Edgehalla

NHL Projected Power Play Assists for Today

Power-play assists pile up for the players who run the man advantage, often a top defenseman or a playmaking forward. These projections estimate how many of each player's projected assists come on the power play, from his recent power-play minutes and his shrunk assist rate there.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 80 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Power Play Assists

76 players
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PlayerTeamPosOppRost%PPA† ↓GAnytime%APTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Cale MakarCOLDvs DAL100.0%0.310.2522.2%0.700.952.600.401.700.300.100.400.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.401.270.3725:0025.899.90
Nathan MacKinnonCOLCvs DAL99.9%0.280.6044.9%0.901.503.280.600.500.600.180.460.000.000.010.118.888.8150.2%0.341.350.3220:4123.7112.88
Lane HutsonMTLD@ WSH99.0%0.260.1615.1%0.700.861.740.401.300.400.060.320.000.000.000.020.000.00-0.401.24-0.0325:4024.437.38
Nick SuzukiMTLC@ WSH99.9%0.230.4033.1%0.701.102.490.900.600.300.110.340.010.010.020.058.938.6950.7%0.341.09-0.0221:5722.409.01
Mikko RantanenDALRW@ COL98.8%0.230.3428.7%0.701.042.300.700.400.900.090.320.000.000.000.050.900.99-0.351.08-0.1421:4121.718.13
Miro HeiskanenDALD@ COL98.1%0.220.1412.6%0.600.741.930.301.400.400.040.260.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.381.31-0.1826:0325.446.71
Jason RobertsonDALLW@ COL99.1%0.200.4737.5%0.601.073.280.700.300.300.130.340.000.000.000.060.030.04-0.321.02-0.1321:1420.119.32
Martin NecasCOLRWvs DAL99.9%0.200.4838.1%0.601.182.440.900.300.300.150.350.000.000.010.090.280.29-0.331.090.2821:3621.109.48
Dylan StromeWSHCvs MTL81.0%0.170.2018.2%0.600.801.790.200.700.400.050.220.000.000.000.038.937.2455.2%0.260.88-0.0217:2920.406.61
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW@ WSH97.5%0.160.3529.3%0.500.752.391.400.700.500.100.270.000.000.000.050.290.40-0.290.96-0.0218:5320.177.08
Jakob ChychrunWSHDvs MTL99.0%0.160.3126.8%0.500.712.500.701.500.800.100.260.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.351.23-0.0325:0322.638.47
Cole HutsonWSHDvs MTL87.4%0.140.1514.1%0.500.651.651.000.800.500.040.170.000.000.000.020.000.00-0.261.00-0.0219:2822.966.02
Cole CaufieldMTLLW@ WSH99.9%0.140.6447.5%0.400.943.010.600.200.200.190.330.000.000.000.090.110.13-0.280.83-0.0219:1920.959.16
Nazem KadriCOLCvs DAL69.5%0.130.2017.8%0.400.602.600.600.500.500.050.190.000.000.000.035.906.6746.9%0.300.990.2820:0022.215.78
Alex OvechkinWSHLWvs MTL92.2%0.130.2925.4%0.400.692.421.500.200.200.090.220.000.000.000.040.020.02-0.230.80-0.0215:2619.756.55
Ryan LeonardWSHRWvs MTL67.2%0.130.2622.9%0.500.761.961.800.400.700.060.190.000.000.000.040.060.07-0.220.72-0.0214:2817.536.76
Roope HintzDALC@ COL83.0%0.120.2824.2%0.400.782.251.000.400.300.080.190.000.000.010.047.465.8556.0%0.250.85-0.1217:5121.076.86
Tom WilsonWSHRWvs MTL94.2%0.110.4032.9%0.500.901.992.600.901.100.090.200.020.020.040.060.180.22-0.290.99-0.0219:4023.087.79
Devon ToewsCOLDvs DAL72.7%0.100.087.9%0.400.481.470.501.300.400.020.120.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.431.200.3822:5827.945.90
T.J. HughesCOLRWvs DAL22.6%0.100.1311.8%0.200.331.780.700.400.300.060.160.000.000.000.021.391.51-0.170.500.1214:2911.522.96
Chris KreiderMTLLW@ WSH61.6%0.090.2521.8%0.300.551.601.100.300.300.070.170.000.000.010.030.290.35-0.260.77-0.0214:3521.144.47
Jordan KyrouWSHRWvs MTL69.0%0.090.1917.4%0.400.591.720.300.400.200.040.130.000.000.000.030.120.16-0.280.84-0.0213:0820.665.65
Gabriel LandeskogCOLLWvs DAL46.7%0.070.2118.6%0.300.612.051.400.600.700.050.120.000.000.000.042.171.8454.0%0.250.790.2517:1220.135.93
