NHL Hits Projections Today
Projected hits for every skater playing tonight, with his chance of 2+ and 3+ hits and fair odds for 2+. Projections, not picks.
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 80 players
Chance of 2+ hits tonight, every skater
76 skaters
| Fair odds (2+ HIT) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lian BichselD · DAL @ COL | 2.80 | 72% | 50% | -2581.39 |
| Tom WilsonPP1RW · WSH vs MTL | 2.60 | 69% | 46% | -2211.45 |
| Zachary L'HeureuxLW · COL vs DAL | 2.50 | 67% | 44% | -2031.49 |
| Arber XhekajD · MTL @ WSH | 2.40 | 65% | 42% | -1871.54 |
| Josh MansonD · COL vs DAL | 2.00 | 56% | 32% | -1291.77 |
| Kaiden GuhleD · MTL @ WSH | 2.00 | 56% | 32% | -1291.77 |
| Noah JuulsenD · COL vs DAL | 2.00 | 56% | 32% | -1291.77 |
| Parker KellyLW · COL vs DAL | 2.00 | 56% | 32% | -1291.77 |
| Zachary BolducLW · MTL @ WSH | 2.00 | 56% | 32% | -1291.77 |
| Boone JennerC · WSH vs MTL | 1.90 | 54% | 30% | -1171.86 |
| Vincent DesharnaisD · WSH vs MTL | 1.90 | 54% | 30% | -1171.86 |
| Dylan McIlrathD · WSH vs MTL | 1.80 | 51% | 27% | -1051.95 |
| Josh AndersonRW · MTL @ WSH | 1.80 | 51% | 27% | -1051.95 |
| Ryan LeonardRW · WSH vs MTL | 1.80 | 51% | 27% | -1051.95 |
| Justin HryckowianC · DAL @ COL | 1.60 | 46% | 23% | +1192.19 |
| Martin FehervaryD · WSH vs MTL | 1.60 | 46% | 23% | +1192.19 |
| Owen BeckC · MTL @ WSH | 1.60 | 46% | 23% | +1192.19 |
| Alex OvechkinPP1LW · WSH vs MTL | 1.50 | 43% | 20% | +1342.34 |
| Arttu HyryC · DAL @ COL | 1.50 | 43% | 20% | +1342.34 |
| Kirby DachC · MTL @ WSH | 1.50 | 43% | 20% | +1342.34 |
| Colin BlackwellRW · DAL @ COL | 1.40 | 40% | 18% | +1522.52 |
| Gabriel LandeskogLW · COL vs DAL | 1.40 | 40% | 18% | +1522.52 |
| Juraj SlafkovskyPP1RW · MTL @ WSH | 1.40 | 40% | 18% | +1522.52 |
| Jamie BennLW · DAL @ COL | 1.30 | 37% | 15% | +1742.74 |
| Joel KivirantaLW · DAL @ COL | 1.30 | 37% | 15% | +1742.74 |
| Justin SourdifC · WSH vs MTL | 1.30 | 37% | 15% | +1742.74 |
| Jake EvansC · MTL @ WSH | 1.20 | 33% | 13% | +2013.01 |
| Radek FaksaC · DAL @ COL | 1.20 | 33% | 13% | +2013.01 |
| Alex NewhookLW · MTL @ WSH | 1.10 | 30% | 11% | +2363.36 |
| Alexandre TexierLW · MTL @ WSH | 1.10 | 30% | 11% | +2363.36 |
| Anthony BeauvillierRW · WSH vs MTL | 1.10 | 30% | 11% | +2363.36 |
| Chris KreiderPP1LW · MTL @ WSH | 1.10 | 30% | 11% | +2363.36 |
| Justin HollD · WSH vs MTL | 1.10 | 30% | 11% | +2363.36 |
| Tyler MyersD · DAL @ COL | 1.10 | 30% | 11% | +2363.36 |
| Cole HutsonD · WSH vs MTL | 1.00 | 26% | 9% | +2793.79 |
| Roope HintzPP1C · DAL @ COL | 1.00 | 26% | 9% | +2793.79 |
| Alex TuchRW · WSH vs MTL | 0.90 | 23% | 7% | +3374.37 |
| Martin NecasPP1RW · COL vs DAL | 0.90 | 23% | 7% | +3374.37 |
| Nick SuzukiPP1C · MTL @ WSH | 0.90 | 23% | 7% | +3374.37 |
| Nicolas RoyC · COL vs DAL | 0.90 | 23% | 7% | +3374.37 |
| Noah DobsonD · MTL @ WSH | 0.90 | 23% | 7% | +3374.37 |
| Timothy LiljegrenD · WSH vs MTL | 0.90 | 23% | 7% | +3374.37 |
| Ethen FrankRW · WSH vs MTL | 0.80 | 19% | 6% | +4155.15 |
| Florian XhekajLW · MTL @ WSH | 0.80 | 19% | 6% | +4155.15 |
| Phillip DanaultC · MTL @ WSH | 0.80 | 19% | 6% | +4155.15 |
| Sam SteelC · DAL @ COL | 0.80 | 19% | 6% | +4155.15 |
