NHL Projected Plus/Minus for Today

Plus/minus counts even-strength and shorthanded goals for and against while a player is on the ice. Our projection is mostly a team stat: the team's projected goal differential away from the power play, shared out by each player's even-strength and penalty-kill minutes. It is one of the noisiest categories in hockey, so read it as a direction, not a number.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:35 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 80 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

Plus/minus is one of hockey's noisiest stats (year-to-year correlation about 0.3). This projection is the player's share of his team's projected even-strength and shorthanded goal differential, with no individual on-ice adjustment. How the model works

Sorted by Projected Plus Minus

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Player	Team	Pos	Opp	Rost%	+/-^† ↓	G	Anytime%	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	GV^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Devon Toews	COL	D	vs DAL	72.7%	0.38	0.08	7.9%	0.40	0.48	1.47	0.50	1.30	0.40	0.02	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.43	1.20	22:58	27.94	5.90
Cale Makar	COL	D	vs DAL	100.0%	0.37	0.25	22.2%	0.70	0.95	2.60	0.40	1.70	0.30	0.10	0.31	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.40	1.27	25:00	25.89	9.90
Brent Burns	COL	D	vs DAL	46.7%	0.35	0.11	10.2%	0.30	0.31	1.69	0.20	1.10	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	1.06	18:15	25.07	4.74
Brett Kulak	COL	D	vs DAL	4.3%	0.34	0.02	1.6%	0.20	0.22	0.95	0.30	1.50	0.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.99	18:38	23.21	3.60
Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	vs DAL	99.9%	0.32	0.60	44.9%	0.90	1.50	3.28	0.60	0.50	0.60	0.18	0.28	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.11	8.88	8.81	50.2%	0.34	1.35	20:41	23.71	12.88
Josh Manson	COL	D	vs DAL	36.0%	0.31	0.07	7.0%	0.30	0.27	1.31	2.00	1.40	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.25	0.98	18:23	22.96	4.74
Artturi Lehkonen	COL	LW	vs DAL	75.9%	0.31	0.33	28.2%	0.30	0.63	1.87	0.60	0.60	0.30	0.06	0.05	0.12	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.11	0.14	-	0.30	0.92	19:39	23.91	6.69
Brock Nelson	COL	C	vs DAL	86.6%	0.29	0.33	27.8%	0.30	0.63	1.85	0.40	0.80	0.40	0.07	0.07	0.14	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.06	8.51	8.45	50.2%	0.29	0.87	18:39	23.47	6.45
Sam Malinski	COL	D	vs DAL	44.2%	0.29	0.08	7.6%	0.20	0.28	1.65	0.50	1.30	0.30	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	0.86	17:43	20.86	5.08
Martin Necas	COL	RW	vs DAL	99.9%	0.28	0.48	38.1%	0.60	1.18	2.44	0.90	0.30	0.30	0.15	0.20	0.35	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.09	0.28	0.29	-	0.33	1.09	21:36	21.10	9.48
Nazem Kadri	COL	C	vs DAL	69.5%	0.28	0.20	17.8%	0.40	0.60	2.60	0.60	0.50	0.50	0.05	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	5.90	6.67	46.9%	0.30	0.99	20:00	22.21	5.78
Jaden Schwartz	COL	LW	vs DAL	30.3%	0.27	0.21	19.0%	0.20	0.51	1.26	0.50	0.60	0.30	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.42	0.45	-	0.30	0.82	12:51	21.41	4.57
Gabriel Landeskog	COL	LW	vs DAL	46.7%	0.25	0.21	18.6%	0.30	0.61	2.05	1.40	0.60	0.70	0.05	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	2.17	1.84	54.0%	0.25	0.79	17:12	20.13	5.93
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COL	COL	D	vs DAL	0.1%	0.25	0.02	2.2%	0.10	0.12	0.56	2.00	1.30	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.23	0.79	13:18	21.26	2.24
