NHL Projected Goalie Wins Next Week

Q: How are goalie win projections calculated?

Projected wins come straight from LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider; we show their numbers as published and do not adjust them.

Q: Which goalies win the most games?

Goalies on elite teams like Boston, Colorado, and Dallas win the most. Starting goalies on playoff contenders typically accumulate 30+ wins per season.

Q: Should I only start goalies who are favorites?

For wins, yes. Underdogs win only 42% of NHL games. If wins are your priority, target goalies on teams favored by -140 or better.

Q: Do backup goalies have lower win projections?

Generally yes, because backups often face tougher matchups or play for weaker teams. However, quality backups on elite teams can still accumulate wins.

Goalie wins are the most impactful fantasy goaltending stat. Our win projections analyze team strength, opponent quality, and home/away splits to identify which goalies are best positioned for victories next week. Heavy favorites with quality starters offer the safest win upside (Oct 19-25 (Week 4)). (Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:28 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 56 players

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Wins(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

56 players

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Goalies56 of 56

Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	W ↓	GS	L	OTL	SV	GA	SA	SV%	GAA^†	MIN^†	FPTS
Mackenzie Blackwood	COL	G	91.0%	1.84	3.00	0.94	0.22	69.8	7.4	77.2	90.5%	2.46	179:47	29.23
Connor Hellebuyck	WPG	G	91.3%	1.60	3.00	1.10	0.30	75.1	7.1	81.3	91.4%	2.37	179:49	32.30
Jesper Wallstedt	MIN	G	96.4%	1.57	3.00	0.93	0.30	72.6	7.9	80.5	90.1%	2.65	180:04	28.24
Anthony Stolarz	TOR	G	36.4%	1.44	3.00	1.29	0.27	74.3	8.2	82.6	90.0%	2.75	179:21	27.66
Lukas Dostal	ANA	G	83.2%	1.37	3.00	1.17	0.26	70.5	8.2	78.7	89.6%	2.74	179:15	24.90
Calvin Pickard	MIN	G	4.1%	1.37	3.00	1.38	0.15	68.9	8.6	77.5	88.9%	2.86	180:21	22.41
Linus Ullmark	OTT	G	88.9%	1.30	2.00	0.66	0.14	45.3	4.7	50.0	90.6%	2.37	119:21	19.80
Pyotr Kochetkov	CAR	G	53.7%	1.26	2.00	0.60	0.13	41.1	5.0	46.1	89.1%	2.52	120:01	15.92
Logan Thompson	WSH	G	99.8%	1.26	2.00	0.80	0.14	52.6	5.2	57.8	91.0%	2.62	119:45	22.54
Sergei Bobrovsky	TOR	G	84.8%	1.22	3.00	1.41	0.36	74.5	8.7	83.3	89.5%	2.92	179:42	25.17
Devon Levi	EDM	G	54.0%	1.22	2.00	0.74	0.14	51.6	6.0	57.6	89.5%	3.03	119:54	18.95
Jeremy Swayman	BOS	G	96.6%	1.21	2.00	0.75	0.14	48.1	5.0	53.1	90.6%	2.50	119:55	20.38
Scott Wedgewood	COL	G	88.9%	1.18	2.00	0.58	0.14	48.3	4.7	53.0	91.2%	2.34	119:51	21.73
Karel Vejmelka	UTA	G	97.9%	1.17	2.00	0.60	0.13	48.1	5.5	53.6	89.8%	2.73	120:34	18.97
Jacob Fowler	MTL	G	52.3%	1.14	2.00	0.72	0.14	45.5	4.9	50.4	90.2%	2.47	120:06	18.53
Jake Allen	NJD	G	53.8%	1.13	2.00	0.78	0.19	50.9	5.8	56.8	89.7%	2.92	120:04	19.07
Adin Hill	VGK	G	27.3%	1.12	2.00	0.68	0.20	47.0	5.2	52.2	90.0%	2.61	119:35	18.29
Jet Greaves	CBJ	G	79.8%	1.11	2.00	0.81	0.18	51.0	5.8	56.7	89.8%	2.87	120:32	19.36
Jake Oettinger	DAL	G	99.1%	1.10	2.00	0.86	0.24	45.1	4.9	50.0	90.1%	2.48	119:46	19.08
