NHL Projected Goalie Losses Today
Some points leagues subtract points for goalie losses. These are LineupExperts' projected regulation losses, shown as published: for today, the chance a goalie starts and loses in regulation; over longer intervals, expected losses. The list opens with the goalies projected to take the most losses, useful for leagues that subtract for losses. Overtime and shootout losses are a separate column (OTL).
What counts
a regulation loss charged to the goalie of record. Overtime and shootout losses are counted separately as OTL.
Where the numbers come from
LineupExperts' goalie projections, shown as published.
Reading the list
most projected losses first. Busy starters on weak teams top it; a goalie with many starts can carry many losses and still be worth starting for wins and saves, so read losses next to starts and wins.
Sorted by Projected Goaltending Losses
10 playersGoalies10 of 10
| Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Rost% | L ↓ | GS | W | OTL | SV | GA | SA | SV% | GAA† | MIN† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | G | vs LV | 31.7% | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.7 | 3.9 | 34.7 | 88.4% | 3.92 | 59:40 | 9.00 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | G | @ SEA | 66.0% | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 23.3 | 3.4 | 26.6 | 87.7% | 3.42 | 59:43 | 5.90 |
| John Gibson | DET | G | vs WPG | 71.5% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.9 | 2.8 | 34.0 | 90.7% | 2.82 | 59:32 | 13.00 |
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | G | @ ANA | 89.1% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 19.9 | 3.2 | 22.0 | 90.7% | 3.20 | 59:57 | 5.30 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | G | vs CGY | 53.8% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 26.4 | 2.1 | 27.1 | 97.4% | 2.11 | 59:51 | 12.60 |
| Igor Shesterkin | NYR | G | vs UTA | 93.3% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.3 | 3.1 | 34.8 | 87.0% | 3.11 | 59:52 | 11.80 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | G | @ NYR | 98.3% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 20.9 | 2.0 | 22.2 | 94.1% | 2.01 | 59:50 | 9.10 |
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | G | @ DET | 42.3% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 21.5 | 2.8 | 22.5 | 95.8% | 2.81 | 59:51 | 7.30 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | G | vs FLA | 80.7% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 24.8 | 2.4 | 26.8 | 92.3% | 2.40 | 59:56 | 10.40 |
| Carter Hart | LV | G | @ VAN | 86.6% | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 20.1 | 3.3 | 22.8 | 88.4% | 3.31 | 59:50 | 4.20 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
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