| Alexandre CarrierD · MTL @ WSH | 0.70 | 16% | 4% | +5256.25 |
| Fedor SvechkovC · COL vs DAL | 0.70 | 16% | 4% | +5256.25 |
| Jakob ChychrunPP1D · WSH vs MTL | 0.70 | 16% | 4% | +5256.25 |
| Jason RobertsonPP1LW · DAL @ COL | 0.70 | 16% | 4% | +5256.25 |
Hits vary more from game to game than a Poisson count, so chances use a negative binomial (size 8) at the projected mean. PP1 is the top power-play unit over recent games. Projections, not picks.
Sorted by Projected Hits
76 playersShow
Skaters76 of 76
| Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Rost% | HIT ↓ | G | Anytime% | A | PTS | SOG | BLK | PIM | PPG† | PPA† | PPP† | SHG† | SHA† | SHP† | GWG† | FOW† | FOL† | FO%† | TK† | GV† | +/-† | TOI | SFT† | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lian Bichsel | DAL | D | @ COL | 20.2% | 2.80 | 0.06 | 6.1% | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.68 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.21 | 0.76 | -0.12 | 15:42 | 18.12 | 1.88 |
| Tom Wilson | WSH | RW | vs MTL | 94.2% | 2.60 | 0.40 | 32.9% | 0.50 | 0.90 | 1.99 | 0.90 | 1.10 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.22 | - | 0.29 | 0.99 | -0.02 | 19:40 | 23.08 | 7.79 |
| Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COL | COL | LW | vs DAL | 11.2% | 2.50 | 0.10 | 9.8% | 0.10 | 0.20 | 1.20 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.09 | - | 0.19 | 0.60 | 0.21 | 12:18 | 16.88 | 2.82 |
| Arber Xhekaj | MTL | D | @ WSH | 8.6% | 2.40 | 0.02 | 1.9% | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.17 | 0.65 | -0.02 | 9:54 | 15.63 | 1.41 |
| Josh Manson | COL | D | vs DAL | 36.0% | 2.00 | 0.07 | 7.0% | 0.30 | 0.27 | 1.31 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.25 | 0.98 | 0.31 | 18:23 | 22.96 | 4.74 |
| Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COL | COL | D | vs DAL | 0.1% | 2.00 | 0.02 | 2.2% | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.56 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.23 | 0.79 | 0.25 | 13:18 | 21.26 | 2.24 |
| Parker Kelly | COL | LW | vs DAL | 17.7% | 2.00 | 0.23 | 20.3% | 0.20 | 0.43 | 1.15 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1.53 | 1.91 | 44.5% | 0.21 | 0.66 | 0.22 | 12:53 | 18.26 | 4.36 |
| Kaiden Guhle | MTL | D | @ WSH | 17.9% | 2.00 | 0.05 | 5.2% | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.99 | 1.50 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.34 | 1.05 | -0.03 | 18:39 | 23.79 | 3.72 |
| Zachary Bolduc | MTL | LW | @ WSH | 24.3% | 2.00 | 0.20 | 18.2% | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.45 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.22 | - | 0.20 | 0.74 | -0.02 | 13:57 | 15.97 | 4.21 |
| Boone Jenner | WSH | C | vs MTL | 23.1% | 1.90 | 0.22 | 19.9% | 0.30 | 0.52 | 1.77 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 4.23 | 3.52 | 54.6% | 0.25 | 0.82 | -0.02 | 15:13 | 21.16 | 5.53 |
| Vincent Desharnais | WSH | D | vs MTL | 4.2% | 1.90 | 0.03 | 2.5% | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.73 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.22 | 0.94 | -0.02 | 19:10 | 20.65 | 3.05 |