Nicolas Roy	COL	C	vs DAL	12.1%	0.24	0.12	11.1%	0.20	0.32	0.89	0.90	0.60	0.50	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	4.98	4.52	52.4%	0.25	0.75	12:02	19.09	2.81
Parker Kelly	COL	LW	vs DAL	17.7%	0.22	0.23	20.3%	0.20	0.43	1.15	2.00	0.90	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	1.53	1.91	44.5%	0.21	0.66	12:53	18.26	4.36
Fedor Svechkov	COL	C	vs DAL	8.8%	0.22	0.09	8.7%	0.20	0.29	0.94	0.70	0.60	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	3.24	4.12	44.1%	0.20	0.63	12:35	15.82	2.45
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COL	COL	LW	vs DAL	11.2%	0.21	0.10	9.8%	0.10	0.20	1.20	2.50	0.60	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.08	0.09	-	0.19	0.60	12:18	16.88	2.82
T.J. Hughes	COL	RW	vs DAL	22.6%	0.12	0.13	11.8%	0.20	0.33	1.78	0.70	0.40	0.30	0.06	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	1.39	1.51	-	0.17	0.50	14:29	11.52	2.96
Dylan McIlrath	WSH	D	vs MTL	0.1%	-0.01	0.01	1.4%	0.00	0.01	0.40	1.80	0.30	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.13	0.47	9:12	12.63	0.49
Owen Beck	MTL	C	@ WSH	8.0%	-0.01	0.08	7.3%	0.10	0.18	0.93	1.60	0.50	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2.21	2.03	52.1%	0.15	0.47	9:15	12.74	2.16
Florian Xhekaj	MTL	LW	@ WSH	7.3%	-0.01	0.08	7.6%	0.20	0.28	1.10	0.80	0.30	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.17	0.21	-	0.16	0.49	9:48	12.73	2.37
Ethen Frank	WSH	RW	vs MTL	0.1%	-0.01	0.14	12.9%	0.20	0.34	1.04	0.80	0.70	0.20	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.04	0.05	-	0.18	0.55	9:34	15.96	4.03
Zachary Bolduc	MTL	LW	@ WSH	24.3%	-0.02	0.20	18.2%	0.20	0.40	1.45	2.00	0.40	0.30	0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.18	0.22	-	0.20	0.74	13:57	15.97	4.21
Alexandre Texier	MTL	LW	@ WSH	4.9%	-0.02	0.13	12.6%	0.30	0.43	1.42	1.10	0.30	0.40	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.09	0.12	-	0.21	0.59	13:22	16.62	4.01
Ryan Leonard	WSH	RW	vs MTL	67.2%	-0.02	0.26	22.9%	0.50	0.76	1.96	1.80	0.40	0.70	0.06	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.06	0.07	-	0.22	0.72	14:28	17.53	6.76
Arber Xhekaj	MTL	D	@ WSH	8.6%	-0.02	0.02	1.9%	0.10	0.12	0.52	2.40	0.60	1.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.17	0.65	9:54	15.63	1.41
Kirby Dach	MTL	C	@ WSH	10.5%	-0.02	0.12	11.1%	0.20	0.32	0.90	1.50	0.60	0.70	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	1.40	1.58	-	0.21	0.68	9:00	17.42	2.81
Ilya Protas	WSH	LW	vs MTL	40.4%	-0.02	0.11	10.6%	0.30	0.41	1.21	0.60	0.50	0.30	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	4.17	5.13	44.8%	0.23	0.73	13:07	17.71	3.57
Chris Kreider	MTL	LW	@ WSH	61.6%	-0.02	0.25	21.8%	0.30	0.55	1.60	1.10	0.30	0.30	0.07	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.29	0.35	-	0.26	0.77	14:35	21.14	4.47
Anthony Beauvillier	WSH	RW	vs MTL	4.1%	-0.02	0.13	11.8%	0.20	0.33	1.27	1.10	0.50	0.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.38	0.43	-	0.21	0.62	12:06	18.00	3.75
Alex Ovechkin	WSH	LW	vs MTL	92.2%	-0.02	0.29	25.4%	0.40	0.69	2.42	1.50	0.20	0.20	0.09	0.13	0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.02	-	0.23	0.80	15:26	19.75	6.55
Josh Anderson	MTL	RW	@ WSH	11.1%	-0.02	0.20	18.0%	0.10	0.30	1.30	1.80	0.40	1.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.22	0.23	-	0.21	0.66	13:16	18.94	3.19
Justin Sourdif	WSH	C	vs MTL	15.4%	-0.02	0.16	15.1%	0.30	0.46	1.22	1.30	0.50	0.40	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	3.93	4.34	47.5%	0.22	0.71	13:26	19.12	4.38
Alex Newhook	MTL	LW	@ WSH	24.6%	-0.02	0.28	24.1%	0.20	0.48	1.57	1.10	0.40	0.30	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.04	3.83	3.79	50.3%	0.23	0.73	15:52	19.72	4.15
