NHL Projected Shorthanded Points Next Week

Shorthanded points count in some Yahoo and ESPN leagues and earn bonuses on DraftKings and FanDuel. This page ranks players by projected shorthanded goals plus shorthanded assists. Both are small, high-variance numbers driven mainly by penalty-kill ice time (Oct 5-11 (Week 2)). (Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

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Week 2: Oct 5 - Oct 11(Upcoming)

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 4:27 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 712 players

SHP = projected SHG + projected SHA. LineupExperts projects each player's goals, assists and ice time. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.

Shrunk hard toward league averages. Shorthanded scoring rates barely repeat year to year, so penalty-kill minutes matter far more than a player's past shorthanded points.

Team check. Each team's shorthanded goals and assists are scaled to the league's shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists.

Variance warning

leaders project for a few shorthanded points per season. In our backtest the league total was right within a few percent, but the top deciles missed our ±10% calibration bar in 2025-26.

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Pro Tip: Treat SHP as a tiebreaker between similar players, favouring the one with steady penalty-kill minutes.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

Shorthanded scoring is rare and streaky: even the leaders score only a few a season. These projections are driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time, with each team’s total held to the league’s shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists. How the model works

Sorted by Projected Short Handed Points(Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

658 players

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Skaters100 of 658

Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	SHP^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Blake Lizotte	PIT	C	0.1%	0.18	0.50	0.90	1.40	4.20	3.90	2.10	2.00	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.10	0.07	0.07	16.33	16.15	50.3%	0.84	2.63	0.55	53:00	73.68	12.50
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	98.8%	0.15	1.90	2.90	4.80	12.80	2.70	1.10	2.10	0.64	1.12	1.76	0.09	0.06	0.39	31.63	29.26	51.9%	1.32	4.26	0.59	80:42	92.53	39.80
Shane Pinto	OTT	C	37.1%	0.15	1.10	1.20	2.30	9.80	4.50	2.60	1.40	0.19	0.21	0.40	0.09	0.05	0.22	22.47	21.44	51.2%	1.22	3.43	0.39	73:12	102.18	24.00
Bryan Rust	PIT	RW	85.3%	0.14	1.60	2.00	3.60	10.90	2.30	3.10	1.40	0.43	0.63	1.06	0.09	0.05	0.22	0.40	0.50	-	1.18	3.98	0.70	79:36	94.35	31.40
