Edgehalla

NHL Projected Power Play Assists This Week

Power-play assists pile up for the players who run the man advantage, often a top defenseman or a playmaking forward. These projections estimate how many of each player's projected assists come on the power play, from his recent power-play minutes and his shrunk assist rate there (Oct 12-18 (Week 3)). (Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 691 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Power Play Assists(Oct 12-18 (Week 3))

636 players
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PlayerTeamPosRost%PPA† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Matthew TkachukFLARW98.5%1.731.603.505.0010.905.800.703.800.612.350.020.010.030.340.370.44-1.233.840.0274:4283.7837.80
Quinn HughesMIND99.9%1.710.804.104.909.900.603.601.200.271.970.000.000.010.160.000.00-1.635.68-0.65108:3094.9938.40
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%1.481.503.605.108.801.901.301.500.411.890.060.050.100.2517.4117.8149.4%1.123.73-0.4069:0671.7839.50
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%1.371.803.104.9014.601.402.600.800.531.900.070.080.150.4830.3533.7647.3%1.474.74-0.0385:0089.1445.10
Nikita KucherovTBLRW99.7%1.321.303.004.309.401.301.101.500.441.760.010.010.010.130.080.09-0.993.900.3363:0664.6034.30
Seth JonesFLAD75.6%1.300.502.603.109.404.504.001.300.221.520.010.040.050.110.000.00-1.495.110.0399:12109.1027.90
Mark StoneVGKRW94.7%1.111.302.603.908.902.703.101.000.411.520.060.040.100.340.380.48-1.273.78-0.0377:3085.5534.80
Mitch MarnerVGKRW98.9%1.101.202.904.109.201.502.600.900.371.480.040.050.090.325.036.74-1.674.91-0.0382:4289.2332.60
Jack HughesNJDC99.4%1.081.603.104.7015.500.402.100.700.391.470.030.030.060.1913.0319.9439.5%1.515.26-0.1284:3686.1842.70
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%1.061.802.804.609.106.502.401.500.571.630.110.070.180.4517.7816.0152.6%1.384.340.0783:00104.8637.20
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%1.060.902.303.107.301.203.801.100.341.400.010.030.040.150.000.00-1.164.03-0.4373:3679.5030.40
Clayton KellerUTALW99.9%1.040.902.303.207.900.801.101.400.291.330.000.000.010.090.450.56-0.883.15-0.0256:3067.0425.30
Adam FoxNYRD99.0%1.030.302.602.904.201.505.001.400.101.130.000.030.030.020.000.00-1.173.611.5069:1878.7924.10
Cale MakarCOLD100.0%0.970.902.203.107.901.304.800.800.351.310.010.030.040.160.000.00-1.193.800.5875:0077.6830.30
Rasmus DahlinBUFD99.5%0.951.002.603.6010.203.905.402.900.351.290.010.010.020.180.000.00-1.465.260.4296:36107.9534.70
Mikhail SergachevUTAD98.3%0.940.502.102.606.202.104.501.800.191.140.010.040.050.050.000.00-1.173.88-0.0372:1287.9924.40
Lane HutsonMTLD99.0%0.940.402.502.804.901.204.601.300.141.080.000.010.010.060.000.00-1.213.740.6272:0673.3923.20
Jesper BrattNJDRW95.1%0.931.002.703.708.904.101.400.600.271.200.030.030.060.120.180.22-1.214.19-0.1175:3089.0328.80
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%0.891.502.804.2012.201.701.501.700.441.330.010.010.020.2626.6926.4750.2%1.014.040.5166:4271.2336.80
Sebastian AhoCARC99.7%0.871.302.303.608.702.201.202.000.451.320.060.070.120.2524.1222.1152.2%0.903.27-0.0260:1269.0529.80
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.7%0.851.602.404.008.001.501.001.400.491.340.020.010.030.2727.2121.8555.5%0.993.80-0.3764:4870.0033.40
Nick SuzukiMTLC99.9%0.841.302.503.806.703.002.300.900.351.190.030.020.050.1926.7626.0250.7%1.023.270.5262:5467.1029.70
Roman JosiNSHD98.3%0.840.601.902.507.301.405.101.300.211.050.010.020.030.080.000.00-1.023.97-0.1375:1880.2723.40
Erik KarlssonPITD95.0%0.800.301.902.205.900.802.100.600.110.910.000.020.030.030.000.00-1.023.910.3971:0073.2018.10
Lucas RaymondDETRW94.3%0.791.002.103.107.801.601.000.900.281.070.010.010.020.120.050.06-1.012.820.0657:0666.9423.90
Moritz SeiderDETD98.9%0.790.301.902.206.706.006.801.500.100.890.010.030.040.040.000.00-1.093.870.0876:1285.7024.30
Shayne GostisbehereCARD95.5%0.780.501.502.006.301.402.501.000.241.020.000.000.000.100.000.00-0.892.90-0.0256:0663.2820.10
Jackson BlakeCARRW80.8%0.760.701.702.507.400.701.101.200.251.010.000.000.010.140.230.29-0.892.58-0.0148:4253.7321.50
Darren RaddyshTORD97.3%0.750.301.702.006.502.303.901.800.130.870.000.020.020.060.000.00-0.833.34-0.1563:3668.0619.30