| Josh Anderson | MTL | RW | @ WSH | 11.1% | 1.80 | 0.20 | 18.0% | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.22 | 0.23 | - | 0.21 | 0.66 | -0.02 | 13:16 | 18.94 | 3.19 |
| Dylan McIlrath | WSH | D | vs MTL | 0.1% | 1.80 | 0.01 | 1.4% | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.13 | 0.47 | -0.01 | 9:12 | 12.63 | 0.49 |
| Ryan Leonard | WSH | RW | vs MTL | 67.2% | 1.80 | 0.26 | 22.9% | 0.50 | 0.76 | 1.96 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.07 | - | 0.22 | 0.72 | -0.02 | 14:28 | 17.53 | 6.76 |
| Martin Fehervary | WSH | D | vs MTL | 25.1% | 1.60 | 0.06 | 6.1% | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.93 | 2.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.24 | 0.99 | -0.03 | 22:06 | 22.29 | 4.38 |
| Owen Beck | MTL | C | @ WSH | 8.0% | 1.60 | 0.08 | 7.3% | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.93 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.21 | 2.03 | 52.1% | 0.15 | 0.47 | -0.01 | 9:15 | 12.74 | 2.16 |
| Justin Hryckowian | DAL | C | @ COL | 15.3% | 1.60 | 0.16 | 14.6% | 0.20 | 0.26 | 1.13 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 2.35 | 1.96 | 54.5% | 0.23 | 0.59 | -0.10 | 14:14 | 17.52 | 2.85 |
| Alex Ovechkin | WSH | LW | vs MTL | 92.2% | 1.50 | 0.29 | 25.4% | 0.40 | 0.69 | 2.42 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.02 | - | 0.23 | 0.80 | -0.02 | 15:26 | 19.75 | 6.55 |
| Kirby Dach | MTL | C | @ WSH | 10.5% | 1.50 | 0.12 | 11.1% | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.40 | 1.58 | - | 0.21 | 0.68 | -0.02 | 9:00 | 17.42 | 2.81 |
| Arttu Hyry | DAL | C | @ COL | 4.0% | 1.50 | 0.14 | 12.7% | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1.23 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 4.91 | 3.91 | 55.7% | 0.18 | 0.56 | -0.10 | 13:06 | 15.92 | 2.12 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | COL | LW | vs DAL | 46.7% | 1.40 | 0.21 | 18.6% | 0.30 | 0.61 | 2.05 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.17 | 1.84 | 54.0% | 0.25 | 0.79 | 0.25 | 17:12 | 20.13 | 5.93 |
| Colin Blackwell | DAL | RW | @ COL | 0.1% | 1.40 | 0.06 | 5.8% | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.82 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.84 | 2.05 | 47.4% | 0.20 | 0.53 | -0.09 | 9:47 | 15.99 | 1.66 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | MTL | RW | @ WSH | 97.5% | 1.40 | 0.35 | 29.3% | 0.50 | 0.75 | 2.39 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 0.40 | - | 0.29 | 0.96 | -0.02 | 18:53 | 20.17 | 7.08 |
| Jamie Benn | DAL | LW | @ COL | 19.0% | 1.30 | 0.21 | 19.1% | 0.30 | 0.51 | 1.16 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.38 | 1.39 | - | 0.21 | 0.69 | -0.11 | 12:36 | 19.73 | 3.77 |
| Joel KivirantaNew team · 2 GP with DAL | DAL | LW | @ COL | 0.1% | 1.30 | 0.10 | 9.9% | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.17 | - | 0.18 | 0.59 | -0.09 | 11:30 | 16.90 | 2.73 |
| Justin Sourdif | WSH | C | vs MTL | 15.4% | 1.30 | 0.16 | 15.1% | 0.30 | 0.46 | 1.22 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 3.93 | 4.34 | 47.5% | 0.22 | 0.71 | -0.02 | 13:26 | 19.12 | 4.38 |
| Radek Faksa | DAL | C | @ COL | 0.1% | 1.20 | 0.05 | 5.3% | 0.10 | 0.25 | 0.74 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 4.34 | 4.09 | 51.5% | 0.20 | 0.54 | -0.10 | 10:29 | 17.37 | 2.42 |
