Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Carolina HurricanesDec 22, 2018

FinalSaturday, Dec 22, 2018· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	1	2	0	3		PIT	8	8	16	32
CAR	0	0	0	0		CAR	11	8	20	39

: PIT 56CAR 76
: PIT 3.71CAR 4.93
PP goals: PIT 0CAR 0
Hits: PIT 20CAR 27
Blocks: PIT 16CAR 15
PIM: PIT 8CAR 4
: PIT 58%CAR 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0 at CAR. Sidney Crosby (PIT) led the scoring with 0G 3A. CAR scored 0 goals on 4.93 expected goals (76 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Sidney Crosby had 3 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 20:34.Crosby
Points
Jake Guentzel had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:22.Guentzel
Points
Bryan Rust had 2 assists (2 points) in 18:06.Rust
Luck
CAR scored 0 goals on 4.93 expected goals (76 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Ferland–Teravainen–Aho skated 10:00 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ferland Teravainen Aho
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–Martinook–Svechnikov skated 8:06 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Martinook Svechnikov
Goalie
Matt Murray (PIT) faced 39 shots and stopped 39 (.1000), +7 against a season average of 31.9; the win.Murray
Usage
Phil Kessel (PIT) played 11:57, −6:06 down on his 18:03 season average over 81 games.Kessel

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · CAR 76 · PIT 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 26% of the game, CAR 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	CAR
	60	83
	3.77	5.70
	3.76	5.53
	18	22
	7	17
	41	24
	+0.088	−0.088
	26%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
14:0956% CF
L2Malkin – Hornqvist – Simon
11:3838% CF
L3Brassard – Kessel – Pearson
8:5436% CF
L4Cullen – Sheahan – Aston-Reese
8:3438% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
16:5648% CF
D2Maatta – Riikola
15:1238% CF
D3Johnson – Pettersson
13:0738% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Hornqvist – Kessel
1:17100% CF
PP2Malkin – Crosby – Johnson – Letang – Guentzel
0:3950% CF
PK1FSheahan – Aston-Reese
2:17
PK2FCrosby – Rust
1:53
PK1DLetang – Dumoulin
3:40
PK2DJohnson – Maatta
3:38

Current PIT line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
10:0064% CF
L2Staal – Martinook – Svechnikov
8:0655% CF
L3Williams – Foegele – Wallmark
7:1865% CF
L4Rask – Di Giuseppe – McGinn
4:3375% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
15:5756% CF
D2Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
14:1070% CF
D3de Haan – Faulk
13:4848% CF

PP1Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
3:43
PP2Williams – Staal – Rask – Hamilton – Wallmark
1:490% CF
PK1FMcGinn – Wallmark
0:46
PK2FMartinook – Aho
0:33
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
1:02
PK2Dde Haan – van Riemsdyk
0:39

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:41
PITKris Letang (Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust)snap0.11 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, GuentzelCAR: Staal, Faulk, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk
PIT 1 – 0 CAR

2nd period

3:00
PITJake Guentzel (Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust)wrist0.12 xG
PIT: Crosby, Rust, Maatta, Guentzel, RiikolaCAR: Staal, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, Pesce, Svechnikov
PIT 2 – 0 CAR
19:09
PITJake Guentzel (Sidney Crosby, Phil Kessel)snap0.16 xG
PIT: Crosby, Kessel, Maatta, Guentzel, PetterssonCAR: Staal, de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Svechnikov
PIT 3 – 0 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	3	3	+3	5	0.98	0	0	0	20:34	—	—	51	62
Jake Guentzel C	L1	2	0	2	+3	4	0.42	1	0	0	18:22	—	—	55	55
Bryan Rust R	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:06	—	—	54	55
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	0	0	0	17:13	—	—	37	26
Patric Hornqvist R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.53	0	1	0	15:32	—	—	36	18
Dominik Simon C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	13:15	—	—	38	20
Phil Kessel R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	0	0	0	11:57	—	—	34	29
Derick Brassard C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	0	2	11:19	—	—	37	25
Tanner Pearson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	2	0	0	10:01	—	—	32	26
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.46	1	0	2	12:38	—	—	38	60
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	12:14	—	—	37	60
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	11:37	—	—	33	50
Kris Letang D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.12	0	1	0	25:20	—	—	48	44
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	1	4	0	21:42	—	—	46	42
Olli Maatta D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	5	6	0	19:50	—	—	43	55
Juuso Riikola D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	0	2	17:33	—	—	36	46
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	2	0	20:12	—	—	34	11
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	1	2	14:35	—	—	39	20

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	39	39	0	.1000	4.93	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	20:27	—	—	64	68
Micheal Ferland L	L1	0	1	0.10	3	1	0	16:47	—	—	56	39
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	3	0.23	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	60	39
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	-2	5	1.17	3	0	0	17:31	—	—	50	65
Jordan Martinook L	L2	-2	3	0.74	4	1	0	16:43	—	—	56	65
Jordan Staal C	L2	-3	2	0.13	2	0	2	13:14	—	—	52	47
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	2	0.04	0	0	2	17:48	—	—	56	85
Justin Williams R	L3	0	6	0.71	0	1	0	15:45	—	—	50	64
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	3	0.65	1	0	0	14:16	—	—	59	73
Victor Rask C	L4	0	3	0.14	2	1	0	14:38	—	—	61	45
Brock McGinn L	L4	-1	1	0.14	3	0	0	10:07	—	—	83	69
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L4	-1	2	0.25	2	1	0	9:43	—	—	60	63
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	-1	1	0.21	1	4	0	20:53	—	—	50	51
Brett Pesce D	D1	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	20:06	—	—	59	56
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	18:52	—	—	67	70
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D2	-1	2	0.07	0	1	0	15:37	—	—	69	67
Justin Faulk D	D3	-2	1	0.13	1	1	0	19:45	—	—	47	57
Calvin de Haan D	D3	-1	1	0.01	2	3	0	18:28	—	—	54	65

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	32	29	3	.906	3.71	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.