46.0% | 1.42 | 20.00 | 27.00 | 47.00 | 139.00 | 52.00 | 62.00 | 40.00 | 3.29 | 4.76 | 8.04 | 1.07 | 2.49 | 2.63 | 615.46 | 645.95 | 48.8% | 22.74 | 69.10 | 8.26 | 1409:00 | 1830.91 | 474.00 |
| Sam Reinhart | FLA | RW | 97.3% | 1.42 | 42.00 | 28.00 | 69.00 | 208.00 | 88.00 | 45.00 | 16.00 | 16.90 | 11.34 | 28.24 | 0.44 | 1.86 | 5.62 | 152.73 | 182.95 | 45.5% | 23.35 | 74.57 | 2.15 | 1619:00 | 1816.26 | 648.00 |
| Trevor Moore | LAK | LW | 8.8% | 1.38 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 36.00 | 184.00 | 67.00 | 45.00 | 12.00 | 1.02 | 1.17 | 2.18 | 0.67 | 2.04 | 2.38 | 7.73 | 9.78 | - | 21.35 | 64.43 | 8.52 | 1339:00 | 1792.15 | 396.00 |
| Will Cuylle | NYR | LW | 64.5% | 1.37 | 23.00 | 22.00 | 45.00 | 165.00 | 300.00 | 44.00 | 45.00 | 3.59 | 4.32 | 7.92 | 0.60 | 1.97 | 2.54 | 50.58 | 55.22 | - | 15.57 | 56.00 | 13.59 | 1187:00 | 1629.50 | 453.00 |
| Auston Matthews | TOR | C | 99.1% | 1.35 | 47.00 | 52.00 | 100.00 | 299.00 | 52.00 | 89.00 | 16.00 | 12.88 | 15.63 | 28.51 | 0.64 | 2.00 | 5.95 | 725.82 | 543.04 | 57.2% | 28.67 | 73.81 | 2.70 | 1621:00 | 1786.79 | 940.00 |
| Josh Anderson | MTL | RW | 11.1% | 1.35 | 15.00 | 11.00 | 25.00 | 102.00 | 144.00 | 35.00 | 94.00 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.52 | 1.87 | 2.51 | 17.21 | 17.89 | - | 16.55 | 51.68 | 4.33 | 1108:00 | 1478.01 | 264.00 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | COL | LW | 75.9% | 1.33 | 28.00 | 24.00 | 52.00 | 156.00 | 53.00 | 44.00 | 20.00 | 5.25 | 4.32 | 9.57 | 0.61 | 1.94 | 4.18 | 8.53 | 10.90 | - | 23.07 | 72.02 | 14.39 | 1513:00 | 1864.37 | 534.00 |
| Nico Hischier | NJD | C | 95.3% | 1.29 | 30.00 | 33.00 | 63.00 | 196.00 | 46.00 | 59.00 | 18.00 | 9.21 | 10.24 | 19.45 | 0.84 | 2.14 | 3.87 | 933.44 | 767.02 | 54.9% | 24.74 | 71.94 | -6.78 | 1595:00 | 1825.11 | 591.00 |
| Matthew Boldy | MIN | RW | 100.0% | 1.28 | 32.00 | 35.00 | 68.00 | 264.00 | 68.00 | 66.00 | 38.00 | 8.78 | 11.01 | 19.79 | 0.63 | 1.90 | 6.07 | 57.89 | 70.88 | - | 30.69 | 79.02 | -4.27 | 1607:00 | 1586.58 | 723.00 |
| Nick Paul | TOR | C | 8.1% | 1.27 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 33.00 | 102.00 | 118.00 | 49.00 | 34.00 | 2.08 | 3.14 | 5.22 | 0.79 | 2.06 | 1.77 | 396.71 | 411.08 | 49.1% | 18.14 | 53.59 | 2.15 | 1188:00 | 1521.31 | 282.00 |
| Shane Pinto | OTT | C | 43.7% | 1.26 | 20.00 | 33.00 | 54.00 | 154.00 | 110.00 | 51.00 | 43.00 | 4.88 | 9.45 | 14.33 | 1.07 | 2.33 | 3.24 | 459.98 | 444.71 | 50.8% | 24.77 | 66.98 | 4.77 | 1444:00 | 1984.23 | 486.00 |
| Emil Heineman | NYI | LW | 29.3% | 1.24 | 20.00 | 12.00 | 32.00 | 154.00 | 225.00 | 44.00 | 20.00 | 2.19 | 1.39 | 3.58 | 0.32 | 1.56 | 2.42 | 8.56 | 10.99 | - | 16.82 | 50.29 | 0.20 | 1116:00 | 1426.90 | 345.00 |
| Frank Nazar | CHI | C | 49.4% | 1.23 | 21.00 | 28.00 | 48.00 | 158.00 | 41.00 | 46.00 | 30.00 | 4.39 | 6.97 | 11.36 | 0.72 | 1.95 | 2.46 | 415.26 | 457.21 | 47.6% | 22.31 | 70.15 | -15.03 | 1292:00 | 1560.69 | 396.00 |
