Edgehalla

NHL Projected Goal Scorers Next Week

Which players are most likely to light the lamp next week? Our goal-scoring projections identify the NHL players with the best chances to find the back of the net in next week's games. Perfect for fantasy hockey managers chasing the goals category or DFS players looking for ceiling plays (Oct 19-25 (Week 4)). (Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 700 players

Sorted by Projected Goals(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

644 players
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PlayerTeamPosRost%G ↓APTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Kirill KaprizovMINLW98.3%2.802.405.2013.602.201.601.100.790.671.460.010.000.010.510.270.33-1.234.58-0.1588:4884.1746.20
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%2.703.005.6015.302.804.400.800.740.901.640.080.040.120.5037.8428.3157.2%1.493.850.2184:3093.1450.70
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%2.104.106.2017.202.301.902.000.621.301.910.020.020.030.3835.6235.3150.2%1.355.391.4089:0095.0452.00
William NylanderTORRW99.0%2.103.205.3011.900.901.100.700.590.981.570.020.010.030.392.533.24-1.483.840.2079:5489.6239.70
Cutter GauthierANALW97.4%1.901.503.4014.203.401.401.600.600.481.080.020.010.020.253.864.36-1.003.33-0.0663:3075.7433.30
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%1.902.904.8014.002.302.601.900.440.901.340.030.020.050.2329.7330.6749.2%1.555.11-1.3682:4884.2640.30
Martin NecasCOLRW99.9%1.802.804.6010.803.701.101.000.570.941.510.010.010.020.321.121.15-1.334.371.2480:5484.5037.90
Matthew BoldyMINRW100.0%1.701.803.5013.803.703.201.900.460.561.030.070.030.110.313.033.70-1.604.13-0.1484:0082.9337.30
Leo CarlssonANAC94.9%1.702.404.109.900.801.901.100.510.991.500.040.020.050.2221.9726.5545.3%1.163.52-0.0772:1284.0434.30
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.7%1.702.404.109.401.701.001.200.520.851.370.020.010.030.3027.2121.8555.5%0.993.80-0.5964:4870.0034.80
Cole CaufieldMTLLW99.9%1.601.202.8010.102.000.800.600.470.410.880.010.000.010.280.320.39-0.852.500.4955:3062.8626.30
Kyle ConnorWPGLW98.9%1.601.703.309.200.901.100.500.400.450.850.050.030.080.550.050.06-0.982.950.1863:0667.1828.40
Sam ReinhartFLARW97.3%1.601.002.608.303.201.600.500.640.411.050.060.010.070.305.947.1245.5%0.912.90-0.0463:0070.6824.80
Alex DeBrincatDETLW98.7%1.501.402.9010.601.601.401.000.480.420.900.010.000.010.180.861.05-1.012.81-0.2655:3063.4727.40
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%1.503.605.2010.402.101.201.400.411.481.890.060.050.100.2617.4117.8149.4%1.123.73-0.6369:0671.7840.90
John TavaresTORC95.0%1.501.903.409.503.801.501.500.430.591.030.000.000.000.2838.1929.1156.8%1.163.760.1872:4284.4726.90
Andrei SvechnikovCARLW97.7%1.501.503.008.105.900.602.200.590.621.200.000.000.000.260.330.40-0.872.84-0.0251:5460.6626.00
Alexis LafreniereNYRRW89.8%1.501.302.707.103.401.200.900.440.350.800.010.000.010.120.730.93-0.942.590.7353:4264.9623.40
Jack HughesNJDC99.4%1.402.503.8011.900.301.600.600.340.871.210.030.020.050.139.7814.9739.5%1.133.95-0.1663:3064.6834.00
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%1.402.403.709.601.002.000.600.411.061.470.060.060.110.3022.7825.3447.3%1.113.56-0.0463:4866.9133.00