| Jake Evans | MTL | C | @ WSH | 4.9% | 1.20 | 0.14 | 12.8% | 0.20 | 0.34 | 0.96 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 7.10 | 6.08 | 53.9% | 0.26 | 0.72 | -0.02 | 13:08 | 19.86 | 3.12 |
| Chris Kreider | MTL | LW | @ WSH | 61.6% | 1.10 | 0.25 | 21.8% | 0.30 | 0.55 | 1.60 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.29 | 0.35 | - | 0.26 | 0.77 | -0.02 | 14:35 | 21.14 | 4.47 |
| Tyler Myers | DAL | D | @ COL | 3.3% | 1.10 | 0.02 | 1.5% | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.27 | 1.02 | -0.16 | 14:50 | 24.06 | 2.79 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | WSH | RW | vs MTL | 4.1% | 1.10 | 0.13 | 11.8% | 0.20 | 0.33 | 1.27 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.38 | 0.43 | - | 0.21 | 0.62 | -0.02 | 12:06 | 18.00 | 3.75 |
| Justin Holl | WSH | D | vs MTL | 0.1% | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.22 | 0.77 | -0.02 | 14:54 | 18.13 | 2.30 |
| Alexandre Texier | MTL | LW | @ WSH | 4.9% | 1.10 | 0.13 | 12.6% | 0.30 | 0.43 | 1.42 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.12 | - | 0.21 | 0.59 | -0.02 | 13:22 | 16.62 | 4.01 |
| Alex Newhook | MTL | LW | @ WSH | 24.6% | 1.10 | 0.28 | 24.1% | 0.20 | 0.48 | 1.57 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 3.83 | 3.79 | 50.3% | 0.23 | 0.73 | -0.02 | 15:52 | 19.72 | 4.15 |
| Roope Hintz | DAL | C | @ COL | 83.0% | 1.00 | 0.28 | 24.2% | 0.40 | 0.78 | 2.25 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 7.46 | 5.85 | 56.0% | 0.25 | 0.85 | -0.12 | 17:51 | 21.07 | 6.86 |
| Cole Hutson | WSH | D | vs MTL | 87.4% | 1.00 | 0.15 | 14.1% | 0.50 | 0.65 | 1.65 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.26 | 1.00 | -0.02 | 19:28 | 22.96 | 6.02 |
| Alex Tuch | WSH | RW | vs MTL | 93.8% | 0.90 | 0.40 | 32.8% | 0.40 | 0.80 | 2.53 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.77 | 0.93 | - | 0.41 | 0.92 | -0.02 | 19:09 | 24.64 | 8.09 |
| Martin Necas | COL | RW | vs DAL | 99.9% | 0.90 | 0.48 | 38.1% | 0.60 | 1.18 | 2.44 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 0.29 | - | 0.33 | 1.09 | 0.28 | 21:36 | 21.10 | 9.48 |
| Nicolas Roy | COL | C | vs DAL | 12.1% | 0.90 | 0.12 | 11.1% | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.89 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 4.98 | 4.52 | 52.4% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.24 | 12:02 | 19.09 | 2.81 |
| Nick Suzuki | MTL | C | @ WSH | 99.9% | 0.90 | 0.40 | 33.1% | 0.70 | 1.10 | 2.49 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.11 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 8.93 | 8.69 | 50.7% | 0.34 | 1.09 | -0.02 | 21:57 | 22.40 | 9.01 |
| Noah Dobson | MTL | D | @ WSH | 93.8% | 0.90 | 0.12 | 10.9% | 0.40 | 0.52 | 1.66 | 1.70 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.37 | 1.22 | -0.03 | 20:09 | 27.18 | 5.69 |
| Timothy Liljegren | WSH | D | vs MTL | 4.8% | 0.90 | 0.05 | 4.9% | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.94 | 1.80 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.26 | 1.01 | -0.03 | 18:37 | 23.17 | 3.30 |
