NHL Points Projections Today

Projected points for every skater playing tonight, with his chance of recording 1+ and 2+ points, fair odds and his power-play role. Projections, not picks.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:52 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 80 players

Chance of a point tonight, every skater

GamePositionPlayer or teamPP1 only76 skaters

Chance of a point tonight, every skater. Columns: Proj PTS, the chance of each line, and fair odds.
				Fair odds (1+ PTS)
Nathan MacKinnonPP1C · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	1.50	78%	44%	-3461.29
Martin NecasPP1RW · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	1.18	69%	33%	-2261.44
Nick SuzukiPP1C · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	1.10	67%	30%	-2011.50
Jason RobertsonPP1LW · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	1.07	66%	29%	-1921.52
Mikko RantanenPP1RW · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	1.04	65%	28%	-1821.55
Cale MakarPP1D · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.95	61%	25%	-1591.63
Cole CaufieldPP1LW · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.94	61%	24%	-1571.64
Tom WilsonPP1RW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.90	59%	23%	-1461.69
Lane HutsonPP1D · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.86	58%	21%	-1371.73
Dylan StromePP1C · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.80	55%	19%	-1231.81
Alex TuchRW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.80	55%	19%	-1221.82
Roope HintzPP1C · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	0.78	54%	18%	-1171.85
Ryan LeonardRW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.76	53%	18%	-1141.88
Juraj SlafkovskyPP1RW · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.75	53%	17%	-1111.90
Miro HeiskanenPP1D · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	0.73	52%	17%	-1091.92
Jakob ChychrunPP1D · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.71	51%	16%	-1041.96
Alex OvechkinPP1LW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.69	50%	15%	+1002.00
Cole HutsonD · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.65	48%	14%	+1092.09
Aliaksei ProtasLW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.63	47%	13%	+1132.13
Artturi LehkonenLW · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.63	47%	13%	+1142.14
Brock NelsonC · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.63	47%	13%	+1152.15
Gabriel LandeskogLW · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.60	45%	12%	+1202.20
Nazem KadriPP1C · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.60	45%	12%	+1232.23
Jordan KyrouRW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.59	45%	12%	+1242.24
Tyler SeguinRW · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	0.55	42%	11%	+1362.36
Chris KreiderPP1LW · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.55	42%	10%	+1382.38
Boone JennerC · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.52	41%	10%	+1462.46
Noah DobsonD · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.52	40%	10%	+1482.48
Jamie BennLW · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	0.51	40%	9%	+1492.49
Jaden SchwartzLW · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.51	40%	9%	+1502.50
Devon ToewsD · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.48	38%	9%	+1612.61
Sam SteelC · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	0.48	38%	8%	+1632.63
Alex NewhookLW · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.48	38%	8%	+1652.65
Justin SourdifC · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.46	37%	8%	+1702.70
Alexandre TexierLW · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.43	35%	7%	+1832.83
Parker KellyLW · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.43	35%	7%	+1882.88
Ilya ProtasLW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.41	34%	7%	+1962.96
Zachary BolducLW · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.40	33%	6%	+2023.02
Thomas HarleyD · DAL @ COL · vs Scott Wedgewood (expected)	0.38	31%	6%	+2193.19
Ethen FrankRW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.34	29%	5%	+2483.48
Jake EvansC · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.34	29%	5%	+2503.50
T.J. HughesPP1RW · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.33	28%	4%	+2603.60
Anthony BeauvillierRW · WSH vs MTL · vs Jakub Dobes (confirmed)	0.33	28%	4%	+2603.60
Kirby DachC · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.32	27%	4%	+2683.68
Nicolas RoyC · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.32	27%	4%	+2683.68
Brent BurnsD · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.31	27%	4%	+2773.77
Josh AndersonRW · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.30	26%	4%	+2883.88
Alexandre CarrierD · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.29	25%	4%	+2953.95
Fedor SvechkovC · COL vs DAL · vs Casey DeSmith (confirmed)	0.29	25%	4%	+2953.95
Phillip DanaultC · MTL @ WSH · vs Charlie Lindgren (confirmed)	0.29	25%	4%	+2983.98

Points per game follow a Poisson distribution at the projected mean (2025-26 backtest: 1+ point within about 1 point per bucket). PP1 is the top power-play unit over recent games. Projections, not picks.

