NHL Projected Save Percentage Next Week

Q: How are save percentage projections calculated?

Projected save percentage come straight from LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider; we show their numbers as published and do not adjust them.

Q: What's a good save percentage for one game?

Single-game SV% is highly variable. A .920+ is solid, .940+ is excellent. Even elite goalies post sub-.900 games occasionally due to variance.

Q: Does matchup affect save percentage?

Significantly. Facing weak offenses that take low-quality shots inflates SV%. Facing elite offenses with high-danger chances suppresses SV%.

Q: Should I bench a good goalie in a bad matchup?

Consider it. Even elite goalies struggle against top offenses. A .900 SV% against Colorado is respectable; a .900 against a weak team is disappointing.

Save percentage reflects goaltending quality and matchup difficulty. Our SV% projections identify which goalies are set up for efficient performances next week. Elite goalies facing low-danger offenses offer the best save percentage upside (Oct 19-25 (Week 4)). (Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 8:19 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 56 players

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Save Percentage(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

56 players

🔗 Check Availability

Show

Goalies56 of 56

Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	SV% ↓	GS	W	L	OTL	SV	GA	SA	GAA^†	MIN^†	FPTS
Connor Hellebuyck	WPG	G	91.3%	91.4%	3.00	1.60	1.10	0.30	75.1	7.1	81.3	2.37	179:49	32.30
Scott Wedgewood	COL	G	88.9%	91.2%	2.00	1.18	0.58	0.14	48.3	4.7	53.0	2.34	119:51	21.73
Logan Thompson	WSH	G	99.8%	91.0%	2.00	1.26	0.80	0.14	52.6	5.2	57.8	2.62	119:45	22.54
Ilya Sorokin	NYI	G	97.3%	90.6%	2.00	1.09	0.82	0.19	49.2	5.1	54.3	2.55	119:48	20.60
Joey Daccord	SEA	G	67.3%	90.6%	2.00	0.96	0.88	0.15	54.3	5.6	60.0	2.83	119:16	21.02
Jeremy Swayman	BOS	G	96.6%	90.6%	2.00	1.21	0.75	0.14	48.1	5.0	53.1	2.50	119:55	20.38
Linus Ullmark	OTT	G	88.9%	90.6%	2.00	1.30	0.66	0.14	45.3	4.7	50.0	2.37	119:21	19.80
Mackenzie Blackwood	COL	G	91.0%	90.5%	3.00	1.84	0.94	0.22	69.8	7.4	77.2	2.46	179:47	29.23
Joel Hofer	STL	G	83.0%	90.4%	2.00	0.97	0.88	0.25	50.6	5.4	56.0	2.69	120:02	20.27
Philipp Grubauer	SEA	G	15.2%	90.3%	2.00	0.94	0.86	0.20	55.1	5.9	61.0	2.95	120:48	20.42
Jacob Fowler	MTL	G	52.3%	90.2%	2.00	1.14	0.72	0.14	45.5	4.9	50.4	2.47	120:06	18.53
Andrei Vasilevskiy	TBL	G	99.2%	90.2%	2.00	0.84	0.80	0.17	50.8	5.5	56.3	2.78	119:37	18.95
Jesper Wallstedt	MIN	G	96.4%	90.1%	3.00	1.57	0.93	0.30	72.6	7.9	80.5	2.65	180:04	28.24
Jake Oettinger	DAL	G	99.1%	90.1%	2.00	1.10	0.86	0.24	45.1	4.9	50.0	2.48	119:46	19.08
Anton Forsberg	LAK	G	20.9%	90.1%	2.00	0.85	0.84	0.21	48.7	5.4	54.1	2.65	121:32	17.77
Carter Hart	VGK	G	89.0%	90.1%	2.00	1.03	0.72	0.15	47.0	5.2	52.2	2.60	119:41	18.11
Adin Hill	VGK	G	27.3%	90.0%	2.00	1.12	0.68	0.20	47.0	5.2	52.2	2.61	119:35	18.29
Anthony Stolarz	TOR	G	36.4%	90.0%	3.00	1.44	1.29	0.27	74.3	8.2	82.6	2.75	179:21	27.66
Darcy Kuemper	LAK	G	51.2%	90.0%	2.00	0.80	0.88	0.21	49.0	5.4	54.4	2.75	118:40	17.73