Mikko RantanenDALRW98.8%0.731.102.203.306.802.101.302.700.281.010.000.000.000.172.702.98-1.053.230.0963:0665.2525.60
David PastrnakBOSRW99.8%0.721.302.403.7010.403.500.801.500.351.070.010.000.010.130.240.29-0.983.960.6160:2462.2530.00
Brady TkachukFLALW98.9%0.711.801.703.4014.4012.801.004.700.681.390.020.010.030.3810.669.8052.1%1.073.350.0270:3093.7133.00
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%0.711.402.303.7011.101.702.001.400.331.040.020.020.030.2122.2923.0049.2%1.163.84-0.7262:0663.1931.30
Jake GuentzelTBLLW99.5%0.711.201.702.908.401.701.401.300.441.150.030.020.050.127.618.1248.4%0.922.920.3260:4266.3925.80
William NylanderTORRW99.0%0.711.502.303.808.700.600.900.700.421.130.010.010.020.281.902.43-1.112.88-0.1459:5467.1928.90
Logan CooleyUTAC94.1%0.700.701.702.405.003.401.601.200.220.930.020.020.040.0715.9318.1046.8%0.942.85-0.0254:3667.1319.90
John CarlsonTBLD97.9%0.700.501.702.307.201.704.001.000.210.910.000.020.020.050.010.01-1.093.740.3969:3072.7222.50
Kirill KaprizovMINLW98.3%0.702.802.505.3013.402.001.801.100.791.490.010.000.010.570.270.33-1.234.58-0.5288:4884.1747.20
Matthew SchaeferNYID99.9%0.700.601.802.409.801.603.401.200.220.910.000.010.010.070.000.00-1.383.93-0.0574:2480.2725.40
Miro HeiskanenDALD98.1%0.690.301.902.205.701.104.301.200.090.780.010.040.050.050.000.00-1.153.930.1176:4876.3120.90
Nikolaj EhlersCARLW89.4%0.690.601.602.207.701.000.800.400.210.900.000.000.000.120.390.48-0.772.78-0.0149:1857.7019.50
Drake BathersonOTTRW96.7%0.681.401.903.309.006.401.202.000.481.160.010.000.010.350.620.72-1.203.430.0671:1294.3027.30
Luke EvangelistaNJDRW70.4%0.660.901.902.809.301.301.401.600.280.930.000.000.000.110.040.05-1.013.07-0.0862:1269.8424.20
Luke HughesNJDD83.0%0.650.401.802.208.801.002.901.700.130.780.000.020.030.050.000.01-1.554.75-0.1389:1896.6321.20
Sam ReinhartFLARW97.3%0.652.401.604.0011.404.402.100.800.971.620.080.020.110.517.929.4945.5%1.213.870.0284:0094.2336.40
Dylan CozensOTTC85.2%0.640.901.702.609.309.901.701.900.290.940.010.010.020.2223.2721.0852.5%1.053.290.0670:1892.1323.70
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%0.640.902.002.807.103.902.300.600.260.900.050.040.080.0721.6418.9753.3%1.043.281.2860:4873.1823.20
Jason RobertsonDALLW99.1%0.641.401.903.3010.002.201.000.900.401.040.000.000.000.220.100.12-0.953.070.0857:1260.2328.80
Martin NecasCOLRW99.9%0.631.201.903.107.702.700.900.900.381.020.010.010.020.210.840.86-1.003.280.4560:4263.4026.90
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%0.631.902.104.0011.202.003.700.700.521.150.060.030.090.3528.3921.2457.2%1.122.89-0.1563:2469.8837.40
Zachary BensonBUFLW53.2%0.630.601.902.507.603.501.802.400.170.800.030.040.070.110.851.06-1.033.180.2866:4883.7621.90
Charlie McAvoyBOSD95.5%0.620.401.702.104.703.705.002.300.130.750.010.040.050.040.000.00-1.083.750.7772:4881.5020.10
Connor BedardCHIC97.2%0.621.102.003.109.801.601.302.000.290.900.000.000.000.1113.0215.0446.4%1.053.27-0.7661:4265.8324.50
Andrei SvechnikovCARLW97.7%0.621.501.503.008.806.300.702.200.591.200.000.000.000.290.330.40-0.872.84-0.0251:5460.6626.80
J.T. MillerNYRC90.1%0.600.802.002.805.305.601.701.800.200.810.030.030.060.0624.4417.5258.2%0.883.081.2257:3074.6521.20
Brandon HagelTBLLW99.3%0.601.501.803.309.802.201.902.100.441.040.080.050.130.150.951.17-1.172.980.3562:0070.8830.00
Zach WerenskiCBJD99.6%0.600.601.902.509.700.905.000.800.160.760.010.030.040.120.000.00-1.244.420.1981:0082.1427.80
Thomas ChabotOTTD87.9%0.590.401.602.008.802.708.601.600.140.740.010.030.040.100.000.00-1.575.040.0997:54114.6329.30
Matthew BoldyMINRW100.0%0.591.701.903.6013.603.403.601.900.461.060.090.040.130.353.033.70-1.604.13-0.4884:0082.9338.10
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%0.582.301.704.0014.503.402.201.700.691.270.030.010.040.4219.9623.6045.8%1.313.840.3277:2494.1739.20
Tomas HertlVGKC86.7%0.571.501.503.009.705.802.101.200.621.190.010.000.010.4031.4224.4156.3%0.953.03-0.0266:3074.4527.50
Dylan GuentherUTARW99.3%0.551.401.302.7010.102.300.900.800.541.090.010.000.010.140.841.01-0.812.65-0.0251:5463.9527.10
Jack QuinnBUFRW50.8%0.540.901.502.408.903.201.101.100.270.810.010.010.020.170.270.32-0.913.450.2766:1281.6821.40
Filip ForsbergNSHLW99.1%0.541.101.602.708.904.301.501.300.330.860.000.000.010.150.460.60-1.163.39-0.0957:3066.8923.40
Leo CarlssonANAC94.9%0.540.901.302.305.800.501.100.700.270.800.020.010.030.1310.9813.2845.3%0.581.76-0.0836:0642.0219.20
