Edgehalla

NHL Projected Power Play Goals - Rest of Season

Power-play goals are worth extra in many fantasy formats. These projections take each player's projected goals and estimate how many come on the man advantage, based on how much power-play time he has been getting and how often he scores there. Players who play big power-play minutes and finish well rise to the top.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 798 players
💡

Forward-looking projections only

ROS stats represent expected future production—they don't include any stats already accumulated this season.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Power Play Goals

726 players
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PlayerTeamPosRost%PPG† ↓GAPTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Sam ReinhartFLARW97.3%16.9042.0028.0069.00208.0088.0045.0016.0011.3428.241.420.441.865.62152.73182.9545.5%23.3574.572.151619:001816.26648.00
Kirill KaprizovMINLW98.3%15.9456.0046.00102.00257.0042.0032.0022.0012.9328.860.110.050.1610.635.116.32-23.6387.65-4.591701:001612.23907.00
Dylan GuentherUTARW99.3%15.0439.0035.0074.00256.0054.0024.0020.0014.9229.960.310.120.435.2121.4525.84-20.6567.634.251327:001635.04717.00
Andrei SvechnikovCARLW97.7%13.7035.0040.0075.00216.00161.0020.0062.0016.3930.100.040.020.064.698.3110.19-22.0872.105.821316:001538.03668.00
Leon DraisaitlEDMC99.7%13.5644.0066.00110.00235.0042.0024.0033.0023.3536.910.520.320.845.82706.75567.5955.5%25.6398.806.001683:001818.12908.00
Nick SchmaltzUTARW97.1%13.1536.0037.0073.00202.0028.0042.0019.0012.2525.401.450.692.144.81348.65393.8547.0%28.6872.254.891467:001806.10630.00
Auston MatthewsTORC99.1%12.8847.0052.00100.00299.0052.0089.0016.0015.6328.511.350.642.005.95725.82543.0457.2%28.6773.812.701621:001786.79940.00
Nathan MacKinnonCOLC99.9%12.6843.0079.00121.00340.0049.0037.0042.0025.0137.690.340.310.656.42693.11687.2350.2%26.19104.9615.001732:001849.601029.00
Tage ThompsonBUFC99.5%12.5842.0034.0076.00283.0072.0042.0036.0011.6524.230.590.190.787.43383.17453.0945.8%25.1873.672.941486:001807.89752.00
Sebastian AhoCARC99.7%12.5036.0053.0089.00213.0051.0030.0055.0020.0032.501.651.583.224.83610.19559.2952.2%22.8582.646.991523:001746.82752.00
Cutter GauthierANALW97.4%12.0338.0029.0067.00279.0067.0029.0033.009.2221.250.330.100.434.5272.3881.66-18.7062.41-4.481190:001419.38656.00
Nikita KucherovTBLRW99.7%11.9035.0080.00115.00229.0029.0030.0037.0035.1347.030.140.130.274.602.082.43-25.77101.308.121639:001677.93891.00
Cole CaufieldMTLLW99.9%11.8440.0030.0069.00252.0051.0022.0018.0010.2022.040.160.050.216.708.4010.17-21.9964.854.571437:001627.47664.00
Alex DeBrincatDETLW98.7%11.7937.0037.0074.00260.0042.0040.0026.0011.2123.000.220.100.324.1522.3127.26-26.2572.88-8.451440:001646.78702.00
Jake GuentzelTBLLW99.5%11.7332.0044.0076.00205.0038.0039.0033.0018.2930.020.800.501.304.20198.27211.5448.4%23.8876.037.791581:001729.10666.00
William NylanderTORRW99.0%11.6841.0056.0097.00237.0015.0026.0015.0017.3028.980.330.190.525.1948.3261.82-28.2473.332.511524:001709.36754.00
Tomas HertlVGKC86.7%11.6328.0027.0055.00183.00116.0041.0024.0010.2921.920.140.060.214.34595.71462.9656.3%17.9457.40-1.581261:001411.73523.00
Brandon HagelTBLLW99.3%11.6240.0047.0087.00237.0053.0053.0053.0015.7427.362.141.263.405.2524.6230.51-30.3577.378.491612:001842.96770.00
Bo HorvatNYIC92.4%11.2937.0032.0069.00247.0080.0039.0031.009.7721.061.540.972.504.47741.50586.0655.9%23.9681.290.251591:001818.78663.00
Brady TkachukFLALW98.9%11.2830.0029.0059.00265.00239.0022.0090.0012.1423.420.350.150.504.01205.21188.5952.1%20.5764.431.811357:001803.67588.00
Connor McDavidEDMC99.7%11.2241.0098.00139.00256.0054.0030.0037.0040.2151.441.731.303.035.42451.92462.3649.4%29.1596.766.481794:001863.551068.00
