NHL Projected Shorthanded Assists Next Week

Shorthanded assists are even rarer than shorthanded goals. These projections estimate the share of each player's projected assists that come on the penalty kill, from his recent penalty-kill minutes and a rate that is shrunk almost all the way to the league average. The ranking mostly tells you who kills penalties (Oct 19-25 (Week 4)). (Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:27 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 700 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

Shorthanded scoring is rare and streaky: even the leaders score only a few a season. These projections are driven mostly by penalty-kill ice time, with each team’s total held to the league’s shorthanded share of its projected goals and assists. How the model works

Sorted by Projected Short Handed Assists(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

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Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	SHA^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	99.7%	0.07	1.30	2.20	3.50	7.90	2.10	1.10	2.00	0.45	0.83	1.28	0.06	0.13	0.22	24.12	22.11	52.2%	0.90	3.27	-0.03	60:12	69.05	29.00
Chris Tanev	TOR	D	5.1%	0.06	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.30	1.10	7.50	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.07	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.24	4.05	0.23	78:18	113.33	15.20
Jack Eichel	VGK	C	99.9%	0.06	1.40	2.40	3.70	9.60	1.00	2.00	0.60	0.41	1.06	1.47	0.06	0.11	0.30	22.78	25.34	47.3%	1.11	3.56	-0.04	63:48	66.91	33.00
Ty Dellandrea	SJS	C	0.1%	0.06	0.20	0.50	0.70	4.00	9.30	2.60	2.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.10	0.02	18.69	18.31	50.5%	0.82	2.41	-0.97	50:48	66.05	6.40
Teddy Blueger	TOR	C	3.2%	0.05	0.30	0.70	1.00	3.90	5.10	1.80	1.60	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.11	0.06	20.26	20.99	49.1%	0.93	2.76	0.16	55:36	75.33	9.30
Sean Walker	CAR	D	63.0%	0.05	0.20	1.40	1.60	5.00	4.10	4.40	1.90	0.03	0.25	0.29	0.00	0.06	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	3.20	-0.04	60:18	74.02	16.20
Jake McCabe	TOR	D	27.4%	0.05	0.10	0.80	1.00	3.60	6.30	7.50	2.70	0.01	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.19	4.67	0.25	86:06	114.03	15.80
Tim Stutzle	OTT	C	99.7%	0.05	1.40	2.10	3.40	6.70	5.70	1.90	1.30	0.44	0.80	1.24	0.09	0.14	0.32	13.35	12.02	52.6%	1.03	3.26	0.09	62:18	78.71	27.60
Mikael Granlund	ANA	C	63.7%	0.05	0.80	2.00	2.90	7.20	1.90	2.70	0.90	0.24	0.70	0.94	0.05	0.10	0.10	24.17	25.39	48.8%	1.21	3.87	-0.08	77:18	93.47	24.20
Blake Lizotte	PIT	C	0.2%	0.05	0.30	0.80	1.10	3.10	2.60	2.00	1.50	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.08	0.03	13.00	14.08	48.0%	0.59	2.00	0.27	39:30	55.58	9.80
Ryan O'Reilly	NSH	C	81.0%	0.05	0.80	1.40	2.20	5.30	0.70	2.40	0.90	0.23	0.46	0.69	0.06	0.10	0.12	27.36	22.79	54.6%	1.08	2.64	-0.44	60:18	71.39	17.50
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.7%	0.05	1.50	3.60	5.20	10.40	2.10	1.20	1.40	0.41	1.48	1.89	0.06	0.10	0.26	17.41	17.81	49.4%	1.12	3.73	-0.63	69:06	71.78	40.90
Brandon Hagel	TBL	LW	99.3%	0.04	1.40	1.60	2.90	8.00	1.70	2.00	2.10	0.41	0.54	0.94	0.08	0.12	0.13	0.95	1.17	-	1.17	2.98	-0.07	62:00	70.88	26.60
Cale Makar	COL	D	100.0%	0.04	1.30	3.20	4.50	11.10	1.70	6.00	1.00	0.50	1.41	1.91	0.01	0.06	0.23	0.00	0.00	-	1.59	5.06	1.61	99:54	103.47	42.10
Miro Heiskanen	DAL	D	98.1%	0.04	0.30	1.80	2.10	6.20	1.10	4.50	1.30	0.09	0.66	0.75	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.15	3.93	-0.24	76:48	76.31	21.30
