Edgehalla

NHL Projected Goalie Wins - Rest of Season

Goalie wins are the most impactful fantasy goaltending stat. Our win projections analyze team strength, opponent quality, and home/away splits to identify which goalies are best positioned for victories this season. Heavy favorites with quality starters offer the safest win upside.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 72 players
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Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Wins

72 players
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Goalies72 of 72

PlayerTeamPosRost%W ↓GSLOTLSVGASASV%GAA†MIN†FPTS
Linus UllmarkOTTG88.9%34.0051.0014.003.001250.0116.01371.091.5%2.293043:20581.00
Mackenzie BlackwoodCOLG91.0%30.0051.0018.003.001254.0139.01392.090.0%2.733056:16492.00
Logan ThompsonWSHG99.8%30.0051.0017.003.001336.0134.01471.090.9%2.633053:38560.00
Jake AllenNJDG53.8%29.0051.0018.004.001282.0145.01422.089.8%2.843061:32486.00
Andrei VasilevskiyTBLG99.2%29.0051.0018.003.001233.0124.01348.090.9%2.443050:17528.00
Connor HellebuyckWPGG91.3%29.0055.0021.006.001412.0139.01543.091.0%2.533296:38587.00
Jeremy SwaymanBOSG96.6%29.0051.0019.003.001354.0131.01490.091.2%2.573057:52584.00
Jesper WallstedtMING96.4%29.0051.0017.006.001346.0127.01474.091.4%2.493061:02578.00
Stuart SkinnerWPGG62.1%28.0051.0018.005.001307.0141.01457.090.3%2.773052:49504.00
Karel VejmelkaUTAG97.9%28.0051.0018.003.001237.0131.01361.090.4%2.563074:35510.00
Carter HartVGKG89.0%26.0050.0020.003.001238.0133.01375.090.3%2.672992:12478.00
Joey DaccordSEAG67.3%26.0051.0021.003.001322.0135.01457.090.7%2.663041:13532.00
Jake OettingerDALG99.1%26.0051.0019.006.001228.0114.01343.091.5%2.243053:52560.00
Ilya SorokinNYIG97.3%26.0051.0021.004.001347.0126.01458.091.5%2.473054:42590.00
Lukas DostalANAG83.2%26.0051.0022.004.001315.0151.01463.089.7%2.973047:10469.00
Joel HoferSTLG83.0%25.0051.0019.007.001240.0120.01374.091.2%2.353061:00538.00
Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenBUFG66.1%25.0051.0020.006.001206.0150.01356.088.9%2.933076:46407.00
Jet GreavesCBJG79.8%25.0052.0021.004.001315.0138.01452.090.5%2.643133:43509.00
Darcy KuemperLAKG51.2%24.0052.0023.005.001306.0142.01456.090.2%2.763085:14489.00
Jacob MarkstromFLAG91.8%24.0051.0019.006.001179.0129.01303.090.1%2.553036:17462.00
Sergei BobrovskyTORG84.8%23.0051.0021.007.001385.0142.01518.090.7%2.793054:58526.00
Juuse SarosNSHG85.3%22.0051.0023.006.001373.0155.01534.089.9%3.053049:42475.00
Spencer KnightCHIG73.3%22.0051.0025.004.001363.0158.01522.089.6%3.103056:24460.00
Arturs SilovsPITG57.0%22.0041.0015.003.001001.0123.01131.089.1%3.002457:25360.00
Dylan GarandNYRG53.2%22.0050.0012.003.00829.077.0906.091.5%2.321989:19400.00
Brandon BussiCARG93.8%22.0039.0012.005.00931.0105.01040.089.9%2.692341:47361.00
Jakub DobesMTLG93.0%22.0045.0017.006.001169.0136.01312.089.6%3.032696:28408.00
Pyotr KochetkovCARG53.7%21.0031.009.001.00729.075.0810.090.7%2.421860:11324.00
Yaroslav AskarovSJSG74.8%21.0051.0025.004.001309.0176.01490.088.1%3.473039:57366.00
John GibsonDETG63.9%20.0051.0024.007.001264.0148.01412.089.5%2.943021:53419.00
Devon LeviEDMG54.0%20.0031.0010.001.00817.090.0908.090.1%2.911858:26319.00
Scott WedgewoodCOLG88.9%19.0031.0010.002.00794.072.0870.091.7%2.331857:39366.00
Tristan JarryEDMG26.1%19.0040.0016.004.00992.0120.01110.089.2%3.002400:44340.00
Adin HillVGKG27.3%19.0031.009.003.00765.083.0854.090.2%2.691853:36307.00
Daniel VladarPHIG61.4%19.0050.0025.006.001341.0154.01495.089.7%3.092994:38444.00
Dustin WolfCGYG54.5%19.0051.0028.004.001304.0169.01465.088.5%3.333044:07379.00
Anthony StolarzTORG36.4%18.0031.0011.002.00810.083.0885.090.7%2.691853:14334.00
Jacob FowlerMTLG52.3%17.0031.0012.002.00787.078.0861.091.0%2.511861:28333.00
Philipp GrubauerSEAG15.2%16.0031.0011.002.00822.087.0915.090.4%2.791872:27315.00
Anton ForsbergLAKG20.9%15.0031.0012.003.00771.081.0852.090.5%2.581883:40302.00
Alex LyonBUFG31.3%15.0029.0012.003.00762.078.0839.090.7%2.701736:29301.00
Filip GustavssonMING61.2%15.0030.0012.002.00790.083.0855.090.5%2.771799:54309.00
Akira SchmidFLAG24.4%15.0031.0012.004.00797.082.0884.090.7%2.611886:19309.00
Cam TalbotCBJG6.6%14.0031.0016.001.00775.093.0867.089.3%2.991868:37256.00
Jordan BinningtonSTLG26.8%14.0031.0013.003.00786.093.0874.089.4%3.001857:10269.00
Sam MontembeaultMTLG13.8%14.0027.0012.002.00690.080.0793.089.6%2.961620:20241.00
Calvin PickardMING4.1%13.0031.0018.000.00770.090.0867.089.5%2.901863:40258.00
Casey DeSmithDALG15.6%13.0026.0011.002.00665.066.0729.091.0%2.531562:24272.00
Kevin LankinenVANG22.4%13.0050.0023.003.00847.0141.0990.085.7%4.361942:17149.00
Samuel ErssonOTTG10.6%13.0031.0013.003.00757.096.0857.088.8%3.081870:47237.00
Sebastian CossaUTAG32.3%13.0022.007.002.00593.071.0672.089.3%3.261307:34210.00
Charlie LindgrenWSHG12.2%12.0025.0011.002.00643.074.0714.089.7%2.961500:26231.00
Alex NedeljkovicSJSG16.7%12.0027.0012.003.00716.080.0807.090.0%2.941630:47251.00
Colten EllisBUFG16.3%12.0031.0015.003.00748.089.0837.089.4%2.881851:54256.00
Thatcher DemkoVANG23.6%11.0024.0010.003.00609.067.0677.090.1%2.801434:57227.00
Michael DipietroBOSG13.8%11.0023.0010.002.00592.069.0654.089.6%3.001378:45203.00
Joseph WollPHIG39.4%11.0029.0013.005.00810.085.0895.090.5%2.941737:38288.00
Daniil TarasovDETG11.5%11.0026.0011.002.00674.078.0746.089.6%2.981570:10230.00
Leevi MerilainenVANG20.4%11.0031.0013.001.00634.087.0721.087.9%3.631436:10173.00
Justus AnnunenNSHG10.4%11.0023.0010.002.00602.063.0670.090.5%2.731384:23230.00
Clay StevensonWPGG11.4%11.0031.007.002.00490.056.0546.089.7%2.861174:15181.00
Ville HussoANAG7.3%10.0022.0010.002.00571.065.0643.089.8%2.951323:26197.00
Matt MurrayNSHG0.1%10.0031.007.004.00486.055.0540.089.8%3.011098:00179.00
Dennis HildebyTBLG18.6%10.0019.008.002.00503.052.0552.090.6%2.721144:58195.00
Devin CooleyCGYG12.1%10.0025.0013.003.00641.072.0717.089.9%2.871505:54225.00
Joonas KorpisaloNew team · 1 GP with NYRNYRG11.6%9.0019.008.002.00489.056.0543.089.7%2.951140:51170.00
Nico DawsNJDG17.0%9.0018.008.002.00485.054.0535.090.0%3.001079:05174.00
Arvid SoderblomCHIG5.6%9.0022.0011.002.00579.070.0656.089.2%3.181320:24183.00
Sergei MurashovPITG61.8%9.0031.009.003.00539.059.0598.090.1%2.721300:52193.00
Frederik AndersenNew team · 0 GP with EDMEDMG35.2%7.0015.006.002.00386.042.0434.090.2%2.80899:29145.00
Semyon VarlamovNYIG4.9%7.0015.007.001.00388.043.0437.090.0%2.87899:19137.00
Elvis MerzlikinsTORG7.3%1.001.000.000.0027.03.030.090.0%-59:529.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Why wins matter

