Edgehalla

NHL Projected Goals Against Average Next Week

Goals-against average is a standard goalie category in Yahoo and ESPN leagues. This page ranks goalies by projected GAA, lowest first: LineupExperts' projected goals against divided by our projected minutes, per 60. Only goalies with at least one projected start are ranked (five for the rest of the season) (Oct 5-11 (Week 2)). (Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

Week 2: Oct 5 - Oct 11(Upcoming)
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Updated: 4:27 PM UTC(hourly)
5 games • 54 players

GAA = 60 × projected goals against ÷ projected minutes.

Goals against come from LineupExperts' projection for the goalie's projected starts.

Minutes are an Edgehalla estimate: projected starts × minutes per start (about 60, shrunk toward the league average for each goalie, so overtime and early hooks are included). When LineupExperts projects a goalie for far fewer shots per game than his team allows, his appearances are treated as partial games and his minutes scale down with them.

Ranking rule

goalies need at least one projected start (next week, this week, next week) or five (rest of season) to be ranked, so a one-period relief appearance cannot top the list.

💡
Pro Tip: GAA rewards goalies on strong defensive teams as much as good goaltending. Pair it with save percentage to separate the two.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Goals Against Average(Oct 5-11 (Week 2))

54 players
Show

Goalies54 of 54

PlayerTeamPosRost%GAA† ↑GSWLOTLSVGASASV%MIN†FPTS
Scott WedgewoodCOLG95.5%1.801.000.700.300.1027.61.828.995.4%59:5515.00
Karel VejmelkaUTAG98.3%2.013.001.401.200.3084.46.092.091.7%179:3140.70
Mackenzie BlackwoodCOLG89.9%2.103.002.200.900.2083.16.387.694.9%179:5442.50
Ilya SorokinNYIG96.9%2.103.001.601.500.3072.36.375.196.2%179:4133.60
Jesper WallstedtMING94.1%2.133.001.601.200.3073.26.478.892.9%179:5733.40
Linus UllmarkOTTG81.1%2.143.002.001.100.3069.16.472.395.5%179:3132.90
Andrei VasilevskiyTBG99.0%2.243.002.001.300.2079.16.784.893.3%179:2938.50
Jakub DobesMONG96.1%2.303.001.801.300.4080.56.984.095.9%179:5337.00
Daniel VladarPHIG76.0%2.312.001.000.900.2054.24.658.093.5%119:4324.20
Joseph WollPHIG33.1%2.343.001.501.300.4084.77.090.393.7%179:4337.60
Spencer KnightCHIG78.7%2.352.001.001.100.2056.34.760.792.7%119:5524.80
Samuel ErssonOTTG9.7%2.391.000.600.400.1022.72.424.194.3%60:109.60
Sam MontembeaultMONG14.8%2.401.000.600.500.1026.52.428.493.3%60:0111.70
Leevi MerilainenVANG12.8%2.442.000.801.100.1043.64.949.088.9%120:3015.20
Brandon BussiCARG96.0%2.452.001.300.700.2040.14.944.490.1%120:0716.10
Alex NedeljkovicSJG17.6%2.481.000.500.600.1027.22.530.090.7%60:2311.10
Pyotr KochetkovCARG45.4%2.503.001.901.100.2060.47.567.489.7%179:5524.30
Anton ForsbergLAG25.5%2.542.001.000.900.3052.75.157.791.3%120:3421.80
Sebastian CossaUTAG32.2%2.552.001.000.600.2060.35.168.188.6%119:5726.50
Joel HoferSTLG79.8%2.601.000.600.400.1021.22.624.287.5%60:028.60
Anthony StolarzTORG30.0%2.611.000.600.400.1027.62.630.989.5%59:4511.90
Kevin LankinenVANG31.7%2.611.000.400.500.1028.72.631.591.1%59:4011.60
Darcy KuemperLAG58.0%2.662.001.001.000.2053.75.359.290.6%119:3221.90
Yaroslav AskarovSJG77.4%2.683.001.401.600.3082.38.090.590.9%178:5232.80