| Phillip Danault | MTL | C | @ WSH | 4.9% | 0.80 | 0.09 | 8.5% | 0.20 | 0.29 | 1.16 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7.50 | 6.48 | 53.7% | 0.24 | 0.77 | -0.02 | 15:06 | 21.52 | 3.23 |
| Sam Steel | DAL | C | @ COL | 5.8% | 0.80 | 0.18 | 16.2% | 0.20 | 0.48 | 1.26 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 51.0% | 0.23 | 0.72 | -0.12 | 16:21 | 18.97 | 3.46 |
| Florian Xhekaj | MTL | LW | @ WSH | 7.3% | 0.80 | 0.08 | 7.6% | 0.20 | 0.28 | 1.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.17 | 0.21 | - | 0.16 | 0.49 | -0.01 | 9:48 | 12.73 | 2.37 |
| Ethen Frank | WSH | RW | vs MTL | 0.1% | 0.80 | 0.14 | 12.9% | 0.20 | 0.34 | 1.04 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.05 | - | 0.18 | 0.55 | -0.01 | 9:34 | 15.96 | 4.03 |
| Mikko Rantanen | DAL | RW | @ COL | 98.8% | 0.70 | 0.34 | 28.7% | 0.70 | 1.04 | 2.30 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.90 | 0.99 | - | 0.35 | 1.08 | -0.14 | 21:41 | 21.71 | 8.13 |
| Jakob Chychrun | WSH | D | vs MTL | 99.0% | 0.70 | 0.31 | 26.8% | 0.50 | 0.71 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.35 | 1.23 | -0.03 | 25:03 | 22.63 | 8.47 |
| Alexandre Carrier | MTL | D | @ WSH | 13.3% | 0.70 | 0.09 | 8.7% | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.81 | 1.70 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.30 | 0.96 | -0.03 | 18:18 | 24.60 | 4.15 |
| Jason Robertson | DAL | LW | @ COL | 99.1% | 0.70 | 0.47 | 37.5% | 0.60 | 1.07 | 3.28 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.04 | - | 0.32 | 1.02 | -0.13 | 21:14 | 20.11 | 9.32 |
| Fedor Svechkov | COL | C | vs DAL | 8.8% | 0.70 | 0.09 | 8.7% | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.94 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3.24 | 4.12 | 44.1% | 0.20 | 0.63 | 0.22 | 12:35 | 15.82 | 2.45 |
| T.J. Hughes | COL | RW | vs DAL | 22.6% | 0.70 | 0.13 | 11.8% | 0.20 | 0.33 | 1.78 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.39 | 1.51 | - | 0.17 | 0.50 | 0.12 | 14:29 | 11.52 | 2.96 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | C | vs DAL | 99.9% | 0.60 | 0.60 | 44.9% | 0.90 | 1.50 | 3.28 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 8.88 | 8.81 | 50.2% | 0.34 | 1.35 | 0.32 | 20:41 | 23.71 | 12.88 |
| Tyler Seguin | DAL | RW | @ COL | 18.2% | 0.60 | 0.25 | 22.2% | 0.30 | 0.55 | 1.72 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.50 | 3.23 | 52.0% | 0.23 | 0.75 | -0.12 | 15:53 | 19.85 | 5.11 |
| Nazem Kadri | COL | C | vs DAL | 69.5% | 0.60 | 0.20 | 17.8% | 0.40 | 0.60 | 2.60 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 5.90 | 6.67 | 46.9% | 0.30 | 0.99 | 0.28 | 20:00 | 22.21 | 5.78 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | COL | LW | vs DAL | 75.9% | 0.60 | 0.33 | 28.2% | 0.30 | 0.63 | 1.87 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.14 | - | 0.30 | 0.92 | 0.31 | 19:39 | 23.91 | 6.69 |
| Cole Caufield | MTL | LW | @ WSH | 99.9% | 0.60 | 0.64 | 47.5% | 0.40 | 0.94 | 3.01 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | - | 0.28 | 0.83 | -0.02 | 19:19 | 20.95 | 9.16 |
| Ilya Protas | WSH | LW | vs MTL | 40.4% | 0.60 | 0.11 | 10.6% | 0.30 | 0.41 | 1.21 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 4.17 | 5.13 | 44.8% | 0.23 | 0.73 | -0.02 | 13:07 | 17.71 | 3.57 |