Brock NelsonCOLCvs DAL86.6%0.070.3327.8%0.300.631.850.400.800.400.070.140.020.010.030.068.518.4550.2%0.290.870.2918:3923.476.45
Noah DobsonMTLD@ WSH93.8%0.070.1210.9%0.400.521.660.901.700.400.020.090.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.371.22-0.0320:0927.185.69
Alex TuchWSHRWvs MTL93.8%0.070.4032.8%0.400.802.530.901.200.500.060.130.020.020.040.050.770.93-0.410.92-0.0219:0924.648.09
Ilya ProtasWSHLWvs MTL40.4%0.070.1110.6%0.300.411.210.600.500.300.020.090.000.000.000.024.175.1344.8%0.230.73-0.0213:0717.713.57
Artturi LehkonenCOLLWvs DAL75.9%0.050.3328.2%0.300.631.870.600.600.300.060.120.020.010.020.060.110.14-0.300.920.3119:3923.916.69
Thomas HarleyDALD@ COL83.2%0.050.087.3%0.300.381.630.501.700.300.010.070.000.000.010.010.000.00-0.411.23-0.1823:5124.985.56
Alexandre TexierMTLLW@ WSH4.9%0.050.1312.6%0.300.431.421.100.300.400.020.070.000.000.000.020.090.12-0.210.59-0.0213:2216.624.01
Tyler SeguinDALRW@ COL18.2%0.050.2522.2%0.300.551.720.600.200.200.040.090.000.000.000.033.503.2352.0%0.230.75-0.1215:5319.855.11
Ethen FrankWSHRWvs MTL0.1%0.040.1412.9%0.200.341.040.800.700.200.030.060.000.000.000.020.040.05-0.180.55-0.019:3415.964.03
Jamie BennDALLW@ COL19.0%0.040.2119.1%0.300.511.161.300.300.700.020.060.000.000.000.031.381.39-0.210.69-0.1112:3619.733.77
Jaden SchwartzCOLLWvs DAL30.3%0.040.2119.0%0.200.511.260.500.600.300.030.070.000.000.000.040.420.45-0.300.820.2712:5121.414.57
Zachary BolducMTLLW@ WSH24.3%0.040.2018.2%0.200.401.452.000.400.300.040.070.000.000.000.030.180.22-0.200.74-0.0213:5715.974.21
Alex NewhookMTLLW@ WSH24.6%0.030.2824.1%0.200.481.571.100.400.300.040.070.020.010.030.043.833.7950.3%0.230.73-0.0215:5219.724.15
Kirby DachMTLC@ WSH10.5%0.030.1211.1%0.200.320.901.500.600.700.020.040.000.000.010.021.401.58-0.210.68-0.029:0017.422.81
Justin HryckowianDALC@ COL15.3%0.020.1614.6%0.200.261.131.600.500.400.020.040.010.000.010.022.351.9654.5%0.230.59-0.1014:1417.522.85
Sam MalinskiCOLDvs DAL44.2%0.020.087.6%0.200.281.650.501.300.300.010.020.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.270.860.2917:4320.865.08
Justin SourdifWSHCvs MTL15.4%0.020.1615.1%0.300.461.221.300.500.400.010.030.000.000.010.023.934.3447.5%0.220.71-0.0213:2619.124.38
Esa LindellDALD@ COL31.8%0.020.065.6%0.200.260.830.401.900.200.000.020.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.321.21-0.1820:3424.294.34
Boone JennerWSHCvs MTL23.1%0.010.2219.9%0.300.521.771.901.000.500.010.020.010.010.020.034.233.5254.6%0.250.82-0.0215:1321.165.53
Brent BurnsCOLDvs DAL46.7%0.010.1110.2%0.300.311.690.201.100.400.000.020.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.271.060.3518:1525.074.74
Aliaksei ProtasWSHLWvs MTL52.3%0.010.2320.7%0.400.631.690.400.600.200.010.020.010.020.030.030.380.43-0.280.87-0.0216:0021.246.00
Nicolas RoyCOLCvs DAL12.1%0.010.1211.1%0.200.320.890.900.600.500.010.020.010.010.010.024.984.5252.4%0.250.750.2412:0219.092.81
Timothy LiljegrenWSHDvs MTL4.8%0.010.054.9%0.200.250.940.901.800.400.000.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.261.01-0.0318:3723.173.30
Brett KulakCOLDvs DAL4.3%0.010.021.6%0.200.220.950.301.500.300.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.260.990.3418:3823.213.60
Fedor SvechkovCOLCvs DAL8.8%0.010.098.7%0.200.290.940.700.600.400.000.010.000.000.000.023.244.1244.1%0.200.630.2212:3515.822.45
Josh MansonCOLDvs DAL36.0%0.010.077.0%0.300.271.312.001.401.000.000.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.250.980.3118:2322.964.74
Phillip DanaultMTLC@ WSH4.9%0.010.098.5%0.200.291.160.800.500.300.000.010.010.010.020.017.506.4853.7%0.240.77-0.0215:0621.523.23