Brock Nelson	COL	C	86.6%	0.04	1.30	1.40	2.70	8.80	1.70	2.90	1.20	0.28	0.34	0.62	0.07	0.12	0.23	34.14	33.88	50.2%	1.17	3.50	1.29	75:48	94.13	26.40
Charlie McAvoy	BOS	D	95.5%	0.04	0.40	1.70	2.10	5.00	3.70	5.30	2.50	0.13	0.62	0.75	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	3.75	0.76	72:48	81.50	20.70
Jacob Trouba	SJS	D	70.1%	0.04	0.30	1.00	1.30	7.10	7.30	7.60	2.30	0.03	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	4.55	-1.62	87:06	105.37	19.00
Noah Warren	ANA	D	11.3%	0.04	0.10	0.70	0.90	3.10	3.30	3.90	1.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.71	2.73	-0.07	53:54	78.45	11.30
Devon Toews	COL	D	72.7%	0.04	0.40	1.70	2.10	6.60	1.90	4.60	1.40	0.09	0.43	0.52	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.72	4.80	1.67	93:54	111.63	24.10
Nick Paul	TOR	C	8.1%	0.04	0.80	1.00	1.80	5.20	6.50	2.40	1.60	0.12	0.16	0.28	0.08	0.12	0.15	20.64	21.38	49.1%	0.94	2.79	0.17	61:48	79.14	14.70
Pavel Buchnevich	STL	RW	31.5%	0.04	0.70	1.10	1.70	5.10	1.30	1.50	0.80	0.13	0.26	0.39	0.05	0.09	0.10	3.40	4.80	-	0.88	2.72	-0.37	55:24	70.03	15.70
Parker Kelly	COL	LW	17.7%	0.04	0.50	0.90	1.50	4.60	8.30	3.10	1.30	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.09	0.09	6.12	7.63	44.5%	0.84	2.65	0.97	50:42	72.89	14.90
Jackson LaCombe	ANA	D	97.5%	0.04	0.50	2.30	2.80	6.80	3.40	6.20	1.20	0.18	0.92	1.10	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	-	1.79	5.04	-0.10	95:48	108.73	26.00
Erik Haula	LAK	C	11.8%	0.04	0.40	0.70	1.20	5.40	3.70	1.70	1.60	0.06	0.11	0.17	0.03	0.07	0.06	17.91	18.76	48.8%	0.75	2.41	0.37	47:30	67.45	11.60
Simon Holmstrom	NYI	RW	14.8%	0.04	0.70	0.80	1.50	3.90	0.70	1.90	0.50	0.10	0.13	0.23	0.05	0.09	0.08	0.21	0.26	-	0.83	2.38	0.24	49:42	65.49	13.00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	NYI	C	10.7%	0.04	0.40	0.80	1.20	3.50	5.00	2.30	0.30	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.03	0.07	0.04	25.93	19.28	57.4%	0.80	2.27	0.25	48:42	68.29	10.90
Shane Pinto	OTT	C	43.7%	0.04	0.80	1.30	2.10	5.80	4.30	2.10	1.80	0.19	0.37	0.56	0.05	0.09	0.18	18.00	17.40	50.8%	0.97	2.62	0.08	56:30	77.64	19.00
Pavel Mintyukov	ANA	D	27.5%	0.04	0.30	1.00	1.30	4.40	2.70	5.90	1.10	0.04	0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.01	3.75	-0.09	73:18	98.42	15.40
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	98.3%	0.04	0.40	1.90	2.40	6.20	2.20	4.80	1.90	0.16	0.85	1.01	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.17	3.88	-0.16	72:12	87.99	23.30
Mike Matheson	MTL	D	78.8%	0.04	0.20	0.90	1.10	4.70	2.20	5.20	1.50	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.07	3.82	0.80	73:54	80.44	13.80
Jared Spurgeon	MIN	D	52.4%	0.04	0.30	1.20	1.50	4.80	3.50	6.20	0.80	0.06	0.25	0.30	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	4.09	-0.16	82:12	100.83	19.00
Kevin Stenlund	UTA	C	0.1%	0.04	0.20	0.50	0.70	2.60	2.20	2.60	1.30	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.06	0.02	21.57	18.55	53.8%	0.67	2.18	-0.10	42:12	61.08	8.00
Filip Hronek	VAN	D	93.2%	0.04	0.20	1.60	1.80	4.60	4.70	4.90	1.10	0.05	0.54	0.60	0.00	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	3.83	-0.71	73:06	83.54	17.20
Robert Thomas	STL	C	85.3%	0.04	0.70	1.90	2.60	5.30	0.60	2.00	1.20	0.13	0.42	0.56	0.03	0.07	0.10	27.98	25.43	52.4%	0.98	3.30	-0.39	58:42	73.33	21.10
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	0.04	2.70	3.00	5.60	15.30	2.80	4.40	0.80	0.74	0.90	1.64	0.08	0.12	0.50	37.84	28.31	57.2%	1.49	3.85	0.21	84:30	93.14	50.70