Jet GreavesCLBG85.6%2.692.001.001.000.2054.35.461.887.9%120:1522.00
Arturs SilovsPITG45.1%2.734.002.401.800.4099.910.9110.690.3%239:3740.10
Joey DaccordSEAG53.8%2.762.001.101.000.2050.75.554.293.6%119:4119.90
Alex LyonBUFG33.4%2.811.000.600.500.1030.42.833.092.2%59:5312.90
Juuse SarosNSHG84.4%2.853.001.501.600.2075.68.584.589.5%179:1327.70
Jeremy SwaymanBOSG96.9%2.852.001.201.000.2055.55.761.889.8%119:5522.70
Sergei BobrovskyTORG88.1%2.862.001.001.000.1054.65.761.688.6%119:4321.00
Logan ThompsonWASG99.5%2.873.001.701.100.3081.68.692.688.1%179:4432.60
Lukas DostalANAG80.7%2.973.001.801.400.3086.68.995.690.5%179:4934.30
Adin HillLVG23.6%3.011.000.600.400.1027.33.030.589.6%59:4410.90
Carter HartLVG86.6%3.043.001.801.300.3081.89.191.289.7%179:2931.20
Casey DeSmithDALG17.4%3.042.001.001.000.2052.26.160.985.7%120:1318.50
Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenBUFG76.8%3.073.001.901.400.3087.59.296.191.0%179:4235.00
Igor ShesterkinNYRG93.3%3.073.001.401.400.3072.49.283.986.3%179:3523.40
Akira SchmidFLAG27.8%3.082.001.100.900.3060.36.266.990.0%120:4923.50
Michael DipietroBOSG15.4%3.152.001.101.100.2053.76.359.790.0%119:5719.00
Jacob MarkstromFLAG89.1%3.152.001.201.000.2057.36.363.490.4%119:5422.60
Jake OettingerDALG99.0%3.162.001.000.900.2051.86.360.885.2%119:4217.90
John GibsonDETG71.5%3.193.001.401.700.3075.09.584.888.5%178:3523.90
Philipp GrubauerSEAG13.6%3.192.001.101.000.2055.06.459.792.1%120:1619.70
Jordan BinningtonSTLG31.2%3.202.001.001.000.2042.06.448.187.2%119:4911.40
Jake AllenNJG54.0%3.301.000.500.500.1025.13.330.283.1%60:037.70
Dylan GarandNYRG13.0%3.332.000.700.500.2029.14.033.886.1%72:109.50
Devin CooleyCGYG13.7%3.342.000.801.200.2046.76.758.380.1%120:2912.70
Charlie LindgrenWASG11.4%3.352.000.901.100.2053.16.761.087.1%120:0616.90
Devon LeviEDMG40.8%3.602.001.001.000.1041.97.249.584.6%119:558.40
Dustin WolfCGYG66.0%3.622.000.801.200.2048.07.259.580.7%119:2611.80
Nico DawsNJG16.9%3.702.000.801.000.2052.97.463.982.8%119:5714.10
Daniil TarasovDETG10.6%3.801.000.500.600.1025.53.829.187.9%60:026.40
Tristan JarryEDMG9.4%3.801.000.400.500.2019.83.823.684.1%60:013.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Goals against totals

Projected goals against before dividing by minutes.

Goals Against

Save percentage

The other rate stat for goalies, less tied to team defence.

Save Percentage

Confirm starters

A GAA projection only matters if the goalie starts.

Starting Goalies

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Projected goals against (from LineupExperts) times 60, divided by projected minutes. Minutes are projected starts times about 60 minutes per start, scaled down for goalies projected to make partial appearances.
A goalie needs at least one projected start (five for rest of season) to be ranked. Below that, a single short appearance would make GAA meaningless.
For the GAA category, yes. But a goalie with few starts helps a category league less in wins and saves, so weigh volume too.
Goals against is a total, which rises with starts. GAA is a rate per 60 minutes, which compares goalies with different workloads.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see next week player projections

Related Fantasy Hockey Tools