| Jaden Schwartz | COL | LW | vs DAL | 30.3% | 0.50 | 0.21 | 19.0% | 0.20 | 0.51 | 1.26 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.42 | 0.45 | - | 0.30 | 0.82 | 0.27 | 12:51 | 21.41 | 4.57 |
| Devon Toews | COL | D | vs DAL | 72.7% | 0.50 | 0.08 | 7.9% | 0.40 | 0.48 | 1.47 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.43 | 1.20 | 0.38 | 22:58 | 27.94 | 5.90 |
| Thomas Harley | DAL | D | @ COL | 83.2% | 0.50 | 0.08 | 7.3% | 0.30 | 0.38 | 1.63 | 1.70 | 0.30 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.41 | 1.23 | -0.18 | 23:51 | 24.98 | 5.56 |
| Nils Lundkvist | DAL | D | @ COL | 5.6% | 0.50 | 0.05 | 5.0% | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.92 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.19 | 0.80 | -0.12 | 16:57 | 18.95 | 3.21 |
| Sam Malinski | COL | D | vs DAL | 44.2% | 0.50 | 0.08 | 7.6% | 0.20 | 0.28 | 1.65 | 1.30 | 0.30 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.27 | 0.86 | 0.29 | 17:43 | 20.86 | 5.08 |
| Adam Engstrom | MTL | D | @ WSH | 6.4% | 0.50 | 0.02 | 1.9% | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.79 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.26 | 0.99 | -0.02 | 12:08 | 25.39 | 2.32 |
| Esa Lindell | DAL | D | @ COL | 31.8% | 0.40 | 0.06 | 5.6% | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.83 | 1.90 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.32 | 1.21 | -0.18 | 20:34 | 24.29 | 4.34 |
| Brock Nelson | COL | C | vs DAL | 86.6% | 0.40 | 0.33 | 27.8% | 0.30 | 0.63 | 1.85 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 8.51 | 8.45 | 50.2% | 0.29 | 0.87 | 0.29 | 18:39 | 23.47 | 6.45 |
| Cale Makar | COL | D | vs DAL | 100.0% | 0.40 | 0.25 | 22.2% | 0.70 | 0.95 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.31 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.40 | 1.27 | 0.37 | 25:00 | 25.89 | 9.90 |
| Oskar Back | DAL | LW | @ COL | 0.2% | 0.40 | 0.08 | 7.8% | 0.10 | 0.28 | 0.72 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.65 | 0.66 | - | 0.20 | 0.57 | -0.10 | 12:46 | 16.37 | 2.29 |
| Aliaksei Protas | WSH | LW | vs MTL | 52.3% | 0.40 | 0.23 | 20.7% | 0.40 | 0.63 | 1.69 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.38 | 0.43 | - | 0.28 | 0.87 | -0.02 | 16:00 | 21.24 | 6.00 |
| Lane Hutson | MTL | D | @ WSH | 99.0% | 0.40 | 0.16 | 15.1% | 0.70 | 0.86 | 1.74 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.40 | 1.24 | -0.03 | 25:40 | 24.43 | 7.38 |
| Brett Kulak | COL | D | vs DAL | 4.3% | 0.30 | 0.02 | 1.6% | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.95 | 1.50 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.26 | 0.99 | 0.34 | 18:38 | 23.21 | 3.60 |
| Kyle Capobianco | DAL | D | @ COL | 0.1% | 0.30 | 0.01 | 1.3% | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.18 | 0.63 | -0.10 | 8:02 | 14.72 | 1.88 |
| Miro Heiskanen | DAL | D | @ COL | 98.1% | 0.30 | 0.14 | 12.6% | 0.60 | 0.74 | 1.93 | 1.40 | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.38 | 1.31 | -0.18 | 26:03 | 25.44 | 6.71 |