Connor Dewar	PIT	LW	4.2%	0.13	0.50	0.70	1.20	5.40	7.80	2.40	1.70	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.08	0.06	0.07	3.17	3.33	-	0.78	2.38	0.55	52:18	70.42	13.50
Tim Stutzle	OTT	C	99.5%	0.13	1.30	2.20	3.50	11.00	5.80	1.90	1.40	0.36	0.73	1.09	0.08	0.05	0.27	15.08	14.11	51.7%	1.37	4.07	0.40	80:42	101.60	31.90
Lawson Crouse	UTA	RW	35.8%	0.13	0.80	0.90	1.70	4.70	7.00	2.00	1.30	0.09	0.12	0.21	0.08	0.04	0.14	1.14	1.44	-	0.73	2.13	1.10	46:00	64.98	15.70
Alex Tuch	WAS	RW	93.9%	0.11	0.90	0.90	1.80	6.50	3.40	2.70	1.90	0.12	0.13	0.25	0.07	0.04	0.23	2.28	2.85	-	1.08	2.72	-0.09	57:30	75.69	20.00
Brock Nelson	COL	C	87.7%	0.11	1.20	1.40	2.60	6.80	1.40	2.20	1.00	0.33	0.45	0.78	0.07	0.04	0.24	25.26	25.20	50.1%	0.89	2.64	1.56	57:06	69.93	22.60
Robert Thomas	STL	C	92.8%	0.11	1.00	2.40	3.40	6.10	0.50	1.40	0.90	0.23	0.65	0.88	0.06	0.05	0.13	27.18	24.53	52.6%	1.01	3.21	0.42	58:48	72.30	26.00
Parker Kelly	COL	LW	10.7%	0.11	0.60	0.90	1.40	3.70	7.10	2.50	1.10	0.03	0.05	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.12	4.97	6.30	44.1%	0.60	1.89	1.21	38:06	54.89	13.60
Aliaksei Protas	WAS	LW	59.3%	0.10	0.80	0.90	1.60	5.50	1.40	1.30	0.90	0.05	0.06	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.20	1.11	1.31	-	0.85	2.62	-0.08	51:48	65.42	16.30
Jordan Staal	CAR	C	20.0%	0.10	0.80	1.00	1.90	6.90	7.90	2.30	1.10	0.12	0.16	0.27	0.06	0.04	0.16	43.14	36.19	54.4%	0.98	2.93	0.55	64:42	91.93	18.80
Ryan Poehling	ANA	C	6.7%	0.10	0.50	1.10	1.50	4.00	1.70	4.10	0.60	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.07	18.30	19.44	48.5%	0.68	2.08	0.44	43:12	59.81	15.00
Justin Danforth	BUF	C	0.0%	0.10	0.30	0.40	0.70	3.30	4.30	2.30	0.90	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.04	0.08	14.59	16.00	47.7%	0.68	2.08	-0.40	42:48	57.61	7.90
Bo Horvat	NYI	C	90.2%	0.10	1.30	1.10	2.50	9.50	3.10	1.60	1.30	0.40	0.37	0.76	0.06	0.03	0.21	28.75	23.23	55.3%	0.95	3.14	0.56	61:36	69.25	24.40
Collin Graf	SJ	LW	27.9%	0.09	0.60	0.80	1.40	3.90	2.40	1.80	0.70	0.03	0.05	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.09	0.58	0.74	-	0.85	2.28	0.69	49:00	59.49	12.50
Pius Suter	STL	C	4.1%	0.09	0.70	0.80	1.50	4.80	2.50	0.90	0.50	0.07	0.09	0.15	0.06	0.03	0.09	13.17	14.87	47.0%	0.77	2.30	0.39	49:24	66.13	13.90
Pavel Buchnevich	STL	RW	36.3%	0.09	0.80	1.10	1.90	5.80	1.50	1.00	0.70	0.16	0.27	0.43	0.06	0.03	0.10	3.83	5.22	42.3%	0.89	2.68	0.40	55:24	70.18	16.90
Ryan O'Reilly	NSH	C	84.3%	0.09	0.70	1.40	2.10	5.50	0.60	2.10	0.60	0.18	0.43	0.61	0.06	0.04	0.13	27.17	22.56	54.6%	1.11	2.71	-0.64	59:36	70.78	17.60
Nick Schmaltz	UTA	RW	93.8%	0.09	1.30	1.60	2.90	6.50	0.70	1.90	0.50	0.33	0.43	0.76	0.06	0.03	0.23	14.14	15.60	47.5%	1.09	2.92	1.24	57:42	70.52	24.00