Martin NecasCOLRW99.9%11.1935.0055.0090.00214.0075.0022.0022.0018.4129.600.270.210.485.2221.7122.44-25.8585.1413.301575:001645.09745.00
Matthew TkachukFLARW98.5%11.1429.0059.0087.00202.00106.0016.0074.0029.2440.380.320.260.573.887.058.50-23.7273.981.841438:001612.74675.00
Tim StutzleOTTC99.7%11.0335.0053.0088.00176.00131.0048.0031.0020.2331.272.371.273.655.66340.83306.9152.6%26.4083.214.961591:002010.03713.00
Leo CarlssonANAC94.9%10.7336.0049.0084.00204.0016.0041.0024.0020.2330.960.710.331.034.29427.51516.7545.3%22.5768.51-5.251405:001635.32705.00
Brayden PointTBLC94.1%10.6831.0037.0068.00188.0014.0036.0015.0012.8223.500.140.080.224.07396.27442.6847.2%23.1764.547.401495:001628.49602.00
Zach HymanEDMRW94.4%10.5735.0025.0060.00201.0069.0026.0034.007.6018.160.020.010.034.631.351.60-20.6361.645.011424:001511.30581.00
Kyle ConnorWPGLW98.9%10.5142.0046.0088.00267.0025.0028.0014.0012.3022.811.450.712.1610.411.201.43-25.3676.68-0.301638:001743.83776.00
Steven StamkosNSHC94.5%10.4330.0030.0060.00188.0080.0034.0039.0011.3721.800.090.030.124.80304.08257.3554.2%23.0067.16-7.971421:001635.27511.00
Alexis LafreniereNYRRW89.8%10.3635.0033.0069.00171.0089.0031.0024.009.0319.380.120.050.173.8618.4923.49-23.5965.2414.011353:001636.62581.00
Jason RobertsonDALLW99.1%10.2836.0049.0085.00262.0054.0029.0024.0016.5826.860.010.010.025.262.623.12-24.7979.742.391487:001565.84745.00
Jack EichelVGKC99.9%10.0434.0064.0098.00259.0028.0048.0017.0028.5038.541.481.482.965.27573.45637.8847.3%27.8689.53-2.151606:001684.17865.00
Evan BouchardEDMD99.9%9.5125.0064.0089.00216.0034.0094.0026.0029.4038.900.260.781.053.310.000.00-30.19104.817.011913:002066.32835.00
Drake BathersonOTTRW96.7%9.3427.0034.0061.00171.00130.0024.0041.0012.1621.500.120.070.194.3711.9513.77-23.0165.644.141364:001806.46513.00
Cale MakarCOLD100.0%9.2624.0061.0085.00209.0033.00115.0020.0026.8536.110.270.841.123.580.000.00-29.7794.7816.601872:001938.89798.00
Artemi PanarinLAKLW97.4%9.2534.0048.0082.00234.0019.0012.0023.0015.4324.680.120.090.224.500.670.78-23.9384.478.761617:001735.75629.00
Nico HischierNJDC95.3%9.2130.0033.0063.00196.0046.0059.0018.0010.2419.451.290.842.143.87933.44767.0254.9%24.7471.94-6.781595:001825.11591.00
Wyatt JohnstonDALC99.8%8.9830.0043.0073.00203.0050.0050.0025.0013.3822.360.490.280.774.39389.22401.0649.3%23.4768.162.481523:001642.55636.00
Macklin CelebriniSJSC100.0%8.8438.0059.0097.00265.0045.0054.0038.0018.2327.060.510.390.904.28557.18574.8349.2%29.0995.85-17.491552:001579.29796.00
Matthew BoldyMINRW100.0%8.7832.0035.0068.00264.0068.0066.0038.0011.0119.791.280.631.906.0757.8970.88-30.6979.02-4.271607:001586.58723.00
Viktor ArvidssonDETRW40.7%8.7227.0030.0057.00212.0028.0041.0029.008.9617.680.150.080.233.0316.0119.01-17.1956.73-6.921175:001419.02553.00
Filip ForsbergNSHLW99.1%8.6129.0039.0067.00231.00112.0038.0034.0013.1121.720.110.050.164.6411.8815.45-30.0587.78-8.531491:001734.41597.00
David PastrnakBOSRW99.8%8.5632.0063.0095.00284.0089.0024.0044.0018.8927.450.150.120.284.496.207.33-25.07101.507.941548:001595.31789.00
Dylan LarkinDETC95.1%8.3129.0033.0062.00225.0043.0034.0044.0010.4018.711.160.561.723.25789.26706.3052.8%23.4081.03-9.121514:001798.88571.00
Jack HughesNJDC99.4%8.1934.0060.0094.00302.007.0041.0014.0020.9429.120.660.551.214.38254.36389.4339.5%29.48102.66-7.101652:001682.77848.00
Nick SuzukiMTLC99.9%8.0930.0057.0087.00177.0069.0059.0023.0019.1927.280.640.511.155.02692.93673.8850.7%26.5084.755.311629:001737.69723.00
Mark StoneVGKRW94.7%7.9225.0049.0074.00158.0057.0057.0020.0020.9128.821.200.731.933.877.259.02-24.1171.75-1.961470:001622.74660.00
Pavel DorofeyevNYRRW90.9%7.9026.0023.0049.00225.0033.0032.0018.007.4915.390.080.030.112.871.712.05-19.9361.3913.271294:001471.10501.00
Alex OvechkinWSHLW92.2%7.8826.0026.0052.00207.00120.0014.0016.008.5416.410.110.050.163.281.641.93-18.0762.5910.691338:001536.14503.00
