NHL Projected Goalie Losses Next Week
Some points leagues subtract points for goalie losses. These are LineupExperts' projected regulation losses, shown as published: next week, the chance a goalie starts and loses in regulation; over longer intervals, expected losses. The list opens with the goalies projected to take the most losses, useful for leagues that subtract for losses. Overtime and shootout losses are a separate column (OTL) (Oct 5-11 (Week 2)). (Oct 5-11 (Week 2))
What counts
a regulation loss charged to the goalie of record. Overtime and shootout losses are counted separately as OTL.
Where the numbers come from
LineupExperts' goalie projections, shown as published.
Reading the list
most projected losses first. Busy starters on weak teams top it; a goalie with many starts can carry many losses and still be worth starting for wins and saves, so read losses next to starts and wins.
Sorted by Projected Goaltending Losses(Oct 5-11 (Week 2))
54 playersGoalies54 of 54
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | L ↓ | GS | W | OTL | SV | GA | SA | SV% | GAA† | MIN† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | G | 45.1% | 1.80 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 0.40 | 99.9 | 10.9 | 110.6 | 90.3% | 2.73 | 239:37 | 40.10 |
| John Gibson | DET | G | 71.5% | 1.70 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 0.30 | 75.0 | 9.5 | 84.8 | 88.5% | 3.19 | 178:35 | 23.90 |
| Juuse Saros | NSH | G | 84.4% | 1.60 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.20 | 75.6 | 8.5 | 84.5 | 89.5% | 2.85 | 179:13 | 27.70 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJ | G | 77.4% | 1.60 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 0.30 | 82.3 | 8.0 | 90.5 | 90.9% | 2.68 | 178:52 | 32.80 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | G | 96.9% | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 0.30 | 72.3 | 6.3 | 75.1 | 96.2% | 2.10 | 179:41 | 33.60 |
| Igor Shesterkin | NYR | G | 93.3% | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 0.30 | 72.4 | 9.2 | 83.9 | 86.3% | 3.07 | 179:35 | 23.40 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | G | 80.7% | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 0.30 | 86.6 | 8.9 | 95.6 | 90.5% | 2.97 | 179:49 | 34.30 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | BUF | G | 76.8% | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 0.30 | 87.5 | 9.2 | 96.1 | 91.0% | 3.07 | 179:42 | 35.00 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TB | G | 99.0% | 1.30 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 79.1 | 6.7 | 84.8 | 93.3% | 2.24 | 179:29 | 38.50 |
| Carter Hart | LV | G | 86.6% | 1.30 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 0.30 | 81.8 | 9.1 | 91.2 | 89.7% | 3.04 | 179:29 | 31.20 |
| Joseph Woll | PHI | G | 33.1% | 1.30 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.40 | 84.7 | 7.0 | 90.3 | 93.7% | 2.34 | 179:43 | 37.60 |
| Jakub Dobes | MON | G | 96.1% | 1.30 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 0.40 | 80.5 | 6.9 | 84.0 | 95.9% | 2.30 | 179:53 | 37.00 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | G | 66.0% | 1.20 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 48.0 | 7.2 | 59.5 | 80.7% | 3.62 | 119:26 | 11.80 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | G | 98.3% | 1.20 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 0.30 | 84.4 | 6.0 | 92.0 | 91.7% | 2.01 | 179:31 | 40.70 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | G | 94.1% | 1.20 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 0.30 | 73.2 | 6.4 | 78.8 | 92.9% | 2.13 | 179:57 | 33.40 |
| Devin Cooley | CGY | G | 13.7% | 1.20 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 46.7 | 6.7 | 58.3 | 80.1% | 3.34 | 120:29 | 12.70 |
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | G | 81.1% | 1.10 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 69.1 | 6.4 | 72.3 | 95.5% | 2.14 | 179:31 | 32.90 |
| Charlie Lindgren | WAS | G | 11.4% | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 53.1 | 6.7 | 61.0 | 87.1% | 3.35 | 120:06 | 16.90 |
| Michael Dipietro | BOS | G | 15.4% | 1.10 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 53.7 | 6.3 | 59.7 | 90.0% | 3.15 | 119:57 | 19.00 |
| Logan Thompson | WAS | G | 99.5% | 1.10 | 3.00 | 1.70 | 0.30 | 81.6 | 8.6 | 92.6 | 88.1% | 2.87 | 179:44 | 32.60 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | G | 78.7% | 1.10 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 56.3 | 4.7 | 60.7 | 92.7% | 2.35 | 119:55 | 24.80 |
| Leevi Merilainen | VAN | G | 12.8% | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.10 | 43.6 | 4.9 | 49.0 | 88.9% | 2.44 | 120:30 | 15.20 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | G | 45.4% | 1.10 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 0.20 | 60.4 | 7.5 | 67.4 | 89.7% | 2.50 | 179:55 | 24.30 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | G | 88.1% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 54.6 | 5.7 | 61.6 | 88.6% | 2.86 | 119:43 | 21.00 |