Connor McMichael	STL	C	34.3%	0.09	0.80	1.30	2.00	6.70	2.00	1.20	1.00	0.14	0.25	0.39	0.05	0.04	0.10	8.13	10.26	44.2%	0.85	2.37	0.37	50:12	69.38	18.60
Nolan Allan	SJ	D	4.8%	0.09	0.20	0.50	0.70	1.50	3.00	3.40	1.30	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.07	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.69	2.38	0.66	45:54	58.26	6.70
Ty Dellandrea	SJ	C	3.2%	0.09	0.20	0.50	0.70	2.90	5.80	2.20	2.20	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.04	0.03	14.43	13.75	51.2%	0.59	1.81	0.54	38:00	49.99	6.20
Jordan Martinook	CAR	LW	4.3%	0.09	0.60	0.90	1.50	6.60	4.60	2.30	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.12	1.73	2.02	-	0.93	2.93	0.56	61:00	84.95	16.40
Teddy Blueger	TOR	C	4.8%	0.09	0.20	0.60	0.80	3.30	3.80	1.50	1.10	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.04	16.17	17.03	48.7%	0.69	2.17	-0.36	43:54	59.57	7.20
Filip Hallander	PIT	C	9.1%	0.09	0.30	0.80	1.10	6.80	1.10	1.40	2.20	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.04	1.23	1.22	-	0.98	3.01	0.64	61:30	84.24	13.20
Brandon Hagel	TB	LW	99.1%	0.09	1.10	1.50	2.60	10.40	1.50	1.60	1.70	0.29	0.44	0.74	0.05	0.03	0.24	1.06	1.33	-	1.12	3.09	0.27	61:48	71.56	27.20
Vincent Trocheck	UTA	C	88.5%	0.08	0.90	1.50	2.40	5.40	7.10	2.60	1.50	0.19	0.38	0.57	0.05	0.03	0.16	29.27	22.15	56.9%	1.04	3.20	1.38	62:42	74.44	19.70
Tom Wilson	WAS	RW	94.3%	0.08	0.80	0.90	1.70	5.50	9.30	2.10	4.40	0.19	0.22	0.41	0.05	0.03	0.20	0.64	0.78	-	0.88	2.95	-0.08	57:06	68.95	17.90
Ben Meyers	SEA	C	0.0%	0.08	0.20	0.40	0.70	2.70	3.70	0.60	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.06	9.96	8.92	52.8%	0.56	1.68	-0.42	34:30	49.75	4.80
Jack Eichel	LV	C	98.9%	0.08	1.30	2.30	3.50	10.30	1.30	1.60	0.70	0.34	0.86	1.19	0.05	0.03	0.29	23.19	25.10	48.0%	1.11	3.48	-0.40	63:24	68.52	31.80
Artturi Lehkonen	COL	LW	57.0%	0.08	1.30	1.20	2.50	6.60	2.20	1.80	0.90	0.27	0.24	0.51	0.06	0.03	0.26	0.34	0.43	-	0.86	2.70	1.68	58:24	71.07	23.10
Alexander Kerfoot	NSH	LW	3.2%	0.08	0.30	0.60	0.90	3.00	1.80	2.20	0.80	0.03	0.07	0.10	0.05	0.03	0.05	9.91	9.48	51.1%	0.74	2.18	-0.53	44:00	64.60	9.00
Mitch Marner	LV	RW	98.8%	0.08	0.90	2.10	3.00	6.10	1.20	1.40	0.80	0.23	0.70	0.93	0.04	0.04	0.20	4.48	6.00	42.7%	1.15	3.40	-0.40	62:42	68.45	24.20
Simon Holmstrom	NYI	RW	15.6%	0.08	0.70	0.80	1.60	4.00	0.90	1.80	0.50	0.11	0.15	0.26	0.05	0.03	0.11	0.25	0.30	-	0.85	2.40	0.51	50:30	64.70	14.10
Tye Kartye	NYR	LW	7.2%	0.08	0.40	0.50	0.80	3.90	10.00	2.00	2.30	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.09	0.32	0.40	-	0.53	1.51	-0.11	33:06	47.14	8.50
Mark Jankowski	CAR	C	0.2%	0.08	0.70	0.60	1.30	4.50	2.10	2.10	0.90	0.06	0.06	0.12	0.05	0.03	0.14	19.87	19.95	49.9%	0.73	2.32	0.41	47:00	67.33	13.10
Cole Koepke	WPG	LW	0.0%	0.07	0.30	0.30	0.50	3.60	7.60	0.90	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.06	0.07	-	0.54	1.57	-0.21	32:36	46.05	6.90