Bo HorvatNYIC92.4%1.401.202.609.203.001.501.200.430.370.790.060.040.090.1528.4822.5155.9%0.923.120.2761:0669.8525.10
Brandon HagelTBLLW99.3%1.401.602.908.001.702.002.100.410.540.940.080.040.120.130.951.17-1.172.98-0.0762:0070.8826.60
Artturi LehkonenCOLLW75.9%1.401.202.607.902.602.200.900.260.220.480.070.030.100.250.440.56-1.183.691.3477:3695.6226.50
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%1.402.103.406.705.701.901.300.440.801.240.090.050.140.3213.3512.0252.6%1.033.260.0962:1878.7127.60
Cale MakarCOLD100.0%1.303.204.5011.101.706.001.000.501.411.910.010.040.060.230.000.00-1.595.061.6199:54103.4742.10
David PastrnakBOSRW99.8%1.302.403.7011.103.500.901.600.350.721.070.010.000.010.160.240.29-0.983.960.6160:2462.2530.60
Jason RobertsonDALLW99.1%1.301.803.1011.002.301.101.000.370.610.980.000.000.000.140.100.12-0.953.07-0.1757:1260.2328.90
Kirill MarchenkoTORRW98.0%1.302.203.6010.103.201.702.000.360.731.090.000.000.000.240.310.37-1.353.850.1975:3682.5131.40
Dylan GuentherUTARW99.3%1.301.202.4010.102.301.000.800.500.511.010.010.000.010.140.841.01-0.812.65-0.1051:5463.9525.50
Beckett SenneckeANARW95.4%1.301.803.109.804.401.402.900.350.530.870.000.000.010.170.160.19-1.234.10-0.0771:3683.6125.70
Brock NelsonCOLC86.6%1.301.402.708.801.702.901.200.280.340.620.070.040.120.2334.1433.8850.2%1.173.501.2975:4894.1326.40
Jack RoslovicTORRW33.8%1.301.102.408.301.601.001.100.200.190.390.000.000.000.247.567.1551.4%0.963.090.1760:4873.4920.20
Sebastian AhoCARC99.7%1.302.203.507.902.101.102.000.450.831.280.060.070.130.2224.1222.1152.2%0.903.27-0.0360:1269.0529.00
Brady TkachukFLALW98.9%1.201.102.3010.409.300.703.200.450.460.910.010.010.020.237.987.3452.1%0.802.51-0.0352:4870.1822.60
Will SmithSJSRW94.5%1.201.903.109.201.000.900.800.310.530.840.010.000.010.142.883.28-1.023.57-1.1169:0675.5924.70
Artemi PanarinLAKLW97.4%1.201.803.008.600.700.400.800.330.580.900.000.000.010.190.030.03-0.913.210.4361:3066.0222.80
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%1.200.902.108.301.701.000.800.360.310.670.020.010.020.299.9811.8045.8%0.661.920.1938:4247.0820.90
Nick SchmaltzUTARW97.1%1.201.302.608.001.301.700.800.440.430.870.040.020.070.1313.6415.4147.0%1.122.83-0.1257:2470.6722.80
Gavin McKennaTORLW92.5%1.202.003.207.800.701.001.800.270.500.770.000.000.000.220.070.08-0.922.960.1559:2470.0323.50
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%1.201.302.607.801.802.300.700.370.400.770.050.030.090.1135.9329.5354.9%0.952.77-0.1561:2470.2623.80
Nick SuzukiMTLC99.9%1.202.303.607.102.802.000.800.320.771.090.020.020.040.2126.7626.0250.7%1.023.270.5762:5467.1028.40
Dylan LarkinDETC95.1%1.101.302.509.501.701.201.700.320.410.720.050.020.070.1331.5928.2752.8%0.943.24-0.3060:3672.0022.90
Adrian KempeLAKRW96.0%1.101.302.408.704.401.101.600.280.380.660.010.010.020.182.062.62-0.952.960.4258:5467.0922.50
Wyatt JohnstonDALC99.8%1.101.602.708.602.101.901.000.330.500.830.020.010.030.1215.1815.6449.3%0.922.66-0.1859:2464.0624.70
Nikita KucherovTBLRW99.7%1.102.703.807.701.001.101.500.371.181.560.000.000.010.100.080.09-0.993.90-0.0763:0664.6030.20
Bryan RustPITRW82.9%1.101.102.207.301.602.801.000.220.260.470.060.030.090.130.260.33-0.882.880.3659:3070.6720.60