Sorted by Projected Points

76 players

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Skaters76 of 76

Player	Team	Pos	Opp	Rost%	PTS ↓	G	Anytime%	A	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	vs DAL	99.9%	1.50	0.60	44.9%	0.90	3.28	0.60	0.50	0.60	0.18	0.28	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.11	8.88	8.81	50.2%	0.34	1.35	0.32	20:41	23.71	12.88
Martin Necas	COL	RW	vs DAL	99.9%	1.18	0.48	38.1%	0.60	2.44	0.90	0.30	0.30	0.15	0.20	0.35	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.09	0.28	0.29	-	0.33	1.09	0.28	21:36	21.10	9.48
Nick Suzuki	MTL	C	@ WSH	99.9%	1.10	0.40	33.1%	0.70	2.49	0.90	0.60	0.30	0.11	0.23	0.34	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	8.93	8.69	50.7%	0.34	1.09	-0.02	21:57	22.40	9.01
Jason Robertson	DAL	LW	@ COL	99.1%	1.07	0.47	37.5%	0.60	3.28	0.70	0.30	0.30	0.13	0.20	0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.03	0.04	-	0.32	1.02	-0.13	21:14	20.11	9.32
Mikko Rantanen	DAL	RW	@ COL	98.8%	1.04	0.34	28.7%	0.70	2.30	0.70	0.40	0.90	0.09	0.23	0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.90	0.99	-	0.35	1.08	-0.14	21:41	21.71	8.13
Cale Makar	COL	D	vs DAL	100.0%	0.95	0.25	22.2%	0.70	2.60	0.40	1.70	0.30	0.10	0.31	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.40	1.27	0.37	25:00	25.89	9.90
Cole Caufield	MTL	LW	@ WSH	99.9%	0.94	0.64	47.5%	0.40	3.01	0.60	0.20	0.20	0.19	0.14	0.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.11	0.13	-	0.28	0.83	-0.02	19:19	20.95	9.16
Tom Wilson	WSH	RW	vs MTL	94.2%	0.90	0.40	32.9%	0.50	1.99	2.60	0.90	1.10	0.09	0.11	0.20	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.18	0.22	-	0.29	0.99	-0.02	19:40	23.08	7.79
Lane Hutson	MTL	D	@ WSH	99.0%	0.86	0.16	15.1%	0.70	1.74	0.40	1.30	0.40	0.06	0.26	0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.40	1.24	-0.03	25:40	24.43	7.38
Dylan Strome	WSH	C	vs MTL	81.0%	0.80	0.20	18.2%	0.60	1.79	0.20	0.70	0.40	0.05	0.17	0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	8.93	7.24	55.2%	0.26	0.88	-0.02	17:29	20.40	6.61
Alex Tuch	WSH	RW	vs MTL	93.8%	0.80	0.40	32.8%	0.40	2.53	0.90	1.20	0.50	0.06	0.07	0.13	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.05	0.77	0.93	-	0.41	0.92	-0.02	19:09	24.64	8.09
Roope Hintz	DAL	C	@ COL	83.0%	0.78	0.28	24.2%	0.40	2.25	1.00	0.40	0.30	0.08	0.12	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	7.46	5.85	56.0%	0.25	0.85	-0.12	17:51	21.07	6.86
Ryan Leonard	WSH	RW	vs MTL	67.2%	0.76	0.26	22.9%	0.50	1.96	1.80	0.40	0.70	0.06	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.06	0.07	-	0.22	0.72	-0.02	14:28	17.53	6.76
Juraj Slafkovsky	MTL	RW	@ WSH	97.5%	0.75	0.35	29.3%	0.50	2.39	1.40	0.70	0.50	0.10	0.16	0.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.29	0.40	-	0.29	0.96	-0.02	18:53	20.17	7.08
Miro Heiskanen	DAL	D	@ COL	98.1%	0.74	0.14	12.6%	0.60	1.93	0.30	1.40	0.40	0.04	0.22	0.26	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.38	1.31	-0.18	26:03	25.44	6.71
