NHL Projected Goals Against Average This Week
Goals-against average is a standard goalie category in Yahoo and ESPN leagues. This page ranks goalies by projected GAA, lowest first: LineupExperts' projected goals against divided by our projected minutes, per 60. Only goalies with at least one projected start are ranked (five for the rest of the season) (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1)). (Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))
GAA = 60 × projected goals against ÷ projected minutes.
Goals against come from LineupExperts' projection for the goalie's projected starts.
Minutes are an Edgehalla estimate: projected starts × minutes per start (about 60, shrunk toward the league average for each goalie, so overtime and early hooks are included). When LineupExperts projects a goalie for far fewer shots per game than his team allows, his appearances are treated as partial games and his minutes scale down with them.
Ranking rule
goalies need at least one projected start (this week, this week, next week) or five (rest of season) to be ranked, so a one-period relief appearance cannot top the list.
Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.
Sorted by Projected Goaltending Goals Against Average(Sep 28-Oct 4 (Week 1))
48 playersGoalies48 of 48
| Player | Team | Pos | Rost% | GAA† ↑ | GS | W | L | OTL | SV | GA | SA | SV% | MIN† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TB | G | 99.0% | 1.96 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 45.5 | 3.9 | 48.8 | 93.2% | 119:40 | 21.00 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | G | 96.9% | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 64.6 | 4.2 | 70.0 | 92.3% | 119:47 | 32.80 |
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | G | 81.1% | 2.11 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 25.9 | 2.1 | 27.6 | 94.1% | 59:50 | 12.80 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | G | 94.1% | 2.15 | 2.00 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 50.2 | 4.3 | 53.3 | 94.1% | 119:58 | 22.40 |
| John Gibson | DET | G | 71.5% | 2.22 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 57.1 | 4.4 | 61.2 | 93.2% | 119:03 | 26.40 |
| Juuse Saros | NSH | G | 84.4% | 2.36 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 61.7 | 4.7 | 65.4 | 94.3% | 119:29 | 28.50 |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | G | 89.9% | 2.55 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 57.5 | 5.1 | 62.4 | 92.1% | 119:56 | 26.80 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | G | 17.4% | 2.60 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.7 | 2.6 | 33.6 | 91.2% | 60:07 | 14.00 |
| Logan Thompson | WAS | G | 99.5% | 2.60 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 31.6 | 2.6 | 34.7 | 91.2% | 59:55 | 15.10 |
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | G | 99.0% | 2.61 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.4 | 2.6 | 33.6 | 90.6% | 59:51 | 13.70 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | G | 98.3% | 2.66 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 57.1 | 5.3 | 61.9 | 92.3% | 119:41 | 25.70 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | G | 13.0% | 2.68 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 90.5% | 44:50 | 8.00 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | G | 80.7% | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 56.3 | 5.6 | 61.7 | 91.3% | 119:53 | 22.20 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | G | 45.1% | 2.85 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 41.9 | 5.7 | 47.8 | 87.6% | 119:49 | 14.40 |
| Brandon Bussi | CAR | G | 96.0% | 2.90 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 30.0 | 2.9 | 33.3 | 90.1% | 60:03 | 13.00 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | BUF | G | 76.8% | 2.95 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 40.3 | 4.6 | 45.0 | 89.7% | 93:40 | 17.00 |
| Charlie Lindgren | WAS | G | 11.4% | 3.00 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.9 | 3.0 | 34.3 | 90.2% | 60:03 | 12.70 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | G | 79.8% | 3.00 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 34.4 | 90.2% | 60:02 | 13.40 |
| Jakub Dobes | MON | G | 96.1% | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 54.6 | 6.0 | 63.2 | 86.5% | 119:55 | 20.80 |
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | G | 30.0% | 3.01 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 31.8 | 3.0 | 34.5 | 92.2% | 59:45 | 13.90 |