Anthony Cirelli	TBL	C	46.0%	0.04	0.70	0.90	1.60	4.60	1.70	2.30	1.60	0.12	0.16	0.27	0.05	0.09	0.06	23.67	24.85	48.8%	0.87	2.66	-0.07	54:12	70.43	16.40
Andrew Copp	DET	C	8.3%	0.04	0.30	1.00	1.30	4.60	1.60	1.90	0.80	0.05	0.22	0.27	0.02	0.06	0.04	20.98	18.41	53.3%	0.73	2.56	-0.26	48:54	64.93	12.00
Philip Broberg	STL	D	59.7%	0.04	0.20	1.20	1.40	4.20	1.60	4.00	0.80	0.02	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	3.53	-0.48	65:24	76.30	15.90
Travis Sanheim	PHI	D	65.3%	0.04	0.30	0.90	1.20	3.90	2.40	5.70	1.40	0.03	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	4.05	-0.48	74:36	89.71	12.90
Ryan Winterton	SEA	RW	5.7%	0.04	0.30	0.90	1.20	3.90	3.00	2.00	0.70	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.06	0.26	0.26	-	0.59	1.80	-0.05	36:54	51.48	11.00
Alexander Wennberg	SJS	C	20.0%	0.04	0.50	1.40	1.80	4.60	1.30	3.80	0.60	0.12	0.34	0.45	0.03	0.06	0.06	30.84	33.82	47.7%	1.40	3.41	-1.27	77:48	88.76	15.00
Tim Washe	ANA	C	8.5%	0.04	0.30	0.40	0.70	3.40	9.60	2.90	1.40	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.06	0.10	0.04	25.20	22.00	53.4%	0.79	2.32	-0.06	51:00	73.62	8.10
Bo Horvat	NYI	C	92.4%	0.04	1.40	1.20	2.60	9.20	3.00	1.50	1.20	0.43	0.37	0.79	0.06	0.09	0.15	28.48	22.51	55.9%	0.92	3.12	0.27	61:06	69.85	25.10
Chandler Stephenson	SEA	C	24.0%	0.04	0.40	1.70	2.10	2.90	0.70	1.70	1.30	0.08	0.47	0.55	0.02	0.05	0.08	29.13	26.00	52.8%	1.24	2.65	-0.07	56:42	72.58	14.40
Connor Brown	NJD	RW	5.8%	0.04	0.60	1.00	1.60	4.90	1.00	1.50	0.70	0.10	0.18	0.28	0.04	0.08	0.06	0.49	0.61	-	0.75	2.22	-0.12	46:00	53.96	14.60
Collin Graf	SJS	LW	24.5%	0.04	0.70	0.80	1.50	5.60	4.30	2.10	0.70	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.07	0.10	0.08	1.19	1.62	-	1.06	2.86	-1.21	64:18	78.59	14.50
Jake Evans	MTL	C	4.9%	0.04	0.40	0.60	0.90	3.20	3.80	2.00	0.80	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.08	0.07	21.25	18.19	53.9%	0.79	2.15	0.50	46:06	59.46	9.10
Connor Dewar	PIT	LW	3.4%	0.04	0.40	0.50	0.80	4.10	4.80	2.00	1.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.09	0.05	2.12	2.29	-	0.61	1.80	0.27	39:18	53.58	10.40
Mitch Marner	VGK	RW	98.9%	0.03	0.90	2.20	3.10	6.10	1.10	2.00	0.70	0.28	0.84	1.12	0.03	0.06	0.19	3.77	5.06	-	1.26	3.69	-0.04	62:06	67.01	24.00
Logan O'Connor	COL	RW	0.2%	0.03	0.50	0.50	1.00	4.50	3.40	2.20	1.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.08	0.09	1.12	1.35	-	0.87	2.59	1.04	53:42	72.99	10.90
Elias Pettersson	VAN	C	93.4%	0.03	0.50	1.80	2.30	5.90	4.50	3.60	0.50	0.13	0.56	0.68	0.02	0.05	0.07	25.68	28.59	47.3%	1.04	2.75	-0.53	57:12	68.73	20.30
Mark Kastelic	BOS	C	16.1%	0.03	0.30	0.80	1.00	3.20	7.50	2.30	3.50	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.04	10.17	7.78	56.7%	0.67	1.65	0.42	35:18	49.39	10.60
Tye Kartye	NYR	LW	8.1%	0.03	0.50	0.80	1.30	3.70	8.40	1.50	1.70	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.08	0.04	0.32	0.40	-	0.55	1.60	0.60	36:18	52.13	11.10
Michael McCarron	MIN	C	10.7%	0.03	0.30	0.60	0.90	5.20	10.10	3.90	3.60	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.07	0.05	26.43	24.37	52.0%	0.92	2.61	-0.11	56:12	71.90	12.00
Matthew Boldy	MIN	RW	100.0%	0.03	1.70	1.80	3.50	13.80	3.70	3.20	1.90	0.46	0.56	1.03	0.07	0.11	0.31	3.03	3.70	-	1.60	4.13	-0.14	84:00	82.93	37.30
Vladislav Gavrikov	NYR	D	57.5%	0.03	0.30	1.10	1.30	4.40	2.20	4.30	0.90	0.02	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.83	3.49	1.10	67:42	78.97	15.90
Josh Manson	COL	D	36.0%	0.03	0.30	1.10	1.40	5.90	8.40	4.90	3.20	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.01	3.92	1.37	71:42	91.98	19.30