| Mark Stone | VGK | RW | 94.7% | 1.20 | 25.00 | 49.00 | 74.00 | 158.00 | 57.00 | 57.00 | 20.00 | 7.92 | 20.91 | 28.82 | 0.73 | 1.93 | 3.87 | 7.25 | 9.02 | - | 24.11 | 71.75 | -1.96 | 1470:00 | 1622.74 | 660.00 |
| Tye Kartye | NYR | LW | 8.1% | 1.20 | 13.00 | 20.00 | 32.00 | 88.00 | 216.00 | 41.00 | 47.00 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.89 | 2.08 | 1.44 | 8.17 | 10.20 | - | 13.79 | 40.38 | 11.47 | 914:00 | 1312.47 | 278.00 |
| Justin Danforth | BUF | C | 0.0% | 1.19 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 92.00 | 121.00 | 54.00 | 24.00 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.69 | 1.88 | 1.59 | 367.06 | 392.68 | 48.3% | 16.89 | 49.46 | 2.54 | 1039:00 | 1627.26 | 223.00 |
| Ben Meyers | SEA | C | 5.8% | 1.19 | 8.00 | 18.00 | 26.00 | 71.00 | 91.00 | 24.00 | 21.00 | 0.18 | 0.50 | 0.68 | 0.79 | 1.97 | 1.22 | 208.32 | 200.62 | 50.9% | 13.26 | 40.06 | 0.22 | 857:00 | 1282.99 | 193.00 |
| Alex Newhook | MTL | LW | 24.6% | 1.18 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 36.00 | 110.00 | 86.00 | 37.00 | 24.00 | 2.32 | 3.09 | 5.41 | 0.66 | 1.84 | 2.85 | 298.53 | 294.72 | 50.3% | 17.60 | 56.66 | 4.35 | 1199:00 | 1535.57 | 304.00 |
| Oliver Kapanen | MTL | C | 26.8% | 1.17 | 18.00 | 16.00 | 35.00 | 125.00 | 29.00 | 59.00 | 21.00 | 2.20 | 2.14 | 4.34 | 0.56 | 1.73 | 3.01 | 266.26 | 299.46 | 47.1% | 15.85 | 47.03 | 3.74 | 1023:00 | 1307.72 | 349.00 |
| Alex Formenton | EDM | LW | 8.9% | 1.17 | 13.00 | 11.00 | 24.00 | 145.00 | 114.00 | 36.00 | 48.00 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 1.09 | 0.74 | 1.91 | 1.72 | 7.02 | 8.43 | - | 17.19 | 52.29 | 4.93 | 1157:00 | 1779.07 | 296.00 |
| Dylan Larkin | DET | C | 95.1% | 1.16 | 29.00 | 33.00 | 62.00 | 225.00 | 43.00 | 34.00 | 44.00 | 8.31 | 10.40 | 18.71 | 0.56 | 1.72 | 3.25 | 789.26 | 706.30 | 52.8% | 23.40 | 81.03 | -9.12 | 1514:00 | 1798.88 | 571.00 |
| Tim Washe | ANA | C | 8.5% | 1.16 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 69.00 | 195.00 | 61.00 | 30.00 | 0.55 | 1.01 | 1.55 | 0.79 | 1.95 | 0.71 | 491.24 | 428.69 | 53.4% | 15.34 | 45.23 | -4.35 | 994:00 | 1434.93 | 168.00 |
| Christian Dvorak | PHI | C | 13.4% | 1.15 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 39.00 | 117.00 | 56.00 | 52.00 | 20.00 | 2.52 | 3.52 | 6.04 | 0.69 | 1.84 | 2.05 | 553.69 | 480.77 | 53.5% | 20.86 | 58.44 | -9.94 | 1279:00 | 1673.57 | 338.00 |
| Jake Evans | MTL | C | 4.9% | 1.15 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 23.00 | 81.00 | 96.00 | 60.00 | 23.00 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.89 | 2.04 | 1.51 | 551.89 | 472.36 | 53.9% | 20.51 | 55.92 | 4.69 | 1197:00 | 1543.87 | 235.00 |
| Tyson Foerster | PHI | LW | 35.9% | 1.15 | 21.00 | 15.00 | 36.00 | 163.00 | 93.00 | 55.00 | 41.00 | 5.01 | 3.73 | 8.74 | 0.36 | 1.51 | 2.54 | 1.52 | 1.79 | - | 19.15 | 57.31 | -9.48 | 1308:00 | 1704.19 | 352.00 |
| Benjamin Kindel | PIT | RW | 49.9% | 1.15 | 19.00 | 19.00 | 37.00 | 152.00 | 30.00 | 49.00 | 14.00 | 6.01 | 6.21 | 12.23 | 0.55 | 1.69 | 1.93 | 282.03 | 330.31 | 46.1% | 19.34 | 61.29 | 4.21 | 1132:00 | 1355.21 | 368.00 |
