Edgehalla

DraftKings NHL Projections for Today

DraftKings NHL Classic scoring pays 8.5 per goal, 5 per assist, 1.5 per shot on goal and 1.3 per blocked shot, plus a +2 bonus per shorthanded point and +3 milestone bonuses. We apply that official scoring to each player's projected stat line, with the bonuses as expected values.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 80 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Fantasy Points Draft Kings

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Top plays: skaters and goalies by DraftKings Points

  1. 1.Nathan MacKinnonCOL · C16.55
  2. 2.Jason RobertsonDAL · LW13.34
  3. 3.Cole CaufieldMTL · LW13.12
  4. 4.Cale MakarCOL · D13.08
  5. 5.Scott WedgewoodCOL · G12.72
  6. 6.Nick SuzukiMTL · C12.17
  7. 7.Jakob ChychrunWSH · D11.89
  8. 8.Martin NecasCOL · RW11.85
  9. 9.Alex TuchWSH · RW11.69
  10. 10.Casey DeSmithDAL · G11.27

Skaters76 of 76Goalies (4) ↓

PlayerTeamPosOppRost%DK† ↓GAnytime%APTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Nathan MacKinnonCOLCvs DAL99.9%16.550.6044.9%0.901.503.280.600.500.600.180.280.460.000.000.010.118.888.8150.2%0.341.350.3220:4123.7112.88
Jason RobertsonDALLW@ COL99.1%13.340.4737.5%0.601.073.280.700.300.300.130.200.340.000.000.000.060.030.04-0.321.02-0.1321:1420.119.32
Cole CaufieldMTLLW@ WSH99.9%13.120.6447.5%0.400.943.010.600.200.200.190.140.330.000.000.000.090.110.13-0.280.83-0.0219:1920.959.16
Cale MakarCOLDvs DAL100.0%13.080.2522.2%0.700.952.600.401.700.300.100.310.400.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.401.270.3725:0025.899.90
Nick SuzukiMTLC@ WSH99.9%12.170.4033.1%0.701.102.490.900.600.300.110.230.340.010.010.020.058.938.6950.7%0.341.09-0.0221:5722.409.01
Jakob ChychrunWSHDvs MTL99.0%11.890.3126.8%0.500.712.500.701.500.800.100.160.260.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.351.23-0.0325:0322.638.47
Martin NecasCOLRWvs DAL99.9%11.850.4838.1%0.601.182.440.900.300.300.150.200.350.000.000.010.090.280.29-0.331.090.2821:3621.109.48
Alex TuchWSHRWvs MTL93.8%11.690.4032.8%0.400.802.530.901.200.500.060.070.130.020.020.040.050.770.93-0.410.92-0.0219:0924.648.09
Mikko RantanenDALRW@ COL98.8%10.890.3428.7%0.701.042.300.700.400.900.090.230.320.000.000.000.050.900.99-0.351.08-0.1421:4121.718.13
Tom WilsonWSHRWvs MTL94.2%10.670.4032.9%0.500.901.992.600.901.100.090.110.200.020.020.040.060.180.22-0.290.99-0.0219:4023.087.79
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW@ WSH97.5%10.470.3529.3%0.500.752.391.400.700.500.100.160.270.000.000.000.050.290.40-0.290.96-0.0218:5320.177.08
Lane HutsonMTLD@ WSH99.0%9.890.1615.1%0.700.861.740.401.300.400.060.260.320.000.000.000.020.000.00-0.401.24-0.0325:4024.437.38
Miro HeiskanenDALD@ COL98.1%9.660.1412.6%0.600.741.930.301.400.400.040.220.260.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.381.31-0.1826:0325.446.71
Alex OvechkinWSHLWvs MTL92.2%8.790.2925.4%0.400.692.421.500.200.200.090.130.220.000.000.000.040.020.02-0.230.80-0.0215:2619.756.55
Nazem KadriCOLCvs DAL69.5%8.720.2017.8%0.400.602.600.600.500.500.050.130.190.000.000.000.035.906.6746.9%0.300.990.2820:0022.215.78
Roope HintzDALC@ COL83.0%8.670.2824.2%0.400.782.251.000.400.300.080.120.190.000.000.010.047.465.8556.0%0.250.85-0.1217:5121.076.86
Dylan StromeWSHCvs MTL81.0%8.660.2018.2%0.600.801.790.200.700.400.050.170.220.000.000.000.038.937.2455.2%0.260.88-0.0217:2920.406.61
Noah DobsonMTLD@ WSH93.8%8.560.1210.9%0.400.521.660.901.700.400.020.070.090.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.371.22-0.0320:0927.185.69
Brock NelsonCOLCvs DAL86.6%8.480.3327.8%0.300.631.850.400.800.400.070.070.140.020.010.030.068.518.4550.2%0.290.870.2918:3923.476.45
Ryan LeonardWSHRWvs MTL67.2%8.480.2622.9%0.500.761.961.800.400.700.060.130.190.000.000.000.040.060.07-0.220.72-0.0214:2817.536.76