Steven StamkosNSHC94.5%1.101.002.107.303.201.201.500.380.380.760.000.000.000.1611.719.9154.2%0.892.59-0.3854:4262.9518.40
Jake GuentzelTBLLW99.5%1.101.502.506.801.301.501.300.400.621.030.030.020.050.107.618.1248.4%0.922.92-0.0760:4266.3922.70
Drake BathersonOTTRW96.7%1.101.402.406.605.600.901.700.380.500.880.000.000.010.250.470.54-0.902.570.0753:2470.7220.30
Tomas HertlVGKC86.7%1.101.102.206.404.301.600.900.460.420.870.010.000.010.2323.5718.3256.3%0.712.27-0.0349:5455.8620.00
Mark ScheifeleWPGC98.7%1.102.003.205.801.301.701.500.250.530.770.010.010.010.3821.6623.8547.6%1.023.510.1862:3064.0023.60
Morgan GeekieBOSLW94.0%1.101.402.505.604.401.300.800.280.400.680.010.000.010.133.734.20-0.802.590.5352:0056.3620.20
Joel Eriksson EkMINC77.8%1.001.302.3011.706.102.201.400.260.390.650.030.020.060.1838.8539.5149.6%1.243.48-0.1378:4282.0128.70
Nazem KadriCOLC69.5%1.001.702.8011.002.301.801.500.270.560.830.010.010.010.1823.5526.6546.9%1.223.961.2176:1888.7225.50
Timo MeierNJDLW77.4%1.000.901.9010.305.402.101.600.180.170.350.010.000.010.091.682.03-0.922.79-0.1454:2462.1121.30
Filip ForsbergNSHLW99.1%1.001.302.408.904.401.401.300.300.440.730.000.000.010.150.460.60-1.163.39-0.4157:3066.8921.70
Tyler ToffoliSJSRW37.2%1.001.102.208.602.401.100.600.220.250.460.000.000.010.120.660.67-0.943.05-1.0362:1877.7319.50
Viktor ArvidssonDETRW40.7%1.001.202.208.601.101.401.100.320.360.680.010.000.010.120.620.73-0.662.19-0.2245:2454.8321.50
Bobby McMannSEALW47.8%1.000.701.708.605.801.401.300.160.110.270.010.000.020.200.490.49-0.712.13-0.0646:3058.7919.50
Matthew TkachukFLARW98.5%1.002.303.307.904.200.502.600.381.141.520.010.010.020.190.270.33-0.922.88-0.0356:0062.8025.60
Jared McCannSEALW77.5%1.001.402.407.801.801.200.500.250.370.620.020.010.030.201.501.78-0.782.49-0.0649:4265.2122.30
Jimmy SnuggerudSTLRW77.6%1.001.102.107.703.101.800.800.200.230.440.000.000.000.140.280.35-0.822.67-0.3350:1263.9421.00
Mikko RantanenDALRW98.8%1.002.103.107.502.201.402.900.260.690.950.000.000.000.112.702.98-1.053.23-0.1963:0665.2525.50
Sidney CrosbyPITC98.7%1.001.402.307.402.401.501.100.270.400.670.000.000.000.1135.3029.0754.8%0.943.170.3459:5468.4319.20
Roope HintzDALC83.0%1.001.402.307.403.201.200.900.270.410.690.010.010.020.1122.4117.5956.0%0.742.55-0.1551:2463.3422.50
Easton CowanTORRW60.1%1.001.002.106.704.402.002.200.170.170.340.020.010.030.190.340.41-0.953.430.1659:1873.5818.20
Jordan EberleSEARW45.2%1.001.102.106.402.301.901.500.220.310.530.010.000.010.200.470.58-0.932.54-0.0652:0665.5919.80
Carter VerhaegheFLALW68.1%1.000.801.706.402.000.801.100.290.230.520.000.000.010.191.742.03-0.882.63-0.0354:4264.4716.90
Brayden PointTBLC94.1%1.001.202.206.300.501.400.600.340.420.760.000.000.010.0915.2417.0347.2%0.892.48-0.0657:3062.6320.40
Kyle PalmieriNYIRW14.1%1.000.901.906.301.901.501.100.280.270.560.020.010.030.110.450.45-0.822.490.2355:0065.1016.90
Porter MartonePHIRW81.4%1.000.901.906.304.700.801.400.210.200.410.000.000.000.110.730.86-0.812.72-0.2848:0660.6818.30
Logan StankovenCARC80.3%1.000.801.806.301.501.200.600.190.160.340.050.020.060.1713.1916.0445.1%0.772.22-0.0348:0057.6018.50
Cole PerfettiWPGLW79.8%1.001.202.206.102.301.500.700.270.370.640.000.000.000.340.700.78-0.872.250.1347:4255.4019.30