Ilya Sorokin	NYI	G	97.3%	1.09	2.00	0.82	0.19	49.2	5.1	54.3	90.6%	2.55	119:48	20.60
Yaroslav Askarov	SJS	G	74.8%	1.08	3.00	1.40	0.32	70.5	9.8	80.3	87.8%	3.29	178:49	18.65
Cam Talbot	CBJ	G	6.6%	1.07	2.00	0.99	0.14	50.5	6.3	56.8	88.9%	3.14	120:33	16.49
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	BUF	G	66.1%	1.04	2.00	0.77	0.20	43.7	5.5	49.1	88.9%	2.72	120:39	15.44
Carter Hart	VGK	G	89.0%	1.03	2.00	0.72	0.15	47.0	5.2	52.2	90.1%	2.60	119:41	18.11
Samuel Ersson	OTT	G	10.6%	0.99	2.00	0.81	0.20	45.0	5.7	50.7	88.7%	2.85	120:42	15.07
Joel Hofer	STL	G	83.0%	0.97	2.00	0.88	0.25	50.6	5.4	56.0	90.4%	2.69	120:02	20.27
Joey Daccord	SEA	G	67.3%	0.96	2.00	0.88	0.15	54.3	5.6	60.0	90.6%	2.83	119:16	21.02
Stuart Skinner	WPG	G	62.1%	0.96	2.00	0.72	0.21	47.7	5.4	53.1	89.8%	2.72	119:43	17.37
Philipp Grubauer	SEA	G	15.2%	0.94	2.00	0.86	0.20	55.1	5.9	61.0	90.3%	2.95	120:48	20.42
Colten Ellis	BUF	G	16.3%	0.93	2.00	0.87	0.20	44.0	5.4	49.5	89.0%	2.73	119:29	15.97
John Gibson	DET	G	63.9%	0.92	2.00	0.83	0.25	46.5	5.7	52.2	89.2%	2.86	118:30	15.69
Spencer Knight	CHI	G	73.3%	0.92	2.00	0.97	0.21	52.4	6.0	58.4	89.8%	2.99	119:52	18.27
Jacob Markstrom	FLA	G	91.8%	0.92	2.00	0.68	0.21	42.6	5.1	47.7	89.2%	2.59	119:04	15.72
Dylan Garand	NYR	G	53.2%	0.89	2.00	0.36	0.15	38.0	4.3	42.3	89.8%	3.58	72:01	15.48
Sergei Murashov	PIT	G	61.8%	0.86	2.00	0.25	0.19	40.5	4.6	45.1	89.7%	3.27	84:50	14.84
Akira Schmid	FLA	G	24.4%	0.86	2.00	0.78	0.26	45.5	5.4	50.9	89.4%	2.66	121:42	15.84
Dustin Wolf	CGY	G	54.5%	0.85	2.00	1.15	0.20	53.5	6.0	59.6	89.9%	3.04	119:23	18.34
Anton Forsberg	LAK	G	20.9%	0.85	2.00	0.84	0.21	48.7	5.4	54.1	90.1%	2.65	121:32	17.77
Andrei Vasilevskiy	TBL	G	99.2%	0.84	2.00	0.80	0.17	50.8	5.5	56.3	90.2%	2.78	119:37	18.95
Darcy Kuemper	LAK	G	51.2%	0.80	2.00	0.88	0.21	49.0	5.4	54.4	90.0%	2.75	118:40	17.73
Juuse Saros	NSH	G	85.3%	0.72	2.00	0.96	0.22	52.4	6.6	59.0	88.9%	3.29	119:36	15.75
Clay Stevenson	WPG	G	11.4%	0.72	2.00	0.31	0.17	38.1	4.5	42.6	89.5%	3.68	73:20	13.13
Leevi Merilainen	VAN	G	20.4%	0.72	2.00	0.83	0.16	48.7	6.1	54.8	88.9%	3.03	120:48	14.53
Daniel Vladar	PHI	G	61.4%	0.71	2.00	1.02	0.26	51.2	6.3	57.6	89.0%	3.17	119:47	15.87
Matt Murray	NSH	G	0.1%	0.63	2.00	0.40	0.27	41.4	5.0	46.4	89.1%	4.15	72:48	12.90
Kevin Lankinen	VAN	G	22.4%	0.61	2.00	0.84	0.16	44.5	6.2	50.6	87.8%	4.23	87:18	11.28
Arturs Silovs	PIT	G	57.0%	0.56	1.00	0.44	0.09	23.9	3.0	26.8	89.0%	2.95	59:56	8.51
Brandon Bussi	CAR	G	93.8%	0.55	1.00	0.25	0.09	20.5	2.7	23.3	88.3%	2.72	60:03	7.40
Jakub Dobes	MTL	G	93.0%	0.55	1.00	0.36	0.09	23.1	2.7	25.8	89.5%	2.72	59:55	8.44
Sam Montembeault	MTL	G	13.8%	0.54	1.00	0.36	0.09	23.3	2.7	26.0	89.8%	2.66	60:01	8.55
Tristan Jarry	EDM	G	26.1%	0.53	1.00	0.38	0.09	25.0	3.1	28.1	89.1%	3.07	60:01	8.54
Daniil Tarasov	DET	G	11.5%	0.46	1.00	0.34	0.10	23.6	2.9	26.5	89.1%	2.88	60:23	7.94
Jordan Binnington	STL	G	26.8%	0.43	1.00	0.47	0.10	25.6	3.1	28.7	89.1%	3.14	59:55	8.28
Joseph Woll	PHI	G	39.4%	0.39	1.00	0.55	0.16	26.3	3.0	29.3	89.7%	3.02	59:55	8.50
Ville Husso	ANA	G	7.3%	0.39	1.00	0.41	0.11	23.7	2.8	26.5	89.3%	2.82	60:09	7.81
Alex Nedeljkovic	SJS	G	16.7%	0.37	1.00	0.42	0.11	24.0	3.0	27.1	88.8%	3.00	60:24	7.42