Nico Hischier	NJD	C	95.3%	0.03	1.20	1.30	2.60	7.80	1.80	2.30	0.70	0.37	0.40	0.77	0.05	0.09	0.11	35.93	29.53	54.9%	0.95	2.77	-0.15	61:24	70.26	23.80
Brock Faber	MIN	D	88.3%	0.03	0.50	1.40	1.90	8.20	1.90	6.40	1.60	0.06	0.20	0.26	0.01	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	1.56	5.23	-0.20	101:54	108.98	24.50
Esa Lindell	DAL	D	31.8%	0.03	0.10	0.70	0.90	3.40	1.40	5.90	0.70	0.01	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.97	3.64	-0.24	68:12	72.99	14.80
Sean Couturier	PHI	C	8.3%	0.03	0.30	0.70	1.10	4.30	4.00	1.20	1.00	0.02	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.06	0.03	24.14	20.26	54.4%	0.85	2.53	-0.33	51:24	68.26	9.50
Phillip Danault	MTL	C	4.9%	0.03	0.30	0.70	1.00	3.90	2.50	1.50	0.70	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.06	0.05	22.56	19.48	53.7%	0.71	2.33	0.54	49:54	64.69	10.20
Cameron York	PHI	D	18.0%	0.03	0.20	0.90	1.10	3.50	1.70	5.70	1.10	0.04	0.18	0.22	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.90	3.43	-0.40	65:36	85.02	13.00
Nico Sturm	MIN	C	0.1%	0.03	0.40	0.30	0.70	3.30	4.90	1.60	1.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.09	0.07	15.87	12.42	56.1%	0.67	1.94	-0.08	41:54	56.94	7.50
Ben Meyers	SEA	C	5.8%	0.03	0.30	0.70	1.10	2.90	3.50	1.10	0.90	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.08	0.06	8.46	8.15	50.9%	0.54	1.63	-0.05	34:48	52.10	7.80
Jaccob Slavin	CAR	D	21.5%	0.03	0.10	0.80	0.90	4.20	0.80	4.80	0.20	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.11	3.12	-0.04	65:12	75.66	14.30
Alex Tuch	WSH	RW	93.8%	0.03	0.80	0.80	1.60	4.70	2.00	2.30	1.20	0.13	0.14	0.27	0.06	0.09	0.12	1.54	1.86	-	0.81	1.84	0.86	38:30	49.16	16.00
Olli Maatta	MIN	D	0.2%	0.03	0.10	0.90	1.00	3.10	1.10	5.30	0.70	0.01	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.08	4.14	-0.15	76:18	88.97	12.70
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.2%	0.03	0.80	1.80	2.50	7.70	3.80	2.10	0.60	0.23	0.58	0.81	0.04	0.07	0.06	21.64	18.97	53.3%	1.04	3.28	0.84	60:48	73.18	22.10
Aliaksei Protas	WSH	LW	52.3%	0.03	0.70	0.80	1.50	3.80	0.80	1.10	0.50	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.05	0.08	0.10	0.76	0.86	-	0.55	1.74	0.83	34:18	42.60	12.60
Nicolas Roy	COL	C	12.1%	0.03	0.70	1.00	1.60	5.10	3.70	2.00	1.50	0.04	0.06	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.13	19.90	18.05	52.4%	0.98	2.99	1.06	56:42	76.23	14.20
Artturi Lehkonen	COL	LW	75.9%	0.03	1.40	1.20	2.60	7.90	2.60	2.20	0.90	0.26	0.22	0.48	0.07	0.10	0.25	0.44	0.56	-	1.18	3.69	1.34	77:36	95.62	26.50
Mark Stone	VGK	RW	94.7%	0.03	1.00	2.00	2.90	5.90	2.00	2.30	0.80	0.32	0.85	1.17	0.04	0.07	0.21	0.29	0.36	-	0.95	2.84	-0.03	58:06	64.14	25.70
Brent Burns	COL	D	46.7%	0.03	0.30	1.10	1.50	7.30	0.90	4.00	1.30	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	1.10	4.24	1.51	79:18	100.40	19.00
Tom Wilson	WSH	RW	94.2%	0.03	0.80	0.90	1.70	4.00	6.00	1.80	2.70	0.17	0.20	0.38	0.05	0.08	0.12	0.37	0.45	-	0.57	1.98	0.82	38:24	46.17	15.30
J.T. Miller	NYR	C	90.1%	0.03	0.70	1.80	2.50	5.80	5.60	1.50	1.80	0.18	0.54	0.72	0.03	0.06	0.05	24.44	17.52	58.2%	0.88	3.08	0.80	57:30	74.65	20.00
Adam Pelech	NYI	D	3.3%	0.03	0.10	0.70	0.80	4.10	2.50	4.50	1.80	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.89	3.27	0.33	63:06	84.07	11.60
Bryan Rust	PIT	RW	82.9%	0.03	1.10	1.10	2.20	7.30	1.60	2.80	1.00	0.22	0.26	0.47	0.06	0.09	0.13	0.26	0.33	-	0.88	2.88	0.36	59:30	70.67	20.60
Anton Lundell	FLA	C	42.0%	0.03	0.60	0.90	1.50	6.80	3.80	1.40	1.20	0.17	0.29	0.46	0.04	0.07	0.11	23.40	21.91	51.6%	0.75	2.75	-0.03	53:06	67.59	15.50