Jakob Chychrun	WSH	D	vs MTL	99.0%	0.71	0.31	26.8%	0.50	2.50	0.70	1.50	0.80	0.10	0.16	0.26	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.35	1.23	-0.03	25:03	22.63	8.47
Alex Ovechkin	WSH	LW	vs MTL	92.2%	0.69	0.29	25.4%	0.40	2.42	1.50	0.20	0.20	0.09	0.13	0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.02	-	0.23	0.80	-0.02	15:26	19.75	6.55
Cole Hutson	WSH	D	vs MTL	87.4%	0.65	0.15	14.1%	0.50	1.65	1.00	0.80	0.50	0.04	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	1.00	-0.02	19:28	22.96	6.02
Aliaksei Protas	WSH	LW	vs MTL	52.3%	0.63	0.23	20.7%	0.40	1.69	0.40	0.60	0.20	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.38	0.43	-	0.28	0.87	-0.02	16:00	21.24	6.00
Artturi Lehkonen	COL	LW	vs DAL	75.9%	0.63	0.33	28.2%	0.30	1.87	0.60	0.60	0.30	0.06	0.05	0.12	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.11	0.14	-	0.30	0.92	0.31	19:39	23.91	6.69
Brock Nelson	COL	C	vs DAL	86.6%	0.63	0.33	27.8%	0.30	1.85	0.40	0.80	0.40	0.07	0.07	0.14	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.06	8.51	8.45	50.2%	0.29	0.87	0.29	18:39	23.47	6.45
Gabriel Landeskog	COL	LW	vs DAL	46.7%	0.61	0.21	18.6%	0.30	2.05	1.40	0.60	0.70	0.05	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	2.17	1.84	54.0%	0.25	0.79	0.25	17:12	20.13	5.93
Nazem Kadri	COL	C	vs DAL	69.5%	0.60	0.20	17.8%	0.40	2.60	0.60	0.50	0.50	0.05	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	5.90	6.67	46.9%	0.30	0.99	0.28	20:00	22.21	5.78
Jordan Kyrou	WSH	RW	vs MTL	69.0%	0.59	0.19	17.4%	0.40	1.72	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.04	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.12	0.16	-	0.28	0.84	-0.02	13:08	20.66	5.65
Tyler Seguin	DAL	RW	@ COL	18.2%	0.55	0.25	22.2%	0.30	1.72	0.60	0.20	0.20	0.04	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	3.50	3.23	52.0%	0.23	0.75	-0.12	15:53	19.85	5.11
Chris Kreider	MTL	LW	@ WSH	61.6%	0.55	0.25	21.8%	0.30	1.60	1.10	0.30	0.30	0.07	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.29	0.35	-	0.26	0.77	-0.02	14:35	21.14	4.47
Boone Jenner	WSH	C	vs MTL	23.1%	0.52	0.22	19.9%	0.30	1.77	1.90	1.00	0.50	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	4.23	3.52	54.6%	0.25	0.82	-0.02	15:13	21.16	5.53
Noah Dobson	MTL	D	@ WSH	93.8%	0.52	0.12	10.9%	0.40	1.66	0.90	1.70	0.40	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.37	1.22	-0.03	20:09	27.18	5.69
Jamie Benn	DAL	LW	@ COL	19.0%	0.51	0.21	19.1%	0.30	1.16	1.30	0.30	0.70	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	1.38	1.39	-	0.21	0.69	-0.11	12:36	19.73	3.77
Jaden Schwartz	COL	LW	vs DAL	30.3%	0.51	0.21	19.0%	0.20	1.26	0.50	0.60	0.30	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.42	0.45	-	0.30	0.82	0.27	12:51	21.41	4.57
Devon Toews	COL	D	vs DAL	72.7%	0.48	0.08	7.9%	0.40	1.47	0.50	1.30	0.40	0.02	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.43	1.20	0.38	22:58	27.94	5.90
Sam Steel	DAL	C	@ COL	5.8%	0.48	0.18	16.2%	0.20	1.26	0.80	0.40	0.30	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	1.87	1.80	51.0%	0.23	0.72	-0.12	16:21	18.97	3.46
