Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose SharksJan 2, 2027

Time TBDSaturday, Jan 2, 2027

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

at

home

San Jose SharksSJS

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: TOR +12.7 pts

TORaway+12.8 pts

2 days rest · 491 km travel

SJS on a B2B +9.3 pts
SJS backup likely (83%) +3.5 pts

SJShome−12.7 pts

Back-to-back

B2B vs rested TOR −9.3 pts
Backup likely (83%) −3.4 pts

TOR has the schedule edge (+12.7 pts net win probability): sjs on a b2b, sjs backup likely (83%), b2b vs rested tor, backup likely (83%).

· Every game this week →

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Sergei Bobrovsky73%
Anthony Stolarz15%
Elvis Merzlikins11%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 2–1 vs NYI · Sep 30

L1Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko
9:16
L2Tavares – Nylander – McKenna
9:10
L3Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx
6:35
L4Sissons – Paul – Cowan
5:54
D1Rielly – Raddysh
13:05
D2Tanev – McCabe
12:08
D3Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
8:31
PP1Tavares – Nylander – Raddysh – Matthews – Marchenko
4:26

Projected TOR lines →·TOR goalies →·Goalie start planner →

San Jose Sharks

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Alex Nedeljkovic43%
Eric Comrie41%
Yaroslav Askarov17%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: W 4–3 vs FLA · Oct 1

L1Marchment – Smith – Celebrini
10:34
L2Wennberg – Graf – Stenberg
10:13
L3Toffoli – Chernyshov – Misa
7:17
L4Goodrow – Sherwood – Ostapchuk
6:43
D1Orlov – Cagnoni
13:38
D2Nurse – Kesselring
12:18
D3Trouba – Allan
12:06
PP1Wennberg – Cagnoni – Smith – Celebrini – Chernyshov
3:37

Projected SJS lines →·SJS goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Jan 2.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.