| Simon Holmstrom | NYI | RW | 14.8% | 1.15 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 38.00 | 105.00 | 20.00 | 48.00 | 12.00 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 5.79 | 1.09 | 2.24 | 2.05 | 5.54 | 6.86 | - | 21.63 | 62.00 | 0.23 | 1294:00 | 1705.15 | 342.00 |
| Boone Jenner | WSH | C | 23.1% | 1.15 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 36.00 | 166.00 | 149.00 | 76.00 | 39.00 | 0.72 | 0.93 | 1.65 | 0.73 | 1.87 | 2.15 | 330.22 | 275.01 | 54.6% | 19.74 | 63.67 | 12.72 | 1289:00 | 1653.32 | 423.00 |
| Mika Zibanejad | NYR | C | 98.2% | 1.14 | 22.00 | 46.00 | 68.00 | 192.00 | 95.00 | 56.00 | 17.00 | 6.35 | 14.89 | 21.24 | 0.84 | 1.98 | 2.43 | 545.32 | 478.07 | 53.3% | 26.23 | 82.77 | 16.01 | 1532:00 | 1843.84 | 578.00 |
| Blake Coleman | MIN | RW | 41.3% | 1.14 | 19.00 | 18.00 | 37.00 | 171.00 | 162.00 | 55.00 | 65.00 | 2.68 | 2.74 | 5.42 | 0.52 | 1.66 | 3.61 | 21.27 | 26.48 | - | 21.75 | 71.50 | -3.90 | 1311:00 | 1702.85 | 406.00 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | CHI | LW | 11.0% | 1.11 | 13.00 | 24.00 | 37.00 | 86.00 | 17.00 | 32.00 | 7.00 | 1.66 | 3.65 | 5.32 | 0.96 | 2.07 | 1.52 | 50.84 | 58.17 | - | 19.35 | 63.45 | -15.59 | 1256:00 | 1603.45 | 278.00 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | NSH | LW | 3.2% | 1.11 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 30.00 | 76.00 | 58.00 | 60.00 | 22.00 | 1.37 | 2.85 | 4.22 | 0.71 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 209.37 | 202.44 | 50.8% | 20.16 | 57.22 | -7.61 | 1157:00 | 1643.43 | 261.00 |
| Colton Sissons | TOR | C | 3.3% | 1.10 | 8.00 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 86.00 | 138.00 | 51.00 | 19.00 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.80 | 0.32 | 1.43 | 1.01 | 389.01 | 319.07 | 54.9% | 17.53 | 50.61 | 2.07 | 1073:00 | 1505.82 | 191.00 |
| Ryan McLeod | BUF | C | 21.6% | 1.09 | 12.00 | 24.00 | 36.00 | 80.00 | 16.00 | 29.00 | 17.00 | 1.99 | 4.73 | 6.72 | 0.79 | 1.89 | 2.12 | 551.16 | 556.09 | 49.8% | 20.69 | 67.76 | 2.76 | 1253:00 | 1739.15 | 258.00 |
| Teddy Blueger | TOR | C | 3.2% | 1.09 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 77.00 | 97.00 | 38.00 | 33.00 | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 1.08 | 2.17 | 0.76 | 389.57 | 403.55 | 49.1% | 17.79 | 53.00 | 2.10 | 1069:00 | 1448.34 | 184.00 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | TBL | RW | 7.5% | 1.08 | 15.00 | 17.00 | 33.00 | 117.00 | 39.00 | 24.00 | 12.00 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.42 | 0.70 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 3.75 | 4.61 | - | 19.86 | 61.33 | 8.06 | 1247:00 | 1579.82 | 294.00 |
| Vincent Trocheck | UTA | C | 84.8% | 1.07 | 21.00 | 27.00 | 48.00 | 147.00 | 207.00 | 57.00 | 55.00 | 3.91 | 6.06 | 9.97 | 0.56 | 1.64 | 2.81 | 709.15 | 539.89 | 56.8% | 23.60 | 78.10 | 5.67 | 1534:00 | 1922.82 | 425.00 |