| Jordan Kyrou | WSH | RW | vs MTL | 69.0% | 0.30 | 0.19 | 17.4% | 0.40 | 0.59 | 1.72 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.16 | - | 0.28 | 0.84 | -0.02 | 13:08 | 20.66 | 5.65 |
| Brent Burns | COL | D | vs DAL | 46.7% | 0.20 | 0.11 | 10.2% | 0.30 | 0.31 | 1.69 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | 0.27 | 1.06 | 0.35 | 18:15 | 25.07 | 4.74 |
| Dylan Strome | WSH | C | vs MTL | 81.0% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 18.2% | 0.60 | 0.80 | 1.79 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 8.93 | 7.24 | 55.2% | 0.26 | 0.88 | -0.02 | 17:29 | 20.40 | 6.61 |
† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works
What counts as a hit? An NHL hit is recorded when a player uses physical contact to separate an opponent from the puck. Hits must be intentional and occur during active play.
Why hits matter
In fantasy hockey, hits are a "peripheral" category that separates elite managers from casual players. While stars chase goals, savvy managers stream physical players to dominate this often-ignored category.
Hit volume factors
- Playing style: Physical players hit regardless of matchup - Team identity: Teams like Boston, St. Louis, and Calgary hit more - Game context: Rivalry games and playoff races increase physicality - Role: 3rd/4th liners often hit more than skilled top-6
League average
NHL players average 1.2 hits per game. Elite hitters exceed 4+ hits regularly.
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Pro Tip: Rivalry games produce 20-30% more hits league-wide. Target physical players in divisional matchups.
Streaming Hitters Tonight
Need hits for your fantasy matchup? Filter for high-hit projections among widely available players. Physical 3rd/4th liners are often the best hitting streamers.
All ProjectionsPhysical D-Men Tonight
Shutdown defensemen combine hits with blocks for peripheral category dominance. Check D-men projections for physical blueliners.
Defensemen ProjectionsHits + Blocks Stack
Physical defensemen often lead in both hits and blocks. Stack peripheral categories with shutdown D-men.
Blocked ShotsRelated Projections
Frequently Asked Questions
Projected hits come straight from LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider; we show their numbers as published and do not adjust them.
Physical players like Tom Wilson, Ryan Reaves, Nicolas Deslauriers, and shutdown D-men like Radko Gudas consistently lead in hits. These players hit 4-6+ times per game.
In category leagues, absolutely. Hits are often an overlooked category where streaming physical players can swing close matchups. In points leagues, hits typically have low value.
Physical teams like Boston, St. Louis, Calgary, and the NY Rangers consistently rank among league leaders in team hits. Their players offer higher hitting upside.
Projections by Category
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By Position
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Goals, assists, and points leaders
Peripheral Stats
SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts
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Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-
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