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	NYI	C	12.4%	0.07	0.40	0.70	1.10	3.70	5.80	2.00	0.30	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.06	25.19	18.62	57.5%	0.77	2.30	0.54	48:54	66.12	10.70
Alex Killorn	ANA	RW	5.1%	0.07	0.70	0.70	1.40	5.20	2.50	1.20	1.70	0.08	0.09	0.17	0.05	0.02	0.10	1.52	2.07	-	0.80	2.45	0.49	51:18	67.38	13.00
William Karlsson	LV	C	24.2%	0.07	0.60	0.80	1.40	5.80	1.20	1.80	0.70	0.06	0.10	0.16	0.05	0.02	0.13	22.86	17.43	56.7%	0.84	2.41	-0.37	51:00	63.64	16.00
Matthew Boldy	MIN	RW	99.5%	0.07	1.30	1.40	2.80	8.00	2.30	2.50	1.80	0.41	0.51	0.93	0.05	0.02	0.20	2.17	2.63	-	1.07	3.13	0.38	62:12	61.81	25.90
Zachary L'Heureux	COL	LW	11.2%	0.07	0.50	0.40	0.90	4.00	8.80	1.80	2.90	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.10	0.27	0.32	-	0.60	1.83	1.18	37:24	50.06	10.20
Anthony Cirelli	TB	C	51.1%	0.07	0.60	0.80	1.50	6.50	1.60	2.20	1.10	0.10	0.14	0.24	0.04	0.03	0.13	23.25	24.32	48.9%	0.90	2.63	0.26	54:24	70.10	17.80
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.3%	0.07	0.90	1.50	2.30	9.30	3.30	1.90	0.80	0.25	0.46	0.71	0.04	0.03	0.20	20.90	18.79	52.7%	1.06	3.22	-0.17	59:48	72.76	21.70
Jake Sanderson	OTT	D	98.6%	0.07	0.60	1.90	2.50	10.20	1.70	6.50	0.50	0.20	0.71	0.91	0.02	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.00	-	1.55	5.11	0.51	99:06	119.88	29.60
Jake Evans	MON	C	5.7%	0.07	0.30	0.50	0.80	3.00	4.60	2.40	0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.03	0.08	21.18	17.89	54.2%	0.77	2.23	0.16	46:42	59.47	9.00
Fraser Minten	BOS	C	47.3%	0.07	0.60	0.70	1.30	5.20	4.20	1.50	0.50	0.06	0.07	0.13	0.05	0.02	0.15	14.39	14.74	49.4%	0.78	2.14	-0.17	45:24	58.01	14.10
Kevin Stenlund	UTA	C	0.1%	0.07	0.30	0.50	0.90	2.40	1.60	2.40	1.00	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.05	21.91	18.15	54.7%	0.68	2.07	1.05	42:06	61.37	8.50
Mikael Granlund	ANA	C	52.1%	0.07	0.70	1.70	2.40	5.50	1.70	2.40	1.00	0.17	0.43	0.60	0.04	0.03	0.10	17.69	17.76	49.9%	0.93	2.88	0.51	57:30	68.02	19.10
Colton Sissons	TOR	C	3.3%	0.07	0.30	0.20	0.50	3.30	3.80	1.90	0.80	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.05	15.63	13.08	54.4%	0.68	1.96	-0.33	41:00	58.03	6.50
Kiefer Sherwood	SJ	RW	59.3%	0.07	0.80	0.60	1.50	5.40	11.20	1.20	2.20	0.14	0.11	0.25	0.05	0.01	0.11	0.78	0.96	-	0.79	2.42	0.62	47:12	59.15	13.70
Erik Karlsson	PIT	D	95.1%	0.07	0.60	3.00	3.60	9.40	1.20	3.50	1.30	0.21	1.24	1.45	0.01	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.48	5.07	0.85	93:48	97.01	30.30
Leo Carlsson	ANA	C	94.2%	0.07	1.70	1.90	3.70	8.30	0.60	1.70	1.10	0.44	0.57	1.01	0.05	0.02	0.24	16.79	20.31	45.3%	0.92	2.64	0.45	53:06	62.83	29.30