| William Karlsson | VGK | C | 19.3% | 1.07 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 36.00 | 149.00 | 21.00 | 53.00 | 11.00 | 2.39 | 2.75 | 5.14 | 0.49 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 608.65 | 438.13 | 58.1% | 20.66 | 57.77 | -2.02 | 1303:00 | 1560.45 | 406.00 |
| Cole Koepke | WPG | LW | 0.0% | 1.07 | 8.00 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 89.00 | 189.00 | 27.00 | 15.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.60 | 1.67 | 1.98 | 1.20 | 1.44 | - | 12.89 | 40.02 | -0.17 | 812:00 | 1155.79 | 181.00 |
| Alex Killorn | ANA | RW | 5.1% | 1.06 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 29.00 | 141.00 | 61.00 | 27.00 | 35.00 | 1.38 | 1.63 | 3.01 | 0.51 | 1.57 | 1.67 | 35.60 | 49.70 | - | 19.49 | 65.64 | -5.80 | 1323:00 | 1731.45 | 312.00 |
| Cole Smith | CHI | LW | 0.1% | 1.05 | 8.00 | 9.00 | 17.00 | 74.00 | 187.00 | 20.00 | 54.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.49 | 1.54 | 0.94 | 11.19 | 14.35 | - | 16.52 | 47.34 | -14.02 | 1048:00 | 1464.11 | 161.00 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | CBJ | RW | 52.7% | 1.05 | 26.00 | 30.00 | 56.00 | 183.00 | 80.00 | 34.00 | 19.00 | 3.72 | 5.07 | 8.79 | 0.51 | 1.55 | 3.57 | 4.90 | 5.74 | - | 23.16 | 76.32 | 3.21 | 1439:00 | 1866.34 | 509.00 |
| Logan Stankoven | CAR | C | 80.3% | 1.05 | 24.00 | 21.00 | 45.00 | 167.00 | 43.00 | 30.00 | 18.00 | 4.47 | 4.09 | 8.56 | 0.39 | 1.44 | 3.22 | 335.20 | 407.64 | 45.1% | 19.66 | 56.39 | 6.32 | 1220:00 | 1464.01 | 473.00 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | STL | RW | 31.5% | 1.04 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 47.00 | 130.00 | 33.00 | 35.00 | 20.00 | 3.32 | 6.99 | 10.31 | 1.06 | 2.10 | 2.52 | 88.27 | 124.61 | - | 22.73 | 70.54 | 2.74 | 1439:00 | 1818.94 | 416.00 |
| Dawson Mercer | NJD | RW | 21.7% | 1.04 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 34.00 | 153.00 | 29.00 | 44.00 | 21.00 | 1.38 | 1.79 | 3.16 | 0.60 | 1.64 | 2.06 | 102.01 | 128.36 | - | 23.16 | 64.73 | -6.70 | 1378:00 | 1666.94 | 342.00 |
| Morgan Barron | WPG | C | 4.8% | 1.04 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 100.00 | 156.00 | 52.00 | 26.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 1.66 | 2.23 | 238.42 | 250.90 | 48.7% | 14.71 | 43.67 | -0.20 | 945:00 | 1343.99 | 259.00 |
| Jack Drury | NSH | C | 4.8% | 1.04 | 8.00 | 16.00 | 24.00 | 97.00 | 49.00 | 62.00 | 33.00 | 0.22 | 0.50 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 1.81 | 1.28 | 484.44 | 401.28 | 54.7% | 18.95 | 47.82 | -7.52 | 1074:00 | 1442.76 | 279.00 |
| Samuel Honzek | CGY | LW | 13.6% | 1.04 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 83.00 | 110.00 | 25.00 | 15.00 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.73 | 1.76 | 1.01 | 13.21 | 15.08 | - | 12.53 | 41.72 | -16.98 | 839:00 | 1171.77 | 171.00 |
| Mikael Backlund | CGY | C | 12.0% | 1.04 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 31.00 | 187.00 | 35.00 | 32.00 | 18.00 | 0.63 | 0.99 | 1.62 | 0.89 | 1.93 | 1.64 | 703.20 | 718.78 | 49.5% | 22.81 | 74.37 | -28.44 | 1428:00 | 1887.00 | 354.00 |