Jordan Kyrou	WSH	RW	vs MTL	69.0%	-0.02	0.19	17.4%	0.40	0.59	1.72	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.04	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.12	0.16	-	0.28	0.84	13:08	20.66	5.65
Juraj Slafkovsky	MTL	RW	@ WSH	97.5%	-0.02	0.35	29.3%	0.50	0.75	2.39	1.40	0.70	0.50	0.10	0.16	0.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.29	0.40	-	0.29	0.96	18:53	20.17	7.08
Justin Holl	WSH	D	vs MTL	0.1%	-0.02	0.00	0.0%	0.10	0.10	0.60	1.10	1.30	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.22	0.77	14:54	18.13	2.30
Cole Caufield	MTL	LW	@ WSH	99.9%	-0.02	0.64	47.5%	0.40	0.94	3.01	0.60	0.20	0.20	0.19	0.14	0.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.09	0.11	0.13	-	0.28	0.83	19:19	20.95	9.16
Dylan Strome	WSH	C	vs MTL	81.0%	-0.02	0.20	18.2%	0.60	0.80	1.79	0.20	0.70	0.40	0.05	0.17	0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	8.93	7.24	55.2%	0.26	0.88	17:29	20.40	6.61
Jake Evans	MTL	C	@ WSH	4.9%	-0.02	0.14	12.8%	0.20	0.34	0.96	1.20	0.70	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	7.10	6.08	53.9%	0.26	0.72	13:08	19.86	3.12
Boone Jenner	WSH	C	vs MTL	23.1%	-0.02	0.22	19.9%	0.30	0.52	1.77	1.90	1.00	0.50	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	4.23	3.52	54.6%	0.25	0.82	15:13	21.16	5.53
Phillip Danault	MTL	C	@ WSH	4.9%	-0.02	0.09	8.5%	0.20	0.29	1.16	0.80	0.50	0.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	7.50	6.48	53.7%	0.24	0.77	15:06	21.52	3.23
Tom Wilson	WSH	RW	vs MTL	94.2%	-0.02	0.40	32.9%	0.50	0.90	1.99	2.60	0.90	1.10	0.09	0.11	0.20	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.18	0.22	-	0.29	0.99	19:40	23.08	7.79
Aliaksei Protas	WSH	LW	vs MTL	52.3%	-0.02	0.23	20.7%	0.40	0.63	1.69	0.40	0.60	0.20	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.38	0.43	-	0.28	0.87	16:00	21.24	6.00
Cole Hutson	WSH	D	vs MTL	87.4%	-0.02	0.15	14.1%	0.50	0.65	1.65	1.00	0.80	0.50	0.04	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	1.00	19:28	22.96	6.02
Nick Suzuki	MTL	C	@ WSH	99.9%	-0.02	0.40	33.1%	0.70	1.10	2.49	0.90	0.60	0.30	0.11	0.23	0.34	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.05	8.93	8.69	50.7%	0.34	1.09	21:57	22.40	9.01
Vincent Desharnais	WSH	D	vs MTL	4.2%	-0.02	0.03	2.5%	0.10	0.13	0.73	1.90	1.60	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.22	0.94	19:10	20.65	3.05
Alex Tuch	WSH	RW	vs MTL	93.8%	-0.02	0.40	32.8%	0.40	0.80	2.53	0.90	1.20	0.50	0.06	0.07	0.13	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.05	0.77	0.93	-	0.41	0.92	19:09	24.64	8.09
Adam Engstrom	MTL	D	@ WSH	6.4%	-0.02	0.02	1.9%	0.10	0.12	0.79	0.50	0.60	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.99	12:08	25.39	2.32
Timothy Liljegren	WSH	D	vs MTL	4.8%	-0.03	0.05	4.9%	0.20	0.25	0.94	0.90	1.80	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	1.01	18:37	23.17	3.30
Martin Fehervary	WSH	D	vs MTL	25.1%	-0.03	0.06	6.1%	0.20	0.26	0.93	1.60	2.20	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.24	0.99	22:06	22.29	4.38
Alexandre Carrier	MTL	D	@ WSH	13.3%	-0.03	0.09	8.7%	0.20	0.29	0.81	0.70	1.70	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.30	0.96	18:18	24.60	4.15
Jakob Chychrun	WSH	D	vs MTL	99.0%	-0.03	0.31	26.8%	0.50	0.71	2.50	0.70	1.50	0.80	0.10	0.16	0.26	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	0.35	1.23	25:03	22.63	8.47
Lane Hutson	MTL	D	@ WSH	99.0%	-0.03	0.16	15.1%	0.70	0.86	1.74	0.40	1.30	0.40	0.06	0.26	0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.40	1.24	25:40	24.43	7.38