Vasily PodkolzinEDMLW86.3%7.7927.0021.0048.00147.00235.0047.0047.006.0413.830.460.170.633.5722.7330.67-17.4150.744.131136:001450.06499.00
Evgeni MalkinPITC85.2%7.6326.0036.0061.00177.0026.0026.0053.0011.3719.000.010.000.012.64168.14183.2547.9%23.4775.085.241380:001520.95525.00
Adrian KempeLAKRW96.0%7.5930.0036.0067.00236.00119.0032.0047.0010.4818.070.340.260.603.9754.2369.02-24.8577.728.551549:001764.29618.00
Connor BedardCHIC97.2%7.5529.0050.0079.00235.0038.0031.0050.0015.4823.020.040.030.063.40320.98370.7446.4%25.9780.69-16.951521:001622.79618.00
John TavaresTORC95.0%7.5026.0034.0061.00184.0068.0030.0030.0010.6518.150.020.010.033.29705.58537.7056.8%21.3769.482.201343:001560.44501.00
Carter VerhaegheFLALW68.1%7.3025.0022.0047.00161.0052.0022.0030.006.2813.570.120.050.173.3444.4551.96-22.5867.182.001399:001648.82444.00
Beckett SenneckeANARW95.4%7.2127.0036.0063.00200.0090.0029.0061.0010.5317.750.080.040.123.213.163.76-23.9279.80-5.381392:001625.46524.00
Mitch MarnerVGKRW98.9%7.1423.0055.0078.00168.0031.0047.0019.0020.9028.050.820.851.673.5695.74128.45-31.9093.46-2.121575:001699.42623.00
Roope HintzDALC83.0%7.1226.0037.0063.00174.0078.0033.0023.0010.9018.030.380.220.593.80581.58456.4856.0%19.3366.122.181334:001644.01579.00
Kyle PalmieriNYIRW14.1%7.1025.0024.0050.00172.0052.0038.0028.007.2814.380.440.210.653.0211.7711.69-21.2464.690.221430:001692.58447.00
Cole PerfettiWPGLW79.8%7.0826.0032.0058.00174.0068.0039.0021.009.9116.990.060.030.106.4418.2620.31-22.5358.18-0.221236:001435.55524.00
Sidney CrosbyPITC98.7%7.0326.0041.0067.00193.0067.0034.0028.0011.8218.850.020.010.032.64902.24742.9254.8%23.9481.005.861531:001749.11515.00
Mikko RantanenDALRW98.8%6.9327.0057.0084.00178.0054.0038.0071.0018.8725.800.060.050.113.9570.1777.28-27.3683.922.681639:001694.74661.00
Kirill MarchenkoTORRW98.0%6.9025.0041.0066.00206.0066.0035.0042.0013.6920.590.050.030.083.175.997.18-25.8973.972.381451:001583.63601.00
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW97.5%6.9023.0038.0061.00181.00112.0065.0048.0012.3419.240.120.090.203.8522.7531.14-22.8574.374.561431:001568.62553.00
Clayton KellerUTALW99.9%6.8821.0063.0084.00197.0016.0032.0036.0028.5035.380.120.140.262.8111.6014.25-22.5180.574.721446:001715.76658.00
Morgan GeekieBOSLW94.0%6.8627.0035.0062.00143.00122.0032.0022.0010.0216.880.130.070.203.7995.67107.71-20.4266.466.871332:001443.62514.00
Roman KantserovCHIRW48.4%6.8025.0018.0042.00144.0056.0020.0036.004.9511.750.150.090.242.93194.86237.0645.1%22.0361.49-13.651237:001375.83366.00
Will SmithSJSRW94.5%6.7326.0041.0067.00182.0020.0020.0017.0011.3518.080.210.100.302.9356.0263.97-19.8769.44-14.851346:001472.38517.00
Mark ScheifeleWPGC98.7%6.6930.0053.0083.00164.0038.0043.0042.0013.9820.670.210.170.377.44563.10620.0847.6%26.6591.13-0.301625:001664.07630.00
Kevin FialaLAKLW64.0%6.5824.0033.0056.00203.0051.0024.0045.0010.2716.850.030.020.043.1715.4419.27-23.6875.617.761437:001521.88508.00
Jakob ChychrunWSHD99.0%6.5720.0030.0050.00205.0056.00110.0068.009.5116.080.180.360.542.530.000.00-26.8295.9015.591763:001757.59601.00
Tyler BertuzziCHILW52.0%6.5525.0022.0047.00138.0055.0019.0029.005.9512.500.110.040.152.9334.4240.84-21.2371.51-14.901337:001460.84375.00
Gabriel VilardiWPGRW73.9%6.4324.0033.0057.00147.0020.0041.0023.0010.6517.080.010.010.025.9568.5971.22-21.8264.82-0.261427:001512.94482.00
Chris KreiderMTLLW61.6%6.3721.0026.0047.00134.0085.0025.0028.008.1814.550.270.160.433.5222.4127.37-20.0359.694.131312:001641.06391.00
Jackson BlakeCARRW80.8%6.3618.0041.0060.00177.0015.0033.0034.0018.2424.600.090.090.182.415.897.42-22.6465.755.391240:001367.99536.00
Mika ZibanejadNYRC98.2%6.3522.0046.0068.00192.0095.0056.0017.0014.8921.241.140.841.982.43545.32478.0753.3%26.2382.7716.011532:001843.84578.00