| Igor Shesterkin | NYR | G | 93.3% | 3.07 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 0.30 | 94.8 | 9.2 | 104.5 | 90.8% | 179:35 | 38.90 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | G | 53.8% | 3.16 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 61.7 | 6.3 | 68.0 | 90.8% | 119:41 | 24.30 |
| Akira Schmid | FLA | G | 27.8% | 3.18 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 31.4 | 3.2 | 34.8 | 90.3% | 60:25 | 12.40 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | G | 45.4% | 3.20 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.2 | 3.2 | 33.7 | 89.7% | 59:58 | 12.30 |
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | G | 89.1% | 3.20 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 59.7 | 6.4 | 65.9 | 90.7% | 119:54 | 23.80 |
| Carter Hart | LV | G | 86.6% | 3.21 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 0.30 | 60.4 | 9.6 | 67.3 | 89.7% | 179:29 | 15.70 |
| Jet Greaves | CLB | G | 85.6% | 3.24 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 56.9 | 6.5 | 65.2 | 87.3% | 120:15 | 20.60 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | G | 96.9% | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 63.8 | 6.5 | 70.6 | 90.3% | 119:55 | 25.30 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | G | 88.1% | 3.26 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 62.9 | 6.5 | 68.8 | 91.3% | 119:43 | 24.50 |
| Anton Forsberg | LA | G | 25.5% | 3.28 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 30.2 | 3.3 | 33.5 | 90.2% | 60:17 | 11.40 |
| Devin Cooley | CGY | G | 13.7% | 3.29 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 30.7 | 3.3 | 34.3 | 89.7% | 60:15 | 11.10 |
| Jake Allen | NJ | G | 54.0% | 3.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 31.0 | 3.3 | 34.1 | 90.8% | 60:03 | 12.00 |
| Daniel Vladar | PHI | G | 76.0% | 3.41 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 31.1 | 3.4 | 34.6 | 90.1% | 59:52 | 11.60 |
| Darcy Kuemper | LA | G | 58.0% | 3.41 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.7 | 3.4 | 34.3 | 89.5% | 59:46 | 11.40 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJ | G | 77.4% | 3.47 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 58.6 | 6.9 | 65.8 | 89.1% | 119:14 | 20.00 |
| Joseph Woll | PHI | G | 33.1% | 3.51 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 64.8 | 7.0 | 71.8 | 90.3% | 119:49 | 24.10 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | G | 78.7% | 3.55 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 63.1 | 7.1 | 70.3 | 89.8% | 119:55 | 22.00 |
| Michael Dipietro | BOS | G | 15.4% | 3.60 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 30.9 | 3.6 | 34.1 | 90.5% | 59:58 | 10.60 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | G | 40.8% | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 62.8 | 7.2 | 70.3 | 89.5% | 119:55 | 22.30 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | G | 66.0% | 3.62 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.30 | 63.2 | 7.2 | 70.0 | 90.4% | 119:26 | 21.50 |
| Leevi Merilainen | VAN | G | 12.8% | 3.68 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 23.3 | 3.7 | 27.0 | 86.3% | 60:15 | 5.30 |
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | G | 13.6% | 3.69 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 33.4 | 3.7 | 37.4 | 89.4% | 60:08 | 12.10 |
| Nico Daws | NJ | G | 16.9% | 3.70 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 32.6 | 3.7 | 36.1 | 90.5% | 59:58 | 11.50 |
| Jordan Binnington | STL | G | 31.2% | 3.71 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 30.7 | 3.7 | 34.2 | 89.8% | 59:54 | 10.10 |
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | G | 9.4% | 3.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 29.7 | 3.8 | 33.4 | 88.9% | 60:01 | 9.50 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | G | 32.2% | 3.80 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 32.7 | 3.8 | 36.9 | 88.5% | 59:58 | 12.00 |
| Arvid Soderblom | CHI | G | 5.6% | 3.90 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 31.9 | 3.9 | 36.2 | 88.2% | 60:03 | 9.90 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | G | 31.7% | 3.92 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 30.7 | 3.9 | 34.7 | 88.4% | 59:40 | 9.30 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
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