Alex Newhook	MTL	LW	@ WSH	24.6%	0.48	0.28	24.1%	0.20	1.57	1.10	0.40	0.30	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	3.83	3.79	50.3%	0.23	0.73	-0.02	15:52	19.72	4.15
Justin Sourdif	WSH	C	vs MTL	15.4%	0.46	0.16	15.1%	0.30	1.22	1.30	0.50	0.40	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	3.93	4.34	47.5%	0.22	0.71	-0.02	13:26	19.12	4.38
Alexandre Texier	MTL	LW	@ WSH	4.9%	0.43	0.13	12.6%	0.30	1.42	1.10	0.30	0.40	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.09	0.12	-	0.21	0.59	-0.02	13:22	16.62	4.01
Parker Kelly	COL	LW	vs DAL	17.7%	0.43	0.23	20.3%	0.20	1.15	2.00	0.90	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	1.53	1.91	44.5%	0.21	0.66	0.22	12:53	18.26	4.36
Ilya Protas	WSH	LW	vs MTL	40.4%	0.41	0.11	10.6%	0.30	1.21	0.60	0.50	0.30	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	4.17	5.13	44.8%	0.23	0.73	-0.02	13:07	17.71	3.57
Zachary Bolduc	MTL	LW	@ WSH	24.3%	0.40	0.20	18.2%	0.20	1.45	2.00	0.40	0.30	0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.18	0.22	-	0.20	0.74	-0.02	13:57	15.97	4.21
Thomas Harley	DAL	D	@ COL	83.2%	0.38	0.08	7.3%	0.30	1.63	0.50	1.70	0.30	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.41	1.23	-0.18	23:51	24.98	5.56
Ethen Frank	WSH	RW	vs MTL	0.1%	0.34	0.14	12.9%	0.20	1.04	0.80	0.70	0.20	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.04	0.05	-	0.18	0.55	-0.01	9:34	15.96	4.03
Jake Evans	MTL	C	@ WSH	4.9%	0.34	0.14	12.8%	0.20	0.96	1.20	0.70	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	7.10	6.08	53.9%	0.26	0.72	-0.02	13:08	19.86	3.12
T.J. Hughes	COL	RW	vs DAL	22.6%	0.33	0.13	11.8%	0.20	1.78	0.70	0.40	0.30	0.06	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	1.39	1.51	-	0.17	0.50	0.12	14:29	11.52	2.96
Anthony Beauvillier	WSH	RW	vs MTL	4.1%	0.33	0.13	11.8%	0.20	1.27	1.10	0.50	0.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.38	0.43	-	0.21	0.62	-0.02	12:06	18.00	3.75
Nicolas Roy	COL	C	vs DAL	12.1%	0.32	0.12	11.1%	0.20	0.89	0.90	0.60	0.50	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	4.98	4.52	52.4%	0.25	0.75	0.24	12:02	19.09	2.81
Kirby Dach	MTL	C	@ WSH	10.5%	0.32	0.12	11.1%	0.20	0.90	1.50	0.60	0.70	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	1.40	1.58	-	0.21	0.68	-0.02	9:00	17.42	2.81
Brent Burns	COL	D	vs DAL	46.7%	0.31	0.11	10.2%	0.30	1.69	0.20	1.10	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	1.06	0.35	18:15	25.07	4.74
Josh Anderson	MTL	RW	@ WSH	11.1%	0.30	0.20	18.0%	0.10	1.30	1.80	0.40	1.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.22	0.23	-	0.21	0.66	-0.02	13:16	18.94	3.19
Alexandre Carrier	MTL	D	@ WSH	13.3%	0.29	0.09	8.7%	0.20	0.81	0.70	1.70	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.30	0.96	-0.03	18:18	24.60	4.15
Fedor Svechkov	COL	C	vs DAL	8.8%	0.29	0.09	8.7%	0.20	0.94	0.70	0.60	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	3.24	4.12	44.1%	0.20	0.63	0.22	12:35	15.82	2.45