Dustin Wolf	CGY	G	54.5%	89.9%	2.00	0.85	1.15	0.20	53.5	6.0	59.6	3.04	119:23	18.34
Dylan Garand	NYR	G	53.2%	89.8%	2.00	0.89	0.36	0.15	38.0	4.3	42.3	3.58	72:01	15.48
Jet Greaves	CBJ	G	79.8%	89.8%	2.00	1.11	0.81	0.18	51.0	5.8	56.7	2.87	120:32	19.36
Stuart Skinner	WPG	G	62.1%	89.8%	2.00	0.96	0.72	0.21	47.7	5.4	53.1	2.72	119:43	17.37
Sam Montembeault	MTL	G	13.8%	89.8%	1.00	0.54	0.36	0.09	23.3	2.7	26.0	2.66	60:01	8.55
Spencer Knight	CHI	G	73.3%	89.8%	2.00	0.92	0.97	0.21	52.4	6.0	58.4	2.99	119:52	18.27
Karel Vejmelka	UTA	G	97.9%	89.8%	2.00	1.17	0.60	0.13	48.1	5.5	53.6	2.73	120:34	18.97
Sergei Murashov	PIT	G	61.8%	89.7%	2.00	0.86	0.25	0.19	40.5	4.6	45.1	3.27	84:50	14.84
Joseph Woll	PHI	G	39.4%	89.7%	1.00	0.39	0.55	0.16	26.3	3.0	29.3	3.02	59:55	8.50
Jake Allen	NJD	G	53.8%	89.7%	2.00	1.13	0.78	0.19	50.9	5.8	56.8	2.92	120:04	19.07
Lukas Dostal	ANA	G	83.2%	89.6%	3.00	1.37	1.17	0.26	70.5	8.2	78.7	2.74	179:15	24.90
Devon Levi	EDM	G	54.0%	89.5%	2.00	1.22	0.74	0.14	51.6	6.0	57.6	3.03	119:54	18.95
Sergei Bobrovsky	TOR	G	84.8%	89.5%	3.00	1.22	1.41	0.36	74.5	8.7	83.3	2.92	179:42	25.17
Jakub Dobes	MTL	G	93.0%	89.5%	1.00	0.55	0.36	0.09	23.1	2.7	25.8	2.72	59:55	8.44
Clay Stevenson	WPG	G	11.4%	89.5%	2.00	0.72	0.31	0.17	38.1	4.5	42.6	3.68	73:20	13.13
Akira Schmid	FLA	G	24.4%	89.4%	2.00	0.86	0.78	0.26	45.5	5.4	50.9	2.66	121:42	15.84
Ville Husso	ANA	G	7.3%	89.3%	1.00	0.39	0.41	0.11	23.7	2.8	26.5	2.82	60:09	7.81
Jacob Markstrom	FLA	G	91.8%	89.2%	2.00	0.92	0.68	0.21	42.6	5.1	47.7	2.59	119:04	15.72
John Gibson	DET	G	63.9%	89.2%	2.00	0.92	0.83	0.25	46.5	5.7	52.2	2.86	118:30	15.69
Matt Murray	NSH	G	0.1%	89.1%	2.00	0.63	0.40	0.27	41.4	5.0	46.4	4.15	72:48	12.90
Jordan Binnington	STL	G	26.8%	89.1%	1.00	0.43	0.47	0.10	25.6	3.1	28.7	3.14	59:55	8.28
Tristan Jarry	EDM	G	26.1%	89.1%	1.00	0.53	0.38	0.09	25.0	3.1	28.1	3.07	60:01	8.54
Daniil Tarasov	DET	G	11.5%	89.1%	1.00	0.46	0.34	0.10	23.6	2.9	26.5	2.88	60:23	7.94
Pyotr Kochetkov	CAR	G	53.7%	89.1%	2.00	1.26	0.60	0.13	41.1	5.0	46.1	2.52	120:01	15.92
Colten Ellis	BUF	G	16.3%	89.0%	2.00	0.93	0.87	0.20	44.0	5.4	49.5	2.73	119:29	15.97
Arturs Silovs	PIT	G	57.0%	89.0%	1.00	0.56	0.44	0.09	23.9	3.0	26.8	2.95	59:56	8.51
Daniel Vladar	PHI	G	61.4%	89.0%	2.00	0.71	1.02	0.26	51.2	6.3	57.6	3.17	119:47	15.87
Calvin Pickard	MIN	G	4.1%	88.9%	3.00	1.37	1.38	0.15	68.9	8.6	77.5	2.86	180:21	22.41
Cam Talbot	CBJ	G	6.6%	88.9%	2.00	1.07	0.99	0.14	50.5	6.3	56.8	3.14	120:33	16.49
Juuse Saros	NSH	G	85.3%	88.9%	2.00	0.72	0.96	0.22	52.4	6.6	59.0	3.29	119:36	15.75
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	BUF	G	66.1%	88.9%	2.00	1.04	0.77	0.20	43.7	5.5	49.1	2.72	120:39	15.44
Leevi Merilainen	VAN	G	20.4%	88.9%	2.00	0.72	0.83	0.16	48.7	6.1	54.8	3.03	120:48	14.53
Alex Nedeljkovic	SJS	G	16.7%	88.8%	1.00	0.37	0.42	0.11	24.0	3.0	27.1	3.00	60:24	7.42
Samuel Ersson	OTT	G	10.6%	88.7%	2.00	0.99	0.81	0.20	45.0	5.7	50.7	2.85	120:42	15.07
Brandon Bussi	CAR	G	93.8%	88.3%	1.00	0.55	0.25	0.09	20.5	2.7	23.3	2.72	60:03	7.40
Kevin Lankinen	VAN	G	22.4%	87.8%	2.00	0.61	0.84	0.16	44.5	6.2	50.6	4.23	87:18	11.28
Yaroslav Askarov	SJS	G	74.8%	87.8%	3.00	1.08	1.40	0.32	70.5	9.8	80.3	3.29	178:49	18.65