Artturi LehkonenCOLLWvs DAL75.9%8.240.3328.2%0.300.631.870.600.600.300.060.050.120.020.010.020.060.110.14-0.300.920.3119:3923.916.69
Boone JennerWSHCvs MTL23.1%7.780.2219.9%0.300.521.771.901.000.500.010.010.020.010.010.020.034.233.5254.6%0.250.82-0.0215:1321.165.53
Thomas HarleyDALD@ COL83.2%7.640.087.3%0.300.381.630.501.700.300.010.050.070.000.000.010.010.000.00-0.411.23-0.1823:5124.985.56
Cole HutsonWSHDvs MTL87.4%7.630.1514.1%0.500.651.651.000.800.500.040.140.170.000.000.000.020.000.00-0.261.00-0.0219:2822.966.02
Aliaksei ProtasWSHLWvs MTL52.3%7.600.2320.7%0.400.631.690.400.600.200.010.010.020.010.020.030.030.380.43-0.280.87-0.0216:0021.246.00
Gabriel LandeskogCOLLWvs DAL46.7%7.410.2118.6%0.300.612.051.400.600.700.050.070.120.000.000.000.042.171.8454.0%0.250.790.2517:1220.135.93
Devon ToewsCOLDvs DAL72.7%7.150.087.9%0.400.481.470.501.300.400.020.100.120.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.431.200.3822:5827.945.90
Martin FehervaryWSHDvs MTL25.1%6.950.066.1%0.200.260.931.602.200.400.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.240.99-0.0322:0622.294.38
Jordan KyrouWSHRWvs MTL69.0%6.910.1917.4%0.400.591.720.300.400.200.040.090.130.000.000.000.030.120.16-0.280.84-0.0213:0820.665.65
Brent BurnsCOLDvs DAL46.7%6.800.1110.2%0.300.311.690.201.100.400.000.010.020.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.271.060.3518:1525.074.74
Tyler SeguinDALRW@ COL18.2%6.640.2522.2%0.300.551.720.600.200.200.040.050.090.000.000.000.033.503.2352.0%0.230.75-0.1215:5319.855.11
Chris KreiderMTLLW@ WSH61.6%6.520.2521.8%0.300.551.601.100.300.300.070.090.170.000.000.010.030.290.35-0.260.77-0.0214:3521.144.47
Josh MansonCOLDvs DAL36.0%6.470.077.0%0.300.271.312.001.401.000.000.010.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.250.980.3118:2322.964.74
Alex NewhookMTLLW@ WSH24.6%6.410.2824.1%0.200.481.571.100.400.300.040.030.070.020.010.030.043.833.7950.3%0.230.73-0.0215:5219.724.15
Sam MalinskiCOLDvs DAL44.2%6.360.087.6%0.200.281.650.501.300.300.010.020.020.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.270.860.2917:4320.865.08
Esa LindellDALD@ COL31.8%6.120.065.6%0.200.260.830.401.900.200.000.020.020.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.321.21-0.1820:3424.294.34
Parker KellyCOLLWvs DAL17.7%6.120.2320.3%0.200.431.152.000.900.400.000.000.010.020.010.030.041.531.9144.5%0.210.660.2212:5318.264.36
Timothy LiljegrenWSHDvs MTL4.8%6.020.054.9%0.200.250.940.901.800.400.000.010.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.261.01-0.0318:3723.173.30
Alexandre CarrierMTLD@ WSH13.3%5.980.098.7%0.200.290.810.701.700.400.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.300.96-0.0318:1824.604.15
Jaden SchwartzCOLLWvs DAL30.3%5.620.2119.0%0.200.511.260.500.600.300.030.040.070.000.000.000.040.420.45-0.300.820.2712:5121.414.57
Jamie BennDALLW@ COL19.0%5.520.2119.1%0.300.511.161.300.300.700.020.040.060.000.000.000.031.381.39-0.210.69-0.1112:3619.733.77
Kaiden GuhleMTLD@ WSH17.9%5.500.055.2%0.200.250.992.001.500.700.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.341.05-0.0318:3923.793.72
Zachary BolducMTLLW@ WSH24.3%5.500.2018.2%0.200.401.452.000.400.300.040.040.070.000.000.000.030.180.22-0.200.74-0.0213:5715.974.21
Justin SourdifWSHCvs MTL15.4%5.480.1615.1%0.300.461.221.300.500.400.010.020.030.000.000.010.023.934.3447.5%0.220.71-0.0213:2619.124.38
T.J. HughesCOLRWvs DAL22.6%5.400.1311.8%0.200.331.780.700.400.300.060.100.160.000.000.000.021.391.51-0.170.500.1214:2911.522.96
Alexandre TexierMTLLW@ WSH4.9%5.250.1312.6%0.300.431.421.100.300.400.020.050.070.000.000.000.020.090.12-0.210.59-0.0213:2216.624.01
Brett KulakCOLDvs DAL4.3%5.120.021.6%0.200.220.950.301.500.300.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.260.990.3418:3823.213.60
Sam SteelDALC@ COL5.8%5.050.1816.2%0.200.481.260.800.400.300.010.010.010.010.010.020.021.871.8051.0%0.230.72-0.1216:2118.973.46
