NHL Projected Goalie Wins for Today
Goalie wins are the most impactful fantasy goaltending stat. Our win projections analyze team strength, opponent quality, and home/away splits to identify which goalies are best positioned for victories tonight. Heavy favorites with quality starters offer the safest win upside.
Sorted by Projected Goaltending Wins
4 playersGoalies4 of 4
| Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Rost% | W ↓ | GS | L | OTL | SV | GA | SA | SV% | GAA† | MIN† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | COL | G | vs DAL | 88.9% | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.09 | 23.0 | 2.3 | 25.3 | 90.9% | 2.30 | 59:55 | 10.64 |
| Charlie Lindgren | WSH | G | vs MTL | 12.2% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 25.6 | 3.0 | 28.6 | 89.6% | 2.97 | 60:01 | 9.15 |
| Jakub Dobes | MTL | G | @ WSH | 93.0% | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.10 | 24.0 | 2.9 | 26.9 | 89.1% | 2.94 | 59:55 | 7.97 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | G | @ COL | 15.6% | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 26.2 | 2.8 | 29.0 | 90.3% | 2.82 | 60:06 | 9.30 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
Goalie shots against, saves, goals against, SV%, GAA, wins and OTL are an Edgehalla blend: LineupExperts' goalie line averaged 50/50 with Edgehalla's own goalie model.
Why wins matter
Goalie wins are worth 3-5 points in most fantasy formats, making them the most impactful goalie stat. A win can swing your entire fantasy week.
Win probability factors
- Team strength: Goalies on good teams win more often - Home ice advantage: Most goalies perform better at home - Opponent: Facing weak offensive teams increases win odds - Betting lines: Vegas moneylines indicate expected win probability
Win projection tiers
- High confidence (65%+): Heavy favorites (-180 or better) - Medium confidence (50-65%): Slight favorites - Low confidence (<50%): Underdogs and toss-ups
Tonight's Favorite Goalies
Goalies on heavy favorites have the best win probability. Check team betting lines to identify high-confidence win targets.
Games TodayConfirmed Starters
Verify your goalie is confirmed to start before counting on a win. Check our starting goalies page for real-time confirmation updates.
Starting GoaliesWins vs. Saves Trade-off
Goalies on favorites often face fewer shots (fewer saves) but win more often. Balance your goalie strategy based on category needs.
Saves ProjectionsRelated Projections
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