| Darcy Kuemper | LA | G | 58.0% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 53.7 | 5.3 | 59.2 | 90.6% | 2.66 | 119:32 | 21.90 |
| Jordan Binnington | STL | G | 31.2% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 42.0 | 6.4 | 48.1 | 87.2% | 3.20 | 119:49 | 11.40 |
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | G | 89.1% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.20 | 57.3 | 6.3 | 63.4 | 90.4% | 3.15 | 119:54 | 22.60 |
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | G | 13.6% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 55.0 | 6.4 | 59.7 | 92.1% | 3.19 | 120:16 | 19.70 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | G | 17.4% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 52.2 | 6.1 | 60.9 | 85.7% | 3.04 | 120:13 | 18.50 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | G | 53.8% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 50.7 | 5.5 | 54.2 | 93.6% | 2.76 | 119:41 | 19.90 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | G | 96.9% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.20 | 55.5 | 5.7 | 61.8 | 89.8% | 2.85 | 119:55 | 22.70 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | G | 40.8% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 41.9 | 7.2 | 49.5 | 84.6% | 3.60 | 119:55 | 8.40 |
| Nico Daws | NJ | G | 16.9% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 52.9 | 7.4 | 63.9 | 82.8% | 3.70 | 119:57 | 14.10 |
| Jet Greaves | CLB | G | 85.6% | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 54.3 | 5.4 | 61.8 | 87.9% | 2.69 | 120:15 | 22.00 |
| Anton Forsberg | LA | G | 25.5% | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 52.7 | 5.1 | 57.7 | 91.3% | 2.54 | 120:34 | 21.80 |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | G | 89.9% | 0.90 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 0.20 | 83.1 | 6.3 | 87.6 | 94.9% | 2.10 | 179:54 | 42.50 |
| Daniel Vladar | PHI | G | 76.0% | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 54.2 | 4.6 | 58.0 | 93.5% | 2.31 | 119:43 | 24.20 |
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | G | 99.0% | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 51.8 | 6.3 | 60.8 | 85.2% | 3.16 | 119:42 | 17.90 |
| Akira Schmid | FLA | G | 27.8% | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.30 | 60.3 | 6.2 | 66.9 | 90.0% | 3.08 | 120:49 | 23.50 |
| Brandon Bussi | CAR | G | 96.0% | 0.70 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 0.20 | 40.1 | 4.9 | 44.4 | 90.1% | 2.45 | 120:07 | 16.10 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | SJ | G | 17.6% | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 27.2 | 2.5 | 30.0 | 90.7% | 2.48 | 60:23 | 11.10 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | G | 10.6% | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 25.5 | 3.8 | 29.1 | 87.9% | 3.80 | 60:02 | 6.40 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | G | 32.2% | 0.60 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 60.3 | 5.1 | 68.1 | 88.6% | 2.55 | 119:57 | 26.50 |
| Jake Allen | NJ | G | 54.0% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 25.1 | 3.3 | 30.2 | 83.1% | 3.30 | 60:03 | 7.70 |
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | G | 9.4% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 19.8 | 3.8 | 23.6 | 84.1% | 3.80 | 60:01 | 3.00 |
| Alex Lyon | BUF | G | 33.4% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 30.4 | 2.8 | 33.0 | 92.2% | 2.81 | 59:53 | 12.90 |
| Sam Montembeault | MON | G | 14.8% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 26.5 | 2.4 | 28.4 | 93.3% | 2.40 | 60:01 | 11.70 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | G | 31.7% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 28.7 | 2.6 | 31.5 | 91.1% | 2.61 | 59:40 | 11.60 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | G | 13.0% | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 29.1 | 4.0 | 33.8 | 86.1% | 3.33 | 72:10 | 9.50 |
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | G | 30.0% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 27.6 | 2.6 | 30.9 | 89.5% | 2.61 | 59:45 | 11.90 |
| Adin Hill | LV | G | 23.6% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 27.3 | 3.0 | 30.5 | 89.6% | 3.01 | 59:44 | 10.90 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | G | 79.8% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 21.2 | 2.6 | 24.2 | 87.5% | 2.60 | 60:02 | 8.60 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | G | 9.7% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 22.7 | 2.4 | 24.1 | 94.3% | 2.39 | 60:10 | 9.60 |
| Scott Wedgewood | COL | G | 95.5% | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 27.6 | 1.8 | 28.9 | 95.4% | 1.80 | 59:55 | 15.00 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
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