Goalie wins are worth 3-5 points in most fantasy formats, making them the most impactful goalie stat. A win can swing your entire fantasy week.

Win probability factors

- Team strength: Goalies on good teams win more often - Home ice advantage: Most goalies perform better at home - Opponent: Facing weak offensive teams increases win odds - Betting lines: Vegas moneylines indicate expected win probability

Win projection tiers

- High confidence (65%+): Heavy favorites (-180 or better) - Medium confidence (50-65%): Slight favorites - Low confidence (<50%): Underdogs and toss-ups

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Pro Tip: Moneyline favorites win about 58% of NHL games. Only start goalies on teams -140 or better if wins are your priority.

This Season's Favorite Goalies

Goalies on heavy favorites have the best win probability. Check team betting lines to identify high-confidence win targets.

Games Rest of Season

Confirmed Starters

Verify your goalie is confirmed to start before counting on a win. Check our starting goalies page for real-time confirmation updates.

Starting Goalies

Wins vs. Saves Trade-off

Goalies on favorites often face fewer shots (fewer saves) but win more often. Balance your goalie strategy based on category needs.

Saves Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Projected wins come straight from LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider; we show their numbers as published and do not adjust them.
Goalies on elite teams like Boston, Colorado, and Dallas win the most. Starting goalies on playoff contenders typically accumulate 30+ wins per season.
For wins, yes. Underdogs win only 42% of NHL games. If wins are your priority, target goalies on teams favored by -140 or better.
Generally yes, because backups often face tougher matchups or play for weaker teams. However, quality backups on elite teams can still accumulate wins.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see rest of season player projections