Nils LundkvistDALD@ COL5.6%0.010.055.0%0.200.250.920.500.800.400.000.010.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.190.80-0.1216:5718.953.21
Anthony BeauvillierWSHRWvs MTL4.1%0.010.1311.8%0.200.331.271.100.500.200.000.010.000.000.010.020.380.43-0.210.62-0.0212:0618.003.75
Sam SteelDALC@ COL5.8%0.010.1816.2%0.200.481.260.800.400.300.010.010.010.010.020.021.871.8051.0%0.230.72-0.1216:2118.973.46
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLDvs DAL0.1%0.000.022.2%0.100.120.562.001.300.500.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.230.790.2513:1821.262.24
Florian XhekajMTLLW@ WSH7.3%0.000.087.6%0.200.281.100.800.300.200.000.010.000.000.000.010.170.21-0.160.49-0.019:4812.732.37
Parker KellyCOLLWvs DAL17.7%0.000.2320.3%0.200.431.152.000.900.400.000.010.020.010.030.041.531.9144.5%0.210.660.2212:5318.264.36
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLLWvs DAL11.2%0.000.109.8%0.100.201.202.500.601.000.000.010.010.010.020.020.080.09-0.190.600.2112:1816.882.82
Martin FehervaryWSHDvs MTL25.1%0.000.066.1%0.200.260.931.602.200.400.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.240.99-0.0322:0622.294.38
Adam EngstromMTLD@ WSH6.4%0.000.021.9%0.100.120.790.500.600.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.260.99-0.0212:0825.392.32
Jake EvansMTLC@ WSH4.9%0.000.1412.8%0.200.340.961.200.700.300.000.000.020.010.030.027.106.0853.9%0.260.72-0.0213:0819.863.12
Justin HollWSHDvs MTL0.1%0.000.000.0%0.100.100.601.101.300.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.220.77-0.0214:5418.132.30
Kaiden GuhleMTLD@ WSH17.9%0.000.055.2%0.200.250.992.001.500.700.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.341.05-0.0318:3923.793.72
Josh AndersonMTLRW@ WSH11.1%0.000.2018.0%0.100.301.301.800.401.100.000.000.020.010.020.030.220.23-0.210.66-0.0213:1618.943.19
Vincent DesharnaisWSHDvs MTL4.2%0.000.032.5%0.100.130.731.901.600.800.000.000.000.010.010.000.000.00-0.220.94-0.0219:1020.653.05
Kyle CapobiancoDALD@ COL0.1%0.000.011.3%0.100.110.440.300.700.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.180.63-0.108:0214.721.88
Joel KivirantaNew team · 2 GP with DALDALLW@ COL0.1%0.000.109.9%0.100.200.901.300.400.200.000.000.010.010.010.010.150.17-0.180.59-0.0911:3016.902.73
Oskar BackDALLW@ COL0.2%0.000.087.8%0.100.280.720.400.500.100.000.000.010.010.010.010.650.66-0.200.57-0.1012:4616.372.29
Radek FaksaDALC@ COL0.1%0.000.055.3%0.100.250.741.200.600.300.000.000.010.010.010.014.344.0951.5%0.200.54-0.1010:2917.372.42
Alexandre CarrierMTLD@ WSH13.3%0.000.098.7%0.200.290.810.701.700.400.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.300.96-0.0318:1824.604.15
Colin BlackwellDALRW@ COL0.1%0.000.065.8%0.100.160.821.400.400.400.000.000.000.000.010.011.842.0547.4%0.200.53-0.099:4715.991.66
Arttu HyryDALC@ COL4.0%0.000.1412.7%0.100.141.231.500.400.100.000.000.020.010.030.024.913.9155.7%0.180.56-0.1013:0615.922.12
Tyler MyersDALD@ COL3.3%0.000.021.5%0.100.220.901.101.400.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.271.02-0.1614:5024.062.79
Lian BichselDALD@ COL20.2%0.000.066.1%0.100.060.682.800.800.800.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.210.76-0.1215:4218.121.88
Arber XhekajMTLD@ WSH8.6%0.000.021.9%0.100.120.522.400.601.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.170.65-0.029:5415.631.41
Owen BeckMTLC@ WSH8.0%0.000.087.3%0.100.180.931.600.500.300.000.000.000.000.000.012.212.0352.1%0.150.47-0.019:1512.742.16
Dylan McIlrathWSHDvs MTL0.1%0.000.011.4%0.000.010.401.800.300.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.130.47-0.019:1212.630.49