Kaiden Guhle	MTL	D	@ WSH	17.9%	-0.03	0.05	5.2%	0.20	0.25	0.99	2.00	1.50	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.34	1.05	18:39	23.79	3.72
Noah Dobson	MTL	D	@ WSH	93.8%	-0.03	0.12	10.9%	0.40	0.52	1.66	0.90	1.70	0.40	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.37	1.22	20:09	27.18	5.69
Joel KivirantaNew team · 2 GP with DAL	DAL	LW	@ COL	0.1%	-0.09	0.10	9.9%	0.10	0.20	0.90	1.30	0.40	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.15	0.17	-	0.18	0.59	11:30	16.90	2.73
Colin Blackwell	DAL	RW	@ COL	0.1%	-0.09	0.06	5.8%	0.10	0.16	0.82	1.40	0.40	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	1.84	2.05	47.4%	0.20	0.53	9:47	15.99	1.66
Arttu Hyry	DAL	C	@ COL	4.0%	-0.10	0.14	12.7%	0.10	0.14	1.23	1.50	0.40	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	4.91	3.91	55.7%	0.18	0.56	13:06	15.92	2.12
Kyle Capobianco	DAL	D	@ COL	0.1%	-0.10	0.01	1.3%	0.10	0.11	0.44	0.30	0.70	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.18	0.63	8:02	14.72	1.88
Oskar Back	DAL	LW	@ COL	0.2%	-0.10	0.08	7.8%	0.10	0.28	0.72	0.40	0.50	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.65	0.66	-	0.20	0.57	12:46	16.37	2.29
Radek Faksa	DAL	C	@ COL	0.1%	-0.10	0.05	5.3%	0.10	0.25	0.74	1.20	0.60	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4.34	4.09	51.5%	0.20	0.54	10:29	17.37	2.42
Justin Hryckowian	DAL	C	@ COL	15.3%	-0.10	0.16	14.6%	0.20	0.26	1.13	1.60	0.50	0.40	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	2.35	1.96	54.5%	0.23	0.59	14:14	17.52	2.85
Jamie Benn	DAL	LW	@ COL	19.0%	-0.11	0.21	19.1%	0.30	0.51	1.16	1.30	0.30	0.70	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	1.38	1.39	-	0.21	0.69	12:36	19.73	3.77
Roope Hintz	DAL	C	@ COL	83.0%	-0.12	0.28	24.2%	0.40	0.78	2.25	1.00	0.40	0.30	0.08	0.12	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.04	7.46	5.85	56.0%	0.25	0.85	17:51	21.07	6.86
Tyler Seguin	DAL	RW	@ COL	18.2%	-0.12	0.25	22.2%	0.30	0.55	1.72	0.60	0.20	0.20	0.04	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	3.50	3.23	52.0%	0.23	0.75	15:53	19.85	5.11
Nils Lundkvist	DAL	D	@ COL	5.6%	-0.12	0.05	5.0%	0.20	0.25	0.92	0.50	0.80	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.19	0.80	16:57	18.95	3.21
Sam Steel	DAL	C	@ COL	5.8%	-0.12	0.18	16.2%	0.20	0.48	1.26	0.80	0.40	0.30	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	1.87	1.80	51.0%	0.23	0.72	16:21	18.97	3.46
Lian Bichsel	DAL	D	@ COL	20.2%	-0.12	0.06	6.1%	0.10	0.06	0.68	2.80	0.80	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.21	0.76	15:42	18.12	1.88
Jason Robertson	DAL	LW	@ COL	99.1%	-0.13	0.47	37.5%	0.60	1.07	3.28	0.70	0.30	0.30	0.13	0.20	0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.03	0.04	-	0.32	1.02	21:14	20.11	9.32
Mikko Rantanen	DAL	RW	@ COL	98.8%	-0.14	0.34	28.7%	0.70	1.04	2.30	0.70	0.40	0.90	0.09	0.23	0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.90	0.99	-	0.35	1.08	21:41	21.71	8.13
Tyler Myers	DAL	D	@ COL	3.3%	-0.16	0.02	1.5%	0.10	0.22	0.90	1.10	1.40	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	1.02	14:50	24.06	2.79
Esa Lindell	DAL	D	@ COL	31.8%	-0.18	0.06	5.6%	0.20	0.26	0.83	0.40	1.90	0.20	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	1.21	20:34	24.29	4.34
Thomas Harley	DAL	D	@ COL	83.2%	-0.18	0.08	7.3%	0.30	0.38	1.63	0.50	1.70	0.30	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.41	1.23	23:51	24.98	5.56
Miro Heiskanen	DAL	D	@ COL	98.1%	-0.18	0.14	12.6%	0.60	0.74	1.93	0.30	1.40	0.40	0.04	0.22	0.26	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.38	1.31	26:03	25.44	6.71