Mark StoneVGKRW94.7%1.002.002.905.902.002.300.800.320.851.170.040.030.070.210.290.36-0.952.84-0.0358:0664.1425.70
Vasily PodkolzinEDMLW86.3%1.000.801.805.809.201.901.700.290.230.520.020.010.020.170.881.18-0.671.96-0.4143:4855.9119.00
Michael MisaSJSC55.7%1.001.402.405.701.401.900.800.150.220.370.010.010.020.1216.2018.0247.3%0.862.85-0.9051:5465.5119.20
Fraser MintenBOSC45.7%1.000.901.805.704.401.500.700.130.120.250.060.030.090.1214.3815.5248.1%0.812.090.5145:5458.0518.10
Mark JankowskiCARC9.0%1.000.401.403.501.901.400.500.130.060.190.070.010.080.1716.1116.6749.1%0.541.91-0.0237:3052.4012.80
Blake ColemanMINRW41.3%0.900.901.909.108.902.603.300.130.140.260.060.030.080.161.111.39-1.143.74-0.1368:3689.1020.60
Pavel DorofeyevNYRRW90.9%0.900.801.708.801.401.100.700.270.260.530.000.000.000.070.070.08-0.792.440.7051:2458.4318.40
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%0.902.303.208.601.303.701.000.341.061.400.010.030.040.160.000.00-1.164.03-0.6973:3679.5031.50
Gabriel LandeskogCOLLW46.7%0.901.502.408.405.602.302.400.200.370.570.010.000.010.168.657.3654.0%1.003.181.1167:0680.4024.30
Dylan HollowaySTLLW89.6%0.901.602.507.906.902.100.900.190.350.540.010.010.010.121.391.65-0.762.32-0.3249:3661.6422.80
Jake DebruskVANRW47.6%0.900.701.607.902.701.600.600.240.190.420.020.010.020.130.540.64-0.872.23-0.4650:2463.8916.60
Kevin FialaLAKLW64.0%0.901.202.107.801.900.901.600.250.370.620.000.000.000.150.610.76-0.932.980.4056:4260.0519.10
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW97.5%0.901.602.507.304.502.201.600.270.520.790.000.000.010.160.881.20-0.882.870.4955:1260.5121.70
Mason MarchmentSJSLW41.0%0.901.202.107.205.201.502.600.170.230.400.000.000.000.111.001.31-1.303.53-1.1065:1876.8918.70
Jesper BrattNJDRW95.1%0.902.203.006.903.101.100.400.240.761.000.020.030.050.080.140.17-0.913.14-0.1456:3666.7423.00
Quinton ByfieldLAKC82.1%0.901.202.106.902.301.301.400.210.290.500.030.020.050.1519.5521.7047.4%1.242.900.4358:5468.8618.30
Evgeni MalkinPITC85.2%0.901.202.006.901.001.102.200.260.380.640.000.000.000.106.587.1747.9%0.922.940.3054:0059.5218.90
Mason McTavishSTLC52.2%0.901.001.906.803.501.301.700.200.220.430.000.000.010.1217.1117.5649.4%0.702.29-0.3147:3660.5117.50
Igor ChernyshovSJSLW51.7%0.901.202.106.702.301.700.800.140.200.340.010.000.010.110.040.04-1.082.90-1.0460:0674.4819.50
Will CuylleNYRLW64.5%0.900.801.706.7012.001.701.700.140.160.300.060.020.080.072.012.20-0.622.230.7147:1264.8017.60
Jaden SchwartzCOLLW30.3%0.901.102.006.502.102.101.000.140.200.340.010.010.020.161.681.79-1.183.281.1666:4885.6519.00
Travis KonecnyPHIRW87.5%0.901.702.506.204.401.502.200.200.470.670.010.010.030.101.131.36-0.843.18-0.3358:1272.8219.20
Maxim ShabanovMINRW29.7%0.901.001.906.202.901.800.200.240.320.560.010.000.010.160.080.09-0.992.98-0.1056:4863.3216.40
Tyson FoersterPHILW35.9%0.900.601.506.203.902.201.600.210.150.360.050.010.060.100.060.07-0.762.26-0.2951:3667.2314.20
Mitch MarnerVGKRW98.9%0.902.203.106.101.102.000.700.280.841.120.030.030.060.193.775.06-1.263.69-0.0462:0667.0124.00
Brock BoeserVANRW60.5%0.901.001.905.902.001.100.900.230.320.550.020.010.030.131.842.31-0.842.88-0.5055:3064.4914.90
Taylor HallCARLW42.2%0.901.001.905.702.200.801.700.150.190.340.000.000.010.150.881.06-0.662.20-0.0243:0653.2516.30