Noah Cates	PHI	C	18.4%	0.07	0.60	0.90	1.50	5.50	4.40	2.60	1.20	0.10	0.18	0.28	0.04	0.03	0.14	22.94	27.48	45.5%	1.09	2.88	0.12	63:42	89.13	16.50
Dylan Larkin	DET	C	96.3%	0.07	1.00	1.30	2.30	9.50	1.60	1.10	1.90	0.27	0.37	0.64	0.04	0.02	0.21	31.65	28.20	52.9%	0.95	2.93	-0.88	60:30	71.79	22.50
Eric Robinson	CAR	LW	3.2%	0.07	0.60	0.60	1.20	5.60	5.50	0.80	0.50	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	0.03	0.12	0.42	0.54	-	0.72	2.32	0.43	47:00	63.82	12.80
Rickard Rakell	PIT	LW	82.7%	0.07	1.50	1.80	3.30	10.80	5.30	2.40	1.00	0.41	0.57	0.98	0.04	0.02	0.21	4.71	6.53	-	1.27	3.62	0.67	76:42	88.68	29.70
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	98.3%	0.07	0.50	2.10	2.60	5.30	1.80	5.20	1.30	0.16	0.75	0.91	0.01	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.15	3.86	1.65	73:48	89.20	23.30
Tyson Foerster	PHI	LW	41.7%	0.07	1.00	0.80	1.80	8.00	3.80	3.10	2.20	0.20	0.17	0.37	0.04	0.02	0.23	0.11	0.13	-	1.09	3.11	0.13	68:30	89.93	19.80
Nicolas Roy	COL	C	4.9%	0.07	0.70	0.80	1.50	4.00	3.20	1.70	1.40	0.08	0.10	0.17	0.04	0.02	0.14	14.89	14.47	50.7%	0.75	2.20	1.32	43:18	58.40	12.90
Joe Veleno	NYR	C	4.1%	0.07	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.90	7.90	1.80	1.10	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.04	9.18	8.87	50.8%	0.60	1.68	-0.13	36:12	48.01	5.10
Oskar Back	DAL	LW	0.1%	0.07	0.20	0.40	0.50	1.70	1.30	1.40	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.03	0.04	1.91	1.95	-	0.58	1.72	-0.20	35:54	49.06	5.50
Morgan Barron	WPG	C	4.8%	0.07	0.30	0.40	0.80	4.00	5.40	1.60	0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.00	9.45	10.27	47.9%	0.58	1.63	-0.22	34:42	49.52	9.40
Ryan McLeod	BUF	C	26.1%	0.07	0.40	0.90	1.30	2.90	0.60	1.20	0.60	0.06	0.17	0.24	0.04	0.03	0.11	21.88	22.99	48.8%	0.88	2.64	-0.42	49:54	68.65	10.40
Radek Faksa	DAL	C	0.1%	0.06	0.20	0.50	0.60	1.90	4.30	1.70	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.04	14.02	12.45	53.0%	0.61	1.71	-0.20	37:18	52.69	6.40
Oliver Kapanen	MON	C	28.6%	0.06	0.60	0.50	1.10	4.60	1.30	2.50	0.80	0.07	0.07	0.14	0.04	0.02	0.16	10.38	11.68	47.1%	0.62	1.83	0.13	39:54	51.00	12.30
Arttu Hyry	DAL	C	4.0%	0.06	0.30	0.30	0.60	3.10	5.10	0.90	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.05	14.24	13.01	52.3%	0.56	1.77	-0.19	34:54	50.22	6.00
Ilya Mikheyev	TB	RW	8.3%	0.06	0.50	0.50	1.00	5.60	1.20	0.90	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.11	0.17	0.20	-	0.77	2.35	0.26	48:06	59.95	10.80
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.9%	0.06	1.00	2.60	3.60	7.20	1.20	0.70	0.70	0.28	1.04	1.33	0.03	0.03	0.21	11.56	11.66	49.8%	0.73	2.52	-0.72	45:54	46.59	27.80
Blake Coleman	MIN	RW	38.2%	0.06	0.70	0.70	1.40	5.60	6.10	2.20	2.30	0.09	0.10	0.19	0.04	0.02	0.11	0.83	1.01	-	0.93	2.65	0.37	52:00	70.11	14.80