| Anton Lundell | FLA | C | 42.0% | 1.03 | 15.00 | 26.00 | 41.00 | 174.00 | 101.00 | 41.00 | 35.00 | 4.30 | 8.43 | 12.73 | 0.89 | 1.92 | 2.01 | 600.62 | 562.39 | 51.6% | 19.25 | 70.48 | 1.95 | 1363:00 | 1734.93 | 415.00 |
| Seth Jarvis | CAR | RW | 92.7% | 1.03 | 24.00 | 23.00 | 47.00 | 169.00 | 61.00 | 27.00 | 16.00 | 6.09 | 6.99 | 13.07 | 0.49 | 1.52 | 3.22 | 32.89 | 42.30 | - | 19.80 | 50.58 | 5.19 | 1064:00 | 1224.39 | 456.00 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | SJS | RW | 55.2% | 1.02 | 17.00 | 15.00 | 33.00 | 142.00 | 379.00 | 31.00 | 49.00 | 2.49 | 2.38 | 4.87 | 0.35 | 1.37 | 1.92 | 19.53 | 23.99 | - | 20.39 | 63.08 | -14.74 | 1227:00 | 1541.86 | 306.00 |
| Mikael Granlund | ANA | C | 63.7% | 1.01 | 17.00 | 41.00 | 58.00 | 146.00 | 39.00 | 57.00 | 19.00 | 5.04 | 14.36 | 19.40 | 0.96 | 1.97 | 2.02 | 470.32 | 493.98 | 48.8% | 23.61 | 75.22 | -5.74 | 1504:00 | 1818.70 | 492.00 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | BOS | LW | 10.5% | 1.00 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 29.00 | 75.00 | 49.00 | 38.00 | 12.00 | 0.75 | 1.05 | 1.80 | 0.55 | 1.55 | 1.82 | 84.77 | 91.95 | - | 16.53 | 51.02 | 6.12 | 1038:00 | 1348.68 | 283.00 |
| Connor Brown | NJD | RW | 5.8% | 0.99 | 14.00 | 24.00 | 38.00 | 118.00 | 24.00 | 36.00 | 16.00 | 2.28 | 4.38 | 6.67 | 0.85 | 1.84 | 1.80 | 12.10 | 15.12 | - | 18.46 | 54.69 | -5.24 | 1135:00 | 1331.38 | 346.00 |
| Brett Howden | VGK | LW | 14.6% | 0.98 | 18.00 | 20.00 | 38.00 | 116.00 | 111.00 | 34.00 | 45.00 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 1.25 | 0.49 | 1.47 | 2.79 | 255.08 | 246.40 | 50.9% | 16.74 | 56.47 | -1.91 | 1150:00 | 1502.03 | 362.00 |
| Parker Kelly | COL | LW | 17.7% | 0.98 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 90.00 | 169.00 | 61.00 | 28.00 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 0.83 | 1.81 | 1.64 | 119.19 | 148.60 | 44.5% | 16.34 | 51.65 | 10.41 | 988:00 | 1420.34 | 298.00 |
| Blake Lizotte | PIT | C | 0.2% | 0.95 | 7.00 | 21.00 | 28.00 | 82.00 | 70.00 | 50.00 | 37.00 | 0.15 | 0.52 | 0.67 | 1.32 | 2.28 | 0.71 | 334.03 | 361.73 | 48.0% | 15.15 | 51.39 | 4.66 | 1015:00 | 1428.22 | 256.00 |
| Logan O'Connor | COL | RW | 0.2% | 0.94 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 19.00 | 87.00 | 69.00 | 44.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 1.34 | 21.49 | 25.93 | - | 16.77 | 49.82 | 11.02 | 1034:00 | 1405.49 | 210.00 |
| Paul Cotter | VAN | LW | 56.1% | 0.94 | 17.00 | 9.00 | 27.00 | 75.00 | 208.00 | 21.00 | 22.00 | 1.53 | 0.87 | 2.40 | 0.20 | 1.13 | 2.41 | 93.50 | 99.97 | - | 15.17 | 45.13 | -6.47 | 983:00 | 1276.35 | 227.00 |
| Connor McMichael | STL | C | 34.3% | 0.92 | 19.00 | 30.00 | 49.00 | 152.00 | 41.00 | 39.00 | 30.00 | 3.57 | 6.28 | 9.85 | 0.72 | 1.64 | 2.66 | 192.80 | 247.68 | 43.8% | 21.66 | 59.54 | 2.50 | 1306:00 | 1812.33 | 450.00 |