Phillip Danault	MTL	C	@ WSH	4.9%	0.29	0.09	8.5%	0.20	1.16	0.80	0.50	0.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	7.50	6.48	53.7%	0.24	0.77	-0.02	15:06	21.52	3.23
Oskar Back	DAL	LW	@ COL	0.2%	0.28	0.08	7.8%	0.10	0.72	0.40	0.50	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.65	0.66	-	0.20	0.57	-0.10	12:46	16.37	2.29
Sam Malinski	COL	D	vs DAL	44.2%	0.28	0.08	7.6%	0.20	1.65	0.50	1.30	0.30	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	0.86	0.29	17:43	20.86	5.08
Florian Xhekaj	MTL	LW	@ WSH	7.3%	0.28	0.08	7.6%	0.20	1.10	0.80	0.30	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.17	0.21	-	0.16	0.49	-0.01	9:48	12.73	2.37
Josh Manson	COL	D	vs DAL	36.0%	0.27	0.07	7.0%	0.30	1.31	2.00	1.40	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.25	0.98	0.31	18:23	22.96	4.74
Martin Fehervary	WSH	D	vs MTL	25.1%	0.26	0.06	6.1%	0.20	0.93	1.60	2.20	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.24	0.99	-0.03	22:06	22.29	4.38
Justin Hryckowian	DAL	C	@ COL	15.3%	0.26	0.16	14.6%	0.20	1.13	1.60	0.50	0.40	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	2.35	1.96	54.5%	0.23	0.59	-0.10	14:14	17.52	2.85
Esa Lindell	DAL	D	@ COL	31.8%	0.26	0.06	5.6%	0.20	0.83	0.40	1.90	0.20	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	1.21	-0.18	20:34	24.29	4.34
Radek Faksa	DAL	C	@ COL	0.1%	0.25	0.05	5.3%	0.10	0.74	1.20	0.60	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4.34	4.09	51.5%	0.20	0.54	-0.10	10:29	17.37	2.42
Kaiden Guhle	MTL	D	@ WSH	17.9%	0.25	0.05	5.2%	0.20	0.99	2.00	1.50	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.34	1.05	-0.03	18:39	23.79	3.72
Nils Lundkvist	DAL	D	@ COL	5.6%	0.25	0.05	5.0%	0.20	0.92	0.50	0.80	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.19	0.80	-0.12	16:57	18.95	3.21
Timothy Liljegren	WSH	D	vs MTL	4.8%	0.25	0.05	4.9%	0.20	0.94	0.90	1.80	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	1.01	-0.03	18:37	23.17	3.30
Brett Kulak	COL	D	vs DAL	4.3%	0.22	0.02	1.6%	0.20	0.95	0.30	1.50	0.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.99	0.34	18:38	23.21	3.60
Tyler Myers	DAL	D	@ COL	3.3%	0.22	0.02	1.5%	0.10	0.90	1.10	1.40	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	1.02	-0.16	14:50	24.06	2.79
Joel KivirantaNew team · 2 GP with DAL	DAL	LW	@ COL	0.1%	0.20	0.10	9.9%	0.10	0.90	1.30	0.40	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.15	0.17	-	0.18	0.59	-0.09	11:30	16.90	2.73
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COL	COL	LW	vs DAL	11.2%	0.20	0.10	9.8%	0.10	1.20	2.50	0.60	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.08	0.09	-	0.19	0.60	0.21	12:18	16.88	2.82
Owen Beck	MTL	C	@ WSH	8.0%	0.18	0.08	7.3%	0.10	0.93	1.60	0.50	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2.21	2.03	52.1%	0.15	0.47	-0.01	9:15	12.74	2.16
Colin Blackwell	DAL	RW	@ COL	0.1%	0.16	0.06	5.8%	0.10	0.82	1.40	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.84	2.05	47.4%	0.20	0.53	-0.09	9:47	15.99	1.66