Chandler Stephenson	SEA	C	16.9%	0.06	0.50	1.00	1.50	3.10	1.00	1.70	0.70	0.12	0.27	0.39	0.03	0.03	0.14	28.36	26.47	51.7%	1.02	2.70	-0.60	57:42	72.63	11.70
Josh Anderson	MON	RW	10.4%	0.06	0.40	0.30	0.80	3.70	6.40	1.60	3.60	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.10	0.71	0.76	-	0.64	2.04	0.15	42:42	56.13	9.10
Connor Brown	NJ	RW	6.6%	0.06	0.40	0.60	1.00	3.00	0.70	1.20	0.50	0.07	0.11	0.17	0.04	0.02	0.07	0.33	0.41	-	0.50	1.48	-0.22	30:42	36.01	9.40
Colin Blackwell	DAL	RW	0.1%	0.06	0.20	0.40	0.60	2.50	4.70	1.10	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.04	6.05	6.74	47.3%	0.59	1.67	-0.19	35:12	48.62	6.10
Alexander Wennberg	SJ	C	24.9%	0.06	0.50	1.20	1.70	3.10	0.90	3.50	0.60	0.14	0.36	0.50	0.03	0.03	0.07	23.06	25.27	47.7%	1.00	2.56	0.70	58:18	67.00	13.80
Tim Washe	ANA	C	4.0%	0.06	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.70	6.90	2.20	1.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.03	17.36	14.55	54.4%	0.61	1.70	0.38	36:54	54.46	6.20
Claude Giroux	OTT	RW	30.0%	0.06	0.60	1.30	1.80	7.10	2.70	1.20	0.80	0.12	0.31	0.43	0.03	0.03	0.12	24.92	17.42	58.9%	1.14	3.26	0.36	69:24	103.06	17.80
Warren Foegele	OTT	LW	4.0%	0.06	0.70	0.50	1.20	8.10	3.90	1.20	1.10	0.05	0.04	0.09	0.04	0.02	0.14	0.98	1.16	-	0.96	3.09	0.34	59:06	79.57	15.70
Philip Broberg	STL	D	66.2%	0.06	0.30	1.50	1.80	4.80	1.80	3.00	0.60	0.04	0.22	0.26	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	3.49	0.51	65:06	76.37	17.20
Jack Drury	NSH	C	5.6%	0.06	0.30	0.60	0.90	3.60	1.50	2.10	1.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.05	18.54	14.47	56.2%	0.66	1.86	-0.51	40:24	55.37	10.30
Christian Dvorak	PHI	C	15.9%	0.06	0.60	1.10	1.80	6.20	2.20	3.10	1.20	0.09	0.18	0.27	0.03	0.03	0.14	29.27	24.89	54.0%	1.08	3.24	0.13	67:36	87.45	17.40
Mark Kastelic	BOS	C	13.4%	0.06	0.30	0.40	0.70	3.60	6.40	2.10	4.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.07	10.60	8.22	56.3%	0.65	1.65	-0.14	35:24	49.68	8.90
Sean Walker	CAR	D	60.5%	0.06	0.50	1.30	1.80	10.00	6.30	5.60	2.40	0.07	0.20	0.28	0.01	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.00	-	1.25	4.09	0.69	78:12	98.44	22.70
Sean Couturier	PHI	C	9.2%	0.06	0.40	0.80	1.20	5.40	3.80	2.00	1.60	0.03	0.06	0.08	0.03	0.03	0.09	31.85	27.06	54.1%	1.15	3.28	0.14	67:48	89.76	12.60
Nico Hischier	NJ	C	97.3%	0.06	0.70	0.80	1.50	4.80	1.20	1.80	0.60	0.19	0.24	0.44	0.04	0.02	0.11	24.53	19.90	55.2%	0.65	1.91	-0.27	41:12	47.89	15.10
Nic Dowd	LV	C	3.2%	0.06	0.30	0.50	0.80	2.50	5.50	1.80	2.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.07	19.47	20.01	49.3%	0.71	2.06	-0.34	43:30	60.44	7.60
Michael Rasmussen	DET	LW	0.1%	0.06	0.20	0.40	0.60	3.50	3.40	2.30	1.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.04	5.76	6.16	48.3%	0.61	1.82	-0.66	39:18	55.78	7.40