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Start from total assists. Each player's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model tonight (LineupExperts for longer ranges); assists and ice time from LineupExperts. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there. Projected power-play plus shorthanded assists never exceed projected assists.

What moves a player up

- Power-play minutes per game, recent games weighted most - Power-play assist rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward the league average for forwards or defensemen - Total assists from LineupExperts

What it does not use

opponent penalty-kill quality or unit-by-unit tracking.

💡
Pro Tip: Defensemen who quarterback a power play often project for more PPA than their goal totals suggest. Pair them with the PPG leaders on the same team.

Power-play quarterbacks

Defensemen with heavy power-play minutes lead this list more often than their point totals suggest.

Defensemen Projections

Power-play points

Power-play goals plus power-play assists in one ranking.

Power Play Points

Power-play goals

The finishing side of the same power plays.

Power Play Goals

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

LineupExperts' projected assists are split by strength in proportion to the player's recent power-play, penalty-kill and even-strength minutes times his shrunk assists-per-60 rate in each situation. The power-play share is the PPA projection.
It depends on deployment. A defenseman on the top unit plays nearly every power-play second, so his share of assists on the man advantage is high. The model reads that from his minutes, not from his position alone.
If he plays little power-play time, most of his assists are projected at even strength. Power-play minutes are the main driver of the split.
In our 2024-25 and 2025-26 backtests the PPA split beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, and the top three deciles of predictions landed within 10% of actual totals.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see today player projections