| Charlie Coyle | CBJ | C | 47.2% | 0.92 | 14.00 | 36.00 | 51.00 | 131.00 | 98.00 | 52.00 | 19.00 | 2.90 | 8.65 | 11.55 | 1.04 | 1.96 | 1.92 | 548.53 | 512.53 | 51.7% | 25.92 | 68.34 | 2.98 | 1389:00 | 1783.39 | 420.00 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | NYI | C | 10.7% | 0.92 | 11.00 | 20.00 | 32.00 | 93.00 | 134.00 | 59.00 | 7.00 | 0.55 | 1.16 | 1.71 | 1.03 | 1.95 | 1.33 | 672.92 | 500.37 | 57.4% | 20.66 | 58.81 | 0.23 | 1264:00 | 1772.37 | 285.00 |
| Joel Farabee | CGY | LW | 11.4% | 0.92 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 35.00 | 150.00 | 46.00 | 49.00 | 35.00 | 2.29 | 4.18 | 6.48 | 0.59 | 1.50 | 1.76 | 27.86 | 34.50 | - | 21.64 | 62.06 | -23.23 | 1263:00 | 1633.30 | 322.00 |
| Ty Dellandrea | SJS | C | 0.1% | 0.91 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 66.00 | 159.00 | 47.00 | 41.00 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.83 | 1.74 | 0.45 | 308.66 | 302.44 | 50.5% | 13.52 | 39.81 | -10.95 | 839:00 | 1090.92 | 112.00 |
| Scott Laughton | LAK | C | 4.8% | 0.90 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 25.00 | 119.00 | 153.00 | 54.00 | 36.00 | 0.34 | 0.49 | 0.83 | 0.65 | 1.55 | 1.45 | 482.87 | 380.29 | 55.9% | 19.13 | 58.86 | 7.40 | 1144:00 | 1657.28 | 251.00 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | FLA | LW | 14.3% | 0.90 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 29.00 | 103.00 | 134.00 | 62.00 | 40.00 | 2.78 | 2.82 | 5.60 | 0.48 | 1.39 | 1.87 | 90.27 | 101.35 | - | 18.21 | 58.86 | 1.90 | 1224:00 | 1618.35 | 317.00 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | NYR | LW | 40.5% | 0.89 | 20.00 | 15.00 | 35.00 | 122.00 | 163.00 | 76.00 | 23.00 | 3.10 | 2.64 | 5.74 | 0.31 | 1.20 | 2.21 | 2.69 | 3.28 | - | 16.18 | 50.27 | 12.72 | 1111:00 | 1563.73 | 398.00 |
| Robert Thomas | STL | C | 85.3% | 0.88 | 20.00 | 50.00 | 71.00 | 137.00 | 14.00 | 47.00 | 28.00 | 3.78 | 11.17 | 14.95 | 0.95 | 1.83 | 2.80 | 727.83 | 661.41 | 52.4% | 25.58 | 85.90 | 2.89 | 1527:00 | 1907.59 | 559.00 |
| Nico Sturm | MIN | C | 0.1% | 0.87 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 52.00 | 75.00 | 29.00 | 17.00 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.51 | 1.39 | 1.14 | 249.64 | 195.37 | 56.1% | 10.47 | 30.54 | -2.10 | 659:00 | 895.52 | 121.00 |
| Erik Haula | LAK | C | 11.8% | 0.85 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 32.00 | 146.00 | 101.00 | 47.00 | 46.00 | 1.67 | 3.19 | 4.87 | 1.18 | 2.03 | 1.59 | 471.22 | 493.67 | 48.8% | 19.87 | 63.34 | 7.55 | 1250:00 | 1775.10 | 321.00 |
| Ryan Poehling | ANA | C | 5.9% | 0.84 | 8.00 | 16.00 | 24.00 | 75.00 | 33.00 | 67.00 | 14.00 | 0.33 | 0.79 | 1.12 | 0.60 | 1.45 | 0.95 | 337.81 | 365.40 | 48.0% | 12.98 | 39.68 | -3.72 | 820:00 | 1140.84 | 248.00 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | EDM | RW | 16.4% | 0.84 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 30.00 | 107.00 | 111.00 | 28.00 | 21.00 | 3.07 | 4.50 | 7.57 | 0.41 | 1.25 | 1.72 | 16.06 | 18.71 | - | 15.55 | 53.09 | 4.03 | 1079:00 | 1402.00 | 257.00 |
| Sam Steel | DAL | C | 5.8% | 0.83 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 29.00 | 97.00 | 67.00 | 32.00 | 21.00 | 0.28 | 0.73 | 1.02 | 0.80 | 1.63 | 1.32 | 145.61 | 140.13 | 51.0% | 17.64 | 56.31 | 2.27 | 1174:00 | 1475.21 | 257.00 |
