High-danger chances (HDCF%): NHL team rankings
5-on-5 · 2025-26 regular season · HDCF%
Share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: mostly net-front attempts, plus rush and rebound chances from the wider slot.
In 2025-26, the Vegas Golden Knights rank 1st in HDCF% (5-on-5) at 56.2%, the best mark in the NHL. The Chicago Blackhawks sit 32nd at 40.5%. The league average is 50.0%.
All 32 teams by HDCF%
Highest first. Each team links to HDCF% on its own stats page.
| Rk | Team | Gap to league average | HDCF% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56.2% | ||
| 2 | 55.6% | ||
| 3 | 55.4% | ||
| 4 | 55.2% | ||
| 5 | 54.5% | ||
| 6 | 53.2% | ||
| 7 | 53.0% | ||
| 8 | 52.9% | ||
| 9 | 52.3% | ||
| 10 | 52.2% | ||
| 11 | 52.0% | ||
| 12 | 51.9% | ||
| 13 | 51.7% | ||
| 14 | 51.5% | ||
| 15 | 50.6% | ||
| 16 | 50.6% | ||
| 17 | 50.6% | ||
| 18 | 50.3% | ||
| 19 | 50.2% | ||
| 20 | 48.9% | ||
| 21 | 48.8% | ||
| 22 | 48.4% | ||
| 23 | 47.7% | ||
| 24 | 47.5% | ||
| 25 | 46.8% | ||
| 26 | 46.5% | ||
| 27 | 46.4% | ||
| 28 | 45.9% | ||
| 29 | 45.6% | ||
| 30 | 44.8% | ||
| 31 | 42.6% | ||
| 32 | 40.5% |
- Above league average
- Below
Top skaters: High-danger chances (HDCF%)
High-danger chances leaderboard →Share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances while he is on the ice. 2025-26 regular season, qualified skaters only. Each name links to the stat on his player page.
How we calculate team HDCF%
Each attempt is graded by the zone method (location points, a bonus for rush or rebound, a penalty if blocked). Chances worth 3 or more points are high danger; we take the team share for and against at 5-on-5.
Why it matters for fantasy hockey
Goals in the slot are where most points come from. Teams that win the high-danger battle feed their net-front forwards, which shows up in goals more than assists.
How to read it
50% is even. A team well above its CF% here is getting to the middle of the ice; one below it is held to the outside.
Limitations
High-danger counts are a smaller sample than all attempts, so they swing more over a few weeks.
Go deeper
On each team's pages, HDCF% also appears in the Team on-ice by strength section, linked from its row in Team analytics.
More possession & shot quality stats
- Corsi (CF%)Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts (goals, saves, misses, blocks) taken by the team.
- Fenwick (FF%)Share of unblocked 5-on-5 shot attempts: Corsi without the blocked shots.
- Expected goals (xGF%)Share of 5-on-5 expected goals: shot volume weighted by shot quality.
- Sequence xG (sxGF%)Expected goals adjusted for flurries, so one scramble cannot count as three goals.
- Scoring chances (SCF%)Share of 5-on-5 scoring chances: attempts worth 2 or more points on the zone scale.
FAQ
- Which NHL team ranks first in HDCF% in 2025-26?
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 1st with the highest HDCF% in the NHL, 56.2%. The top three: Vegas Golden Knights (56.2%), Tampa Bay Lightning (55.6%), Colorado Avalanche (55.4%).
- What counts as a high-danger chance?
- An attempt worth 3 or more points on the zone scale: most attempts from the net-front slot, and rush or rebound attempts from the wider slot. Blocked attempts lose a point.
- Do high-danger chances predict goals?
- Yes, they convert at several times the rate of other attempts, but xGF% uses more information and is the better single predictor.
Ranks are among the 32 current teams; 1st is the highest value. Regular season only, updated through the latest processed games.