NHL Projected Goalie Starts Today

Starts are the volume behind every goalie stat: wins, saves and shutouts all need a start. For today this is each goalie's projected chance to start; for a week or the rest of the season it is his expected number of starts. The numbers come from LineupExperts' goalie projections (a goalie's projected games are his starts). Confirm tonight's starters on our starting goalies page before lineups lock.

Today This Week Next Week Rest of Season

Sunday, Oct 4

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 5:30 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 10 players

Today

a start probability. 0.90 means the goalie is very likely in net; 0.50 means the start is a coin flip between him and his partner.

This week, next week and rest of season

expected starts, the team's games times each goalie's share of the crease.

Where the numbers come from

LineupExperts' goalie projections, shown as published; for goalies their projected games played are starts.

Why it matters

in weekly leagues with goalie start minimums, expected starts are the first thing to check when streaming.

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Pro Tip: A starter on a four-game week projects about twice the starts of a tandem goalie on a three-game week. Check the weekly view before streaming.

Sorted by Projected Games Started

10 players

Show

Goalies10 of 10

Player	Team	Pos	Opp	Rost%	GS ↓	W	L	OTL	SV	GA	SA	SV%	GAA^†	MIN^†	FPTS
John Gibson	DET	G	vs WPG	71.5%	1.00	0.50	0.50	0.10	30.9	2.8	34.0	90.7%	2.82	59:32	13.00
Jacob Markstrom	FLA	G	@ ANA	89.1%	1.00	0.50	0.50	0.10	19.9	3.2	22.0	90.7%	3.20	59:57	5.30
Carter Hart	LV	G	@ VAN	86.6%	1.00	0.40	0.30	0.10	20.1	3.3	22.8	88.4%	3.31	59:50	4.20
Joey Daccord	SEA	G	vs CGY	53.8%	1.00	0.60	0.50	0.10	26.4	2.1	27.1	97.4%	2.11	59:51	12.60
Kevin Lankinen	VAN	G	vs LV	31.7%	1.00	0.50	0.60	0.10	30.7	3.9	34.7	88.4%	3.92	59:40	9.00
Igor Shesterkin	NYR	G	vs UTA	93.3%	1.00	0.50	0.50	0.10	30.3	3.1	34.8	87.0%	3.11	59:52	11.80
Stuart Skinner	WPG	G	@ DET	42.3%	1.00	0.50	0.40	0.10	21.5	2.8	22.5	95.8%	2.81	59:51	7.30
Lukas Dostal	ANA	G	vs FLA	80.7%	1.00	0.50	0.40	0.10	24.8	2.4	26.8	92.3%	2.40	59:56	10.40
Dustin Wolf	CGY	G	@ SEA	66.0%	1.00	0.40	0.60	0.10	23.3	3.4	26.6	87.7%	3.42	59:43	5.90
Karel Vejmelka	UTA	G	@ NYR	98.3%	1.00	0.40	0.50	0.10	20.9	2.0	22.2	94.1%	2.01	59:50	9.10

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Confirmed starters

Check who is confirmed in net tonight before your lineup locks.

Starting Goalies

Starts become wins

Goalies with the most projected starts on strong teams lead the win projections.

Goalie Win Projections

Save volume

More starts against busy offences mean more saves.

Saves Projections

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

For today, it is the chance the goalie starts tonight: 0.55 is a little better than a coin flip. Over a week or the season the number is expected starts.

LineupExperts' goalie projections, a licensed provider: a goalie's projected games played are his projected starts. We show them as published.

Our starting goalies page tracks confirmed and likely starters for every game and updates through the day.

Workhorse starters take 60 or more of a team's 82 to 84 games; most teams now split closer to 55/45 or 60/40.