| Sean Couturier | PHI | C | 8.3% | 0.83 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 27.00 | 109.00 | 91.00 | 31.00 | 26.00 | 0.46 | 1.27 | 1.73 | 0.87 | 1.70 | 0.97 | 607.74 | 510.11 | 54.4% | 21.32 | 63.67 | -10.68 | 1294:00 | 1718.44 | 239.00 |
| Mitch Marner | VGK | RW | 98.9% | 0.82 | 23.00 | 55.00 | 78.00 | 168.00 | 31.00 | 47.00 | 19.00 | 7.14 | 20.90 | 28.05 | 0.85 | 1.67 | 3.56 | 95.74 | 128.45 | - | 31.90 | 93.46 | -2.12 | 1575:00 | 1699.42 | 623.00 |
| Jake Guentzel | TBL | LW | 99.5% | 0.80 | 32.00 | 44.00 | 76.00 | 205.00 | 38.00 | 39.00 | 33.00 | 11.73 | 18.29 | 30.02 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 4.20 | 198.27 | 211.54 | 48.4% | 23.88 | 76.03 | 7.79 | 1581:00 | 1729.10 | 666.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Start from total goals. Each player's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model this season (LineupExperts for longer ranges); assists and ice time from LineupExperts. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.
Heavy shrinkage. One early shorthanded goal says almost nothing about a player's true rate, so shorthanded scoring rates are pulled strongly toward the league average for the position. In our backtest, 25 skaters who scored a shorthanded goal in their first 10 games scored 26 more the rest of the season; the model projected 26.4, while their early pace implied 129.
Team check. Each team's projected shorthanded goals are scaled to the league's shorthanded share of that team's projected goals.
Variance warning
even the leaders project for one or two a season. Single-game values are tiny.
💡
Pro Tip: Use this page to find regular penalty killers, not to chase a shorthanded goal this season.
Penalty-kill deployment
Penalty-kill minutes drive this ranking. Check current deployment.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Projected goals are split by strength using the player's recent penalty-kill minutes times a heavily shrunk shorthanded scoring rate. Each team's total is then scaled to the league shorthanded share of its projected goals.
Shorthanded goals are rare. Even top penalty killers average one or two a season, so a single game projects for a few hundredths of a goal.
Less reliable than most categories. In our backtest the model beat a naive per-game rate by a wide margin and got the league total right, but player-level results are noisy because the events are so rare.
No. The model has no opponent power-play adjustment; penalty-kill ice time is the main driver.
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Special Teams
Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points
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Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-
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Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA
Fantasy Points
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