Ryan O'ReillyNSHC81.0%6.2822.0040.0061.00139.0020.0065.0025.0013.0919.361.581.322.903.52710.59591.9054.6%28.0568.66-9.151566:001854.03488.00
Shayne GostisbehereCARD95.5%6.2313.0035.0048.00150.0034.0066.0027.0018.2624.480.010.050.061.740.000.00-22.4773.516.421422:001604.10506.00
Rasmus DahlinBUFD99.5%6.2218.0048.0066.00194.0076.0098.0059.0017.5223.740.100.260.353.190.000.00-27.0897.293.781786:001995.84641.00
Jared McCannSEALW77.5%6.2125.0039.0064.00197.0047.0028.0013.0010.4316.640.530.360.893.8338.5645.71-20.0463.860.291275:001672.83571.00
Adam FantilliCBJC90.8%6.1129.0034.0063.00220.00137.0059.0032.007.8513.960.510.260.773.98563.86522.0451.9%27.0272.813.071454:001626.44587.00
Seth JarvisCARRW92.7%6.0924.0023.0047.00169.0061.0027.0016.006.9913.071.030.491.523.2232.8942.30-19.8050.585.191064:001224.39456.00
Jack QuinnBUFRW50.8%6.0820.0027.0047.00181.0063.0023.0023.009.7415.820.340.170.523.545.116.12-17.5266.282.481273:001570.58427.00
Benjamin KindelPITRW49.9%6.0119.0019.0037.00152.0030.0049.0014.006.2112.231.150.551.691.93282.03330.3146.1%19.3461.294.211132:001355.21368.00
Brock BoeserVANRW60.5%5.9323.0026.0050.00151.0055.0024.0024.008.2914.230.510.250.763.2546.5058.37-21.2772.74-8.161403:001630.18394.00
Lucas RaymondDETRW94.3%5.9321.0046.0067.00187.0040.0026.0024.0017.3423.270.260.220.482.351.231.46-26.1773.25-8.791483:001738.45540.00
Rickard RakellPITLW76.7%5.9221.0025.0046.00185.0097.0056.0022.007.9013.820.540.290.832.1376.73106.97-23.5869.605.651494:001711.21447.00
Jason ZuckerBUFLW21.7%5.8918.0025.0043.00140.0068.0022.0034.008.3614.250.000.000.003.1957.8774.84-17.1758.582.181127:001388.68389.00
Jake DebruskVANRW47.6%5.8322.0018.0040.00188.0066.0036.0015.004.7710.600.410.170.583.1113.0115.60-21.2054.09-7.161225:001552.89403.00
Quinton ByfieldLAKC82.1%5.8225.0033.0058.00188.0062.0038.0039.007.9113.740.740.611.353.31514.17570.7947.4%32.7276.188.731549:001811.02505.00
Jordan EberleSEARW45.2%5.7826.0029.0054.00162.0058.0044.0037.008.1713.950.250.110.363.9811.9614.84-23.9265.300.311338:001684.38505.00
Matthew KniesCBJLW94.8%5.7725.0036.0062.00155.00147.0034.0034.008.7414.510.610.370.993.435.096.23-24.3069.713.071459:001724.74485.00
Matthew SchaeferNYID99.9%5.7616.0045.0061.00239.0041.0097.0033.0017.4223.180.060.230.291.930.000.00-35.93102.130.311935:002087.73652.00
John CarlsonTBLD97.9%5.7514.0046.0060.00176.0040.00113.0026.0019.0124.760.090.400.501.840.310.38-28.2797.269.641808:001891.83589.00
Logan CooleyUTAC94.1%5.7218.0046.0064.00124.0080.0042.0033.0019.2024.920.590.551.142.41405.34460.5546.8%23.7972.584.591389:001707.76514.00
Ryan LeonardWSHRW67.2%5.7124.0031.0054.00168.00139.0027.0056.007.7813.490.030.020.053.034.385.09-16.9156.179.361088:001362.40485.00
Ivan DemidovMTLRW89.6%5.6320.0036.0056.00125.0029.0022.0030.0011.1716.800.080.070.153.350.430.51-17.2253.923.471081:001267.83432.00
Trevor ConnellyVGKLW40.5%5.6216.0016.0032.00144.0024.0024.0016.006.0511.670.040.020.072.4814.3317.87-17.9958.14-1.421098:001325.54313.00
Tom WilsonWSHRW94.2%5.5826.0031.0057.00156.00206.0069.0095.007.0412.621.671.042.713.2814.3217.46-22.3776.9613.161494:001796.15545.00
Luke EvangelistaNJDRW70.4%5.5818.0037.0055.00173.0024.0026.0030.0012.8018.370.020.020.042.320.780.93-18.9157.42-4.711164:001306.90463.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Start from total goals. Each player's goals come from Edgehalla's goal model this season (LineupExperts for longer ranges); assists and ice time from LineupExperts. Our model splits those goals and assists between even strength, the power play and the penalty kill in proportion to the minutes the player has been getting in each situation (recent games weighted most) times his shrunk scoring rate per 60 minutes there. A player's projected power-play goals can never exceed his projected goals.

