Nashville Predators vs. Dallas StarsMar 21, 2021

Final / SOSunday, Mar 21, 2021· American Airlines Center

away

Nashville PredatorsNSH

4

@

home

Dallas StarsDAL

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	1	1	1	0	1	4		NSH	7	8	6	1	22
DAL	2	1	0	0	0	3		DAL	11	11	7	1	30

: NSH 48DAL 57
: NSH 1.97DAL 2.52
PP goals: NSH 1DAL 0
Hits: NSH 21DAL 20
Blocks: NSH 12DAL 11
PIM: NSH 4DAL 4
: NSH 51%DAL 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Dallas Stars 4–3 (SO)

Nashville Predators beat Dallas Stars 4–3 in a shootout at DAL. Eeli Tolvanen (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 2A. NSH's first power-play unit (Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson and Tolvanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:41 together.

Points
Eeli Tolvanen had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 17:36.Tolvanen
Points
Ryan Johansen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:29.Johansen
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson and Tolvanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:41 together.Ekholm Johansen Forsberg Arvidsson Tolvanen
Usage
Radek Faksa (DAL) played 10:10, −7:24 down on his 17:34 season average over 54 games.Faksa
Usage
Jason Robertson (DAL) played 22:09, +5:22 up on his 16:47 season average over 50 games.Robertson
Usage
Mattias Ekholm (NSH) played 28:13, +5:28 up on his 22:45 season average over 47 games.Ekholm
New line
New look for NSH: Jarnkrok–Arvidsson–Pitlick skated 7:20 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Arvidsson Pitlick
Usage
Alexandre Carrier (NSH) played 26:13, +6:31 up on his 19:42 season average over 18 games.Carrier

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · DAL 57 · NSH 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 23% of the game, DAL 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DAL
	46	58
	1.99	2.39
	1.95	2.33
	8	7
	1	8
	17	22
	−0.009	+0.009
	23%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Tolvanen
13:1742% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Olivier
10:4450% CF
L3Haula – Cousins – Grimaldi
9:2546% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Arvidsson – Pitlick
7:2038% CF
D1Ekholm – Carrier
20:5648% CF
D2Harpur – Fabbro
16:0335% CF
D3Benning – Davies
12:0950% CF

PP1Ekholm – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson – Tolvanen
1:41100% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson – Carrier – Tolvanen
0:06100% CF
PK1FHaula – Sissons
1:24
PK2FJarnkrok – Olivier
0:32
PK1DEkholm – Carrier
1:48
PK2DHarpur – Fabbro
1:41

Current NSH line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Dickinson – Gurianov – Robertson
15:1058% CF
L2Comeau – Cogliano – Faksa
6:4688% CF
L3Pavelski – Benn – Kiviranta
6:0133% CF
L4Kero – Gardner – Dellandrea
3:3150% CF
D1Oleksiak – Heiskanen
18:5166% CF
D2Klingberg – Lindell
16:2150% CF
D3Sekera – Hanley
11:3950% CF

PP1Pavelski – Benn – Klingberg – Robertson – Heiskanen
2:1467% CF
PP2Faksa – Lindell – Gurianov – Dellandrea – Kiviranta
1:43
PK1FComeau – Cogliano
0:52
PK2FFaksa – Dickinson
0:45
PK1DOleksiak – Hanley
0:52
PK2DSekera – Lindell
0:45

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:02
DALRhett Gardner (Esa Lindell, Tanner Kero)wrist0.29 xG
NSH: Jarnkrok, Cousins, Harpur, Fabbro, PitlickDAL: Benn, Lindell, Gardner, Heiskanen, Dellandrea
NSH 0 – 1 DAL
10:21
DALRadek Faksa (Jason Robertson, Jamie Oleksiak)tip-in0.06 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier, TolvanenDAL: Comeau, Oleksiak, Faksa, Robertson, Heiskanen
NSH 0 – 2 DAL
10:51
NSHRyan JohansenPP (Mattias Ekholm, Eeli Tolvanen)tip-in0.12 xG
NSH: Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson, TolvanenDAL: Sekera, Cogliano, Oleksiak, Faksa
NSH 1 – 2 DAL

2nd period

13:02
DALTy Dellandrea (Joe Pavelski, John Klingberg)tip-in0.09 xG
NSH: Sissons, Harpur, Trenin, Fabbro, OlivierDAL: Pavelski, Benn, Klingberg, Oleksiak, Dellandrea
NSH 1 – 3 DAL
17:54
NSHFilip Forsberg (Ryan Johansen, Eeli Tolvanen)deflected0.06 xG
NSH: Johansen, Forsberg, Benning, Davies, TolvanenDAL: Comeau, Cogliano, Klingberg, Lindell, Gardner
NSH 2 – 3 DAL

3rd period

14:15
NSHEeli Tolvanen (Ben Harpur)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Johansen, Forsberg, Harpur, Fabbro, TolvanenDAL: Comeau, Benn, Oleksiak, Kero, Heiskanen
NSH 3 – 3 DAL

Decided in the shootout: NSH 4 – 3 DAL.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	2	1	0	20:59	—	—	35	34
Ryan Johansen C	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.12	0	1	0	20:29	—	—	39	46
Eeli Tolvanen R	L1	1	2	3	+1	1	0.04	3	1	0	17:36	—	—	42	46
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	2	1	0	14:43	—	—	52	48
Mathieu Olivier R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:18	—	—	50	52
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	0	0	12:03	—	—	50	52
Erik Haula L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.42	0	0	0	19:18	—	—	44	53
Nick Cousins C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	12:00	—	—	47	49
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:42	—	—	53	73
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	0	0	18:03	—	—	44	34
Viktor Arvidsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	0	17:48	—	—	44	42
Rem Pitlick C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	4	9:48	—	—	39	32
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.09	0	1	0	28:13	—	—	48	58
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	2	0	26:13	—	—	49	58
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	5	3	0	21:40	—	—	33	23
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.05	0	1	0	19:09	—	—	37	25
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	2	0	0	13:54	—	—	47	57
Jeremy Davies D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:31	—	—	50	61

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	30	27	3	.900	2.52	65:00

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jason Robertson L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.25	0	0	0	22:09	—	—	60	61
Jason Dickinson C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	22:02	—	—	57	70
Denis Gurianov R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	19:36	—	—	55	57
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	3	0	0	16:32	—	—	64	61
Andrew Cogliano C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.30	1	0	0	15:29	—	—	65	67
Radek Faksa C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	3	0	10:10	—	—	67	62
Joe Pavelski C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	1	0	0	20:36	—	—	53	44
Jamie Benn L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	1	0	0	18:25	—	—	52	56
Joel Kiviranta L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	8:22	—	—	33	5
Ty Dellandrea C	L4	1	0	1	+2	3	0.19	1	0	0	16:13	—	—	68	67
Rhett Gardner C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.33	2	0	0	10:00	—	—	47	46
Tanner Kero C	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:08	—	—	43	34
Miro Heiskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.12	0	0	2	26:07	—	—	66	64
Jamie Oleksiak D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	3	2	0	21:45	—	—	67	58
John Klingberg D	D2	0	1	1	0	5	0.36	0	2	0	23:56	—	—	49	42
Esa Lindell D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	3	0	2	23:20	—	—	49	54
Andrej Sekera D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	2	0	14:33	—	—	47	56
Joel Hanley D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:26	—	—	47	40

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Khudobin(start)	O	22	19	3	.864	1.97	65:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.