Arttu Hyry	DAL	C	@ COL	4.0%	0.14	0.14	12.7%	0.10	1.23	1.50	0.40	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	4.91	3.91	55.7%	0.18	0.56	-0.10	13:06	15.92	2.12
Vincent Desharnais	WSH	D	vs MTL	4.2%	0.13	0.03	2.5%	0.10	0.73	1.90	1.60	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.22	0.94	-0.02	19:10	20.65	3.05
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COL	COL	D	vs DAL	0.1%	0.12	0.02	2.2%	0.10	0.56	2.00	1.30	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.23	0.79	0.25	13:18	21.26	2.24
Adam Engstrom	MTL	D	@ WSH	6.4%	0.12	0.02	1.9%	0.10	0.79	0.50	0.60	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.99	-0.02	12:08	25.39	2.32
Arber Xhekaj	MTL	D	@ WSH	8.6%	0.12	0.02	1.9%	0.10	0.52	2.40	0.60	1.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.17	0.65	-0.02	9:54	15.63	1.41
Kyle Capobianco	DAL	D	@ COL	0.1%	0.11	0.01	1.3%	0.10	0.44	0.30	0.70	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.18	0.63	-0.10	8:02	14.72	1.88
Justin Holl	WSH	D	vs MTL	0.1%	0.10	0.00	0.0%	0.10	0.60	1.10	1.30	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.22	0.77	-0.02	14:54	18.13	2.30
Lian Bichsel	DAL	D	@ COL	20.2%	0.06	0.06	6.1%	0.10	0.68	2.80	0.80	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.21	0.76	-0.12	15:42	18.12	1.88
Dylan McIlrath	WSH	D	vs MTL	0.1%	0.01	0.01	1.4%	0.00	0.40	1.80	0.30	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.13	0.47	-0.01	9:12	12.63	0.49

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Why points matter

Points (goals + assists) are the primary measure of offensive production in fantasy hockey. Elite point producers are the cornerstone of winning fantasy teams.

Points breakdown

- Even-strength points: Hardest to predict, most common - Power play points: High-volume for PP1 players, more predictable - Shorthanded points: Rare bonus production

Multi-point game indicators

- Playing against backup goalies - High-totaled games (Vegas lines 6+ total goals) - PP1 role on team with power play opportunities

💡

Pro Tip: Players averaging 1.0+ points per game are elite. In DFS, target players due for multi-point games based on matchup and line placement.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Projected points are projected goals plus assists. Tonight's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model and assists from LineupExperts; weekly and longer ranges are LineupExperts' goals plus assists.

Connor McDavid, Nikita Kucherov, Nathan MacKinnon, and Leon Draisaitl consistently lead NHL scoring. These elite producers appear at the top of projections when they have favorable matchups.

Elite players average 1.2-1.5 points per game over a season. On any given night, projections of 0.8-1.2 points indicate a good matchup for a star player.

Generally yes, but consider matchup context. A star facing an elite goalie may have lower actual upside than a streamer facing a struggling backup netminder.

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