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What is plus/minus? A player gets +1 when he is on the ice for an even-strength or shorthanded goal for, and -1 for one against. Power-play goals do not count.

How we project it

- Team differential: projected goals for (its skaters' goals) and LineupExperts' goals against (its goalies' goals against), minus the share scored or allowed on the power play. Goals against are scaled league-wide so the league's +/- sums to about zero (goalie goals against leave out empty-netters). - Player share: his projected even-strength plus penalty-kill minutes divided by the team's non-power-play minutes. - +/- = games × share × team non-power-play goal differential per game.

No individual on-ice term. We tested adding each player's own on-ice goal differential and it never improved the projection, so it is not used.

Variance warning

a player's +/- correlates only about 0.3 from one season to the next.

💡

Pro Tip: Big-minute defensemen on strong teams project highest because they are on the ice for the most even-strength goals. Expect large swings around any projection.

Team-driven stat

Projected +/- follows the team's projected goal differential. Check tonight's games for context.

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Two-Way Forwards

Selke-caliber forwards combine offensive production with responsible defense, making them +/- leaders. Target two-way centers on good teams.

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Identify players in tough spots—stars facing elite opponents or playing for struggling teams may post negative +/- despite good individual stats.

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Frequently Asked Questions

We take the team's projected goal differential away from the power play (from the projected goals for and against) and give each player a share in proportion to his projected even-strength and penalty-kill minutes. There is no player-specific on-ice adjustment.

It is high-variance and mostly team-driven: year to year it correlates only about 0.3 for a player. In category leagues, rostering players from strong teams is the main lever.

In our projections, heavy-minute players, especially defensemen, on teams projected to outscore opponents at even strength lead the list.

In category leagues chasing +/-, yes. Even elite players on losing teams can accumulate negative +/- despite strong individual performances.

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