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Goalie shots against, saves, goals against, SV%, GAA, wins and OTL are an Edgehalla blend: LineupExperts' goalie line averaged 50/50 with Edgehalla's own goalie model.

Why wins matter

Goalie wins are worth 3-5 points in most fantasy formats, making them the most impactful goalie stat. A win can swing your entire fantasy week.

Win probability factors

- Team strength: Goalies on good teams win more often - Home ice advantage: Most goalies perform better at home - Opponent: Facing weak offensive teams increases win odds - Betting lines: Vegas moneylines indicate expected win probability

Win projection tiers

- High confidence (65%+): Heavy favorites (-180 or better) - Medium confidence (50-65%): Slight favorites - Low confidence (<50%): Underdogs and toss-ups

💡

Pro Tip: Moneyline favorites win about 58% of NHL games. Only start goalies on teams -140 or better if wins are your priority.

Next Week's Favorite Goalies

Goalies on heavy favorites have the best win probability. Check team betting lines to identify high-confidence win targets.

Games Next Week

Confirmed Starters

Verify your goalie is confirmed to start before counting on a win. Check our starting goalies page for real-time confirmation updates.

Starting Goalies

Wins vs. Saves Trade-off

Goalies on favorites often face fewer shots (fewer saves) but win more often. Balance your goalie strategy based on category needs.

Saves Projections

Related Projections

Build Your Stack

Complete Your Lineup

By Position

Frequently Asked Questions

Projected wins come straight from LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider; we show their numbers as published and do not adjust them.

Goalies on elite teams like Boston, Colorado, and Dallas win the most. Starting goalies on playoff contenders typically accumulate 30+ wins per season.

For wins, yes. Underdogs win only 42% of NHL games. If wins are your priority, target goalies on teams favored by -140 or better.

Generally yes, because backups often face tougher matchups or play for weaker teams. However, quality backups on elite teams can still accumulate wins.

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NHL Projected Goalie Wins Next Week

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Wins(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Goalies56 of 56

Why wins matter

Win probability factors

Win projection tiers

Next Week's Favorite Goalies

Confirmed Starters

Wins vs. Saves Trade-off

Related Projections

Build Your Stack

Complete Your Lineup

By Position

Frequently Asked Questions

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NHL Forward

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