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	0.05	1.30	1.20	2.60	11.80	1.90	3.30	0.60	0.32	0.32	0.65	0.04	0.01	0.23	27.92	20.86	57.2%	1.05	2.83	-0.43	62:12	70.90	28.80
Noel Acciari	PHI	RW	3.3%	0.05	0.40	0.30	0.70	4.10	5.40	4.50	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.09	18.70	16.60	53.0%	0.85	2.52	0.12	55:18	74.00	10.80
K'Andre Miller	CAR	D	64.0%	0.05	0.50	1.70	2.20	7.50	5.50	4.70	2.00	0.11	0.40	0.52	0.01	0.04	0.10	0.02	0.02	-	1.55	4.58	0.76	89:24	107.36	21.70
Sean Kuraly	BOS	C	0.2%	0.05	0.20	0.40	0.60	4.10	3.40	1.60	1.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.05	11.82	11.03	51.7%	0.60	1.81	-0.15	37:36	48.00	7.80
Charlie Coyle	CLB	C	49.4%	0.05	0.40	0.80	1.10	3.00	2.50	1.30	0.40	0.09	0.20	0.29	0.03	0.02	0.06	13.53	13.36	50.3%	0.63	1.61	0.05	34:54	44.13	9.90
Logan O'Connor	COL	RW	0.2%	0.05	0.40	0.50	0.90	3.50	3.00	1.80	1.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.08	0.84	1.01	-	0.65	1.94	1.32	40:18	54.78	9.20
Cale Makar	COL	D	99.8%	0.05	1.00	3.00	4.00	8.70	1.60	5.10	0.80	0.37	1.29	1.66	0.01	0.04	0.20	0.00	0.00	-	1.22	3.84	2.09	75:30	79.14	34.80
Alex Newhook	MON	LW	26.3%	0.05	0.50	0.60	1.10	4.20	3.90	1.50	0.90	0.06	0.08	0.14	0.03	0.02	0.13	10.04	10.49	48.9%	0.68	2.11	0.15	45:48	57.25	10.60
Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	99.5%	0.05	1.00	0.80	1.80	4.80	1.90	1.20	0.40	0.36	0.32	0.68	0.04	0.01	0.34	3.15	4.02	44.0%	0.62	1.93	-0.26	42:12	48.35	16.20
Nico Sturm	MIN	C	0.1%	0.05	0.30	0.20	0.50	2.00	3.60	1.60	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.05	11.60	9.93	53.9%	0.51	1.51	0.24	31:36	42.90	5.60
Mark Stone	LV	RW	93.4%	0.05	0.90	1.70	2.70	6.00	2.00	1.70	0.60	0.26	0.57	0.82	0.03	0.02	0.20	0.30	0.37	-	0.99	2.92	-0.37	58:06	65.08	23.50

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Shorthanded goals

The goal side of shorthanded scoring.

Shorthanded Goals

Shorthanded assists

The assist side, even rarer and noisier.

Shorthanded Assists

Power-play points

The other special-teams category, and a much more predictable one.

Power Play Points

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Frequently Asked Questions

We add projected shorthanded goals and shorthanded assists, each split from LineupExperts' goal and assist projection by recent penalty-kill minutes and heavily shrunk rates, then scaled per team to the league shorthanded share.

If he does not kill penalties, almost none of his projected points come shorthanded. Penalty-kill time is the main driver.

Use them as a deployment guide. Shorthanded points are rare enough that actual results swing widely around any projection.

Yes. Both pay a shorthanded-point bonus (+2 per shorthanded goal or assist), and our DK and FD projections use these expected shorthanded points.