Marcus Pettersson	NYR	D	5.7%	0.03	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.50	3.70	4.60	1.40	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	1.00	3.25	1.05	63:48	74.75	10.70
Aaron Ekblad	FLA	D	43.3%	0.03	0.10	1.00	1.10	4.50	4.00	3.20	2.30	0.03	0.35	0.39	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.02	-	0.94	3.48	-0.05	68:12	83.93	12.60
Noah Dobson	MTL	D	93.8%	0.03	0.40	1.20	1.60	6.50	2.90	5.30	1.30	0.07	0.22	0.29	0.01	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	3.67	0.70	68:12	81.67	17.70
Dougie Hamilton	NJD	D	83.1%	0.03	0.40	1.10	1.50	8.80	3.40	3.60	1.60	0.10	0.30	0.41	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.86	3.51	-0.17	63:12	74.30	18.90
Jack Drury	NSH	C	4.8%	0.03	0.30	0.60	0.80	3.80	1.90	2.20	1.20	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.04	18.72	15.51	54.7%	0.73	1.85	-0.36	41:30	55.75	10.30
K'Andre Miller	CAR	D	60.3%	0.03	0.30	0.90	1.30	5.00	4.00	3.10	1.50	0.06	0.19	0.25	0.01	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.01	-	1.15	3.46	-0.04	66:54	78.74	13.40
Mikey Anderson	LAK	D	7.4%	0.03	0.10	0.60	0.70	2.70	4.20	4.90	0.90	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.79	3.15	0.54	63:24	74.11	10.70
Lars Eller	FLA	C	4.1%	0.03	0.20	0.70	0.90	2.70	2.00	1.30	0.70	0.03	0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	0.04	15.18	14.37	51.4%	0.60	1.99	-0.03	38:42	55.31	8.80
Hampus Lindholm	BOS	D	19.3%	0.03	0.20	1.00	1.20	4.10	0.80	3.60	1.40	0.04	0.20	0.23	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	1.05	3.41	0.72	64:00	77.88	14.10
Seth Jones	FLA	D	75.6%	0.03	0.40	1.70	2.10	6.80	3.30	3.00	0.90	0.17	0.85	1.03	0.01	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	1.12	3.83	-0.05	74:24	81.83	19.20
Ryan McDonagh	TBL	D	6.5%	0.03	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.10	0.90	4.50	0.80	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.92	3.11	-0.09	58:24	73.60	12.10
Logan Stanley	NYI	D	26.8%	0.03	0.10	0.80	0.90	3.70	5.00	4.10	4.50	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.64	2.55	0.26	49:00	60.72	12.40
Moritz Seider	DET	D	98.9%	0.03	0.30	1.60	1.80	6.50	5.90	6.10	1.60	0.10	0.66	0.77	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	1.09	3.87	-0.39	76:12	85.70	21.60
Colton Parayko	STL	D	36.3%	0.03	0.20	0.70	0.80	4.40	3.70	6.90	0.80	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	1.03	3.52	-0.51	68:18	85.35	15.10
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COL	COL	LW	11.2%	0.03	0.60	0.50	1.10	5.20	10.20	2.10	3.30	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04	0.07	0.11	0.31	0.37	-	0.77	2.38	0.93	49:06	67.39	12.10
Teuvo Teravainen	CHI	LW	11.0%	0.03	0.40	0.70	1.10	2.40	0.50	1.00	0.20	0.05	0.11	0.16	0.03	0.06	0.06	1.38	1.57	-	0.52	1.72	-0.20	34:00	43.41	8.10
Mikael Backlund	CGY	C	12.0%	0.03	0.30	0.50	0.80	5.10	0.80	0.80	0.50	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.06	0.05	18.07	18.47	49.5%	0.59	1.91	-0.74	36:42	48.50	9.50
Connor McMichael	STL	C	34.3%	0.03	0.70	1.10	1.80	5.90	1.60	1.60	1.20	0.13	0.23	0.36	0.04	0.07	0.10	7.44	9.56	43.8%	0.84	2.30	-0.34	50:24	69.94	17.00
Michael Amadio	OTT	RW	6.0%	0.03	0.50	0.70	1.20	3.60	3.40	2.00	0.80	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.05	0.11	0.55	0.66	-	0.92	2.22	0.08	46:30	66.93	11.20
Sam Steel	DAL	C	5.8%	0.03	0.30	0.70	1.10	4.00	2.70	1.20	0.90	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.05	0.03	5.63	5.42	51.0%	0.68	2.18	-0.16	45:24	57.05	9.90

