Edgehalla

NHL Projected Goalie Losses Next Week

Some points leagues subtract points for goalie losses. These are LineupExperts' projected regulation losses, shown as published: next week, the chance a goalie starts and loses in regulation; over longer intervals, expected losses. The list opens with the goalies projected to take the most losses, useful for leagues that subtract for losses. Overtime and shootout losses are a separate column (OTL) (Oct 5-11 (Week 2)). (Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

Week 2: Oct 5 - Oct 11(Upcoming)
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 4:39 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 54 players

What counts

a regulation loss charged to the goalie of record. Overtime and shootout losses are counted separately as OTL.

Where the numbers come from

LineupExperts' goalie projections, shown as published.

Reading the list

most projected losses first. Busy starters on weak teams top it; a goalie with many starts can carry many losses and still be worth starting for wins and saves, so read losses next to starts and wins.

💡
Pro Tip: In leagues that subtract for losses, the goalies near the top are the riskiest starts. Compare their projected wins before benching them.

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Losses(Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

54 players
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Goalies54 of 54

PlayerTeamPosRost%L ↓GSWOTLSVGASASV%GAA†MIN†FPTS
Arturs SilovsPITG45.1%1.804.002.400.4099.910.9110.690.3%2.73239:3740.10
John GibsonDETG71.5%1.703.001.400.3075.09.584.888.5%3.19178:3523.90
Juuse SarosNSHG84.4%1.603.001.500.2075.68.584.589.5%2.85179:1327.70
Yaroslav AskarovSJG77.4%1.603.001.400.3082.38.090.590.9%2.68178:5232.80
Ilya SorokinNYIG96.9%1.503.001.600.3072.36.375.196.2%2.10179:4133.60
Igor ShesterkinNYRG93.3%1.403.001.400.3072.49.283.986.3%3.07179:3523.40
Lukas DostalANAG80.7%1.403.001.800.3086.68.995.690.5%2.97179:4934.30
Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenBUFG76.8%1.403.001.900.3087.59.296.191.0%3.07179:4235.00
Andrei VasilevskiyTBG99.0%1.303.002.000.2079.16.784.893.3%2.24179:2938.50
Carter HartLVG86.6%1.303.001.800.3081.89.191.289.7%3.04179:2931.20
Joseph WollPHIG33.1%1.303.001.500.4084.77.090.393.7%2.34179:4337.60
Jakub DobesMONG96.1%1.303.001.800.4080.56.984.095.9%2.30179:5337.00
Dustin WolfCGYG66.0%1.202.000.800.2048.07.259.580.7%3.62119:2611.80
Karel VejmelkaUTAG98.3%1.203.001.400.3084.46.092.091.7%2.01179:3140.70
Jesper WallstedtMING94.1%1.203.001.600.3073.26.478.892.9%2.13179:5733.40
Devin CooleyCGYG13.7%1.202.000.800.2046.76.758.380.1%3.34120:2912.70
Linus UllmarkOTTG81.1%1.103.002.000.3069.16.472.395.5%2.14179:3132.90
Charlie LindgrenWASG11.4%1.102.000.900.2053.16.761.087.1%3.35120:0616.90
Michael DipietroBOSG15.4%1.102.001.100.2053.76.359.790.0%3.15119:5719.00
Logan ThompsonWASG99.5%1.103.001.700.3081.68.692.688.1%2.87179:4432.60
Spencer KnightCHIG78.7%1.102.001.000.2056.34.760.792.7%2.35119:5524.80
Leevi MerilainenVANG12.8%1.102.000.800.1043.64.949.088.9%2.44120:3015.20
Pyotr KochetkovCARG45.4%1.103.001.900.2060.47.567.489.7%2.50179:5524.30
Sergei BobrovskyTORG88.1%1.002.001.000.1054.65.761.688.6%2.86119:4321.00
Darcy KuemperLAG58.0%1.002.001.000.2053.75.359.290.6%2.66119:3221.90
Jordan BinningtonSTLG31.2%1.002.001.000.2042.06.448.187.2%3.20119:4911.40
Jacob MarkstromFLAG89.1%1.002.001.200.2057.36.363.490.4%3.15119:5422.60
Philipp GrubauerSEAG13.6%1.002.001.100.2055.06.459.792.1%3.19120:1619.70
Casey DeSmithDALG17.4%1.002.001.000.2052.26.160.985.7%3.04120:1318.50
Joey DaccordSEAG53.8%1.002.001.100.2050.75.554.293.6%2.76119:4119.90
Jeremy SwaymanBOSG96.9%1.002.001.200.2055.55.761.889.8%2.85119:5522.70
Devon LeviEDMG40.8%1.002.001.000.1041.97.249.584.6%3.60119:558.40
Nico DawsNJG16.9%1.002.000.800.2052.97.463.982.8%3.70119:5714.10
Jet GreavesCLBG85.6%1.002.001.000.2054.35.461.887.9%2.69120:1522.00
Anton ForsbergLAG25.5%0.902.001.000.3052.75.157.791.3%2.54120:3421.80
Mackenzie BlackwoodCOLG89.9%0.903.002.200.2083.16.387.694.9%2.10179:5442.50
Daniel VladarPHIG76.0%0.902.001.000.2054.24.658.093.5%2.31119:4324.20
Jake OettingerDALG99.0%0.902.001.000.2051.86.360.885.2%3.16119:4217.90
Akira SchmidFLAG27.8%0.902.001.100.3060.36.266.990.0%3.08120:4923.50
Brandon BussiCARG96.0%0.702.001.300.2040.14.944.490.1%2.45120:0716.10
Alex NedeljkovicSJG17.6%0.601.000.500.1027.22.530.090.7%2.4860:2311.10
Daniil TarasovDETG10.6%0.601.000.500.1025.53.829.187.9%3.8060:026.40
Sebastian CossaUTAG32.2%0.602.001.000.2060.35.168.188.6%2.55119:5726.50
Jake AllenNJG54.0%0.501.000.500.1025.13.330.283.1%3.3060:037.70
Tristan JarryEDMG9.4%0.501.000.400.2019.83.823.684.1%3.8060:013.00
Alex LyonBUFG33.4%0.501.000.600.1030.42.833.092.2%2.8159:5312.90
Sam MontembeaultMONG14.8%0.501.000.600.1026.52.428.493.3%2.4060:0111.70
Kevin LankinenVANG31.7%0.501.000.400.1028.72.631.591.1%2.6159:4011.60
Dylan GarandNYRG13.0%0.502.000.700.2029.14.033.886.1%3.3372:109.50
Anthony StolarzTORG30.0%0.401.000.600.1027.62.630.989.5%2.6159:4511.90
Adin HillLVG23.6%0.401.000.600.1027.33.030.589.6%3.0159:4410.90
Joel HoferSTLG79.8%0.401.000.600.1021.22.624.287.5%2.6060:028.60
Samuel ErssonOTTG9.7%0.401.000.600.1022.72.424.194.3%2.3960:109.60
Scott WedgewoodCOLG95.5%0.301.000.700.1027.61.828.995.4%1.8059:5515.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Wins

The other side of the decision: who is most likely to get the W.

Goalie Win Projections

Projected starts

Starts set the volume for wins and losses.

Goalie Start Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

No. L is regulation losses; overtime and shootout losses are the separate OTL column.
Losses need starts. A backup with few projected starts projects few losses, wins and saves alike.
LineupExperts' goalie projections, a licensed provider. We show them as published.

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