Kirill MarchenkoTORRW98.0%0.531.001.602.607.402.301.401.800.280.810.000.000.000.190.230.28-1.012.89-0.1456:4261.8823.10
Aaron EkbladFLAD43.3%0.530.201.501.706.205.404.303.300.070.600.000.040.050.040.020.02-1.264.640.0391:00111.9917.90
Mark ScheifeleWPGC98.7%0.531.102.003.106.401.501.601.500.250.770.010.010.010.2621.6623.8547.6%1.023.510.1262:3064.0024.00
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%0.531.401.703.1010.102.403.001.000.430.960.060.040.110.1647.9339.3954.9%1.273.69-0.1281:5493.7229.70
Ryan O'ReillyNSHC81.0%0.520.901.602.505.200.702.601.000.260.780.060.050.120.1327.3622.7954.6%1.082.64-0.1060:1871.3919.20
Josh MorrisseyWPGD98.3%0.520.401.602.106.501.504.201.100.110.630.000.010.010.100.000.00-0.923.800.1472:2482.5120.90
Jackson LaCombeANAD97.5%0.520.301.301.504.002.003.500.700.110.630.010.020.030.040.000.00-0.892.52-0.1247:5454.3714.60
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW97.5%0.521.001.602.606.804.802.501.900.300.820.010.000.010.140.881.20-0.882.870.4555:1260.5122.50
Claude GirouxOTTRW30.8%0.520.701.602.306.003.201.200.900.180.700.020.020.030.1725.0817.0559.5%1.103.360.0670:00102.7819.20
Alex DeBrincatDETLW98.7%0.511.701.703.4010.901.601.600.900.541.050.010.010.020.210.861.05-1.012.810.0555:3063.4730.80
Sam BennettFLAC81.3%0.510.901.602.509.507.401.503.700.270.780.020.010.030.1926.0928.3048.0%1.143.730.0272:3086.4421.80
Dylan LarkinDETC95.1%0.501.401.602.909.701.801.401.600.400.910.060.030.090.1731.5928.2752.8%0.943.240.0660:3672.0025.90
Nick SchmaltzUTARW97.1%0.491.301.502.808.001.301.600.700.470.970.050.030.070.1313.6415.4147.0%1.122.83-0.0357:2470.6724.30
Dylan StromeWSHC81.0%0.490.701.702.504.900.602.101.200.170.660.000.000.010.0626.8521.7655.2%0.772.640.5652:5461.3219.70
Owen PowerBUFD70.5%0.490.501.802.305.401.004.200.900.130.620.010.040.050.090.000.00-1.264.590.4292:00107.1620.40
Brayden PointTBLC94.1%0.491.201.402.507.800.601.300.600.410.900.010.000.010.1215.2417.0347.2%0.892.480.3057:3062.6323.20
Shane PintoOTTC43.7%0.481.101.702.907.804.902.702.100.270.750.070.060.120.2724.0223.2250.8%1.293.500.0775:24103.6125.60
Elias PetterssonVANC93.4%0.460.501.501.905.104.403.400.500.130.590.020.030.050.0825.6828.5947.3%1.042.75-0.4157:1268.7317.60
Steven StamkosNSHC94.5%0.451.201.202.407.203.101.401.500.420.870.000.000.000.1711.719.9154.2%0.892.59-0.0954:4262.9519.90
Anton LundellFLAC42.0%0.450.901.402.209.305.301.901.800.260.710.060.040.110.1931.1529.1751.6%1.003.660.0270:4289.9922.40
Kyle ConnorWPGLW98.9%0.451.601.703.3010.301.001.000.500.400.850.050.030.080.380.050.06-0.982.950.1263:0667.1829.20
Shea TheodoreVGKD92.4%0.450.401.702.108.700.204.700.900.100.540.010.030.030.110.000.00-1.235.00-0.0490:24111.0525.60
Filip HronekVAND93.2%0.440.201.301.504.104.604.601.100.050.500.000.030.030.030.000.00-1.093.83-0.5573:0683.5415.10
Cole CaufieldMTLLW99.9%0.441.701.303.009.502.100.900.700.500.940.010.000.010.240.320.39-0.852.500.4555:3062.8627.00
Viktor ArvidssonDETRW40.7%0.421.201.402.608.901.101.601.000.390.800.010.000.010.150.620.73-0.662.190.0445:2454.8324.10
Joel Eriksson EkMINC77.8%0.421.001.402.4011.505.602.501.400.260.680.040.030.070.2038.8539.5149.6%1.243.48-0.4678:4282.0129.40
Will SmithSJSRW94.5%0.420.901.502.407.300.700.700.600.230.650.010.000.010.132.162.46-0.762.67-0.5951:4856.6619.20
Chandler StephensonSEAC24.0%0.410.401.501.902.700.701.601.200.080.500.020.030.050.0829.1326.0052.8%1.242.650.2956:4272.5813.30
Roope HintzDALC83.0%0.411.101.402.506.703.101.200.900.300.710.020.010.020.1722.4117.5956.0%0.742.550.0751:2463.3422.40
Bowen ByramCHID88.8%0.410.401.401.804.702.204.301.800.110.520.000.020.030.040.000.00-0.943.52-0.9168:3678.8317.40
Matias MaccelliNYILW12.2%0.410.501.201.704.900.800.600.600.140.550.000.000.000.060.140.17-0.672.27-0.0342:5451.0312.70
John TavaresTORC95.0%0.411.101.302.407.002.701.201.300.320.720.000.000.000.2028.6321.8256.8%0.872.82-0.1354:3063.3219.70
Vince DunnSEAD91.3%0.400.501.201.705.601.003.602.100.150.550.000.010.020.110.000.00-0.893.360.3566:3673.9317.20
Sidney CrosbyPITC98.7%0.401.001.402.407.202.401.201.000.270.670.000.000.000.1035.3029.0754.8%0.943.170.3259:5468.4318.70
Carter YakemchukOTTD45.3%0.400.501.101.605.801.304.301.700.170.580.000.000.000.120.000.00-1.254.110.0776:48102.8116.70