Ilya ProtasWSHLWvs MTL40.4%5.020.1110.6%0.300.411.210.600.500.300.020.070.090.000.000.000.024.175.1344.8%0.230.73-0.0213:0717.713.57
Ethen FrankWSHRWvs MTL0.1%4.780.1412.9%0.200.341.040.800.700.200.030.040.060.000.000.000.020.040.05-0.180.55-0.019:3415.964.03
Josh AndersonMTLRW@ WSH11.1%4.770.2018.0%0.100.301.301.800.401.100.000.000.000.020.010.020.030.220.23-0.210.66-0.0213:1618.943.19
Justin HryckowianDALC@ COL15.3%4.770.1614.6%0.200.261.131.600.500.400.020.020.040.010.000.010.022.351.9654.5%0.230.59-0.1014:1417.522.85
Anthony BeauvillierWSHRWvs MTL4.1%4.720.1311.8%0.200.331.271.100.500.200.000.010.010.000.000.010.020.380.43-0.210.62-0.0212:0618.003.75
Jake EvansMTLC@ WSH4.9%4.700.1412.8%0.200.340.961.200.700.300.000.000.000.020.010.030.027.106.0853.9%0.260.72-0.0213:0819.863.12
Vincent DesharnaisWSHDvs MTL4.2%4.560.032.5%0.100.130.731.901.600.800.000.000.000.000.010.010.000.000.00-0.220.94-0.0219:1020.653.05
Tyler MyersDALD@ COL3.3%4.310.021.5%0.100.220.901.101.400.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.271.02-0.1614:5024.062.79
Phillip DanaultMTLC@ WSH4.9%4.260.098.5%0.200.291.160.800.500.300.000.010.010.010.010.020.017.506.4853.7%0.240.77-0.0215:0621.523.23
Kirby DachMTLC@ WSH10.5%4.230.1211.1%0.200.320.901.500.600.700.020.030.040.000.000.010.021.401.58-0.210.68-0.029:0017.422.81
Nicolas RoyCOLCvs DAL12.1%4.230.1211.1%0.200.320.890.900.600.500.010.010.020.010.010.010.024.984.5252.4%0.250.750.2412:0219.092.81
Arttu HyryDALC@ COL4.0%4.120.1412.7%0.100.141.231.500.400.100.000.000.000.020.010.030.024.913.9155.7%0.180.56-0.1013:0615.922.12
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLLWvs DAL11.2%4.080.109.8%0.100.201.202.500.601.000.000.000.010.010.010.020.020.080.09-0.190.600.2112:1816.882.82
Fedor SvechkovCOLCvs DAL8.8%4.060.098.7%0.200.290.940.700.600.400.000.010.010.000.000.000.023.244.1244.1%0.200.630.2212:3515.822.45
Nils LundkvistDALD@ COL5.6%4.020.055.0%0.200.250.920.500.800.400.000.010.010.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.190.80-0.1216:5718.953.21
Florian XhekajMTLLW@ WSH7.3%3.750.087.6%0.200.281.100.800.300.200.000.000.010.000.000.000.010.170.21-0.160.49-0.019:4812.732.37
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLDvs DAL0.1%3.660.022.2%0.100.120.562.001.300.500.000.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.230.790.2513:1821.262.24
Justin HollWSHDvs MTL0.1%3.530.000.0%0.100.100.601.101.300.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.220.77-0.0214:5418.132.30
Joel KivirantaNew team · 2 GP with DALDALLW@ COL0.1%3.320.109.9%0.100.200.901.300.400.200.000.000.000.010.010.010.010.150.17-0.180.59-0.0911:3016.902.73
Lian BichselDALD@ COL20.2%3.240.066.1%0.100.060.682.800.800.800.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.210.76-0.1215:4218.121.88
Owen BeckMTLC@ WSH8.0%3.240.087.3%0.100.180.931.600.500.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.012.212.0352.1%0.150.47-0.019:1512.742.16
Oskar BackDALLW@ COL0.2%3.000.087.8%0.100.280.720.400.500.100.000.000.000.010.010.010.010.650.66-0.200.57-0.1012:4616.372.29
Radek FaksaDALC@ COL0.1%2.950.055.3%0.100.250.741.200.600.300.000.000.000.010.010.010.014.344.0951.5%0.200.54-0.1010:2917.372.42
Colin BlackwellDALRW@ COL0.1%2.810.065.8%0.100.160.821.400.400.400.000.000.000.000.000.010.011.842.0547.4%0.200.53-0.099:4715.991.66
Adam EngstromMTLD@ WSH6.4%2.710.021.9%0.100.120.790.500.600.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.260.99-0.0212:0825.392.32
Arber XhekajMTLD@ WSH8.6%2.300.021.9%0.100.120.522.400.601.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.170.65-0.029:5415.631.41
Kyle CapobiancoDALD@ COL0.1%2.290.011.3%0.100.110.440.300.700.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.180.63-0.108:0214.721.88
Dylan McIlrathWSHDvs MTL0.1%1.130.011.4%0.000.010.401.800.300.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.130.47-0.019:1212.630.49