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Start from total assists. Each player's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model next week (LineupExperts for longer ranges); assists and ice time from LineupExperts. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there.

Nearly pooled rates. Individual shorthanded assist rates barely repeat from season to season, so the model leans on the league average for the position, scaled by penalty-kill minutes.

Team check. Each team's projected shorthanded assists are scaled to the league's shorthanded share of that team's projected assists.

Variance warning

totals are small and noisy. In our backtest the top predicted deciles were off by more than 10% in both test seasons, so treat this page as a deployment guide.

💡

Pro Tip: Shorthanded assists are bonus production. Do not pick a player for them alone.

Shorthanded points

Goals and assists while shorthanded together.

Shorthanded Points

Shorthanded goals

The goal side of shorthanded scoring.

Shorthanded Goals

Penalty-kill deployment

Check who is killing penalties now.

Line Combinations

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

LineupExperts' projected assists are split by strength using recent penalty-kill minutes times a shorthanded assist rate shrunk heavily toward the league average, then each team's total is scaled to the league shorthanded share of its projected assists.

Players with the most penalty-kill time, forwards and defensemen alike. The model has little player-specific signal beyond ice time.

Rarely. They are too infrequent and too noisy to chase; they reward owning regular penalty killers.

It beats a naive per-game rate comfortably, but its calibration at the top failed our ±10% bar in both backtest seasons. It is one of our least certain categories.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

By Position

All players at each position

NHL Forward

LW, C, RW players

NHL Defensemen

D players

NHL Goalie

G players

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Special Teams

Power-play and shorthanded goals, assists and points

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Projected Shorthanded Assists Next Week

Sorted by Projected Short Handed Assists(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Skaters100 of 644

Variance warning

Shorthanded points

Shorthanded goals

Penalty-kill deployment

Related Projections

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By Position

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Projections by Category

By Position

NHL Forward

NHL Defensemen

NHL Goalie

Scoring Projections

Peripheral Stats

Special Teams

Faceoff & Physical

Goalie Projections

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NHL Team Projections