Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo SabresFeb 27, 2027

Time TBDSaturday, Feb 27, 2027

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

at

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: TOR +12.2 pts

TORaway+12.3 pts

1 day rest · 286 km travel

BUF on a B2B +9.3 pts
BUF backup likely (71%) +3.0 pts

BUFhome−12.2 pts

Back-to-back

B2B vs rested TOR −9.3 pts
Backup likely (71%) −2.9 pts

TOR has the schedule edge (+12.2 pts net win probability): buf on a b2b, buf backup likely (71%), b2b vs rested tor, backup likely (71%).

· Every game this week →

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Sergei Bobrovsky62%
Anthony Stolarz21%
Elvis Merzlikins17%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 2–1 vs NYI · Sep 30

L1Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko
9:16
L2Tavares – Nylander – McKenna
9:10
L3Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx
6:35
L4Sissons – Paul – Cowan
5:54
D1Rielly – Raddysh
13:05
D2Tanev – McCabe
12:08
D3Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
8:31
PP1Tavares – Nylander – Raddysh – Matthews – Marchenko
4:26

Projected TOR lines →·TOR goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Buffalo Sabres

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Alex Lyon37%
Colten Ellis34%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen29%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 3–6 at CBJ · Oct 1

L1Quinn – Ostlund – Benson
11:13
L2Thompson – Norris – Doan
10:19
L3McLeod – Krebs – Helenius
10:05
L4Carrick – Malenstyn – Kulich
6:00
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
13:10
D2Crevier – Power
10:21
D3Grzelcyk – Metsa
8:13
PP1Thompson – Dahlin – Quinn – Doan – Benson
4:22

Projected BUF lines →·BUF goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Feb 27.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.