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Goalie shots against, saves, goals against, SV%, GAA, wins and OTL are an Edgehalla blend: LineupExperts' goalie line averaged 50/50 with Edgehalla's own goalie model.

What is save percentage? SV% = Saves / Shots Against. A .920 SV% means the goalie stops 92% of shots faced.

SV% benchmarks

- Elite: .920+ (Vezina-caliber) - Above average: .910-.920 - Average: .900-.910 - Below average: <.900

SV% factors

- Goalie quality: Elite goalies maintain higher SV% - Shot quality: Low-danger shots are easier to save - Team defense: Good defense limits high-danger chances - Opponent: Weak offenses produce lower-quality shots

💡

Pro Tip: Elite goalies facing bottom-10 offenses can post .940+ SV% nights. Target these premium matchups.

Elite Goalies Next Week

The best save percentages come from elite goalies facing weak opponents. Identify these premium matchups.

All Goalies

Weak Opponent Matchups

Goalies facing bottom-10 offenses have the best SV% projections. Check which teams struggle to generate offense.

Games Next Week

SV% vs. Saves Trade-off

Goalies facing few shots may post high SV% but few saves. Balance efficiency with volume based on your needs.

Saves Projections

Related Projections

Build Your Stack

Complete Your Lineup

By Position

Frequently Asked Questions

Projected save percentage come straight from LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider; we show their numbers as published and do not adjust them.

Single-game SV% is highly variable. A .920+ is solid, .940+ is excellent. Even elite goalies post sub-.900 games occasionally due to variance.

Significantly. Facing weak offenses that take low-quality shots inflates SV%. Facing elite offenses with high-danger chances suppresses SV%.

Consider it. Even elite goalies struggle against top offenses. A .900 SV% against Colorado is respectable; a .900 against a weak team is disappointing.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

By Position

All players at each position

NHL Forward

LW, C, RW players

NHL Defensemen

D players

NHL Goalie

G players

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Special Teams

Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Projected Save Percentage Next Week

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Save Percentage(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Goalies56 of 56

SV% benchmarks

SV% factors

Elite Goalies Next Week

Weak Opponent Matchups

SV% vs. Saves Trade-off

Related Projections

Build Your Stack

Complete Your Lineup

By Position

Frequently Asked Questions

Projections by Category

By Position

NHL Forward

NHL Defensemen

NHL Goalie

Scoring Projections

Peripheral Stats

Special Teams

Faceoff & Physical

Goalie Projections

Fantasy Points

NHL Team Projections