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Start from total assists. Each player's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model this week (LineupExperts for longer ranges); assists and ice time from LineupExperts. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there. Projected power-play plus shorthanded assists never exceed projected assists.

What moves a player up

- Power-play minutes per game, recent games weighted most - Power-play assist rate per 60 minutes, shrunk toward the league average for forwards or defensemen - Total assists from LineupExperts

What it does not use

opponent penalty-kill quality or unit-by-unit tracking.

💡
Pro Tip: Defensemen who quarterback a power play often project for more PPA than their goal totals suggest. Pair them with the PPG leaders on the same team.

Power-play quarterbacks

Defensemen with heavy power-play minutes lead this list more often than their point totals suggest.

Defensemen Projections

Power-play points

Power-play goals plus power-play assists in one ranking.

Power Play Points

Power-play goals

The finishing side of the same power plays.

Power Play Goals

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

LineupExperts' projected assists are split by strength in proportion to the player's recent power-play, penalty-kill and even-strength minutes times his shrunk assists-per-60 rate in each situation. The power-play share is the PPA projection.
It depends on deployment. A defenseman on the top unit plays nearly every power-play second, so his share of assists on the man advantage is high. The model reads that from his minutes, not from his position alone.
If he plays little power-play time, most of his assists are projected at even strength. Power-play minutes are the main driver of the split.
In our 2024-25 and 2025-26 backtests the PPA split beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, and the top three deciles of predictions landed within 10% of actual totals.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see this week player projections