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What drives goal scoring? Goals are the most valuable fantasy stat but also the most volatile. Our projections analyze multiple factors to identify Next Week's best scoring opportunities.

Key factors

- Line placement: Top-6 forwards get more offensive zone time - Power play role: PP1 triggers score most goals - Opponent goalie: Backup goalies allow more goals on average - Shot volume: More shots = more goal opportunities - Shooting percentage: Hot shooters often stay hot short-term

League averages

The average NHL goal scorer has a 10-12% shooting percentage. Elite finishers exceed 15%.

💡
Pro Tip: Target players facing backup goalies with sub-.900 save percentages this season—goal projections spike in these matchups.

Who Should I Start for Goals Next Week?

Torn between two players for goal-scoring upside? Our start/sit tool opens ranked by projected goals next week, with shots, matchups and role trends alongside.

Who Should I Start (ranked by goals)

Best Goal Streamers Next Week

If you're chasing the goals category, look for players with high projections who are available in most leagues. Filter by rostered percentage to find hidden gems.

All Projections

DFS Goal Stacks

Building a GPP lineup? Stack goal scorers with their linemates for correlated upside. When one scores, the others often get assists.

DraftKings Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Anytime goal % is the chance a player scores at least one goal next week. It comes from his projected goals (xG) for the game: P(1+ goals) = 1 − e^(−xG), the standard Poisson estimate. A player projected for 0.50 goals has about a 39% chance to score; 0.70 projected goals is about 50%.
Next Week's projected goals come from Edgehalla's goal model: each skater's goals per 60 minutes (this season counted double, plus last season, pulled toward his position's average) times his average ice time over his last 5 games. Out of sample it beat LineupExperts' goal projection and matched the sportsbooks' anytime prices. Weekly and longer ranges use LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider. Our model then splits the goals into power-play, shorthanded and game-winning goals.
Elite goal scorers like Auston Matthews, Leon Draisaitl, Alex Ovechkin, and David Pastrnak consistently lead projections. However, matchup-dependent streamers often offer better value on any given night.
Our NHL goal projections update hourly throughout the day, with final adjustments made when starting lineups and goaltenders are confirmed approximately 30 minutes before puck drop.
Goals are high-variance but high-reward. In category leagues, streaming goal scorers against weak goaltending can swing close matchups. In points leagues, consistent goal scorers provide elite value.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see next week player projections