What moves a player up

- Power-play minutes per game: from his recent games, the latest weighted most and blended with last season early on - Power-play scoring rate: goals per 60 power-play minutes, shrunk toward the league average for his position so a hot two weeks does not dominate - Total goals: a bigger goal projection means more to split

What it does not use

opponent penalty-kill quality, how many penalties the opponent takes, or line-by-line unit tracking. Those are not in the model.

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Pro Tip: Power-play time is the biggest driver. If a player has just moved onto or off the top unit, the projection catches up over a few games; check line combinations for the latest deployment.

Check power-play deployment

Projections follow recent power-play minutes. Confirm current units before setting a lineup.

Line Combinations

Power-play points

Most leagues count power-play points, not goals. The PPP page adds projected power-play assists.

Power Play Points

Power-play assists

Assists on the man advantage go to the players setting up the shot, often defensemen.

Power Play Assists

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

We take each player's projected goals and split them by strength in proportion to his recent power-play, penalty-kill and even-strength minutes times his shrunk goals-per-60 rate in each. The power-play share is the PPG projection.
Scoring rates are shrunk toward the league average for the position, weighted by how many power-play minutes the player has logged. A few lucky weeks move the estimate a little; a full season of evidence moves it a lot.
No. The model uses the player's own power-play usage and scoring history. It does not adjust for the opponent's penalty kill or how often the opponent takes penalties.
In our backtest on the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons, given the real goal totals, the split beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, and the top-ranked players' predicted PPG matched what they scored to within about 2%.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see rest of season player projections