Goalies4 of 4Goalie projections page →

PlayerTeamPosOppRost%DK† ↓GSWLOTLSVGASASV%GAA†MIN†FPTS
Scott WedgewoodCOLGvs DAL88.9%12.721.000.670.340.0923.02.325.390.9%2.3059:5510.64
Casey DeSmithDALG@ COL15.6%11.271.000.370.520.1126.22.829.090.3%2.8260:069.30
Charlie LindgrenWSHGvs MTL12.2%11.081.000.500.400.1025.63.028.689.6%2.9760:019.15
Jakub DobesMTLG@ WSH93.0%9.841.000.490.410.1024.02.926.989.1%2.9459:557.97

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Goalie shots against, saves, goals against, SV%, GAA, wins and OTL are an Edgehalla blend: LineupExperts' goalie line averaged 50/50 with Edgehalla's own goalie model.

DraftKings NHL Classic scoring (official rules, verified 2026-10-03): - Goal

+8.5 · Assist: +5 · Shot on goal: +1.5 · Blocked shot: +1.3 - Short-handed point bonus: +2 per shorthanded goal or assist (on top of the goal or assist) - Shootout goal: +1.5 - Bonuses: hat trick +3, 5+ shots on goal +3, 3+ blocked shots +3, 3+ points +3 - Goalies: win +6, save +0.7, goal against −3.5, shutout +4, overtime loss +2, 35+ saves +3

How we project DK points

- Expected points from the projected stat line: assists, shots, blocks (LineupExperts), goals (our goal model tonight) and shorthanded points (our model). - Threshold bonuses as per-game probabilities: the chance of 3+ goals, 5+ shots, 3+ blocks, 3+ points or 35+ saves from a Poisson distribution at the player's projected per-game rate, times games. - The shutout bonus uses our internal shutout estimate as an expected value, even though shutouts are not published as a column. - Shootout goals are not projected and are left out.

💡
Pro Tip: In DK GPPs, target 3-4 player stacks from high-totaled games. Correlated production creates tournament-winning ceilings.

DK Value Plays Tonight

Find players with high projections at low salaries. Value plays let you afford multiple studs in your lineup.

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DK Shot Volume Plays

Volume shooters earn 1.5 per shot and a +3 bonus on 5+ shot nights. See projected shots on goal.

Shots on Goal

DK Goalie Strategy

DK goalies are high-variance. Target favorites with favorable matchups and avoid starting goalies against elite offenses.

Starting Goalies

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

We apply DraftKings' official NHL Classic scoring to each player's projected stat line. Milestone bonuses (hat trick, 5+ shots, 3+ blocks, 3+ points, 35+ saves) are added as per-game Poisson probabilities times games, and the shutout bonus uses our internal shutout estimate. Shootout goals are not projected.
FanDuel pays more per event: 12 per goal, 8 per assist and 1.6 per shot or block, against 8.5, 5, 1.5 and 1.3 on DraftKings. DraftKings adds milestone bonuses (hat trick, 5+ shots, 3+ blocks, 3+ points) and an overtime-loss bonus for goalies that FanDuel does not have.
Start with a core of high-projected players, build stacks from the same line, and fill with value plays who have good matchups at low salaries.
Yes, especially in GPPs. When one player scores, linemates often get assists. Stack 2-3 players from high-totaled games for correlated upside.

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