Nashville Predators vs. Dallas StarsMar 7, 2020

FinalSaturday, Mar 7, 2020· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	0	1		NSH	7	11	5	23
DAL	0	0	0	0		DAL	9	14	14	37

: NSH 59DAL 80
: NSH 4.57DAL 3.50
PP goals: NSH 1DAL 0
Hits: NSH 10DAL 33
Blocks: NSH 27DAL 15
PIM: NSH 8DAL 8
: NSH 46%DAL 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Dallas Stars 1–0

Nashville Predators beat Dallas Stars 1–0 at DAL. Ryan Ellis (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for DAL: Pavelski–Janmark–Hintz skated 6:26 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for DAL: Pavelski–Janmark–Hintz skated 6:26 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pavelski Janmark Hintz
Luck
DAL scored 0 goals on 3.50 expected goals (80 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
NSH scored 1 goal on 4.57 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 37 shots and stopped 37 (.1000), +8 against a season average of 28.6; the win.Saros
New line
New look for DAL: Benn–Dowling–Seguin skated 5:27 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Benn Dowling Seguin
New line
New look for DAL: Perry–Dickinson–Gurianov skated 4:06 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perry Dickinson Gurianov
Luck
Mikael Granlund (NSH) generated 1.83 xG on 4 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Granlund
Usage
Viktor Arvidsson (NSH) played 12:26, −3:50 down on his 16:16 season average over 56 games.Arvidsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 139 of 139 attempts · DAL 80 · NSH 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 33% of the game, DAL 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DAL
	52	74
	2.76	3.09
	2.70	2.87
	11	11
	4	7
	18	13
	−0.049	+0.049
	33%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Jarnkrok – Johansen – Sissons
9:4836% CF
L2Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
8:5058% CF
L3Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
8:3650% CF
L4Turris – Arvidsson – Trenin
7:2544% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
14:5939% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
14:1253% CF
D3Holzer – Tinordi
9:1119% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Smith – Granlund – Forsberg
2:35100% CF
PP2Duchene – Ellis – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson
1:1367% CF
PK1FBonino – Granlund
1:18
PK2FTurris – Sissons
0:32
PK1DEllis – Ekholm
2:47
PK2DHolzer – Tinordi
1:03

Current NSH line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Pavelski – Janmark – Hintz
6:2655% CF
L2Comeau – Cogliano – Faksa
5:3447% CF
L3Benn – Dowling – Seguin
5:2733% CF
L4Perry – Dickinson – Gurianov
4:0633% CF
D1Klingberg – Lindell
15:5264% CF
D2Johns – Heiskanen
14:2951% CF
D3Polak – Oleksiak
9:2554% CF

PP1Pavelski – Benn – Seguin – Klingberg – Gurianov
2:08100% CF
PP2Perry – Dowling – Faksa – Hintz – Heiskanen
1:5267% CF
PK1FCogliano – Janmark
0:48
PK2FComeau – Faksa
0:34
PK1DPolak – Lindell
1:59
PK2DJohns – Oleksiak
0:59

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:29
NSHRyan EllisPP (Matt Duchene, Viktor Arvidsson)wrist0.01 xG
NSH: Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, ArvidssonDAL: Polak, Benn, Faksa, Lindell
NSH 1 – 0 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	0	0.12	1	2	0	16:18	—	—	35	30
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	0	0.15	0	0	0	15:14	—	—	38	36
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	2	0	13:58	—	—	36	37
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	1	0	15:56	—	—	47	44
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	3	0.36	0	0	0	13:51	—	—	55	55
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	0	0	0	1	0.31	0	1	0	11:33	—	—	53	57
Mikael Granlund C	L3	0	0	0	1	1.82	0	1	0	20:53	—	—	38	53
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	1	1	2	0.58	0	1	0	17:02	—	—	39	63
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	0	0	5	0.42	1	3	0	15:06	—	—	37	63
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:18	—	—	46	41
Viktor Arvidsson L	L4	0	1	1	1	0.23	0	0	0	12:26	—	—	29	24
Yakov Trenin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	8:36	—	—	44	17
Ryan Ellis D	D1	1	0	1	2	0.05	1	6	0	25:45	—	—	41	42
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	2	24:10	—	—	39	38
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	3	0	21:50	—	—	51	62
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	2	0	20:50	—	—	46	62
Korbinian Holzer D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	2	13:09	—	—	22	13
Jarred Tinordi D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	2	11:05	—	—	32	36

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	37	37	0	.1000	3.50	60:00

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Roope Hintz C	L1	4	0.47	4	1	0	16:27	—	—	64	58
Joe Pavelski C	L1	1	0.21	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	68	59
Mattias Janmark C	L1	2	0.08	0	1	0	13:18	—	—	73	63
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0.23	3	0	0	13:36	—	—	59	44
Radek Faksa C	L2	1	0.14	0	0	2	12:34	—	—	44	20
Andrew Cogliano C	L2	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:04	—	—	48	22
Tyler Seguin C	L3	6	0.64	2	1	0	21:46	—	—	61	63
Jamie Benn L	L3	2	0.33	3	0	0	19:09	—	—	61	63
Justin Dowling C	L3	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:29	—	—	43	33
Corey Perry R	L4	2	0.11	2	1	2	16:55	—	—	62	66
Denis Gurianov R	L4	3	0.43	2	0	0	16:27	—	—	58	68
Jason Dickinson C	L4	1	0.09	1	1	0	14:24	—	—	59	68
John Klingberg D	D1	4	0.25	3	1	2	27:13	—	—	64	52
Esa Lindell D	D1	3	0.09	2	3	0	22:34	—	—	65	55
Miro Heiskanen D	D2	4	0.16	0	2	0	21:55	—	—	54	50
Stephen Johns D	D2	3	0.16	4	2	0	17:57	—	—	51	41
Jamie Oleksiak D	D3	0	0.10	5	1	2	13:44	—	—	61	57
Roman Polak D	D3	1	0.01	0	1	0	12:35	—	—	56	62

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ben Bishop(start)	L	23	22	1	.957	2.91	57:46

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.